  |
はてなキーワード:inclusiveとは
現在進行形でイギリスに住んでるけど、ちょっといくつかのポイントを箇条書きしていきたいと思う。
・衣食住
至極当たり前なんだけど、稼ぎのレベルで生活水準は大きく変わってくる。駐在員みたいに高給取りであれば問題ないだろうけど、日系企業の現地採用は給料が安いとこが多かったりする。ここ最近は物価の上昇が著しくCost of Living Crisisが叫ばれて久しいため、懐にある程度の余裕がないとせっかく移住してもヒーヒー言う羽目になる。家賃も家の値段も高騰してるのでロンドン内の家探しはすごい大変。
物価は円が弱いこともあって体感日本の約1.5~3倍程度。ただし青果と花は安い。フルーツも日本より安いし豊富だけど、それはブランド化されてないからというのもあり、買う前に品質チェックしないと見えない部分にカビ生えてたり傷んでたりとかは普通にある。
外食も基本高い。それでも天気のいい日はうちの近所のパブやレストランは賑わってるけど。イギリスは「メシマズ」が擦られてるけど、最近は移民増加によって食文化が豊かになっており、それに伴いイギリス人の舌も肥えてきてるので美味しいところが沢山ある（でも基本高い）。Mayfair Chippyのフィッシュ&チップスとかHarwoodArmsのサンデーローストとかすごい美味しいよ（高いけど）。もちろんクオリティの低いメシもまだたくさんあるからいろいろ試してみるかグルメさんをフォローしましょう。
日本食はブームになって久しいものの、手軽に手に入る寿司はサーモンとかエビとかアボカドとか。最近はkatsuが流行ってきてるけど、日本のトンカツとは似て非なるもの。日本の食材もまぁまぁ手に入る（これに関しては後ほど）。
気候は夏は最＆高。日本と比べたら暑くなりすぎないし天気もいい日が多い。秋冬はずっとどんよりしてるからメンタルやられる人はやられる。ビタミンDのサプリ必須。あと光熱費も高騰してるので貧しい家庭は食費か光熱費かという究極の選択を迫られることもあるらしい…。
水はロンドンはかなりの硬質。ケトルとかシャワーヘッドとかガビガビになるから定期的にお酢とかで綺麗にする必要あり。髪傷みやすい人とか女性なんかは特に影響あるみたいね。男は抜け毛がすごくなるので最初ギョッとする。もちろんウォッシュレットなんてほぼありません（あっても硬質の水だと目詰まり起こすかと）。でも紅茶は硬質の水のほうが美味しい…らしい。あとビールとかワイン好きなら飲む場所だけはたくさんあるのでいいかも。
・ロンドンかそれ以外か
第一に住む場所が首都ロンドンかそれ以外かで全然違うと心得た方がいい。と言うか、ロンドンだけ異質で別の国みたいな言い方をする時もある。これはデータにも現れてて、ロンドンを差し引くとイギリス全体のGDPはアメリカの一番貧しい州以下になるらしい。そのロンドンも金融街であるシティが全部担ってるみたいな感じ。
ロンドンは人口構成も他と違って、住んでる人の実に40%がイギリス国外で生まれたForeignNational。なので街をゆく人々は千差万別、The多様性。歩いてて英語以外の言葉がすごい飛び交ってるのが面白い。
地方に関してはあまり知識がないので多くのことは言えないけど、地域によって貧富の差が激しい印象。バーミンガムとかコベントリーとかは治安も街並みも悪いと聞く。
・治安
みんな気になる安全性。個人的な経験から言うとそんなに悪くはないんじゃないかな。もちろんエリアや時間帯にもよるけど、アメリカほど命を気にするような乱射事件とかは起こらないし、たまーに銃撃事件が起きても治安悪いエリアのギャング同士の抗争とか。
一番被害に遭う確率が大きいのは窃盗、盗難系かな。最近までチャリで手に持ってるスマホを掻っ攫ってく手口がよくあったけど、警察も重い腰を挙げたのか減少傾向にあるらしい。スリもいるので当たり前だけど身の回りの品、貴重品は常に気にかけ外ポケットとかに入れないようにしましょう。
窃盗犯は明らかに盗みやすいカモを狙うので、ガード固いとこをわざわざ攻めにはいきません。
人種差別もみんな気になるところかもだけど、個人的にはそこまで明らかなやつに遭遇したことはない。地方行った時にビール片手に持ってる兄ちゃんに「ニーハオ」って声かけられた時はちょっとイラッとしたけども。
これも体感だけどやり返される可能性の少ない（と思われている）アジア系の女性は悲しいかな両方のターゲットになりやすいよね。在外邦人のX見てても嫌な思いしてるのは女性が多い印象。これは日本でも言えることだけど男女で体感治安が違うのは万国共通なのかも。
反移民感情に関しては間違いなくあるけど、afdが躍進してるドイツやルペンが支持されてるフランスなんかと比べるとマシな印象。先の暴動で難民の宿泊施設が放火されたりと言ったこともあったけど、その後キッチリ犯人や煽動者も逮捕されてるみたいだからまだそこらへんの矜持はあるんじゃないかな。15年政権握ってた保守党から左寄りの労働党に最近変わったけど、どちらかというと保守寄りな左派なので今後移民の移住・定住要件とかは厳しくしていく方針らしい。
・医療
ドイツ在住増田は医療の酷さを嘆いていたけど、イギリスはそっち方面はまだマシかと。この前子供が生まれたんだけど、医療費全部タダなんでその点はすごくお得。ただNHSが逼迫しているので、たとえ帝王切開みたいな大きな手術受けたとしてしても一晩で家帰らされる（強制ではないけど）。緊急性のない手術は数ヶ月待ちとかは普通にあるみたい。そういや一回A&E（救急科）行ったとき存在自体忘れられて8時間待たされたことあったわ…。あと耳鼻科とか皮膚科とかいった専門医に直接いけるわけではなくて、まずはGPと言われる医者に診てもらってそこから専門医に繋げてもらうシステム。なので医療は日本が断然上。その代わり医者や看護師の方々は激務よね。
イギリス全体では日本人は5万人ほどいて、ヨーロッパでは最大。ロンドン首都圏に限定すると3万人ちょっと。ちなみにその次がパリの約2万人で次がデュッセルドルフの6000人。それだけあってやっぱりよく日本人とか日本語話す人を見かける。ドーバー近くのパブで店員の白人の兄ちゃんに「もしかして日本人ですか？」って日本語で声かけられた時は流石にびっくりしたけども。でも意外と日本人街とかはない。デュッセルドルフにはあるのに…。
駐在とかの日本人はロンドンの西側に固まって住んでる印象。そっちに日本語学校とかもあるし、ガチ和食のお店とかもそっちに多い。
Japan CentreもあるしWasoとかのオンラインショップもあるんで、日本食が恋しくなった時はオプションはそれなりにあるんじゃないかな。最近はCoCo壱と丸亀製麺も進出してきてて、前者は日本の味をキープしてるけど後者はあんまりだった…。一風堂もあって味は全く一緒。
・日本と似ているのか
いくつかのコメントでイギリスは日本と似てるみたいながあったけど、個人的にはイマイチピンとこない。こっちは未だ結構な階級社会だし、あんまり似てると感じる要素は思いつかないかな。「大陸の外れにある島国」と言う点では歴史的な出来事や特徴で似通って部分はあると思う。下記動画参考。
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BQU7DPjmlaA&ab_channel=MasterofRoflness
・結論
住めばまぁまぁ都。少なくともイギリスだけはやめとけ、みたいな感じではない。物価とか生活費、家賃あたりはネック。
日本にBBCの撮影で来てた全盲のイギリス人女性レポーターが、日本は「Very accessible but not veryinclusive」と評していた。点字ブロックやエレベータのアクセスなどはとても進んでいるものの、社会全体として障害のある人々など多様性の受け入れに関してはイギリスの方が進んでいると言う意味らしい。
他にもXで「日本は暮らしやすいけど生きづらい、海外はその逆」みたいに言ってる人もいて確かになとは思う。日本で生きづらさを感じているなら外出てみるのも手よね。
Yoshihiro Mochizuki
Japanese Language Lecturer
Howdoesyour work engage with DEI topics? Couldyoushare a particularstory related toyour work in DEI?
As aJapanese language teacherat the University of Michigan, myjourney in DEIeducationhas been a profoundly enriching experience that reaches farbeyond the classroom. In 2023, I had privilege of speakingat various conferences and teacher training workshops, including delivering akeynoteaddressat the fourth Northwest ConferenceonJapanese Pedagogy hostedby the University of Washington. Thismilestone allowed me to advocate for the profound importance of DEI and socialjustice inJapanese languageeducation.
Through these experiences, I have come to a profound realization: while children and students often readily embrace DEI principles, having grown up in an era where these concepts aremore ingrained ineducation, our primaryfocus must beon theeducation of adults, particularly educators themselves.
During my presentations and workshops, I haveengaged with educators, many of whom have decades of experience. They raise questions that sometimes reveal unconscious biases or microaggressions. Yet, they openly admit feelingout of touchwith the ever-evolving landscape ofdiversity and inclusion. Theyexpress genuine concerns about their ability to relate to and support students from diverse backgrounds.
This interactionspotlights a substantial challenge facedby educatorstoday, a reminder thatthe worldis in constantflux, anditis ourshared responsibilityas educators to adapt alongsideit. These encounters are whatdrive mypassion for DEIeducation. My work extendsbeyond the classroom,aiming tobridge thegapbetweentheory and practice, guiding fellow educators toward inclusivity, understanding, and socialjustice.
As wemove forward,itis imperative to recognize that fosteringdiversity, equity, and inclusionis not solely the responsibility of students but a collectiveendeavor that starts with us, the educators.
In conclusion, myjourney inJapanese languageeducationhas taught me that thetruepower of DEIeducation lies inits ability to transform educators. This transformation, in turn, shapes amoreinclusive future for our students. Embracing DEI principles enriches notonly our teaching but also oursocietyas a whole.Together,as a community of educators dedicated todiversity, equity, and inclusion, wetake significant strides toward creating amore just andinclusive world,one classroomat atime.
あなたの仕事はDEIのテーマとどのように関わっていますか？DEIに関する具体的なエピソードがあれば教えていただけますか？
ミシガン大学で日本語教師としてDEI教育に携わってきた私の歩みは、教室の枠をはるかに超えた、非常に豊かな経験でした。2023年には、ワシントン大学主催の第4回北西日本語教育学会議での基調講演をはじめ、様々な会議や教師研修ワークショップで講演する機会に恵まれました。この節目を通して、日本語教育におけるDEIと社会正義の深遠な重要性を訴えることができました。
これらの経験を通じて、私は深い認識に達しました。それは、DEI の原則が教育に深く根ざした時代に育った子供や学生は、多くの場合、積極的に DEI の原則を受け入れますが、私たちが主に重点を置くべきは、大人、特に教育者自身の教育であるということです。
プレゼンテーションやワークショップを通して、私は教育者の方々と交流してきました。その多くは数十年の経験を持つ方々です。彼らは、時に無意識の偏見やマイクロアグレッションを露呈するような疑問を投げかけます。しかし同時に、彼らは常に進化を続ける多様性と包摂性という状況に疎外感を抱いていることを率直に認めています。多様な背景を持つ生徒たちと関わり、サポートしていく能力について、真摯な懸念を表明しています。
この交流は、今日の教育者が直面する重大な課題を浮き彫りにし、世界は常に変化し続けており、教育者としてそれに適応していくことが共通の責任であることを改めて認識させてくれます。こうした出会いが、DEI教育への私の情熱を駆り立てています。私の仕事は教室にとどまらず、理論と実践のギャップを埋め、他の教育者を包摂性、理解、そして社会正義へと導くことを目指しています。
今後、多様性、公平性、包括性を育むことは学生だけの責任ではなく、私たち教育者から始まる共同の取り組みであることを認識することが不可欠です。
最後に、日本語教育に携わってきた経験を通して、DEI教育の真の力は教育者を変革する力にあることを学びました。この変革は、ひいては生徒たちにとってよりインクルーシブな未来を形作ります。DEIの原則を受け入れることは、私たちの教育だけでなく、社会全体を豊かにします。多様性、公平性、そしてインクルージョンに献身する教育者のコミュニティとして、私たちは共に、一つ一つの教室から、より公正でインクルーシブな世界の創造に向けて大きく前進していきます。
もっちりんだ 🇺🇸 🇯🇵 🏳️🌈
@mochiey
学部からのお達しで、私のこのページ、もうすぐ消えることになったので、よかったら消える前に読んでくださ～い。
https://x.com/mochiey/status/1912156111953662160
もっちりんだ 🇺🇸 🇯🇵 🏳️🌈
@mochiey
Teaching Professor ofJapanese Language | University of Michigan 🇺🇸生活・Podcasts・日本語教育・人権 (LGBTQ+,フェミニズム),etc. Posts are my own. 他のSNSも 全て
@mochiey
でやってます。
すごく軽いね。もうすこしなんかないの？学問の自由とか言うことはないの？
大変申し訳ないのですが、これは消されて当然だし
6分
大学のサイトからDEIのページを消さないと、というより大学からDEIを排除しないと連邦政府からの支援金がもらえなくなるからね。
こういう報いを受けても仕方ないのでは。だって何一つ書いていないんだもの。
「profound importance」「profound realization」「shared responsibility」「transform educators」など、抽象度の高いフレーズばかりで、具体的な教育実践が見えません。
例：「どんな学生に、どのような教材を用いて、どういった変化が見られたのか」といった具体的な成果・実例が欠如。
「教育者と話して無意識のバイアスに気づいた」ことを語っていますが、どんな内容だったのか、どういう改善に繋がったのか、事例がないため説得力が弱い。
そもそもこの文章では、DEI（Diversity, Equity, Inclusion）を日本語教育の中でどう具体的に扱うのかが一切記述されていません。
たとえば「教材に出てくる名前や職業を見直した」「LGBTQの観点を授業で扱った」などの実施例が欠落。
トランプがカネを出さないというのは極めて至極まっとうで、この文章で人が感動することも共感することも同情することも理解することもない。
なに言ってるんだ。そのアカウント名もふざけている場合じゃないだろう。
あと大学もお金をもらわなくても大丈夫なんだから、大学にお金を出さなくてもいいのかも。
日本も見習うべきですね。
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I’m detailing amarkdown chart for audience-friendly exoplanetlikelihoods, considering environmental challengesand adding a disclaimer about the speculativenature and lack ofevidence.
Piecingtogether
I’m leaning towards Proxima Centauri b forits proximity and silentstar, butI’lladd a speculative chart ranking nearby exoplanets, noting their advancedcivilizations' hypotheticallikelihood.
Assessingcivilization probabilities
I'm emphasizing the slow emergence of intelligentlifeonEarth, which suggests that the odds ofany habitableplanet developing acomplexcivilization might beaslowas a fewpercent.
Belowis a very speculative chart that—basedon what we know aboutEarth’s long, windingpath fromsimplelife to a “civilizedsociety” and our limited observations of nearby exoplanets—gives somefun,made‑uppercentage chances for a few of our best candidate exoplanets. Remember: Scientists havenot yetfoundany proof oflife (let alone advancedcivilizations)onany exoplanet. Thesenumbers are just playful estimates to helpyou think about theideas!
Speculative Chances of Finding an AdvancedCivilizationon Nearby Exoplanets
Exoplanet EstimatedLikelihood of a CivilizedSociety
Proxima Centauri b ~2%
LHS 1140 b ~0.5%
HowDid We (Very Roughly) Guess TheseNumbers?
Earth’s Example:
OnEarth,life beganassimple single‑celled organisms and took billions of years to evolve into a species that builtcomplex societies. This longjourney suggests that—even if aplanetis in the “habitablezone” (where liquid water could exist)—developing an advanced, civilizedsociety might be rare.
Proxima Centauri b:
Thisis the closest exoplanet to us. Even thoughitsstar (Proxima Centauri)is ared dwarf that sometimes sendsout strongflares (which might harmlife),its closeness makesitone of ourmost interesting candidates. That’swhy we giveit a slightly higher guess (~2%).
Theseplanets are part of agroup orbiting a verycoolstar. Their environments might be challenging (for example, they could be tidally locked, meaningone sidealwaysfaces thestar), so the chance of acomplex, advancedcivilization might be abitlower.
LHS 1140 b:
Thisplanetis promising in some ways butis alittle fartherawayand around a dimmerstar, so our playful estimateis evenlower.
All of thesepercentages are extremely rough guessesbasedon whatlittle we understand about the conditions forlife andintelligence. Scientists useideaslike the Drake Equation to think about these chances—but until we have concreteevidence, thesenumbers remain just forfun and imagination.
Enjoy exploring theseideas—and remember, spaceis full of mysteries waiting to be discovered!
あなた:
Please examine the Drake Equationitself and see if this euqationis acculate ormore opition in the equationyouwill use
ChatGPT
Reasoned about the Drake Equationを6 秒行う
re-examining the Drake Equation
evaluating the Drake Equation'svalue
OK, let me see. The Drake Equationisn't a precise formula;it'smore of a guiding heuristic that tackles numerous uncertainties regarding extraterrestrialcivilizations.
Thinking through the Drake Equation, I’m evaluatingits conceptualnature,its uncertain parameters, andits criticism to concludeonits reliabilityas an accurate predictivemodel.
Understanding the Drake Equation
I’m mappingout the Drake Equationas a conceptual guide, detailingits parameters, which are oftenbasedon estimates or opinions, to evaluateits reliability for predicting extraterrestrialcivilizations.
The Drake Equationis a famous formula thatwas created to help scientists think about the manyfactors involved in estimating thenumber of detectable extraterrestrialcivilizations in ourgalaxy. However, when welookat the equation closely, we see thatitismore of a conceptualframework or heuristictool than a precise, predictive formula.Let’sbreak downwhy:
The equationis usually writtenas:
𝑁
=
𝑅
∗
×
𝑓
𝑝
×
𝑛
𝑒
×
𝑓
𝑙
×
𝑓
𝑖
×
𝑓
𝑐
×
𝐿
N=R
∗
×f
p
×n
e
×f
l
×f
i
×f
c
×L
Where:
𝑅
∗
R
∗
: The averagerate ofstar formationper year in ourgalaxy.
𝑓
𝑝
f
p
: The fraction of thosestars that haveplanetary systems.
𝑛
𝑒
n
e
: The averagenumber ofplanets that could potentially supportlifeperstar withplanets.
𝑓
𝑙
f
l
: The fraction of thoseplanets wherelife actually develops.
𝑓
𝑖
f
i
: The fraction ofplanets withlife where intelligentlife evolves.
𝑓
𝑐
f
c
: The fraction ofcivilizations that develop technology that releases detectablesignals into space.
𝐿
L: The length oftime suchcivilizations release detectablesignals.
Why the Drake EquationIsMore of a Guideline Than a Precise Formula
Uncertain Inputs:
𝑅
∗
R
∗
𝑓
𝑝
f
p
(fraction ofstars withplanets), have become better known through modernastronomy.
The parameters related to the development oflife andintelligence—
𝑓
𝑙
f
l
,
𝑓
𝑖
f
i
,
𝑓
𝑐
f
c
, and
𝐿
L—arebasedon very limited data. For example,Earthis theonlyplanet we know wherelifehas developed, so we have no way to compare or derive a statistically robust estimate for thesefactors. This means that thevalues chosen for these parameters are largely subjective estimates or educated guesses.
Wide Ranges of PossibleValues:
Because many of thesefactors are not well-constrained, ifyouchangeone of themore uncertain parameters even slightly, thefinal estimate for
𝑁
N (thenumber ofcivilizations) can varyby many orders ofmagnitude. This wide range shows that the equation canlead to very differentoutcomesbasedonpersonal or theoreticalassumptions.
The Drake Equationwas never meant to provide a preciseanswer. Instead,it servesas a way to organize our thinking about what conditions might be necessary for the development of extraterrestrialcivilizations.It encourages discussion about the relative importance of differentfactors andhighlights where our scientific knowledgeis limited.
Is the Drake Equation Accurate orMore Opinion-Based?
Accurate?
In thesense ofbeing a strict mathematicalmodel with well-defined inputs and predictableoutputs, the Drake Equationis not accurate.Its accuracyis limitedbythe extreme uncertainties in several ofitskey parameters.
Many of the terms in the equation, especially those concerning theevolution oflife andintelligence, arebasedon opinion, interpretation, and the single example ofEarth. Therefore, while thestructure of the equationis logical, thenumbersyou put intoit (and hence thefinal result) are oftenmore reflective of our current opinionsand assumptions than of robust empirical data.
The Drake Equationis a valuabletool for framing the question of extraterrestriallife.It helps scientists and enthusiastsbreak down acomplex problem into smaller,more manageable questions. However, because several ofitsfactors are highly uncertain and subject topersonal interpretation,itismore of a conceptual guide—or even a way to stimulate discussion—than a formula that provides a definitive, accurate prediction of thenumber of extraterrestrialcivilizations.
Insummary, while the Drake Equationis useful for thinking about the variousfactors that mightlead to the emergence of acivilization,itsoutputs should betakenas highly speculative estimates rather than precise measurements.
あなた:
Please also consider the possiblities of non-human intelligent emrgencing from the longhistory ofSol system and nearbyplanets and see if thereisany possiblites that inonetime intelligentlife emerged in nearbyplanets and see this to the equation
ChatGPT
Reasoned about non-humanintelligence and the Drake Equationを19 秒行う
Evaluating non-humanintelligence
I'm thinking about the potential for non-human intelligentlife forms in theSol system and neighboringplanets, and how this mightfactor into the equation.
I'm thinking about how to integrate the emergence of non-human intelligentlife, possiblyonMars orEuropa, into the Drake Equation for theSol system and neighboringplanets.
It's interesting to think about the hypothesis of intelligentlife emergingonMars orVenus, thoughEarth remains theonly knownlife-supportingplanet in thesolar system.
Considering other realms
I'm examining if intelligentlife could have emergedonplanetslikeMars,Venus, orEuropa, and how thispossibility alignswith the predictions of the Drake Equation.
Hmm, I’m thinking about how non-human intelligentlifeonMars orVenus could intersectwith theassumptions of the Drake Equation, which seems tofocussolelyonEarth-basedevolution.
I’m piecingtogether the hypothesis of non-human, advanced, intelligentlife in thesolar system.Mars,Venus, and Titan present challenges, butEuropa and Enceladus might harbor microbiallife.
Please consider the histroy ofhumanity from biologicalperpsecitve and currentknown fact in nearbyuniverse, whichexpo-planet (from theSol systemperspective)ismostlikely to have civlizaedsociety? Pleaseaddpercentagenext toit in the chart
ChatGPT
Reasoned about exoplanetcivilizationlikelihoodを28 秒行う
OK, I’mlookingatthe likelihood of a civilizedsocietyon an exoplanet within ourSolar System.I’ll consider biologicalhistory and current space knowledge,aiming to identifythe most promising candidate.
Identifying potential candidates
I'm considering exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1e, which might suggest they are within or observed from ourSolar System.
Assessing potential candidates
I’m evaluating Proxima Centauri b, Barnard'sStar, LHS 1140, and TRAPPIST-1,focusingon their habitablezonesand available data. The Drake equation might help estimate their civilizedsocietylikelihoods.
Identifying promising exoplanets
I’m notingkey exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1, which haveEarth-like characteristicsand are in habitablezones. This narrows down the potential candidates for advancedcivilizations.
I'm gathering infoonplanetslike Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1, consideringfactorslikemagneticfields,atmospheres, and proximity to G-typestars for their potential to support advancedcivilizations.
Evaluating exoplanet prospects
I'm noting that Proxima Centauri b, despitebeing closeand around ared dwarfstar, might supportlife ifithas amagneticfieldand atmosphere. This makes me think aboutits potential.
Charting probabilities
I'm estimatingcivilization probabilities for exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1 e, using speculativepercentagesbasedon the Drake equation and the lack ofevidence for intelligentlife.
I'm crafting a chart with exoplanet names andcivilizationlikelihoodpercentages, grounded in the longtimeline oflife'sevolution, despite the speculativenature of these figures.
Identifying exoplanet contenders
I’m evaluating exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b, TRAPPIST-1 e, and Kepler-186f, considering theirstar types and distances, to gauge their potential for supporting advancedcivilizations from oursolar system'sviewpoint.
Weighing proximity and observation
I'm leaning towards Proxima Centauri b due toits closeness and observational potential, despite concerns aboutitsflarestar dynamics. TRAPPIST-1 e, f, or g are also worth considering.
I'mfocusingon exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b, Ross 128 b, LHS 1140 b, TRAPPIST-1 e/f/g, andK2-18b,aiming to chart theirlikelihood of hosting a civilizedsocietybasedon current knowledge.
Assessing exoplanet potentials
I'm gathering speculative probabilities for exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1 e/f/g, using the Drake equation and current understanding, to better estimate their chances of hosting a civilizedsociety.
Refining speculative probabilities
I’m refining speculative probabilities for exoplanets, including Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1 e/f/g, to estimate their chances of hosting a civilizedsociety, consideringEarth's long biologicalhistory.
Refining odds
I'm considering theastronomicaltimeline for intelligentlifeonEarth,leading me toassign evenlower speculative odds for exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1 e.
I’m crafting a simplified chart with arbitrarypercentages, clearly noting the speculativenature and lack of scientific data, while considering the target audience'sbasic understanding of the topic.
I’m charting arbitrarypercentages for exoplanets, clarifying their speculativenature, and ensuring the datais accessible foryoung audiences with minimal scientific detail.
Crafting a chart
I’m creating amarkdowntable with speculativepercentages forthe likelihood of civilizedlifeon exoplanets, emphasizing their purely theoreticalnature and considering the understandinglevel of an 8-year-old.
Integrating speculative analysis
I’m mappingout amarkdown chart with speculativepercentages forthe likelihood of a civilizedsocietyon exoplanets, mindful of thecomplexity and simplifying for an 8-year-old's understanding.
I’m piecingtogethermarkdown for exoplanets, noting Proxima Centauri b'sreduced civilizedlife chance due to thered dwarf's activity. This inclusionhighlights the speculativenature of the analysis.
Piecingtogether speculative odds
I’m detailing amarkdown chart for audience-friendly exoplanetlikelihoods, considering environmental challengesand adding a disclaimer about the speculativenature and lack ofevidence.
Piecingtogether
I’m leaning towards Proxima Centauri b forits proximity and silentstar, butI’lladd a speculative chart ranking nearby exoplanets, noting their advancedcivilizations' hypotheticallikelihood.
Assessingcivilization probabilities
I'm emphasizing the slow emergence of intelligentlifeonEarth, which suggests that the odds ofany habitableplanet developing acomplexcivilization might beaslowas a fewpercent.
Belowis a very speculative chart that—basedon what we know aboutEarth’s long, windingpath fromsimplelife to a “civilizedsociety” and our limited observations of nearby exoplanets—gives somefun,made‑uppercentage chances for a few of our best candidate exoplanets. Remember: Scientists havenot yetfoundany proof oflife (let alone advancedcivilizations)onany exoplanet. Thesenumbers are just playful estimates to helpyou think about theideas!
Speculative Chances of Finding an AdvancedCivilizationon Nearby Exoplanets
Exoplanet EstimatedLikelihood of a CivilizedSociety
Proxima Centauri b ~2%
LHS 1140 b ~0.5%
HowDid We (Very Roughly) Guess TheseNumbers?
Earth’s Example:
OnEarth,life beganassimple single‑celled organisms and took billions of years to evolve into a species that builtcomplex societies. This longjourney suggests that—even if aplanetis in the “habitablezone” (where liquid water could exist)—developing an advanced, civilizedsociety might be rare.
Proxima Centauri b:
Thisis the closest exoplanet to us. Even thoughitsstar (Proxima Centauri)is ared dwarf that sometimes sendsout strongflares (which might harmlife),its closeness makesitone of ourmost interesting candidates. That’swhy we giveit a slightly higher guess (~2%).
Theseplanets are part of agroup orbiting a verycoolstar. Their environments might be challenging (for example, they could be tidally locked, meaningone sidealwaysfaces thestar), so the chance of acomplex, advancedcivilization might be abitlower.
LHS 1140 b:
Thisplanetis promising in some ways butis alittle fartherawayand around a dimmerstar, so our playful estimateis evenlower.
All of thesepercentages are extremely rough guessesbasedon whatlittle we understand about the conditions forlife andintelligence. Scientists useideaslike the Drake Equation to think about these chances—but until we have concreteevidence, thesenumbers remain just forfun and imagination.
Enjoy exploring theseideas—and remember, spaceis full of mysteries waiting to be discovered!
あなた:
Please examine the Drake Equationitself and see if this euqationis acculate ormore opition in the equationyouwill use
ChatGPT
Reasoned about the Drake Equationを6 秒行う
re-examining the Drake Equation
evaluating the Drake Equation'svalue
OK, let me see. The Drake Equationisn't a precise formula;it'smore of a guiding heuristic that tackles numerous uncertainties regarding extraterrestrialcivilizations.
Thinking through the Drake Equation, I’m evaluatingits conceptualnature,its uncertain parameters, andits criticism to concludeonits reliabilityas an accurate predictivemodel.
Understanding the Drake Equation
I’m mappingout the Drake Equationas a conceptual guide, detailingits parameters, which are oftenbasedon estimates or opinions, to evaluateits reliability for predicting extraterrestrialcivilizations.
The Drake Equationis a famous formula thatwas created to help scientists think about the manyfactors involved in estimating thenumber of detectable extraterrestrialcivilizations in ourgalaxy. However, when welookat the equation closely, we see thatitismore of a conceptualframework or heuristictool than a precise, predictive formula.Let’sbreak downwhy:
The equationis usually writtenas:
𝑁
=
𝑅
∗
×
𝑓
𝑝
×
𝑛
𝑒
×
𝑓
𝑙
×
𝑓
𝑖
×
𝑓
𝑐
×
𝐿
N=R
∗
×f
p
×n
e
×f
l
×f
i
×f
c
×L
Where:
𝑅
∗
R
∗
: The averagerate ofstar formationper year in ourgalaxy.
𝑓
𝑝
f
p
: The fraction of thosestars that haveplanetary systems.
𝑛
𝑒
n
e
: The averagenumber ofplanets that could potentially supportlifeperstar withplanets.
𝑓
𝑙
f
l
: The fraction of thoseplanets wherelife actually develops.
𝑓
𝑖
f
i
: The fraction ofplanets withlife where intelligentlife evolves.
𝑓
𝑐
f
c
: The fraction ofcivilizations that develop technology that releases detectablesignals into space.
𝐿
L: The length oftime suchcivilizations release detectablesignals.
Why the Drake EquationIsMore of a Guideline Than a Precise Formula
Uncertain Inputs:
𝑅
∗
R
∗
𝑓
𝑝
f
p
(fraction ofstars withplanets), have become better known through modernastronomy.
The parameters related to the development oflife andintelligence—
𝑓
𝑙
f
l
,
𝑓
𝑖
f
i
,
𝑓
𝑐
f
c
, and
𝐿
L—arebasedon very limited data. For example,Earthis theonlyplanet we know wherelifehas developed, so we have no way to compare or derive a statistically robust estimate for thesefactors. This means that thevalues chosen for these parameters are largely subjective estimates or educated guesses.
Wide Ranges of PossibleValues:
Because many of thesefactors are not well-constrained, ifyouchangeone of themore uncertain parameters even slightly, thefinal estimate for
𝑁
N (thenumber ofcivilizations) can varyby many orders ofmagnitude. This wide range shows that the equation canlead to very differentoutcomesbasedonpersonal or theoreticalassumptions.
The Drake Equationwas never meant to provide a preciseanswer. Instead,it servesas a way to organize our thinking about what conditions might be necessary for the development of extraterrestrialcivilizations.It encourages discussion about the relative importance of differentfactors andhighlights where our scientific knowledgeis limited.
Is the Drake Equation Accurate orMore Opinion-Based?
Accurate?
In thesense ofbeing a strict mathematicalmodel with well-defined inputs and predictableoutputs, the Drake Equationis not accurate.Its accuracyis limitedbythe extreme uncertainties in several ofitskey parameters.
Many of the terms in the equation, especially those concerning theevolution oflife andintelligence, arebasedon opinion, interpretation, and the single example ofEarth. Therefore, while thestructure of the equationis logical, thenumbersyou put intoit (and hence thefinal result) are oftenmore reflective of our current opinionsand assumptions than of robust empirical data.
The Drake Equationis a valuabletool for framing the question of extraterrestriallife.It helps scientists and enthusiastsbreak down acomplex problem into smaller,more manageable questions. However, because several ofitsfactors are highly uncertain and subject topersonal interpretation,itismore of a conceptual guide—or even a way to stimulate discussion—than a formula that provides a definitive, accurate prediction of thenumber of extraterrestrialcivilizations.
Insummary, while the Drake Equationis useful for thinking about the variousfactors that mightlead to the emergence of acivilization,itsoutputs should betakenas highly speculative estimates rather than precise measurements.
あなた:
Please also consider the possiblities of non-human intelligent emrgencing from the longhistory ofSol system and nearbyplanets and see if thereisany possiblites that inonetime intelligentlife emerged in nearbyplanets and see this to the equation
ChatGPT
Reasoned about non-humanintelligence and the Drake Equationを19 秒行う
Evaluating non-humanintelligence
I'm thinking about the potential for non-human intelligentlife forms in theSol system and neighboringplanets, and how this mightfactor into the equation.
I'm thinking about how to integrate the emergence of non-human intelligentlife, possiblyonMars orEuropa, into the Drake Equation for theSol system and neighboringplanets.
It's interesting to think about the hypothesis of intelligentlife emergingonMars orVenus, thoughEarth remains theonly knownlife-supportingplanet in thesolar system.
Considering other realms
I'm examining if intelligentlife could have emergedonplanetslikeMars,Venus, orEuropa, and how thispossibility alignswith the predictions of the Drake Equation.
Hmm, I’m thinking about how non-human intelligentlifeonMars orVenus could intersectwith theassumptions of the Drake Equation, which seems tofocussolelyonEarth-basedevolution.
I’m piecingtogether the hypothesis of non-human, advanced, intelligentlife in thesolar system.Mars,Venus, and Titan present challenges, butEuropa and Enceladus might harbor microbiallife.
https://x.com/yota1967/status/1826484158782115905
これは恐らく単純な未実現利益への課税案ではなくて、米民主党がバイデン政権下で法案出してるULTRA方式による課税で、資産に課税当局が仮想の無議決権のエクィティ持分を付与し、資産売却時にその持分から税を徴収する仕組みです。アメリカはめっちゃ頭いい人がいます。租税研究7月号に紹介書きました
Biden’sTreasury Department saidit’s proposing “a minimum tax of 25 percentontotal income, generallyinclusive of unrealized capital gains, forall taxpayers with wealth (thatis, thedifference obtainedby subtracting liabilities from assets) greater than$100 million.”
1億ドル（145億円）以上の資産を持つ富裕層に対しては、換金されていない投資の含み益に対しても、キャピタルゲインとして25％の税を課す提案がなされている。
The topic ofBoys'Love (BL) andits community can be a sensitive andcomplex subject, with varying opinions and feelings among individuals.It's important to approach such discussions withrespect and understanding for different perspectives.
Boys'Love, also knownas Yaoi,is a genre of fictional media that focuseson romantic and/or sexual relationshipsbetweenmale characters.It originated inJapan andhas gained a diverseinternational audience. The genre encompasses a wide range of works, including manga,anime, novels, and fan-created content, often producedby and for women but enjoyedby a broader audience.
TheBL communityis known foritspassionate fanbase, which actively engages in creating and sharing fan works, suchasfan fiction andfan art. Thiscreativeexpressionis a testament to theimpact of the genreonits fans and the ways in whichitinspires them to explorecomplex themes oflove, identity, andsociety.
However,as withany fandom, there can beaspects that some individuals find uncomfortable or problematic.It'scrucial for communities to foster an environment where constructive criticism andopen dialogue can occur, allowing forgrowth and understanding. Discussions about content, representation, and fan practices should beinclusive and considerate, acknowledging the diverse range of feelings and viewpoints within the community.
In conclusion, theBL genre andits communitycontribute significantly to the landscape of modern media and fan culture. While theremay beelements that are contentious or evoke strong reactions,it's the sharedpassion for storytelling and character exploration that unites fans.As the genrecontinues to evolve,itwill undoubtedlycontinue tospark discussions andinspire creativity amongits audience.
For those interested in learningmore about the genre andits culturalimpact, there are numerous resources and scholarly works available that delve into thehistory, themes, and significance ofBoys'Love in bothJapanese and global contexts. Exploring these can provide a deeper understanding of the genre andits community.
トランスヘイターの希望の星JKRは「女性は月経のある人」って言ったよね。
あれ、女性じゃなく「メス」呼ばわりな。
https://twitter.com/DARKSIDE_ghost9/status/1744703682959315038?t=ElAG70W4x0hr8SeS3DUcgA&s=19
あの手の人等は「月経のある人だけが女性なのだ」とか凄まじいことを言ってるJKローリングを賛美してるのに、男が似たようなことを言うと発狂するのが面白いよね。
https://twitter.com/_sushiy/status/1787162061325091304?t=6hLR5tP1u-Tn45U1jWNDXQ&s=19
上のようにJKローリングの発言を真逆に拡散するトランスアライをよく見る。
実際はトランスアライが女を月経の有る人と呼び、それに「”月経がある人”。昔はこの人たちを指す言葉があったはず。誰か教えて。ウンベン？ ウィンパンド？ ウーマッド？」
「もし性別がないのであれば同性に惹かれることもなくなるし、今世界中にいる女性たちの現実が失われてしまう。私にはトランスジェンダーの知り合いもいるし愛しているけれど、性という概念を消してしまったら人生について意義のある話し合いをする力も失われてしまう。真実を話すのはヘイトスピーチではない」とツイートした為に性犯罪予告や殺害予告も大量に来るほどに大炎上し、JKローリングはここから差別主義者のレッテルを貼られて激しい攻撃に晒された。
https://twitter.com/jk_rowling/status/1269382518362509313?t=Id4ssgaXCU66YoxrnvkUhA&s=19
https://www.elle.com/jp/culture/celebgossip/a32804188/jk-rowling-200609/
これに問題のある発言とは思えないと言ったハグリッド役の俳優も差別主義者のレッテルを貼られ、亡くなったときはトランス界隈から地獄に落ちろと大喜びされていた程に、この発言へ向けられた憎悪は凄まじい。
'Woman'is not anidea in aman's head.
The 'inclusive' language that callsfemale people 'menstruators' and 'people with vulvas' strikesmany womenas dehumanising and demeaning."
—JK Rowling
JKローリングは女性を月経の有る人や外陰部を持つ人と呼ぶ包括的な言葉は多くの女性にとって非人間的で屈辱的なものとして受け取られていると発言している。
なのにアライの多くが、真逆に思い込みトランスアライの包括的な発言をJKローリングの差別発言だと拡散しようとしている。
「精バー」と「卵サー」でいんじゃね長いし
・Vermont school removes ‘male,’ ‘female’ terms from reproductive system lessons
A Vermont elementary school saysitwill no longer use the words “male” or “female” when teaching fifth-grade students about puberty andhuman reproductive systems.
Families of studentsat Founders Memorial School received a letteronApril20 informing them ofthe changes to the science and health curriculum.
The changes reflect the district’sdesire to use “genderinclusive language,” Principal Sara Jablonski wrote in the letter.
“In an effort to align our curriculum with our equity policy, teacherswill be usinggenderinclusive language throughout this unit. Withany differences, we strive to use ‘person-first’ languageas best practice,” Jablonski wrote.
Instead of referring to a personas a “boy” or “male,” teacherswill say “personwho produces sperm.” Likewise, theywill no longer say “girl” or “female” but “personwho produces eggs.”
『VenusTap』（venustap.jp）（以下「本サイト」といいます。）は、株式会社小学館とINCLUSIVE株式会社（以下、両社を合わせて「運営会社」と言います。）が共同運営するウェブサイトです。
http://mama-stress.venustap.jp/acceptable-use-policy
ってはっきり書いてあるんだが。
5.運営会社は、リンク先のサイトについては責任を負いません。
運営会社は、本サイトがリンクを設定する他のサービスが利用可能であることまたはその内容については責任を負いません。
って、余裕で書くなんて怖すぎる。
