  |
はてなキーワード:TAKEとは
意図的か知らんが、批判の矛先がブレブレで、結局誰の何を批判したいのか謎。
タイトルはブクマカ全体を批判しているような書きぶりだが、投稿内容では一部のブクマカに対する批判のようでもある。
そもそも増田が「ブクマカ」という表現で指している人物が具体的に明らかでなく、批判したいがために都合の良いキメラみたいなもんをこしらえて、そいつをつついているだけって話でもある。
https://b.hatena.ne.jp/entry/s/p2ptk.org/freedom-of-speech/5364
ここで多くの人がアメリカのTakeit down法に反対しているけど、
まず前提として、この法案はトランプ政権が数を頼みに無理やり押し通しているというものじゃなくて、
法案は共和党の保守派であるテッド・クルーズ上院議員と、民主党のエイミー・クロブシャー上院議員が中心となって提出されたもの。
クロブシャー上院議員は女性の権利に関する法案などに取り組んでいる議員。
そして上院では、この法案は超党派の賛成を集めて可決されている。
しかし一方で、この法案の問題点は上の記事で指摘されたとおりであり、このサイトで訳されている他の記事（例：https://p2ptk.org/freedom-of-speech/5268）が示す懸念と同様に、
児童ポルノやリベンジポルノ規制といった公には反対しにくいテーマを利用して、権力による検閲を進めるものだとされている。
さて、ここでブクマカたちが過去どういう態度を示していたのかを思い出してもらいたい。
例えば直近でもhttps://b.hatena.ne.jp/entry/s/www3.nhk.or.jp/news/html/20250301/k10014736881000.htmlなどで、
こうしたものは実在の被害者の有無にかかわらず四の五の言わずに規制しろみたいな話をしているブクマカはいたよね。
こうしたブクマカのうち、何故かこのTakeit down法については反対の姿勢を示している奴が複数いるけれども、
Takeit down法の背景にはこうした、児童ポルノやリベンジポルノ、ディープフェイク対策のためなら適正な手続きなどどうでもいいとする概念があるということに気付いているのかな？
https://b.hatena.ne.jp/entry/s/p2ptk.org/freedom-of-speech/5364
ここで多くの人がアメリカのTakeit down法に反対しているけど、
まず前提として、この法案はトランプ政権が数を頼みに無理やり押し通しているというものじゃなくて、
法案は共和党の保守派であるテッド・クルーズ上院議員と、民主党のエイミー・クロブシャー上院議員が中心となって提出されたもの。
クロブシャー上院議員は女性の権利に関する法案などに取り組んでいる議員。
そして上院では、この法案は超党派の賛成を集めて可決されている。
しかし一方で、この法案の問題点は上の記事で指摘されたとおりであり、このサイトで訳されている他の記事（例：https://p2ptk.org/freedom-of-speech/5268）が示す懸念と同様に、
児童ポルノやリベンジポルノ規制といった公には反対しにくいテーマを利用して、権力による検閲を進めるものだとされている。
さて、ここでブクマカたちがリベンジポルノ規制などについて過去どういう態度を示していたのかを思い出してもらいたい。
例えば直近でもhttps://b.hatena.ne.jp/entry/s/www3.nhk.or.jp/news/html/20250301/k10014736881000.htmlなどで、
こうしたものは実在の被害者の有無にかかわらず四の五の言わずに規制しろみたいな話をしているブクマカはいたよね。
こうしたブクマカのうち、何故かこのTakeit down法については反対の姿勢を示している奴が複数いるけれども、
Takeit down法の背景にはこうした、児童ポルノやリベンジポルノ、ディープフェイク対策のためなら適正な手続きなどどうでもいいとする概念があるということに気付いているのかな？
Assassin'sCreeddirector: The righttime totake series toJapan |BBC
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c163jexl7rxo
Shadow’s trailer also generated backlash from somegamers,who criticised the choice of Yasukeas amain characterover a nativeJapanese protagonist.
Opponents have accused those critics ofbeing racist, and have pointedout that Yasukeis basedon a real-life person.
Charles, speaking to Newsbeat before the trailer dropped, says the developers “put a lot of emphasison authenticity and making sure we depictJapan and the culture right”.
“So when westarted the project, we had ahistorian with us from dayone,” he says.
He says theteam also consulted weapons experts and travelled toJapan toget afeel for the landscape and locations inthe game.
シャドウズのトレーラーは、一部のゲーマーからの反発も生みました。彼らは、日本人主人公ではなく弥助を主人公として選んだことを批判しました。
これに対して、批判者たちを人種差別主義者だと非難する声も上がっており、弥助が実在の人物に基づいていることが指摘されています。
チャールズは、トレーラー公開前にNewsbeat（BBCのニュース番組）との対話で、開発者たちが「日本とその文化を正しく描写することに重点を置き、真正性を重視した」と述べています。
Africansamurai: The enduringlegacy of a blackwarrior in feudalJapan ｜CNN
When feudalJapan’smost powerfulwarlord NobunagaOda met Yasuke, a black slave-turned-retainer, in 1581, he believed themanwas agod.
Oda had never seen an African before. Andlike the locals inJapan’s then-capital ofKyoto, hewas awedby Yasuke’s height, build andskintone, according to Thomas Lockley, the author of “AfricanSamurai: TheTrueStory of Yasuke, a Legendary BlackWarrior in FeudalJapan.”
“When Yasukegot toKyoto (with Jesuit missionaries), therewas a massiveriot. People wanted to seehim and be inhis presence,” says Lockley,who spentnine years researching and writing thebook, whichwas publishedlast month.
Oda believed Yasuke to be either a guardian demon or “Daikokuten,” agod of prosperity usually representedby black statues in temples. He tried torub the pigment from Yasuke’sskin, believingitwas blackink.Once convinced Yasukewas real, he immediately threw afeast inhis honor, says Lockley.
1581年、戦国時代日本の最も強力な戦国大名である織田信長が、奴隷から家臣となった黒人のヤスケに出会った時、信長はヤスケを神だと信じました。
「アフリカン・サムライ：戦国時代日本の伝説的黒人武士ヤスケの真実の物語」の著者トーマス・ロックリーによると、信長はそれまでアフリカ人を見たことがありませんでした。そして、当時の都であった京都の地元民と同様に、ヤスケの身長、体格、肌の色に畏敬の念を抱いたそうです。
「ヤスケが（イエズス会宣教師とともに）京都に到着した時、大規模な騒動が起きました。人々はヤスケを見たがり、彼の存在を身近に感じたがりました」と、9年の歳月をかけて研究し執筆した先月出版されたこの本について、ロックリーは語ります。
信長はヤスケを守護の鬼か、通常寺院で黒い像で表される繁栄の神「大黒天」のどちらかだと信じていました。信長はヤスケの肌の色素を擦り取ろうとし、それが黒インクだと考えていました。ヤスケが本物だと確信すると、すぐに彼の名誉を称える宴を開いたとロックリーは述べています。
https://edition.cnn.com/2019/05/19/asia/black-samurai-yasuke-africa-japan-intl/index.html
最近も IGNJapan 使って煽り散らかしhttps://youtu.be/keiDRORg9hc
ここまでやるなら、ゲームに規制は不要！！あらゆる規制に反対する！！と表明したらよかったのでは？って思うが、
なぜか日本版だけ日本人の首ホームラン出来るのが禁止されているの突っ込まないんですよね。Roninはゴア表現あるのになぜでしょうね？
あと日本人の非武装市民はペナルティ無し攻撃できるけど白人キャラは攻撃できないこともツッコミなし。NPCだろうが攻撃できるゲームはいくらでもあるんですけど
Itwas surprisingly gory,like the decapitations,you couldget coated inblood. How vitalis that to theassassin’sfantasy?
（斬首シーンなどでは、予想外に残虐で、血まみれになることもありますね。これはアサシンのファンタジーにとってどれほど重要なのでしょうか？）
Ithink it’s not anassassin thing,it’s aJapan thing in ourcase. So lookingatdeathwas a day-to-day occurrence in that period, and the waymost people died inJapan during thattimeisclean decapitations.
So we didn’t want toshyaway fromit, althoughyou can turn off theviolence ifyou want. There’s options forit.You can turn off theblood,you can turn off the dismemberment and stuff. Soit’smore trying to be faithful to thewaraspect ofJapanat that period.Deathwas acommon thing and decapitationwas not a strange sight inJapan.
私たちの場合、これはアサシンに関することというよりも、日本に関することだと考えています。当時の日本では、死を目にすることは日常的なことでした。そしてその時代の日本で多くの人々が死んでいった方法は、きれいな斬首でした。
ですので、私たちはそれを避けようとはしませんでした。ただし、望めば暴力表現をオフにすることもできます。そのためのオプションがあります。血の表現をオフにしたり、切断などの表現をオフにしたりすることができます。これは、むしろその時代の日本の戦争の側面に忠実であろうとする試みなのです。死は日常的なことであり、斬首は日本では珍しい光景ではありませんでした。
https://videogames.si.com/features/assassins-creed-shadows-interview
こっちなら付き合うぞ
ローカルでテキスト・画像生成のモデル動かしてみようをそのうち書こうと思うけど、Windowsアーキテクチャの簡単な説明欲しい？
コア分離あたり。ほかにも欲しいのがあれば書いとくけど
というか、Ubuntu、Ubuntu 騒いでる子がいるが、そもそもPCにWin11／Win10入ってるか？
（Windows ＋DockerDesktop ：バックエンドWSL2Ubuntu の予定。なお、YouTube に構築動画が無限にあるぞ)
はてぶで一年前にまとめてずっと下書きだった内容。これ名前出して書いたら揉めそうだと思ったのでずっと投稿してなかったが、増田で供養。
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[:contents]
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Please consider the histroy ofhumanity from biologicalperpsecitve and currentknown fact in nearbyuniverse, whichexpo-planet (from theSol systemperspective)ismostlikely to have civlizaedsociety? Pleaseaddpercentagenext toit in the chart
ChatGPT
Reasoned about exoplanetcivilizationlikelihoodを28 秒行う
OK, I’mlookingatthe likelihood of a civilizedsocietyon an exoplanet within ourSolar System.I’ll consider biologicalhistory and current space knowledge,aiming to identifythe most promising candidate.
Identifying potential candidates
I'm considering exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1e, which might suggest they are within or observed from ourSolar System.
Assessing potential candidates
I’m evaluating Proxima Centauri b, Barnard'sStar, LHS 1140, and TRAPPIST-1,focusingon their habitablezonesand available data. The Drake equation might help estimate their civilizedsocietylikelihoods.
Identifying promising exoplanets
I’m notingkey exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1, which haveEarth-like characteristicsand are in habitablezones. This narrows down the potential candidates for advancedcivilizations.
I'm gathering infoonplanetslike Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1, consideringfactorslikemagneticfields,atmospheres, and proximity to G-typestars for their potential to support advancedcivilizations.
Evaluating exoplanet prospects
I'm noting that Proxima Centauri b, despitebeing closeand around ared dwarfstar, might supportlife ifithas amagneticfieldand atmosphere. This makes me think aboutits potential.
Charting probabilities
I'm estimatingcivilization probabilities for exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1 e, using speculativepercentagesbasedon the Drake equation and the lack ofevidence for intelligentlife.
I'm crafting a chart with exoplanet names andcivilizationlikelihoodpercentages, grounded in the longtimeline oflife'sevolution, despite the speculativenature of these figures.
Identifying exoplanet contenders
I’m evaluating exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b, TRAPPIST-1 e, and Kepler-186f, considering theirstar types and distances, to gauge their potential for supporting advancedcivilizations from oursolar system'sviewpoint.
Weighing proximity and observation
I'm leaning towards Proxima Centauri b due toits closeness and observational potential, despite concerns aboutitsflarestar dynamics. TRAPPIST-1 e, f, or g are also worth considering.
I'mfocusingon exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b, Ross 128 b, LHS 1140 b, TRAPPIST-1 e/f/g, andK2-18b,aiming to chart theirlikelihood of hosting a civilizedsocietybasedon current knowledge.
Assessing exoplanet potentials
I'm gathering speculative probabilities for exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1 e/f/g, using the Drake equation and current understanding, to better estimate their chances of hosting a civilizedsociety.
Refining speculative probabilities
I’m refining speculative probabilities for exoplanets, including Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1 e/f/g, to estimate their chances of hosting a civilizedsociety, consideringEarth's long biologicalhistory.
Refining odds
I'm considering theastronomicaltimeline for intelligentlifeonEarth,leading me toassign evenlower speculative odds for exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1 e.
I’m crafting a simplified chart with arbitrarypercentages, clearly noting the speculativenature and lack of scientific data, while considering the target audience'sbasic understanding of the topic.
I’m charting arbitrarypercentages for exoplanets, clarifying their speculativenature, and ensuring the datais accessible foryoung audiences with minimal scientific detail.
Crafting a chart
I’m creating amarkdowntable with speculativepercentages forthe likelihood of civilizedlifeon exoplanets, emphasizing their purely theoreticalnature and considering the understandinglevel of an 8-year-old.
Integrating speculative analysis
I’m mappingout amarkdown chart with speculativepercentages forthe likelihood of a civilizedsocietyon exoplanets, mindful of thecomplexity and simplifying for an 8-year-old's understanding.
I’m piecingtogethermarkdown for exoplanets, noting Proxima Centauri b'sreduced civilizedlife chance due to thered dwarf's activity. This inclusionhighlights the speculativenature of the analysis.
Piecingtogether speculative odds
I’m detailing amarkdown chart for audience-friendly exoplanetlikelihoods, considering environmental challengesand adding a disclaimer about the speculativenature and lack ofevidence.
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I’m leaning towards Proxima Centauri b forits proximity and silentstar, butI’lladd a speculative chart ranking nearby exoplanets, noting their advancedcivilizations' hypotheticallikelihood.
Assessingcivilization probabilities
I'm emphasizing the slow emergence of intelligentlifeonEarth, which suggests that the odds ofany habitableplanet developing acomplexcivilization might beaslowas a fewpercent.
Belowis a very speculative chart that—basedon what we know aboutEarth’s long, windingpath fromsimplelife to a “civilizedsociety” and our limited observations of nearby exoplanets—gives somefun,made‑uppercentage chances for a few of our best candidate exoplanets. Remember: Scientists havenot yetfoundany proof oflife (let alone advancedcivilizations)onany exoplanet. Thesenumbers are just playful estimates to helpyou think about theideas!
Speculative Chances of Finding an AdvancedCivilizationon Nearby Exoplanets
Exoplanet EstimatedLikelihood of a CivilizedSociety
Proxima Centauri b ~2%
LHS 1140 b ~0.5%
HowDid We (Very Roughly) Guess TheseNumbers?
Earth’s Example:
OnEarth,life beganassimple single‑celled organisms and took billions of years to evolve into a species that builtcomplex societies. This longjourney suggests that—even if aplanetis in the “habitablezone” (where liquid water could exist)—developing an advanced, civilizedsociety might be rare.
Proxima Centauri b:
Thisis the closest exoplanet to us. Even thoughitsstar (Proxima Centauri)is ared dwarf that sometimes sendsout strongflares (which might harmlife),its closeness makesitone of ourmost interesting candidates. That’swhy we giveit a slightly higher guess (~2%).
Theseplanets are part of agroup orbiting a verycoolstar. Their environments might be challenging (for example, they could be tidally locked, meaningone sidealwaysfaces thestar), so the chance of acomplex, advancedcivilization might be abitlower.
LHS 1140 b:
Thisplanetis promising in some ways butis alittle fartherawayand around a dimmerstar, so our playful estimateis evenlower.
All of thesepercentages are extremely rough guessesbasedon whatlittle we understand about the conditions forlife andintelligence. Scientists useideaslike the Drake Equation to think about these chances—but until we have concreteevidence, thesenumbers remain just forfun and imagination.
Enjoy exploring theseideas—and remember, spaceis full of mysteries waiting to be discovered!
あなた:
Please examine the Drake Equationitself and see if this euqationis acculate ormore opition in the equationyouwill use
ChatGPT
Reasoned about the Drake Equationを6 秒行う
re-examining the Drake Equation
evaluating the Drake Equation'svalue
OK, let me see. The Drake Equationisn't a precise formula;it'smore of a guiding heuristic that tackles numerous uncertainties regarding extraterrestrialcivilizations.
Thinking through the Drake Equation, I’m evaluatingits conceptualnature,its uncertain parameters, andits criticism to concludeonits reliabilityas an accurate predictivemodel.
Understanding the Drake Equation
I’m mappingout the Drake Equationas a conceptual guide, detailingits parameters, which are oftenbasedon estimates or opinions, to evaluateits reliability for predicting extraterrestrialcivilizations.
The Drake Equationis a famous formula thatwas created to help scientists think about the manyfactors involved in estimating thenumber of detectable extraterrestrialcivilizations in ourgalaxy. However, when welookat the equation closely, we see thatitismore of a conceptualframework or heuristictool than a precise, predictive formula.Let’sbreak downwhy:
The equationis usually writtenas:
𝑁
=
𝑅
∗
×
𝑓
𝑝
×
𝑛
𝑒
×
𝑓
𝑙
×
𝑓
𝑖
×
𝑓
𝑐
×
𝐿
N=R
∗
×f
p
×n
e
×f
l
×f
i
×f
c
×L
Where:
𝑅
∗
R
∗
: The averagerate ofstar formationper year in ourgalaxy.
𝑓
𝑝
f
p
: The fraction of thosestars that haveplanetary systems.
𝑛
𝑒
n
e
: The averagenumber ofplanets that could potentially supportlifeperstar withplanets.
𝑓
𝑙
f
l
: The fraction of thoseplanets wherelife actually develops.
𝑓
𝑖
f
i
: The fraction ofplanets withlife where intelligentlife evolves.
𝑓
𝑐
f
c
: The fraction ofcivilizations that develop technology that releases detectablesignals into space.
𝐿
L: The length oftime suchcivilizations release detectablesignals.
Why the Drake EquationIsMore of a Guideline Than a Precise Formula
Uncertain Inputs:
𝑅
∗
R
∗
𝑓
𝑝
f
p
(fraction ofstars withplanets), have become better known through modernastronomy.
The parameters related to the development oflife andintelligence—
𝑓
𝑙
f
l
,
𝑓
𝑖
f
i
,
𝑓
𝑐
f
c
, and
𝐿
L—arebasedon very limited data. For example,Earthis theonlyplanet we know wherelifehas developed, so we have no way to compare or derive a statistically robust estimate for thesefactors. This means that thevalues chosen for these parameters are largely subjective estimates or educated guesses.
Wide Ranges of PossibleValues:
Because many of thesefactors are not well-constrained, ifyouchangeone of themore uncertain parameters even slightly, thefinal estimate for
𝑁
N (thenumber ofcivilizations) can varyby many orders ofmagnitude. This wide range shows that the equation canlead to very differentoutcomesbasedonpersonal or theoreticalassumptions.
The Drake Equationwas never meant to provide a preciseanswer. Instead,it servesas a way to organize our thinking about what conditions might be necessary for the development of extraterrestrialcivilizations.It encourages discussion about the relative importance of differentfactors andhighlights where our scientific knowledgeis limited.
Is the Drake Equation Accurate orMore Opinion-Based?
Accurate?
In thesense ofbeing a strict mathematicalmodel with well-defined inputs and predictableoutputs, the Drake Equationis not accurate.Its accuracyis limitedbythe extreme uncertainties in several ofitskey parameters.
Many of the terms in the equation, especially those concerning theevolution oflife andintelligence, arebasedon opinion, interpretation, and the single example ofEarth. Therefore, while thestructure of the equationis logical, thenumbersyou put intoit (and hence thefinal result) are oftenmore reflective of our current opinionsand assumptions than of robust empirical data.
The Drake Equationis a valuabletool for framing the question of extraterrestriallife.It helps scientists and enthusiastsbreak down acomplex problem into smaller,more manageable questions. However, because several ofitsfactors are highly uncertain and subject topersonal interpretation,itismore of a conceptual guide—or even a way to stimulate discussion—than a formula that provides a definitive, accurate prediction of thenumber of extraterrestrialcivilizations.
Insummary, while the Drake Equationis useful for thinking about the variousfactors that mightlead to the emergence of acivilization,itsoutputs should betakenas highly speculative estimates rather than precise measurements.
あなた:
Please also consider the possiblities of non-human intelligent emrgencing from the longhistory ofSol system and nearbyplanets and see if thereisany possiblites that inonetime intelligentlife emerged in nearbyplanets and see this to the equation
ChatGPT
Reasoned about non-humanintelligence and the Drake Equationを19 秒行う
Evaluating non-humanintelligence
I'm thinking about the potential for non-human intelligentlife forms in theSol system and neighboringplanets, and how this mightfactor into the equation.
I'm thinking about how to integrate the emergence of non-human intelligentlife, possiblyonMars orEuropa, into the Drake Equation for theSol system and neighboringplanets.
It's interesting to think about the hypothesis of intelligentlife emergingonMars orVenus, thoughEarth remains theonly knownlife-supportingplanet in thesolar system.
Considering other realms
I'm examining if intelligentlife could have emergedonplanetslikeMars,Venus, orEuropa, and how thispossibility alignswith the predictions of the Drake Equation.
Hmm, I’m thinking about how non-human intelligentlifeonMars orVenus could intersectwith theassumptions of the Drake Equation, which seems tofocussolelyonEarth-basedevolution.
I’m piecingtogether the hypothesis of non-human, advanced, intelligentlife in thesolar system.Mars,Venus, and Titan present challenges, butEuropa and Enceladus might harbor microbiallife.
Please consider the histroy ofhumanity from biologicalperpsecitve and currentknown fact in nearbyuniverse, whichexpo-planet (from theSol systemperspective)ismostlikely to have civlizaedsociety? Pleaseaddpercentagenext toit in the chart
ChatGPT
Reasoned about exoplanetcivilizationlikelihoodを28 秒行う
OK, I’mlookingatthe likelihood of a civilizedsocietyon an exoplanet within ourSolar System.I’ll consider biologicalhistory and current space knowledge,aiming to identifythe most promising candidate.
Identifying potential candidates
I'm considering exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1e, which might suggest they are within or observed from ourSolar System.
Assessing potential candidates
I’m evaluating Proxima Centauri b, Barnard'sStar, LHS 1140, and TRAPPIST-1,focusingon their habitablezonesand available data. The Drake equation might help estimate their civilizedsocietylikelihoods.
Identifying promising exoplanets
I’m notingkey exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1, which haveEarth-like characteristicsand are in habitablezones. This narrows down the potential candidates for advancedcivilizations.
I'm gathering infoonplanetslike Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1, consideringfactorslikemagneticfields,atmospheres, and proximity to G-typestars for their potential to support advancedcivilizations.
Evaluating exoplanet prospects
I'm noting that Proxima Centauri b, despitebeing closeand around ared dwarfstar, might supportlife ifithas amagneticfieldand atmosphere. This makes me think aboutits potential.
Charting probabilities
I'm estimatingcivilization probabilities for exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1 e, using speculativepercentagesbasedon the Drake equation and the lack ofevidence for intelligentlife.
I'm crafting a chart with exoplanet names andcivilizationlikelihoodpercentages, grounded in the longtimeline oflife'sevolution, despite the speculativenature of these figures.
Identifying exoplanet contenders
I’m evaluating exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b, TRAPPIST-1 e, and Kepler-186f, considering theirstar types and distances, to gauge their potential for supporting advancedcivilizations from oursolar system'sviewpoint.
Weighing proximity and observation
I'm leaning towards Proxima Centauri b due toits closeness and observational potential, despite concerns aboutitsflarestar dynamics. TRAPPIST-1 e, f, or g are also worth considering.
I'mfocusingon exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b, Ross 128 b, LHS 1140 b, TRAPPIST-1 e/f/g, andK2-18b,aiming to chart theirlikelihood of hosting a civilizedsocietybasedon current knowledge.
Assessing exoplanet potentials
I'm gathering speculative probabilities for exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1 e/f/g, using the Drake equation and current understanding, to better estimate their chances of hosting a civilizedsociety.
Refining speculative probabilities
I’m refining speculative probabilities for exoplanets, including Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1 e/f/g, to estimate their chances of hosting a civilizedsociety, consideringEarth's long biologicalhistory.
Refining odds
I'm considering theastronomicaltimeline for intelligentlifeonEarth,leading me toassign evenlower speculative odds for exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1 e.
I’m crafting a simplified chart with arbitrarypercentages, clearly noting the speculativenature and lack of scientific data, while considering the target audience'sbasic understanding of the topic.
I’m charting arbitrarypercentages for exoplanets, clarifying their speculativenature, and ensuring the datais accessible foryoung audiences with minimal scientific detail.
Crafting a chart
I’m creating amarkdowntable with speculativepercentages forthe likelihood of civilizedlifeon exoplanets, emphasizing their purely theoreticalnature and considering the understandinglevel of an 8-year-old.
Integrating speculative analysis
I’m mappingout amarkdown chart with speculativepercentages forthe likelihood of a civilizedsocietyon exoplanets, mindful of thecomplexity and simplifying for an 8-year-old's understanding.
I’m piecingtogethermarkdown for exoplanets, noting Proxima Centauri b'sreduced civilizedlife chance due to thered dwarf's activity. This inclusionhighlights the speculativenature of the analysis.
Piecingtogether speculative odds
I’m detailing amarkdown chart for audience-friendly exoplanetlikelihoods, considering environmental challengesand adding a disclaimer about the speculativenature and lack ofevidence.
Piecingtogether
I’m leaning towards Proxima Centauri b forits proximity and silentstar, butI’lladd a speculative chart ranking nearby exoplanets, noting their advancedcivilizations' hypotheticallikelihood.
Assessingcivilization probabilities
I'm emphasizing the slow emergence of intelligentlifeonEarth, which suggests that the odds ofany habitableplanet developing acomplexcivilization might beaslowas a fewpercent.
Belowis a very speculative chart that—basedon what we know aboutEarth’s long, windingpath fromsimplelife to a “civilizedsociety” and our limited observations of nearby exoplanets—gives somefun,made‑uppercentage chances for a few of our best candidate exoplanets. Remember: Scientists havenot yetfoundany proof oflife (let alone advancedcivilizations)onany exoplanet. Thesenumbers are just playful estimates to helpyou think about theideas!
Speculative Chances of Finding an AdvancedCivilizationon Nearby Exoplanets
Exoplanet EstimatedLikelihood of a CivilizedSociety
Proxima Centauri b ~2%
LHS 1140 b ~0.5%
HowDid We (Very Roughly) Guess TheseNumbers?
Earth’s Example:
OnEarth,life beganassimple single‑celled organisms and took billions of years to evolve into a species that builtcomplex societies. This longjourney suggests that—even if aplanetis in the “habitablezone” (where liquid water could exist)—developing an advanced, civilizedsociety might be rare.
Proxima Centauri b:
Thisis the closest exoplanet to us. Even thoughitsstar (Proxima Centauri)is ared dwarf that sometimes sendsout strongflares (which might harmlife),its closeness makesitone of ourmost interesting candidates. That’swhy we giveit a slightly higher guess (~2%).
Theseplanets are part of agroup orbiting a verycoolstar. Their environments might be challenging (for example, they could be tidally locked, meaningone sidealwaysfaces thestar), so the chance of acomplex, advancedcivilization might be abitlower.
LHS 1140 b:
Thisplanetis promising in some ways butis alittle fartherawayand around a dimmerstar, so our playful estimateis evenlower.
All of thesepercentages are extremely rough guessesbasedon whatlittle we understand about the conditions forlife andintelligence. Scientists useideaslike the Drake Equation to think about these chances—but until we have concreteevidence, thesenumbers remain just forfun and imagination.
Enjoy exploring theseideas—and remember, spaceis full of mysteries waiting to be discovered!
あなた:
Please examine the Drake Equationitself and see if this euqationis acculate ormore opition in the equationyouwill use
ChatGPT
Reasoned about the Drake Equationを6 秒行う
re-examining the Drake Equation
evaluating the Drake Equation'svalue
OK, let me see. The Drake Equationisn't a precise formula;it'smore of a guiding heuristic that tackles numerous uncertainties regarding extraterrestrialcivilizations.
Thinking through the Drake Equation, I’m evaluatingits conceptualnature,its uncertain parameters, andits criticism to concludeonits reliabilityas an accurate predictivemodel.
Understanding the Drake Equation
I’m mappingout the Drake Equationas a conceptual guide, detailingits parameters, which are oftenbasedon estimates or opinions, to evaluateits reliability for predicting extraterrestrialcivilizations.
The Drake Equationis a famous formula thatwas created to help scientists think about the manyfactors involved in estimating thenumber of detectable extraterrestrialcivilizations in ourgalaxy. However, when welookat the equation closely, we see thatitismore of a conceptualframework or heuristictool than a precise, predictive formula.Let’sbreak downwhy:
The equationis usually writtenas:
𝑁
=
𝑅
∗
×
𝑓
𝑝
×
𝑛
𝑒
×
𝑓
𝑙
×
𝑓
𝑖
×
𝑓
𝑐
×
𝐿
N=R
∗
×f
p
×n
e
×f
l
×f
i
×f
c
×L
Where:
𝑅
∗
R
∗
: The averagerate ofstar formationper year in ourgalaxy.
𝑓
𝑝
f
p
: The fraction of thosestars that haveplanetary systems.
𝑛
𝑒
n
e
: The averagenumber ofplanets that could potentially supportlifeperstar withplanets.
𝑓
𝑙
f
l
: The fraction of thoseplanets wherelife actually develops.
𝑓
𝑖
f
i
: The fraction ofplanets withlife where intelligentlife evolves.
𝑓
𝑐
f
c
: The fraction ofcivilizations that develop technology that releases detectablesignals into space.
𝐿
L: The length oftime suchcivilizations release detectablesignals.
Why the Drake EquationIsMore of a Guideline Than a Precise Formula
Uncertain Inputs:
𝑅
∗
R
∗
𝑓
𝑝
f
p
(fraction ofstars withplanets), have become better known through modernastronomy.
The parameters related to the development oflife andintelligence—
𝑓
𝑙
f
l
,
𝑓
𝑖
f
i
,
𝑓
𝑐
f
c
, and
𝐿
L—arebasedon very limited data. For example,Earthis theonlyplanet we know wherelifehas developed, so we have no way to compare or derive a statistically robust estimate for thesefactors. This means that thevalues chosen for these parameters are largely subjective estimates or educated guesses.
Wide Ranges of PossibleValues:
Because many of thesefactors are not well-constrained, ifyouchangeone of themore uncertain parameters even slightly, thefinal estimate for
𝑁
N (thenumber ofcivilizations) can varyby many orders ofmagnitude. This wide range shows that the equation canlead to very differentoutcomesbasedonpersonal or theoreticalassumptions.
The Drake Equationwas never meant to provide a preciseanswer. Instead,it servesas a way to organize our thinking about what conditions might be necessary for the development of extraterrestrialcivilizations.It encourages discussion about the relative importance of differentfactors andhighlights where our scientific knowledgeis limited.
Is the Drake Equation Accurate orMore Opinion-Based?
Accurate?
In thesense ofbeing a strict mathematicalmodel with well-defined inputs and predictableoutputs, the Drake Equationis not accurate.Its accuracyis limitedbythe extreme uncertainties in several ofitskey parameters.
Many of the terms in the equation, especially those concerning theevolution oflife andintelligence, arebasedon opinion, interpretation, and the single example ofEarth. Therefore, while thestructure of the equationis logical, thenumbersyou put intoit (and hence thefinal result) are oftenmore reflective of our current opinionsand assumptions than of robust empirical data.
The Drake Equationis a valuabletool for framing the question of extraterrestriallife.It helps scientists and enthusiastsbreak down acomplex problem into smaller,more manageable questions. However, because several ofitsfactors are highly uncertain and subject topersonal interpretation,itismore of a conceptual guide—or even a way to stimulate discussion—than a formula that provides a definitive, accurate prediction of thenumber of extraterrestrialcivilizations.
Insummary, while the Drake Equationis useful for thinking about the variousfactors that mightlead to the emergence of acivilization,itsoutputs should betakenas highly speculative estimates rather than precise measurements.
あなた:
Please also consider the possiblities of non-human intelligent emrgencing from the longhistory ofSol system and nearbyplanets and see if thereisany possiblites that inonetime intelligentlife emerged in nearbyplanets and see this to the equation
ChatGPT
Reasoned about non-humanintelligence and the Drake Equationを19 秒行う
Evaluating non-humanintelligence
I'm thinking about the potential for non-human intelligentlife forms in theSol system and neighboringplanets, and how this mightfactor into the equation.
I'm thinking about how to integrate the emergence of non-human intelligentlife, possiblyonMars orEuropa, into the Drake Equation for theSol system and neighboringplanets.
It's interesting to think about the hypothesis of intelligentlife emergingonMars orVenus, thoughEarth remains theonly knownlife-supportingplanet in thesolar system.
Considering other realms
I'm examining if intelligentlife could have emergedonplanetslikeMars,Venus, orEuropa, and how thispossibility alignswith the predictions of the Drake Equation.
Hmm, I’m thinking about how non-human intelligentlifeonMars orVenus could intersectwith theassumptions of the Drake Equation, which seems tofocussolelyonEarth-basedevolution.
I’m piecingtogether the hypothesis of non-human, advanced, intelligentlife in thesolar system.Mars,Venus, and Titan present challenges, butEuropa and Enceladus might harbor microbiallife.
https://mainichi.jp/articles/20250128/k00/00m/040/152000c
https://hochi.news/articles/20250128-OHT1T51069.html?page=1
※ヤクルトは大株主の1社（https://www.fujimediahd.co.jp/ir/s_information.html）
https://newsdig.tbs.co.jp/articles/-/1694816?display=1
Nicholas Benes, chief executive officer of the BoardDirector Training Institute ofJapan, said the press conference hadmade the situation worse.
“Itwas a shambolic10 hours because theydid not have clear answers regarding the basis and justification for how the board acted,” he said in an email.
（The BoardDirector Training Institute ofJapan の最高経営責任者であるニコラス・ベネス氏は、記者会見は事態をさらに悪化させた と述べた。
「取締役会がどのように行動したかの根拠と正当性に関して明確な答えを持っていなかったため、10時間にも及ぶ会見は混乱を極めていた」と彼はメールで述べた。)
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/01/28/world/asia/japan-tv-executives-sex-abuse.html
Thepresident and chairman of FujiTelevision resignedonMonday night after acknowledging they mishandled an incident in which astarTV hostadmitted payinghush money to an unnamedwoman for an incident that took place inJune2023. Thecasehas plunged the broadcaster into financial crisisasmajor corporations pulledads to protest FujiTV’s failure totakeaction, despite learning of the incident right afterit happened.
The ad boycotthas turned into a watershedmoment, directing public anger against notonly theTVstar, Masahiro Nakai, a former member of a celebrated boy idol bandwho later became a popular show host, but alsohis employer. FujiTVhas faced allegations that staff helped arrangethe original encounterwith thewoman and that management looked the other wayasMr. Nakai tried to coverit up.
フジテレビの社長と会長は月曜日の夜、2023年6月に起きた事件について、スターテレビ司会者が匿名の女性に口止め料を支払ったことを認めた事件への対応を誤ったことを認め、辞任した。この事件は、主要企業がフジテレビの対応を抗議して広告を撤回したため、同放送局を財政危機に陥らせた。フジテレビは事件発生直後にそれを知っていたにもかかわらず、行動を起こさなかった。
広告ボイコットは転換点となり、世間の怒りは、人気番組司会者となった有名なアイドルグループの元メンバーであるテレビ司会者のMasahiro Nakaiだけでなく、彼の雇用主であるフジテレビにも向けられた。フジテレビは、スタッフが女性との最初の出会いを手配するのを手伝い、中居氏がそれを隠蔽しようとした際、経営陣が見て見ぬふりをしたという疑惑に直面している。
検索ワード：JapaneseTV host'ssexscandal
https://anond.hatelabo.jp/20250129101357
（https://anond.hatelabo.jp/20250128194248# ←URLが多くなってきて貼れなくなったので分割しました）
港前社長：確かに女性側のヒアリングが欠けているというところはあるかもしれませんが、当該社員と中居氏のヒアリングと履歴を精査した結果、これは関与していないというふうに信じるに足ると思っております
https://www.youtube.com/live/WfGbrstX2Kc?t=18074 ← ここから文字起こした発言が確認できる
港前社長：あります。そして機能しています。特殊な案件だから上げなかった
港前社長：女性のために上げなかった。特殊という表現は女性の希望に応えながら対応していくのが特殊という意味
港前社長：コンプライアンス室に上げると多くの人が知ることになると考え上げなかった。対応が正しかったと思っていない。（社内システムを) しっかり機能をさせるべきだったと反省している
https://www.youtube.com/live/WfGbrstX2Kc?t=5480 ← ここから文字起こした発言が確認できる
https://www.youtube.com/live/WfGbrstX2Kc?t=12572 ← ここから文字起こした発言が確認できる
https://mainichi.jp/articles/20250128/k00/00m/040/152000c
https://hochi.news/articles/20250128-OHT1T51069.html?page=1
※ヤクルトは大株主の1社（https://www.fujimediahd.co.jp/ir/s_information.html）
https://newsdig.tbs.co.jp/articles/-/1694816?display=1
Nicholas Benes, chief executive officer of the BoardDirector Training Institute ofJapan, said the press conference hadmade the situation worse.
“Itwas a shambolic10 hours because theydid not have clear answers regarding the basis and justification for how the board acted,” he said in an email.
（The BoardDirector Training Institute ofJapan の最高経営責任者であるニコラス・ベネス氏は、記者会見は事態をさらに悪化させた と述べた。
「取締役会がどのように行動したかの根拠と正当性に関して明確な答えを持っていなかったため、10時間にも及ぶ会見は混乱を極めていた」と彼はメールで述べた。)
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/01/28/world/asia/japan-tv-executives-sex-abuse.html
Thepresident and chairman of FujiTelevision resignedonMonday night after acknowledging they mishandled an incident in which astarTV hostadmitted payinghush money to an unnamedwoman for an incident that took place inJune2023. Thecasehas plunged the broadcaster into financial crisisasmajor corporations pulledads to protest FujiTV’s failure totakeaction, despite learning of the incident right afterit happened.
The ad boycotthas turned into a watershedmoment, directing public anger against notonly theTVstar, Masahiro Nakai, a former member of a celebrated boy idol bandwho later became a popular show host, but alsohis employer. FujiTVhas faced allegations that staff helped arrangethe original encounterwith thewoman and that management looked the other wayasMr. Nakai tried to coverit up.
フジテレビの社長と会長は月曜日の夜、2023年6月に起きた事件について、スターテレビ司会者が匿名の女性に口止め料を支払ったことを認めた事件への対応を誤ったことを認め、辞任した。この事件は、主要企業がフジテレビの対応を抗議して広告を撤回したため、同放送局を財政危機に陥らせた。フジテレビは事件発生直後にそれを知っていたにもかかわらず、行動を起こさなかった。
広告ボイコットは転換点となり、世間の怒りは、人気番組司会者となった有名なアイドルグループの元メンバーであるテレビ司会者のMasahiro Nakaiだけでなく、彼の雇用主であるフジテレビにも向けられた。フジテレビは、スタッフが女性との最初の出会いを手配するのを手伝い、中居氏がそれを隠蔽しようとした際、経営陣が見て見ぬふりをしたという疑惑に直面している。
https://mainichi.jp/articles/20250128/k00/00m/040/152000c
https://hochi.news/articles/20250128-OHT1T51069.html?page=1
※ヤクルトは大株主の1社（https://www.fujimediahd.co.jp/ir/s_information.html）
https://newsdig.tbs.co.jp/articles/-/1694816?display=1
Nicholas Benes, chief executive officer of the BoardDirector Training Institute ofJapan, said the press conference hadmade the situation worse.
“Itwas a shambolic10 hours because theydid not have clear answers regarding the basis and justification for how the board acted,” he said in an email.
（The BoardDirector Training Institute ofJapan の最高経営責任者であるニコラス・ベネス氏は、記者会見は事態をさらに悪化させた と述べた。
「取締役会がどのように行動したかの根拠と正当性に関して明確な答えを持っていなかったため、10時間にも及ぶ会見は混乱を極めていた」と彼はメールで述べた。)
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/01/28/world/asia/japan-tv-executives-sex-abuse.html
Thepresident and chairman of FujiTelevision resignedonMonday night after acknowledging they mishandled an incident in which astarTV hostadmitted payinghush money to an unnamedwoman for an incident that took place inJune2023. Thecasehas plunged the broadcaster into financial crisisasmajor corporations pulledads to protest FujiTV’s failure totakeaction, despite learning of the incident right afterit happened.
The ad boycotthas turned into a watershedmoment, directing public anger against notonly theTVstar, Masahiro Nakai, a former member of a celebrated boy idol bandwho later became a popular show host, but alsohis employer. FujiTVhas faced allegations that staff helped arrangethe original encounterwith thewoman and that management looked the other wayasMr. Nakai tried to coverit up.
フジテレビの社長と会長は月曜日の夜、2023年6月に起きた事件について、スターテレビ司会者が匿名の女性に口止め料を支払ったことを認めた事件への対応を誤ったことを認め、辞任した。この事件は、主要企業がフジテレビの対応を抗議して広告を撤回したため、同放送局を財政危機に陥らせた。フジテレビは事件発生直後にそれを知っていたにもかかわらず、行動を起こさなかった。
広告ボイコットは転換点となり、世間の怒りは、人気番組司会者となった有名なアイドルグループの元メンバーであるテレビ司会者のMasahiro Nakaiだけでなく、彼の雇用主であるフジテレビにも向けられた。フジテレビは、スタッフが女性との最初の出会いを手配するのを手伝い、中居氏がそれを隠蔽しようとした際、経営陣が見て見ぬふりをしたという疑惑に直面している。
昨年12月26日発売号では、事件当日の会食について「X子さんはフジ編成幹部A氏に誘われた」としていました。しかし、その後の取材により「X子さんは中居氏に誘われた」「A氏がセッティングしている会の”延長”と認識していた」ということが判明したため、 1月8日発売号以降は、その後の取材成果を踏まえた内容を報じています。
12月26日発売号に掲載された記事は現在でも「週刊文春電子版」で読むことができますが、お詫びした上で、修正を追記しています。
これまで報じたように、事件直前A氏はX子さんを中居氏宅でのバーベキューに連れて行くなどしています。またX子さんも小誌の取材に対して、「（事件は）Aさんがセッティングしている会の“延長”だったことは間違いありません」と証言しています。以上の経緯からA氏が件のトラブルに関与した事実は変わらないと考えています。
このたび一部週刊誌等の記事において、弊社社員に関する報道がありました。
内容については事実でないことが含まれており、記事中にある食事会に関しても、当該社員は会の設定を含め一切関与しておりません。
会の存在自体も認識しておらず、当日、突然欠席した事実もございません。
発行元に対してもその旨伝えておりました。
(略)
なお、今回の件に関して、ＳＮＳ等で弊社社員および関係者に関する憶測による記事・投稿が見られます。
↓
40分後、回ってきた紙を見て、大きな溜息をつく遠藤氏
↓
↓
※関係ないけど、遠藤氏の父遠藤周作の『沈黙』見る時、氏の姿がチラつきそう・・・。親子情報知らないままでいたかった😞
（女性は医師を通してしか面会が出来ない状態だったこともあるとのこと)
記者：通信履歴を調べたという結果のみで、なぜ（関与を）すぐに断定する発言ができたのか？
↓
港前社長：確かに女性側のヒアリングが欠けているというところはあるかもしれませんが、当該社員と中居氏のヒアリングと履歴を精査した結果、これは関与していないというふうに信じるに足ると思っております
↓
記者：女性のヒアリングが欠けていたのに、どうしてA氏の関与がなかったと言い切れるのでしょう。履歴は後で消すこともできますが、それを信用できるところはどこにあるのでしょうか
↓
↓
記者：社内で噂が広まれば、やばいと思えば履歴を消しますよね。それができなかったということを確証を持って言えるのですか
↓
【完全版】午前2時半まで10時間超…フジテレビ異例の超ロング「やり直し」会見 怒号飛び交い紛糾中居正広さんのトラブル説明 日枝相談役は姿見せず 港社長・嘉納会長は辞任 (2025年1月27日)https://www.youtube.com/live/WfGbrstX2Kc?t=18074 ← ここから文字起こした発言が確認できる
記者：コンプライアンス室に共有していなかったという話があったがそれは事実か？
↓
↓
記者：トラブルがあった際、通常、型に沿ってコンプライアンス室に相談するシステムだと思うが、フジテレビにはそれがなかったのか？
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港前社長：あります。そして機能しています。特殊な案件だから上げなかった
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記者：特殊案件だからコンプライアンス室へ上げないと港社長が決めたという話があったが、何故、社内システムを使わなかったのか？
↓
港前社長：女性のために上げなかった。特殊という表現は女性の希望に応えながら対応していくのが特殊という意味
↓
記者：コンプライアンス室に上げてしまうとそういった対応が出来ないということか？だとすると、また次回も会社として同じ対応になるのではないか？
↓
港前社長：コンプライアンス室に上げると多くの人が知ることになると考え上げなかった。対応が正しかったと思っていない。（社内システムを) しっかり機能をさせるべきだったと反省している
【完全版】午前2時半まで10時間超…フジテレビ異例の超ロング「やり直し」会見 怒号飛び交い紛糾中居正広さんのトラブル説明 日枝相談役は姿見せず 港社長・嘉納会長は辞任 (2025年1月27日) https://www.youtube.com/live/WfGbrstX2Kc?t=5480 ← ここから文字起こした発言が確認できる https://www.youtube.com/live/WfGbrstX2Kc?t=12572 ← ここから文字起こした発言が確認できる
ttps://mainichi.jp/articles/20250128/k00/00m/040/152000c
ttps://hochi.news/articles/20250128-OHT1T51069.html?page=1
※ヤクルトは大株主の1社（https://www.fujimediahd.co.jp/ir/s_information.html）
https://newsdig.tbs.co.jp/articles/-/1694816?display=1
ttps://www.scmp.com/news/asia/east-asia/article/3296538/japans-sex-scandal-hit-fuji-tv-holds-marathon-face-saving-news-event
Nicholas Benes, chief executive officer of the BoardDirector Training Institute ofJapan, said the press conference hadmade the situation worse.
“Itwas a shambolic10 hours because theydid not have clear answers regarding the basis and justification for how the board acted,” he said in an email.
（The BoardDirector Training Institute ofJapan の最高経営責任者であるニコラス・ベネス氏は、記者会見は事態をさらに悪化させた と述べた。
「取締役会がどのように行動したかの根拠と正当性に関して明確な答えを持っていなかったため、10時間にも及ぶ会見は混乱を極めていた」と彼はメールで述べた。)
ttps://www.nytimes.com/2025/01/28/world/asia/japan-tv-executives-sex-abuse.html
Thepresident and chairman of FujiTelevision resignedonMonday night after acknowledging they mishandled an incident in which astarTV hostadmitted payinghush money to an unnamedwoman for an incident that took place inJune 2023. Thecasehas plunged thebroadcaster into financial crisisasmajor corporations pulledads to protest FujiTV’s failure totakeaction, despite learning of the incident right afterit happened.
The ad boycotthas turned into a watershedmoment, directing public anger against notonly theTVstar, Masahiro Nakai, a former member of a celebrated boy idol bandwho later became a popular show host, but alsohis employer. FujiTVhas faced allegations that staff helped arrangethe original encounterwith thewoman and that management looked the other wayasMr. Nakai tried to coverit up.
フジテレビの社長と会長は月曜日の夜、2023年6月に起きた事件について、スターテレビ司会者が匿名の女性に口止め料を支払ったことを認めた事件への対応を誤ったことを認め、辞任した。この事件は、主要企業がフジテレビの対応を抗議して広告を撤回したため、同放送局を財政危機に陥らせた。フジテレビは事件発生直後にそれを知っていたにもかかわらず、行動を起こさなかった。
広告ボイコットは転換点となり、世間の怒りは、人気番組司会者となった有名なアイドルグループの元メンバーであるテレビ司会者のMasahiro Nakaiだけでなく、彼の雇用主であるフジテレビにも向けられた。フジテレビは、スタッフが女性との最初の出会いを手配するのを手伝い、中居氏がそれを隠蔽しようとした際、経営陣が見て見ぬふりをしたという疑惑に直面している。
検索ワード：JapaneseTV host'ssexscandal
⭐️ここだけ知っておけばよさそうな1月27日のフジテレビ会見
https://anond.hatelabo.jp/20250129101357#
https://anond.hatelabo.jp/20250129102148#
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Take a goodlook—thisis the LDP. Arottenship through and through. The hullis riddled with holes, the deckis stacked with decayed planks, and the crew talksbig about their voyage while steering aimlessly. Theydon’t even know where they’re headed—just waiting for the inevitablesinking. And what about the passengers? A chosen few lounge in luxury cabins, sippingonfine drinks, while therest shiveronthe exposed deck, batteredby wind andrain. Yet, noone dares to abandon theship.Why? Because there’s no other vessel in sight.
Those people, they claim, “We are the pillar that upholds thisnation.” But that pillaris infestedwith termites, reduced tonothing but ahollow shell. Theymask the stench of decay with flashy decorations and smooth words, and the public, gullibleas ever, eatsit up. This, too,is part of the sickness afflicting the country.
Defense, the economy, countermeasures for the declining birthrate—they shout these slogansat every turn, but thetruthis, they’reallempty promises.Everything they touch reeks of graft, cronyism, and self-enrichment. No matter how much the people suffer,it’s of noconcern to them. Every election, they trotoutcrowd-pleasing phrases, gather the votes, and voilà—the samefaces, the same farce,over and overagain.
But doesn’tit strikeyouas strange?Why do we keep boarding this doomedship?Whyis noone speaking up? Watching asinkingship and doingnothing but praying won’tchange a thing. If theshipisbroken, weneed to build a newone. If noone elsewilldo it, then we’ll have totake the helm ourselves.
LDP,yourtimeis up. No matter how manyrotten planksyou patchonto thisship,it’s destined tosink. That’s just the way of things.
----------
はてなの匿名ダイアリーの増田になった気分で，作文して．内容は，自民党を腐す感じ．ですます調は禁止．タイトルもつけて．
自民党という名の腐った船見てくれ、これが自民党だ。まるで腐った船。船体には穴が空き、甲板には腐った木材が積まれ、乗員たちは口先だけで航海を語る。どこに行くのかも知らず、ただ沈むのを待つだけ。乗客たちはどうだ？選ばれた少数は船室で酒を酌み交わし、残りは甲板で雨風に打たれている。それでも、みんなこの船から降りようとはしない。なぜなら他に船がないからだ。あの連中は言う。「我々こそがこの国を支える柱だ」と。しかしその柱は白蟻に喰われて、ただの見せかけになっている。腐敗臭を隠すために、華やかな装飾を加え、言葉巧みに煙に巻く。それを鵜呑みにする国民もまた、この国の病巣だ。防衛だ、経済だ、少子化対策だと喚くけれど、その実、中身は空っぽだ。何をやっても中抜き、天下り、自分たちの懐を肥やすだけ。どれだけ国民が苦しもうと、彼らは関係ない。選挙のたびに耳触りの良いフレーズを掲げ、票を掻き集める。そして、気がつけば同じ顔ぶれ。同じことの繰り返し。でもおかしいと思わないか？なぜこんな船にいつまでも乗り続けているのか。なぜ誰も声を上げないのか。沈みゆく船を見て、ただ祈るだけでは何も変わらない。船が壊れているなら、新しい船を造ればいい。誰もそれをしようとしないなら、俺たちがやるしかない。自民党よ、お前たちの時代は終わった。いくら腐った木材を継ぎ足そうと、この船は沈む。それが自然の摂理だ。
おｋ．これを英語にして
In the ever-evolving travel industry, travelportal have become fundamental tools for businesses looking to enhance customer experienceIt's streamline operations.With traveler increasingly relyingondigital platforms tobookeverything from flights tohotels, theneed for sophisticated,user-friendly,It's high-performing travelportalshas never beenmorecrucial. Thegrowth of this sectoris drivenby numerous factors, including technological advancements, consumer behaviorshifts,It's the quest fororganization. Thisarticle explores thetop trends in travelportals development that every business should pay attention to in 2024It'sbeyond.
1.ArtificialIntelligence andMachine Learning in TravelPortal Development
ArtificialIntelligence (AI) andMachine Learning (ML) have quickly become foundational components of travelportal development. These technologiesare revolutionizing the way businesses personalize services, predict consumer behavior, and optimizebooking processes.AI andML algorithms analyze large data sets to understand customers preferences,allowing for real-time customization of travel recommendations. From dynamic pricing models to
customized travel suggestions,AI help businesses offer an unequaleduser experience.
For instance,AI chatbotsare becoming successively popular for customer service. They cananswer customer queries24/7,assist inbookings,It's even provide real-time travel updates, enhancing the overall customers experience. Furthermore,AI-powered tools suchas a recommendation engines analyze pastbooking behavior to suggest tailoreditineraries, making travel planning much easier foruser.
2.Mobile-First Approach for TravelPortal Development
With the increasing use of smartphones,as amobile first approachis no longer optional for businesses in the travel industry.MoreIt'smoretravelersare relyingon their smartphones forbooking flights, boardinghouse,It'sactivitieson thego. For travelportals tostay competitive, ensuring seamlessmobile optimizationiscrucial.
Amobile optimized travelportal ensures thatusers haveaccess to the same features and functionalitieson theirmobile devicesas they wouldon adesktop.It’s not just about making the site responsive—it’s about creating an intuitive, fast, and easy to navigate experience. This includes featureslikemobile-specific payment options,mobilecheck-in forairlinesIt'shotels,It's easyaccess to customers support.
3. Integration of Blockchain for Secure Transactions
Blockchain technologyis makingwaves across various industries, and the travel sectoris no exception. Blockchain based travelportals offer a significant advantage whenit comes to securityIt's transparency. Blockchain’s ability to provide secure, tamper proof recordmakesit ideal for transactions involvingbookings, payment,It's loyalty program.
By integrating blockchain, travel businesses can ensure secureIt's fast transactions, protect customer data,It's reduce fraud. Blockchain also facilitates easierIt'smoretransparent loyalty program management.Travelers can accumulate rewards points across various service providers,all within the same blockchainframework, creatingas amore cohesiveIt's rewarding experience.
4. Enhanced Payment Solutions andDigital Wallets
One ofthe most significant changes in the travel industryhas been theshift toward contactless payment.Digital wallets, suchas aApple Pay,Google Wallet,It's cryptocurrency wallets,arenow widely accepted in travelportals. These payment solutions offer a faster,more secure,It's convenient way fortravelers to complete transactions.
For businesses, adopting multiple payment gatewaysis essential for attracting global customer.Internationaltraveler can faceissues with currencyexchangeIt's transaction fees, butby offering localized payment methodIt's supporting a wide range ofdigital wallets, businesses can significantlyimprove customerssatisfactionIt's retention.
5.Voice Search and VirtualAssistants
Voice searchisone ofthe fastest growing trends in the tech world, and the travel industryis no exception.Voice search optimizationis becoming an essential part of travelportal development.With therise of virtualassistantslikeAmazon’sAlexa,GoogleAssistant,It'sApple’sSiri,travelersare increasingly usingvoicecommand to search for flights,hotels,It'sdestinations.
For businesses, this means optimizing travelportals forvoice search.Voice-friendlyportal withnatural languageprocessing capabilities can provideusers withmore accurate resultsIt'smakebooking processes quickerIt's easier. Additionally, integrating virtualassistants intoportals can enhance customers servicebyansweringcommon queriesIt'sassisting withbookings.
6. AugmentedReality (AR) andVirtual Reality (VR) Experiences
(AR) and (VR) technologiesare transforming the waytravelers experiencedestinations and plan their trips. IntensifiedRealityallowstraveler toviewdestinations,hotel, or local attractions in realtime through theirmobile devices. For example, anAR feature in a travelportal couldallowuser totake a virtual tour of ahotel room or explore acity’s landmarks in3D.
Virtual Reality,on the other hand, cantransportusers to adestination before they evenbook their trip, providing immersivepreviews of their potentialvacation. Integrating (AR)It's (VR) into travelportal notonly elevates theuser experience but also drivesengagementby offeringsomething truly unique.
7. Customizable and Personalized Travel Packages
Personalizationiskey to standingout in the competitive travel industry.Travelerstoday expect customizable travel packages that cater to their uniqueneed and preferences. From flight choices tohotel rooms,activities,It's local experiences,organizationallows businesses to create tailored experiences that resonatewith their customer.
Advanced travelportal use customer data to offer customized deal, travelitineraries,It'sdestination recommendations.By analyzing pastbooking behaviorsIt's preferences, businesses can deliver highly relevant options, thus increasingthe likelihood of conversion. Offering dynamic packagingallowsusers tomix andmatch services basedon their preferences, creating amore flexibleIt's customizedbooking experience.
8. Sustainability andEco-Friendly Travel Options
As a coincidental concernscontinue torise,moretravelersare becoming mindful of theircarbon footprint. Sustainable travelhas become amajor trend in the tourism industry,It's businessesare respondingby incorporatingEco-friendly options into their travelportal. Whetherit’sbookingEco-conscious accommodations, flights with lowercarbon emissions, or supporting local sustainable experiences,travelersarenow seekingout environmentally responsible options.
Travelportals that emphasize sustainability and provide clear, detailed information abouteco-friendly optionsarelikely to attract a growing segment of conscientioustravelers. Businesses can also promote their commitment to sustainabilityby partnering withEco-friendly service providers and offeringtravelers the ability to offset theircarbon emissions.
9. Integration with Social Media andUser-Generated Content
Social media plays a pivotal role in travel decision making.More than ever,travelersare relyingonuser generated content (UGC)likereviews, photos, and videos from social platforms to guide their choices. Integrating (UGC) into travelportalsallows businesses totap into thissocial proofIt's build trust with potential customer.
For instance,allowingusers toshare their experiencesvia social media orreview platforms can provide valuable insights for othertravelers. Additionally, incorporating social sharing features within theportalsitself can encourageusers to engagewith your brandIt'sshare their travel experiences, thereby drivingmore traffic to theportal.
10.API Integrations and Multi-Channel Distribution
As the travel landscape becomesmore fragmented, travel businesses must offer a consistent experience across multiple channels.API integrationsarekey to ensuring that travelportals canaccess real-time data and distributeit across different platforms.APIsallow travelportal to integrate with global distribution system (GDS),airlines,hotels,car rental services,It's other travel-related services seamlessly.
By offering multi-channel distribution, business can maximize theirreach, whether throughdesktop websites,mobile app, or third party platformlike OTAs (Online Travel Agents). This integration also ensures real-time availability updateIt's better inventory management.
Source & Publishedby:https://www.namantechnolab.com/
Hottake, blatant fanservice makes a series objectively better. Thereiszeroreasonwhy sexualizing a beautifulanime character should botheryouas longasit's doesn't interrupt thestory in acrucial part, Ifanything,it shouldfuelyour attachment to that character
https://x.com/SlyPerformer/status/1867883760689258806?t=gNJTuz9eHgaaNULA6ye-sw&s=19
しかも受け入れられてる模様
I've noticed a non-negligiblenumber of peoplewho have notonly completed compulsoryeducation in regular classes but have also received highereducation and graduated from university, yetstruggle with reading comprehension (understanding the meaning oftext), cannot read longtexts, and even have difficulty understanding videos.
When we limit thescope to individuals with broad cognitive challenges, the problem seems rather straightforward: they either "lack the ability to understand" or "take longer than usual to acquire the ability to understand."
Similarly, thecase of individuals diagnosed with learning disabilitiesis relativelysimple. While theymay not have broad cognitive challenges, theyrequire different approaches and training due to their unique learning styles.
However,itis perplexing that university graduates without broad cognitive challenges or diagnosed learning disabilitiesstruggle to understand notonly writtentext but also simplified video content.
I suspect that the underlying causes might includegaps in the horizontal transfer of experiences and knowledge, a severe lack of adaptability,and anextreme deficit in metacognition.Has there beenany researchon theseissues? Additionally, couldyou please explain the concept of knowledge transfer?
(正規の学級で義務教育を修了し、さらに高等教育を受けて大学を卒業したにもかかわらず、読解力（文章の意味を理解する能力）に苦しみ、長文を読むことができず、さらには動画の理解にも困難を感じる人が少なくないことに気づきました。
認知能力に広範な課題を抱える個人に範囲を限定すると、問題は比較的単純です。「理解する能力がない」か、「理解する能力を獲得するのに通常よりも時間がかかる」かのいずれかです。
同様に、学習障害と診断された個人の場合も比較的単純です。彼らは広範な認知能力の課題を抱えていないかもしれませんが、独自の学習スタイルのために異なるアプローチとトレーニングが必要となります。
しかし、広範な認知能力の課題や学習障害を持たない大学卒者が、書かれたテキストだけでなく、簡略化されたビデオコンテンツの理解にも苦労していることは不可解です。
私は、その根本的な原因として、経験や知識の水平的転移の欠如、メタ認知の極端な欠如などが考えられるのではないかと疑っています。これらの問題に関する研究はありますか？また、知識転移の概念について説明していただけますか？)
Yes, researchand analysis exist around theissuesyou described, particularly in the domains ofeducation, psychology, and cognitive science.Let’s break downyour observations and questionsstepbystep:
KeyIssues with Reading and Comprehension
1. Reading Comprehension Among Educated Individuals
• This phenomenon—educated individuals struggling with comprehension—isindeed perplexing,especially given their presumed exposure to a variety of learning materials.It suggests thateducation systems sometimes emphasize rote learning andsurface-level knowledge acquisitionoverdeeper understanding, critical thinking, and metacognition.
• Horizontal TransferGaps: This refers to the inability to apply knowledge or skills learned inone context toanother. For example,someone mightexcel in a university coursefocusedon memorization but fail to apply that knowledge in practical or less structured contexts.
• Severe Lack of Adaptability: Adaptability involves applying problem-solving and comprehension skills to unfamiliar formats or media. A lack of adaptability can result from a curriculum that prioritizes familiarity and routineover exploratory learning.
• Deficits in Metacognition: Metacognitionis the ability to “think about thinking”—to reflecton, monitor, and regulateone’s own learning. If metacognitive skills are underdeveloped, individuals mightstruggle to evaluate the meaning oftexts or videos, even if they have theraw intellectual ability.
Research Insights
1. Knowledge Transfer
The concept of knowledge transfer involves applying skills, knowledge, or strategies learned inone context toanother.Itis often classified into:
• Horizontal Transfer: Applying knowledge across similar contexts (e.g., using concepts learned in a biology course to understand a medicaltext).
• Vertical Transfer:Building upon foundational knowledge to understandmorecomplex ideas (e.g., usingbasic algebra to solve advanced calculus problems).
Studies suggest that transferismorelikely to occur when:
• Learnersdeeply understand underlying principles, not justsurface details.
•Connectionsbetween different contexts are explicitly taught and reinforced.
• Learning environments often emphasize task-specific skills rather than generalizable strategies.
• Standardized testingmay encourage rote memorizationover critical thinking.
• Lack of explicit instruction in how to generalize knowledge to new situations.
Researchhighlights the importance of metacognition in learning. Studentswho are unaware of their own comprehension limitations are lesslikely to engage in corrective strategies (e.g., rereading, seeking clarification). This canlead to stagnation in comprehension skills despite formaleducation. Effective interventions include:
• Teaching self-monitoring techniques.
• Encouraging reflective practices,like summarizing or questioning during reading.
4. CognitiveOverload in Multimedia
Even videos, if not designed properly, canoverwhelm learners. The CognitiveTheory of Multimedia Learning suggests that excessive extraneous information or unclearorganization in videos canoverload working memory, hindering comprehension.
Strategies and Research-Based Solutions
1. Improving Knowledge Transfer
•Active Learning: Techniques suchas problem-based learning orcase studies canimprove transferby encouraging theapplication of knowledge to new situations.
• Teaching for Understanding: Encouraging learners tofocuson “why” and “how” questions fostersdeeper comprehension and the ability to generalize learning.
• Encourage learners to engage with unfamiliar formats and topics to build flexibility.
• Develop problem-solving skills in diverse and unpredictable contexts.
3. Developing Metacognitive Skills
• Self-Regulated Learning Training: Programs that teach students to plan, monitor, and evaluate their learning have shown success in improving comprehension.
•Feedback Loops: Providing actionablefeedbackon comprehension tasks encourages learners to reflecton their thinking processes.
Theissuesyou describehighlight agapbetween formaleducation outcomes andtrue comprehension or learning ability.Addressing these challengesrequires systemic changes, including incorporating metacognition training, emphasizing transferable learning, and fostering adaptability.
Ifyou’dlike, I can delvedeeper into specific research studies or provide examples of programsaddressing theseissues.
Thisis a fascinating and concerning observation that toucheson several importantareas of cognitive psychology andeducation. Let meaddress this systematically.
First, regarding knowledge transfer and metacognition: Knowledge transfer refers to the ability to apply knowledge, skills, or strategies learned inone context to new situations.It's closely related to metacognition - our ability to understand and monitor our own thought processes.
Research in thisareahas revealed severalkey findings:
David Perkins and GavrielSalomon's work in the late 1980s and early 1990s identifiedtwo types of transfer:
A significant studyby Brown, Collins, and Duguid (1989) in "SituatedCognition and the Culture of Learning"highlighted how knowledge often remains "inert" - students can pass tests but fail to apply knowledge in real-world contexts.
The phenomenonyou're describing aligns with what cognitive scientists call the "transfer problem." Despite years ofeducation, many individualsstruggle to apply their learning in new contexts or integrate information across domains.
Some relevant research directions:
1. Cognitive LoadTheory (Swelleret al.)
Shows how working memory limitations affect learning and transfer. Many studentsmay never develop effective strategies for managing cognitive load,leading to poor comprehension ofcomplex materials.
2. Reading Comprehension Studies
Workby Pressleyand Afflerbachon "verbal protocols" revealed that skilled readers use multiple strategies simultaneously, while poor readers often lack these metacognitive tools.
3. Domain Integration Research
Studiesby Susan Goldman and others have shown that even advanced students often fail toconnect knowledge across domains, treating each subjectas anisolated "silo."
Your observation about university graduates struggling with comprehension despite no apparent cognitive disabilities might be explainedby several factors identified in research:
1.Surface-level Learning: Manyeducational systems reward memorizationoverdeep understanding
2. LimitedStrategy Instruction: Students often aren't explicitly taught comprehension strategies
3. Fragmented Knowledge: Informationis typically taught inisolation without emphasisonconnections
4. Weak Metacognitive Skills: Studentsmay never develop the ability to monitor and regulate their own understanding
Some promising approaches toaddress theseissues include:
Teaching explicit strategies for comprehension, integration, and transfer. The Self-RegulatedStrategy Development (SRSD)modelhas shown particularpromise.
2. Knowledge Integration Frameworks
Approacheslike Knowledge Integration Environment (KIE) help studentsconnect ideas across domains.
3. Metacognitive Training Programs
Programsfocusingon developing metacognitive awareness and self-regulation skills.
Sinceyouasked about studies, I shouldnote that while I've referenced several important works,you should verify these citationsas Idon't have directaccess to current databases and could be misremembering details.
Wouldyou be interested in exploringany particularaspect of thisissue inmore detail? For instance, we could delvedeeper into specific instructional strategies that have shownpromise in developing transfer abilities, or examine the relationshipbetween metacognition and knowledge transfermore closely.
数日前のこと、Youtubeで音楽を聞いていた。誰か特定の歌手が目当てだったわけではない。
適当に音楽の動画を開いて聞き、曲が終わったら右の動画リンクに表示されている音楽動画をクリックして聞く。そんなことを繰り返していた。
そうして十曲ぐらい聞いた後だったと思うが、気がつくとnobodyknowsの「ココロオドル」の公式MVを開いていた。
ENJOY音楽は鳴り続ける IT'SJOIN 届けたい 胸の鼓動 ココロオドルアンコール わかす Dance Dance Dance（READYGO!）
いつ聞いてもノリがよくて楽しい曲だ。そしていつ見てもnobodyknows より女達のほうが映っている時間の長いMV映像は意味不明だ。
思えばこの曲との付き合いは長い。もう20年近く聞いている。ただ「ココロオドル」という曲は馴染みが深いがnobodyknowsというグループには特に思入れがない。
自分にとってこの曲はニコニコ動画の思い出と不可分に結びついているため、あまりnobodyknowsの曲であるという感覚がない。
いや、正直に言えば「ココロオドル」は好きだが、nobodyknowsは好きではなかった。
別に何かはっきりと嫌いになるような理由があったわけではない。自分は彼らのライブに行ったこともなく、人間性も知らない。
じゃあなぜ毛嫌いしていたか、理由は単純で彼らがヤンキーだったからだ。といっても、彼らが本当に不良だったのかどうかは知らない。たぶん違うだろう。
彼らはヤンキーといっても、反社会的勢力とかではなくて、今でいうところのマイルドヤンキーの若者版という感じだった。当時はマイルドヤンキーという言葉はなくて、こういう若者のことをB系と呼んでいた気がする。
nobodyknowsだけじゃなくて、当時のHIPHOP界隈はほぼ全員このB系だったと思う。はっきり言うと自分は彼らのことを嫌っていた。見下していた。自分の人生とは関係がない人たちとみなして関わらないようにしていた。
自分がヤンキー嫌いであることを差し引いて考えても、彼らはみんな同じような格好して、同じような歌詞ばかり書いて、同じようなツレと女と車の話ばかりしていて、HIPだHOPだと言ってるくせに、自分たちが一番型にはまっているのがダサいと思っていた。
まあ、それはともかく、「ココロオドル」はいい曲である。Nobodyknowsにあまりいいイメージをもっていない自分がずっと好きなんだから、逆説的にそれだけ曲がすごいとも言える。
それで「ココロオドル」を聞きながら、何の気なしに動画のコメント欄を見ると、やたらと「THE FIRSTTAKE」に関するコメントが多いことに気づいた。
どうやらnobodyknows+が「THE FIRSTTAKE」に出演したらしい。しかも、非常に評判がよい。THE FIRSTTAKEを見て「感動した」だの「泣いた」だのそんなコメントであふれていた。
（知らない人のために説明すると「THE FIRSTTAKE」というのはYoutubeにチャンネルを持っている音楽番組のことだ。特徴としては一発撮りであるということ。つまり、歌の途中で間違ったり、発声がいまいちだったりしても、リテイクはなしで、そのまま動画にして公開する。そういう番組である。もっとも、自分も星街すいせいが出演したときにニュースになっていたな、ぐらいの知識しかないので、あまり偉そうなことはいえない）
自分にはそのコメントは理解不能だった。ココロオドルはいい曲だが、彼らのTHE FIRSTTAKEを見て何を泣くことがある。
画面右を見るとリコメンド動画の一番上に、その「THE FIRSTTAKE ココロオドル」回の動画があった。だから、せっかくだから見ておいてやるかぐらいの気持ちでクリックした。
動画が始まると、画面中にゆるい恰好をしたおっさん達がぞろぞろと出てきた。このおっさん達が20年ほど歳を重ねたnobodyknowsだった。かつてのB系ボーイはおっさんになっていた。おっさん達はマイクテストをやり始めたが、声も20年分歳をとっていた。
これ大丈夫かな、とちょっと心配になったところで、もう何度聞いたかわからないあの歌がアカペラで始まった。
ENJOY音楽は鳴り続ける IT'SJOIN 届けたい 胸の鼓動
そしてどうなったか。
やばいくらい感動したね。
動画が終わるころには涙が流れてたもん。
なんなんだろうこの涙は。いい年したおっさんが、なにを泣くことがある（よく考えると自分もおっさんになってたわ）。
いやあ、言葉ではうまく言い表せないが、信じられないぐらいかっこよかったね。
聞いてるうちに自分の脳内で、20年分の日々がフラッシュバックを起こしていた。といってもあまりいい思い出はない。悪い思い出もあんまりない。とりたててどうこういうことのない20年だったが、とにかく自分はフラッシュバックの海の中で泣いていた。
考えるとこれは少し不思議なことだ。というのも、自分は先ほど若いころの彼らが歌うココロオドルを聞いていたのだ。その時はこんなふうに歳月を思い泣くことはなかった。なんなら薄ら笑いを浮かべながら、ベビースター食ってたぐらいだ。
仮に若いころの彼らがファーストテイクに出ていたとしたら、自分は特に何も思わなかっただろう。
中年となった彼らの歌うココロオドルだからこそ、より強い喚起力を持っていた。彼らが超えてきた20年の歳月が歌といっしょに押し寄せてきたかのようだ。
ただのおっさんのノスタルジーじゃねえかと言われると、否定はできない。
ただ、この良さはちょっと、そういうノスタルジーみたいなもんだけでは片づけられないと思うのだ。
そういう懐かしさとは別に、誰が見ても感動できるような、普遍的な良さがこの動画にはあると思う。
この動画のnobodyknowsは魅力的である。余裕があるというか色気がるというか、いい感じに丸くなっている。若いころのギラギラした感じがなくなっている。
それはある意味では、恐れ知らずの若者がマイルドヤンキーになってしまったともいえるわけで、人によってはこれを老化・退廃とみるかもしれない。
だが、自分には好ましいものとして映った。昔に比べたら、当然、容姿は衰えているというか、年相応に老けているんだけど、逆に魅力が増していると感じた。
こんなふうに思ったのは自分だけではないようで、ファーストテイクのコメント欄を見ると若いと思われる人から、「大人もいいもんだと思った」とか「大人になっても面白いことはあると思えた」というコメントが多くついている。
それにしても、かっこいい大人を見たのなんていつ以来だ。ちょっと見ないぞ。少なくともここ10年は見ていない気がする。もっとかもしれん。
もちろん、彼らはシンガーとしての実力と経験があるからかっこいいわけで、普通のおっさんが普通に立っているだけでかっこいいわけではない。
よくよく考えてみれば、彼らも急に20年分年をとったわけじゃなくて、この20年歌ったり、仕事したりなんやかや喜怒哀楽を刻んできたわけだ。
客をわかせて、自分たちも楽しんで、そんなことを続けていたのだろうということが動画からも伝わってくる。まさに呼応する心響き続けるだ。
動画を見て、少し悔しいとも思った。
ヤンキーと見下していた彼らのほうが、はるかにかっこいい大人になっているじゃないか。それに比べて、自分はこの20年、何をやっていたんだ。
かっこいい大人になること。本当はそれはテメーが自分でやりたかったことじゃなかったか。
動画を見ていてそういう悔しさも滲んできた。
ただ、勘違いしてほしくないが、動画を見て流した涙は別に悔し涙ではない。
純粋に感動の涙だ。
なんていうか、この動画のnobodyknowsって見ててすごく楽しそうなのよ。
素人が偉そうなこと言うようだが、音楽を楽しんでいる感じとでもいうのだろうか。
特に中盤、歌詞を間違えてから、みんなが笑顔になって、そこから一気にあげていくのが、本当にかっこいい。
元々のココロオドル自体が聞いていると楽しくなる曲ではあるのけど、彼らが心底楽しそうに歌っていると、なんの関係もない自分もなにか嬉しくなってくる。
自分は初めてココロオドルという曲が心で理解できたように思う。きっとそれには20年の月日が必要だったのだ。
20年前この曲を作ってくれた、nobodyknowsに感謝。20年歌い続けてくれた彼らに感謝。そして20年後にかっこいい大人の姿を見せてくれたnobodyknowsにも感謝である。
というわけで、かつて若者だった現おっさんや現おばさんはTHE FIRSTTAKE「ココロオドル」を一度、見てほしい。いずれ、おっさんやおばさんになる現若い人にも見てほしい。もちろん、それ以外の年よりやガキも見て損はない。
➤「救いようが最もうない、極東の自称他称の〝ジャーナリスト〟や〝学者〟、〝知米派〟は読まなくても構い。読んでもその肥大化した自己承認欲求、度し難い自己愛性人格では読むことはできないし、理解もできない。ただ見下した目線で見やるだけで、そこに自分が利用できる素材がなければ鼻で嗤うだけだ。この文章は、我がU.S.を領りたい、領ろうと下向きの反省的眼光で欲する諸君に読んで貰いたい。
I Traveled to 46States inAmerica ThisSummer.Here’sWhyTrump Won.
By Frank S. Zhou
By Ezekiel A. Wells
Ezekiel A. Wells ’27is aDouble Concentrator in Environment Science & Engineering and Economics in EliotHouse. He spentlastsummertraveling to 46Americanstates conductinginterviews forhisYouTube series, “CrossroadsAmerica.”
A week after Democrats’ election loss, accusations have flown in every direction within their Party. Some faultPresidentJoe Biden for an egoistic refusal todropout of therace earlier. Someblame the Harris campaign for failing to servekey demographics and communicate a clearvision for the country. And someblameAmericans, claiming that racism and sexism drove voters towardTrump.
These factors certainly exist, but we’remissing a largerpiece of the picture.
Over thesummer, I traveled to 46states in the U.S., creating aYouTube series highlighting slices oflife across the country. In conversations from my nearly three-monthroad trip, I spoke with Republicanswho were certain that inflationis entirely Biden’s fault and Democratswho, despite their frustrations with corporate profits and desires foruniversal healthcare, hoped for amore moderate candidate. From supporters ofall candidates, I heard a shockingamount of misinformation.
After combing through hundreds of hours ofinterview footage fromswingstateTrump voters, Iam certain that,as muchas other factors influenced theoutcome of the election, our crumbling media landscape — whichhas caused arift in our democracy —ismost toblame.
In the postwar period,newswas dominatedby threemain channels, and because ofthe FairnessDoctrine, eachstation reported the same stories and covered multiple sides of eachissue.Viewers picked which channels they watchedmainly basedon their preferences fornewsanchors’ personalities. Of course, thismodel hadits problems, but,at the end of the day,it meant thatAmericans worked with a sharedset of facts.
A sharedset of factsis notthe world welive intoday.
Throughout myinterviews, conspiracy theories were rampant, andonat leastfive separate occasions across separatestates, Iwas told that Bill Gates tampers with ourfood, adding plastic to our fruits and vegetables tomakehis medical investmentsmore profitable.
In conversations with voters, neither side seemed able tonamemany specific policyissues they cared about; everyone just seemed to repeat the words of theirfavorite pundits,podcast hosts, andinternet personalities.
Although this behavioris harmful, Idon’tblame everydayAmericans.Blame fallson the media thathas ostracized, disillusioned, and misinformed them.
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I firstsaw this trend withlow-wage workers in West Virginia,who — despitefalling inflationrates — have seen stagnated salaries and clear increases infood costs. ChannelslikeFoxNews bred anger and resentment formany of them.
TakeJuly of thissummer, for example, when for the firsttime inhis presidency, prices actually fell under the Biden administration. Traditional media establishments rushed tocelebrate thisvictory, withone article fromCNN declaring, “The White House can finallycrossout ‘inflation’onits list ofpresidential liabilities.” However,outside these bubbles, I observedmanyAmericans held a differentview.
In lateJuly, Iwas welcomedat a massive familyreunion in Tylertown, Mississippi, whereoneTrump voter — a middle-aged, Black, familyman, pastor, andsoulfood enthusiast —made this clear.
“When Igo in the grocery stores, and Igotta spend mylast toget groceries,you mean totell me I’m notgonnalook and seewho’sgonna vote to help me? I voted forTrump and I’d vote forhimagain, because he put money in ourpocket,” he told me.
In their coverage,mainstreamnews organizations obsessover the Federal Reserve’snextrate cuts while failing toconnect with people concernedwith theirnext meals.With titleslike “Vance:YoungAmericans ‘Are Becoming Paupers’ Due To Inflation, High Housing Costs,” siteslike The DailyWire had their fingerson the pulse ofAmerican sentiment, welcoming new readership from thosewhofelt neglectedby traditional media.
This problemwas not just confined to the economy. While Biden’s mentalstatewas deteriorating,liberal mediaoutlets seemed to under-cover these stories, shelteringhim from scrutiny ofhis declining capabilities, until theinfamouspresidential debate.
Formerly trusted networksslowlymade themselves indigestible to the polarizedAmerican public, and in 2024, for the third year in a row, a Gallup pollfound thatmoreAmericans indicated having “no trust” in the media than thosewho trustit a “great deal/fairamount”.
So wheredoes the averageAmerican turn when thenation’s media cannot be trusted? Formany people,itwasYouTubetalk shows,Newsmax, andpodcasters suchasJoe Rogan.
While Democrats seek toblame various internal factors for this election’s loss, I cannot help but think ofJoe Rogan’sTrump endorsement, themany blind lies I heard from ordinary citizens across the country, and declining trust inAmerican journalism.
AsHarvard students and members of highereducation institutions, we have a part to play in the problem.AtHarvard’s Institute ofPolitics, thosewho denied the 2020 election results have been precluded from speakingat theJFKJr. Forum. While thegoalis understandable,it shields students from understanding theAmericanviewpoints they represent.
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Thereis adifferencebetween platforming intentional andmanipulative misinformation and listening to and learning about where people are and what theybelieve.
As a pipeline tomainstream media,Harvard, andits future journalists, have to consider the audience they lose when theystay inside of their bubble and ignore theissues of everydayAmericans.
The disappearance of factual importance in our worldis alarming and dangerous, but if we,asaspiring journalists, politicians, andengaged citizens, want to betaken seriously in communicatingTrump’s threat to democracy, inflationary tariff policies, and soon, we oweAmerican voters that seriousness, too.
Ezekiel A. Wells ’27is aDouble Concentrator in Environment Science & Engineering and Economics in EliotHouse. He spentlastsummertraveling to 46Americanstates conductinginterviews forhisYouTube series, “CrossroadsAmerica."
