Knut Wicksell | |
|---|---|
 | |
| Born | Johan Gustaf Knut Wicksell (1851-12-20)December 20, 1851 Stockholm, Sweden |
| Died | May 3, 1926(1926-05-03) (aged 74) Stocksund, Sweden |
| Spouse | Anna Bugge |
| Academic career | |
| Field | Political economics |
| School or tradition | Stockholm School |
| Influences | Léon Walras,Eugen von Böhm-Bawerk,David Ricardo,Thomas Robert Malthus |
Johan Gustaf Knut Wicksell (December 20, 1851 – May 3, 1926) was a Swedisheconomist of theStockholm school. He was professor at Uppsala University and Lund University.[1]
He made contributions to theories of population, value, capital and money, as well as methodological contributions to econometrics.[1][2][3] His economic contributions would influence both theKeynesian andAustrian schools of economic thought. He was married to the noted feministAnna Bugge.
Wicksell was born inStockholm[3] on December 20, 1851. His father was a relatively successful businessman and real estate broker. He lost both his parents at a relatively early age.[3] His mother died when he was only six, and his father died when he was fifteen. His father's considerable estate allowed him to enroll at theUniversity of Uppsala in 1869 to studymathematics,astronomy andphysics.[3]
He received his first degree in two years, and he engaged in graduate studies until 1885, when he received his doctorate in mathematics. In 1887, Wicksell received a scholarship to study on the Continent, where he heard lectures by the economistCarl Menger inVienna. In the following years, his interests began to shift toward the social sciences, particularly economics.
As a lecturer at Uppsala, Wicksell attracted attention because of his opinions about labour. At one lecture, he condemned drunkenness and prostitution as alienating, degrading, and impoverishing. Although he was sometimes identified as asocialist, his solution to the problem was decidedlyMalthusian in advocatingbirth control, which he would defend to the end of his life. Wicksell has been described as an "ardent neo-Malthusian."[4]
His fiery ideas had attracted some attention, but his first work in economics,Value, Capital and Rent (1892), went largely unnoticed. In 1896, he publishedStudies in the theory of Public Finance and applied the ideas ofmarginalism toprogressive taxation,public goods and other aspects of public policy, attracting considerably more interest.
Economics in Sweden at the time was taught as part of the law school, and Wicksell was unable to gain a chair until he was awarded a law degree. Accordingly, he returned to the University of Uppsala where he completed the usual four-year law degree course in two years, and he became an associate professor at that university in 1899. The next year, he became a full professor atLund University, where he would undertake his most influential work.
In 1916, he retired from his post at Lund and took a position at Stockholm advising the government on financial and banking issues. In Stockholm, Wicksell associated himself with other future great economists of the so-called "Stockholm School," such asBertil Ohlin,Gunnar Myrdal andErik Lindahl. He also taught a youngDag Hammarskjöld, the futureSecretary-General of the United Nations.
Wicksell died in 1926 while he was writing a final work on thetheory of interest.
Wicksell was enamored with the theory ofLéon Walras (theLausanne school),Eugen von Böhm-Bawerk (theAustrian school), andDavid Ricardo, and sought a synthesis of the three theoretical visions of the economy. Wicksell's work on creating a synthetic economic theory earned him a reputation as an "economist's economist." For instance, although themarginal productivity theory – the idea that payments tofactors of production equilibrate to their marginal productivity – had been laid out by others such asJohn Bates Clark, Wicksell presented a far simpler and more robust demonstration of the principle, and much of the present conception of that theory stems from Wicksell's model.Wicksell's (1898, 1906) theory of the "cumulative process" of inflation remains the first decisive swing at the idea of money as a "veil" as well asSay's law.
Extending from Ricardo's investigation of income distribution, Wicksell concluded that even a totally unfettered economy was not destined to equalize wealth as a number of Wicksell's predecessors had predicted. Instead, Wicksell posited, wealth created by growth would be distributed to those who had wealth in the first place. From this, and from theories ofmarginalism, Wicksell defended a place for government intervention to improve national welfare. Wicksell influenced the field of constitutional political economy. His 1896 work on fiscal theoryFinanztheoretische Untersuchungen[5] called attention to the significance of the rules within which choices are made by political agents, and he recognized that efforts at reform must be directed toward changes in the rules for making decisions rather than trying to influence the behaviour of the actors.[6]
Wicksell's most influential contribution was his theory of interest, originally published in German language asGeldzins und Güterpreise, in 1898. The English translationInterest and Prices became available in 1936; a literal translation of the original title would readMoney Interest and Commodity Prices. Wicksell invented the key termnatural rate of interest and defined it as that interest rate which is compatible with a stable price level.[7] If the interest rate falls short of the natural rate, inflation is likely to arise; if the interest rate exceeds the natural rate, this will tend to produce deflation. An interest rate that coincides with the natural rate ensures equilibrium in the commodity market and produces price level stability. This theory was adopted and expanded upon by theAustrian School, which theorized that aneconomic boom happened when (due to monetary expansions) the spot interest rate fell below thenatural, unhampered money market rate.
This contribution, called the "cumulative process," implied that if the natural rate of interest wasnot equal to the interest rate on loans, investment demand and savings would differ. If the interest rate is beneath the natural rate, an economic expansion occurs, and prices,ceteris paribus, will rise. This gave an early theory ofendogenous money – money created by the internal workings of the economy, rather than external factors, and various theories of endogenous money have since developed.[8]
Wicksell's theory of the "cumulative process" of inflation remains the first decisive swing at the idea of money as a "veil". Wicksell's process has its roots in that ofHenry Thornton. Recall that the start of the Quantity theory's mechanism is a helicopter drop of cash: an exogenous increase in the supply of money. Wicksell's theory claims, indeed, that increases in the supply of money leads to rises in price levels, but the original increase is endogenous, created by the relative conditions of the financial and real sectors. With the existence of credit money, Wicksell argued, two interest rates prevail: the "natural" rate and the "money" rate. The natural rate is the return on capital – or the real profit rate. It can be roughly considered to be equivalent to the marginal product of new capital. The money rate, in turn, is the loan rate, an entirely financial construction. Credit, then, is perceived quite appropriately as "money". Banks provide credit, after all, by creating deposits upon which borrowers can draw. Since deposits constitute part of real money balances, therefore the bank can, in essence, "create" money.
Wicksell's main thesis, that disequilibrium engendered by real changes leads endogenously to an increase in the demand for money – and, simultaneously, its supply as banks try to accommodate it perfectly. Given full employment (a constant Y) and payments structure (constant V), then in terms of the equation of exchange, MV = PY, a rise in M leads only to a rise in P. Thus, the story of the Quantity theory of money, the long-run relationship between money and inflation, is kept in Wicksell.
Primarily,Say's law is violated and abandoned by the wayside. Namely, when real aggregate supply does constrain, inflation results because capital goods industries cannot meet new real demands for capital goods by entrepreneurs by increasing capacity. They may try but this would involve making higher bids in the factor market which itself is supply-constrained – thus raising factor prices and hence the price of goods in general. In short, inflation is a real phenomenon brought about by a rise in real aggregate demand over and above real aggregate supply.
Finally, for Wicksell the endogenous creation of money, and how it leads to changes in the commodity market is fundamentally a breakdown of the Neoclassical tradition of a dichotomy between monetary and real sectors. Money is not a "veil" – agents do react to it and this is not due to some irrational "money illusion". However, we should remind ourselves that, for Wicksell, in the long run, the Quantity Theory still holds: money is still neutral in the long run, although to do so, Wicksell has broken the Neoclassical principles of dichotomy, money supply exogeneity and Say's law.
Parts of Wicksell's ideas would be expanded upon by theAustrian school, which used it to form a theory of thebusiness cycle based on central bank policy – changes in the level of money in the economy would shift the market rate of exchange in some way relative to the natural rate, and thus trigger a change in the relative proportion of the production of consumer goods to investment, which would ultimately result in an economic correction, or recession, in which the proportion of production of consumption goods to investment in the economy is pushed back towards the level that the natural rate of interest would result in. The cumulative process was the leading theory of the business cycle untilJohn Maynard Keynes'The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money. Wicksell's theory would be a strong influence in Keynes's ideas of growth and recession,inGunnar Myrdal's key conceptCircular Cumulative Causation and also inJoseph Schumpeter's "creative destruction" theory of the business cycle.
Wicksell's main intellectual rival was theAmerican economistIrving Fisher, who espoused a more succinct explanation of thequantity theory of money, resting it almost exclusively onlong run prices. Wicksell's theory was considerably more complicated, beginning with interest rates in a system of changes in the real economy. Although both economists concluded from their theories that at the heart of the business cycle (and economic crisis) was government monetary policy, their disagreement would not be solved in their lifetimes, and indeed, it was inherited by the policy debates between theKeynesians andmonetarists beginning a half-century later.
Wicksell also expressed his views on many social issues and was often a critic of the status quo. He questioned the institutions of rank, marriage, the church, the monarchy, and the military.[9] While Wicksell fought for a more equal distribution of wealth and income, he saw himself primarily as an educator of the public. He desired to influence more than just the field of monetary economics.
Elements of his public policy were taken strongly to heart by the Swedish government, including his price-level targeting rule during the 1930s (Jonung 1979) and his vision of awelfare state. Wicksell's contributions to economics have been described by some economists, includinghistorian-of-economicsMark Blaug, as fundamental to modernmacroeconomics.Michael Woodford has especially praised Wicksell's advocacy of using the interest rate to maintain price stability, noting that it was a remarkable insight when most monetary policy was based on thegold standard (Woodford, 2003, p. 32). Woodford calls his own framework 'neo-Wicksellian', and he titled his textbook on monetary policy in homage to Wicksell's work.
Wicksell marriedAnna Bugge in 1887.
Wicksell became agnostic in 1874.[3] After giving a lecture in 1908 satirising theVirgin birth of Jesus, Wicksell was deemed guilty ofblasphemy and imprisoned for two months in 1910.[10][11]
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