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2012 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2012 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania
← 2006November 6, 20122018 →
Turnout59.4% (voting eligible)[1]
 
NomineeBob Casey Jr.Tom Smith
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Popular vote3,021,3642,509,132
Percentage53.69%44.59%
County results
Congressional district results
Casey:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Smith:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
U.S. senator before election

Bob Casey Jr.
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Bob Casey Jr.
Democratic

Elections in Pennsylvania
U.S. President
Presidential primaries
Democratic
2000
2004
2008
2016
2020
2024
Republican
2008
2016
2020
2024
U.S. Senate
U.S. House of Representatives
Government

The2012 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania was held on November 6, 2012, alongside apresidential election, otherelections to theUnited States Senate in other states, as well aselections to theUnited States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. IncumbentDemocratic U.S. SenatorBob Casey, Jr. ran for and won re-election to a second term, defeatingRepublican nomineeTom Smith, andLibertarian nominee Rayburn Smith.

The requisiteprimary elections occurred on April 24, 2012, during which the Republicans and Democrats selected nominees for thegeneral election. The Republican primary was a five-way contest. Tom Smith, the eventual nominee, facedDavid A. Christian,Sam Rohrer, Marc Scaringi, andSteve Welch. The Democratic primary was not heavily contested. Incumbent Bob Casey, Jr., defeated Joseph Vodvarka by a wide margin. The Libertarian Party nominated Rayburn Smith.

Casey led most pre-election polls and eventually defeated his opponents to win re-election to a second term in the U.S. Senate. The election was the first time a Democrat won re-election to the U.S. Senate from Pennsylvania since the 1962 election. As of 2025, this is the last time thatFayette County andLuzerne County voted Democratic in a Senate election. This is also the only time since 1956 that Democrats have won a Pennsylvania U.S. Senate race in a presidential year.

Background

[edit]

On November 7, 2006,Bob Casey, Jr., theState Treasurer and son of formerGovernorBob Casey, Sr., defeated two-term incumbentRepublican senatorRick Santorum with 58.64% of votes cast. Santorum's margin of defeat was the largest for an incumbent Republican senator in Pennsylvania history; it was also the first time aDemocrat was elected to a full Senate term from Pennsylvania sinceJoseph Clark was re-elected in1962.

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Results

[edit]
Results by county:
  Casey
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  •   >90%
Democratic primary results[5]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticBob Casey, Jr. (incumbent)565,48880.9
DemocraticJoseph Vodvarka133,68319.1
Total votes699,171100.0

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

On ballot

[edit]

Withdrew

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Campaign

[edit]

In January 2012, thePennsylvania Republican Party officially endorsed Steve Welch for U.S. Senate.[23] The largest state newspaper,The Philadelphia Inquirer, also endorsed Welch. He was also endorsed by thePittsburgh Post-Gazette. However, he was criticized for changing his party registration. In 2008, he became a Democrat so he could vote forBarack Obama in the2008 Democratic presidential primary. In 2006, he donated money to Democratic CongressmanJoe Sestak.

Tom Smith spent nearly $3 million in the first three months of 2012, outspending Welch 2–1. Smith has spent a wide majority of it in television advertising.[24] Like Welch, Smith has also registered as a Democrat. However, unlike Welch who was a registered Democrat for only a few years, Smith was a Democrat for 42 years.[25] Smith was aPlumcreek Township Supervisor and allegedly raised taxes 9 times (including the real estate, earned income, and per capita taxes).[26] Over the past decade, he donated over $185,000 to Republican candidates. The only Democrat he donated to was CongressmanJason Altmire, a moderateBlue Dog.[27]

Sam Rohrer, a former state representative, ran for statewide office again after losing to State Attorney GeneralTom Corbett in the 2010 Republican primary forPennsylvania Governor. Rohrer was endorsed by various tea party organizations, as well as U.S. CongresswomanMichele Bachmann and2012 Republican presidential candidateHerman Cain.[28]

David Christian, a Vietnam war veteran and businessman, also ran. He previously ran for congress in 1984 and 1986. He was endorsed by thePittsburgh Tribune-Review.[29]

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Tim
Burns		David
Christian		Laureen
Cummings		John
Kensinger		Sam
Rohrer		Marc
Scaringi		Tom
Smith		John
Vernon		Steve
Welch		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling[30]November 17–20, 2011400±4.9%15%—2%—25%0%3%1%1%8%43%
Tribune-Review/WPXI-TV[31]February 2–6, 2012500±4.4%—1%—3%10%1%8%—1%—72%
Public Policy Polling[32]March 8–11, 2012564±4.1%—10%——16%8%12%—5%—48%
Franklin & Marshall College[33]March 20–25, 2012505±4.2%—1%——7%1%9%—1%—81%

Results

[edit]
Results by county:
  Smith
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  Rohrer
  •   <40%
  •   70–80%
  Welch
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  Christian
  •   50–60%
  Scaringi
  •   30–40%
Republican primary results[5][34]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanTom Smith299,72639.5
RepublicanSam Rohrer169,11822.3
RepublicanSteve Welch158,18120.9
RepublicanDavid Christian79,58110.5
RepublicanMarc Scaringi51,9086.8
Total votes758,514100.0

General election

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Debates

[edit]

Fundraising

[edit]
Candidate (party)ReceiptsDisbursementsCash on handDebt
Bob Casey, Jr. (D)$7,664,686$2,754,060$6,226,560$5,261
Tom Smith (R)$7,954,211$5,673,558$2,280,655$6,475,000
Source:Federal Election Commission[36]

Top contributors

[edit]

[37]

Bob Casey, Jr.ContributionTom SmithContribution
Comcast Corp$95,175Rosebud Mining$26,000
Blank Rome LLP$65,500Tj Smith Trucking$15,000
Reed Smith LLP$61,800Penneco Oil Co$12,500
Cozen O'Connor$44,975Transportation Equipment Supply Co$11,500
University of Pennsylvania$44,450R&S Machine Co$10,250
Buchanan, Ingersoll & Rooney$43,098Citizens United$10,000
K&L Gates$42,650Mepco LLC$10,000
Pride Mobility Products$40,250Snyder Armclar Gas$10,000
Blue Cross & Blue Shield$39,950Stitt Management$10,000
National Amusements Inc.$39,250Penn Waste$10,000

Top industries

[edit]

[38]

Bob Casey, Jr.ContributionTom SmithContribution
Lawyers/Law Firms$2,095,026Retired$104,725
Lobbyists$407,472Mining$87,800
Real Estate$389,559Republican/Conservative$43,500
Health Professionals$336,023Oil & Gas$40,750
Financial Institutions$335,998Misc Business$35,300
Retired$329,132Financial Institutions$25,500
Pharmaceuticals/Health Products$313,597Misc Manufacturing & Distributing$19,650
Hospitals/Nursing Homes$296,737Leadership PACs$19,000
Entertainment Industry$237,825Misc Energy$18,000
Insurance$221,750Trucking$15,250

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[39]Lean DNovember 1, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[40]Lean DNovember 5, 2012
Rothenberg Political Report[41]Likely DNovember 2, 2012
Real Clear Politics[42]Lean DNovember 5, 2012

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Bob
Casey, Jr. (D)		Tom
Smith (R)		OtherUndecided
Angus Reid Public Opinion[43]November 2–4, 2012507± 4.2%53%46%1%—
Public Policy Polling[44]November 2–3, 2012790± 3.5%52%44%—3%
Muhlenberg College/Morning Call[45]November 1–3, 2012430± 5%48%42%2%9%
Tribune-Review/Susquehanna[46]October 29–31, 2012800± 3.4%46%45%2%8%
Franklin & Marshall College[47]October 23–28, 2012547± 4.2%46%36%4%13%
Philadelphia Inquirer[48]October 23–25, 2012600± 4%49%42%—9%
Rasmussen Reports[49]October 24, 2012500± 4.5%46%45%—9%
Pharos Research[50]October 19–21, 2012760± 3.6%52%42%—6%
Muhlenberg College Poll[51]October 17–21, 2012444± 5%45%37%2%16%
Angus Reid Public Opinion[52]October 18–20, 2012559± 4.2%51%45%4%—
Quinnipiac[53]October 12–14, 20121,519± 2.5%48%45%—7%
Public Policy Polling[54]October 12–14, 2012500± 4.4%50%39%—11%
Muhlenberg[55]October 10–14, 2012438± 5%41%39%1%18%
Susquehanna Polling[56]October 11–13, 20121,376± 2.6%46%48%1%5%
Rasmussen Reports[57]October 9, 2012500± 4.5%49%45%1%5%
Philadelphia Inquirer[58]October 4–8, 2012600± 4%48%38%—14%
Susquehanna Polling[59]October 4–6, 2012725± 3.7%46%44%—9%
Siena Poll[60]October 1–5, 2012545± 4.2%44%35%—16%
Muhlenberg College[61]September 22–26, 2012427± 5%44%36%7%13%
Quinnipiac/CBS/NYT Poll[62]September 18–24, 20121,180± 3%49%43%——
Franklin & Marshall[63]September 18–23, 2012392± 4.9%48%38%—8%
Rasmussen Reports[49]September 19, 2012500± 4.5%49%42%2%7%
Muhlenberg College[64]September 10–16, 2012640± 4%45%33%5%18%
Philadelphia Inquirer[65]August 21–23, 2012601± 4%53%34%—13%
MCall/Muhlenberg Poll[66]August 20–22, 2012422± 5%49%30%—18%
Franklin & Marshall College[67]August 7–12, 2012681± 3.8%35%23%2%39%
Quinnipiac[68]July 24–30, 20121,168± 2.9%55%37%—8%
Public Policy Polling[69]July 21–23, 2012758± 3.6%46%36%—18%
Rasmussen Reports[49]July 18, 2012500± 4.5%49%38%—9%
We Ask America[70]July 9–10, 20121,227± 2.8%53%39%—8%
Quinnipiac[71]June 19–25, 20121,252± 2.8%49%32%1%17%
Quinnipiac[72]June 5–10, 2012997± 3.1%51%32%1%14%
Franklin & Marshall College[73]May 29–June 4, 2012412± 4.8%42%21%2%35%
Rasmussen Reports[49]May 21, 2012500± 4.5%48%41%3%7%
Public Policy Polling[74]May 17–20, 2012671± 3.8%49%33%—19%
Public Policy Polling[32]March 8–11, 2012689± 3.7%49%31%—20%
Public Policy Polling[75]November 17–20, 2011500± 4.4%48%32%—20%
Hypothetical polling

Republican primary

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Jake
Corman		Laureen
Cummings		Charlie
Dent		Jim
Gerlach		Tim
Murphy		Rick
Santorum		Marc
Scaringi		Mark
Schweiker		Kim
Ward		Other/
Undecided
Public Policy Polling[76]June 30 – July 5, 2011376± 5.1%9%5%4%7%9%47%1%—0%18%
Public Policy Polling[77]January 3–5, 2011400± 4.9%3%—8%9%7%45%1%8%1%19%
9%—10%14%13%—1%18%2%33%

General election

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Bob
Casey, Jr. (D)		Generic
Republican		Depends on
the candidate		Undecided
Quinnipiac[78]March 7–12, 20121256± 2.8%46%34%8%12%
Morning Call[79]February 15–21, 2012625± 4%40%25%20%14%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Bob
Casey, Jr. (D)		Tim
Burns (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling[75]November 17–20, 2011500± 4.4%49%34%—17%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Bob
Casey, Jr. (D)		David
Christian (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling[32]March 8–11, 2012689± 3.7%50%32%—18%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Bob
Casey, Jr. (D)		Jake
Corman (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling[80]June 30 – July 5, 2011545± 4.2%51%35%—14%
Public Policy Polling[81]April 7–10, 2011593± 4.0%51%35%—14%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Bob
Casey, Jr. (D)		Laureen
Cummings (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling[80]June 30 – July 5, 2011545± 4.2%51%31%—18%
Public Policy Polling[81]April 7–10, 2011593± 4.0%51%32%—17%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Bob
Casey, Jr. (D)		Charlie
Dent (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling[81]April 7–10, 2011593± 4.0%51%31%—18%
Municipoll[82]February 21–23, 2011670± 3.79.%51%32%—17%
Public Policy Polling[83]January 3–5, 2011547± 4.2%51%31%—18%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Bob
Casey, Jr. (D)		Jim
Gerlach (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling[80]June 30 – July 5, 2011545± 4.2%49%33%—17%
Public Policy Polling[81]April 7–10, 2011593± 4.0%50%32%—19%
Municipoll[82]February 21–23, 2011670± 3.79.%48%34%—17%
Public Policy Polling[83]January 3–5, 2011547± 4.2%49%33%—18%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Bob
Casey, Jr. (D)		Tim
Murphy (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling[80]June 30 – July 5, 2011545± 4.2%47%35%—18%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Bob
Casey, Jr. (D)		Sam
Rohrer (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling[32]March 8–11, 2012689± 3.7%49%34%—17%
Public Policy Polling[75]November 17–20, 2011500± 4.4%47%36%—16%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Bob
Casey, Jr. (D)		Rick
Santorum (R)		OtherUndecided
Morning Call[79]February 15–21, 2012625± 4%44%36%7%12%
Public Policy Polling[75]November 17–20, 2011500± 4.4%49%39%—11%
Public Policy Polling[80]June 30 – July 5, 2011545± 4.2%48%39%—13%
Public Policy Polling[81]April 7–10, 2011593± 4.0%49%37%—13%
Municipoll[82]February 21–23, 2011670± 3.79.%50%38%—12%
Public Policy Polling[83]January 3–5, 2011547± 4.2%48%41%—10%
Public Policy Polling[84]June 19–21, 2010609± 4.0%51%39%—10%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Bob
Casey, Jr. (D)		Marc
Scaringi (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling[32]March 8–11, 2012689± 3.7%49%29%—22%
Public Policy Polling[80]June 30 – July 5, 2011545± 4.2%47%29%—24%
Public Policy Polling[81]April 7–10, 2011593± 4.0%51%28%—21%
Public Policy Polling[83]January 3–5, 2011547± 4.2%50%27%—22%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Bob
Casey, Jr. (D)		Mark
Schweiker (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling[83]January 3–5, 2011547± 4.2%47%34%—18%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Bob
Casey, Jr. (D)		Kim
Ward (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling[81]April 7–10, 2011593± 4.0%50%29%—21%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Bob
Casey, Jr. (D)		Steve
Welch (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling[32]March 8–11, 2012689± 3.7%49%31%—22%
Public Policy Polling[75]November 17–20, 2011500± 4.4%47%33%—20%

Results

[edit]

Despite many predictions of a close race, the election was not close. Casey, despite being seen as somewhat vulnerable, went into election night with most analysts thinking he could win. Casey did win by more than expected, which can be traced to several factors. Casey trounced Smith inPhiladelphia County, home ofPhiladelphia. Casey also won the surrounding collar counties of Bucks, Chester, Delaware, and Montgomery, which are seen as vital in statewide elections inPennsylvania. Casey also performed well inAllegheny County, home ofPittsburgh. Casey also performed well in Erie. Casey also performed strongly in theScranton area. Smith did well in rural counties, but it wasn't enough to overcome the lead Casey had built in the huge population centers. Casey was sworn in for his second term beginning at noon on January 3, 2013.

United States Senate election in Pennsylvania, 2012[85]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
DemocraticBob Casey, Jr. (incumbent)3,021,36453.69%−4.95%
RepublicanTom Smith2,509,13244.59%+3.31%
LibertarianRayburn Smith96,9261.72%N/A
Total votes5,627,422100.00%N/A
Democratichold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

[edit]

By congressional district

[edit]

Casey won 9 of the 18 congressional districts, including four that elected Republicans.[86]

DistrictSmithCaseyRepresentative
1st15.85%83.36%Bob Brady
2nd8.61%90.74%Chaka Fattah
3rd53.94%43.87%Mike Kelly
4th54.81%42.78%Jason Altmire
Scott Perry
5th55.83%41.46%Glenn Thompson
6th48.56%49.72%Jim Gerlach
7th48.23%50.58%Pat Meehan
8th47.74%50.94%Mike Fitzpatrick
9th58.99%38.94%Bill Shuster
10th58.12%39.84%Tom Marino
11th51.35%46.54%Lou Barletta
12th52.79%45.31%Mark Critz
Keith Rothfus
13th30.84%68.37%Allyson Schwartz
14th27.74%70.02%Mike Doyle
15th48.2%50.02%Charlie Dent
16th51.6%46.52%Joe Pitts
17th40.96%57.28%Tim Holden
Matt Cartwright
18th53.4%44.81%Tim Murphy

See also

[edit]

References

[edit]
  1. ^Dr. Michael McDonald (February 9, 2013)."2012 General Election Turnout Rates".George Mason University. Archived fromthe original on April 24, 2013. RetrievedApril 6, 2013.
  2. ^Itkowitz, Colby (November 21, 2010)."Mellow Casey has to up profile for re-election".The Morning Call. Archived fromthe original on September 5, 2012. RetrievedNovember 25, 2010.
  3. ^abcdeMalloy, Daniel (November 26, 2010)."Murrysville native planning for 2010 run against Casey".Pittsburgh Post-Gazette. RetrievedNovember 26, 2010.
  4. ^Itkowitz, Colby (February 15, 2012)."Petitions filed for Pa. primary".The Allentown Morning Call. Archived fromthe original on September 9, 2012. RetrievedFebruary 22, 2012.
  5. ^ab"2012 General Primary: United States Senator". PA Department of State. RetrievedApril 25, 2012.
  6. ^"2012: David Christian Enters U.S. Senate Race".Pike County Republican Committee. Archived fromthe original on November 15, 2011. RetrievedSeptember 24, 2011.
  7. ^Reabuck, Sandra K. (September 28, 2011)."New Paris pharmacist seeks GOP nomination".The Tribune-Democrat. RetrievedSeptember 30, 2011.
  8. ^Levy, Marc (November 4, 2011)."Sam Rohrer to run for Casey's Senate seat".MSNBC. RetrievedNovember 6, 2011.[dead link]
  9. ^Guerriero, John (September 29, 2011)."Armstrong County Republican announces candidacy for U.S. Senate in Erie".Erie Times-News. RetrievedSeptember 30, 2011.
  10. ^Gibson, Keegan (September 13, 2011)."Welch to Enter Senate Race".PoliticsPA. RetrievedSeptember 14, 2011.
  11. ^"Burns Exits Senate Race".PoliticsPA. February 2, 2012. RetrievedFebruary 2, 2011.
  12. ^Gibson, Keegan (January 14, 2012)."Cummings Drops Out of Senate Race, Endorses Burns".Politics PA. RetrievedJanuary 16, 2012.
  13. ^Jerry, Tara (January 16, 2012)."Vernon Endorses Burns for Senate".Politics PA. RetrievedJanuary 17, 2012.
  14. ^"State College, PA - Corman Not Running for U.S. Senate in 2012, He Says".www.statecollege.com. Archived fromthe original on July 4, 2011.
  15. ^abItkowitz, Colby (December 10, 2010)."Dent versus Casey?".The Morning Call. Archived fromthe original on July 22, 2013. RetrievedDecember 10, 2010.
  16. ^abJacobs, Jeremy P. (November 16, 2010)."GOP Looking For A Casey Challenger".National Journal. Archived fromthe original on February 12, 2012. RetrievedNovember 25, 2010.
  17. ^ab"Is Casey closer to a serious challenger?".Politico. August 4, 2011. RetrievedAugust 8, 2011.
  18. ^"GOP wooing U.S. Rep. Pat Meehan to seek nod to run against Sen. Casey - delcotimes.com".www.delcotimes.com. Archived fromthe original on September 13, 2012.
  19. ^Hundt, Brad (August 31, 2011)."U.S. Rep. Murphy says he won't run for Senate next year".Observer-Reporter. RetrievedSeptember 2, 2011.[permanent dead link]
  20. ^Sullivan, Sean (December 5, 2011)."Pileggi Won't Challenge Casey in Pa".National Journal. Archived fromthe original on December 23, 2011. RetrievedDecember 5, 2011.
  21. ^"not-in-the-cards"/20152 "Schweiker: Senate Run "Not in the Cards"".PoliticsPA. January 14, 2011. RetrievedJanuary 15, 2011.
  22. ^"EXCLUSIVE: State Senator Kim Ward Emerges as Potential Challenger to Bob Casey".PoliticsPA. December 8, 2010. RetrievedDecember 9, 2010.
  23. ^Levy, Mark (January 29, 2012)."Pa. GOP endorses Welch to challenge Sen. Casey".Associated Press. Archived fromthe original on February 7, 2012. RetrievedApril 28, 2012.
  24. ^"Smith outspends, outraises Welch in US Senate race".Associated Press. April 13, 2012. RetrievedApril 28, 2012.
  25. ^Gibson, Keegan (April 16, 2012)."Where's Tom Smith?".PoliticsPA. RetrievedApril 28, 2012.
  26. ^Gibson, Keegan (March 26, 2012)."Smith Tax Votes Play in Senate Campaign".PoliticsPA. RetrievedApril 28, 2012.
  27. ^Gibson, Keegan (August 17, 2011)."Sen. Candidate Smith a Heavyweight GOP Donor".PoliticsPA. RetrievedApril 28, 2012.
  28. ^Gibson, Keegan (March 28, 2012)."Bachmann Endorses Rohrer".PoliticsPA. RetrievedApril 28, 2012.
  29. ^"Primary 2012: Nominate Christian". Pittsburgh Tribune-Review. Archived fromthe original on September 8, 2012. RetrievedApril 28, 2012.
  30. ^Public Policy Polling
  31. ^Tribune-Review/WPXI-TV
  32. ^abcdefPublic Policy Polling
  33. ^Franklin & Marshall College
  34. ^Brennan, Kevin (April 24, 2012)."Smith Wins Pennsylvania Senate Primary".National Journal. Archived fromthe original on April 27, 2012. RetrievedApril 25, 2012.
  35. ^"11/6/2012 2012 GENERAL ELECTION GENERAL CANDIDATE LIST"(PDF). Pennsylvania Department of State. Archived fromthe original(PDF) on March 4, 2016. RetrievedAugust 27, 2012.
  36. ^"Browse data".FEC.gov.
  37. ^"Congressional Races".OpenSecrets.
  38. ^"Kansas District 04 2012 Race".OpenSecrets.
  39. ^"2012 Senate Race Ratings for November 1, 2012".The Cook Political Report. Archived fromthe original on August 29, 2018. RetrievedSeptember 20, 2018.
  40. ^"2012 Senate".Sabato's Crystal Ball. RetrievedSeptember 20, 2018.
  41. ^"2012 Senate Ratings".Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. RetrievedSeptember 20, 2018.
  42. ^"2012 Elections Map - Battle for the Senate 2012". Real Clear Politics. RetrievedSeptember 20, 2018.
  43. ^Angus Reid Public Opinion[usurped]
  44. ^Public Policy Polling
  45. ^Muhlenberg College/Morning CallArchived November 6, 2012, at theWayback Machine
  46. ^Tribune-Review/Susquehanna
  47. ^Franklin & Marshall College
  48. ^Philadelphia Inquirer
  49. ^abcdRasmussen Reports
  50. ^Pharos ResearchArchived October 31, 2012, at theWayback Machine
  51. ^Muhlenberg College Poll[permanent dead link]
  52. ^Angus Reid Public Opinion[permanent dead link]
  53. ^Quinnipiac
  54. ^Public Policy Polling
  55. ^MuhlenbergArchived October 18, 2012, at theWayback Machine
  56. ^Susquehanna Polling[permanent dead link]
  57. ^Rasmussen Reports
  58. ^Philadelphia Inquirer
  59. ^Susquehanna Polling
  60. ^Siena Poll
  61. ^Muhlenberg CollegeArchived October 21, 2012, at theWayback Machine
  62. ^Quinnipiac/CBS/NYT Poll
  63. ^Franklin & MarshallArchived October 6, 2012, at theWayback Machine
  64. ^Muhlenberg CollegeArchived September 22, 2012, at theWayback Machine
  65. ^Philadelphia Inquirer
  66. ^MCall/Muhlenberg Poll
  67. ^Franklin & Marshall College
  68. ^QuinnipiacArchived August 1, 2012, at theWayback Machine
  69. ^Public Policy Polling
  70. ^We Ask America
  71. ^QuinnipiacArchived October 8, 2012, at theWayback Machine
  72. ^QuinnipiacArchived October 8, 2012, at theWayback Machine
  73. ^Franklin & Marshall College
  74. ^Public Policy Polling
  75. ^abcdePublic Policy Polling
  76. ^Public Policy Polling
  77. ^Public Policy Polling
  78. ^QuinnipiacArchived September 13, 2012, at theWayback Machine
  79. ^abMorning Call
  80. ^abcdefPublic Policy Polling
  81. ^abcdefgPublic Policy Polling
  82. ^abcMunicipoll
  83. ^abcdePublic Policy Polling
  84. ^Public Policy Polling
  85. ^"Pennsylvania Elections - Summary Results".electionreturns.pa.gov.
  86. ^"Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts".Daily Kos. RetrievedAugust 11, 2020.

External links

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