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Arizona gubernatorial election, 2022

From Ballotpedia


2026
2018
Governor of Arizona
Ballotpedia Election Coverage Badge.png
Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: April 4, 2022
Primary: August 2, 2022
General: November 8, 2022

Pre-election incumbent(s):
Doug Ducey (Republican)
How to vote
Poll times: 6 a.m. to 7 p.m.
Voting in Arizona
Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Toss-up
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Lean Republican
Inside Elections: Toss-up
Ballotpedia analysis
Federal and state primary competitiveness
State executive elections in 2022
Impact of term limits in 2022
State government trifectas
State government triplexes
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2022
Arizona
executive elections
Governor

Attorney General
Secretary of State
Treasurer
Superintendent of Public Instruction
Corporation Commission (2 seats)
Mine Inspector

Katie Hobbs (D) defeatedKari Lake (R) and seven other candidates in the general election forgovernor of Arizona on November 8, 2022.Doug Ducey (R) was not able to run for re-election due toterm limits.

Hobbs, a former social worker, was thesecretary of state at the time of the election. She was first elected to the position in2018. Previously, Hobbs served in theArizona State Senate from 2013 to 2019. She also served in theArizona House of Representatives from 2011 to 2013. Hobbs said she would "veto unabashedly any further restrictions on access to reproductive health care, whether that’s family planning, birth control or further abortion restrictions.”[1] Hobbs also campaigned on border security, saying she would work "in coordination with those border communities, especially law enforcement, about the resources and support we can provide from the state to make sure that they have the tools they need to keep their communities safe."[2] Former PresidentBarack Obama (D) endorsed Hobbs on October 20, 2022.[3]

Lake, a former news anchor for Fox 10 News inPhoenix, said she was "running ... on a platform of common sense conservatism dedicated to individual liberties, low taxes, limited regulation, and protecting Arizona's great Western heritage."[4] Lake campaigned on border security, addressing homelessness, banning critical race theory in school curriculums, and school choice.[5][6] On protecting the border, Lake said, "After I take my hand off the Bible, we are going to issue a declaration of invasion. We are going to finish President Trump's wall, and we are going to send our armed National Guard to the border and stop people from coming across."[7] Former PresidentDonald Trump (R) endorsed Lake in September 2021.[8]

Steph Denny (R),Alice Novoa (R),Liana West (G),William Pounds (Independent-Green Party),Mikaela Lutes-Burton (L),Anthony Camboni (Independent), andRayshawn Merrill (Independent) ran as write-in candidates.

Kari Lake (R),Liana West (G), andWilliam Pounds (Independent-Green Party) completedBallotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Click on a candidate's name to view that candidate's responses.

This was one of36 gubernatorial elections that took place place in 2022. The governor serves as a state's top executive official and is the only executive office that is elected in all 50 states. At the time of the 2022 elections, there were 28 Republican governors and 22 Democratic governors. Clickhere for a map with links to our coverage of all 50 states' responses to the pandemic andhere for an overview of all 36 gubernatorial elections that took place in 2022.

Heading into the 2022 elections, there were 23 Republican trifectas, 14 Democratic trifectas, and 13 divided governments where neither party held trifecta control. There were 23 Republican triplexes, 18 Democratic triplexes, and nine divided governments where neither party held triplex control.

Astate government trifecta refers to a situation where one party controls a state's governorship and majorities in both chambers of the state legislature. Astate government triplex refers to a situation where the governor, attorney general, and secretary of state are all members of the same political party.

For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:


Contents

Candidates and election results

General election

General election for Governor of Arizona

The following candidates ran in the general election for Governor of Arizona on November 8, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Katie Hobbs
Katie Hobbs (D)
 
50.3
 
1,287,891
Image of Kari Lake
Kari Lake (R) Candidate Connection
 
49.6
 
1,270,774
Image of Liana West
Liana West (G) (Write-in) Candidate Connection
 
0.0
 
254
Mikaela Lutes-Burton (L) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
213
Image of William Pounds
William Pounds (Independent-Green Party) (Write-in) Candidate Connection
 
0.0
 
139
Steph Denny (R) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
74
Alice Novoa (R) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
55
Rayshawn Merrill (Independent) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
44
Anthony Camboni (Independent) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
41

Ballotpedia Logo

There were noincumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 2,559,485
Candidate Connection = candidate completed theBallotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you,complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data?Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for Governor of Arizona

Katie Hobbs defeatedMarco Lopez andAaron Lieberman (Unofficially withdrew) in the Democratic primary for Governor of Arizona on August 2, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Katie Hobbs
Katie Hobbs
 
72.3
 
431,059
Image of Marco Lopez
Marco Lopez Candidate Connection
 
22.8
 
136,090
Image of Aaron Lieberman
Aaron Lieberman (Unofficially withdrew)
 
4.8
 
28,878

Ballotpedia Logo

There were noincumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 596,027
Candidate Connection = candidate completed theBallotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you,complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data?Contact our sales team.

Republican primary election

Republican primary for Governor of Arizona

The following candidates ran in the Republican primary for Governor of Arizona on August 2, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Kari Lake
Kari Lake Candidate Connection
 
48.0
 
398,860
Image of Karrin Taylor Robson
Karrin Taylor Robson
 
43.1
 
358,682
Image of Matt Salmon
Matt Salmon (Unofficially withdrew)
 
3.7
 
30,704
Image of Scott Neely
Scott Neely Candidate Connection
 
3.1
 
25,876
Image of Paola Tulliani-Zen
Paola Tulliani-Zen Candidate Connection
 
2.1
 
17,281
Carlos Roldan (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
42
Alex Schatz (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
39
Image of Patrick Finerd
Patrick Finerd (Write-in) Candidate Connection
 
0.0
 
24

Ballotpedia Logo

There were noincumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 831,508
Candidate Connection = candidate completed theBallotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you,complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data?Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Libertarian primary election

Libertarian primary for Governor of Arizona

Barry J. Hess advanced from the Libertarian primary for Governor of Arizona on August 2, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Barry J. Hess
Barry J. Hess (Write-in)
 
100.0
 
550

Ballotpedia Logo

There were noincumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 550
Candidate Connection = candidate completed theBallotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you,complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data?Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates


Results analysis

Echelon Insights, a polling and data analysis firm, published an analysis deck calledSplit Ticket Atlas: Comparative Republican Presidential, Gubernatorial, and Senate Candidate Performance, 2020-2022 in March 2023. The report compared the performance of Republican candidates in 2022 statewide elections. Clickhere to view the full analysis.

This analysis found that, compared to 2022 senatorial candidateBlake Masters (R), Lake received 108,395 more votes. The largest differences were in Maricopa (61,271) and Pima (18,433) counties. Masters came closest to Lake's vote total in Greenlee County (188 votes).

Know of additional analysis related to this election? Pleaseemail us.

Candidate comparison

Candidate profiles

This section includes candidate profiles that may be created in one of two ways: either the candidate completedBallotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, or Ballotpedia staff may compile a profile based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements after identifying the candidate as noteworthy. For more on how we select candidates to include, clickhere.

Image of Katie Hobbs

WebsiteFacebookX

Party:Democratic Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: 

Biography:  Hobbs earned a bachelor's degree in social work from Nothern Arizona University and a master's degree in social work from Airzona State University. Her professional experience includes working as a social worker and as the chief compliance officer for the Sojourner Center, a domestic violence shelter.



Key Messages

The following key messages were curated by Ballotpedia staff. For more on how we identify key messages,click here.


Hobbs has said she will "fearlessly work to increase access to abortion services and reproductive care, use my veto pen to oppose any restrictive and extreme measures coming from the legislature, and make sure that women and families have the resources they need to thrive right here in Arizona."


Hobbs has said Congress should pass comprehensive immigration reform, and said she will "use the tools at my disposal to bring resources to our border communities and provide meaningful relief for Arizonans suffering the consequences of decades of federal inaction," including increasing funding for local law enforcement.


Hobbs has said she will hire "women and people from underrepresented communities" to make state government more inclusive and invest in minority-owned businesses and expand diversity in STEM jobs "to build an economy in which the doors of opportunity are wide open for women and people of color." 


Show sources

This information was current as of the candidate's run for Governor of Arizona in 2022.

Image of Kari Lake

WebsiteFacebookXYouTube

Party:Republican Party

Incumbent: No

Submitted Biography "Kari Lake, the former anchor for Fox 10 News in Phoenix, became a symbol of truth in journalism when she walked away from the mainstream media despite being number one in the ratings for more than two decades.Now she's running for Governor of Arizona on a platform of common sense conservatism dedicated to individual liberties, low taxes, limited regulation, and protecting Arizona's great Western heritage.Kari Lake continues to be a voice for the silent majority suffering at the hands of cancel culture, critical race theory, and the devastating effects progressive policies are piling up on America's formerly great cities."


Key Messages

To read this candidate's full survey responses,click here.


Securing our Border is essential for the safety and security of Arizona's future. I will finish Trump's Wall & stop Biden's cartel-controlled flood at our borders


Secure elections are essential to preserve our Republic, and our state.


Arizona faces enormous challenges, we need a visionary leader to take them head-on

This information was current as of the candidate's run for Governor of Arizona in 2022.

Image of William Pounds

WebsiteFacebookXYouTube

Party:Independent-Green Party

Incumbent: No

Submitted Biography "I'm former Co-Chair of Jesse Ventura's 2020 Presidential exploratory committee and former campaign director for Cynthia McKinney's Vice-Presidential campaign."


Key Messages

To read this candidate's full survey responses,click here.


I'm running to prop up a new Green Party in Arizona and pledge that party's ballot line to Jesse Ventura in 2024


I want to deliver the long due right of collective bargaining to all Arizona employees


I want Arizona to power the nation with solar panels on every Arizona household and business possible

This information was current as of the candidate's run for Governor of Arizona in 2022.

Image of Liana West

WebsiteX

Party:Green Party

Incumbent: No

Submitted Biography "My name is Liana West, I am a working class activist who is running as an official Write-in candidate for Governor of Arizona in the 2022 election. I believe that housing is a human right. I believe that clean water and air is a human right. I believe that corporations do NOT have the right to free speech the same as the workers should have. Unionization has proven to be an effective tool to improve worker's rights. Education and voting rights are necessary in any form of democracy. We need a new generation of leadership in government willing to listen to the workers! I seek to earn the votes of fellow progressive thinkers in Arizona. Will you join me?"


Key Messages

To read this candidate's full survey responses,click here.


The two party system is currently owned and funded by corporations and lobbyists who donate to BOTH of the major political parties. That is why the current administration cannot offer Universal Healthcare; because corporations oppose it.


am the only climate candidate who opposes Green Capitalism. WE cannot prevent this climate crisis while focusing on profits.


Education based on science and a secular stance on separation of church and state

This information was current as of the candidate's run for Governor of Arizona in 2022.

Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses

Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. The section below shows responses from candidates in this race who completedBallotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.

Survey responses from candidates in this race

Click on a candidate's name to visit their Ballotpedia page.

Note: Ballotpedia reserves the right to edit Candidate Connection survey responses. Any edits made by Ballotpedia will be clearly marked with [brackets] for the public. If the candidate disagrees with an edit, he or she may request the full removal of the survey response from Ballotpedia.org. Ballotpedia does not edit or correct typographical errors unless the candidate's campaign requests it.

Expand all |Collapse all

Securing our Border is essential for the safety and security of Arizona's future. I will finish Trump's Wall & stop Biden's cartel-controlled flood at our borders

Secure elections are essential to preserve our Republic, and our state.

Arizona faces enormous challenges, we need a visionary leader to take them head-on
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/William_Pounds1.jpeg

William Pounds (Independent-Green)

I'm running to prop up a new Green Party in Arizona and pledge that party's ballot line to Jesse Ventura in 2024

I want to deliver the long due right of collective bargaining to all Arizona employees

I want Arizona to power the nation with solar panels on every Arizona household and business possible
The two party system is currently owned and funded by corporations and lobbyists who donate to BOTH of the major political parties. That is why the current administration cannot offer Universal Healthcare; because corporations oppose it.

am the only climate candidate who opposes Green Capitalism. WE cannot prevent this climate crisis while focusing on profits.

Education based on science and a secular stance on separation of church and state
Securing our border & our elections while locating and developing a new source of fresh water, reducing inflation and out-of-control housing costs, quality education with a renewed focus on technical education, creating smart economic growth, addressing our homelessness crisis, ensuring our businesses, churches and gyms are never closed again, and putting a stop to spiraling crime rates that are making our cities and towns less safe.Arizona faces enormous challenges. We cannot continue to do business and usual and expect anything to change. Our next leader must be a visionary with the courage to take them head-on.
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/William_Pounds1.jpeg

William Pounds (Independent-Green)

I'm most interested in labor rights and environmental issues.
As an animal rights’ activist I am humble enough to recognize that I have a responsibility to speak up for the voiceless. I recognize the current housing crisis is hurting Arizonans, and if left unchecked will result in an economic disaster. I want radical change in our government with fresh ideas and new perspectives, because what we have been experiencing is not working for 99% of our people.
President Trump. Love him or hate him, he got things done, even when everyone in the corporate media and political classes said it was impossible. Arizona needs that same type of bold leadership.
Read and explore outside of traditional media sources who have been wrong about almost everything for years now. Legacy media is about ratings, not truth.
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/William_Pounds1.jpeg

William Pounds (Independent-Green)

Thinking Green! Essays on Environmentalism, Feminism, and Nonviolence by Petra Kelly.
Integrity and courage
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/William_Pounds1.jpeg

William Pounds (Independent-Green)

Integrity, honesty, and transparency.
The most valued elected officials of our time are able to listen to their constituents and provide a platform for collaboration.
I am convicted, not held back by political convention. Politics has become the art of saying everything, and accomplishing nothing. I do not accept that outcome. We need a governor with the courage to take on big challenges.
To provide smart, decisive leadership for every citizen of our state.
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/William_Pounds1.jpeg

William Pounds (Independent-Green)

The well-being of the state environment, citizens, and economy are the Governor's priority when vetting legislation.
A better state than the one we've had. But, more specifically, the next governor of Arizona must address our looming water crisis in a sustainable, permanent manner, while also working to fix Arizona's housing shortage and ensuring our next phase of growth doesn't make our state and our biggest cities unlivable the way it has on our coasts.
Production Assistant, WBHF-TV, 2 years
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/William_Pounds1.jpeg

William Pounds (Independent-Green)

I was a TSR Line Trainer for Dish Network in High School, I was employed by Dish Network for about one year.
Raising kids in an increasingly disconnected and digital world. Our kids have it tougher than we ever did, and we have to do a better job of nurturing, protecting, but also pushing them to succeed.And trying to inject some reality into an increasingly dystopian and dishonest news industry.
It means leading by working with our legislature and stakeholders to put Arizona and Arizonans first, and not being held back by political convention or convenience.
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/William_Pounds1.jpeg

William Pounds (Independent-Green)

It means the office is highest responsibility as it is equal in power to the many individuals whom occupy the entire legislature.
That means that the governor is obligated to listen to the needs of the people living in Arizona. Special interests groups who want to harvest our depleting water supply will not have a seat at my table. Corporations willing to prioritize profits over human dignity will not have a voice in my administration.
Protecting the lives and livelihoods of Arizonans by securing our border, elections, and the safety of our citizens, and preserving our quality of life for future generations.
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/William_Pounds1.jpeg

William Pounds (Independent-Green)

Overseeing the safety and stability of the citizenry by signing on to the legislation that benefits the people and vetoing corrupted legislation.
*Housing All Arizonans
  • Educating All Arizonans
  • Ensuring clean water
  • Public transportation
  • Universal Childcare
  • Universal Healthcare
The Governor should lead the budgeting process, but be willing to work closely with the legislature to ensure the fair and principled allocation of resources while maintaining a clear-eyed focus on keeping taxes and regulations as low and reasonable as possible to encourage continued economic growth.
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/William_Pounds1.jpeg

William Pounds (Independent-Green)

Fifty percent involvement, I would maintain.
Arizona's Constitution limits line item vetoes to appropriations items, so my focus would be on identifying and eliminating wasteful or unnecessary spending that is tied into otherwise valuable efforts.
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/William_Pounds1.jpeg

William Pounds (Independent-Green)

Line item vetos allow governors to keep out pork from becoming law without vetoing the entire legislative package. Pork barrel politics is reprehensible and I would prefer single items be passed along to the Governor's desk and not legislative packages.
The Governor should work hand-in-hand with the legislature. We may not always - or, depending on the individual legislator, almost ever - agree, but we can agree to sit down and listen to each other. I have pledged to meet annually with each member of the legislature to hash out our respective priorities and see what issues we may agree on and find room to work together to achieve.
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/William_Pounds1.jpeg

William Pounds (Independent-Green)

Equal in governing power.
The ideal relationship between a governor and the state legislature is where the needs of the people are more important than corporate profits. Profits for the corporation do not guarantee that the workers feels safe. It is the responsibility of our government to ensure that justice prevails.
Our independent Western heritage and the enormous diversity of our people and land.
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/William_Pounds1.jpeg

William Pounds (Independent-Green)

The fresh air.
I truly appreciate the diversity of Arizona's natural landscape. From the mountain tops of the Superstitions to the Colorado River, Arizona is beautiful. I also appreciate the freedoms that Arizonans strive to maintain.
Border security, elections integrity, water, homelessness, housing, crime...We have a huge list of major issues that the next governor cannot ignore.
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/William_Pounds1.jpeg

William Pounds (Independent-Green)

Climate change, labor rights, and workplace conditions are taking a turn for the worst. Theses are challenges which I aim to address and act on.
Specifically in the urban areas, Arizona will struggle to ensure clean drinking water is available over the next decade. Which will also negatively affect electricity generation. In 2006, the Arizona Corporate Commission approved the Renewable Energy Standard and Tariff (REST). These rules require that regulated electric utilities must generate 15 percent of their energy from renewable resources by 2025. That deadline is less than 3 years away and Arizona has not yet achieved 15% of electricity being generated by renewable energy.

https://www.azcc.gov/utilities/electric/renewable-energy-standard-and-tariff

I am the only climate candidate willing to find real solutions. Join my campaign!
Emergency orders should only be used under very limited circumstances, and for a very short period of time (maximum of 30 days) without the approval and consent of the legislature, and shutdowns of businesses, churches, and community facilities should never happen again.



Campaign advertisements

This section includes a selection of up to three campaign advertisements per candidate released in this race, as well as links to candidates' YouTube, Vimeo, and/or Facebook video pages. If you are aware of other links that should be included, pleaseemail us.


Democratic Party Katie Hobbs

August 2, 2021

View more ads here:


Republican Party Kari Lake

June 7, 2021
June 1, 2021

View more ads here:



Noteworthy endorsements

If you are aware of endorsements that should be included, pleaseemail us.

Election competitiveness

Polls

See also:Ballotpedia's approach to covering polls

Polls are conducted with a variety of methodologies and havemargins of error orcredibility intervals.[9] The Pew Research Center wrote, "A margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points at the 95% confidence level means that if we fielded the same survey 100 times, we would expect the result to be within 3 percentage points of the true population value 95 of those times."[10] For tips on reading polls fromFiveThirtyEight,click here. For tips from Pew,click here.

Below we provide results for polls that are included in polling aggregation fromFiveThirtyEight andRealClearPolitics, when available.Click here to read aboutFiveThirtyEight's criteria for including polls in its aggregation. We only report polls for which we can find a margin of error or credibility interval.


Arizona gubernatorial election, 2022: General election polls
PollDateDemocratic Party Katie HobbsRepublican Party Kari LakeUndecided/OtherMargin of errorSample size[11]Sponsor[12]
InsiderAdvantageOctober 24-25, 202243%54%2%± 4.2%550 LVKSAZ-TV (Phoenix)
Data OrbitalOctober 17-19, 202244%47%6%± 2.9%1,078 LVThe Daily Wire
Susquehanna Polling & ResearchOctober 14-18, 202248%47%4%[13]± 4%600 LVThe Federalist
Trafalgar GroupOctober 16-17, 202246%49%--± 2.9%550 LVThe Daily Wire
Data for ProgressOctober 11-17, 202246%50%4%[14]± 3%893 LV
Click [show] to see older poll results
PollDateDemocratic Party Katie HobbsRepublican Party Kari LakeLibertarian Party Barry J. HessUndecided/OtherMargin of errorSample size[15]Sponsor[16]
WickOctober 8-14, 202248%47%--5.1%±3.77%1,058 LVN/A
OH Predictive InsightsOctober 4-6, 202244%47%--9%±3.77%674 RVN/A
SSRSSeptember 26-October 2, 202249%44%----± 4.6%900 RVCNN
Trafalgar GroupSeptember 14-17, 202245.6%50%--4.4± 2.9%1,080 LVN/A
Trafalgar GroupAugust 22-23, 202246%47%3%5.1%± 2.9%1,074 LVN/A
Fox NewsAugust 12-16, 202247%44%--9%[17]± 3.01,012 RVN/A
Fox NewsAugust 12-16, 202247%44%--9%[18]± 3.01,012 RVN/A


The chart below shows RealClearPolitics polling averages in this race over time.

Race ratings

See also:Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets:The Cook Political Report,Inside Elections,Sabato's Crystal Ball, andDDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe andSolid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[19]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[20][21][22]

Race ratings: Arizona gubernatorial election, 2022
Race trackerRace ratings
November 8, 2022November 1, 2022October 25, 2022October 18, 2022
The Cook Political Report with Amy WalterToss-upToss-upToss-upToss-up
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesToss-upToss-upToss-upToss-up
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallLean RepublicanToss-upToss-upToss-up
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week.

Election spending

Campaign finance

General election

Democratic primary

Republican primary

Republican-held governorship in state Biden won

See also:States won by Joe Biden in 2020 with Republican-held governorships up for election in 2022

This is one ofsix governorships Republicans were defending in states PresidentJoe Biden (D) won in2020:Arizona,Georgia,Maryland,Massachusetts,New Hampshire, andVermont.

Democrats were defending one governorship in a state thatDonald Trump (R) won in 2020:Kansas.

The table below show which states held gubernatorial elections in 2022 and the last presidential and gubernatorial margin of victory in each. Click [show] on the right below to expand the table.

Gubernatorial elections, 2022
StateIncumbentLast time office flipped2020 presidential result2018 gubernatorial result[23]
AlabamaRepublican PartyKay Ivey2002R+25.4R+19.2
AlaskaRepublican PartyMike Dunleavy2018R+10.0R+8.6
ArizonaRepublican PartyDoug Ducey2009D+0.3R+17.8
ArkansasRepublican PartyAsa Hutchinson2014R+27.6R+33.7
CaliforniaDemocratic PartyGavin Newsom2010D+29.2D+18.6
ColoradoDemocratic PartyJared Polis2006D+13.5D+7.8
ConnecticutDemocratic PartyNed Lamont2010D+20.1D+2.6
FloridaRepublican PartyRon DeSantis2010R+3.3R+0.4
GeorgiaRepublican PartyBrian Kemp2002D+0.2R+1.4
HawaiiDemocratic PartyDavid Ige2010D+29.4D+29.0
IdahoRepublican PartyBrad Little1994R+30.7R+22.1
IllinoisDemocratic PartyJ.B. Pritzker2018D+17.0D+15.0
IowaRepublican PartyKim Reynolds2010R+8.2R+3.0
KansasDemocratic PartyLaura Kelly2018R+14.6D+4.5
MaineDemocratic PartyJanet Mills2018D+9.1D+7.6
MarylandRepublican PartyLarry Hogan2014D+33.2R+13.6
MassachusettsRepublican PartyCharles D. Baker2014D+33.5R+33.8
MichiganDemocratic PartyGretchen Whitmer2018D+2.8D+9.5
MinnesotaDemocratic PartyTim Walz2010D+7.1D+11.5
NebraskaRepublican PartyPete Ricketts1998R+19.1R+18.8
NevadaDemocratic PartySteve Sisolak2018D+2.4D+4.1
New HampshireRepublican PartyChris Sununu2016D+7.3R+31.7
New MexicoDemocratic PartyMichelle Lujan Grisham2018D+10.8D+14.2
New YorkDemocratic PartyKathy Hochul2006D+23.2D+22.2
OhioRepublican PartyMike DeWine2010R+8.1R+4.3
OklahomaRepublican PartyKevin Stitt2010R+33.1R+12.1
OregonDemocratic PartyKate Brown1986D+16.1D+6.1
PennsylvaniaDemocratic PartyTom Wolf2014D+1.2D+16.8
Rhode IslandDemocratic PartyDaniel McKee2010D+20.8D+15.3
South CarolinaRepublican PartyHenry McMaster2002R+11.7R+8.0
South DakotaRepublican PartyKristi Noem1978R+26.2R+3.4
TennesseeRepublican PartyBill Lee2010R+23.2R+21.1
TexasRepublican PartyGreg Abbott1994R+5.6R+13.4
VermontRepublican PartyPhil Scott2016D+35.1R+41.1
WisconsinDemocratic PartyTony Evers2018D+0.7D+1.2
WyomingRepublican PartyMark Gordon2010R+43.1R+39.7
* denotes a term-limited incumbent.


Election analysis

Click the tabs below to view information about demographics, past elections, and partisan control of the state.

  • Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the state.
  • Statewide elections - Information about recent U.S. Senate and gubernatorial elections in the state.
  • State partisanship - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
  • Demographics - Information about the state's demographics and how they compare to the country as a whole.

Presidential elections

See also:Presidential voting trends in Arizona andThe Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

Cook PVI by congressional district

Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index for Arizona, 2022
DistrictIncumbentPartyPVI
Arizona's 1stDavid SchweikertEnds.pngRepublicanR+2
Arizona's 2ndTom O'HalleranElectiondot.pngDemocraticR+6
Arizona's 3rdRuben GallegoElectiondot.pngDemocraticD+24
Arizona's 4thGreg StantonElectiondot.pngDemocraticD+2
Arizona's 5thAndy BiggsEnds.pngRepublicanR+11
Arizona's 6thOpenElectiondot.pngDemocraticR+3
Arizona's 7thRaul GrijalvaElectiondot.pngDemocraticD+15
Arizona's 8thDebbie LeskoEnds.pngRepublicanR+10
Arizona's 9thPaul GosarEnds.pngRepublicanR+16


2020 presidential results by 2022 congressional district lines

2020 presidential results in congressional districts based on 2022 district lines, Arizona[24]
DistrictJoe BidenDemocratic PartyDonald TrumpRepublican Party
Arizona's 1st50.1%48.6%
Arizona's 2nd45.3%53.2%
Arizona's 3rd74.5%23.9%
Arizona's 4th54.2%43.9%
Arizona's 5th41.0%57.4%
Arizona's 6th49.3%49.2%
Arizona's 7th65.6%32.9%
Arizona's 8th42.5%56.1%
Arizona's 9th36.4%62.2%


2012-2020

How a state's counties vote in a presidential election and the size of those counties can provide additional insights into election outcomes at other levels of government including statewide and congressional races. Below, four categories are used to describe each county's voting pattern over the 2012, 2016, and 2020 presidential elections:Solid,Trending,Battleground, andNew. Click [show] on the table below for examples:

County-level voting pattern categories
Democratic
Status201220162020
Solid DemocraticDDD
Trending DemocraticRDD
Battleground DemocraticDRD
New DemocraticRRD
Republican
Status201220162020
Solid RepublicanRRR
Trending RepublicanDRR
Battleground RepublicanRDR
New RepublicanDDR


Following the 2020 presidential election,61.8% of Arizonans lived inMaricopa County, the state'sone New Democratic county, which voted for the Democratic presidential candidate for the first time in 2020 after voting for the Republican in the preceding two cycles, and20.0% lived in one of10 Solid Republican counties. Overall, Arizona wasNew Democratic, having voted forMitt Romney (R) in 2012,Donald Trump (R) in 2016, andJoe Biden (D) in 2020. Use the table below to view the total number of each type of county in Arizona following the 2020 election as well as the overall percentage of the state population located in each county type.

Arizona county-level statistics, 2020
New Democratic161.8%
Solid Republican1020.0%
Solid Democratic418.2%
Total voted Democratic580.0%
Total voted Republican1020.0%

Historical voting trends

Arizona presidential election results (1900-2020)

  • 9Democratic wins
  • 19Republican wins
Year1900190419081912191619201924192819321936194019441948195219561960196419681972197619801984198819921996200020042008201220162020
Winning PartyN/AN/AN/ADDRRRDDDDDRRRRRRRRRRRDRRRRRD

Statewide elections

This section details the results of the five most recent U.S. Senate and gubernatorial elections held in the state.

U.S. Senate elections

See also:List of United States Senators from Arizona

The table below details the vote in the five most recent U.S. Senate races in Arizona.

U.S. Senate election results in Arizona
RaceWinnerRunner up
202051.2%Democratic Party48.8%Republican Party
201850.0%Democratic Party47.6%Republican Party
201653.7%Republican Party40.8%Democratic Party
201249.2%Republican Party46.1%Democratic Party
201059.2%Republican Party34.7%Democratic Party
Average52.743.6

Gubernatorial elections

See also:Governor of Arizona

The table below details the vote in the five most recent gubernatorial elections in Arizona.

Gubernatorial election results in Arizona
RaceWinnerRunner up
201856.0%Republican Party41.8%Democratic Party
201453.4%Democratic Party41.6%Republican Party
201054.3%Republican Party42.4%Democratic Party
200662.6%Democratic Party35.4%Republican Party
200246.2%Democratic Party45.2%Republican Party
Average54.541.3

State partisanship

Congressional delegation

The table below displays the partisan composition of Arizona's congressional delegation as of November 2022.

Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Arizona, November 2022
PartyU.S. SenateU.S. HouseTotal
Democratic257
Republican044
Independent000
Vacancies000
Total2911

State executive

The table below displays the officeholders in Arizona's top three state executive offices as of November 2022.

State executive officials in Arizona, November 2022
OfficeOfficeholder
GovernorRepublican PartyDoug Ducey
Secretary of StateDemocratic PartyKatie Hobbs
Attorney GeneralRepublican PartyMark Brnovich

State legislature

The tables below highlight the partisan composition of theArizona State Legislature as of November 2022.

Arizona State Senate

PartyAs of November 2022
    Democratic Party14
    Republican Party16
    Vacancies0
Total 30

Arizona House of Representatives

PartyAs of November 2022
    Democratic Party29
    Republican Party31
    Vacancies0
Total 60

Trifecta control

As of November 2022, Arizona was aRepublican trifecta, with majorities in both chambers of the state legislature and control of the governorship. The table below displays the historical trifecta status of the state.

Arizona Party Control: 1992-2022
No Democratic trifectas  •  Twenty-two years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year92939495969798990001020304050607080910111213141516171819202122
GovernorRRRRRRRRRRRDDDDDDRRRRRRRRRRRRRR
SenateDRRRRRRRRSSRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRR
HouseRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRR

Demographics

The table below details demographic data in Arizona and compares it to the broader United States as of 2019.

Demographic Data for Arizona
ArizonaUnited States
Population7,151,502331,449,281
Land area (sq mi)113,6543,531,905
Race and ethnicity**
White73.8%70.4%
Black/African American4.5%12.6%
Asian3.3%5.6%
Native American4.3%0.8%
Pacific Islander0.2%0.2%
Other (single race)6.9%5.1%
Multiple7%5.2%
Hispanic/Latino31.5%18.2%
Education
High school graduation rate87.9%88.5%
College graduation rate30.3%32.9%
Income
Median household income$61,529$64,994
Persons below poverty level14.1%12.8%
Source: population provided by U.S. Census Bureau,"Decennial Census" (2020). Other figures provided by U.S. Census Bureau,"American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2015-2020).
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the censushere.


Election context

Ballot access requirements

The table below details filing requirements for gubernatorial candidates in Arizona in the 2022 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Arizona, clickhere.

Filing requirements for gubernatorial candidates, 2022
StateOfficePartySignatures requiredFiling feeFiling deadlineSourceNotes
ArizonaGovernorBallot-qualified party0.25% of qualified signers in the stateN/A4/4/2022Source
ArizonaGovernorUnaffiliated3% of total registered voters in the state who are not members of a ballot-qualified political partyN/A4/4/2022Source

District history

Past elections

2018

See also:Arizona gubernatorial election, 2018

General election

General election for Governor of Arizona

IncumbentDoug Ducey defeatedDavid Garcia andAngel Torres in the general election for Governor of Arizona on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Doug Ducey
Doug Ducey (R)
 
56.0
 
1,330,863
Image of David Garcia
David Garcia (D)
 
41.8
 
994,341
Image of Angel Torres
Angel Torres (G)
 
2.1
 
50,962

Ballotpedia Logo

Incumbents arebolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 2,376,166
(100.00% precincts reporting)
Candidate Connection = candidate completed theBallotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you,complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data?Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for Governor of Arizona

David Garcia defeatedSteve Farley andKelly Fryer in the Democratic primary for Governor of Arizona on August 28, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of David Garcia
David Garcia
 
50.6
 
255,555
Image of Steve Farley
Steve Farley
 
32.3
 
163,072
Image of Kelly Fryer
Kelly Fryer Candidate Connection
 
17.2
 
86,810

Ballotpedia Logo

There were noincumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 505,437
(100.00% precincts reporting)
Candidate Connection = candidate completed theBallotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you,complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data?Contact our sales team.

Republican primary election

Republican primary for Governor of Arizona

IncumbentDoug Ducey defeatedKen Bennett in the Republican primary for Governor of Arizona on August 28, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Doug Ducey
Doug Ducey
 
70.7
 
463,672
Image of Ken Bennett
Ken Bennett
 
29.3
 
191,775

Ballotpedia Logo

Incumbents arebolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 655,447
(100.00% precincts reporting)
Candidate Connection = candidate completed theBallotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you,complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data?Contact our sales team.

Libertarian primary election

No Libertarian candidates ran in the primary.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

2014

See also:Arizona Gubernatorial election, 2014
Governor of Arizona, 2014
PartyCandidateVote %Votes
    RepublicanGreen check mark transparent.pngDoug Ducey53.4%805,062
    DemocraticFred DuVal41.6%626,921
    LibertarianBarry J. Hess3.8%57,337
    Americans ElectJ.L. Mealer1%15,432
    Nonpartisan Write-ins0.1%1,664
Total Votes1,506,416
Election results viaArizona Secretary of State


2022 battleground elections

See also:Battlegrounds

This election was abattleground race. Other 2022 battleground elections included:

See also

ArizonaState Executive ElectionsNews and Analysis
Seal of Arizona.png
StateExecLogo.png
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Arizona State Executive Offices
Arizona State Legislature
Arizona Courts
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Arizona elections:20262025202420232022202120202019201820172016
Party control of state government
State government trifectas
State of the state addresses
Partisan composition of governors

External links

Footnotes

  1. KTAR News, "Democratic Arizona gubernatorial Hobbs vows to protect women, providers following abortion ruling," June 25, 2022
  2. 12 News Youtube Channel, "One-on-one with Arizona gubernatorial candidate Katie Hobbs," June 26, 2022
  3. 12 News, "Obama pledges support for Democrat Katie Hobbs in Arizona's governor race," October 20, 2022
  4. Kari Lake 2022 campaign website, "Kari Lake Bio," accessed June 29, 2022
  5. Kari Lake 2022 campaign website, "Issues," accessed August 25, 2022
  6. azcentral.com, "Who is Kari Lake? 5 things to know about Arizona's Republican governor nominee," August 6, 2022
  7. RealClear Politics, "AZ GOP Candidate Kari Lake: Inflation and Border Disaster Stem Directly From Corrupt 2020 Election," June 28, 2022
  8. azcentral.com, "Kari Lake gets coveted endorsement from former President Trump in Arizona governor's race," September 28, 2021
  9. For more information on the difference between margins of error and credibility intervals, see explanations from theAmerican Association for Public Opinion Research andIpsos.
  10. Pew Research Center, "5 key things to know about the margin of error in election polls," September 8, 2016
  11. RV=Registered Voters
    LV=Likely Voters
  12. The sponsor is the person or group that funded all or part of the poll.
  13. "Not sure": 3.4%; "Other": .6%
  14. "Not sure"
  15. RV=Registered Voters
    LV=Likely Voters
  16. The sponsor is the person or group that funded all or part of the poll.
  17. includes responses to "Other," "Wouldn't vote," and "Don't know"
  18. includes responses to "Other," "Wouldn't vote," and "Don't know"
  19. Inside Electionsalso usesTiltratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
  20. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
  21. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
  22. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
  23. 2020 election for New Hampshire and Vermont.
  24. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' presidential results by congressional district for 2020, 2016, and 2012," accessed September 9, 2022
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