Military situation as of 3 August 2022: pink highlights areas held by Russia and its proxies, yellow highlights areas held by the Ukrainian government.
Thebattle of Donbas[6][7] was a military offensive that was part of the widereastern Ukraine campaign of theRussian invasion of Ukraine. The offensive began on 18 April 2022 between the armed forces ofRussia andUkraine for control of theDonbas region.[8][9][10] Military analysts consider the campaign to have been the second strategic phase of the invasion, after Russia's initial three-pronged attack into Ukraine.[11][12]
The Russian offensive stalled in September 2022 and some of the gains were reversed after Ukraine launched itsKharkiv offensive, with Ukrainian forces recapturing the cities ofLyman andSviatohirsk in the Donetsk region andBilohorivka in Luhansk oblast.[23] The Ukrainian counteroffensive also stalled east of theOskil river, and by November 2022 Russian assaults renewed inLuhansk andDonetsk oblasts.
Since 2014, the Donbas region had been the site of protracted fighting between Russian-backed separatists from the self-proclaimedDonetsk and Luhansk People's Republics and theUkrainian Armed Forces in thewar in Donbas. Between 2014 and late 2021, the war had taken the lives of more than 10,000 combatants (including Ukrainian soldiers, Russian soldiers, and separatist combatants), as well as 3,095 civilians.[24]
Ukrainian soldiers guard a military base inNovoluhanske, 19 February 2022
In February 2022,mass evacuations andgeneral mobilization began in the DPR and LPR quasi-states following aggravations along the "line of contact", the front line which had more or less remained static since 2014.[25][26] On 21 February 2022, Russiaofficially recognized the DPR and LPR as sovereign states.[27]
On 24 February 2022, theRussian Armed Forces and the DPR and LPR launched a full-scale invasion of Ukrainian territory across numerous fronts, including in the Donbas. North of the Donbas, Russian and loyalist forces began fighting in thebattle of Kharkiv, as well as numerous other smaller battles aimed at capturing key Ukrainian cities and towns. In southern Donbas, thesiege of Mariupol began, which would eventually kill over 25,000 civilians and destroy 95% of the city.[28]
On 25 March, Russian officials declared that the first phase of their military operation in Ukraine was complete, announcing that its main objectives had "generally been accomplished." Sergei Rudskoi, head of theMain Operational Directorate of the General Staff of the Russian Armed Forces, claimed that the combat potential of the Ukrainian Armed Forces had been "considerably reduced," which would make it possible for Russian forces to focus their efforts on their main goal, the "liberation" of the Donbas region. A diplomatic official in Moscow described the announcement toReuters as a "face-saving move," arguing that Russia had launched the war with much more ambitious aims than just the Donbas.[29]
On 29 March 2022, Russian officials declared that they intended to scale back theirmilitary operations in the region around the capital city ofKyiv. This effectively ended Russian operations innorthern Ukraine.[30] Russian military officials declared that the Ukrainian Navy and Air Force had been neutralized. They also stated that the DPR and LPR controlled 54% and 93% of Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts, respectively.[15][31] The tactical withdrawal of Russian forces from the north was completed by 6 April 2022.[32][33]
Russian forces captured Izium, a strategic city in easternKharkiv Oblast, on 1 April.[34][35][36][37] After taking Izium, Russian troops then advanced south towardsKamianka, Izium Raion [uk], which lies on the road to the strategically positioned city ofSloviansk. On 6 April, an Izium government official told CNN that intercepted radio communications revealed Russian plans "to capture the Donetsk region from the north". TheInstitute for the Study of War (ISW) predicted that "efforts by Russian forces advancing south from Izium to capture Sloviansk" would become "the next pivotal battle of the war in Ukraine", with the1st Guards Tank Army having been redeployed to this direction from the Kharkiv and Sumy fronts.[38]
Prelude
In mid-April 2022,U.S. intelligence reported that Russia was "repositioning" its military units to the Donbas. Russian units from northern Ukraine battlefronts in Kyiv, Sumy, Chernihiv, and elsewhere were noted byMaxar satellite imagery to be relocating to the Donbas region, while reinforcements from regions in Belarus and Russia supplemented these units.[39] By 13 April, military analysts expected Russia to imminently launch a "battle for Donbas" as new reinforcements arrived from Russia, Belarus, and northern Ukraine.[40]
On 22 April 2022, a commander of Russia'sCentral Military District,Rustam Minnekayev, declared that the aim of the "second phase" of the country's invasion of Ukraine was to fully seize Donbas andSouthern Ukraine and to establish a land corridor withTransnistria, aRussian-occupied, internationally unrecognized breakaway republic that is internationally recognized as part ofMoldova. He alleged that there was "evidence that the Russian-speaking population is being oppressed" in Transnistria.[43][44] TheMinistry of Defence of Ukraine replied to this announcement by describing Russia's intentions asimperialism, saying that it contradicted previous Russian claims that assured that Russia did not have territorial ambitions over Ukraine and that Russia had admitted that "the goal of the 'second phase' of the war is not victory over the mythical Nazis, but simply the occupation of eastern and southern Ukraine".[43][45]
In mid-April 2022, Western defense and intelligence officials toldFinancial Times that Russia's main targets were the cities of Sloviansk andKramatorsk, described as holding the key to control over Donbas. The Russian military was expected to advance on these cities from three directions: south from Izium, west fromSievierodonetsk, and north from the city ofDonetsk.[46]
On 30 June 2022, ISW assessed that despite Russia's concentration in the east, they still had territorial ambitions beyond Luhansk and Donetsk Oblast.[47] According to Russian sources, the official representative of the LPR forces, Andrey Marochko, stated on 3 July 2022 that in order to secure the LPR land, their, DPR and Russian forces must push the Ukrainian forces away from the LPR's borders for no less than 300 kilometers.[48] The 300 km claim would mean the fullKharkiv Oblast and Donetsk region, parts ofDnipropetrovsk Oblast,Zaporizhzhia Oblast,Sumy Oblast andPoltava Oblast. Russian sources said that the LPR's ambassador in Russia,Rodion Miroshnik [ru], confirmed on 4 July 2022 that LPR troops would continue to participate in the Donbas offensive, saying the presence of Ukrainian units along the LPR's borders would threaten security.[49]
On 18 April, a U.S. Department of Defense official said Russia had deployed an additional 11battalion tactical groups (BTGs) days before launching the offensive, resulting in a total of 76 BTGs operating in both Donbas and southeastern Ukraine. An estimated 12 BTGs were engaged in thesiege of Mariupol.[50] According toThe Guardian, the 76 battalion tactical groups constituted approximately 60,000 soldiers, which was about three-fourths of the manpower of the invasion force.[51] However, the Ukrainian General Staff said on the same day that there were 87 Russian BTGs across Ukraine with a total of 70,000 soldiers.[52]
A senior U.S. defense official said that two more Russian battalion tactical groups were deployed between 18 and 19 April, for a total of 78 BTGs across southern and eastern Ukraine.AP News estimated that Russia had 55,000–62,000 troops in Ukraine, based on an earlier Pentagon statement that the typical size of a BTG was 700-800 soldiers.[53]
Western media, citing European officials, reported that 10,000–20,000 Libyan, Syrian, andWagner Group mercenaries were deployed for the offensive in the Donbas.[51][54][53]
British military expert Frank Ledwidge wrote on 12 April that Russian forces were "nowhere near" the three-to-one ratio that attacking forces should number over their opponents, according to what he called "one of the firmest rules of warfare."[55] However, Russian forces achieved a three-to-one numerical superiority over their Ukrainian counterparts by 25 April, according to the BBC and the Financial Times, citing Western experts.[56][46]
Before the February invasion, 40,000 Ukrainian troops were stationed in the Donbas.Financial Times called those forces, veterans of theJoint Forces Operation, "some of Ukraine's best trained and most battle-hardened soldiers".[46]
PresidentVolodymyr Zelenskyy said on 14 April that Ukrainian forces numbered 44,000 in the Donbas region.[57][52] On 19 April, the BBC reported that Ukrainian troops in the Donbas numbered 40,000–50,000 men.[58]
The Ukrainians continued a campaign of targeting Russian ammunition depots and logistics sites in Donetsk province with air strikes and, reportedly, U.S.-suppliedM142 HIMARS orM270rocket artillery systems. Video emerged of an apparent ammunition depot inSnizhne, Donetsk Oblast exploding, with pro-Ukrainian sources suggesting Ukrainian forces usedM142 HIMARS supplied by the U.S. to attack the depot deep behind Russian-DPR front lines.[59][60]Oleksiy Arestovych, a Ukrainian presidential advisor, claimed that continued attacks on Russian ammunition depots and increased Ukrainian artillery supplies fromNATO countries were forcing the Russians to conserve artillery shells and rockets for the first time. He argued that if this trend continued, the Ukrainians would, eventually, achieve artillery and logistical superiority on the battlefield in the Donbas.[61] President Zelenskyy, in his nightly public address, also hailed the impact Western-supplied artillery pieces were reportedly having on Russian logistics and strike capabilities.[62] In late July 2022, Ukrainian soldiers and officers fighting in Donetsk offered anecdotal evidence of a significant reduction in Russian artillery fire.
TheMozart Group, a group of former Western soldiers serving as volunteers in Ukraine, was evacuating civilians and offering informal combat training to Ukrainian troops, primarily on casualty care andmedical evacuation.[63]
Battle
Early operations (April–May 2022)
Russian tanks in the Donbas after crossing theSiverskyi Donets with pontoon bridges, April 2022
On the night of 18 April 2022, Russian forces launched an intensive bombardment campaign against positions in Luhansk, Donetsk, and Kharkiv Oblasts.[64] Ukrainian presidentVolodymyr Zelenskyy announced that the "battle for Donbas" had begun.[65] Russian artillery pounded cities in the Donbas, aiming at destroying critical infrastructure.[66]
On 18 April, in theSlobozhansky and Donetsk operational districts, Russian troops intensified offensive operations in some areas, attempting to break through the Ukrainian defenses along almost the entire front line in Donetsk, Kharkiv and Luhansk regions.[67] The head of the Luhansk regional military administration and effective governor of the oblast,Serhiy Haidai, called on the region's residents to evacuate immediately so as to not become hostages or be killed by the Russians.[68]
Large areas ofPopasna wereoccupied during the first week of the battle of Donbas.[69][70] On 20 April, Libyan and Syrian mercenaries likely associated with theWagner Group allegedly clashed with Ukrainian forces in Popasna. The Ukrainian government claimed that 20–25 mercenaries had been killed.[70]
In late April, Russian forces were said to be preparing to capture Popasna and advance past it.[71][5] By 7 May, the now largely destroyed city of Popasna was captured by Russian andLuhansk People's Republic forces, with this being confirmed by the regional governor.[72][73]
In the first week of the battle of Donbas, a Ukrainian official claimed that Russian forces captured 42 villages in the Donetsk Oblast, though she did not specify which villages had been captured.[4] Meanwhile, the Ukrainian government stated their forces launched a counterattack andrecaptured the town ofMarinka.[74] Russian shelling overnight in Donetsk Oblast on 20 April killed two civilians and wounded nine, according to online news sources.[75]Lozove, Kramatorsk Raion [uk], in northern Donetsk Oblast was captured by Russian and LPR forces on 23 April,[71] followed byYatskivka andRubtsi [uk] on 26 April,[76] andZarichne on 27 April.[5]
Between 22 April and 29 April, 110 DPR servicemen were killed and 451 were injured.[77] On 24 May, Russian forces intensified artillery strikes againstAvdiivka and took advantage of their previous capture of Novoselivka to advance on Avdiivka and gain highway access towardSloviansk.[78]
Kreminna was captured by Russian and separatist forces overnight between 17 and 18 April, becoming the first city to fall since the beginning of the offensive.[79][80] Ukrainian officials reported on 25 April that Russian forces were killed in a gas explosion in the Russian-occupied Kreminna City Hall.[81]
On 24 April, Russian and LPR forces seized the small towns of Popivka, Pishchane, and Zhytlivka northwest of Sievierodonetsk, establishing a bridgehead over the Krasna River, though ISW assessed that Russian troops in the region remained unlikely to be able to launch large offensive operations.[71] South of the Seversky Donets river, the Ukrainian military announced thatNovotoshkivske fell on 27 April.[5]
Russian forces advanced inRubizhne between 19 and 20 April.[70] In late April, ISW said that Russian forces were pushing to encircle and fully captureRubizhne,[5][76] which fell on 12 May.[82]
From 5–13 May, amajor battle on theDonets river took place, with Ukrainian defenders successfully repelling multiple Russian attempts to cross the river.[83] The Ukrainian armed forces claimed to have destroyed an entire battalion of Russian forces, killing up to 1,000–1,500 soldiers.[84] TheInstitute for the Study of War (ISW)think tank reported that out of a force of 550 Russian troops, 485 were killed and wounded, as well as 80 vehicles lost.[85]
According to Ukrainian sources, the Russian military had allegedly planned to capture the entire Luhansk Oblast by9 May.[86]
Izium–Sloviansk front
Russian forces on the Izium front were reinforced in late April, amid continued attacks toward Sloviansk, Kramatorsk, andBarvinkove.[71][5] Russian sources identifiedDovhenke as the last Ukrainian-held settlement on the Sloviansk front before the Kharkiv–Donetsk Oblast border. ISW assessed that the Russian advances from Izium were intended to merge with offensives from territory held by the Donetsk People's Republic.[76]
Kharkiv Oblast governorOleh Syniehubov claimed the Ukrainian military launched a counterattack against Russian forces nearIzium on 14 May.[87][88] On the same day, however, pro-Russian Telegram channels claimed that Russian forces entered Dovhenke, but the ISW assessed that they were unable to secure the settlement due to heavy fighting, and suggested that a Ukrainian counteroffensive in the region had yet to begin.[89]
By 15 May, ISW noted that Russian forces had likely been scaling down their operations from Izium toward Sloviansk, which they characterized as "slow" and "unsuccessful".[89]
President Zelenskyy with the 24th Mechanized Brigade near the front line in the Donbas on 5 June 2022
Capture of Sievierodonetsk and Lysychansk, attempted advance on Sloviansk (May–July 2022)
By 15 May, the Institute for the Study of War assessed that Russian military command had likely abandoned its "more ambitious" goal of seizing the Donetsk Oblast through a large encirclement, predicting that thebattle of Sievierodonetsk and the capture of Luhansk Oblast would be prioritized going forward.[89]
By late May, Russian forces had broken through in many regions across the front line. Russian troops were seen to be using a new "cauldron" approach to their efforts, abandoning large encirclements in favor of smaller ones, which enabled them to make the first major gains of the battle.[90]
Capture of Lyman and Sviatohirsk
Pro-Russian separatist officials announced that their forces had begun an assault onLyman on 24 May;[91] they captured the city by the 26th[92][93] or 27th.[94][95][96][97] Ukrainian forces were also reported to have been leavingSviatohirsk,[98] the last Ukrainian-controlled city north of theDonets river, which fell to Russian and separatist forces by 8 June.[99][100]
Izium–Sloviansk front
According to the Ukrainian News Agency, Ukrainian soldiers repelled a new assault on Dovhenke on 6 June.[101][102] On 7 June, combined Russian and LPR forces launched an offensive through the forests south of Izium towards the city ofSloviansk, but were stopped at Bohorodychne and Krasnopillia.[34][failed verification]
The Ukrainian military frequently reported combat in the areas of Dovhenke, Mazanivka, Krasnopillia, Dolyna, and Bohorodychne throughout June.[103][104][105][106][107][108][109] By capturing Bohorodychne and Krasnopillia, Russian and separatist forces would be able to push southwards toSloviansk andKramatorsk, two of the last major Ukrainian-held cities in Donetsk Oblast.[110][111]
Popasna–Bakhmut front
On 20 May, Russian forces made further advances in the west and south of Popasna, with the aim of cutting off the road toSievierodonetsk.[112][113] Despite stiff Ukrainian resistance, Russian forces finally broke through in the Popasna area on 20 May.[114] By 22 May, Russian forces managed to secure their route of advance and attempted to simultaneously push west towardsBakhmut and north to cut off-road links to Sievierodonetsk.[115] By 24 May, Russian forces captured the town ofSvitlodarsk.[116]
Sievierodonetsk front
On 1 June, Ukraine announced that 70–80% of Sieverodonetsk hadbeen captured by Russian forces.[117] On 3 June, Ukraine claimed to have launched a counterattack to take back 20% of the city.[118] On 8 June, however, the Ukrainian Army was pushed back to the outskirts of the city.[119]
With the breakthrough west of Popasna significantly slowed by Ukrainian heavy guns,[120] Russia began an offensive to the northeast of Popasna, aiming to bypass the Siverskyi Donets river and bombard Lysychansk from the south.[121] The ISW assessed that Russian commanders had been given the deadline of 26 June to make a breakthrough and seize Luhansk Oblast's full administrative territory.[121]
Pro-Russian separatist troopsadvance towards Lysychansk, June 2022Fire at the Toretska coal mine inToretsk after Russian shelling on 27 June 2022
The Russian military began breaking through in the south by 21 June, seizingToshkivka[122] and capturingLoskutivka [uk],Myrna Dolyna,Rai-Oleksandrivka [uk] andPidlisne [uk] all on 22 June.[123][124] On 23 June, Russian forces cut off and surrounded the towns ofHirske andZolote, which they claimed to have fully captured by next day.[125][126] In addition, Russia made a push to fully secure theAzot chemical plant in Sievierodonetsk, which by 14 June had become the last refuge for Ukrainian soldiers in the city.[127] Russian troops were less successful on the northern axis, attempting to make breakthroughs nearMykolaivka andBohorodychne, in an attempt to advance on the Donetsk city ofSloviansk.[128][129] Nonetheless, the Russian advance ground on, with Russia's breakthrough in the south putting pressure on the few remaining Ukrainian defenders of Luhansk Oblast to withdraw to defensive lines near the border with Donetsk Oblast.[130]
Russian forces had fully encircledHirske andZolote in their drive north to Lysychansk by 24 June.[131] Russian sources claimed that Ukrainian forces had suffered over 1,000 casualties, including 800 prisoners, in Hirske, Zolote and near Lysychansk over the previous two days.[132] Also on 24 June, Ukrainian Deputy Defense Minister Hanna Malyar claimed that the Russians were firing 60,000 shells per day, 10 times more than the Ukrainians.[133]By 25 June, Ukrainian officials had announced that their troops had retreated from Sievierodonetsk in order to avoid being surrounded by Russian troops, signalling the city's capture.[134][135][136] By 1 July, Russian forces continuedencircling Lysychansk from the south and west, attempting to cut off the T1302 Lysychansk-Bakhmut highway from the city. As part of the encirclement, Russian forces claimed to have also seizedPryvillia, northwest of Lysychansk, after units made river crossings to the north and west of the town. Ukrainian positions nearSiversk,Bilohorivka, Vovchoyarivka, Berestove, Yakovlivka,Vidrodzhennia, Mayorsk, and theVuhlehirska thermal power plant were shelled by artillery.[137][138]
On 2–3 July, Russia and LPR separatist forces claimed to have captured and controlled Lysychansk, however Ukrainian officials, including presidentVolodymyr Zelenskyy,[139] had yet to officially acknowledge the strategic city's capture, only saying there were ongoing fierce clashes for the city.[140] TheInstitute for the Study of War (ISW) supported the Russian claim that Lysychansk had fallen on 2 July, suggesting the Ukrainian defenders likely "deliberately withdrew" from the city.[21] Furthermore, the Russian defence ministry claimed to have captured and were in the process of clearing many settlements on the Lysychansk outskirts, includingVerkhniokamianka, Zolotarivka,Bilohorivka,Novodruzhesk,Maloriazantseve, and Bila Hora.[141][142] Ukrainian officials subsequently conceded that Lysychansk was captured.
With the fall of Lysychansk and its western outskirts, Russia and the Luhansk People's Republic declared full control of Luhansk Oblast for the first time, achieving an objective of the Russian-led campaign.[143] Russian shelling ofSloviansk intensified on 3 July.[144]
Russian operational pause (4–16 July 2022)
Unexploded Russian rocket inOleksandrivka on 6 July 2022Aftermath of Russian shelling on Metallurg stadium inBakhmut on 11 July 2022
After fully capturing and occupying Luhansk Oblast, Russian presidentVladimir Putin ordered defence ministerSergei Shoigu to continue the offensive in Donbas as planned, adding that units that fought on the Luhansk front "should certainly rest and increase their combat capabilities."[145] According to the Institute for the Study of War, Russian forces made no claimed or assessed territorial gains "for the first time in 133 days of war" and suggested that Russia was likely taking an "operational pause" to rest and regroup its forces before a planned renewed assault.[146] TheUK defence ministry expected the city ofSiversk to be the immediate tactical objective of their renewed assault.[147][148] By 14 July, Haidai said that Russian forces were trying to take Siversk in order to eventually advance on Bakhmut.[149]
An intelligence briefing by theUK defence ministry on 4 July said Russian forces would "almost certainly" transition to capturing the rest ofDonetsk Oblast, around 55 percent of which was already in control by Russian andDonetsk People's Republic (DPR) separatist forces. The ministry predicted the fighting in Donetsk would continue to be "grinding and attritional," typified by massive artillery shelling leveling towns and cities amid slow ground advances. Ukraine's governor of Luhansk,Serhiy Haidai said he expected Donetsk cities such as Sloviansk andBakhmut to soon come under heavy Russian attack, and said both cities were increasingly being shelled. Similar to UK intelligence reports, the Ukrainians expected the Russians to push west along the Bakhmut-Lysychansk highway.[150][151][152] On 5 July, the mayor of Sloviansk,Vadym Liakh [uk;ru], urged residents to evacuate the city. "The nearest Russian positions are 7–10 km from the city," said Liakh.[153] The governor ofDonetsk Oblast,Pavlo Kyrylenko, urged the 350,000 remaining residents to evacuate the province.[154] All civilians remaining in the unoccupied parts of Donetsk region were later ordered to evacuate by Zelenskyy on 30 July. According to Ukrainian estimates, 200,000–220,000 civilians still lived there at the time.[155]
Haidai claimed that an attempt by Russian regular and reserve troops to expand abridgehead on the Donets river had been stalled by a Ukrainian artillery attack.[61][156] Pro-Russian sources claimed the village of Spirne had been captured and advances were made during renewed ground assaults on the northern Donetsk village of Verkhnokamyansk; the claims were not independently confirmed at the time. Reportedly, both Russian and Ukrainian sources confirmed that Ukrainian forces had recaptured the village of Solodke in a limited counterattack.[61] A separatist official claimed that Russian forces captured the village of Hryhorivka on 9 July.[157]
On 11 July, President Zelenskyy dismissed the notion that there was an ongoing "operational pause" by the Russians, citing continued deadly shelling, air strikes, and continued reports of Ukrainian troops "repelling" various Russian assaults. Zelenskyy insisted that 34 Russian airstrikes in the past 24 hours were not indicative of an "operational pause".[158]
British intelligence assessed that the Russian army's next focus would be small towns on the approach to Sloviansk and Kramatorsk, two cities which it said remained main Russian targets. The Ukrainian General Staff similarly expected future Russian assaults with the aim of creating more favorable conditions for an offensive from Izium to Sloviansk.[159] Sloviansk was both geographically strategic and symbolically significant forits role in the earlierwar in Donbas.[160]
Amid small-scale Russian ground assaults near Sloviansk, Siversk, and Bakhmut on 15 July, ISW suggested that Russian forces were emerging from their operational pause.[161] The next day, the Russian Ministry of Defense announced that the operational pause had effectively finished.[162]
Renewed assaults in Donetsk Oblast (17 July–6 September 2022)
By 17 July, Russian forces were in control of about 55% of Donetsk Oblast.[163] Donetsk People's Republic (DPR) Deputy Minister of Information Daniil Bezsonov stated on 25 July that the DPR expected to capture the entirety of Donetsk Oblast by the end of August. Various Russian and Western sources had previously reported that Russia intended to hold referendums in occupied areas by the first half of September, likely sometime around 11 September, which is the unified voting day in the Russian Federation.[164]
According to ISW, Russian forces had yet to make any meaningful forward progress by 20 July. Efforts to advance on Sloviansk had "mostly ground to a halt", with no significant Russian advances in weeks. Russian troops had yet to reach Siversk despite trying to capture it since taking Lysychansk, and were said to be degrading their combat power in localized fights for small, "unimportant" settlements south and east of Bakhmut. The think tank expected the renewed Russian offensive to culminate along theE40 highway without seizing Sloviansk or Bakhmut.[165]
By late July,The Washington Post said that Russian advances in Ukraine had slowed "almost to a standstill". George Barros, an ISW analyst, told the newspaper that Russian forces were close to exhausting their ability to gain territory. He said the Russians might succeed in capturing "one or two more" towns, namely Siversk and Bakhmut, but would be unable to conquer the entirety of the Donbas region.[166]
Russian assaults near Bakhmut, Soledar, and Siversk
DPR forces claimed to have taken control ofBerestove on 20 July, suggesting that control over the village would be advantageous for future operations towards Soledar and Bakhmut. ISW assessed that Russian forces had prepared three directions of advance toward Bakhmut: southwest from Berestove and Soledar, west fromPokrovske, and north fromNovoluhanske and theVuhlehirska power station. Meanwhile, the group of Russian forces outside of Siversk was said to be downgraded by its earlier operations.[165]
On 21 July, the British defence ministry warned that the Russians were closing in on the Vuhlehirska power station, the second largest power plant in Ukraine, and were attempting to make a breakthrough there.[167]
On 25 July, Russian forces gained control of Berestove. An LPR representative posted video footage ofWagner Group mercenaries in front of the entrance sign to Novoluhanske online, indicating that Russian troops had advanced into the town located roughly 25 km southeast of the Bakhmut outskirts. Several Russian sources also claimed that Russian forces had captured the Vuhlehirska power plant, located on the northern edge of Novoluhanske, and were actively clearing it, meanwhile the Ukrainian General Staff reported that the Russians only had "partial success" on that front. Pro-Russian sources said Wagner mercenary fighters took part in storming the power station and the fighting lasted several days before the plant was fully controlled by 26 July.[168] The ISW suggested Ukrainian troops likely conducted a "controlled withdrawal" from the Vuhlehirska reservoir area north-west towards Semyhirya.[169] A Ukrainian official confirmed the power plant's capture on 27 July.[170]
On 26 July, the Ukrainian General Staff stated that Russian forces were fighting in the village of Semyhirya, west of the Vuhlehirska power plant.[171] On 27 July, geolocated video footage posted online showed that Wagner mercenaries had reached Klynove, while pro-Russian Telegram channelReadovka claimed that Russian forces established control over Pokrovske.[172]
On 28 July, the Ukrainian General Staff said the Russians made small gains nearSoledar andVershyna.[173][174] The Ukrainian military claimed to have neutralised 270 Russian and pro-Russian troops and destroyed seven tanks on 28 July, and that they successfully repelled all assaults on the Soledar-Vershyna front.[175][176] On this date, ISW suggested that the Russian force grouping in Donetsk Oblast may have deprioritized attempts to take Siversk in order to capitalize on their recent gains near Bakhmut, noting that the Russians had made no confirmed advances towards Siversk since taking control of the Luhansk Oblast in early July.[177]
On 1 August, the British defence ministry said Russia had made slow progress on the Bakhmut axis during daily assaults in the last four days.[178]
On 2 August, Russian defence minister Sergei Shoigu stated that Russian forces had captured six front line settlements in recent days: Berestove, Pokrovske, Novoluhanske, Semyhiria, Hryhorivka, and Stryapivka.[179] The Ukrainian General Staff also stated that Russian forces had "partial success" along theVidrodzhennia-Kodema line, about 20 km southeast ofBakhmut.[180]
On 5 August, Russian sources claimed that Russian troops wereactively fighting at the Knauf Gips Donbas gypsum factory on the southeastern outskirts of Soledar. Geolocated footage posted by DPR troops suggestedTravneve was likely captured by 5 August.[181]
Russian sources claimed the villages ofVolodymyrivka and Stryapivka, located southeast of Soledar, were captured by 9 August.[182] On 10 August, the DPR claimed to have capturedHladosove, west of Travneve.[183]
Russian and allied forces reportedly captured Kodema on 6 September.[184]
Russian assaults near Avdiivka, Pisky, and Marinka
On 28 July, the Ukrainian General Staff said the Russians had resumed assaults onAvdiivka andPisky. The Ukrainians accused Russian troops of wearing Ukrainian uniforms during their ground assaults.[173][174] The Ukrainian military claimed to have neutralised 270 Russian and pro-Russian troops and destroyed seven tanks on 28 July, and that they successfully repelled all assaults on the Avdiivka-Pisky front.[175][176]
However, the separatists claimed Russian and DPR forces in the Avdiivka area had made significant advances north and east of the city.[185]
On 2 August, Russian forces captured Ukrainian positions around the Butivka Coal mine, southwest of Avdiivka, dislodging Ukrainian positions that had been held there since 2015.[180]
On 5 August, separatist authorities claimed that separate DPR brigades and Wagner Group forces had taken control of half ofMarinka, but the Ukrainians reported the assaults on Marinka were unsuccessful.[181][186] On 6 August, combat footage confirmed that Russian forces advanced into the eastern outskirts of Marinka. On 7 August, Russian forces pierced through the defenses of Pisky and reached the center of the settlement.[187]
On 11 August, Russian and DPR sources claimed that roughly 90 percent of Pisky had beencaptured, and combat footage purportedly showed the Russians bombarding the village withTOS-1A thermobaric artillery.[188] The ISW assessed that Pisky had been captured by Russian forces by 24 August.[189]
Russian assaults near Sloviansk, Ukrainian counteroffensive
Russian forces launched an unsuccessful attack on Bohorodychne, Krasnopillia, and the nearby village of Dolyna on 7 July. That same day, Russian forces also unsuccessfully tried to bypassBarvinkove from the east with the intention of cutting theE40 Izium-Sloviansk highway, a key supply route for Ukrainian troops.[190] A major offensive took place in Krasnopillia on 11 and 12 July, with fierce shelling taking place inDibrivne,Mazanivka,Adamivka, andKurulka, all villages near Bohorodychne and Krasnopillia.[191][192] The following day, on 13 July, further Russian attacks were repelled from the northern part of Krasnopillia and Dolyna, reportedly in an attempt to further cut off the Izium-Sloviansk highway.[193]
Russian offensives against Bohorodychne and Krasnopillia renewed unsuccessfully on 17 and 18 July, with heavy shelling taking place against the towns and nearby settlements.[194][195] Shelling resumed again at Bohorodychne, Krasnopillia, and surrounding villages on 21 July.[196] On 26 July, Russian forces began another offensive against Krasnopillia and Bohorodychne, although were again unsuccessful.[197] Attacks restarted again on 31 July, when Russian forces began shelled Bohorodychne, Krasnopillia, and surrounding villages from the Russian-held village of Dmytrivka.[198]
On 5 August, presidential advisorOleksiy Arestovych announced that the Ukrainian army had started a new counteroffensive near Izium against Russian forces and that fighting had started again in Dovhenke.[199] The next day, there was heavy Russian bombardment in the area, including in Dovhenke;[200] this continued on 7 August.[201] On 8 August, Arestovych said that, according to some sources, Dovhenke had been recaptured by the Ukrainian Armed Forces and that Ukraine was successfully advancing towards Izium.[202] On 9 August, Arestovych said that "Dovhenke is already behind us, according to some data. We have moved them."[203] That day, theGeneral Staff of the Ukrainian Armed Forces reported that Dovhenke and several other villages were being attacked by Russian forces.[204] On 9 August, Ukrainian forces recaptured Mazanivka.[205]
Russian forces shelled Dovhenke and the villages around on 10 August. Fighting stagnated until 6 September, whena counteroffensive drove Russia from Dovhenke. It later pushed Russia from most of the Kharkiv oblast.[206]
Russian ground offensives relaunched on 21 August south and southeast of Izium, aiming to recapture villages retaken by Ukraine in the previous weeks. Ukrainian sources reported on 22 August that Russian troops attempted to advance on Dmytrivka and Nova Dmytrivka, along with launching more attacks on Krasnopillia.[7][207] Ukrainian forces also managed to capture the villages of Dibrivne and Dmytrivka in these counterattacks.[208]
Aftermath
Some of the gains of the offensive were reversed in September 2022, after Ukraine launched acounteroffensive in Kharkiv Oblast, recapturing the cities ofLyman andSviatohirsk in the Donetsk region, andBilohorivka, a village close to Lysychansk in the Luhansk Oblast.[209]
Military analysts Rob Lee andMichael Kofman wrote that "Ukraine's successes inKherson and Kharkiv were largely a result of the losses it inflicted on the Russian military in the Battle for the Donbas in the spring and early summer." Despite Russia's territorial gains, they nevertheless called the outcome of the Donbas offensive a "pyrrhic victory" for Russia, citing long-term negative impacts on Russia's ability to hold the territory it gained during the offensive and the war in general.[23] Namely, Russia expended vast amounts of manpower and artillery ammunition to take territory in the Donbas. Lee and Kofman noted that Russia compensated for losses in manpower and artillery shells by introducingmobilization, but interpreted Russia's restricted artilleryshelling of Bakhmut in December 2022 as a result of resources being depleted during the Donbas offensive.[23]
Ukraine's counteroffensive in Kharkiv Oblast largely stalled as their ground forces approached theSvatove–Kreminna line, returning to mostly positional warfare on this front by November–December 2022.[210] In early November 2022, Russia launched arenewed offensive in northern and southern Donetsk Oblast, especially on the approach toBakhmut.[211]
The Ukrainian government refrained from providing overall numbers of casualties to their own forces in the Donbas, although they did periodically offer various estimates of daily casualty counts. According to Ukraine, between 50 and 100 Ukrainian soldiers were being killed daily on the Donbas front as of late May 2022.[212] By early June 2022, up to 200 Ukrainian soldiers were killed and 800+ wounded daily in the Donbas.[213][214] By mid-June, some Ukrainian officials estimated that Ukrainian forces were sustaining well over the previous mark of 1,000 casualties per day, including 200–500 killed.[215]
With respect to Russian casualties, the UkrainianOperational Command East provided daily casualty claims of Russian troops until 2 July 2022.
During the fighting, an LPR battalion commander was killed when he and his fighters were surrounded by Ukrainian forces close to Kreminna and "fought to the last", according to the LPR. The clashes left an unknown number of killed and wounded.[216]
On 18 July 2022, two Americans, a Canadian, and a Swedish national were killed during a Russian tank ambush during clashes near Hryhorivka, northeast ofSiversk. The foreign fighters were part of a special operations unit of Ukraine'sTerritorial Defence Forces.[217][218]
Refugees gather their belongings in front of a van on the way fromBylbasivka (Donetsk) toDnipro on 23 June 2022.
During the battle, Russia intensified its attacks on civilian-populated areas. 60 civilians were believed to be killed and at least seven wounded due to a Russian airstrike on a school sheltering about 90 civilians in Luhansk Oblast,[226] whereas the bodies of 44 civilians were recovered from rubble underneath an apartment building in Izium.[227] During the battle ofKreminna, nearRubizhne andLysychansk,[228] Ukrainian forces lost control amid heavy fighting.[229] More than 200 civilians were killed during the battle, with four additional civilians being killed and one more wounded as they attempted to escape the fighting.[230] The Ukrainian government claimed that over 1,500 civilians were killed in Sievierodonetsk on 26 May.[231] On 10 July, a Russianrocket attack inChasiv Yar struck a multi-story residential building, killing at least 34 people.[232][233]
As of 1 June, military activity related to the battle was confirmed to have killed at least 5,154 civilians and wounded over 5,605 more. As of 10 October, the United Nations counted 2,964 civilians killed in the Donetsk and Luhansk regions alone, in addition to 3,683 civilians wounded.[234]
The true number of civilian deaths and injuries is guaranteed to be significantly higher. Civilian casualties are impossible to tabulate due to thefog of war and lack of information flow due to the military occupation of segments of Ukrainian territory. For example, according to Ukrainian sources, "thousands" of civilians were killed in Lysychansk, although official data only accounted for 150 killed civilians.[235]
^"Conflict-related civilian casualties in Ukraine"(PDF).Office of the High Commissioner for Human Rights, United Nations Human Rights Monitoring Mission in Ukraine. 8 October 2021.Archived(PDF) from the original on 2 February 2022. Retrieved22 April 2022.
^ In addition to the casualty claims published byOperational Command East and other official sources, some pro-Ukrainian sources have claimed even higher numbers for Russian losses during the campaign. A Ukrainian government official,Oleksii Arestovych has made the claim that Russian forces had suffered around 30,000 casualties during thebattle of Avdiivka over the previous 100 days, of whom 10,000 were killed.[220] However, these claimed figures have been verified by independent observers, and are probably inflated, as are most other casualty claims made by the two combatants.[221][222]
^1,426 killed and 5,766 wounded between 23 February and 22 April[124], with 4,001 killed and 16,905 wounded during the period of the entire invasion[125], leaving 2,575 killed and 11,139 wounded during the period of the battle.
^3,696 civilians killed and 4,957 wounded from the start of the invasion until 10 October[126], with 732 killed and 1,371 wounded up to 24 February[127], leaving a total of 3,696 civilians killed and 4,957 wounded counted by the U.N. during the period of the battle
^1204 civilians were killed and 2,588 wounded during the period of the invasion[128], of which 245 civilians were killed and 789 were wounded between 24 February – 18 April,[129] leaving a total of 959 civilians killed and 1,899 wounded between 18 April – 13 November
^Up to 26 May 2022, at least 1,500 people had been killed since the start of the Russian invasion on 24 February 2022,[130]Archived 28 May 2022 at theWayback Machine including around 400 who died by 12 April 2022.[131]
^723 civilians killed in the period 18 April – 27 June (554 civilians killed up until 18 April[132], 1277 civilians killed up until 30 September[133] leaving a total of 306 civilians dead during the period of the battle
Russia
Donetsk People's Republic
Luhansk People's Republic
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