Arizona gubernatorial election, 2022
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| Governor of Arizona |
|---|
| Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
| Election details |
| Filing deadline: April 4, 2022 |
| Primary: August 2, 2022 General: November 8, 2022 Pre-election incumbent(s): Doug Ducey (Republican) |
| How to vote |
| Poll times: 6 a.m. to 7 p.m. Voting in Arizona |
| Race ratings |
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Lean Republican Inside Elections: Toss-up |
| Ballotpedia analysis |
| Federal and state primary competitiveness State executive elections in 2022 Impact of term limits in 2022 State government trifectas State government triplexes Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2022 |
| Arizona executive elections |
| Governor Attorney General |
Katie Hobbs (D) defeatedKari Lake (R) and seven other candidates in the general election forgovernor of Arizona on November 8, 2022.Doug Ducey (R) was not able to run for re-election due toterm limits.
Hobbs, a former social worker, was thesecretary of state at the time of the election. She was first elected to the position in2018. Previously, Hobbs served in theArizona State Senate from 2013 to 2019. She also served in theArizona House of Representatives from 2011 to 2013. Hobbs said she would "veto unabashedly any further restrictions on access to reproductive health care, whether that’s family planning, birth control or further abortion restrictions.”[1] Hobbs also campaigned on border security, saying she would work "in coordination with those border communities, especially law enforcement, about the resources and support we can provide from the state to make sure that they have the tools they need to keep their communities safe."[2] Former PresidentBarack Obama (D) endorsed Hobbs on October 20, 2022.[3]
Lake, a former news anchor for Fox 10 News inPhoenix, said she was "running ... on a platform of common sense conservatism dedicated to individual liberties, low taxes, limited regulation, and protecting Arizona's great Western heritage."[4] Lake campaigned on border security, addressing homelessness, banning critical race theory in school curriculums, and school choice.[5][6] On protecting the border, Lake said, "After I take my hand off the Bible, we are going to issue a declaration of invasion. We are going to finish President Trump's wall, and we are going to send our armed National Guard to the border and stop people from coming across."[7] Former PresidentDonald Trump (R) endorsed Lake in September 2021.[8]
Steph Denny (R),Alice Novoa (R),Liana West (G),William Pounds (Independent-Green Party),Mikaela Lutes-Burton (L),Anthony Camboni (Independent), andRayshawn Merrill (Independent) ran as write-in candidates.
Kari Lake (R),Liana West (G), andWilliam Pounds (Independent-Green Party) completedBallotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Click on a candidate's name to view that candidate's responses.
This was one of36 gubernatorial elections that took place place in 2022. The governor serves as a state's top executive official and is the only executive office that is elected in all 50 states. At the time of the 2022 elections, there were 28 Republican governors and 22 Democratic governors. Clickhere for a map with links to our coverage of all 50 states' responses to the pandemic andhere for an overview of all 36 gubernatorial elections that took place in 2022.
Heading into the 2022 elections, there were 23 Republican trifectas, 14 Democratic trifectas, and 13 divided governments where neither party held trifecta control. There were 23 Republican triplexes, 18 Democratic triplexes, and nine divided governments where neither party held triplex control.
Astate government trifecta refers to a situation where one party controls a state's governorship and majorities in both chambers of the state legislature. Astate government triplex refers to a situation where the governor, attorney general, and secretary of state are all members of the same political party.
For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:
- Arizona gubernatorial election, 2022 (August 2 Democratic primary)
- Arizona gubernatorial election, 2022 (August 2 Republican primary)
Candidates and election results
General election
General election for Governor of Arizona
The following candidates ran in the general election for Governor of Arizona on November 8, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | Katie Hobbs (D) | 50.3 | 1,287,891 | |
Kari Lake (R) ![]() | 49.6 | 1,270,774 | ||
Liana West (G) (Write-in) ![]() | 0.0 | 254 | ||
| Mikaela Lutes-Burton (L) (Write-in) | 0.0 | 213 | ||
William Pounds (Independent-Green Party) (Write-in) ![]() | 0.0 | 139 | ||
| Steph Denny (R) (Write-in) | 0.0 | 74 | ||
| Alice Novoa (R) (Write-in) | 0.0 | 55 | ||
| Rayshawn Merrill (Independent) (Write-in) | 0.0 | 44 | ||
| Anthony Camboni (Independent) (Write-in) | 0.0 | 41 | ||
There were noincumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source | Total votes: 2,559,485 | |||
= candidate completed theBallotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you,complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data?Contact our sales team. | ||||
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Barry J. Hess (L)
- Alex Sadowski (Independent)
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for Governor of Arizona
Katie Hobbs defeatedMarco Lopez andAaron Lieberman (Unofficially withdrew) in the Democratic primary for Governor of Arizona on August 2, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | Katie Hobbs | 72.3 | 431,059 | |
Marco Lopez ![]() | 22.8 | 136,090 | ||
| Aaron Lieberman (Unofficially withdrew) | 4.8 | 28,878 | ||
There were noincumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source | Total votes: 596,027 | |||
= candidate completed theBallotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you,complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data?Contact our sales team. | ||||
Republican primary election
Republican primary for Governor of Arizona
The following candidates ran in the Republican primary for Governor of Arizona on August 2, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | Kari Lake ![]() | 48.0 | 398,860 | |
| Karrin Taylor Robson | 43.1 | 358,682 | ||
| Matt Salmon (Unofficially withdrew) | 3.7 | 30,704 | ||
Scott Neely ![]() | 3.1 | 25,876 | ||
Paola Tulliani-Zen ![]() | 2.1 | 17,281 | ||
| Carlos Roldan (Write-in) | 0.0 | 42 | ||
| Alex Schatz (Write-in) | 0.0 | 39 | ||
Patrick Finerd (Write-in) ![]() | 0.0 | 24 | ||
There were noincumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source | Total votes: 831,508 | |||
= candidate completed theBallotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you,complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data?Contact our sales team. | ||||
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Steve Gaynor (R)
- Kimberly Yee (R)
- Frank Konarski (R)
Libertarian primary election
Libertarian primary for Governor of Arizona
Barry J. Hess advanced from the Libertarian primary for Governor of Arizona on August 2, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | Barry J. Hess (Write-in) | 100.0 | 550 | |
There were noincumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source | Total votes: 550 | |||
= candidate completed theBallotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you,complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data?Contact our sales team. | ||||
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Steve Remus (L)
Results analysis
Echelon Insights, a polling and data analysis firm, published an analysis deck calledSplit Ticket Atlas: Comparative Republican Presidential, Gubernatorial, and Senate Candidate Performance, 2020-2022 in March 2023. The report compared the performance of Republican candidates in 2022 statewide elections. Clickhere to view the full analysis.
This analysis found that, compared to 2022 senatorial candidateBlake Masters (R), Lake received 108,395 more votes. The largest differences were in Maricopa (61,271) and Pima (18,433) counties. Masters came closest to Lake's vote total in Greenlee County (188 votes).
Know of additional analysis related to this election? Pleaseemail us.
Candidate comparison
Candidate profiles
This section includes candidate profiles that may be created in one of two ways: either the candidate completedBallotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, or Ballotpedia staff may compile a profile based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements after identifying the candidate as noteworthy. For more on how we select candidates to include, clickhere.
Party:Democratic Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office:
- Arizona Secretary of State (Assumed office: 2019)
- Arizona State Senate District 24 (2011-2019)
Biography: Hobbs earned a bachelor's degree in social work from Nothern Arizona University and a master's degree in social work from Airzona State University. Her professional experience includes working as a social worker and as the chief compliance officer for the Sojourner Center, a domestic violence shelter.
Key Messages
The following key messages were curated by Ballotpedia staff. For more on how we identify key messages,click here.
Hobbs has said she will "fearlessly work to increase access to abortion services and reproductive care, use my veto pen to oppose any restrictive and extreme measures coming from the legislature, and make sure that women and families have the resources they need to thrive right here in Arizona."
Hobbs has said Congress should pass comprehensive immigration reform, and said she will "use the tools at my disposal to bring resources to our border communities and provide meaningful relief for Arizonans suffering the consequences of decades of federal inaction," including increasing funding for local law enforcement.
Hobbs has said she will hire "women and people from underrepresented communities" to make state government more inclusive and invest in minority-owned businesses and expand diversity in STEM jobs "to build an economy in which the doors of opportunity are wide open for women and people of color."
Show sources
Sources:Katie Hobbs 2022 campaign website, "Katie Plan's," accessed August 24, 2022; azcentral, "Who is Katie Hobbs? 5 things to know about the Arizona's Democratic governor nominee," August 4, 2022;Arizona State University, "Van Jones, Katie Hobbs to speak to ASU Law class of 2021," April 13, 2021;Emily's List, "Katie Hobbs," accessed August 24, 2022
This information was current as of the candidate's run for Governor of Arizona in 2022.
Party:Republican Party
Incumbent: No
Submitted Biography: "Kari Lake, the former anchor for Fox 10 News in Phoenix, became a symbol of truth in journalism when she walked away from the mainstream media despite being number one in the ratings for more than two decades.Now she's running for Governor of Arizona on a platform of common sense conservatism dedicated to individual liberties, low taxes, limited regulation, and protecting Arizona's great Western heritage.Kari Lake continues to be a voice for the silent majority suffering at the hands of cancel culture, critical race theory, and the devastating effects progressive policies are piling up on America's formerly great cities."
![]()
Key Messages
To read this candidate's full survey responses,click here.
Securing our Border is essential for the safety and security of Arizona's future. I will finish Trump's Wall & stop Biden's cartel-controlled flood at our borders
Secure elections are essential to preserve our Republic, and our state.
Arizona faces enormous challenges, we need a visionary leader to take them head-on
This information was current as of the candidate's run for Governor of Arizona in 2022.
Party:Independent-Green Party
Incumbent: No
Submitted Biography: "I'm former Co-Chair of Jesse Ventura's 2020 Presidential exploratory committee and former campaign director for Cynthia McKinney's Vice-Presidential campaign."
![]()
Key Messages
To read this candidate's full survey responses,click here.
I'm running to prop up a new Green Party in Arizona and pledge that party's ballot line to Jesse Ventura in 2024
I want to deliver the long due right of collective bargaining to all Arizona employees
I want Arizona to power the nation with solar panels on every Arizona household and business possible
This information was current as of the candidate's run for Governor of Arizona in 2022.
Party:Green Party
Incumbent: No
Submitted Biography: "My name is Liana West, I am a working class activist who is running as an official Write-in candidate for Governor of Arizona in the 2022 election. I believe that housing is a human right. I believe that clean water and air is a human right. I believe that corporations do NOT have the right to free speech the same as the workers should have. Unionization has proven to be an effective tool to improve worker's rights. Education and voting rights are necessary in any form of democracy. We need a new generation of leadership in government willing to listen to the workers! I seek to earn the votes of fellow progressive thinkers in Arizona. Will you join me?"
![]()
Key Messages
To read this candidate's full survey responses,click here.
The two party system is currently owned and funded by corporations and lobbyists who donate to BOTH of the major political parties. That is why the current administration cannot offer Universal Healthcare; because corporations oppose it.
am the only climate candidate who opposes Green Capitalism. WE cannot prevent this climate crisis while focusing on profits.
Education based on science and a secular stance on separation of church and state
This information was current as of the candidate's run for Governor of Arizona in 2022.
Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses
Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. The section below shows responses from candidates in this race who completedBallotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.

Survey responses from candidates in this race
Click on a candidate's name to visit their Ballotpedia page.
Note: Ballotpedia reserves the right to edit Candidate Connection survey responses. Any edits made by Ballotpedia will be clearly marked with [brackets] for the public. If the candidate disagrees with an edit, he or she may request the full removal of the survey response from Ballotpedia.org. Ballotpedia does not edit or correct typographical errors unless the candidate's campaign requests it.
Expand all |Collapse all
Kari Lake (R)
Secure elections are essential to preserve our Republic, and our state.
Arizona faces enormous challenges, we need a visionary leader to take them head-on
William Pounds (Independent-Green)
I want to deliver the long due right of collective bargaining to all Arizona employees
I want Arizona to power the nation with solar panels on every Arizona household and business possible
Liana West (G)
am the only climate candidate who opposes Green Capitalism. WE cannot prevent this climate crisis while focusing on profits.
Education based on science and a secular stance on separation of church and state
Kari Lake (R)
William Pounds (Independent-Green)
Liana West (G)
Kari Lake (R)
Kari Lake (R)
William Pounds (Independent-Green)
Kari Lake (R)
William Pounds (Independent-Green)
Liana West (G)
Kari Lake (R)
Kari Lake (R)
William Pounds (Independent-Green)
Kari Lake (R)
Kari Lake (R)
William Pounds (Independent-Green)
William Pounds (Independent-Green)
Kari Lake (R)
Kari Lake (R)
Kari Lake (R)
William Pounds (Independent-Green)
Liana West (G)
Kari Lake (R)
William Pounds (Independent-Green)
Liana West (G)
- Educating All Arizonans
- Ensuring clean water
- Public transportation
- Universal Childcare
- Universal Healthcare
Kari Lake (R)
William Pounds (Independent-Green)
Kari Lake (R)
William Pounds (Independent-Green)
William Pounds (Independent-Green)
Kari Lake (R)
William Pounds (Independent-Green)
Liana West (G)
Kari Lake (R)
William Pounds (Independent-Green)
Liana West (G)
Kari Lake (R)
William Pounds (Independent-Green)
Liana West (G)
https://www.azcc.gov/utilities/electric/renewable-energy-standard-and-tariff
I am the only climate candidate willing to find real solutions. Join my campaign!Kari Lake (R)
Campaign advertisements
This section includes a selection of up to three campaign advertisements per candidate released in this race, as well as links to candidates' YouTube, Vimeo, and/or Facebook video pages. If you are aware of other links that should be included, pleaseemail us.
Katie Hobbs
View more ads here:
Kari Lake
View more ads here:
Noteworthy endorsements
If you are aware of endorsements that should be included, pleaseemail us.
Election competitiveness
Polls
Polls are conducted with a variety of methodologies and havemargins of error orcredibility intervals.[9] The Pew Research Center wrote, "A margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points at the 95% confidence level means that if we fielded the same survey 100 times, we would expect the result to be within 3 percentage points of the true population value 95 of those times."[10] For tips on reading polls fromFiveThirtyEight,click here. For tips from Pew,click here.
Below we provide results for polls that are included in polling aggregation fromFiveThirtyEight andRealClearPolitics, when available.Click here to read aboutFiveThirtyEight's criteria for including polls in its aggregation. We only report polls for which we can find a margin of error or credibility interval.
| Arizona gubernatorial election, 2022: General election polls | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | Date | Katie Hobbs | Kari Lake | Undecided/Other | Margin of error | Sample size[11] | Sponsor[12] | |
| InsiderAdvantage | October 24-25, 2022 | 43% | 54% | 2% | ± 4.2% | 550 LV | KSAZ-TV (Phoenix) | |
| Data Orbital | October 17-19, 2022 | 44% | 47% | 6% | ± 2.9% | 1,078 LV | The Daily Wire | |
| Susquehanna Polling & Research | October 14-18, 2022 | 48% | 47% | 4%[13] | ± 4% | 600 LV | The Federalist | |
| Trafalgar Group | October 16-17, 2022 | 46% | 49% | -- | ± 2.9% | 550 LV | The Daily Wire | |
| Data for Progress | October 11-17, 2022 | 46% | 50% | 4%[14] | ± 3% | 893 LV | ||
| Click [show] to see older poll results | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | Date | Katie Hobbs | Kari Lake | Barry J. Hess | Undecided/Other | Margin of error | Sample size[15] | Sponsor[16] |
| Wick | October 8-14, 2022 | 48% | 47% | -- | 5.1% | ±3.77% | 1,058 LV | N/A |
| OH Predictive Insights | October 4-6, 2022 | 44% | 47% | -- | 9% | ±3.77% | 674 RV | N/A |
| SSRS | September 26-October 2, 2022 | 49% | 44% | -- | -- | ± 4.6% | 900 RV | CNN |
| Trafalgar Group | September 14-17, 2022 | 45.6% | 50% | -- | 4.4 | ± 2.9% | 1,080 LV | N/A |
| Trafalgar Group | August 22-23, 2022 | 46% | 47% | 3% | 5.1% | ± 2.9% | 1,074 LV | N/A |
| Fox News | August 12-16, 2022 | 47% | 44% | -- | 9%[17] | ± 3.0 | 1,012 RV | N/A |
| Fox News | August 12-16, 2022 | 47% | 44% | -- | 9%[18] | ± 3.0 | 1,012 RV | N/A |
The chart below shows RealClearPolitics polling averages in this race over time.
Race ratings
- See also:Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets:The Cook Political Report,Inside Elections,Sabato's Crystal Ball, andDDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe andSolid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[19]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[20][21][22]
| Race ratings: Arizona gubernatorial election, 2022 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
| November 8, 2022 | November 1, 2022 | October 25, 2022 | October 18, 2022 | ||||||
| The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter | Toss-up | Toss-up | Toss-up | Toss-up | |||||
| Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Toss-up | Toss-up | Toss-up | Toss-up | |||||
| Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Lean Republican | Toss-up | Toss-up | Toss-up | |||||
| Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week. | |||||||||
Election spending
Campaign finance
General election
Democratic primary
Republican primary
Republican-held governorship in state Biden won
This is one ofsix governorships Republicans were defending in states PresidentJoe Biden (D) won in2020:Arizona,Georgia,Maryland,Massachusetts,New Hampshire, andVermont.
Democrats were defending one governorship in a state thatDonald Trump (R) won in 2020:Kansas.
The table below show which states held gubernatorial elections in 2022 and the last presidential and gubernatorial margin of victory in each. Click [show] on the right below to expand the table.
| Gubernatorial elections, 2022 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| State | Incumbent | Last time office flipped | 2020 presidential result | 2018 gubernatorial result[23] | |
| Alabama | Kay Ivey | 2002 | R+25.4 | R+19.2 | |
| Alaska | Mike Dunleavy | 2018 | R+10.0 | R+8.6 | |
| Arizona | Doug Ducey | 2009 | D+0.3 | R+17.8 | |
| Arkansas | Asa Hutchinson | 2014 | R+27.6 | R+33.7 | |
| California | Gavin Newsom | 2010 | D+29.2 | D+18.6 | |
| Colorado | Jared Polis | 2006 | D+13.5 | D+7.8 | |
| Connecticut | Ned Lamont | 2010 | D+20.1 | D+2.6 | |
| Florida | Ron DeSantis | 2010 | R+3.3 | R+0.4 | |
| Georgia | Brian Kemp | 2002 | D+0.2 | R+1.4 | |
| Hawaii | David Ige | 2010 | D+29.4 | D+29.0 | |
| Idaho | Brad Little | 1994 | R+30.7 | R+22.1 | |
| Illinois | J.B. Pritzker | 2018 | D+17.0 | D+15.0 | |
| Iowa | Kim Reynolds | 2010 | R+8.2 | R+3.0 | |
| Kansas | Laura Kelly | 2018 | R+14.6 | D+4.5 | |
| Maine | Janet Mills | 2018 | D+9.1 | D+7.6 | |
| Maryland | Larry Hogan | 2014 | D+33.2 | R+13.6 | |
| Massachusetts | Charles D. Baker | 2014 | D+33.5 | R+33.8 | |
| Michigan | Gretchen Whitmer | 2018 | D+2.8 | D+9.5 | |
| Minnesota | Tim Walz | 2010 | D+7.1 | D+11.5 | |
| Nebraska | Pete Ricketts | 1998 | R+19.1 | R+18.8 | |
| Nevada | Steve Sisolak | 2018 | D+2.4 | D+4.1 | |
| New Hampshire | Chris Sununu | 2016 | D+7.3 | R+31.7 | |
| New Mexico | Michelle Lujan Grisham | 2018 | D+10.8 | D+14.2 | |
| New York | Kathy Hochul | 2006 | D+23.2 | D+22.2 | |
| Ohio | Mike DeWine | 2010 | R+8.1 | R+4.3 | |
| Oklahoma | Kevin Stitt | 2010 | R+33.1 | R+12.1 | |
| Oregon | Kate Brown | 1986 | D+16.1 | D+6.1 | |
| Pennsylvania | Tom Wolf | 2014 | D+1.2 | D+16.8 | |
| Rhode Island | Daniel McKee | 2010 | D+20.8 | D+15.3 | |
| South Carolina | Henry McMaster | 2002 | R+11.7 | R+8.0 | |
| South Dakota | Kristi Noem | 1978 | R+26.2 | R+3.4 | |
| Tennessee | Bill Lee | 2010 | R+23.2 | R+21.1 | |
| Texas | Greg Abbott | 1994 | R+5.6 | R+13.4 | |
| Vermont | Phil Scott | 2016 | D+35.1 | R+41.1 | |
| Wisconsin | Tony Evers | 2018 | D+0.7 | D+1.2 | |
| Wyoming | Mark Gordon | 2010 | R+43.1 | R+39.7 | |
| * denotes a term-limited incumbent. | |||||
Election analysis
Click the tabs below to view information about demographics, past elections, and partisan control of the state.
- Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the state.
- Statewide elections - Information about recent U.S. Senate and gubernatorial elections in the state.
- State partisanship - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
- Demographics - Information about the state's demographics and how they compare to the country as a whole.
Presidential elections
Cook PVI by congressional district
| Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index for Arizona, 2022 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| District | Incumbent | Party | PVI |
| Arizona's 1st | David Schweikert | Republican | R+2 |
| Arizona's 2nd | Tom O'Halleran | Democratic | R+6 |
| Arizona's 3rd | Ruben Gallego | Democratic | D+24 |
| Arizona's 4th | Greg Stanton | Democratic | D+2 |
| Arizona's 5th | Andy Biggs | Republican | R+11 |
| Arizona's 6th | Open | Democratic | R+3 |
| Arizona's 7th | Raul Grijalva | Democratic | D+15 |
| Arizona's 8th | Debbie Lesko | Republican | R+10 |
| Arizona's 9th | Paul Gosar | Republican | R+16 |
2020 presidential results by 2022 congressional district lines
| 2020 presidential results in congressional districts based on 2022 district lines, Arizona[24] | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| District | Joe Biden![]() | Donald Trump![]() | ||
| Arizona's 1st | 50.1% | 48.6% | ||
| Arizona's 2nd | 45.3% | 53.2% | ||
| Arizona's 3rd | 74.5% | 23.9% | ||
| Arizona's 4th | 54.2% | 43.9% | ||
| Arizona's 5th | 41.0% | 57.4% | ||
| Arizona's 6th | 49.3% | 49.2% | ||
| Arizona's 7th | 65.6% | 32.9% | ||
| Arizona's 8th | 42.5% | 56.1% | ||
| Arizona's 9th | 36.4% | 62.2% | ||
2012-2020
How a state's counties vote in a presidential election and the size of those counties can provide additional insights into election outcomes at other levels of government including statewide and congressional races. Below, four categories are used to describe each county's voting pattern over the 2012, 2016, and 2020 presidential elections:Solid,Trending,Battleground, andNew. Click [show] on the table below for examples:
| County-level voting pattern categories | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | |||||||
| Status | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 | ||||
| Solid Democratic | D | D | D | ||||
| Trending Democratic | R | D | D | ||||
| Battleground Democratic | D | R | D | ||||
| New Democratic | R | R | D | ||||
| Republican | |||||||
| Status | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 | ||||
| Solid Republican | R | R | R | ||||
| Trending Republican | D | R | R | ||||
| Battleground Republican | R | D | R | ||||
| New Republican | D | D | R | ||||
Following the 2020 presidential election,61.8% of Arizonans lived inMaricopa County, the state'sone New Democratic county, which voted for the Democratic presidential candidate for the first time in 2020 after voting for the Republican in the preceding two cycles, and20.0% lived in one of10 Solid Republican counties. Overall, Arizona wasNew Democratic, having voted forMitt Romney (R) in 2012,Donald Trump (R) in 2016, andJoe Biden (D) in 2020. Use the table below to view the total number of each type of county in Arizona following the 2020 election as well as the overall percentage of the state population located in each county type.
| Arizona county-level statistics, 2020 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Democratic | 1 | 61.8% | |||||
| Solid Republican | 10 | 20.0% | |||||
| Solid Democratic | 4 | 18.2% | |||||
| Total voted Democratic | 5 | 80.0% | |||||
| Total voted Republican | 10 | 20.0% | |||||
Historical voting trends
Arizona presidential election results (1900-2020)
- 9Democratic wins
- 19Republican wins
| Year | 1900 | 1904 | 1908 | 1912 | 1916 | 1920 | 1924 | 1928 | 1932 | 1936 | 1940 | 1944 | 1948 | 1952 | 1956 | 1960 | 1964 | 1968 | 1972 | 1976 | 1980 | 1984 | 1988 | 1992 | 1996 | 2000 | 2004 | 2008 | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winning Party | N/A | N/A | N/A | D | D | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | R | R | R | R | R | D |
Statewide elections
This section details the results of the five most recent U.S. Senate and gubernatorial elections held in the state.
U.S. Senate elections
The table below details the vote in the five most recent U.S. Senate races in Arizona.
| U.S. Senate election results in Arizona | ||
|---|---|---|
| Race | Winner | Runner up |
| 2020 | 51.2%![]() | 48.8%![]() |
| 2018 | 50.0%![]() | 47.6%![]() |
| 2016 | 53.7%![]() | 40.8%![]() |
| 2012 | 49.2%![]() | 46.1%![]() |
| 2010 | 59.2%![]() | 34.7%![]() |
| Average | 52.7 | 43.6 |
Gubernatorial elections
- See also:Governor of Arizona
The table below details the vote in the five most recent gubernatorial elections in Arizona.
| Gubernatorial election results in Arizona | ||
|---|---|---|
| Race | Winner | Runner up |
| 2018 | 56.0%![]() | 41.8%![]() |
| 2014 | 53.4%![]() | 41.6%![]() |
| 2010 | 54.3%![]() | 42.4%![]() |
| 2006 | 62.6%![]() | 35.4%![]() |
| 2002 | 46.2%![]() | 45.2%![]() |
| Average | 54.5 | 41.3 |
State partisanship
Congressional delegation
The table below displays the partisan composition of Arizona's congressional delegation as of November 2022.
| Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Arizona, November 2022 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Party | U.S. Senate | U.S. House | Total |
| Democratic | 2 | 5 | 7 |
| Republican | 0 | 4 | 4 |
| Independent | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Vacancies | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total | 2 | 9 | 11 |
State executive
The table below displays the officeholders in Arizona's top three state executive offices as of November 2022.
| State executive officials in Arizona, November 2022 | |
|---|---|
| Office | Officeholder |
| Governor | Doug Ducey |
| Secretary of State | Katie Hobbs |
| Attorney General | Mark Brnovich |
State legislature
The tables below highlight the partisan composition of theArizona State Legislature as of November 2022.
Arizona State Senate
| Party | As of November 2022 | |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 14 | |
| Republican Party | 16 | |
| Vacancies | 0 | |
| Total | 30 | |
Arizona House of Representatives
| Party | As of November 2022 | |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 29 | |
| Republican Party | 31 | |
| Vacancies | 0 | |
| Total | 60 | |
Trifecta control
As of November 2022, Arizona was aRepublican trifecta, with majorities in both chambers of the state legislature and control of the governorship. The table below displays the historical trifecta status of the state.
Arizona Party Control: 1992-2022
No Democratic trifectas • Twenty-two years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
Demographics
The table below details demographic data in Arizona and compares it to the broader United States as of 2019.
| Demographic Data for Arizona | ||
|---|---|---|
| Arizona | United States | |
| Population | 7,151,502 | 331,449,281 |
| Land area (sq mi) | 113,654 | 3,531,905 |
| Race and ethnicity** | ||
| White | 73.8% | 70.4% |
| Black/African American | 4.5% | 12.6% |
| Asian | 3.3% | 5.6% |
| Native American | 4.3% | 0.8% |
| Pacific Islander | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Other (single race) | 6.9% | 5.1% |
| Multiple | 7% | 5.2% |
| Hispanic/Latino | 31.5% | 18.2% |
| Education | ||
| High school graduation rate | 87.9% | 88.5% |
| College graduation rate | 30.3% | 32.9% |
| Income | ||
| Median household income | $61,529 | $64,994 |
| Persons below poverty level | 14.1% | 12.8% |
| Source: population provided by U.S. Census Bureau,"Decennial Census" (2020). Other figures provided by U.S. Census Bureau,"American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2015-2020). | ||
| **Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the censushere. | ||
Election context
Ballot access requirements
The table below details filing requirements for gubernatorial candidates in Arizona in the 2022 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Arizona, clickhere.
| Filing requirements for gubernatorial candidates, 2022 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| State | Office | Party | Signatures required | Filing fee | Filing deadline | Source | Notes |
| Arizona | Governor | Ballot-qualified party | 0.25% of qualified signers in the state | N/A | 4/4/2022 | Source | |
| Arizona | Governor | Unaffiliated | 3% of total registered voters in the state who are not members of a ballot-qualified political party | N/A | 4/4/2022 | Source | |
District history
Past elections
2018
- See also:Arizona gubernatorial election, 2018
General election
General election for Governor of Arizona
IncumbentDoug Ducey defeatedDavid Garcia andAngel Torres in the general election for Governor of Arizona on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | Doug Ducey (R) | 56.0 | 1,330,863 | |
| David Garcia (D) | 41.8 | 994,341 | ||
| Angel Torres (G) | 2.1 | 50,962 | ||
Incumbents arebolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source | Total votes: 2,376,166 (100.00% precincts reporting) | |||
= candidate completed theBallotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you,complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data?Contact our sales team. | ||||
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Noah Dyer (Independent)
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for Governor of Arizona
David Garcia defeatedSteve Farley andKelly Fryer in the Democratic primary for Governor of Arizona on August 28, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | David Garcia | 50.6 | 255,555 | |
| Steve Farley | 32.3 | 163,072 | ||
Kelly Fryer ![]() | 17.2 | 86,810 | ||
There were noincumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source | Total votes: 505,437 (100.00% precincts reporting) | |||
= candidate completed theBallotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you,complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data?Contact our sales team. | ||||
Republican primary election
Republican primary for Governor of Arizona
IncumbentDoug Ducey defeatedKen Bennett in the Republican primary for Governor of Arizona on August 28, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | Doug Ducey | 70.7 | 463,672 | |
| Ken Bennett | 29.3 | 191,775 | ||
Incumbents arebolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source | Total votes: 655,447 (100.00% precincts reporting) | |||
= candidate completed theBallotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you,complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data?Contact our sales team. | ||||
Libertarian primary election
No Libertarian candidates ran in the primary.
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Barry J. Hess (L)
- Merissa Hamilton (L)
- Jeff Funicello (L)
- Kevin McCormick (L)
2014
- See also:Arizona Gubernatorial election, 2014
| Governor of Arizona, 2014 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
| Republican | 53.4% | 805,062 | ||
| Democratic | Fred DuVal | 41.6% | 626,921 | |
| Libertarian | Barry J. Hess | 3.8% | 57,337 | |
| Americans Elect | J.L. Mealer | 1% | 15,432 | |
| Nonpartisan | Write-ins | 0.1% | 1,664 | |
| Total Votes | 1,506,416 | |||
| Election results viaArizona Secretary of State | ||||
2022 battleground elections
- See also:Battlegrounds
This election was abattleground race. Other 2022 battleground elections included:
- Kansas Treasurer election, 2022
- Missouri Auditor election, 2022
- Ohio gubernatorial and lieutenant gubernatorial election, 2022 (May 3 Republican primary)
- Oregon's 6th Congressional District election, 2022 (May 17 Democratic primary)
- United States Senate election in North Carolina, 2022 (May 17 Republican primary)
See also
External links
Footnotes
- ↑KTAR News, "Democratic Arizona gubernatorial Hobbs vows to protect women, providers following abortion ruling," June 25, 2022
- ↑12 News Youtube Channel, "One-on-one with Arizona gubernatorial candidate Katie Hobbs," June 26, 2022
- ↑12 News, "Obama pledges support for Democrat Katie Hobbs in Arizona's governor race," October 20, 2022
- ↑Kari Lake 2022 campaign website, "Kari Lake Bio," accessed June 29, 2022
- ↑Kari Lake 2022 campaign website, "Issues," accessed August 25, 2022
- ↑azcentral.com, "Who is Kari Lake? 5 things to know about Arizona's Republican governor nominee," August 6, 2022
- ↑RealClear Politics, "AZ GOP Candidate Kari Lake: Inflation and Border Disaster Stem Directly From Corrupt 2020 Election," June 28, 2022
- ↑azcentral.com, "Kari Lake gets coveted endorsement from former President Trump in Arizona governor's race," September 28, 2021
- ↑For more information on the difference between margins of error and credibility intervals, see explanations from theAmerican Association for Public Opinion Research andIpsos.
- ↑Pew Research Center, "5 key things to know about the margin of error in election polls," September 8, 2016
- ↑RV=Registered Voters
LV=Likely Voters - ↑The sponsor is the person or group that funded all or part of the poll.
- ↑"Not sure": 3.4%; "Other": .6%
- ↑"Not sure"
- ↑RV=Registered Voters
LV=Likely Voters - ↑The sponsor is the person or group that funded all or part of the poll.
- ↑includes responses to "Other," "Wouldn't vote," and "Don't know"
- ↑includes responses to "Other," "Wouldn't vote," and "Don't know"
- ↑Inside Electionsalso usesTiltratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑2020 election for New Hampshire and Vermont.
- ↑Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' presidential results by congressional district for 2020, 2016, and 2012," accessed September 9, 2022





