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Country risk

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Find sources: "Country risk" – news ·newspapers ·books ·scholar ·JSTOR
(January 2025) (Learn how and when to remove this message)
Risk of investing or lending in a country
Categories of
Financial risk
Credit risk
Market risk
Liquidity risk
Investment risk
Business risk
Profit risk
Non-financial risk

Country risk refers to the risk of investing or lending in a country, arising from possible changes in thebusiness environment that may adversely affect operating profits or the value of assets in the country. For example, financial factors such ascurrency controls,devaluation or regulatory changes, or stability factors such as mass riots,civil war and other potential events contribute to companies' operational risks. This term is also sometimes referred to aspolitical risk; however, country risk is a more general term that generally refers only to risks influencing all companies operating within or involved with a particular country.

Political risk analysis providers andcredit rating agencies use different methodologies to assess and rate countries' comparativerisk exposure. Credit rating agencies tend to use quantitative econometric models and focus on financial analysis, whereas political risk providers tend to use qualitative methods, focusing on political analysis. However, there is no consensus on methodology in assessing credit and political risks.

Ratings

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Country risk rankings Q4 2017The least-risky countries for investment
RankRank changeCountryOverall score
1Singapore88.6
2Norway87.66
3Switzerland87.64
4Denmark85.67
5▲2Sweden85.59
6▼1Luxembourg83.85
7▼1Netherlands83.76
8▲4Finland83.1
9Canada82.98
10▲1Australia82.18
Score out of 100. Rank change to previous quarter.

Source: Euromoney Country Risk - published January 2018.[1]


Ratings are further broken down into components including political risk and economic risk. Euromoney's quarterly country risk index “Country Risk Survey” monitors the political and economic stability of 185 sovereign countries. Results focus foremost on economics, specificallysovereign default risk and/or payment default risk for exporters (a.k.a. “trade credit” risk).

Partial list of credit risk rating agencies

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Partial list of political risk analysis organizations

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  • Euromoney Country Risk, ECR
  • IHS Country Risk
  • BMI Research
  • Country Risk Solutions
  • Economist Intelligence Unit
  • Eurasia Group
  • Maplecroft
  • Oxford Analytica
  • The PRS Group, Inc.

See also

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References

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  1. ^[1]Archived 2018-10-01 at theWayback Machine: Survey which monitors the political and economic stability of 185 sovereign countries, according to ratings agencies and market experts. The information is compiled from Risk analysts; poll of economic projections; on GNI; World Bank’s Global Development Finance data; Moody’s Investors Service, Standard & Poor’s and Fitch IBCA; OECD consensus groups (source: ECGD); the US Exim Bank and Atradius UK; heads of debt syndicate and loan syndications; Atradius, London Forfaiting, Mezra Forfaiting and WestLB.

External links

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Downloadable country analysis and reports

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Freedom
Corruption
Competitiveness
History
Rights
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Authority control databases: NationalEdit this at Wikidata


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