Thisbiography of a living personneeds additionalcitations forverification. Please help by addingreliable sources.Contentious material about living persons that is unsourced orpoorly sourcedmust be removed immediately from the article and its talk page, especially if potentiallylibelous. Find sources: "Kelvin Thomson" – news ·newspapers ·books ·scholar ·JSTOR(March 2024) (Learn how and when to remove this message) |
Kelvin Thomson | |
|---|---|
| Member of theAustralian Parliament forWills | |
| In office 2 March 1996 – 9 May 2016 | |
| Preceded by | Phil Cleary |
| Succeeded by | Peter Khalil |
| Member of theVictorian Legislative Assembly forPascoe Vale | |
| In office 1 October 1988 – 5 February 1996 | |
| Preceded by | Tom Edmunds |
| Succeeded by | Christine Campbell |
| Personal details | |
| Born | (1955-05-01)1 May 1955 (age 70) Melbourne, Australia |
| Party | Sustainable Australia (2019–present) |
| Other political affiliations | Labor (1975–2019) |
| Alma mater | University of Melbourne |
| Occupation | Lawyer, public servant, and electorate secretary |
| Website | www.kelvinthomson.com.au |
Kelvin John Thomson (born 1 May 1955) is a former Australian politician. He served as a member of theAustralian House of Representatives for theAustralian Labor Party, representing theDivision of Wills in Victoria, from March 1996 until May 2016. In February 2013, he was appointed Parliamentary Secretary for Trade in theSecond Gillard Ministry.
In October 1988, Thomson was elected to theVictorian Legislative Assembly as the member forPascoe Vale. He served on the Opposition Shadow Ministry from 1992 to 1994, and in 1994 he was the Manager of Opposition Business.[1][2]
In 1996, Thomson was elected as the member forWills, a formerly blue‐ribbon Labor seat that had been held byBob Hawke. However, the seat had become less safe for Labor – in 1992, independentPhil Cleary won a by‐election, and in 1993, although Labor retained government, Cleary defeated the Labor candidate, who received only 41.9% of the primary vote. In the 1996 election, during which Labor’s support declined andPaul Keating's government ended, Thomson was selected as the Labor candidate and proved to be a strong campaigner. He won the seat, receiving 50.0% of the primary vote.[3] In the 2007 election, which Labor won, Thomson recorded a 5.5-point swing on thetwo-party-preferred vote and secured 56.9% of the primary vote.[4] In the 2010 election – which resulted in near defeat for Labor – Thomson, like other incumbent Labor MPs, lost ground on the primary vote (51.81%); however, he achieved a further slight positive swing of 0.24% on the two-party-preferred vote.

In August 1997, Thomson joined the Opposition Shadow Ministry. From 2003 to 2004, he served as Shadow Minister for the Environment and Heritage, and from 2004 to 2005 he was Shadow Minister for Regional Development and Roads, Housing and Urban Development. In June 2005, he was appointed Shadow Minister for Public Accountability and Shadow Minister for Human Services.[2] FollowingKevin Rudd's election as party leader in December 2006, Thomson was appointed ShadowAttorney-General.[2]
On 9 March 2007, Kevin Rudd informed the media[5] that his office had received an anonymous tip-off that, in 2000,[6] Thomson had providedMelbourne gangland figureTony Mokbel with apersonal reference. The reference stated that he “understood” Mokbel had been married for the preceding eight years and that he was “a responsible, caring husband and father”.[7] It was later revealed that, up until 2000, there had been only one media mention of Mokbel – a positiveHerald Sun article on the contributions made by Mokbel’s businesses to the local economy in Moreland, within and near Thomson’s electorate of Wills[8][9][10] – and that the National Australia Bank had regarded Mokbel as a legitimate property developer worth approximately $15 million, investing in him until his arrest in August 2001.[11] Thomson resigned from Labor’sfrontbench after the reference became public, and he later released the text of the letter, noting that he did not know Mokbel and that “the reference, as you will be able to see, was more of a pro-forma character (reference)”.[12]
Coverage by The Sydney Morning Herald emphasised that Kevin Rudd was under pressure over “allegations surrounding his past meetings with disgraced former Western Australian premierBrian Burke"[12] and noted that Thomson “had no choice but to resign, especially since [Prime Minister]John Howard raised the bar a week ago by sackingIan Campbell for doing nothing more than the meeting, in his then-capacity as heritage minister, a delegation which included Burke.”[5] The article suggested that the type of reference provided by Thomson was similar to the thousands ofpro forma references supplied by MPs to their constituents, and questioned whether Thomson “would have suffered the same fate” had he not been appointed Shadow Attorney-General in the seven years following the reference. It further commented: “Thomson’s relegation to the backbench will be a setback for Labor. Ever since December, when Rudd promoted him to shadow attorney-general, he has dealt the Government more grief overDavid Hicks than Labor did collectively over the previous five years. Of the big changes to Labor’s frontbench under Rudd, Thomson was the standout surprise performer.” Thomson was not subsequently re-appointed to the Labor cabinet; he later chaired the Parliament’s Treaties Committee and frequently served as acting Speaker.[citation needed]
Since 2009, Thomson’s speeches and media releases have frequently addressed issues related to Australian and global population growth.[13] In August 2009, following a terrorist scare, he attracted controversy with comments linking high immigration to allegedly poor screening of immigrants for terrorism.[14] In September 2009, after the release of a report forecasting that Australia’s population would reach 35 million by 2049, Thomson reiterated his call to reduce immigration levels. He warned that Australia was “sleepwalking into an environmental disaster” and predicted that such a population would exceed its resources of “food, water, energy and land”.[15]
Thomson has since been an advocate for sustainable population levels in Australia. In November 2009, he proposed a 14 Point Plan for Population Reform,[16] which aimed to stabilise Australia’s population at 26 million by reducing skilled immigration and limiting net overseas migration to 70,000 per annum. The plan also called for abolishing the Baby Bonus while increasing the refugee intake from 13,750 to 20,000 per annum (the Labor government later announced an increase to 20,000 in 2012).[17]
Thomson describes himself as a keen environmentalist and naturalist; as an MP, he has been strongly anti-nuclear, supportive of sustainable population policies, and in favour of action onclimate change.[18] In 2011 and 2012, he was prominent in leading opposition within the Australian Federal Parliament to the export of live cattle and sheep for meat.[19][20][21] In October 2012, his call for a ban on political donations by developers received backing fromThe Age.[22][23] In 2012, he voted against the Marriage Equality Amendment Bill.[24] In 2017, he was awarded theAlan Missen Award for Integrity in Serving Parliament by the Accountability Roundtable.[25]
In 2012, Emeritus ProfessorIan Lowe, president of theAustralian Conservation Foundation, examined Labor’s views on population and the environment in his bookBigger or Better?[26] Lowe found that both the stated and de facto population policies of Labor – like those of the Liberal Party – were confused and inconsistent. He argued that these policies were distorted by a pro-growth ideology that conflicted with the evidence, and by a failure to understand the infrastructure costs associated with rapid population growth. By contrast, Lowe commended the arguments presented in four separate papers by Thomson, noting that collectively they demonstrated that “Thomson is not a one-trick pony obsessed with population to the exclusion of other important issues, but a politician who is thinking deeply about our security and ways to ensure a better future”.[27] Lowe also expressed surprise that so much attention had been given to “Thomson’s anodyne reference” for Mokbel, given that Thomson had done “what most MPs do quite routinely, writing a reference for a constituent”.[28]
During his time in Parliament, Thomson spoke out against criminal activities in the gambling industry.[29][30]

Since 2008, Thomson has emerged as a political theorist whose speeches and articles question some of the Labor Party’s current directions and call for reforms.[20][21]
His analysis begins by noting the exceptional speed of Australia’s population growth since 2000. He cites demographerGraeme Hugo, who has described it as more than three times the average annual increase observed in industrialised countries.[31] In a series of papers and speeches collected on his website,[32] Thomson argues that such rapid growth imposes high costs on government budgets, natural and urban environments, and on citizens’ finances and lifestyles. He concedes that the Labor Party is unlikely to change its pro-growth stance or embrace “population reform” in the short term,[33] but contends that no alternative exists, as the current rate of population growth is impoverishing state governments and fuelling widespread voter discontent.
Answering those who believe that better planning or increased funding could resolve these issues, Thomson suggests that they fail to appreciate the crippling impact of the infrastructure costs imposed by population growth.[34] On this point, he cites the work of US economistLester Thurow and University of Queensland agricultural economist Jane N. O’Sullivan. O’Sullivan has argued that these costs—amounting to roughly A$200,000 of infrastructure per additional Australian—dwarf the purported economic benefits.[35] Thomson believes this largely explains whyAnna Bligh's seemingly competent Queensland state government suffered theworst defeat of a sitting government in Queensland history, being forced to alienate voters by selling off public assets during an economic boom while still failing to meet the population’s infrastructure demands.[36] He suggests that, “Instead of talking about population size, we should examine the economic impacts of … population growth rate.”[37]
In a speech[38] in Parliament in March 2012, Thomson recommended to his colleagues a paper by O’Sullivan published inEconomic Affairs[39] as essential reading “for anyone who seriously wants to understand … why governments of all persuasions struggle to meet people’s needs and expectations.” He argued that, because about 2% of existing infrastructure requires renewal each year—a cost that governments struggle to meet—even a 1% annual increase in population can impose an almost unmanageable rise of up to 50% in infrastructure costs:
A society with a stable population needs to replace two per cent of all infrastructure annually. But if a population is growing at one per cent per annum, for example ...this increases the burden of infrastructure creation by some 50 per cent. ...One per cent more GDP or tax cannot pay for 25 to 50 per cent more public infrastructure.[37]
Thomson had previously generalised this analysis in his August 2011 paperThe Witches’ Hats Theory of Government: How Increasing Population is Making the Task of Government Harder.[40][41] In that work, he suggested that one reason many politicians worldwide have promoted population growth is that they fail to recognise how it may ultimately curtail their own political longevity. He assembled evidence indicating an inverse statistical relationship between population growth and the longevity of governments worldwide.[42]
On 10 November 2015, Thomson announced that he would retire from politics at the2016 federal election. He held the seat of Wills from 1996 until 2016 and was succeeded byPeter Khalil. In December 2016, he announced that he was joining theAlliance for Gambling Reform as a campaign manager.[43]In 2019 Kelvin Thomson resigned from the Labor Party. He rejoined it in 2024, and remains a Life Member. In 2025 he took on a part time role as Litter Action Officer for the Moonee Ponds Creek Chain of Ponds Collaboration, spearheading a campaign to clean up the Moonee Ponds Creek.[44][45]
| Parliament of Australia | ||
|---|---|---|
| Preceded by | Member forWills 1996–2016 | Succeeded by |
| Political offices | ||
| Preceded by | Parliamentary Secretary for Trade 2013 | Position abolished |
| Victorian Legislative Assembly | ||
| Preceded by | Member forPascoe Vale 1988–1996 | Succeeded by |