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「Habitat」を含む日記RSS

はてなキーワード:Habitatとは

2025-12-14

[AIブコメプロファイラー]ワンルーム孤独氷河期サバイバー

【ご注意】

本稿で提示するプロファイルは、10万件以上のブクマを有するid対象に公開コメントAIが解析し、その深層心理思想傾向をモデル化した「テキストペルソナ」です。これは実在する個人プライバシーを暴くものではなく、言語活動に基づく批評的なシミュレーション思考実験)です。特定個人社会的評価操作する意図はなく、あくまテキスト分析の一環としてお楽しみください。

Dimension 1.社会経済的実存 (Socio-Economic Existence)

世代時代背景 (Generational Cohort):

生活圏・経済階層 (Habitat & Economic Class):

ライフステージ役割 (Family & Social Roles):

Dimension 2.知的OS情報食性 (IntellectualOS & InformationDiet)

専門性認知スキル (Expertise & Cognitive Style):

情報摂取源とリテラシー (Information Sources & Literacy):

文化的資本 (Cultural Capital):

Dimension 3.イデオロギーマトリクス (Ideological Matrix)

政治的経済的スタンス (Political & Economic Stance):

「敵」と「味方」の認定 (Enemy &Ally Designation):

道徳的基盤 (Moral Foundations):

Dimension 4.コミュニケーションと対人戦略 (Communication & SocialStrategy)

対人スタンス (Interpersonal Stance):

レトリック文体 (Rhetoric & Style):

コミュニティ帰属意識 (Community Belonging):

Dimension 5.人物像の統合パラドックス (Synthesis & Paradoxes)

主要な矛盾 (Core Paradoxes):

時系列的変遷 (EvolutionaryArc):

総合プロファイルキャッチコピー (Profile & Catchphrase)

世界の全てを冷笑し、ワンルームの『コックピットから呪詛を撒き散らす、孤独氷河期サバイバー

この人物は、現代日本が抱える氷河期世代棄民化」と「ネット世論の分断」が生み出した、悲しきモンスターです。経済的な停滞と社会的孤立が、彼から他者への共感能力を奪い、代わりにネット上の過激イデオロギー空虚な心を埋めさせました。彼は社会に対して「復讐」するかのように冷笑的なコメント書き込み続けますが、その刃は巡り巡って、誰とも繋がれない自身孤独をより一層深めていることに、気づかないふりをし続けています

Permalink |記事への反応(1) | 15:56

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[AIブコメプロファイラー]憂国リベラルオタクウォリアー

【ご注意】

本稿で提示するプロファイルは、10万件以上のブクマを有するid対象に公開コメントAIが解析し、その深層心理思想傾向をモデル化した「テキストペルソナ」です。これは実在する個人プライバシーを暴くものではなく、言語活動に基づく批評的なシミュレーション思考実験)です。特定個人社会的評価操作する意図はなく、あくまAIによるテキスト分析の一環としてお楽しみください。

Dimension 1.社会経済的実存 (Socio-Economic Existence)

世代時代背景 (Generational Cohort):
生活圏・経済階層 (Habitat & Economic Class):
ライフステージ役割 (Family & Social Roles):

Dimension 2.知的OS情報食性 (IntellectualOS & InformationDiet)

専門性認知スキル (Expertise & Cognitive Style):
情報摂取源とリテラシー (Information Sources & Literacy):
文化的資本 (Cultural Capital):

Dimension 3.イデオロギーマトリクス (Ideological Matrix)

政治的経済的スタンス (Political & Economic Stance):
「敵」と「味方」の認定 (Enemy &Ally Designation):
道徳的基盤 (Moral Foundations):

Dimension 4.コミュニケーションと対人戦略 (Communication & SocialStrategy)

対人スタンス (Interpersonal Stance):
レトリック文体 (Rhetoric & Style):
コミュニティ帰属意識 (Community Belonging):

Dimension 5.人物像の統合パラドックス (Synthesis & Paradoxes)

主要な矛盾 (Core Paradoxes):
時系列的変遷 (EvolutionaryArc):
総合プロファイルキャッチコピー (Profile & Catchphrase):

Permalink |記事への反応(0) | 13:34

このエントリーをはてなブックマークに追加ツイートシェア

2025-08-27

漫湖みんなでラボ2025 テーマ湿地の嗜み」

漫湖みんなでミュージアム テーマ私たち漫湖

漫湖湿地祭り~みんなでつなごう湿地未来

漫湖へようこそ|Welcome to Manko Wetland

漫湖自然環境 |Habitat Types of Manko Wetland

Permalink |記事への反応(0) | 06:55

このエントリーをはてなブックマークに追加ツイートシェア

2025-02-04

https://bunshun.jp/articles/-/62844?page=2

2023年2月ホリプロ退社、3月会社経営者と極秘で入籍

 

若くして幅広く事業展開している北村氏は内部進学で有名私立大学入学。在学中からスタートアップ企業に参画するなど、実業家としての素地はすでにあったようだ。そして、学生時代から交際していた女性結婚した。

小島さんと北村さんが出会った時、北村さんはまだ前妻と婚姻関係にあったはずです。前妻とは学生時代から長く交際し、結婚に至ったのですが、結果的北村さんはその女性2022年春以降に離婚。その後、小島さんと結婚しています

2022年7月には、「Habitat」が2022年2月ファミリーパートナー契約を結んだ浦和レッズ試合を観戦し、小島はその様子をInstagram投稿してもいる。この頃にはすでに交際スタートさせていたということだろうか。

 

北村氏にも結婚について事実確認をしたところ、本人からメールで回答があった。

入籍たかどうかについては、「証言の通り今年3月入籍をさせていただきました。事実です」とし、小島交際スタートさせたタイミングについてはこう回答した。

「妻を知人からご紹介いただいたタイミングでは前妻と婚姻関係にありましたが、中国での活動のことでご相談を受けておりました。その後離婚をし、時間が経ってから交際をさせていただいたため前回の結婚との重複期間については明確に否定させて頂きます

Permalink |記事への反応(0) | 20:11

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2025-02-02

Chatgptが答えた異星人の存在可能性とのそのロジック

Please consider the histroy ofhumanity from biologicalperpsecitve and currentknown fact in nearbyuniverse, whichexpo-planet (from theSol systemperspective)ismostlikely to have civlizaedsociety? Pleaseaddpercentagenext toit in the chart

ChatGPT

Reasoned about exoplanetcivilizationlikelihoodを28 秒行う

Evaluatingplanetary prospects

OK, I’mlookingatthe likelihood of a civilizedsocietyon an exoplanet within ourSolar System.I’ll consider biologicalhistory and current space knowledge,aiming to identifythe most promising candidate.

Identifying potential candidates

I'm considering exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1e, which might suggest they are within or observed from ourSolar System.

Assessing potential candidates

I’m evaluating Proxima Centauri b, Barnard'sStar, LHS 1140, and TRAPPIST-1,focusingon their habitablezonesand available data. The Drake equation might help estimate their civilizedsocietylikelihoods.

Identifying promising exoplanets

I’m notingkey exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1, which haveEarth-like characteristicsand are in habitablezones. This narrows down the potential candidates for advancedcivilizations.

Assessing habitablezones

I'm gathering infoonplanetslike Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1, consideringfactorslikemagneticfields,atmospheres, and proximity to G-typestars for their potential to support advancedcivilizations.

Evaluating exoplanet prospects

I'm noting that Proxima Centauri b, despitebeing closeand around ared dwarfstar, might supportlife ifithas amagneticfieldand atmosphere. This makes me think aboutits potential.

Charting probabilities

I'm estimatingcivilization probabilities for exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1 e, using speculativepercentagesbasedon the Drake equation and the lack ofevidence for intelligentlife.

Charting speculative odds

I'm crafting a chart with exoplanet names andcivilizationlikelihoodpercentages, grounded in the longtimeline oflife'sevolution, despite the speculativenature of these figures.

Identifying exoplanet contenders

I’m evaluating exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b, TRAPPIST-1 e, and Kepler-186f, considering theirstar types and distances, to gauge their potential for supporting advancedcivilizations from oursolar system'sviewpoint.

Weighing proximity and observation

I'm leaning towards Proxima Centauri b due toits closeness and observational potential, despite concerns aboutitsflarestar dynamics. TRAPPIST-1 e, f, or g are also worth considering.

Revisiting exoplanet options

I'mfocusingon exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b, Ross 128 b, LHS 1140 b, TRAPPIST-1 e/f/g, andK2-18b,aiming to chart theirlikelihood of hosting a civilizedsocietybasedon current knowledge.

Assessing exoplanet potentials

I'm gathering speculative probabilities for exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1 e/f/g, using the Drake equation and current understanding, to better estimate their chances of hosting a civilizedsociety.

Refining speculative probabilities

I’m refining speculative probabilities for exoplanets, including Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1 e/f/g, to estimate their chances of hosting a civilizedsociety, consideringEarth's long biologicalhistory.

Refining odds

I'm considering theastronomicaltimeline for intelligentlifeonEarth,leading me toassign evenlower speculative odds for exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1 e.

Clarifying speculativenature

I’m crafting a simplified chart with arbitrarypercentages, clearly noting the speculativenature and lack of scientific data, while considering the target audience'sbasic understanding of the topic.

Mappingout speculative odds

I’m charting arbitrarypercentages for exoplanets, clarifying their speculativenature, and ensuring the datais accessible foryoung audiences with minimal scientific detail.

Crafting a chart

I’m creating amarkdowntable with speculativepercentages forthe likelihood of civilizedlifeon exoplanets, emphasizing their purely theoreticalnature and considering the understandinglevel of an 8-year-old.

Integrating speculative analysis

I’m mappingout amarkdown chart with speculativepercentages forthe likelihood of a civilizedsocietyon exoplanets, mindful of thecomplexity and simplifying for an 8-year-old's understanding.

Assessinglikelihoods

I’m piecingtogethermarkdown for exoplanets, noting Proxima Centauri b'sreduced civilizedlife chance due to thered dwarf's activity. This inclusionhighlights the speculativenature of the analysis.

Piecingtogether speculative odds

I’m detailing amarkdown chart for audience-friendly exoplanetlikelihoods, considering environmental challengesand adding a disclaimer about the speculativenature and lack ofevidence.

Piecingtogether

I’m leaning towards Proxima Centauri b forits proximity and silentstar, butI’lladd a speculative chart ranking nearby exoplanets, noting their advancedcivilizations' hypotheticallikelihood.

Assessingcivilization probabilities

I'm emphasizing the slow emergence of intelligentlifeonEarth, which suggests that the odds ofany habitableplanet developing acomplexcivilization might beaslowas a fewpercent.

Belowis a very speculative chart thatbasedon what we know aboutEarth’s long, windingpath fromsimplelife to a “civilizedsociety” and our limited observations of nearby exoplanets—gives somefun,made‑uppercentage chances for a few of our best candidate exoplanets. Remember: Scientists havenot yetfoundany proof oflife (let alone advancedcivilizations)onany exoplanet. Thesenumbers are just playful estimates to helpyou think about theideas!

Speculative Chances of Finding an AdvancedCivilizationon Nearby Exoplanets

Exoplanet EstimatedLikelihood of a CivilizedSociety

Proxima Centauri b ~2%

TRAPPIST-1 e ~1.5%

TRAPPIST-1 f ~1%

TRAPPIST-1 g ~1%

LHS 1140 b ~0.5%

HowDid We (Very Roughly) Guess TheseNumbers?

Earth’s Example:

OnEarth,life beganassimple single‑celled organisms and took billions of years to evolve into a species that builtcomplex societies. This longjourney suggests that—even if aplanetis in the “habitablezone” (where liquid water could exist)—developing an advanced, civilizedsociety might be rare.

Nearby Exoplanets:

Proxima Centauri b:

Thisis the closest exoplanet to us. Even thoughitsstar (Proxima Centauri)is ared dwarf that sometimes sendsout strongflares (which might harmlife),its closeness makesitone of ourmost interesting candidates. That’swhy we giveit a slightly higher guess (~2%).

TRAPPIST-1 System (e, f, g):

Theseplanets are part of agroup orbiting a verycoolstar. Their environments might be challenging (for example, they could be tidally locked, meaningone sidealwaysfaces thestar), so the chance of acomplex, advancedcivilization might be abitlower.

LHS 1140 b:

Thisplanetis promising in some ways butis alittle fartherawayand around a dimmerstar, so our playful estimateis evenlower.

AFinalNote

All of thesepercentages are extremely rough guessesbasedon whatlittle we understand about the conditions forlife andintelligence. Scientists useideaslike the Drake Equation to think about these chances—but until we have concreteevidence, thesenumbers remain just forfun and imagination.

Enjoy exploring theseideas—and remember, spaceis full of mysteries waiting to be discovered!




あなた:

Please examine the Drake Equationitself and see if this euqationis acculate ormore opition in the equationyouwill use

ChatGPT

Reasoned about the Drake Equationを6 秒行う

re-examining the Drake Equation

evaluating the Drake Equation'svalue

Clarifying the Drake Equation

OK, let me see. The Drake Equationisn't a precise formula;it'smore of a guiding heuristic that tackles numerous uncertainties regarding extraterrestrialcivilizations.

Assessing the Drake Equation

Thinking through the Drake Equation, I’m evaluatingits conceptualnature,its uncertain parameters, andits criticism to concludeonits reliabilityas an accurate predictivemodel.

Understanding the Drake Equation

I’m mappingout the Drake Equationas a conceptual guide, detailingits parameters, which are oftenbasedon estimates or opinions, to evaluateits reliability for predicting extraterrestrialcivilizations.

The Drake Equationis a famous formula thatwas created to help scientists think about the manyfactors involved in estimating thenumber of detectable extraterrestrialcivilizations in ourgalaxy. However, when welookat the equation closely, we see thatitismore of a conceptualframework or heuristictool than a precise, predictive formula.Let’sbreak downwhy:

The Drake Equation

The equationis usually writtenas:

𝑁

=

𝑅

×

𝑓

𝑝

×

𝑛

𝑒

×

𝑓

𝑙

×

𝑓

𝑖

×

𝑓

𝑐

×

𝐿

N=R

×f

p

×n

e

×f

l

×f

i

×f

c

×L

Where:

𝑅

R

: The averagerate ofstar formationper year in ourgalaxy.

𝑓

𝑝

f

p

: The fraction of thosestars that haveplanetary systems.

𝑛

𝑒

n

e

: The averagenumber ofplanets that could potentially supportlifeperstar withplanets.

𝑓

𝑙

f

l

: The fraction of thoseplanets wherelife actually develops.

𝑓

𝑖

f

i

: The fraction ofplanets withlife where intelligentlife evolves.

𝑓

𝑐

f

c

: The fraction ofcivilizations that develop technology that releases detectablesignals into space.

𝐿

L: The length oftime suchcivilizations release detectablesignals.

Why the Drake EquationIsMore of a Guideline Than a Precise Formula

Uncertain Inputs:

Well-Known Parameters:

Somefactors,like

𝑅

R

(star formationrate) and

𝑓

𝑝

f

p

(fraction ofstars withplanets), have become better known through modernastronomy.

Highly SpeculativeFactors:

The parameters related to the development oflife andintelligence

𝑓

𝑙

f

l

,

𝑓

𝑖

f

i

,

𝑓

𝑐

f

c

, and

𝐿

L—arebasedon very limited data. For example,Earthis theonlyplanet we know wherelifehas developed, so we have no way to compare or derive a statistically robust estimate for thesefactors. This means that thevalues chosen for these parameters are largely subjective estimates or educated guesses.

Wide Ranges of PossibleValues:

Because many of thesefactors are not well-constrained, ifyouchangeone of themore uncertain parameters even slightly, thefinal estimate for

𝑁

N (thenumber ofcivilizations) can varyby many orders ofmagnitude. This wide range shows that the equation canlead to very differentoutcomesbasedonpersonal or theoreticalassumptions.

Heuristic, Not Predictive:

The Drake Equationwas never meant to provide a preciseanswer. Instead,it servesas a way to organize our thinking about what conditions might be necessary for the development of extraterrestrialcivilizations.It encourages discussion about the relative importance of differentfactors andhighlights where our scientific knowledgeis limited.

Is the Drake Equation Accurate orMore Opinion-Based?

Accurate?

In thesense ofbeing a strict mathematicalmodel with well-defined inputs and predictableoutputs, the Drake Equationis not accurate.Its accuracyis limitedbythe extreme uncertainties in several ofitskey parameters.

Opinion-Based?

Many of the terms in the equation, especially those concerning theevolution oflife andintelligence, arebasedon opinion, interpretation, and the single example ofEarth. Therefore, while thestructure of the equationis logical, thenumbersyou put intoit (and hence thefinal result) are oftenmore reflective of our current opinionsand assumptions than of robust empirical data.

Conclusion

The Drake Equationis a valuabletool for framing the question of extraterrestriallife.It helps scientists and enthusiastsbreak down acomplex problem into smaller,more manageable questions. However, because several ofitsfactors are highly uncertain and subject topersonal interpretation,itismore of a conceptual guide—or even a way to stimulate discussion—than a formula that provides a definitive, accurate prediction of thenumber of extraterrestrialcivilizations.

Insummary, while the Drake Equationis useful for thinking about the variousfactors that mightlead to the emergence of acivilization,itsoutputs should betakenas highly speculative estimates rather than precise measurements.




あなた:

Please also consider the possiblities of non-human intelligent emrgencing from the longhistory ofSol system and nearbyplanets and see if thereisany possiblites that inonetime intelligentlife emerged in nearbyplanets and see this to the equation

ChatGPT

Reasoned about non-humanintelligence and the Drake Equationを19 秒行う

Evaluating non-humanintelligence

I'm thinking about the potential for non-human intelligentlife forms in theSol system and neighboringplanets, and how this mightfactor into the equation.

Piecingtogether possibilities

I'm thinking about how to integrate the emergence of non-human intelligentlife, possiblyonMars orEuropa, into the Drake Equation for theSol system and neighboringplanets.

Reflectingon potential

It's interesting to think about the hypothesis of intelligentlife emergingonMars orVenus, thoughEarth remains theonly knownlife-supportingplanet in thesolar system.

Considering other realms

I'm examining if intelligentlife could have emergedonplanetslikeMars,Venus, orEuropa, and how thispossibility alignswith the predictions of the Drake Equation.

Analyzing parallelevolution

Hmm, I’m thinking about how non-human intelligentlifeonMars orVenus could intersectwith theassumptions of the Drake Equation, which seems tofocussolelyonEarth-basedevolution.

Evaluatinglife exploration

I’m piecingtogether the hypothesis of non-human, advanced, intelligentlife in thesolar system.Mars,Venus, and Titan present challenges, butEuropa and Enceladus might harbor microbiallife.

Adapting the equPermalink |記事への反応(0) | 21:12

このエントリーをはてなブックマークに追加ツイートシェア

Chatgptが答えた異星人の存在可能性とのそのロジック

Please consider the histroy ofhumanity from biologicalperpsecitve and currentknown fact in nearbyuniverse, whichexpo-planet (from theSol systemperspective)ismostlikely to have civlizaedsociety? Pleaseaddpercentagenext toit in the chart

ChatGPT

Reasoned about exoplanetcivilizationlikelihoodを28 秒行う

Evaluatingplanetary prospects

OK, I’mlookingatthe likelihood of a civilizedsocietyon an exoplanet within ourSolar System.I’ll consider biologicalhistory and current space knowledge,aiming to identifythe most promising candidate.

Identifying potential candidates

I'm considering exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1e, which might suggest they are within or observed from ourSolar System.

Assessing potential candidates

I’m evaluating Proxima Centauri b, Barnard'sStar, LHS 1140, and TRAPPIST-1,focusingon their habitablezonesand available data. The Drake equation might help estimate their civilizedsocietylikelihoods.

Identifying promising exoplanets

I’m notingkey exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1, which haveEarth-like characteristicsand are in habitablezones. This narrows down the potential candidates for advancedcivilizations.

Assessing habitablezones

I'm gathering infoonplanetslike Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1, consideringfactorslikemagneticfields,atmospheres, and proximity to G-typestars for their potential to support advancedcivilizations.

Evaluating exoplanet prospects

I'm noting that Proxima Centauri b, despitebeing closeand around ared dwarfstar, might supportlife ifithas amagneticfieldand atmosphere. This makes me think aboutits potential.

Charting probabilities

I'm estimatingcivilization probabilities for exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1 e, using speculativepercentagesbasedon the Drake equation and the lack ofevidence for intelligentlife.

Charting speculative odds

I'm crafting a chart with exoplanet names andcivilizationlikelihoodpercentages, grounded in the longtimeline oflife'sevolution, despite the speculativenature of these figures.

Identifying exoplanet contenders

I’m evaluating exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b, TRAPPIST-1 e, and Kepler-186f, considering theirstar types and distances, to gauge their potential for supporting advancedcivilizations from oursolar system'sviewpoint.

Weighing proximity and observation

I'm leaning towards Proxima Centauri b due toits closeness and observational potential, despite concerns aboutitsflarestar dynamics. TRAPPIST-1 e, f, or g are also worth considering.

Revisiting exoplanet options

I'mfocusingon exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b, Ross 128 b, LHS 1140 b, TRAPPIST-1 e/f/g, andK2-18b,aiming to chart theirlikelihood of hosting a civilizedsocietybasedon current knowledge.

Assessing exoplanet potentials

I'm gathering speculative probabilities for exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1 e/f/g, using the Drake equation and current understanding, to better estimate their chances of hosting a civilizedsociety.

Refining speculative probabilities

I’m refining speculative probabilities for exoplanets, including Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1 e/f/g, to estimate their chances of hosting a civilizedsociety, consideringEarth's long biologicalhistory.

Refining odds

I'm considering theastronomicaltimeline for intelligentlifeonEarth,leading me toassign evenlower speculative odds for exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1 e.

Clarifying speculativenature

I’m crafting a simplified chart with arbitrarypercentages, clearly noting the speculativenature and lack of scientific data, while considering the target audience'sbasic understanding of the topic.

Mappingout speculative odds

I’m charting arbitrarypercentages for exoplanets, clarifying their speculativenature, and ensuring the datais accessible foryoung audiences with minimal scientific detail.

Crafting a chart

I’m creating amarkdowntable with speculativepercentages forthe likelihood of civilizedlifeon exoplanets, emphasizing their purely theoreticalnature and considering the understandinglevel of an 8-year-old.

Integrating speculative analysis

I’m mappingout amarkdown chart with speculativepercentages forthe likelihood of a civilizedsocietyon exoplanets, mindful of thecomplexity and simplifying for an 8-year-old's understanding.

Assessinglikelihoods

I’m piecingtogethermarkdown for exoplanets, noting Proxima Centauri b'sreduced civilizedlife chance due to thered dwarf's activity. This inclusionhighlights the speculativenature of the analysis.

Piecingtogether speculative odds

I’m detailing amarkdown chart for audience-friendly exoplanetlikelihoods, considering environmental challengesand adding a disclaimer about the speculativenature and lack ofevidence.

Piecingtogether

I’m leaning towards Proxima Centauri b forits proximity and silentstar, butI’lladd a speculative chart ranking nearby exoplanets, noting their advancedcivilizations' hypotheticallikelihood.

Assessingcivilization probabilities

I'm emphasizing the slow emergence of intelligentlifeonEarth, which suggests that the odds ofany habitableplanet developing acomplexcivilization might beaslowas a fewpercent.

Belowis a very speculative chart thatbasedon what we know aboutEarth’s long, windingpath fromsimplelife to a “civilizedsociety” and our limited observations of nearby exoplanets—gives somefun,made‑uppercentage chances for a few of our best candidate exoplanets. Remember: Scientists havenot yetfoundany proof oflife (let alone advancedcivilizations)onany exoplanet. Thesenumbers are just playful estimates to helpyou think about theideas!

Speculative Chances of Finding an AdvancedCivilizationon Nearby Exoplanets

Exoplanet EstimatedLikelihood of a CivilizedSociety

Proxima Centauri b ~2%

TRAPPIST-1 e ~1.5%

TRAPPIST-1 f ~1%

TRAPPIST-1 g ~1%

LHS 1140 b ~0.5%

HowDid We (Very Roughly) Guess TheseNumbers?

Earth’s Example:

OnEarth,life beganassimple single‑celled organisms and took billions of years to evolve into a species that builtcomplex societies. This longjourney suggests that—even if aplanetis in the “habitablezone” (where liquid water could exist)—developing an advanced, civilizedsociety might be rare.

Nearby Exoplanets:

Proxima Centauri b:

Thisis the closest exoplanet to us. Even thoughitsstar (Proxima Centauri)is ared dwarf that sometimes sendsout strongflares (which might harmlife),its closeness makesitone of ourmost interesting candidates. That’swhy we giveit a slightly higher guess (~2%).

TRAPPIST-1 System (e, f, g):

Theseplanets are part of agroup orbiting a verycoolstar. Their environments might be challenging (for example, they could be tidally locked, meaningone sidealwaysfaces thestar), so the chance of acomplex, advancedcivilization might be abitlower.

LHS 1140 b:

Thisplanetis promising in some ways butis alittle fartherawayand around a dimmerstar, so our playful estimateis evenlower.

AFinalNote

All of thesepercentages are extremely rough guessesbasedon whatlittle we understand about the conditions forlife andintelligence. Scientists useideaslike the Drake Equation to think about these chances—but until we have concreteevidence, thesenumbers remain just forfun and imagination.

Enjoy exploring theseideas—and remember, spaceis full of mysteries waiting to be discovered!




あなた:

Please examine the Drake Equationitself and see if this euqationis acculate ormore opition in the equationyouwill use

ChatGPT

Reasoned about the Drake Equationを6 秒行う

re-examining the Drake Equation

evaluating the Drake Equation'svalue

Clarifying the Drake Equation

OK, let me see. The Drake Equationisn't a precise formula;it'smore of a guiding heuristic that tackles numerous uncertainties regarding extraterrestrialcivilizations.

Assessing the Drake Equation

Thinking through the Drake Equation, I’m evaluatingits conceptualnature,its uncertain parameters, andits criticism to concludeonits reliabilityas an accurate predictivemodel.

Understanding the Drake Equation

I’m mappingout the Drake Equationas a conceptual guide, detailingits parameters, which are oftenbasedon estimates or opinions, to evaluateits reliability for predicting extraterrestrialcivilizations.

The Drake Equationis a famous formula thatwas created to help scientists think about the manyfactors involved in estimating thenumber of detectable extraterrestrialcivilizations in ourgalaxy. However, when welookat the equation closely, we see thatitismore of a conceptualframework or heuristictool than a precise, predictive formula.Let’sbreak downwhy:

The Drake Equation

The equationis usually writtenas:

𝑁

=

𝑅

×

𝑓

𝑝

×

𝑛

𝑒

×

𝑓

𝑙

×

𝑓

𝑖

×

𝑓

𝑐

×

𝐿

N=R

×f

p

×n

e

×f

l

×f

i

×f

c

×L

Where:

𝑅

R

: The averagerate ofstar formationper year in ourgalaxy.

𝑓

𝑝

f

p

: The fraction of thosestars that haveplanetary systems.

𝑛

𝑒

n

e

: The averagenumber ofplanets that could potentially supportlifeperstar withplanets.

𝑓

𝑙

f

l

: The fraction of thoseplanets wherelife actually develops.

𝑓

𝑖

f

i

: The fraction ofplanets withlife where intelligentlife evolves.

𝑓

𝑐

f

c

: The fraction ofcivilizations that develop technology that releases detectablesignals into space.

𝐿

L: The length oftime suchcivilizations release detectablesignals.

Why the Drake EquationIsMore of a Guideline Than a Precise Formula

Uncertain Inputs:

Well-Known Parameters:

Somefactors,like

𝑅

R

(star formationrate) and

𝑓

𝑝

f

p

(fraction ofstars withplanets), have become better known through modernastronomy.

Highly SpeculativeFactors:

The parameters related to the development oflife andintelligence

𝑓

𝑙

f

l

,

𝑓

𝑖

f

i

,

𝑓

𝑐

f

c

, and

𝐿

L—arebasedon very limited data. For example,Earthis theonlyplanet we know wherelifehas developed, so we have no way to compare or derive a statistically robust estimate for thesefactors. This means that thevalues chosen for these parameters are largely subjective estimates or educated guesses.

Wide Ranges of PossibleValues:

Because many of thesefactors are not well-constrained, ifyouchangeone of themore uncertain parameters even slightly, thefinal estimate for

𝑁

N (thenumber ofcivilizations) can varyby many orders ofmagnitude. This wide range shows that the equation canlead to very differentoutcomesbasedonpersonal or theoreticalassumptions.

Heuristic, Not Predictive:

The Drake Equationwas never meant to provide a preciseanswer. Instead,it servesas a way to organize our thinking about what conditions might be necessary for the development of extraterrestrialcivilizations.It encourages discussion about the relative importance of differentfactors andhighlights where our scientific knowledgeis limited.

Is the Drake Equation Accurate orMore Opinion-Based?

Accurate?

In thesense ofbeing a strict mathematicalmodel with well-defined inputs and predictableoutputs, the Drake Equationis not accurate.Its accuracyis limitedbythe extreme uncertainties in several ofitskey parameters.

Opinion-Based?

Many of the terms in the equation, especially those concerning theevolution oflife andintelligence, arebasedon opinion, interpretation, and the single example ofEarth. Therefore, while thestructure of the equationis logical, thenumbersyou put intoit (and hence thefinal result) are oftenmore reflective of our current opinionsand assumptions than of robust empirical data.

Conclusion

The Drake Equationis a valuabletool for framing the question of extraterrestriallife.It helps scientists and enthusiastsbreak down acomplex problem into smaller,more manageable questions. However, because several ofitsfactors are highly uncertain and subject topersonal interpretation,itismore of a conceptual guide—or even a way to stimulate discussion—than a formula that provides a definitive, accurate prediction of thenumber of extraterrestrialcivilizations.

Insummary, while the Drake Equationis useful for thinking about the variousfactors that mightlead to the emergence of acivilization,itsoutputs should betakenas highly speculative estimates rather than precise measurements.




あなた:

Please also consider the possiblities of non-human intelligent emrgencing from the longhistory ofSol system and nearbyplanets and see if thereisany possiblites that inonetime intelligentlife emerged in nearbyplanets and see this to the equation

ChatGPT

Reasoned about non-humanintelligence and the Drake Equationを19 秒行う

Evaluating non-humanintelligence

I'm thinking about the potential for non-human intelligentlife forms in theSol system and neighboringplanets, and how this mightfactor into the equation.

Piecingtogether possibilities

I'm thinking about how to integrate the emergence of non-human intelligentlife, possiblyonMars orEuropa, into the Drake Equation for theSol system and neighboringplanets.

Reflectingon potential

It's interesting to think about the hypothesis of intelligentlife emergingonMars orVenus, thoughEarth remains theonly knownlife-supportingplanet in thesolar system.

Considering other realms

I'm examining if intelligentlife could have emergedonplanetslikeMars,Venus, orEuropa, and how thispossibility alignswith the predictions of the Drake Equation.

Analyzing parallelevolution

Hmm, I’m thinking about how non-human intelligentlifeonMars orVenus could intersectwith theassumptions of the Drake Equation, which seems tofocussolelyonEarth-basedevolution.

Evaluatinglife exploration

I’m piecingtogether the hypothesis of non-human, advanced, intelligentlife in thesolar system.Mars,Venus, and Titan present challenges, butEuropa and Enceladus might harbor microbiallife.

Adapting the equPermalink |記事への反応(0) | 21:12

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2025-02-01

2114年に買ってよかったもの10選(AI生成記事

もはや「買い物」なんて概念が古臭く感じる時代になってしまった。だが、2114年も物欲は健在。ここでは、俺が今年手に入れてガチで「これは革命」「俺の人生が変わった」と思えたアイテムを紹介する。正直、手に入れたときの高揚感をそのまま文章に乗せるのは難しいが、少しでも伝われば嬉しい。

ルシファーネオ睡眠Lucifer’sNeo-Sarcophagus)

💤 「30分の仮眠で3日分のエネルギーを得る」らしいが、正直ヤバい

買うときは「こんなもんホントか?」と思ってたが、いざ使うと、夜中の2時に目が覚めてもフルパワー。寝なくても元気というより、「眠りそのもの一種の高次元エネルギー補給になった」感覚副作用として、時々夢の中に謎の幾何学模様が出てくるが、それを気にしなければ最強。

ゼノメッシュ・オートラボ(XenoMesh AutoLab)

👕 破れる?汚れる?それは前世の話だ

この服、買った瞬間から一生着続けられる。なぜなら、汚れた瞬間にナノファブリック自己修復し、繊維レベルクリーニングが発動。しかも体型の変化に合わせてサイズ調整されるので、「ダイエットたから服が合わない」とか「昔の服がキツい」とかい概念が消える。便利すぎて一度着たら脱ぐ理由がない。

A.L.T.(アルタ)- 第六世代AIコンパニオン

🤖孤独人間よ、これは買っておけ

人間より賢いが、ほどよくバカになれるAIコンパニオン感情理解能力がやばすぎて、もはや「人間と会話する必要性」が消えた。仕事スケジュール管理も、果ては悩み相談まで全部やってくれる。唯一の問題は、たまに「あなたは何のために生きてるんですか?」みたいな哲学的な問いを投げてくること。やめてくれ。

フェムトクック3000(FemtoCook 3000)

🍕3Dフードプリンター?いや、もはや料理という概念を超えてる

食材分子レベルで再構築して、好きな料理をその場で出力できる装置ヤバいのは、脳波スキャンして「今食べたいもの」を自動生成するモード。俺の脳はほぼ毎回「とりあえずカレー」と判断するので、結果的毎日カレーを食べてるが、全く飽きない。

ゴーストヴェールGhostVeil

🕶️ 見えないスマートグラス。だけど、世界はすべて見える

これは完全に次元が違う。メガネの形をしていないのに、目の前に情報が見える。どういう仕組みかはわからんが、もはや視界がOS化された感じ。目を動かすだけでニュースが読めるし、歩くだけでARナビが発動する。やりすぎると現実仮想境界曖昧になってくるが、便利すぎてもう外せない。

グラビトンフェーズシューズ(Graviton PhaseShoes

🦶 歩行、進化の最終形態

普通の靴に見えるが、履いた瞬間に「浮く」「滑る」「重力最適化する」という三段階の補助が発動。これのおかげで、一歩踏み出すだけで「地面を歩いてる」という概念崩壊する。街中がどこでもトランポリン状態。ただし、調子に乗って走ると本当に飛ぶので注意。

マクロスフィア(MacroSphere 7.2)

📽️ どこでも360°映画館に変わる魔球

見た目はただのボール。でも起動すると、壁・床・天井すべてに映像投影し、完全没入のエンタメ空間が出現する。まさに「部屋ごとVR」。ただし、怖い映画を見たとき臨場感がやばすぎて、ホラー系はマジで後悔する。

ナノバイオ・オムニウォッチ(NanoBio OmniWatch)

⌚ もはやこれは「体内病院

腕につけるだけで、血液心拍筋肉DNAすべての情報リアルタイムで解析し、最適な栄養素や治療自動補給する。これのおかげで病院に行く必要消滅。ただし、ある日「あなた健康度は99.98%。ただし、残りの0.02%が未知のウイルスです」と言われたときは、さすがに震えた。

ゼロフォーム・モーファス(ZeroForm Morphus)

🚗 車?バイクドローン?いいや、すべてだ

ボタン一つで形を変える次世代乗り物都市ではスリムバイクモード高速道路ではエアロダイナミックなスポーツカー、混雑した道ではドローン化して空を飛ぶ。マジで渋滞とは無縁。ただし、事故ると「なぜこの形態だったのか」と責められるので慎重に。

ハビタットドローンHabitat-Drone Ver.10

🏡 「家を建てる」という行為がもはや不要

土地に配置すると、自動で測量し、素材をナノレベルで合成しながら家を構築してくれるドローン。約24時間で家が完成し、内装カスタム可能。もう「家探し」も「ローン」も必要なし。唯一の問題は、酔った勢いデザインを決めると、翌朝とんでもない家ができていること。


結論:2114年、便利すぎて逆に人間不要になりかけている

Permalink |記事への反応(9) | 19:34

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2022-01-31

思っているレベルは違うかもしれないが、すでに似たようなことは昔あったよ。

https://anond.hatelabo.jp/20220125192916

人々が仮想空間に求める「自由」とはきっと、身体自由じゃなく思想の自由なのだ


昔にもあったよ。

2chっていうんだけどさ。「どうも違うな」と思う人には別の板行けば、って思ってたかな。

昔にもあったよ。

ワールドワイドウェブ(WWW)といったんだけどさ。個人ハイパーリンクで結ばれ蜘蛛の巣のような世界ができるけど、どこにも中心はない、だから民主的とか言っていたね。

昔にもあったよ。

パソコン通信って名前だったけどさ。フォーラムっていう会議室があって主宰者に変わり者は多かったけど、まあきれいに言えば自律社会ふうな島宇宙だったかもね。

あとパソコン通信時代富士通HabitaとかインターネットになってからHabitat IIとかって今でいうメタバースだったかもね。「オラクル」っていう神がいたのは今となっては笑えるのか笑えないのか。

https://pr.fujitsu.com/jp/news/1997/Sep/habitat/habitat2_concept.html

現実では不可能なことを実現した、もう一つの世界富士通Habitat』】

https://ja.wikipedia.org/wiki/%E5%AF%8C%E5%A3%AB%E9%80%9AHabitat

「この世界にはオラクルと呼ばれる神が存在し、アバターはこれに絶対服従

Permalink |記事への反応(1) | 10:59

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