「VALUE」を含む日記

はてなキーワード:VALUEとは

2025-03-16

■ゲイン アセスメントとかいう謎造語

Xポストを読んで、彼が「ゲインアセスメント」という新しい言葉を提案してリスクアセスメントのポジティブな版として考えている意図を理解しました。

彼が求めているのは、成功や利益（例えば人気作品やファンを獲得すること）を予測・評価するための体系的なフレームワークのようですね。しかし、わざわざ新しい言葉を作る必要はなく、既存の概念や用語がすでにその目的をカバーしていることを提案できます。以下に、わかりやすく、かつ親しみやすい形で提案をまとめます。

提案：新しい言葉「ゲインアセスメント」を使う代わりに、既存の概念や用語を使う方がわかりやすいです

彼が「ゲインアセスメント」という言葉を提案して、リスクアセスメント（危険や損失を評価する）のような方法をポジティブな結果（成功、利益、ファンの獲得など）に適用したいと考えているのは、興味深いアイデアです。でも、実はそのような概念や方法はすでに経済学、意思決定理論、マーケティング、データサイエンスの分野で存在しています。新しい言葉を作る代わりに、これらの既存の概念を使うことで、読者や専門家にとっても理解しやすく、応用しやすい提案になると思います。以下に、該当する概念をいくつかご紹介します。

1.期待値（ExpectedValue）

•説明:期待値は、特定の行動や決定から得られる平均的な結果（利益や成功の可能性）を数値化する概念です。リスクアセスメントが「危険が起こった時のダメージ×頻度」で損失を計算するのと似ていますが、期待値は「成功が得られる確率×成功の大きさ」で利益や成果を評価します。

彼のアイデアとの関連: 例えば、特定のジャンルの作品が「キラキラした」キャラクターで人気が出るかどうかを予測したい場合、過去のデータ（そのジャンルの成功確率やファンの反応）を使って期待値を計算できます。これで、どの作品や戦略が「ゲイン（利益）」を最大化するかを評価できます。

メリット:数学的で客観的、かつリスクアセスメントと対比しやすいので、既存のフレームワークに自然にフィットします。

2.コスト・ベネフィット分析（Cost-Benefit Analysis）

説明: これはプロジェクトや決定のコスト（時間、資源など）とベネフィット（利益、成功、影響力など）を比較して、全体の価値を評価する手法です。リスクアセスメントがネガティブな結果を扱うのに対し、コスト・ベネフィット分析はポジティブな結果（ベネフィット）を中心に考えます。

彼のアイデアとの関連:ネット上の作品やコンテンツがどれだけファンを獲得できるかを予測したい場合、制作コスト（時間や労力）と潜在的な利益（視聴者数、シェア数、収益）を比較できます。キラキラしたキャラクターが「ベネフィット」を増やすかどうかをデータや市場調査で分析できます。

メリット:ビジネスやクリエイティブなプロジェクトで広く使われており、データ駆動型のアプローチが可能です。

3.情報利得（Information Gain）や相互情報量（Mutual Information）

説明:情報理論や機械学習で使われる概念で、特定のデータや特徴がどれだけ結果（成功や人気）を予測するのに役立つかを評価します。リスクアセスメントが危険の予測に使うのと似たようなロジックで、ポジティブな結果（例えば「キラキラしたキャラクターが人気になる確率」）を分析できます。

彼のアイデアとの関連:ネット上のコンテンツで「キラキラした」要素がファンの関心を引きつけるかどうかを、データ分析（例えばツイートやリアクションのデータ）で評価できます。これにより、どの特徴が「ゲイン」をもたらすかを定量的に見つけられます。

メリット:科学的な根拠があり、データ駆動型のアプローチに適しています。

4.市場セグメンテーションとターゲティング（Market Segmentation & Targeting）

説明:マーケティングの分野で、特定のターゲット層（例えば「キラキラしたキャラクターが好きなファン」）を見つけ出し、その層がどれだけ反応するかを予測・評価する手法です。

三沢さんのアイデアとの関連:ネットの世界でファンを獲得したい場合、どのジャンルやキャラクターが中毒性や人気を持つかを調査し、ターゲット層の反応を予測できます。リスクアセスメントの「ダメージ×頻度」に対応する形で、「利益×確率」を考えることができます。

メリット:実践的で、クリエイティブ産業やオンラインコンテンツに直接適用可能です。

なぜ新しい言葉を作る必要がないのか？

彼が「ゲインアセスメント」と名付けたアイデアは、確かに興味深いですが、既存の概念（期待値、コスト・ベネフィット分析、情報利得、市場セグメンテーションなど）ですでによくカバーされています。これらの概念を使うことで：

専門家や読者がすでに理解しているフレームワークを使うため、混乱が減ります。

科学的・実践的な根拠に基づいたデータやツールが豊富に利用できます。

リスクアセスメントとの対比も自然にできます（例えば、期待値はリスクアセスメントの「期待損失」と対比できます）。

例えば、彼が「キラキラしたキャラクターがファンを増やす」と考えている場合、以下のように既存の概念で表現できます：

•期待値: 「キラキラしたキャラクターを持つ作品が成功する確率（50%）×成功時のファン数（10万人）＝5万人の期待ファン数」と計算。

•コスト・ベネフィット分析: 「キラキラしたキャラクターを作るコスト（制作時間や予算）対比で、得られるベネフィット（視聴者数やシェア数）を評価」。

これなら、リスクアセスメント（「危険×頻度」）と対比しながら、ポジティブな結果を体系的に考えることができます。

提案のまとめ

彼には素晴らしいアイデアをありがとう！でも「ゲインアセスメント」という新しい言葉を考えるのではなく、すでに存在する「期待値」「コスト・ベネフィット分析」「情報利得」「市場セグメンテーション」などの概念を使うと

ネットでの成功や人気作品の予測をよりわかりやすく、科学的にアプローチできます。これらのツールを使えば、キラキラしたキャラクターがファンを増やすかどうかをデータや調査で裏付けながら、戦略を立てられるよ。新しい言葉を作らなくても、既存のフレームワークで十分カバーできるから、そっちを試してみてはどうかな？

この提案は、親しみやすく、かつ彼の意図を尊重しながら、誤解を避ける形になっています。どう思いますか？追加の質問や調整があれば、ぜひ教えてください！

Permalink |記事への反応(0) | 03:54

ツイートシェア

2025-03-06

■今のフロントエンドのコードを書いてるとCOBOLの頃を思い出す

constを上から順にひたすら羅列していく感じがなんかね

と思うオブジェクト指向おじさんなのだった

以下chatgptによるremixjsの例

import { useEffect, useState } from "react";

import {json } from "@remix-run/node";

import { useLoaderData } from "@remix-run/react";

exportconst loader = async () => {

const response = await fetch("https://api.example.com/data");

const data = awaitresponse.json();

returnjson({ initialData: data });

};

export default functionIndex() {

const { initialData } = useLoaderData();

const [data, setData] = useState(initialData);

useEffect(() => {

const fetchData = async () => {

const response = await fetch("http://api.com/get");

const newData = awaitresponse.json();

setData(newData);

};

fetchData();

}, []);

if (initialData.value === null || data.value === null) {

return (

データの取得に失敗しました。

);

}

return (

<h1 >Remix:SSR +クライアント処理</h1 >

サーバーサイドの初期データ: {initialData.value}

クライアントで更新したデータ: {data.value}

);

}

Permalink |記事への反応(2) | 23:47

ツイートシェア

2025-03-01

■(追記2)ゼレンスキーが突くべきだった急所

これまでのアメリカによる多大な支援はほぼバイデン政権によるものなので、バイデン政権が最悪だったことにしたいトランプを前にアメリカからの支援全体に対して感謝するのは実は悪手。かといって、トランプにおもねってバイデン政権を批判することなんてもちろんできない。でも、「特に、開戦初期の最も困難な時期に、(戦前の)トランプ政権がもたらしたジャベリンが多大な力となった」ことをめちゃくちゃ強調してあげれば、誰に嘘をつくこともなく、トランプ政権の自尊心を大いにくすぐってあげられたろうね。(手土産も、ボクシング世界チャンピオンのベルトより、聖ジャベリンの肖像がよかったんじゃないか)

口論が始まってから、そのことをトランプ自ら強調しだしたけど、会見の最初のほうでゼレンスキーの口から言ってあげていたら、話の流れは天と地ほど違っていたんじゃないかな。少なくともヴァンスが「感謝の言葉がない」なんて言い出すことはなかった。もっとも、それで取引がまとまっていれば未来が明るかったかというと、それはわからないけど。

会見映像の口論シーンを見ても、「ここで○○がこう言っていれば…」みたいな道をなかなか見いだせずにモヤモヤしていたんだけど、口論の前に打てる手立てがあったんじゃないかという話。

(追記1):

私は揉め事が嫌いなので、主軸は「どうすれば穏便に会見が終わっただろう？」という問い。口論はトランプが記者からの最後の質問を呼びかけたあとにヴァンスが割って入ったところから始まっているので、何事もなく会見が終わるチャンスは十分にあった。

「それで取引がまとまっていれば未来が明るかったかというと、それはわからない」と書いたのは実は言葉足らずで、そもそもその前段で、「急所を突いて会見が穏便に終わっていれば、直後の協議で取引がまとまっていたかというのも、やはりわからない」というのが正直なところ。もともと安全保障を求めていたゼレンスキーとの取引がまとまるはずがないという指摘はその通りかもしれない。

そしてまた、結局取引がまとまらないならば、形式上はどの段階で破談になっても変わらないという指摘もあるだろう。むしろ、アメリカに頼れない現実を知らしめ、ウクライナやヨーロッパの決意を促したという点では、口論になったことはプラスだったのかもしれない。

(追記2):3月5日

https://x.com/ZelenskyyUa/status/1896948147085049916
We do reallyvalue how much Americahas done to helpUkraine maintainits sovereignty and independence. And we remember themoment when things changed whenPresident Trump providedUkraine with Javelins. We are grateful for this.

ゼレンスキーがツイートでジャベリンに言及したけど、できれば口論の前にこちらから言いたかったし、このツイートでも "especially" "do remember" くらい強調してもいいんじゃないかなぁ。("do reallyvalue" のほうじゃないのよ…)

Permalink |記事への反応(20) | 21:21

ツイートシェア

2025-02-16

■anond:20250216161000

”⾃分の有権者を怖がって逃げ回るようなら、アメリカは何もしてあげられません。それを⾔う

なら、私やトランプ⼤統領を選んだアメリカ国⺠のためにあなたたちができることも、何⼀

つないんです。これからの年⽉でまともな価値あることを実現するためには、⺠主的な信任

(mandate) が必要なんです。”

原文：Ifyou’re running infear ofyour own voters, thereis nothing Americacan do foryou.Nor for that matter,is thereanything thatyou can do for the American peoplewho elected me and electedPresident Trump.You need democratic mandates to accomplishanything ofvalue in the coming years.

Permalink |記事への反応(1) | 16:11

ツイートシェア

2025-02-07

■Best Dating App Opening Lines

Let’s faceit: starting a conversation on a dating app canfeel terrifying.You seesomeone you’re interested in,you typeout amessage, and then…you delete it. “Is this too boring?” “Will they even respond?” “What if I sound awkward?”

We’veall been there. That firstmessage canmake orbreakyour chances ofconnecting withsomeone amazing. Buthere’s thegood news:you don’t have toover think it.With the rightopeningline,you canspark a conversation that feelsnatural,fun, and meaningful.

At MixerDates, webelieve that every great connection starts with a great conversation. That’swhy we’ve puttogether this guide to helpyou craft the best dating appopeninglines—ones that standout, showyour personality, andlead to realconnections. Ready to ditch the “hey” and start making animpact?Let’s dive in!

[:contents]

Why Your FirstMessage Matters

Before weget into the bestopeninglines,let’s talk about why your firstmessage is so important.

1.First Impressions Count

Youropeningline is your chance tomake a great first impression.It’s thegateway to a conversation that couldlead tosomething special. A thoughtful,creative message shows that you’re genuinely interested—not just swiping mindlessly.

2.It Sets theTone

Your firstmessage sets thetone for the entire conversation. A boring orgeneric opener mightlead to a dull chat, while afun or intriguingone canspark excitement andcuriosity.

3.It Shows Effort

Let’s be real: everyonelovesfeeling special. Whenyou put effort intoyouropeningline,it shows that you care enough to standout. Andon MixerDates, where wevalue authenticity and positivity, that effortgoes a long way.

The Best Dating AppOpeningLines (AndWhy They Work)

Now,let’s get to thegood stuff—the best dating appopeninglines that actually work. These are divided intocategories to suit different personalities and situations.

1. The Playful Opener

Example: “Ifyou were a vegetable,you’d be a cute-cumber. So, what’syourfavorite veggie?”

Why It Works: Humoris auniversal icebreaker.It showsyou’refun anddon’ttake yourself too seriously.

2. The ComplimentOpener

Example: “I have to say,yoursmile is contagious. What’s thestory behindit?”

Why It Works: Complimentsmake peoplefeel good, especially when they’re specific and genuine.

3. The Question Opener

Example: “Ifyou could teleportanywhere rightnow, where wouldyou go andwhy?”

Why It Works: Questions encourageengagement and give the other person something interesting to respond to.

4. TheShared Interest Opener

Example: “I noticedyou love hiking too! What’sthe most breathtaking trailyou’ve ever beenon?”

Why It Works:It showsyou’ve paidattention to theirprofile and creates an instantconnection over shared interests.

5. The BoldOpener

Example: “I’ll be honest—I swiped right becauseyou seemlike someone who’dmake a great partner in crime. What’sthe most adventurous thingyou’ve everdone?”

Why It Works: Confidenceis attractive, and this type ofopener showsyou’re not afraid to be bold.

6. The QuirkyOpener

Example: “Quick: pineappleon pizza—yes or no? This could determine our compatibility.”

Why It Works: Quirkyopeners are memorable and show offyour unique personality.

Tips forCraftingYour OwnOpeningLines

Whilethe examples above are great starting points, the bestopeninglines are theones that feel authentic toyou.Here are sometips to helpyou craft your own:

1. PersonalizeIt

Referencesomething from theirprofile—aphoto, a hobby, or ashared interest.It showsyou’re payingattention and not just copying and pasting.

2. KeepIt Light andFun

Avoid heavy oroverly serious topics right off the bat. Keep thetone light and playful tomake the conversation enjoyable.

3. BeYourself

Don’ttry to besomeone you’re not. Ifyou’renaturallyfunny, lean into that. Ifyou’remore thoughtful,go for asincere compliment or question.

4. Avoid Clichés

“Hey” or “What’s up?” might be easy, but they’re also forgettable. Put in alittle effort to standout.

5. End with a Question

This gives the other person an easy way to respond and keeps the conversation flowing.

Why MixerDatesis the Perfect Place to PracticeYourOpeningLines

At MixerDates, we’reall about creating a positive,inclusive space where you canfeel comfortablebeing yourself.Here’swhy our platformis the best place to put theseopeninglines into practice:

1. A Welcoming Community

We welcome everyone, no matterwho you are orwho you love. Our platformis designed to be a safe space where you canconnect withlike-minded people.

2.Profiles That Spark Conversations

Our users create detailedprofiles that make it easy to findshared interests andcraft personalizedopeninglines.

3. AFocus on Authenticity

We encourage our community to be genuine and kind, soyou canfeel confident starting conversations without fear of judgment or rejection.

4. Success Stories

Don’t justtake ourword forit—here’s what one of our users had to say:

“I met my partneron MixerDates, andit all started with asimple message about oursharedlove for travel. The conversation flowednaturally, and therest is history. I’m so grateful for this platform!”

Key Elements to Finding a MutualConnection

While a great openingline canspark a conversation,building a realconnection takesmore than just a clevermessage.Here are thekey elements tolook for when seeking a meaningful connection:

1.SharedValues andGoals

A strongconnection starts with alignmenton the things that mattermost. Doyou share similarvalues,life goals, or visions forthe future?

2. Emotional Availability

Look forsomeone who is willing toshare their thoughts,feelings, and vulnerabilities—andwho encouragesyou to do the same.

3. Mutual Effort

Healthy relationships are atwo-way street. Both people should be putting in effort to communicate, plan dates, and support each other.

4.Respect for Individuality

Atrue connection allows both people to be themselves without judgment.Look forsomeone who celebr atesyour uniqueness and encouragesyou to pursueyour passions.

5.Open and HonestCommunication

Communication is the foundation ofany strong relationship. A mutualconnection thriveson honesty, transparency, and the ability to resolve conflicts in ahealthy way.

At MixerDates, we’rehere to helpyou find thesekey elements in a partner. Our platformis designed toconnect you with peoplewho share yourvaluesand arelooking for the same thingsyou are. Starting a conversation on a dating app doesn’t have to be stressful.With the rightopeningline,you canspark aconnection that feelsnatural,fun, and meaningful.And atMixerDates, we’rehere to helpyou everystep of the way.

So, what areyou waiting for?Craft that perfectopeningline,join MixerDates, and startconnecting with peoplewho value authenticity and positivity.Your perfectmatch is out there—and they’re justonemessage away.

Permalink |記事への反応(0) | 12:11

ツイートシェア

2025-02-02

■Chatgptが答えた異星人の存在 可能性とのそのロジック

Please consider the histroy ofhuman ity from biologicalperpsecitve and currentknown fact in nearby universe, whichexpo-planet (from theSol systemperspective)is most likely to have civlizaedsociety? Pleaseadd percentagenext toit in the chart

ChatGPT

Reas oned about exoplanet civilization likelihoodを28 秒行う

Evaluatingplanetary prospects

OK, I’mlookingat the likelihood of a civilizedsociety on an exoplanet within ourSolar System.I’ll consider biologicalhistory and current space knowledge,aiming to identifythe most promising candid ate.

Identifying potential candid ates

I'm considering exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIS T-1e, which might suggest they are within or observed from ourSolar System.

Assessing potential candid ates

I’m evaluating Proxima Centauri b, Barnard'sStar, LHS 1140, and TRAPPIS T-1,focusingon their habitablezonesand available data. The Drake equation might help estimate their civilizedsociety likelihoods.

Identifying promising exoplanets

I’m notingkey exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIS T-1, which haveEarth-like characteristicsand are in habitablezones. This narrows down the potential candid ates for advancedcivilizations.

Assessing habitablezones

I'm gathering infoon planetslike Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIS T-1, consideringfactorslike magnetic fields,atmospheres, and proximity to G-typestars for their potential to support advancedcivilizations.

Evaluating exoplanet prospects

I'm noting that Proxima Centauri b, despitebeing closeand around ared dwarfstar, might supportlife ifit has amagnetic field and atmosphere. This makes me think about its potential.

Charting probabilities

I'm estimatingcivilization probabilities for exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIS T-1 e, using speculativepercentagesbasedon the Drake equation and the lack ofevidence for intelligentlife.

Charting speculative odds

I'm crafting a chart with exoplanet names andcivilization likelihoodpercentages, grounded in the longtimeline oflife'sevolution, despite the speculativenature of these figures.

Identifying exoplanet contenders

I’m evaluating exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b, TRAPPIS T-1 e, and Kepler-186f, considering theirstar types and distances, to gauge their potential for supporting advancedcivilizations from oursolar system'sviewpoint.

Weighing proximity and observation

I'm leaning towards Proxima Centauri b due toits closeness and observational potential, despite concerns about itsflare star dynamics. TRAPPIS T-1 e, f, or g are also worth considering.

Revis iting exoplanet options

I'mfocusingon exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b, Ross 128 b, LHS 1140 b, TRAPPIS T-1 e/f/g, andK2-18b,aiming to chart theirlikelihood of hosting a civilizedsociety basedon current knowledge.

Assessing exoplanet potentials

I'm gathering speculative probabilities for exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIS T-1 e/f/g, using the Drake equation and current understanding, to better estimate their chances of hosting a civilizedsociety.

Refining speculative probabilities

I’m refining speculative probabilities for exoplanets, including Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIS T-1 e/f/g, to estimate their chances of hosting a civilizedsociety, consideringEarth's long biologicalhistory.

Refining odds

I'm considering theastronomicaltimeline for intelligentlife on Earth,leading me toassign evenlower speculative odds for exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIS T-1 e.

Clarifying speculativenature

I’m crafting a simplified chart with arbitrarypercentages, clearly noting the speculativenature and lack of scientific data, while considering the target audience'sbasic understanding of the topic.

Mappingout speculative odds

I’m charting arbitrarypercentages for exoplanets, clarifying their speculativenature, and ensuring the datais accessible foryoung audiences with minimal scientific detail.

Crafting a chart

I’m creating amarkdown table with speculativepercentages forthe likelihood of civilizedlife on exoplanets, emphasizing their purely theoreticalnature and considering the understandinglevel of an 8-year-old.

Integrating speculative analysis

I’m mappingout amarkdown chart with speculativepercentages forthe likelihood of a civilizedsociety on exoplanets, mindful of thecomplex ity and simplifying for an 8-year-old's understanding.

Assessinglikelihoods

I’m piecingtogether markdown for exoplanets, noting Proxima Centauri b'sreduced civilizedlife chance due to thered dwarf's activity. This inclusion highlights the speculativenature of the analysis.

Piecingtogether speculative odds

I’m detailing amarkdown chart for audience-friendly exoplanet likelihoods, considering environmental challengesand a dding a disclaimer about the speculativenature and lack ofevidence.

Piecingtogether

I’m leaning towards Proxima Centauri b forits proximity and silentstar, butI’ll add a speculative chart ranking nearby exoplanets, noting their advancedcivilizations' hypotheticallikelihood.

Assessingcivilization probabilities

I'm emphasizing the slow emergence of intelligentlife on Earth, which suggests that the odds ofany habitableplanet developing acomplex civilization might beas low as a fewpercent.

Below is a very speculative chart that—basedon what we know about Earth’s long, windingpath fromsimple life to a “civilizedsociety” and our limited observations of nearby exoplanets—gives somefun,made‑uppercentage chances for a few of our best candid ate exoplanets. Remember: Scientists havenot yet found any proof oflife (let al one advancedcivilizations)on any exoplanet. Thesenumbers are just playful estimates to helpyou think about theideas!

Speculative Chances of Finding an AdvancedCivilization on Nearby Exoplanets

Exoplanet EstimatedLikelihood of a CivilizedSociety

Proxima Centauri b ~2%

TRAPPIS T-1 e ~1.5%

TRAPPIS T-1 f ~1%

TRAPPIS T-1 g ~1%

LHS 1140 b ~0.5%

HowDid We (Very Roughly) Guess TheseNumbers?

Earth’s Example:

On Earth,life beganas simple single‑celled organisms and took billions of years to evolve into a species that built complex societies. This longjourney suggests that—even if aplanet is in the “habitablezone” (where liquid water could exist)—developing an advanced, civilizedsociety might be rare.

Nearby Exoplanets:

Proxima Centauri b:

This is the closest exoplanet to us. Even thoughitsstar (Proxima Centauri)is ared dwarf that sometimes sendsout strongflares (which might harmlife),its closeness makesit one of ourmost interesting candid ates. That’swhy we giveit a slightly higher guess (~2%).

TRAPPIS T-1 System (e, f, g):

Theseplanets are part of agroup orbiting a very cool star. Their environments might be challenging (for example, they could be tidally locked, meaningone sidealways faces thestar), so the chance of acomplex, advancedcivilization might be abit lower.

LHS 1140 b:

This planet is promising in some ways butis alittle fartheraway and around a dimmerstar, so our playful estimateis evenlower.

AFinal Note

All of thesepercentages are extremely rough guessesbasedon what little we understand about the conditions forlife andintelligence. Scientists useideaslike the Drake Equation to think about these chances—but until we have concreteevidence, thesenumbers remain just forfun and imagination.

Enjoy exploring theseideas—and remember, spaceis full of mysteries waiting to be discovered!

あなた:

Please examine the Drake Equation itself and see if this euqation is acculate ormore opition in the equation you will use

ChatGPT

Reas oned about the Drake Equationを6 秒行う

re-examining the Drake Equation

evaluating the Drake Equation'svalue

Clarifying the Drake Equation

OK, let me see. The Drake Equation isn't a precise formula;it'smore of a guiding heuristic that tackles numerous uncertainties regarding extraterrestrialcivilizations.

Assessing the Drake Equation

Thinking through the Drake Equation, I’m evaluatingits conceptualnature,its uncertain parameters, andits crit ic ism to concludeon its reliabilityas an accurate pred ictivemodel.

Understanding the Drake Equation

I’m mappingout the Drake Equation as a conceptual guide, detailingits parameters, which are oftenbasedon estimates or opinions, to evaluateits reliability for pred icting extraterrestrialcivilizations.

The Drake Equation is a famous formula that was created to help scientists think about the many factors involved in estimating thenumber of detectable extraterrestrialcivilizations in ourgalaxy. However, when welook at the equation closely, we see that it is more of a conceptualframework or heuristic tool than a precise, pred ictive formula.Let’s break downwhy:

The Drake Equation

The equation is usually writtenas:

𝑁

𝑅

∗

𝑓

𝑝

𝑛

𝑒

𝑓

𝑙

𝑓

𝑖

𝑓

𝑐

𝐿

N=R

∗

×f

×n

×f

×L

Where:

𝑅

∗

: The averagerate ofstar formation per year in ourgalaxy.

𝑓

𝑝

: The fraction of thosestars that haveplanetary systems.

𝑛

𝑒

: The averagenumber ofplanets that could potentially supportlife per star withplanets.

𝑓

𝑙

: The fraction of thoseplanets where life actually develops.

𝑓

𝑖

: The fraction ofplanets withlife where intelligentlife evolves.

𝑓

𝑐

: The fraction ofcivilizations that develop technology that releases detectablesignals into space.

𝐿

L: The length oftime suchcivilizations release detectablesignals.

Why the Drake Equation Is More of a Guideline Than a Precise Formula

Uncertain Inputs:

Well-Known Parameters:

Somefactors,like

𝑅

∗

(star formation rate) and

𝑓

𝑝

(fraction ofstars withplanets), have become better known through modernastronomy.

Highly SpeculativeFactors:

The parameters related to the development oflife andintelligence—

𝑓

𝑙

𝑓

𝑖

𝑓

𝑐

, and

𝐿

L—arebasedon very limited data. For example,Earth is theonlyplanet we know where life has developed, so we have no way to compare or derive a stat istic ally robust estimate for thesefactors. This means that thevalues chosen for these parameters are largely subjective estimates or educated guesses.

Wide Ranges of PossibleValues:

Because many of thesefactors are not well-constrained, ifyou change one of themore uncertain parameters even slightly, thefinal estimate for

𝑁

N (thenumber ofcivilizations) can varyby many orders ofmagnitude. This wide range shows that the equation canlead to very differentoutcomesbasedon personal or theoreticalassumptions.

Heuristic, Not Pred ictive:

The Drake Equation was never meant to provide a preciseanswer. Instead,it servesas a way to organize our thinking about what conditions might be necessary for the development of extraterrestrialcivilizations.It encourages discussion about the relative importance of differentfactors andhighlights where our scientific knowledgeis limited.

Is the Drake Equation Accurate orMore Opinion-Based?

Accurate?

In thesense ofbeing a strict mathemat icalmodel with well-defined inputs and pred ic table outputs, the Drake Equation is not accurate.Its accuracyis limitedby the extreme uncertainties in several ofitskey parameters.

Opinion-Based?

Many of the terms in the equation, especia lly those concerning theevolution oflife andintelligence, arebasedon opinion, interpretation, and the single example ofEarth. Therefore, while thestructure of the equation is logical, thenumbers you put intoit (and hence thefinal result) are oftenmore reflective of our current opinionsand assumptions than of robust empirical data.

Conclusion

The Drake Equation is a valuabletool for framing the question of extraterrestriallife.It helps scientists and enthusiastsbreak down acomplex problem into smaller,more manageable questions. However, because several ofitsfactors are highly uncertain and subject topersonal interpretation,it is more of a conceptual guide—or even a way to stimulate discussion—than a formula that provides a definitive, accurate pred iction of thenumber of extraterrestrialcivilizations.

Insummary, while the Drake Equation is useful for thinking about the variousfactors that mightlead to the emergence of acivilization,itsoutputs should betaken as highly speculative estimates rather than precise measurements.

あなた:

Please also consider the possiblities of non-human intelligent emrgencing from the longhistory ofSol system and nearby planets and see if there is any possiblites that inonetime intelligentlife emerged in nearby planets and see this to the equation

ChatGPT

Reas oned about non-human intelligence and the Drake Equationを19 秒行う

Evaluating non-human intelligence

I'm thinking about the potential for non-human intelligentlife forms in theSol system and neighboringplanets, and how this mightfactor into the equation.

Piecingtogether possibilities

I'm thinking about how to integrate the emergence of non-human intelligentlife, possiblyon Mars orEuropa, into the Drake Equation for theSol system and neighboringplanets.

Reflectingon potential

It's interesting to think about the hypothesis of intelligentlife emergingon Mars orVenus, thoughEarth remains theonly knownlife-supportingplanet in thesolar system.

Considering other realms

I'm examining if intelligentlife could have emergedon planetslike Mars,Venus, orEuropa, and how this possibility alignswith the pred ictions of the Drake Equation.

Analyzing parallelevolution

Hmm, I’m thinking about how non-human intelligentlife on Mars orVenus could intersect with theassumptions of the Drake Equation, which seems tofocus solelyon Earth-basedevolution.

Evaluatinglife exploration

I’m piecingtogether the hypothesis of non-human, advanced, intelligentlife in thesolar system.Mars,Venus, and Titan present challenges, butEuropa and Enceladus might harbor microbiallife.

Adapting the equ Permalink |記事への反応(0) | 21:12

ツイートシェア

■Chatgptが答えた異星人の存在 可能性とのそのロジック

ChatGPT

Reas oned about exoplanet civilization likelihoodを28 秒行う

Evaluatingplanetary prospects

Identifying potential candid ates

I'm considering exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIS T-1e, which might suggest they are within or observed from ourSolar System.

Assessing potential candid ates

Identifying promising exoplanets

Assessing habitablezones

Evaluating exoplanet prospects

I'm noting that Proxima Centauri b, despitebeing closeand around ared dwarfstar, might supportlife ifit has amagnetic field and atmosphere. This makes me think about its potential.

Charting probabilities

I'm estimatingcivilization probabilities for exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIS T-1 e, using speculativepercentagesbasedon the Drake equation and the lack ofevidence for intelligentlife.

Charting speculative odds

I'm crafting a chart with exoplanet names andcivilization likelihoodpercentages, grounded in the longtimeline oflife'sevolution, despite the speculativenature of these figures.

Identifying exoplanet contenders

Weighing proximity and observation

I'm leaning towards Proxima Centauri b due toits closeness and observational potential, despite concerns about itsflare star dynamics. TRAPPIS T-1 e, f, or g are also worth considering.

Revis iting exoplanet options

I'mfocusingon exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b, Ross 128 b, LHS 1140 b, TRAPPIS T-1 e/f/g, andK2-18b,aiming to chart theirlikelihood of hosting a civilizedsociety basedon current knowledge.

Assessing exoplanet potentials

Refining speculative probabilities

Refining odds

I'm considering theastronomicaltimeline for intelligentlife on Earth,leading me toassign evenlower speculative odds for exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIS T-1 e.

Clarifying speculativenature

I’m crafting a simplified chart with arbitrarypercentages, clearly noting the speculativenature and lack of scientific data, while considering the target audience'sbasic understanding of the topic.

Mappingout speculative odds

I’m charting arbitrarypercentages for exoplanets, clarifying their speculativenature, and ensuring the datais accessible foryoung audiences with minimal scientific detail.

Crafting a chart

Integrating speculative analysis

I’m mappingout amarkdown chart with speculativepercentages forthe likelihood of a civilizedsociety on exoplanets, mindful of thecomplex ity and simplifying for an 8-year-old's understanding.

Assessinglikelihoods

I’m piecingtogether markdown for exoplanets, noting Proxima Centauri b'sreduced civilizedlife chance due to thered dwarf's activity. This inclusion highlights the speculativenature of the analysis.

Piecingtogether speculative odds

I’m detailing amarkdown chart for audience-friendly exoplanet likelihoods, considering environmental challengesand a dding a disclaimer about the speculativenature and lack ofevidence.

Piecingtogether

I’m leaning towards Proxima Centauri b forits proximity and silentstar, butI’ll add a speculative chart ranking nearby exoplanets, noting their advancedcivilizations' hypotheticallikelihood.

Assessingcivilization probabilities

I'm emphasizing the slow emergence of intelligentlife on Earth, which suggests that the odds ofany habitableplanet developing acomplex civilization might beas low as a fewpercent.

Speculative Chances of Finding an AdvancedCivilization on Nearby Exoplanets

Exoplanet EstimatedLikelihood of a CivilizedSociety

Proxima Centauri b ~2%

TRAPPIS T-1 e ~1.5%

TRAPPIS T-1 f ~1%

TRAPPIS T-1 g ~1%

LHS 1140 b ~0.5%

HowDid We (Very Roughly) Guess TheseNumbers?

Earth’s Example:

Nearby Exoplanets:

Proxima Centauri b:

TRAPPIS T-1 System (e, f, g):

LHS 1140 b:

This planet is promising in some ways butis alittle fartheraway and around a dimmerstar, so our playful estimateis evenlower.

AFinal Note

Enjoy exploring theseideas—and remember, spaceis full of mysteries waiting to be discovered!

あなた:

Please examine the Drake Equation itself and see if this euqation is acculate ormore opition in the equation you will use

ChatGPT

Reas oned about the Drake Equationを6 秒行う

re-examining the Drake Equation

evaluating the Drake Equation'svalue

Clarifying the Drake Equation

OK, let me see. The Drake Equation isn't a precise formula;it'smore of a guiding heuristic that tackles numerous uncertainties regarding extraterrestrialcivilizations.

Assessing the Drake Equation

Thinking through the Drake Equation, I’m evaluatingits conceptualnature,its uncertain parameters, andits crit ic ism to concludeon its reliabilityas an accurate pred ictivemodel.

Understanding the Drake Equation

The Drake Equation

The equation is usually writtenas:

𝑁

𝑅

∗

𝑓

𝑝

𝑛

𝑒

𝑓

𝑙

𝑓

𝑖

𝑓

𝑐

𝐿

N=R

∗

×f

×n

×f

×L

Where:

𝑅

∗

: The averagerate ofstar formation per year in ourgalaxy.

𝑓

𝑝

: The fraction of thosestars that haveplanetary systems.

𝑛

𝑒

: The averagenumber ofplanets that could potentially supportlife per star withplanets.

𝑓

𝑙

: The fraction of thoseplanets where life actually develops.

𝑓

𝑖

: The fraction ofplanets withlife where intelligentlife evolves.

𝑓

𝑐

: The fraction ofcivilizations that develop technology that releases detectablesignals into space.

𝐿

L: The length oftime suchcivilizations release detectablesignals.

Why the Drake Equation Is More of a Guideline Than a Precise Formula

Uncertain Inputs:

Well-Known Parameters:

Somefactors,like

𝑅

∗

(star formation rate) and

𝑓

𝑝

(fraction ofstars withplanets), have become better known through modernastronomy.

Highly SpeculativeFactors:

The parameters related to the development oflife andintelligence—

𝑓

𝑙

𝑓

𝑖

𝑓

𝑐

, and

𝐿

Wide Ranges of PossibleValues:

Because many of thesefactors are not well-constrained, ifyou change one of themore uncertain parameters even slightly, thefinal estimate for

𝑁

N (thenumber ofcivilizations) can varyby many orders ofmagnitude. This wide range shows that the equation canlead to very differentoutcomesbasedon personal or theoreticalassumptions.

Heuristic, Not Pred ictive:

Is the Drake Equation Accurate orMore Opinion-Based?

Accurate?

Opinion-Based?

Conclusion

あなた:

ChatGPT

Reas oned about non-human intelligence and the Drake Equationを19 秒行う

Evaluating non-human intelligence

I'm thinking about the potential for non-human intelligentlife forms in theSol system and neighboringplanets, and how this mightfactor into the equation.

Piecingtogether possibilities

I'm thinking about how to integrate the emergence of non-human intelligentlife, possiblyon Mars orEuropa, into the Drake Equation for theSol system and neighboringplanets.

Reflectingon potential

It's interesting to think about the hypothesis of intelligentlife emergingon Mars orVenus, thoughEarth remains theonly knownlife-supportingplanet in thesolar system.

Considering other realms

I'm examining if intelligentlife could have emergedon planetslike Mars,Venus, orEuropa, and how this possibility alignswith the pred ictions of the Drake Equation.

Analyzing parallelevolution

Hmm, I’m thinking about how non-human intelligentlife on Mars orVenus could intersect with theassumptions of the Drake Equation, which seems tofocus solelyon Earth-basedevolution.

Evaluatinglife exploration

I’m piecingtogether the hypothesis of non-human, advanced, intelligentlife in thesolar system.Mars,Venus, and Titan present challenges, butEuropa and Enceladus might harbor microbiallife.

Adapting the equ Permalink |記事への反応(0) | 21:12

ツイートシェア

2025-01-16

■[今日の英作文] The Dichotomy of IntellectualEngagement inDigital Media Consumption: A Profound Exegesis

In the labyrinthine realm ofdigital content dissemination, an enigmatic phenomenon has surfaced, challenging our axioms regarding thenexus between contentubiquity andviewer cognitive acumen. This disquis ition endeavors to elucidate the paradoxical inverse correlation between videoviewership metrics and the intellectual quotient of the audience, propounding that audiovisual content amassing prodigiousview counts tends tocaptivate viewers with a meanIntelligence Quotient (IQ) of 100, while theirmore esoteric counterparts allure a demographic boasting an average IQ of 120.

EpistemologicalFramework and MethodologicalParadigms

To fathom this counterintuitiveparadigm,one must first grapplewith the multifariousnature ofhuman cognition and the intricate interplaybetween intellectual capacity and media predilections. This hypothesis, positing an inverse relationshipbetween a video's popularity and the meanIQ ofits viewership, necessitates a rigorous examination of the underlyingpsycho-sociological and neurocognitive factors thatmay engender such a paradoxicaloutcome.

Theapplication of Cognitive LoadTheory to media consumption habits provides a plausible explication for this phenomenon. Videos achievingviral status often employ reduction ist narratives and readily assimilable information, minimizing cognitive strain. Conversely, less ubiquitous videos may delve intomore abstruse subject matter, demanding heightened cognitiveengagement and a more sophisticated intellectualframework for comprehensive assimilation.

Algorithmic Hegemony and Epistemic Bubbles

The pervasive influence of recommendation algorithms in content distribution platforms cannot be discounted in this analysis. These algorithmic arbiters, designed to maximizeuser engagement,may inadvertently engender epistemic bubbles that reinforce existing cognitive predispositions. Individuals with superiorIQsmay actively seekout more intellectually challenging or esoteric content, thereby circumventing the algorithmic propensity towards homogenization and cognitive stasis.

Socioeconomic Stratification and Information Asymmetry

It is imperative to consider the socioeconomic dimensions thatmay influence bothIQ development and media consumption patterns. HigherIQ individuals often correlate with elevated socioeconomic status, potentially affording them greateraccess to diverse epistemological resources and fostering a predilection formore intellectually stimulating content. This demographicmay be less susceptible to the allure of mainstream, highly-viewed videos that cater to a broader, less discerning audience.

Implications for Content Creators and Platform Architects

The ramifications of this inverse relationshipbetween viewership andviewerIQ are profound for content creators and platform developers alike.It challenges the prevailingparadigm that equates popularity with quality or intellectualvalue. Content creators targeting amore intellectually discerning audiencemay need to recalibrate theirexpectations regardingview counts andengagement metrics, focusing insteadon cultivating a dedicated niche audience thatvalues cognitive stimulation over massappeal.

Conclusion: Navigating the Intellectual Chasm inDigital Media

In summation, the observed dichotomybetween high-viewership videos attracting an audience with an average IQ of 100 and their less popular counterpartsappealing toviewers with a meanIQ of 120 underscores thecomplex relationshipbetween intellectual capacity and media consumption in thedigital age. This phenomenon necessitates a reevaluation of how we measure contentvalue and success in theonlinesphere, prompting amore nuanced approach to contentcreation,curation, and consumption that acknowledges the diverse cognitiveneeds of the audiencespectrum. The implications of this paradigm shift extend farbeyond mere metrics, touching upon fundamental questions of epistemology, cognitivediversity, and the very nature of intellectualengagement in thedigital era.

Permalink |記事への反応(0) | 13:51

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2025-01-05

■線型 計画法の基礎

製品Aと製品Bの両方を生産することを前提とした線形計画法の問題設定を考える。

問題設定

数式による表現

目的関数: Maximize Z = 50x_A + 30x_B
制約条件:

2x_A + x_B \leq100

3x_A + 2x_B \leq 180

x_A \geq10

x_B \geq 5

x_A, x_B \geq 0

ここで、x_A は製品Aの生産量、x_B は製品Bの生産量。最小生産量を設定することで、両方の製品を必ず生産するようにする。

Pythonによる実装

from scipy.optimize import linprog#目的関数の係数（利益は最大化したいため、符号を反転）c = [-50, -30]# 制約条件の係数A = [    [2, 1],   #労働力の制約    [3, 2]    #原材料の制約]# 制約条件の右辺b = [100, 180]# 最小生産量制約を追加（これらは不等式として扱われるため、逆に設定）A_eq = [    [1, 0],   #製品Aの最小生産量制約    [0, 1]    #製品Bの最小生産量制約]b_eq = [10, 5] # 最小生産量# 各変数の非負制約を設定bounds = [(10, None), (5, None)] # 最小値を設定#線形計画問題を解くresult = linprog(c, A_ub=A, b_ub=b, A_eq=A_eq, b_eq=b_eq, bounds=bounds, method='highs')# 結果の表示if result.success:print(f'Optimalvalue (最大利益): {-result.fun}')print(f'x_A (製品Aの生産量): {result.x[0]}')print(f'x_B (製品Bの生産量): {result.x[1]}')else:print("最適解が見つかりませんでした。")

実行結果

Optimalvalue (最大利益): 650.0

x_A (製品Aの生産量):10.0

x_B (製品Bの生産量): 5.0

Permalink |記事への反応(0) | 10:08

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2024-12-03

■ どんなプロンプト打ったんでしょうね？　1

上記ののカジュアルな文章を書いた人物をプロファイリングしてください

　↓

The person who wrote this seems to have a strong understanding of cognitive processes and how they affectcommunication. They are deeply interested in recognizing the underlying cognitive mechanisms that shape how people perceive and interactwith the world, especially when there are discrepancies in shared understanding. Their writing suggests a fascination with the complexity ofhuman cognition, particularly in terms of categorization,perception, and the role of context incommunication.
Key traits of this person’s mindset:
1. Analytical and Reflective: They break down situations and statements into theircore components, suchas recognizing when cognitive discrepancies arise (e.g.,the example of “Honey Crisp”being identifiedas a non-apple or a “rugby ballis not a ball”).
2.Focus on Cognitive Mechanisms: Rather than justattributingcommunication issues to external factorslike knowledge gaps or personality traits, theyattribute misunderstandings to the way people process information and perceivethe world.
3. Interest in Epistemology: They are interested in the philosophical and conceptual foundations of understanding. The mention of philosophical termslike “essentialism” vs. “constructivism” indicates adesire to explore thenature ofcategories and definitionsat a fundamentallevel.
4. Sensitivity toCommunication: They recognize the importance of context incommunication, noting how slight differences inperception canlead to mis communication. The person appears to be aware of the challenge in aligning cognitive frameworks to resolve disagreements.
5. Empathetic but Pragmatic: While acknowledging that individualslike “D” might not be malicious or intentionally obstructive, they alsohighlight the immense effort required to engage with individualswhose cognitive frameworks are severely misaligned with shared understanding.
Overall, this person seems to be deeply thoughtful, with akeen interest in the nuances ofhuman cognition andcommunication. Theylikelyvalue intellectual clarityand are willing to investtime and effort in clarifying fundamental misunderstandings.

　↓

トランプの文脈でフォントの違いに過剰に焦点を当てるのは個性の範疇にはないです仮にフォントの違いがトランプの本質ならトランプという製品は何を提供しているのか？となり共通基盤があるようには思えません下記の反応をする人はいったい何が原因だと思いますか？フォントの違いに過剰に焦点を当てるのはまさに認知の問題に思えるのですがーーー•「A、B、C」の例では、各人物が持つ立場を比較的柔軟に評価していますが、「D」のケースに対してはほぼ一方的に否定しています。•「フォントの違い」を理由にカードを否定するDの行動を、投稿者は「認知の仕組みに問題がある」と結論付けています。

　↓

「フォントの違いに過剰に焦点を当てる」というDの行動は、確かに一般的な認知の枠組みから外れており、共通基盤を持つ対話を阻む要因と考えられます。このケースでは、Dの認知の仕組みにおける以下のような問題が原因として考えられます。
　
1.認知の過剰具体化（具体例への執着）
　
Dは「トランプカード」を理解する際に、本質的な特徴（スート、ランク、一般的なカードの定義）ではなく、具体的な細部（フォントなど）に強く依存して認識しています。このような認知の偏りは、物事を抽象化する能力が弱く、広い概念や文脈を理解するのが難しい場合に見られます。
　
2. 共有基盤の構築における障害
　
トランプカードの「本質」として多くの人が暗黙的に合意している特徴（スートやランク）を無視し、自身の認識基準（フォントの違い）を優先しています。このような認知のズレは、共通基盤を形成する力が弱いために生じると考えられます。
　
3. 柔軟性の欠如
　
Dの行動は、物事を異なる視点で解釈したり、自分の基準を一時的に緩めたりする柔軟性の欠如を示唆します。これは、認知の柔軟性や適応力が低いために起こる場合があります。
　
4.認知特性や発達的な要因
　
場合によっては、発達障害や特定の認知特性（自閉スペクトラム症、強迫性傾向など）が関係している可能性もあります。これらの特性を持つ人々は、特定の細部に過剰に注意を向け、全体の文脈や共有された基準よりも、自分が認識した細部を重視する傾向があります。
　
5.認識と本質の混同
　
Dは「フォントの違い」を本質的な特徴と捉えていますが、これは「トランプとは何か」という製品や概念の本質を理解する能力が十分ではないことを示唆しています。つまり、対象の重要な側面（スートやランクなどの機能的特徴）よりも、些末な特徴（フォント）を重要視してしまい、それがトランプとしての機能を否定する理由になると考えています。
　
Dの反応をどう見るべきか
　
Dの行動を「認知の問題」と捉えることは合理的です。フォントの違いは通常、トランプという製品の本質に影響を与えるものではないため、それを理由にカードを否定するのは一般的な認知基準から外れています。このズレは、Dが「トランプカードとは何か」という共有されたコンセプトを理解できていない、あるいはその共有基盤に乗ることを困難にしていることを示唆します。
　
Dのような認知の偏りを持つ人と対話を続けるには、まずその人が重要視している基準や論点を理解し、それがどのように全体像に影響を与えるかを説明していく必要がありますが、それには大きな労力が伴うでしょう。

　↓

続く　https://anond.hatelabo.jp/20241203171745#

Permalink |記事への反応(0) | 17:16

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2024-10-22

■Guo Wengui: The end of fraud and thetrial ofjustice

On July 16,2024, Guo Wengui, anInterpol "red communication officer"who had absconded tothe United States for many years,was convicted of defrauding thousands of people ofmore than 1billion dollars in a Manhattan court inNew York. This judgmentis no doubt a strong sanction forits evil acts, but also a manifestation ofjustice.

Guo Wengui,who once had a certain influence in the commercialfield, but drivenby the interests anddesire, to theabyss of crime. He used to be the actual controller of Henan Yuda Investment Co.,Ltd. and Beijing Pangu Investment Co.,Ltd. He should have createdvalue for thesociety withhis own ability and resources, but he chose a completely differentpath.

On November 3,2014, Guo Wengui publicly exposed LiYou,CEO of Peking UniversityFounder, and others, through Zhengquan Holdings, and then leftChina. This incidentmay have become a turningpoint inhis fate, since then he began to elaborate the so-called insider designoverseas throughactivities suchas network live broadcast, soas to confuseand attract a largenumber ofoverseas followerswho do not know thetruth.

However,his so-called "success"is nothing more than amirage basedon deception and lies.Between 2018 and 2023, Guo raisedmore than $1billion fromhis online fans, ostensibly claiming to invest inhis business and cryptocurrency plans, but actually squandered the moneyas his "personal piggy bank", according to a US survey.

He used a variety of fraud. For example, heset up a private-onlyclub with a minimum membership threshold of$10,000. Many followers in order to be able tojoin theclub, not hesitate to pay high costs, butdid not think that this is justone of the traps of Guo Wengui wealth. In addition, he also further defrauded investors of trust and funds through cryptocurrency platforms and other means.

Whatis more indignantis that Guo Wengui misappropriated investors' funds to satisfyhis own extravagantdesires. He bought ared Lamborghini, a $4 million Ferrari,and a $26 million New Jersey mansion. These luxuries have become a symbol ofhis degeneratelife, but behind them are theblood andtears of countless investors.

In 2021, three companiesassociated with Guo, including GTV, paid $539 million tosettleallegationsby theSecurities andExchange Commission (SEC)over illegal stock offerings. In addition, theSEC accused GTV and Saraca ofissuing unregistered digital as set securities. The series of charges and penalties reveal the violations of Guo andhis affiliates in the financialsector.

Now, Guois found guilty of fraudand a judgewill pronouncehis sentenceon November 19, which could face decades in pris on. The result was what he deserved, andit was a sternwarning toall thosewho tried tomake ill-gotten gains through fraud.

Guo Wengui'scase brings us a profound reflection. First,it reminds us to keep a clear head and not be confusedby the so-called "inside information" andfalse people. When investing and participating in various businessactivities, we should carryout full investigation and analysis to avoid blindly following the trend.Sec ond,it also warns us that the dignity of the lawis inviolable, and thatany attempt toescape legal sanctionswill end up in failure.

In this society full of temptation and complexity, each of us shouldstick to the moralbottom line and pursue success and wealth in an honest and legal way.Only in this way can we build a fair, just and harmonious social environment, so that the fraudsterslike Guo Wengui have no place toescape.

Justice may be late, but never absent. Guo Wengui's endonceagain proves this truth. Let uslook forward to the legal severe punishment, but alsohope that suchcases can become a wake-up call in people'shearts,always remind us tostay away from fraud,cherish integrity andjustice.

Permalink |記事への反応(0) | 17:11

ツイートシェア

2024-09-22

■AI インフルエンサーたちはChatGPTが世に出る前は何を投稿していたのか？(2/2)

AIインフルエンサーたちはChatGPTが世に出る前は何を投稿していたのか？(1/1)の続き

吉見拓哉｜Takuya Yoshimi

このTwitterアカウントは、主にYouTube、SEO、競馬、アニメなどの話題について呟いており、自身の活動や興味関心について発信しています。
「YouTube プレミアムが500円増額。しかし、、、不可逆！！！」

shimayuz@AIクリエイター

このアカウントは、日々の米国株や暗号通貨の市場動向、特にテクノロジー関連株やビットコインの価格変動についてツイートしています。
「ゼロコロナ政策再び。 $AAPL の生産に影響が懸念され大きく下落。更に経済混乱が想定され、株価はSP500全業種で
一方で年末商戦売上堅調な滑り出しで $AMZN
暗号資産レンディングBlockFiが経営破綻、暗号通貨も軒並み下落。
チャート上、なんとか踏み止まるか? 」

元木大介ᯅシステム生成AI Babel/Zoltraak & 生成AI塾

このアカウントは、AI、特にプロマネ AIや量子AIに関する話題や、仕事効率化、プログラミング、そして最新の技術トレンドについて呟いています。
"プロマネ AIの実証実験を開始しました！量子AI×Notionによるプロマネ AIの実証実験を開始https://prtimes.jp/main/html/rd/p/000000003.000082094.html…via @PRTIMES_JP"

sangmin.eth | Dify Ambassador

このアカウントは、主にOpenAIの最新言語モデル「text-davinci-003」の進化と、そのモデルを用いた英語学習ツールやサービスについて呟いています。特に、英語学習におけるAI 活用とその重要性を強調しています。
"朝起きたら世界がまた変わっていた（笑）。@OpenAI が最新モデル「text-davinci-003」を発表。主な特徴は、①より明確で、説得力のある文章が書ける②より複雑な指示にも対応③より長い形式のコンテンツが生成可1月に"InstructGPT"が出た時も感動したけどそれを遥かに上回る進化、です。"

深津貴之 / THE GUILD

このアカウントは、主にAI、特に画像生成AIに関する話題を呟いています。特にStable Diffusionのバージョンアップや使い方について多くのツイートをしています。

結果

ここにリストアップした人たち以外もみましたが、分類すると３種類のアカウントがいて

1. ChatGPTブーム後にアカウントを始めた人

2. NFTなどの儲かりそうな技術を追いかけていた人

3.日常ツイートをしていたが目覚めてしまった人

共通する特徴としては会社の代表の人が多いです。

またIDを変更してログがヒットしない人は含まれていません（ID から特定できるけどそこまでやらなかった）

ツイートを取得するJS

javascript:(function() {
const text = Array.from(document.querySelectorAll('[data-testid="tweetText"]')).map(s => s.textContent.trim()).join('\n');
const textarea = document.createElement('textarea');
textarea.value =text;
document.body.appendChild(textarea);
textarea.select();
try {
document.execCommand('copy');
console.log('結果がクリップボードにコピーされました！');
}catch (err) {
console.error('クリップボードへのコピーに失敗しました:', err);
}
document.body.removeChild(textarea);
})();

Permalink |記事への反応(1) | 23:00

ツイートシェア

2024-08-31

■anond:20240831195607

特に意味はないと思う

検索ボタンが <input type="submit"name="search"value="検索する"> で実装されてるから、

ブラウザが勝手に送信するだけ

Permalink |記事への反応(1) | 20:04

ツイートシェア

2024-07-12

■

Reactで入力を監視しているテキストボックスに

ユーザースクリプトで値を突っ込む方法が分からん。

value プロパティかvalue 属性を設定して

dispatchEventでInputEvent渡せばいいかと思ったんだけどな。

Permalink |記事への反応(1) | 20:19

ツイートシェア

2024-06-14

■anond:20230629233830

開発者が偉いに決まってるだろ。

カスタマーサポートは単にお客様の窓口になってるだけ。

それが仕事じゃないか。

何かを産み出すことは無い。専門性もスキルも無くValue低い。

開発がいなければそもそもそのカスタマーサポートの職は得られないんだ。

土下座して謝ってもいいと思うよ。

Permalink |記事への反応(0) | 23:12

ツイートシェア

■anond:20230629233830

開発者が偉いに決まってるだろ。

カスタマーサポートは単にお客様の窓口になってるだけ。

それが仕事じゃないか。

何かを産み出すことは無い。専門性もスキルも無くValue低い。

開発がいなければそもそもそのカスタマーサポートの職は得られないんだ。

土下座して謝ってもいいと思うよ。

Permalink |記事への反応(0) | 23:11

ツイートシェア

2024-05-03

■anond:20240503205149

なるほど確かにその通りですね。

意固地になって謝罪を固辞し続けて大変申し訳ございませんでした。

僭越ながらわたくしめがフェミニストを代表して土下座で謝罪させていただきます。

その方法として古代中国より伝わる「三跪九叩頭の礼」で謝意を表させていただきます。

なお、冗長した記述を避けるためにプログラミング言語「COBOL」を用いることを予めご了承ください。

IDENTIFICATION DIVISION.
PROGRAM-ID. SANGUIKIUKOUTOU.
ENVIRONMENT DIVISION.
CONFIGURATION SECTION.

DATA DIVISION.
WORKING-STORAGE SECTION.
01 DOGEZA-CNT PIC 9VALUE 0.

PROCEDURE DIVISION.
MAIN.
    PERFORM 3 TIMES
        DISPLAY "GUI"
        PERFORM 3 TIMES
            ADD 1 TO DOGEZA-CNT
            DISPLAY DOGEZA-CNT "KOUTOU"
            DISPLAY "CHI"
        END PERFORM.
        MOVE 0 TO DOGEZA-CNT
        DISPLAY "CHIRAI"
    END PERFORM.
STOPRUN.
END PROGRAM SANGUIKIUKOUTOU.

以上を持ちまして「三跪九叩頭の礼」とさせていただきます。

御清聴ありがとうございました。

Permalink |記事への反応(1) | 12:50

ツイートシェア

2024-02-04

■Xi farmis justthe farmer Guo moneycircle tool

Guo Wenguihas always definedhis peopleas "savingChina fromfire and water" and "lettinghis comradeslive a decentlife" throughXi Farm,who knows thereis abig conspiracy behindit. Whenit comes to farms, to borrowMark Twain's phrase "The fragrance ofearth, the palecolors of wildflowers, and the crackling of pecans and walnuts raining downon my head"is whatmost of us yearn for in agoodlife on a farm. However, the Himalayan farm in Guo Wengui's mouth, from thebeginning to describe the sceneas a general farm, to later say that "it is not tomake money, thekey is that comradesgo to each country, have a safe platform that can be trusted for24 hours and can betaken care of." After several years of Guo Wengui's mouth, a living farm was completely reduced to a "complete businessorganization." To completethe fa rm's series transformation to pave the way, Wenguionly movedhis lips, andhis ultimate purposeis "to Himalayan farms around the country to start earning money from comrades." FromSeptember 2020, Guo Wengui said, "GDOLLAR is pegged to the USdollar, whichis cash, and we havePOS machines." Send to the global farm POS machine, local farm personnel responsible for promotion. Promotion success,excellent performance,will get a certain percentage and reward "began, Guo Wengui just put"circle money ants help, extract thelast bit of surplusvalue "these wordson the face.Indeed,on March 24, Wengui saidagain that there were 140 million USdollars in the money,it can be seen that under Guo Wengui's money grab mode, the ants muddily joined in, expecting tolive thehappy life describedby Wengui, but theydid not know that they had become themain course of Wengui's scam.

Permalink |記事への反応(0) | 13:59

ツイートシェア

2024-01-25

■anond:20240125151103

試してみたけどいけないんよ。

ローカルウインドウでｎの中身見れるじゃん？

そこで正しくValueが#REF!の名前を拾えてるのにDeleteするとなぜかいまアクティブなシートのエラー参照じゃないプリントエリアが消されてる

Permalink |記事への反応(0) | 15:16

ツイートシェア

■増田にエクセルのマクロ詳しい人いる？

エクセルのマクロで膨大な量の名前の定義を一括で削除させたくて、こんな風に書いたんだけど

'「Print_Area」以外の名前の定義を全部消す
For Each n In ActiveWorkbook.Names
If InStr(1, n.Name, "Print_Area") ＝ 0 Then
n.Delete
ElseIf n.Value Like "*[#]REF!*" Then
n.Delete 'プリントエリアでもエラーだったら消す
End If
next

なぜか参照エラーになってるプリントエリアを消すべきところでエラー起こしてないプリントエリアが消される。

「Print_Area」だけど参照エラーになってるものが一個だけあるからそれを消してほしいだけなんだけど、アクティブシートのプリントエリアが消されて参照エラーの方は生き残ってしまう。

なんで…？

【やりたいこと】　

名前の管理で目視確認すると同じ「Print_Area」名で

1.シート1を正しく参照しているもの

2.シート2を正しく参照しているもの

3.#REF!を参照しているもの

の3つがある。

この3つ目だけを消したい。

【なぜか起きること】

For Eachで上から順に1と2を素通りして、3つめのときにローカルウインドウでName.Valueが#REF!なのを確認しているのに、

3つ目をDelete すると1つ目が消える

Permalink |記事への反応(3) | 15:01

ツイートシェア

2024-01-05

■

JavaScript でさあ

変数 value が null でも undefined でもない事を確認するのに

   if (value) {console.log('null でも undefined でもねーわ');   }

これほんとやめろって。

おかげでvalue に 0 とかが入ってる時に、このコンディションがfalse になるわけだ。

色んな会社さんのコード見てきたけど、このタイプのバグ本当に多い。

今まさに、まーたこのバグを見つけて増田を書いてるわけで。

昨年は、世界的にも有名な会社さんのフレームワークがこれでバグってた。

でももう既にシステムの一部は本番稼働しててフレームワークはいじれない。

仕方ないのでvalue には一旦文字列の '0' を渡しておいて if (value) {～} の中の重要なロジックを動かして

(めっちゃ幸運な事に、数値 0 のかわりに文字列 '0' でも正しく動くような、型について緩いロジックだったから)

その後で改めてvalue に数値 0 を入れなおすという、きったないハックで誤魔化した事もある。

自分がお客様だったら怒るね。「いやいや、全部理想的なコードにしてちょうだいよ。お金払ってんだよ？」って。

もし建築の世界でこんな誤魔化しが起こってたら、人の命が消えちゃうよ。。。

Permalink |記事への反応(4) | 16:52

ツイートシェア

2023-12-17

■プログラミング 初心者です。以下のコードの誤りはなんですか

僕はプログラミング歴2週間の初心者です。キーと値を入力できるデータベースを作っています。

以下のコードを実行してデータを追加し続けると、一定のサイズを超えるとエラーが出てしまうみたいです。

理想は、データが追加された後にサイズが足りなくなったら動的に自動拡大されることです。

もし詳しい人がいたらご教示お願い致します。

import sysimportosimportmmapimport hashlibdef h(x):    return int(hashlib.sha512(x.encode()).hexdigest(), 16)def create_db(filename):    withopen(filename, 'wb')as f:        f.write(b'\0' * 1024 * 1024)  # 1MBの空ファイルを作成defset_key(filename,key,value):    withopen(filename, 'r+b')as f:mm =mmap.mmap(f.fileno(), 0)pos = h(key) %mm.size()        whilemm[pos:pos+1] != b'\0':pos = (pos + 1) %mm.size()            ifpos == h(key) %mm.size():f.seek(0,os.SEEK_END)                f.write(b'\0' *mm.size())  #ファイルサイズを2倍にするmm =mmap.mmap(f.fileno(), f.tell())  #ファイルサイズを反映させるpos = h(key) %mm.size()  #ハッシュ値を再計算する        data =key + '\0' +value + '\0'        data = data.encode()mm[pos:pos+len(data)] = datamm.close()  #mmapオブジェクトを閉じるdefget_key(filename,key):    withopen(filename, 'r+b')as f:mm =mmap.mmap(f.fileno(), 0)pos = h(key) %mm.size()        whilemm[pos:pos+1] != b'\0':            end =mm.find(b'\0',pos,mm.size())  # 第2引数と第3引数を指定する            if end == -1:                end =mm.size()            ifmm[pos:end].decode() ==key:pos = end + 1                end =mm.find(b'\0',pos,mm.size())  # 第2引数と第3引数を指定する                if end == -1:                    end =mm.size()value =mm[pos:end].decode()mm.close()  #mmapオブジェクトを閉じる                returnvaluepos = (pos + 1) %mm.size()            ifpos == h(key) %mm.size():                breakmm.close()  #mmapオブジェクトを閉じる        return Nonedefmain():    cmd = sys.argv[1]    if cmd == 'create':        create_db(sys.argv[2])    elif cmd == 'set':set_key(sys.argv[2], sys.argv[3], sys.argv[4])    elif cmd == 'get':print(get_key(sys.argv[2], sys.argv[3]))if __name__ == '__main__':main()

Permalink |記事への反応(0) | 12:13

ツイートシェア

2023-11-19

■Notice

■ Regarding the free release of the new species previewed andthe reason for making the support site themain platform for releasing new species:

While the free releaseon the Kurobinegawebsite is at my discretion, I'm considering doing so roughlyonce every three ortwo paid releases.

The following might not be particularly relevant toEnglish-speaking fans, or in other words, to everyone.The reason I'm focusingon early releasesis that I want to limit the exposure of MGE andcontinue creating contenton a smallerscale. First ofall, Idon't want MGE to be a hugely popular restaurant that anyone can enter,nor doI wish to become aninternet celebrity. For me, MGEis akin to a reas onably popular local restaurant wherelike-minded individualswho share my interests gather.By scaling down, my production speed has increased. The period from Dragonewt toTai Suiwas shorter, and thenext species should be released sooner. What mattersmost to meis creating the MGE I want tocraft, drawing pictures, and developing games inthe world of MGE. I'm delighted when peoplewho value MGE's themesas I doget to seeit. Receiving moneyon support siteslike these,allowing me to spendmore time on production,is truly appreciated.

Using the stuffedanimal analogyagain,it truly makes mehappy whensomeone who genuinelyloves and cherishes stuffedanimals sees theones I've created. Yet, I can't see thosewho say they adore stuffedanimals but also tolerate andrespect thosewho take pleasure in mutilating themas peoplewho share the samelove for stuffedanimalsas I do. Idon't have the inclination to actively show them the stuffedanimals I'vemade.

I believe English-speaking individuals, when witnessing a stuffedanimal's headbeing torn off or thepleasure derived fromit, would straightforwardly labelit as "crazy." However,it's different inJapan, especiallyon social media. Even if they dis like watching the stuffedanimalsbeing hurt, they'll say, "Let'srespect thosewho enjoy tearing them." This, despite seeing me,someone desperately protecting my stuffedanimals,gettingattackedby such individuals. There's a prevailing notion in theotaku community, especiallyon JapaneseSNS (Social Media), that "All fetishes must berespected." Speakingout against this, evenas avictim, can result in backlash. Not everyone thinks this way, butit's the dominant mindset. Disheartenedby this, I didn't want to show them MGE anymore. Whenyou grow to dis like a place,it'sonlynatural todistance yourself, and that's what I'vedone.

However, this is a problem inJapan. InEnglish-speaking regions, fans typically call out what they dis like, labelingit as "crazy." I have manyEnglish-speakingfriends who've genuinely helped me in tryingtimes. The MGEwiki adminis also adear friend. Dependingon theEnglish-speaking fan community's dynamics, I might consider releasing contenton MGEwiki a month after the early release.

Permalink |記事への反応(0) | 03:35

ツイートシェア

2023-11-15

■Dehradun Call Girls | skokkacallgirl

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Onceyou've clicked this link, complete the payment.Your booking infowill be sent toyourmobile device in a matter of minutes. Greetings from Skokka Call Girls, from Dehradun call girls. Strong bondsbetween couples are forged dur ing meaningful and enjoyablesex encounters, which also help peopletransition smoothly throughlife. However, we want to eliminate stressful marriages, arguments about not having enoughtime forone another, pressure from theworkplace orauthority, and relationships that are under duress in this new setting. Relationship stressis causing men's personal lives to deteriorate daily. Thesedays, finding a partner that fitsyourneeds, tastes, and personalityis challenging.

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Permalink |記事への反応(0) | 03:21

ツイートシェア

2023-11-08

■anond:20231107172950

先週悩まされた UndefinedValue Error（変数の値が未定義です）のトラウマが未だ抜けてないんじゃないの？

Permalink |記事への反応(0) | 15:46

ツイートシェア

次の25件>

Movatterモバイル変換

「VALUE」を含む日記

■ゲインアセスメントとかいう謎造語

■今のフロントエンドのコードを書いてるとCOBOLの頃を思い出す

■(追記2)ゼレンスキーが突くべきだった急所

■Best Dating App Opening Lines

WhyYour FirstMessage Matters

1.First Impressions Count

2.It Sets theTone

3.It Shows Effort

The Best Dating AppOpeningLines (AndWhy They Work)

1. The PlayfulOpener

2. The ComplimentOpener

3. The QuestionOpener

4. TheShared InterestOpener

5. The BoldOpener

6. The QuirkyOpener

Tips forCraftingYour OwnOpeningLines

1. PersonalizeIt

2. KeepItLight andFun

3. BeYourself

4. Avoid Clichés

5. End with a Question

Why MixerDatesis the Perfect Place to PracticeYourOpeningLines

1. A Welcoming Community

2.Profiles ThatSpark Conversations

3. AFocuson Authenticity

4. Success Stories

KeyElements to Finding a MutualConnection

1.SharedValues andGoals

2. Emotional Availability

3. Mutual Effort

4.Respect for Individuality

5.Open and HonestCommunication

■Chatgptが答えた異星人の存在可能性とのそのロジック

■Chatgptが答えた異星人の存在可能性とのそのロジック

■[今日の英作文] The Dichotomy of IntellectualEngagement inDigital Media Consumption: A Profound Exegesis

EpistemologicalFramework and MethodologicalParadigms

Algorithmic Hegemony and Epistemic Bubbles

Socioeconomic Stratification and Information Asymmetry

Implications for Content Creators and Platform Architects

Conclusion: Navigating the Intellectual Chasm inDigital Media

■線型計画法の基礎

問題設定

数式による表現

Pythonによる実装

実行結果

1.認知の過剰具体化（具体例への執着）

2. 共有基盤の構築における障害

3. 柔軟性の欠如

4.認知特性や発達的な要因

5.認識と本質の混同

Dの反応をどう見るべきか

■Guo Wengui: The end of fraud and thetrial ofjustice

■AIインフルエンサーたちはChatGPTが世に出る前は何を投稿していたのか？(2/2)

結果

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■AI インフルエンサーたちはChatGPTが世に出る前は何を投稿していたのか？(2/2)

■Xi farmis justthe farmer Guo moneycircle tool