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History of tornado research

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

"History of tornadoes" redirects here. For other uses, seeLists of tornadoes and tornado outbreaks.
ADoppler on Wheels radar loop of ahook echo and associated mesocyclone inGoshen County, Wyoming on June 5, 2009. Strong mesocyclones show up as adjacent areas of yellow and blue (on other radars, bright red and bright green), and usually indicate an imminent or occurring tornado.

Thehistory of tornado research spans back centuries, with the earliest documentedtornado occurring in 200 and academic studies on them starting in the 18th century. Several people throughout history areknown to have researched tornadoes. This is a timeline of government or academic research into tornadoes.

This is adynamic list and may never be able to satisfy particular standards for completeness. You can help byadding missing items withreliable sources.

Pre-19th century

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The earliest-known tornado occurred inSardegna,Sardinia and Corsica,Roman Empire (modern-day Italy) in 200.[1]

The earliest-known German tornado struckFreising (modern day Germany) in 788.[2][3] The earliest-known Irish tornado appeared on April 30, 1054, in Rostella, nearKilbeggan. The earliest-known British tornado hit central London on October 23, 1091, and wasespecially destructive, with modern research classifying it as an F4 on theFujita scale.[4]

After the discovery of theNew World, tornadoes documentation expanded into the Americas. On August 21, 1521, an apparent tornado is recorded to have struckTlatelolco (present dayMexico City), just two days before the Aztec capital's fall toCortés. Many other tornadoes are documented historically within theBasin of Mexico.[5] The first confirmed tornado in the United States struckRehoboth, Massachusetts, in August 1671.[6][7][8] The first confirmed tornadic death in the United States occurred on July 8, 1680, after a tornado struckCambridge, Massachusetts.[9]

First tornadic case study

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A copper engraving by Gottlob Burchard Genzmer showing the tornado

The firstcase study on a tornado took place following the violent1764 Woldegk tornado, which struck aroundWoldegk,Duchy of Mecklenburg-Strelitz,Holy Roman Empire (modern-day Germany).[10] Between 1764 and 1765, German scientistGottlob Burchard Genzmer published a detailed survey of the damage path from the tornado. It covers the entire, 33 km (18.6 mi) long track and also includes eyewitness reports as well as an analysis of the debris and hail fallout areas. Genzmer calls the event an "Orcan" and only compares it towaterspouts ordust devils.[11][12] Based on the damage survey, modern day meteorologists from theESSL were able to assign a rating of F5, on theFujita scale, and T11 on theTORRO scale, making it the earliest known F5 tornado worldwide.[10] The T11 rating on the TORRO scale also places this event among the most violent tornadoes ever documented worldwide.[10]

19th century

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First studies by country

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In May 1820, Józef Karol Skrodzki, Professor at theUniversity of Warsaw, read a paper describing a tornado that occurred inMazew, Łęczyca County in Poland on August 10, 1819. It was described that the tornado had the appearance of a funnel whose color seemed different depending on the lighting, and that it damaged several buildings by tearing off roofs, damaging the structure, and lifting a hay wagon into the air. The paper was published in a collection of works by theWarsaw Society of Friends of Learning in 1821.[13][14]

In 1838, the earliest recorded Asian tornado struck near the city ofCalcutta in present-dayWest Bengal, India. It was described as moving remarkably slow across its 16-mile (26 km) path southeast over the span of 2 to 3 hours. It was recorded to cause significant damage to the area, including 3.5-pound (1.6 kg) hail being observed at the Dum Dum weather observatory.[15]

Between 1839 and 1841, a detailed survey of damage path ofsignificant tornado that struckNew Brunswick, New Jersey, on June 19, 1835, which was the deadliest tornado in New Jersey history, occurred. The path was surveyed by many scientists on account of its location between New York City and Philadelphia, including early tornado theoristsJames Pollard Espy andWilliam Charles Redfield. Scientists disagreed whether there was whirling, convergent, or rotational motion. A conclusion that remains accurate today is that the most intensedamage tends to be on right side of a tornado (with respect to direction of forward movement), which was found to be generally easterly).[16][17]

In 1840, the earliest known intensive study of a tornadic event published in Europe, by French scientist Athanase Peltier.[18]In 1865, the first in India and earliest known scientific survey of a tornado that analyzed structure and dynamics was published in 1865 by Indian scientist Chunder Sikur Chatterjee. The path damage survey of a tornado that occurred at Pundooah (nowPandua),Hugli district, West Bengal, India, was documented on maps and revealedmultiple vortices, thetornadocyclone, and direction of rotation,[19] predating work byJohn Park Finley,Alfred Wegener,Johannes Letzmann, andTed Fujita.

Tornado outbreak and tornado family studies

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One of the oldest photographs of an active tornado, taken nearHoward, South Dakota on28 August 1884

In 1886,Lieutenant Jno.J. P. Finley in theUnited States Army Signal Corps, under official orders from the United States military, wrote a case study ontornado outbreak which occurred between September 12–18, 1886. Finley studied 26 tornadoes which occurred during the outbreak.[20]

In 1895, D. Fisher with theUnited States Weather Bureau (USWB) published a case study on a tornado which struckAugusta, Georgia, on March 20, 1895, along with a twin tornado and asatellite tornado, which also struck Augusta.[21] Two months later, the United States Weather Bureau conducted a short case study on thetornado outbreak of May 3, 1895, tracking each of the 18 tornadoes that occurred during the outbreak.[22]

In May 1898, Willis L. Moore, the chief of the United States Weather Bureau, created a map, which was later published by an order from theUnited States Secretary of Agriculture, of meteorological observations across the United States as well as the tracks of tornadoes which occurred on May 17, 1898.[23]

Pressure

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A map of the1896 St. Louis–East St. Louis tornado‘s damage path by theMissouri History Museum

In 1896, H. C. Frankenfield with the United States Weather Bureau's local forecast office inSt. Louis, conducted a case study on the1896 St. Louis–East St. Louis tornado, which included a damage survey and meteorological analysis of the tornado and associated storm.[24] Following the study by Frankenfield, a special case study was conducted by Julius Baier, acivil engineer in St. Louis to address an estimation made by Frankenfield. In his study, Baier stated that the tornado's center crossed directly over abarometer, which recorded a reading of 671 millimetres of mercury (895 mb). In the study, it was also documented that Baier, along with professor F. E. Nipher, tested the barometer and saw no apparent ways of an inaccurate reading.[25]

Political

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Also in 1896, Norman B. Conger, an inspector with the United States Weather Bureau, conducted and published a case study on the 1896 Thomas, Michigan tornado, based on "all reliable, available sources". Conger's report also contained a map created by E. F. Hulbert. Following the tornado,Michigan governorJohn Treadway Rich created a committee to assess the damage and collect further information about the tornado.[26]

Frequency and locations

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In June 1897,Cleveland Abbe, aPhD meteorologist and professor atColumbian University, published one of the first tornadic frequency tables for each state in the United States, which included the annual average per state as well as the average per 10,000 square miles (26,000 km2). In the table, it was noted thatKansas was the leading state for tornadoes, with an annual average of 6.38 tornadoes, followed byIllinois with an annual average of 4.94 tornadoes. The only states documented with an annual average of 0 tornadoes wasAlaska,Delaware,Idaho,Oregon,Rhode Island,Utah, andWashington.[27] In July 1897, M. C. Walsh with theLa Salle Institute reported the beginning of the1896 St. Louis–East St. Louis tornado's track, which included a description of "two long, heavy black masses of cloud, one moving from the southwest, the other curving from the northeast" with them meeting "at a height of about 1,000 feet (330 yd; 300 m)".[28]

In April 1899, Abbe published an article along with theIowa State Register and Iowa Weather and Crop Service, stated the number of tornadoes across the United States was not truly increasing and that any numeric increase in tornado count was strictly due to the increase ofnewspaper andtelegraph coverage in the United States. It was also stated that tornadoes are now documented almost entirely within 24-hours, so no meteorological phenomenon is causing an increase in tornado counts. Abbe also stated anything to the contrary was a "popular mistake".[29]

Sound

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In February 1898, J. J. O'Donnell, an observer for theUnited States Weather Bureau, published a detailed meteorological case study and damage analysis ona violent tornado which struckFort Smith, Arkansas, on January 11-12, 1898. Prior to being struck by the tornado, O'Donnell observed a barometer which read a pressure of 28.846 inches of mercury (976.8 mb). O'Donnell also recorded the order-of-sequence of what an approaching tornado sounds like: "a gurgling noise...like water rushing rushing out of a bottle, followed immediately by a rumbling, such as that made by a number of heavy carriages rolling rapidly over a cobblestone pavement, and finally like a railroad train." O'Donnell later stated these three sounds, in sequence is the "tornado roar".[30] This sequence of sounds documented by O'Donnell, particularly the sound of a train, is the described sound of a tornado by people, even in the 21st century.[31]

Tornadogenesis

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Origin of Tornadoes, the theory of tornadogenesis by theUnited States Weather Bureau in 1898

In December 1898, Dr. B. F. Duke, along with Dr.Cleveland Abbe, published a paper regarding a theory on how tornadoes form after Duke observed the formation of a tornado nearPascagoula, Mississippi, in April 1894.[32]

Characteristics of tornadoes

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In April 1899, Dr.Cleveland Abbe, along with Professor A. W. Baker and E. L. Dinniston, published an article regarding the characteristics of tornadoes. In the study and analysis, Abbe discovered that tornadoes in the United States rotatecounterclockwise, just the same as a largelow-pressure system. Abbe also stated that this rotation rule for tornadoes "is almost invariable".[33]

Tornado warnings

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In April 1899, theChicago Tribune wrote to theUnited States Weather Bureau via a news article posing the question on whytornado warnings are not sent out viatelegraphs or even thetelephone to warn the local population in the path. Cleveland Abbe responded by saying "it is certain that if any such arrangement were possible, the Weather Bureau would have done this many years ago" along with "we must remember that the destructive areas of tornadoes, and even of thunderstorms, are so small that the chance of being injured is exceedingly slight" and that "we do not attempt to prevent that which is inevitable".[34]

In June 1899, U.S. Weather BureauOklahoma section director J. I. Widmeyer published that long-range forecasters in Oklahoma were sounding "unnecessary tornado alarms" due to "ignorant predictions" to residents in Oklahoma and that they were causing "frightened men, women, and children" to take shelter, despite no tornadoes occurring. Cleveland Abbe added on to the publication by Widmeyer saying, "It is unnecessary to resort to the caves and cellars, or to stop our ordinary avocations for fear of a tornado, until we see the cloud in the distance, or are positively certain that one is about to pass near us".[35]

Other

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In July 1899, O. G. Libby, a professor at theUniversity of Wisconsin–Madison, conducted a case study ona violent tornado, which struckNew Richmond, Wisconsin, on June 12, 1899. Abbe later added onto the work by Libby in the final publication as well.[36][37]

20th century

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See also:VORTEX projects

1900s

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1900

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In November 1900, S. C. Emery with theUnited States Weather Bureau conducted a case study, including detailed damage surveys, for a smalltornado outbreak inTennessee,Mississippi andArkansas on November 19, 1900. In the study, Emery surveyed and mapped that one of the tornadoes "divided" into two nearly parallel parts, or that it had a "zig zag" motion, as some buildings were not damaged and others destroyed. Emery also stated he was "inclined to believe the latter explanation as more reasonable". Emery also noted one of the tornadoes had an average forwardspeed of 60 mph (97 km/h) and that a separate tornado travelled 215 miles (346 km).[38]

1901

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Wikisource has original text related to this article:

In 1901 and later again in 1906,Frank H. Bigelow, chief of the United States Weather Bureau, calculated and published formulas to find the rotational speed of a tornado based on the height above sea level. In his study, Bigelow studied a waterspout off the coast ofCottage City, Massachusetts.[39][40] Bigelow's formula went on to help Alfred Wegener, a leading geophysicist, atmospheric scientist, and an Arctic explorer, develop thehypothesis that tornadoes can form off of agust front.[41]

Bigelow's formula[39]
Height above sea level (ft)Diameter of tube (ft)Radial velocity outward (mph)Rotational velocity (mph)Vertical velocity upwards (mph)
4,200 ft (1,300 m)
4,198 ft (1,280 m)3,402 ft (1,037 m)7.0 mph (11.3 km/h)14.1 mph (22.7 km/h)0.04 mph (0.064 km/h)
3,901 ft (1,189 m)506 ft (154 m)1.0 mph (1.6 km/h)94.4 mph (151.9 km/h)2.50 mph (4.02 km/h)
3,599 ft (1,097 m)400 ft (120 m)0.6 mph (0.97 km/h)119.5 mph (192.3 km/h)3.90 mph (6.28 km/h)
3,301 ft (1,006 m)290 ft (88 m)0.6 mph (0.97 km/h)164.0 mph (263.9 km/h)7.40 mph (11.91 km/h)
2,999 ft (914 m)250 ft (76 m)0.5 mph (0.80 km/h)189.0 mph (304.2 km/h)9.90 mph (15.93 km/h)
2,898 ft (883 m)204 ft (62 m)0.4 mph (0.64 km/h)233.0 mph (375.0 km/h)14.90 mph (23.98 km/h)
1,802 ft (549 m)178 ft (54 m)0.4 mph (0.64 km/h)268.0 mph (431.3 km/h)19.80 mph (31.87 km/h)
1,499 ft (457 m)168 ft (51 m)0.3 mph (0.48 km/h)284.0 mph (457.1 km/h)22.20 mph (35.73 km/h)
1,201 ft (366 m)158 ft (48 m)0.3 mph (0.48 km/h)300.0 mph (482.8 km/h)24.70 mph (39.75 km/h)
601 ft (183 m)144 ft (44 m)0.3 mph (0.48 km/h)328.0 mph (527.9 km/h)29.60 mph (47.64 km/h)
479 ft (146 m)144 ft (44 m)0.3 mph (0.48 km/h)333.0 mph (535.9 km/h)29.70 mph (47.80 km/h)
0 ft (0 m)134 ft (41 m)0.3 mph (0.48 km/h)354.0 mph (569.7 km/h)34.60 mph (55.68 km/h)

1902

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In May 1902, S. C. Emery with the United States Weather Bureau published a case study and damage survey for a 118 mi (190 km)-long tornado which struck northeasternMississippi and northwesternAlabama on March 28, 1902.[42]

1903

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In June 1903, J. B. Marbury, the director of the United States Weather Bureau office inAtlanta,Georgia, published a case study on atornado which struckGainesville, Georgia, on June 1, 1903. Marbury stated the tornado itself had a "characteristic greenish hue" and that it was "one of the most destructive tornadoes in the history of Georgia".[43]

1904

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In January 1904, Frank P. Chaffee, the director of the United States Weather Bureau office inMontgomery, Alabama, published a case study on a violent tornado which struckMoundville, Alabama, on January 22, 1904. The study included details on wind speed measurements of the tornado, reaching up to 60 miles per hour (97 km/h), taken aroundBirmingham, Alabama.[44] In July 1904, Albert Ashenberger published a case study on a tornado inMobile County, Alabama, on May 30, 1904.[45]

1905

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In March 1905, Frank P. Chaffee with the U.S. Weather Bureau conducted a damage survey on a tornado in easternAlabama on March 20, 1905.[46] In August 1905, C. M. Strong, the director of the United States Weather Bureau office inOklahoma published a detailed case study for a damage survey of the violent and deadly1905 Snyder, Oklahoma tornado, which occurred on May 10, 1905.[47]

1906

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In March 1906, Lee A. Denson with the U.S. Weather Bureau published a case study on a tornado which struckMeridian, Mississippi, on March 2, 1906. The center of the tornado passed within 250 yards (230 m) of the local U.S. Weather Bureau office, allowing for pressure, temperature, and wind speed measurements of up to 64 mph (103 km/h) close to the tornado.[48] In May 1906, Andrew Noble along with H. A. Hunt, anAustralian Government meteorologist, published a case study on a destructive tornado which sturckNorth Sydney, New South Wales, Australia, on March 27, 1906.[49]

1907

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A photograph taken 500 yards (460 m) away from a tornado nearWills Point, Texas

In April 1907, WM. F. Reed Jr., an observer with the U.S. Weather Bureau, along with J. H. Patterson, J. R. Steward, and J. P. Harrison, published a case study on a tornado which struckEscambia County, Florida on April 5, 1907. The case study involved first hand accounts from survivors, some of whom were thrown by the tornado, along with a complete damage survey.[50] In June 1907, the U.S. Weather Bureau published a complete damage survey and analysis on a strong tornado which struckWills Point, Texas on May 25, 1907. The analysis included some of the first-ever photographs of a tornado, taken by George Alford; one taken 500 yd (460 m) and the other taken 3 miles (4.8 km) away from the tornado.[51]

1908

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In April 1908, the U.S. Weather Bureau published several replies regarding a question posed to the Weather Bureau on:How can we protect against tornadoes?.[52]

  • LieutenantJohn Park Finley responded with "the best we can do is to watch the distant tornado, and if it seems to approach us then move away toward the left; so far as we have learned, this still continues to be the best rule".[52]
  • The Chief of the Weather Bureau responded with the idea to establish a warning system by surrounding a city at a distance of 4 mi (6.4 km) with wires hooked up with alarms. That way, a warning can be given to the city for an impending tornado. The wire system would detect sudden pressure differences, if wires were twisted, or if wires were short circuited. It was also stated that at a distance of four miles from the city, the tornado "would be unable to reach the city from any direction without giving us an alarm".[52]
  • Cleveland Abbe responded by saying the idea of a wire-based system around a city is not practical as well as how tornadoes are very infrequent. Abbe ended by saying that "the mere forewarning of a tornado is no protection against its coming" and that it would be wiser to "spend your money to protect yourself against diseases, accidents, lightning, ect…".[52]

In June 1908, D. S. Landis, an observer with the U.S. Weather Bureau, published a detailed case study, specifically on the complete description and timeline of a tornado nearFort Worth, Texas on May 29, 1908.[53]

1920s

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On March 18, 1925, theviolent Tri-State tornado occurred, killing 695 people and injuring 2,027 people, while traveling 219 miles (352 km) over a period of 3 hours and 45 minutes. At one point, the tornado was moving with a forward speed of 73 miles per hour (117 km/h), setting the record as the fastest forward moving violent tornado in history. The tornado also became the deadliest tornado in United States history as well as the longest traveled tornado in history. All of these records have led the Tri-State tornado to be extensively surveyed and analyzed by academic researchers.[54][55][56]

1940s

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Between 1945 and 1946,Floyd C. Pate, a forecaster at theUnited States Weather Bureau office inMontgomery, Alabama, undertook an extensive survey and assessment of thetornado outbreak of February 12, 1945, and the1945 Montgomery–Chisholm tornado. Pate later would describe the Montgomery–Chisholm tornado as "the most officially observed one in history", as it passed 2 miles (3.2 km) away from four different government weather stations, including the U.S. Weather Bureau office in Montgomery.[57]

On April 21, 1946,a tornado struck the area in and aroundTimber Lake, South Dakota. TheUnited States Weather Bureau published a paper later in the year stating the width of this tornado was 4 miles (6.4 km), which would make this the widest tornado ever documented in history.[58]

1950s

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Estimates of Minimum Wind Forces Causing Structural Damage by E.P. Segner Jr.

In September 1958, E.P. Segner Jr. published a case study on the1957 Dallas tornado. In the analysis, Senger estimated that the tornado had winds at least up to 302 mph (486 km/h), due to the obliteration of a large billboard.[59] The 1957 Dallas tornado was also studied extensively by the Severe Weather Forecast Unit inKansas City, who proved several prominent theories about tornadoes were wrong. One of these-then proven false theories was that all air and debris flowed inward into the funnel and then upward, but on the outside edges of the funnel debris and people were even lifted. Among the studies was the first-ever photogrammetric analysis of wind speeds in a tornado. The film of the tornado is still regarded as being of exceptionally high quality and sharpness. Additionally, structural surveys following this and theFargo tornado later in the year provided data that contributed to the development of theFujita scale.[60][6]

1960s

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In 1960,Bernard Vonnegut suggested that electricity in thunderstorms may power tornadoes.[61]

On June 25, 1967, the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) issued aweather forecasting calling for tornadoes, which became the first-ever tornado forecast in Europe.[62]

1970s

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A diagram illustrating the relationship between the Beaufort, Fujita, and Mach number scales.

In 1971,Ted Fujita, with theUniversity of Chicago, in collaboration withAllen Pearson, head of the National Severe Storms Forecast Center/NSSFC (currently theStorm Prediction Center/SPC), introduced theFujita scale as a way to estimate a tornado's intensity. Following the scale's introduction, tornadoes across the United States were retroactively rated on the scale going back to 1950, and theNational Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) formally adopted the scale. The scale was updated in 1973, taking into account path length and width, becoming the modern-day Fujita scale.[63] Ted Fujita rated tornadoes from 1916 to 1992, however, pre-1949 rating were not formally accepted by the U.S. government.[64][65]

Between April 3–4, 1974, acatastrophic Super Outbreak occurred across the United States, which produced 148 tornadoes in a 24-hour period and led to the deaths of 335 people.[66] The 1974 Super Outbreak was extensively studied by Ted Fujita along with other researchers.[67][68][69] Following the outbreak, Fujita and a team of colleagues from theUniversity of Chicago,University of Oklahoma, andNational Severe Storms Laboratory, undertook a 10-month study of the 1974 Super Outbreak. Along with discovering new knowledge about tornadoes, such asdownbursts andmicrobursts, and assessing damage to surrounding structures, theviolent tornado which struck Xenia, Ohio, was determined to be the worst out of 148 storms.[70][71] Fujita initially assigned a preliminary rating of F6 intensity± 1 on the Fujita scale,[72] before stating F6 ratings were "inconceivable".[73]

1990s

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In 1993,Thomas P. Grazulis, head of The Tornado Project and regarded tornado expert, publishedSignificant Tornadoes 1680–1991 in which, he documented all known significant tornadoes, which he considered F2–F5 intensity or one that caused a death, in the United States going back to 1680. He also retroactively rated significant tornadoes in the United States going back to 1880.[6] This book, also called the "de facto bible of U.S. tornado history" is widely cited by meteorologists, historians, and by the United States government.[74]

21st century

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See also:List of tornadoes observed by mobile radars

2000s

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In 2002, a Service Assessment Team was formed by the United States government to assess the quality of forecasts and post-tornado assessments conducted by theNational Weather Service (NWS) office in Baltimore/Washington for the2002 La Plata tornado. Their assessment and findings, released in September 2002, found that the local NWS office failed to indicate the initial findings of F5 damage on theFujita scale was "preliminary" to the media and public.[75] The Service Assessment Team also recommended theNational Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration require local National Weather Service offices to only release "potentially greater than F3" if F4 or F5 damage was suspected and to only release information regarding F4 or F5 damage after Quick Response Team (QRT) had assessed the damage.[75] Following the report, the National Weather Service created a national Quick Response Team (QRT), whose job is to assess and analyze locations believed to have sustained F4 or F5 damage on theFujita scale.[75]

TheNational Weather Service's arrow showing the EF scale, which includes a description word for each level of the scale

In February 2007, theEnhanced Fujita scale is formally released and put into use across the United States, replacing the Fujita scale.[76][77] In May, the2007 Greensburg tornado family occurred, producing atornado family of 22 tornadoes, including the first tornado to receive the rating of EF5 on the Enhanced Fujita scale; the 2007 Greensburg tornado.[78]

In August 2008,Timothy P. Marshall, a meteorologist and structural and forensic engineer with Haag Engineering, Karl A. Jungbluth with theNational Weather Service, and Abigail Baca with RMS Consulting Group, published a detailed damage survey and analysis for the2008 Parkersburg–New Hartford tornado.[79] In October, Matthew R. Clark with the United Kingdom'sMet Office published a case study on atornadic storm in southern England on December 30, 2006.[80]

2010s

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In April 2011, theSuper Outbreak, the largest and costliest tornado outbreak ever to occur, produces 360 tornadoes across the Midwestern, Southern, and Northeastern United States, leading to dozens of academic studies.[81][82][83] On May 22, 2011, aviolent EF5 tornado impactsJoplin, Missouri, killing 158 people, becoming the deadliest modern-day tornado in history.[84]

Meteorologist, structural and forensic engineerTimothy P. Marshall surveys a neighborhood that was devastated by the2013 Moore tornado

In April 2013,Environment Canada (EC) adopts a variation of theEnhanced Fujita scale (CEF-scale), replacing theFujita scale across Canada.[85] In May,a violent EF5 tornado impactsMoore, Oklahoma, marking the last tornado to receive the rating of EF5 on the Enhanced Fujita scale.[86] A few days later,a violent tornado impacts areas aroundEl Reno, Oklahoma.[87] TheUniversity of Oklahoma's RaXPol mobile Doppler weather radar, positioned at a nearby overpass, measured winds preliminarily analyzed as in excess of 296 mph (476 km/h). These winds are considered the second-highest ever measured worldwide, just shy of the 302 ± 22 mph (486 ± 35 km/h) recorded during the1999 Bridge Creek–Moore tornado.[88][89] The El Reno tornado also had a documented width of 2.6 miles (4.2 km), which the modern-day National Weather Service stated was the widest tornado ever recorded, despite the United States government documenting and publishing abouta tornado that was 4 miles (6.4 km) wide in 1946.[90][91]

In April 2014, meteorologist, structural and forensic engineerTimothy P. Marshall, along with theNational Weather Service (NWS) andTexas Tech University'sNational Wind Institute, published a detailed damage survey and analysis of the2014 Mayflower–Vilonia, Arkansas EF4 tornado.[92] In October, researchers with theCooperative Institute for Severe and High-Impact Weather Research and Operations (CIWRO), NWS,National Severe Storms Laboratory (NSSL), andTimothy P. Marshall with Haag Engineering, published a detailed damage survey and analysis on the2013 Moore, Oklahoma EF5 tornado.[93] During the same month, researchers atLyndon State College and theUniversity of Colorado Boulder published a damage and radar analysis of the 2013 Moore tornado.[94]

In 2015, theEuropean Severe Storms Laboratory along with theMax Planck Institute for Nuclear Physics publish a detailed assessment of the1764 Woldegk tornado, in which it was assigned a rating of F5 on the Fujita scale, marking the oldest official F5 tornado.[95]

Video of several sub-vortices within the2013 El Reno tornado

In 2018, researchers with the University of Oklahoma's School of Meteorology (OU SoM), NWS, NSSL, andOhio University published a detailed analysis of themultiple-vortex nature of the2013 El Reno, Oklahoma tornado.[96]

Between 2019 and 2023, theTargeted Observation by Radars and UAS of Supercells (TORUS) project, led by theUniversity of Nebraska–Lincoln, along with the NOAA NSSL, NOAAOffice of Marine and Aviation Operations (OMAO), CIWRO, and Texas Tech University, and the University of Colorado Boulder, occurs.[97][98]

2020s

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See also:List of case studies on tornadoes (2020–present)

2020

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In May 2020, researchers atHoward University, the Cooperative Science Center for Atmospheric Sciences and Meteorology, and theNational Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR), published a detailed damage survey and analysis on the2011 Tuscaloosa–Birmingham EF4 tornado.[99]

2021

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In 2021, Nate DeSpain, with theUniversity of Louisville and Tom Reaugh, with the National Weather Service, published a detailed damage survey and analysis of the1890 Louisville tornado, where it was rated F4 on the Fujita scale.[100]

2022

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Radar 3D volume scan of the2021 Western Kentucky tornado showing debris lofted over 30,000 feet (9.1 km) in the air as the tornado struckMayfield, Kentucky

Between March 2022 and April 2023, thePropagation, Evolution, and Rotation in Linear Storms (PERiLS) Project occurred. The project involved over a hundred people from sixteen organizations and was described as "the largest and most ambitious study focused on improving [the] understanding of tornadoes associated with linear storms." The PERiLS Project was funded by two grants from theNational Science Foundation, three grants from theNOAA's VORTEX-USA program, and a grant from theUnited States Department of Commerce.[101] Also in March 2022, the National Weather Service published a new damage survey and analysis for the2012 Henryville EF4 tornado, where a "possible EF5 damage" location is identified and discussed.[102]

In July, a research team, from theUniversity of Oklahoma,National Severe Storms Laboratory, andUniversity of Alabama in Huntsville was funded by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration to investigate a stretch 8.7 miles (14 km) of the2019 Greenwood Springs, Mississippi EF2 tornado where the National Weather Service was unable to survey. In their survey, published inMonthly Weather Review, they note that the tornado "produced forest devastation and electrical infrastructure damage up to at least EF4 intensity" and conclude by writing that "the Greenwood Springs event was a violent tornado, potentially even EF5 intensity."[103]

Days later,Timothy Marshall, a meteorologist, structural and forensic engineer; Zachary B. Wienhoff, with Haag Engineering Company; Christine L. Wielgos, a meteorologist at the National Weather Service of Paducah; and Brian E. Smith, a meteorologist at the National Weather Service ofOmaha, publish a detailed damage survey and analysis of the2021 Western Kentucky EF4 tornado. In their conclusion, the researchers state, "the tornado damage rating might have been higher had more wind resistant structures been encountered. Also, the fast forward speed of the tornado had little 'dwell' time of strong winds over a building and thus, the damage likely would have been more severe if the tornado were slower."[104]

2023

[edit]

In January 2023, the2023 Pasadena–Deer Park tornado prompts the National Weather Service forecasting office inHouston to issue a raretornado emergency, the first ever issued by the office.[105][106][107] In April, theTORNADO Act was introduced by U.S. SenatorRoger Wicker as well as eight other senators from the118th United States Congress.[108] In July, theInternational Fujita scale (IF-scale) is officially published.[109] In September, the National Weather Service offices inJackson, Mississippi, andNashville, Tennessee, along with the National Severe Storms Laboratory (NSSL) and the University of Oklahoma'sCIWRO publish a joint damage survey and analysis on the2023 Rolling Fork–Silver City EF4 tornado, the2023 Black Hawk–Winona EF3 tornado, and the2023 New Wren–Amory EF3 tornado.[110] In November, Americanmeteorologist andtornado expertThomas P. Grazulis publishesSignificant Tornadoes 1974–2022, which includes theoutbreak intensity score (OIS), a new way to classify and ranktornado outbreaks.[111][112] Between December 2023 – April 2024, theDetecting and Evaluating Low-level Tornado Attributes (DELTA) project, led by NOAA, along with theNational Severe Storms Laboratory and several research universities, occurred.[113]

2024

[edit]
January
[edit]

In January 2024, researchers withColorado State University’s Department of Atmospheric Science, published an analysis and database of 74 tornadoes which occurred inSouth America. According to the researchers, this was the first timetornadic environments were studied across South America.[114]

February
[edit]
President Obama greets a tornado survivor of the2011 Joplin tornado

In February 2024, researchers with theUniversity of Tennessee andUniversity of Missouri published an academic study about how survivors from the2011 Joplin tornado recover from "Tornado Brain", a new term for thePTSD of tornado survivors.[115]

During the same month, researchers withAuburn University (AU),Florida International University (FIU),Pennsylvania State University (Penn State),Louisiana State University (LSU),University of South Alabama,University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign (UIUC),University of Kentucky, andCoreLogic, published an academic case study on howhurricane-resistant houses performed during the2022 Arabi–New Orleans EF3 tornado.[116] Researchers with theTornado and Storm Research Organisation (TORRO),Met Office, and Jersey Met, also published a case study on the storm which produced an intense tornado and ahailstorm on the island nation ofJersey in November 2023.[117]

On February 8, meteorologist and storm chaserReed Timmer, along with Mark Simpson, Sean Schofer, Curtis Brooks, published a paper about the design of and information about a new meteorological rocket probe which can be launched into tornadoes. The researchers launched one of these rocket probes into the2019 Lawrence–Linwood EF4 tornado. The probe recorded winds of 85.1 m/s (190 mph; 306 km/h) during its first rotation around the tornado and also recorded a pressure drop of 113.5 hPa (113.5 mb) inside the tornado. The probe also recorded that the tornado's updraft was 65.0 m/s (145 mph; 234 km/h). The tornado threw the probe 32 mi (51 km), where the researchers were able to recover it.[118][119]

March
[edit]
An illustration of where traditional and mobile radars usually scan a tornado or its parent circulation relative to where damage occurs, superimposed on theCuster City, Oklahoma tornado of May 19, 2024.

In March 2024, Anthony W. Lyza, Matthew D. Flournoy, and A. Addison Alford, researchers with theNational Severe Storms Laboratory,Storm Prediction Center,CIWRO, and theUniversity of Oklahoma's School of Meteorology, published a paper where they stated, ">20% of supercell tornadoes may be capable of producing EF4–EF5 damage" and that "the legacy F-scale wind speed ranges may ultimately provide a better estimate of peak tornado wind speeds at 10–15 m AGL for strong–violent tornadoes and a better damage-based intensity rating for all tornadoes". In their conclusion, the researchers also posed the question: "Does a 0–5 ranking scale make sense given the current state of understanding of the low-level tornado wind profile and engineering of structures?"[120]

April
[edit]
Evolution of the Minden–Harlan tornado on April 26

In April 2024, theEuropean Severe Storms Laboratory and theCzech Hydrometeorological Institute, along with seven other European organizations, published a detailed damage survey and analysis on the2021 South Moravia tornado using the International Fujita scale.[121] Also in April, Timothy A. Coleman, with the University of Alabama in Huntsville (UAH), Richard L. Thompson with the NOAA Storm Prediction Center, andDr. Gregory S. Forbes, a retired meteorologist fromThe Weather Channel published an article to theJournal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology stating, "it is apparent that the perceived shift in tornado activity from the traditional tornado alley in the Great Plains to the eastern U.S. is indeed real".[122][123] On April 26, aDoppler on Wheels (DOW) mobile radar truck measured 1-second wind speeds of approximately 224 mph (360 km/h) at a height of ~282 yards (258 m) asa tornado passed nearHarlan, Iowa, causing widespread destruction.[124][125] On April 30, strong tornado nearHollister, Oklahoma passed close to aNEXRAD radar. The radar measured atornado vortex signature with a gate-to-gate of 260 miles per hour (420 km/h) about 600 feet (200 yd; 180 m) above the surface.[126][127]

In mid-April, theNational Severe Storms Laboratory along withTexas Tech University begin the Low-Level Internal Flows in Tornadoes (LIFT) Project, with the goal to collect data from the “damage layer” of tornadoes; from ground level to 20 m (22 yd) above the surface. The LIFT project deployed 11 times between April-June, gathering data from “numerous successful intercepts”.[128]

On April 30, the118thUnited States House of Representatives passed theWeather Research and Forecasting Innovation Reauthorization Act of 2023, also known as theWeather Act Reauthorization Act of 2023, sending it to theUnited States Senate. The bill is set to provide authority for theVerification of the Origins of Rotation in Tornadoes Experiment (VORTEX-USA) by theNational Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.[129]

May
[edit]

In May 2024, researchers with theUniversity of Western Ontario's Northern Tornado Project and engineering department conducted a case study on the2018 Alonsa EF4 tornado, the2020 Scarth EF3 tornado, and the2023 Didsbury EF4 tornado. In their case study, the researchers assessed extreme damage caused by the tornado which is ineligible for ratings on the CanadianEnhanced Fujita scale or the American Enhanced Fujita scale (EF-scale). In their analysis, it was determined all three tornadoes caused damage well-beyond their assigned EF-scale ratings, with all three tornadoes havingEF5-intensity winds; Alonsa with 127 metres per second (280 mph; 460 km/h), Scarth with 110–119 metres per second (250–270 mph; 400–430 km/h), and Didsbury with 119 metres per second (270 mph; 430 km/h). At the end of the analysis, the researchers stated, "the lofting wind speeds given by this model are much higher than the rating based on the ground survey EF-scale assessment. This may be due to the current tendency to bias strong EF5 tornadoes lower than reality, or limitations in conventional EF-scale assessments".[130] Also during May, Timothy J. Dolney withPennsylvania State University, published a new analysis of the1985 United States–Canada tornado outbreak, specifically focusing on the state ofPennsylvania and Tornado Watch #211 issued by theNational Weather Service for the tornado outbreak.[131]

Also in May, Doctor Bin Liang with theUniversity of Mississippi published a paper on the results of a field research project on tornadoes. During the project, Liang was able to determine “that tornadoes emit dominant low-frequencyinfrasound between 0.5−1.2Hertz”, after examining tornadic and non-tornadicsupercells.[132]

On May 23, aDoppler on Wheels observed and recorded data ofa large and long-lived EF2 tornado nearDuke, Oklahoma.[133]

Greenfield tornado
[edit]
Main article:2024 Greenfield tornado
High-resolution radar data of the EF4 tornado caught byDOW6

On May 21,a violent EF4 tornado struck the town ofGreenfield, Iowa. As the tornado moved through the town, aDoppler on Wheels measured winds of at least >250 mph (400 km/h), "possibly as high as 290 mph (470 km/h)" at 48 yards (44 m) above the surface.[134] Pieter Groenemeijer, the director of the European Severe Storms Laboratory, noted that "on theIF-scale, 250 mph measured below 60 m above ground level is IF4 on the IF-scale, 290 mph is IF5."[135] The peak wind speed estimate was revised to between 309 mph (497 km/h) and 318 mph (512 km/h), a figure "among the highest wind speeds ever determined using DOW data", on June 22, 2024.[136]

A few weeks after the tornado, theNational Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration released details about an experimental warning system which was tested before and during the tornado. This new warning system, namedWarn-on-Forecast System (WoFS), was created by the Hazardous Weather Testbed housed in theNational Weather Center inNorman, Oklahoma. During the experiment and test, the WoFS gave a high indication of “near-ground rotation” in and around the area ofGreenfield, Iowa between 2-4 p.m. According to the press release, 75-minutes later,the violent EF4 tornado touched down. Scientists with theNational Severe Storms Laboratory were able to give localNational Weather Service forecasters a 75-minute lead time for the tornado.[137]

June
[edit]

In June 2024, the first part of research from the PERiLS Project was published through theAmerican Meteorological Society.[101] Also in June, researchers with theUniversity of Miami’sCIMAS’s, theAtlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory, theUniversity of California, theJet Propulsion Laboratory, andMississippi State University published a paper regarding how a prolonged and unusualPacific–North American pattern contributed to the formation of thetornado outbreak of December 10–11, 2021 and the infamous Quad-State Supercell.[138] Researchers with theUniversity of Illinois also published a paper on variousregional andseasonal trends of tornadoes across the United States.[139]

On June 3, arare and intense EF3 tornado struck the town ofoThongathi (Tongaat), inSouth Africa. The South African Weather Service conducted a nine-daycase study on the tornado.[140]

July
[edit]

In July 2024, scientists and historians from theUniversity of Maryland, College Park, Storm Prediction Center,National Weather Service Norman, Oklahoma,Stanford University, and theUniversity of Oklahoma's School of Meteorology,Center for Analysis and Prediction of Storms, andAdvanced Radar Research Center, published information on a new database, calledTornado Archive, which contains information on more than 100,000 tornadoes.[141] Also in July, Jennifer M. First with theUniversity of Missouri, published a paper examining the aftermath of the2020 Nashville tornado, focusing on the mental health issues of survivors and the gender-based recovery difference.[142]

Later in the month, Engineers withPennsylvania State University published a paper in theJournal of Structural Engineering to document how historic buildings in downtownMayfield, Kentucky survived the2021 Western Kentucky tornado, which caused EF4 damage throughout the city.[143]

On July 11,Independent United StatesSenatorKyrsten Sinema, along with otherDemocratic andRepublican Senators, introduced theBorder Weather Resiliency Act of 2024 to theUnited States Senate.[144] On July 22, United StatesCongressmanRandy Feenstra along with three other congressman introduced a bill (H.R.9081) to theUnited States House of Representatives to provide tax relief to people affected bysevere storms,flooding, and tornadoes.[145]

On July 19, the hit disaster-filmTwisters released, which included accurate scientific theories on ways to potentially disrupt tornadoes.[146]

On July 30, Andrew Mercer, Kenneth Swan, and Adonte Knight withMississippi State University published the firstquantitative definition for how to define atornado outbreak. The researchers also analyzed intensity and frequency trends of tornado outbreaks between 1960 and 2021. In their analysis, it was determined that between 1960-2021, the United States experienced 6,723 individual tornado outbreaks and that there is also a downward trend of 0.25 tornado outbreaks per year.[147]

August
[edit]

In August 2024, Jordan Tweedie with theUniversity of Oklahoma, published a paper on how thelower atmospheric boundary layer affected the supercell which produced the violent2023 Rolling Fork–Silver City EF4 tornado. Tweedie stated the data collection for the research came from the PERiLS Project.[148] Later in the month, researchers withCentral Michigan University, theUniversity of Nebraska–Lincoln, theNational Weather Service and the PolishAdam Mickiewicz University published an investigation into "230 significant tornadoes, 246 significant hail events, and 191 null cases across the United States" and howcell mergers,boundaries, othersupercells, along with other meteorological phenomenon interact and what impacts do they have on tornadoes and significant hail.[149] On August 27, Sarah L. Horton with theTornado and Storm Research Organisation published a case study on tornadoes which occurred duringStorm Ciarán in 2023.[150] On August 30, meteorologist Trey Greenwood published a meteorological analysis on the2024 Hollister, Oklahoma tornado.[151] Researchers with theUniversity of Alabama also published a paper on how tornadoes devastated thetsuga canadensis, commonly known as eastern hemlock, in part of Alabama.[152]

On August 14, researchers with thePressure Acoustics Research Inside Tornadoes EXperiment (PACRITEX) published research on some of the first pressure measurements and video observations inside three EF2 tornadoes taken byin-situ tornado probes.[153][154]

  • The first deployment of the probe was inside the2016 Tulsa, Oklahoma tornado. Within two minutes, the pressure dropped from a reading of 985 hPa outside of the tornado to 929 hPa inside the tornado. During those two minutes, the probe recorded three individual spikes, indicating it most likely sampled suction vorticies.[153]
  • The second deployment of the probe was the2019 Burnsville, Mississippi tornado. The probe captured video from inside the tornado, which allowed the researchers to carefully study the inflow and bowl feature of the tornado. During probe deployment, the researchers were directly struck by the tornado. The probe recorded a pressure drop from 990 hPa to 950 hPa and a wind speed measurement of 54.6 metres per second (122 mph; 197 km/h) from ground level inside the tornado.[153]
  • The third deployment of the probe was the2019 McCook, Nebraska tornado. The probe was deployed directly inside the tornado. While inside the tornado, the probe captured 3 separate pressure drop spikes, with over 65 seconds between the second spike and third spike. During the third spike, the probe recorded a pressure of 890 hPa and a wind speed of up to 55 metres per second (120 mph; 200 km/h).[153]
September
[edit]

In September 2024, researchers published a study with theAmerican Meteorological Society regarding the various environmental conditions associated with long-track tornadoes (defined as a path length of at least 30 mi (48 km)), including, but not only, the2021 Tri-State EF4 tornado, the2021 Western Kentucky EF4 tornado, the2021 Kenton–Dresden, Tennessee/Pembroke, Kentucky EF3 tornado, and theBarneveld–Black Earth F5 tornado.[155]

Later in the month, researchers with the ERATOSTHENES Centre of Excellence, theCyprus University of Technology, theHarz University of Applied Studies, theLeibniz-Institut für Troposphärenforschung [de], and theCyprus Department of Meteorology, published a case study on the2024 Cyprus IF1.5 tornado on February 14, 2024. In their study, the researchers published about how the Atmospheric Remote Sensing Observatory (CARO), located 10 km (6.2 mi) away from the tornado in the city ofLimassol, recorded a vertical wind speed of 10 m/s (22 mph) as well as an instantaneous rate of rain from the storm of 90 millimetres per hour (3.5 in/h).[156]

See also

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