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Soaring Forecast for Moriarty NMNational Weather Service Albuquerque NM0716 MDT Sunday May 4 2025This forecast is for Sunday, May 4, 2025:If the trigger temperature of 58.1 F/14.5 C is reached...then Thermal Soaring Index....................... Poor Maximum rate of lift........................ 309 ft/min (1.6 m/s) Maximum height of thermals.................. 14342 ft MSL (8009 ft AGL)Forecast maximum temperature................... 63.0 F/17.7 CTime of trigger temperature.................... 1030 MDTTime of overdevelopment........................ NoneMiddle/high clouds during soaring window....... Broken/overcast opaque middleSurface winds during soaring window............ Between 20 mph and 30 mphHeight of the -3 thermal index................. 9927 ft MSL (3593 ft AGL)Thermal soaring outlook for Monday 05/05....... GoodRemarks... Sunrise/Sunset.................... 06:09:29 / 19:52:01 MDTTotal possible sunshine........... 13 hr 42 min 32 sec (822 min 32 sec)Altitude of sun at 13:00:45 MDT... 71.23 degreesUpper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 05/04/2025 at 0600 MDTFreezing level.................. 11635 ft MSL (5302 ft AGL)Convective condensation level... 13148 ft MSL (6815 ft AGL)Lifted condensation level....... 13374 ft MSL (7040 ft AGL)Lifted index.................... -1.2K index......................... +23.9Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rateft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s-------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 50000 -59.2 -74.6 250 23 12 1.9 1.1 94.5 202.1 45.0 M M 45000 -56.4 -69.5 235 35 18 -1.5 -0.8 75.4 167.7 36.2 M M 40000 -58.0 -72.4 245 30 15 -1.1 -0.6 49.8 121.6 21.7 M M 38000 -56.4 -69.5 245 31 16 4.9 2.7 43.4 110.2 18.0 M M 36000 -53.5 -64.3 245 35 18 4.9 2.7 39.3 102.7 15.5 M M 34000 -50.5 -58.9 240 38 20 5.4 3.0 35.6 96.0 13.2 M M 32000 -46.8 -52.2 220 37 19 5.4 3.0 31.4 88.6 10.5 M M 30000 -42.8 -45.0 210 37 19 8.8 4.9 29.1 84.3 9.0 M M 29000 -40.2 -40.4 205 35 18 8.8 4.8 28.6 83.6 8.8 M M 28000 -37.6 -35.7 205 34 17 8.9 4.9 28.4 83.0 8.7 M M 27000 -35.0 -31.0 200 31 16 8.2 4.5 28.0 82.5 8.5 M M 26000 -32.5 -26.5 205 28 14 8.2 4.5 27.4 81.3 8.0 M M 25000 -30.1 -22.2 210 24 13 8.2 4.5 26.8 80.3 7.7 M M 24000 -27.7 -17.9 215 21 11 8.0 4.4 26.4 79.5 7.4 M M 23000 -25.3 -13.5 215 19 10 7.9 4.3 25.6 78.0 6.8 M M 22000 -23.0 -9.4 215 17 9 7.9 4.3 24.9 76.9 6.3 M M 21000 -20.7 -5.3 215 15 8 6.8 3.8 24.3 75.7 5.8 M M 20000 -18.7 -1.7 210 11 6 6.8 3.8 23.2 73.7 4.9 M M 19500 -17.7 0.1 210 9 5 6.8 3.8 22.7 72.8 4.5 M M 19000 -16.7 1.9 205 7 4 6.9 3.8 22.2 72.0 4.1 M M 18500 -15.7 3.7 200 5 3 6.5 3.6 21.8 71.2 3.7 M M 18000 -14.2 6.4 200 3 2 6.4 3.5 20.9 69.6 2.9 M M 17500 -13.3 8.1 195 2 1 6.5 3.6 20.3 68.6 2.4 M M 17000 -12.3 9.9 195 1 1 6.6 3.6 19.8 67.6 1.9 M M 16500 -11.4 11.5 000 0 0 6.9 3.8 19.3 66.7 1.5 M M 16000 -10.3 13.5 160 1 0 7.8 4.3 18.9 66.0 1.1 M M 15500 -9.2 15.4 155 2 1 7.8 4.3 18.6 65.4 0.8 M M 15000 -8.0 17.6 155 4 2 7.7 4.2 18.2 64.8 0.4 M M 14500 -6.9 19.6 155 7 4 7.6 4.2 17.9 64.2 0.1 M M 14000 -5.8 21.6 155 10 5 8.9 4.9 17.6 63.7 -0.2 669 3.4 13500 -4.4 24.1 155 12 6 9.0 5.0 17.5 63.5 -0.3 614 3.1 13000 -3.1 26.4 155 13 7 8.5 4.7 17.4 63.3 -0.5 560 2.8 12500 -1.9 28.6 160 14 7 8.2 4.5 17.1 62.8 -0.7 508 2.6 12000 -0.7 30.7 165 16 8 7.5 4.1 16.9 62.4 -1.0 458 2.3 11500 0.3 32.5 170 17 9 7.1 3.9 16.4 61.6 -1.4 413 2.1 11000 1.2 34.2 180 19 10 6.2 3.4 15.9 60.6 -2.0 371 1.9 10500 2.2 36.0 185 21 11 6.9 3.8 15.4 59.8 -2.5 326 1.7 10250 2.7 36.9 190 22 11 6.7 3.7 15.2 59.4 -2.7 304 1.5 10000 3.2 37.8 190 23 12 7.3 4.0 15.0 59.0 -2.9 281 1.4 9750 3.8 38.8 190 23 12 8.0 4.4 14.8 58.7 -3.1 257 1.3 9500 4.3 39.7 195 23 12 7.6 4.2 14.7 58.4 -3.3 232 1.2 9250 4.9 40.8 195 24 12 8.4 4.6 14.5 58.2 -3.4 208 1.1 9000 5.5 41.9 195 24 12 7.9 4.4 14.5 58.0 -3.5 182 0.9 8750 6.0 42.8 200 23 12 6.2 3.4 14.2 57.6 -3.8 159 0.8 8500 6.5 43.7 200 23 12 5.9 3.2 13.9 57.1 -4.1 138 0.7 8250 6.9 44.4 200 23 12 6.2 3.4 13.7 56.6 -4.4 118 0.6 8000 7.4 45.3 200 21 11 6.2 3.4 13.4 56.1 -4.6 97 0.5 7750 7.8 46.0 195 20 10 4.8 2.6 13.1 55.6 -5.0 77 0.4 7500 8.1 46.6 190 18 9 4.3 2.4 12.7 54.8 -5.4 60 0.3 7250 8.4 47.1 190 16 8 3.4 1.8 12.3 54.1 -5.8 43 0.2 7000 8.6 47.5 180 14 7 2.1 1.1 11.7 53.1 -6.4 30 0.2 6750 8.8 47.8 175 12 6 2.4 1.3 11.1 52.0 -6.9 18 0.1 6500 8.9 48.0 170 9 5 -1.5 -0.8 10.5 50.9 -7.6 9 0.0 6250 M M M M M M M M M M M M * * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * * 05/04/2025 at 0900 MDT | 05/04/2025 at 1200 MDT |CAPE... +1.0 LI... -0.3 | CAPE... +603.9 LI... -2.7CINH... -15.2 K Index... +24.9 | CINH... -0.1 K Index... +28.0 |Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rateft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft-------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 50000 -58.5 -73.3 230 19 10 1.5 0.8 | -57.7 -71.9 220 17 9 1.3 0.7 45000 -56.3 -69.3 225 30 16 -0.6 -0.3 | -55.7 -68.3 210 24 13 -0.7 -0.4 40000 -57.0 -70.6 240 24 12 -0.5 -0.3 | -56.9 -70.4 200 30 15 -0.8 -0.5 38000 -56.3 -69.3 230 26 14 2.3 1.2 | -56.5 -69.7 190 31 16 2.1 1.1 36000 -54.9 -66.8 220 34 17 2.3 1.2 | -55.2 -67.4 180 31 16 2.1 1.1 34000 -52.9 -63.2 210 39 20 7.9 4.3 | -53.2 -63.8 175 32 17 8.8 4.8 32000 -47.6 -53.7 210 34 17 7.8 4.3 | -47.5 -53.5 175 33 17 8.6 4.7 30000 -42.9 -45.2 205 30 16 8.2 4.5 | -42.5 -44.5 175 34 17 7.8 4.3 29000 -40.4 -40.7 195 29 15 8.2 4.5 | -40.2 -40.4 175 34 17 7.8 4.3 28000 -37.9 -36.2 190 29 15 8.3 4.5 | -37.9 -36.2 180 34 17 7.8 4.3 27000 -35.5 -31.9 185 29 15 8.3 4.6 | -35.5 -31.9 180 34 18 7.8 4.3 26000 -33.0 -27.4 185 29 15 8.3 4.6 | -33.2 -27.8 180 34 17 7.8 4.3 25000 -30.5 -22.9 190 29 15 8.3 4.6 | -30.9 -23.6 185 34 17 7.8 4.3 24000 -28.1 -18.6 195 30 15 7.8 4.3 | -28.6 -19.5 185 34 18 7.8 4.3 23000 -25.8 -14.4 195 30 15 7.5 4.1 | -26.3 -15.3 190 33 17 7.8 4.3 22000 -23.6 -10.5 200 30 15 7.5 4.1 | -23.9 -11.0 190 33 17 7.8 4.3 21000 -21.4 -6.5 200 30 16 7.5 4.1 | -21.6 -6.9 195 32 17 7.5 4.1 20000 -19.1 -2.4 200 30 15 7.5 4.1 | -19.4 -2.9 190 31 16 7.5 4.1 19500 -18.0 -0.4 200 30 15 7.5 4.1 | -18.3 -0.9 190 31 16 7.5 4.1 19000 -16.9 1.6 195 30 15 7.5 4.1 | -17.2 1.0 190 30 16 7.5 4.1 18500 -15.8 3.6 195 30 15 7.3 4.0 | -15.5 4.1 190 30 15 7.4 4.1 18000 -14.2 6.4 190 29 15 7.2 4.0 | -14.4 6.1 185 30 15 7.4 4.1 17500 -13.2 8.2 190 29 15 7.5 4.1 | -13.3 8.1 185 30 15 7.3 4.0 17000 -12.1 10.2 185 29 15 7.6 4.2 | -12.3 9.9 180 30 15 7.2 4.0 16500 -11.0 12.2 185 29 15 7.6 4.2 | -11.3 11.7 180 30 15 7.3 4.0 16000 -9.8 14.4 180 29 15 7.6 4.2 | -10.2 13.6 175 30 15 7.5 4.1 15500 -8.7 16.3 175 30 15 7.6 4.2 | -9.2 15.4 175 29 15 7.5 4.1 15000 -7.6 18.3 170 30 15 7.9 4.4 | -8.1 17.4 175 29 15 8.5 4.7 14500 -6.4 20.5 170 30 15 7.9 4.3 | -6.8 19.8 175 28 15 8.5 4.7 14000 -5.3 22.5 165 29 15 7.9 4.4 | -5.6 21.9 175 28 14 8.2 4.5 13500 -4.1 24.6 160 28 15 7.9 4.4 | -4.5 23.9 170 27 14 8.1 4.5 13000 -2.9 26.8 160 27 14 8.3 4.6 | -3.3 26.1 170 26 14 8.1 4.4 12500 -1.7 28.9 155 27 14 8.5 4.7 | -2.1 28.2 170 26 13 8.1 4.4 12000 -0.4 31.3 155 26 13 7.9 4.3 | -1.0 30.2 170 25 13 8.5 4.6 11500 0.7 33.3 150 25 13 7.4 4.1 | 0.3 32.5 170 25 13 8.9 4.9 11000 1.8 35.2 150 23 12 8.1 4.5 | 1.6 34.9 165 24 13 9.0 4.9 10500 3.0 37.4 145 21 11 8.0 4.4 | 3.0 37.4 165 24 12 9.5 5.2 10250 3.6 38.5 140 21 11 8.1 4.5 | 3.7 38.7 165 24 12 8.6 4.7 10000 4.2 39.6 140 20 10 8.2 4.5 | 4.3 39.7 165 23 12 8.5 4.7 9750 4.8 40.6 135 19 10 8.1 4.5 | 5.0 41.0 165 23 12 9.5 5.2 9500 5.4 41.7 135 18 9 7.9 4.3 | 5.7 42.3 160 23 12 9.1 5.0 9250 6.0 42.8 135 17 9 8.8 4.8 | 6.4 43.5 160 23 12 10.3 5.6 9000 6.7 44.1 135 17 8 8.8 4.8 | 7.2 45.0 160 23 12 10.7 5.9 8750 7.3 45.1 130 16 8 7.0 3.8 | 7.9 46.2 160 22 12 9.3 5.1 8500 7.8 46.0 130 15 8 7.0 3.9 | 8.6 47.5 155 22 11 9.1 5.0 8250 8.3 46.9 130 14 7 6.1 3.4 | 9.3 48.7 155 22 11 9.4 5.2 8000 8.6 47.5 125 13 7 3.4 1.9 | 10.0 50.0 155 22 11 10.0 5.5 7750 8.8 47.8 120 12 6 1.8 1.0 | 10.8 51.4 155 22 11 9.6 5.3 7500 8.8 47.8 110 12 6 0.6 0.3 | 11.4 52.5 155 21 11 8.8 4.8 7250 8.9 48.0 105 11 6 3.7 2.1 | 12.1 53.8 150 21 11 10.0 5.5 7000 9.3 48.7 095 11 6 7.1 3.9 | 13.0 55.4 150 21 11 11.9 6.5 6750 9.8 49.6 090 11 6 6.9 3.8 | 13.8 56.8 150 20 10 11.2 6.2 6500 10.4 50.7 090 10 5 11.4 6.3 | 14.7 58.5 150 18 9 15.7 8.6 6250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M 05/04/2025 at 1500 MDT | 05/04/2025 at 1800 MDT |CAPE... +253.4 LI... -0.7 | CAPE... +85.3 LI... -0.6CINH... -11.0 K Index... +24.1 | CINH... -3.7 K Index... +17.1 |Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rateft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft-------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 50000 -58.0 -72.4 220 19 10 0.9 0.5 | -58.8 -73.8 225 25 13 0.6 0.3 45000 -56.6 -69.9 220 29 15 -0.2 -0.1 | -57.9 -72.2 215 31 16 0.7 0.4 40000 -57.1 -70.8 220 32 16 -0.3 -0.2 | -56.8 -70.2 205 37 19 0.7 0.4 38000 -56.3 -69.3 200 29 15 2.7 1.5 | -55.1 -67.2 200 36 19 4.4 2.4 36000 -54.7 -66.5 165 31 16 2.7 1.5 | -52.5 -62.5 190 34 17 4.4 2.4 34000 -52.5 -62.5 145 38 20 8.2 4.5 | -49.6 -57.3 180 32 17 6.3 3.4 32000 -47.2 -53.0 160 33 17 7.9 4.3 | -45.9 -50.6 170 33 17 6.2 3.4 30000 -42.5 -44.5 170 30 16 7.7 4.2 | -42.0 -43.6 165 35 18 5.2 2.9 29000 -40.2 -40.4 180 30 16 7.7 4.2 | -40.4 -40.7 175 36 18 5.2 2.9 28000 -37.9 -36.2 185 31 16 7.7 4.2 | -38.8 -37.8 180 37 19 5.2 2.9 27000 -35.6 -32.1 190 31 16 7.7 4.2 | -37.3 -35.1 190 39 20 7.0 3.9 26000 -33.3 -27.9 195 29 15 7.7 4.2 | -34.8 -30.6 190 39 20 8.2 4.5 25000 -31.0 -23.8 195 28 14 7.7 4.2 | -32.4 -26.3 190 39 20 8.2 4.5 24000 -28.7 -19.7 200 26 13 7.8 4.3 | -29.9 -21.8 190 39 20 8.0 4.4 23000 -26.3 -15.3 195 28 14 8.0 4.4 | -27.7 -17.9 190 38 20 7.5 4.1 22000 -23.9 -11.0 190 30 16 8.0 4.4 | -25.5 -13.9 185 38 20 7.6 4.1 21000 -21.6 -6.9 185 33 17 7.9 4.3 | -23.2 -9.8 185 37 19 7.9 4.3 20000 -19.2 -2.6 185 32 16 7.8 4.3 | -20.9 -5.6 190 35 18 8.0 4.4 19500 -18.1 -0.6 185 32 16 7.9 4.3 | -19.7 -3.5 190 34 17 8.0 4.4 19000 -16.9 1.6 185 31 16 7.8 4.3 | -18.5 -1.3 190 33 17 8.1 4.4 18500 -15.4 4.3 185 30 16 5.3 2.9 | -17.3 0.9 195 32 16 8.4 4.6 18000 -14.6 5.7 185 30 15 5.6 3.1 | -16.0 3.2 195 31 16 8.8 4.8 17500 -13.8 7.2 185 29 15 6.4 3.5 | -14.7 5.5 195 30 16 8.7 4.8 17000 -12.7 9.1 190 29 15 7.4 4.0 | -12.6 9.3 195 30 15 9.6 5.3 16500 -11.6 11.1 190 29 15 7.4 4.1 | -11.2 11.8 195 30 15 9.6 5.3 16000 -10.4 13.3 190 29 15 8.8 4.8 | -9.8 14.4 195 30 15 9.5 5.2 15500 -9.2 15.4 190 29 15 8.7 4.8 | -8.3 17.1 195 30 15 9.5 5.2 15000 -7.9 17.8 190 30 15 9.2 5.0 | -6.9 19.6 200 30 15 9.7 5.3 14500 -6.5 20.3 185 30 15 9.2 5.1 | -5.5 22.1 200 30 15 9.7 5.3 14000 -5.1 22.8 185 30 15 9.3 5.1 | -4.0 24.8 200 30 15 9.8 5.4 13500 -3.7 25.3 185 30 16 9.4 5.1 | -2.5 27.5 200 30 15 9.8 5.4 13000 -2.3 27.9 185 31 16 9.4 5.2 | -1.1 30.0 200 30 15 9.8 5.4 12500 -0.9 30.4 185 31 16 9.4 5.2 | 0.4 32.7 200 30 15 9.7 5.3 12000 0.5 32.9 180 32 16 9.0 5.0 | 1.9 35.4 200 30 15 9.4 5.1 11500 1.7 35.1 180 32 17 8.3 4.6 | 3.1 37.6 200 30 16 8.7 4.8 11000 3.1 37.6 180 33 17 9.9 5.5 | 4.6 40.3 200 30 16 10.2 5.6 10500 4.5 40.1 180 34 17 8.8 4.8 | 6.0 42.8 200 30 16 8.2 4.5 10250 5.1 41.2 175 34 18 8.5 4.7 | 6.6 43.9 200 30 16 10.4 5.7 10000 5.7 42.3 175 34 18 8.4 4.6 | 7.5 45.5 200 30 16 11.9 6.5 9750 6.3 43.3 175 35 18 9.0 4.9 | 8.3 46.9 200 30 15 9.7 5.3 9500 7.0 44.6 175 35 18 9.0 5.0 | 9.0 48.2 200 30 15 9.1 5.0 9250 7.7 45.9 175 36 18 9.3 5.1 | 9.7 49.5 200 30 15 9.2 5.1 9000 8.3 46.9 170 36 19 7.6 4.2 | 10.4 50.7 200 29 15 9.8 5.4 8750 8.8 47.8 170 36 19 7.6 4.2 | 11.1 52.0 200 29 15 10.0 5.5 8500 9.5 49.1 170 37 19 9.2 5.1 | 11.9 53.4 200 29 15 9.8 5.4 8250 10.1 50.2 170 37 19 8.6 4.7 | 12.6 54.7 200 28 15 9.7 5.3 8000 10.8 51.4 165 37 19 10.2 5.6 | 13.3 55.9 200 28 14 10.4 5.7 7750 11.6 52.9 165 37 19 10.1 5.5 | 14.1 57.4 200 27 14 10.1 5.5 7500 12.2 54.0 165 37 19 8.6 4.7 | 14.8 58.6 200 26 14 9.2 5.0 7250 12.9 55.2 165 37 19 9.5 5.2 | 15.5 59.9 200 26 13 9.4 5.2 7000 13.6 56.5 165 36 19 11.3 6.2 | 16.2 61.2 200 25 13 10.2 5.6 6750 14.6 58.3 160 34 18 15.1 8.3 | 17.0 62.6 200 23 12 11.5 6.3 6500 15.8 60.4 160 31 16 18.6 10.2 | 17.8 64.0 195 20 10 12.0 6.6 6250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M________________________________________________________________________________This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial issuance. The information contained herein is based on numerical weather predictionmodel data for the Moriarty Municipal Airport site in Moriarty, New Mexico at North Latitude: 34.9781667 deg West Longitude: 106.0000278 deg Elevation: 6204.2 feet (1891.0 meters)and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandiaand Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weatherprediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead todata which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these shouldnot be used.The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subjectto change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directedto one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.DEFINITIONS:CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the energy available for convective development, also known as the positive area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should convective activity develop.CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft, lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass, if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are produced by surface heating only.Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a "trigger temperature" for that level.Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain waves.K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158 and is reproduced in the following table: below -10 no or weak thermals -10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals 5 to 15 good soaring conditions 15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers 20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing probability of showers and thunderstorms above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstormsLapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate inversions. Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with positive values showing stable conditions.Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation. Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index are applied to these calculations.Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger temperature and the time of overdevelopment. Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus) or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud. Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests that little sunlight is reaching the ground. Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights: 1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists) where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more 2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists) where the wind speed no longer increases with heightPVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA) on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached and the time of overdevelopment.Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values are indicative of thermal lift.Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following: Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating >= 800 fpm Excellent >= 400 and< 800 fpm Good >= 200 and< 400 fpm Fair< 200 fpm Poor Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena, which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur: 1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover 2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts 3. initiation of widespread precipitationTime of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to reach the trigger temperature.Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000 feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough movements.042613
Soaring Forecast for Albuquerque NMNational Weather Service Albuquerque NM0717 MDT Sunday May 4 2025This forecast is for Sunday, May 4, 2025:If the trigger temperature of 60.1 F/15.6 C is reached...then Thermal Soaring Index....................... Good Maximum rate of lift........................ 838 ft/min (4.3 m/s) Maximum height of thermals.................. 15444 ft MSL (9756 ft AGL)Forecast maximum temperature................... 69.0 F/21.0 CTime of trigger temperature.................... 1045 MDTTime of overdevelopment........................ NoneMiddle/high clouds during soaring window....... NoneSurface winds during soaring window............ Between 20 mph and 30 mphHeight of the -3 thermal index................. 11784 ft MSL (6096 ft AGL)Thermal soaring outlook for Monday 05/05....... GoodRemarks... Sunrise/Sunset.................... 06:11:51 / 19:54:36 MDTTotal possible sunshine........... 13 hr 42 min 45 sec (822 min 45 sec)Altitude of sun at 13:03:14 MDT... 71.16 degreesUpper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 05/04/2025 at 0600 MDTFreezing level.................. 11363 ft MSL (5675 ft AGL)Convective condensation level... 13066 ft MSL (7378 ft AGL)Lifted condensation level....... 13911 ft MSL (8223 ft AGL)Lifted index.................... -2.3K index......................... +23.7Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rateft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s-------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 50000 -58.8 -73.8 245 22 11 1.5 0.8 97.4 207.3 44.5 M M 45000 -56.7 -70.1 230 32 17 0.3 0.2 78.4 173.2 35.6 M M 40000 -57.5 -71.5 245 33 17 -0.5 -0.3 52.7 126.8 21.3 M M 38000 -56.6 -69.9 240 35 18 2.6 1.4 45.2 113.3 16.7 M M 36000 -55.0 -67.0 230 38 19 2.6 1.4 38.9 102.1 12.8 M M 34000 -52.6 -62.7 225 39 20 7.9 4.3 34.3 93.8 9.9 M M 32000 -47.8 -54.0 205 37 19 8.1 4.4 32.8 91.1 9.0 M M 30000 -42.8 -45.0 195 38 19 8.8 4.8 31.8 89.2 8.4 M M 29000 -40.2 -40.4 195 37 19 8.8 4.9 31.3 88.4 8.2 M M 28000 -37.5 -35.5 195 36 19 8.8 4.9 31.0 87.8 8.1 M M 27000 -34.3 -29.7 195 34 18 7.4 4.1 30.5 87.0 7.8 M M 26000 -32.1 -25.8 200 31 16 7.6 4.2 29.6 85.3 7.1 M M 25000 -29.8 -21.6 205 28 14 7.6 4.2 28.8 83.9 6.6 M M 24000 -27.6 -17.7 210 25 13 7.6 4.1 28.1 82.6 6.0 M M 23000 -25.3 -13.5 210 25 13 7.6 4.1 27.2 81.0 5.4 M M 22000 -23.1 -9.6 215 25 13 7.6 4.2 26.5 79.7 4.8 M M 21000 -20.8 -5.4 215 25 13 7.3 4.0 25.7 78.3 4.2 M M 20000 -18.7 -1.7 215 25 13 7.3 4.0 24.8 76.6 3.4 M M 19500 -17.6 0.3 215 26 13 7.3 4.0 24.4 75.9 3.0 M M 19000 -16.5 2.3 215 26 13 7.3 4.0 24.0 75.2 2.7 M M 18500 -15.4 4.3 215 25 13 7.2 4.0 23.6 74.5 2.4 M M 18000 -14.3 6.3 215 22 11 7.2 4.0 23.2 73.7 2.0 M M 17500 -13.3 8.1 215 19 10 7.2 4.0 22.7 72.9 1.6 M M 17000 -12.2 10.0 215 15 8 7.2 4.0 22.3 72.1 1.2 M M 16500 -11.1 12.0 210 11 6 7.2 3.9 21.9 71.4 0.8 M M 16000 -10.0 14.0 200 9 4 7.4 4.1 21.5 70.6 0.5 M M 15500 -9.0 15.8 190 7 4 7.4 4.1 21.1 69.9 0.1 M M 15000 -7.9 17.8 175 7 4 7.4 4.1 20.7 69.2 -0.3 800 4.1 14500 -6.8 19.8 165 9 4 7.4 4.1 20.3 68.5 -0.7 753 3.8 14000 -5.8 21.6 155 10 5 7.6 4.2 19.9 67.9 -1.1 707 3.6 13500 -4.6 23.7 155 12 6 7.7 4.2 19.6 67.2 -1.5 658 3.3 13000 -3.5 25.7 155 14 7 7.5 4.1 19.3 66.7 -1.8 610 3.1 12500 -2.5 27.5 160 15 8 7.1 3.9 18.8 65.9 -2.3 564 2.9 12000 -1.5 29.3 160 16 8 7.0 3.8 18.4 65.2 -2.7 519 2.6 11500 -0.5 31.1 165 17 9 6.7 3.7 17.9 64.3 -3.2 474 2.4 11000 0.5 32.9 165 18 9 6.8 3.7 17.5 63.4 -3.7 430 2.2 10500 1.5 34.7 170 20 10 7.3 4.0 17.0 62.6 -4.2 385 2.0 10250 2.1 35.8 170 20 10 7.8 4.3 16.8 62.3 -4.3 361 1.8 10000 2.7 36.9 170 20 11 8.0 4.4 16.7 62.1 -4.5 336 1.7 9750 3.9 39.0 170 21 11 8.2 4.5 16.5 61.6 -4.8 285 1.4 9500 4.5 40.1 170 22 11 8.7 4.8 16.4 61.4 -4.9 259 1.3 9250 5.2 41.4 170 22 11 8.3 4.6 16.3 61.3 -5.0 232 1.2 9000 5.7 42.3 170 21 11 7.5 4.1 16.1 61.0 -5.1 207 1.1 8750 6.3 43.3 170 21 11 7.5 4.1 15.9 60.7 -5.3 183 0.9 8500 6.9 44.4 165 21 11 7.8 4.3 15.8 60.4 -5.5 158 0.8 8250 7.5 45.5 165 21 11 7.8 4.3 15.6 60.2 -5.6 133 0.7 8000 8.0 46.4 165 20 10 7.4 4.1 15.5 59.8 -5.8 109 0.6 7750 8.6 47.5 165 19 10 7.3 4.0 15.3 59.5 -6.0 85 0.4 7500 9.1 48.4 160 19 10 8.1 4.4 15.1 59.2 -6.2 61 0.3 7250 9.7 49.5 165 18 9 7.0 3.8 15.0 59.0 -6.3 35 0.2 7000 10.1 50.2 160 17 9 5.4 2.9 14.7 58.4 -6.7 15 0.1 6750 10.6 51.1 160 16 8 5.9 3.2 14.4 57.9 -7.0 M M 6500 11.0 51.8 155 14 7 5.2 2.8 14.1 57.4 -7.3 M M 6250 11.2 52.2 155 11 6 0.4 0.2 13.6 56.5 -7.8 M M 6000 11.0 51.8 150 9 5 -5.6 -3.1 12.6 54.8 -8.8 M M 5750 10.7 51.3 145 6 3 4.6 2.5 11.7 53.0 -9.8 M M 5500 M M M M M M M M M M M M * * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * * 05/04/2025 at 0900 MDT | 05/04/2025 at 1200 MDT |CAPE... +81.7 LI... -1.1 | CAPE... +493.1 LI... -2.2CINH... -46.1 K Index... +25.3 | CINH... -0.3 K Index... +27.0 |Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rateft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft-------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 50000 -57.8 -72.0 230 18 9 1.3 0.7 | -57.3 -71.1 215 17 9 1.1 0.6 45000 -55.9 -68.6 220 29 15 0.3 0.2 | -55.6 -68.1 205 25 13 -0.3 -0.2 40000 -57.1 -70.8 230 23 12 -0.7 -0.4 | -56.1 -69.0 190 25 13 -0.3 -0.2 38000 -56.4 -69.5 220 25 13 2.3 1.2 | -55.6 -68.1 180 27 14 1.5 0.8 36000 -55.1 -67.2 205 33 17 2.3 1.3 | -54.8 -66.6 175 31 16 1.5 0.8 34000 -52.9 -63.2 200 39 20 7.8 4.3 | -53.1 -63.6 170 35 18 8.1 4.4 32000 -48.2 -54.8 200 34 17 7.9 4.3 | -48.4 -55.1 175 35 18 7.9 4.3 30000 -43.4 -46.1 200 30 15 8.1 4.4 | -43.6 -46.5 175 35 18 7.8 4.3 29000 -41.0 -41.8 195 30 15 8.1 4.4 | -41.3 -42.3 175 34 18 7.8 4.3 28000 -38.6 -37.5 185 30 15 8.1 4.4 | -39.0 -38.2 175 34 18 7.8 4.3 27000 -35.5 -31.9 180 30 15 8.0 4.4 | -36.0 -32.8 175 34 17 7.9 4.4 26000 -33.2 -27.8 180 30 16 8.0 4.4 | -33.7 -28.7 175 33 17 8.0 4.4 25000 -30.8 -23.4 180 31 16 8.0 4.4 | -31.3 -24.3 175 33 17 8.0 4.4 24000 -28.4 -19.1 180 31 16 8.0 4.4 | -28.9 -20.0 175 32 17 7.7 4.2 23000 -26.0 -14.8 185 31 16 8.0 4.4 | -26.6 -15.9 180 32 16 7.6 4.2 22000 -23.6 -10.5 185 31 16 8.0 4.4 | -24.4 -11.9 185 31 16 7.6 4.2 21000 -21.3 -6.3 190 30 15 6.7 3.7 | -22.1 -7.8 185 31 16 8.0 4.4 20000 -19.2 -2.6 190 28 15 6.9 3.8 | -19.7 -3.5 185 30 15 8.0 4.4 19500 -18.2 -0.8 190 28 14 6.9 3.8 | -18.4 -1.1 190 30 15 8.0 4.4 19000 -17.2 1.0 190 27 14 6.8 3.8 | -17.2 1.0 190 29 15 8.0 4.4 18500 -16.2 2.8 190 27 14 7.3 4.0 | -16.1 3.0 190 29 15 7.5 4.1 18000 -15.1 4.8 190 27 14 7.4 4.1 | -14.9 5.2 185 28 15 7.4 4.1 17500 -14.0 6.8 185 27 14 7.6 4.2 | -13.8 7.2 185 28 14 7.3 4.0 17000 -12.8 9.0 185 27 14 8.1 4.4 | -12.8 9.0 180 28 14 7.0 3.8 16500 -11.6 11.1 180 28 15 8.1 4.4 | -11.8 10.8 175 28 14 7.2 3.9 16000 -10.4 13.3 180 29 15 8.5 4.6 | -10.8 12.6 175 27 14 7.3 4.0 15500 -9.2 15.4 180 29 15 8.5 4.7 | -9.8 14.4 170 27 14 7.4 4.1 15000 -8.0 17.6 180 29 15 8.1 4.4 | -8.8 16.2 170 26 14 8.3 4.5 14500 -6.8 19.8 175 28 15 8.0 4.4 | -7.5 18.5 170 26 13 8.6 4.7 14000 -5.7 21.7 175 28 14 7.6 4.2 | -6.3 20.7 165 25 13 8.7 4.8 13500 -4.6 23.7 175 27 14 7.2 3.9 | -5.0 23.0 165 24 13 8.7 4.8 13000 -3.6 25.5 170 26 13 7.2 4.0 | -3.8 25.2 165 24 12 8.7 4.8 12500 -2.5 27.5 165 25 13 7.4 4.1 | -2.5 27.5 165 23 12 8.9 4.9 12000 -1.4 29.5 160 24 12 7.5 4.1 | -1.2 29.8 165 22 11 8.9 4.9 11500 -0.3 31.5 155 23 12 7.9 4.3 | 0.2 32.4 165 21 11 9.2 5.0 11000 0.9 33.6 155 22 11 8.0 4.4 | 1.5 34.7 165 21 11 9.2 5.1 10500 2.1 35.8 150 21 11 8.4 4.6 | 3.0 37.4 165 20 10 9.6 5.3 10250 2.7 36.9 150 21 11 8.6 4.7 | 3.7 38.7 165 20 10 8.7 4.8 10000 3.3 37.9 145 20 11 8.7 4.8 | 4.3 39.7 160 20 10 9.1 5.0 9750 4.7 40.5 140 20 10 8.9 4.9 | 5.0 41.0 160 19 10 9.6 5.3 9500 5.3 41.5 140 20 10 7.5 4.1 | 6.5 43.7 160 19 10 9.2 5.1 9250 5.8 42.4 135 19 10 7.4 4.0 | 7.2 45.0 160 19 10 9.2 5.0 9000 6.4 43.5 135 18 9 8.7 4.8 | 7.9 46.2 160 18 10 9.6 5.3 8750 7.1 44.8 135 18 9 8.5 4.7 | 8.6 47.5 160 18 9 9.7 5.3 8500 7.7 45.9 130 17 9 8.9 4.9 | 9.3 48.7 160 18 9 9.6 5.3 8250 8.4 47.1 130 17 9 8.7 4.8 | 10.0 50.0 160 18 9 9.6 5.3 8000 9.0 48.2 130 16 8 7.9 4.3 | 10.7 51.3 160 18 9 9.7 5.3 7750 9.6 49.3 130 15 8 8.6 4.7 | 11.5 52.7 160 17 9 9.5 5.2 7500 10.2 50.4 125 15 8 6.6 3.6 | 12.2 54.0 160 17 9 10.3 5.6 7250 10.6 51.1 125 13 7 6.4 3.5 | 13.0 55.4 160 17 9 10.5 5.8 7000 11.2 52.2 125 13 6 8.4 4.6 | 13.7 56.7 160 16 8 9.9 5.4 6750 11.7 53.1 120 12 6 7.5 4.1 | 14.5 58.1 160 16 8 9.9 5.5 6500 12.3 54.1 120 11 6 9.0 5.0 | 15.2 59.4 160 16 8 10.5 5.7 6250 13.1 55.6 115 10 5 12.1 6.6 | 16.2 61.2 160 15 8 15.7 8.6 6000 14.0 57.2 115 9 4 13.0 7.2 | 17.6 63.7 160 14 7 22.6 12.4 5750 15.0 59.0 115 7 4 12.5 6.9 | 19.0 66.2 160 13 6 11.0 6.0 5500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M 05/04/2025 at 1500 MDT | 05/04/2025 at 1800 MDT |CAPE... +30.1 LI... +0.6 | CAPE... +12.0 LI... +0.1CINH... -6.8 K Index... +22.2 | CINH... -3.2 K Index... +13.6 |Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rateft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft-------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 50000 -58.1 -72.6 220 20 10 0.4 0.2 | -58.4 -73.1 220 23 12 1.6 0.9 45000 -57.6 -71.7 210 27 14 0.4 0.2 | -55.9 -68.6 210 32 17 1.2 0.7 40000 -56.7 -70.1 195 25 13 0.5 0.3 | -55.2 -67.4 210 35 18 0.4 0.2 38000 -55.6 -68.1 175 23 12 2.7 1.5 | -54.0 -65.2 205 33 17 3.2 1.8 36000 -54.0 -65.2 150 26 14 2.8 1.5 | -52.1 -61.8 195 30 15 3.2 1.8 34000 -51.9 -61.4 135 31 16 6.5 3.6 | -49.9 -57.8 180 28 15 5.8 3.2 32000 -48.1 -54.6 150 29 15 6.4 3.5 | -46.5 -51.7 165 27 14 5.6 3.1 30000 -43.9 -47.0 160 28 14 8.6 4.7 | -43.2 -45.8 160 27 14 5.2 2.9 29000 -41.4 -42.5 165 28 14 8.5 4.7 | -41.6 -42.9 165 27 14 5.3 2.9 28000 -38.8 -37.8 165 27 14 8.5 4.7 | -40.0 -40.0 175 28 14 5.3 2.9 27000 -36.3 -33.3 170 27 14 8.3 4.6 | -38.4 -37.1 180 29 15 5.4 3.0 26000 -33.9 -29.0 165 27 14 7.9 4.4 | -35.4 -31.7 180 31 16 8.4 4.6 25000 -30.9 -23.6 165 28 14 8.0 4.4 | -32.9 -27.2 180 33 17 8.5 4.6 24000 -28.5 -19.3 165 28 14 8.2 4.5 | -30.4 -22.7 175 34 18 8.0 4.4 23000 -26.0 -14.8 170 31 16 8.4 4.6 | -28.2 -18.8 175 35 18 7.3 4.0 22000 -23.5 -10.3 175 34 17 8.4 4.6 | -26.1 -15.0 175 35 18 7.3 4.0 21000 -21.0 -5.8 180 36 18 7.7 4.2 | -23.9 -11.0 175 35 18 8.1 4.4 20000 -18.7 -1.7 180 36 19 7.8 4.3 | -21.4 -6.5 180 34 18 8.2 4.5 19500 -17.5 0.5 185 36 19 7.8 4.3 | -20.2 -4.4 180 34 17 8.3 4.5 19000 -16.4 2.5 185 36 19 7.8 4.3 | -19.0 -2.2 185 33 17 8.3 4.5 18500 -15.3 4.5 190 36 19 7.2 4.0 | -17.8 -0.0 185 33 17 8.5 4.6 18000 -14.2 6.4 190 35 18 7.0 3.9 | -16.5 2.3 185 32 17 8.6 4.7 17500 -13.2 8.2 190 34 18 6.8 3.7 | -15.2 4.6 190 32 17 8.6 4.7 17000 -12.4 9.7 190 33 17 5.2 2.9 | -13.8 7.2 190 32 17 9.6 5.3 16500 -11.6 11.1 190 32 17 5.2 2.8 | -12.4 9.7 190 32 17 9.5 5.2 16000 -10.7 12.7 185 31 16 8.2 4.5 | -10.9 12.4 190 32 17 9.8 5.4 15500 -9.5 14.9 185 31 16 8.4 4.6 | -9.5 14.9 190 32 17 9.9 5.4 15000 -8.3 17.1 185 31 16 8.9 4.9 | -8.0 17.6 190 32 17 9.8 5.4 14500 -6.9 19.6 185 31 16 9.2 5.1 | -6.5 20.3 190 32 17 9.8 5.4 14000 -5.5 22.1 185 31 16 9.4 5.1 | -5.0 23.0 190 32 17 9.7 5.3 13500 -4.1 24.6 185 31 16 9.7 5.3 | -3.6 25.5 190 32 17 9.7 5.3 13000 -2.6 27.3 185 31 16 9.7 5.3 | -2.1 28.2 190 32 17 9.7 5.3 12500 -1.2 29.8 185 31 16 9.7 5.3 | -0.7 30.7 195 32 17 9.8 5.4 12000 0.3 32.5 185 31 16 9.7 5.3 | 0.8 33.4 195 33 17 9.8 5.4 11500 1.7 35.1 185 31 16 9.5 5.2 | 2.3 36.1 195 33 17 9.6 5.3 11000 3.2 37.8 185 32 16 9.5 5.2 | 3.7 38.7 195 33 17 9.5 5.2 10500 4.6 40.3 185 32 16 9.6 5.3 | 5.2 41.4 195 33 17 10.2 5.6 10250 5.3 41.5 185 32 16 9.2 5.0 | 5.9 42.6 195 33 17 9.1 5.0 10000 6.0 42.8 185 32 17 9.3 5.1 | 6.6 43.9 195 33 17 9.3 5.1 9750 6.7 44.1 185 32 17 9.8 5.4 | 7.4 45.3 195 33 17 9.9 5.4 9500 7.5 45.5 185 32 17 10.0 5.5 | 8.1 46.6 195 33 17 10.2 5.6 9250 8.2 46.8 185 33 17 9.2 5.0 | 9.6 49.3 195 34 17 9.2 5.0 9000 8.8 47.8 185 33 17 8.9 4.9 | 10.3 50.5 195 34 17 9.6 5.2 8750 10.2 50.4 185 33 17 9.5 5.2 | 11.0 51.8 195 34 17 9.8 5.4 8500 10.9 51.6 185 33 17 10.0 5.5 | 11.7 53.1 195 34 17 9.6 5.3 8250 11.7 53.1 185 33 17 10.4 5.7 | 12.4 54.3 195 34 17 9.4 5.2 8000 12.5 54.5 185 33 17 9.9 5.4 | 13.1 55.6 195 33 17 9.6 5.3 7750 13.2 55.8 185 33 17 9.7 5.3 | 13.9 57.0 195 33 17 9.6 5.3 7500 13.9 57.0 185 33 17 10.2 5.6 | 14.6 58.3 195 33 17 10.1 5.5 7250 14.7 58.5 185 32 17 10.6 5.8 | 15.4 59.7 195 33 17 10.5 5.7 7000 15.5 59.9 185 32 16 10.3 5.7 | 16.1 61.0 195 32 17 10.0 5.5 6750 16.3 61.3 185 31 16 10.3 5.7 | 16.9 62.4 195 31 16 9.7 5.3 6500 17.0 62.6 185 31 16 10.5 5.7 | 17.6 63.7 195 31 16 10.4 5.7 6250 18.0 64.4 185 30 15 16.7 9.2 | 18.5 65.3 195 30 15 12.9 7.1 6000 19.6 67.3 185 27 14 26.4 14.5 | 19.5 67.1 195 26 13 15.3 8.4 5750 21.2 70.2 185 24 12 9.4 5.2 | 20.6 69.1 195 23 12 11.6 6.4 5500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M________________________________________________________________________________This product is issued twice per day, at approximately 730 AM and 730 PM local time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initialissuance. The information contained herein is based on rawinsonde observation and/ornumerical weather prediction model data taken at the Albuquerque InternationalSunport site in Albuquerque, New Mexico at North Latitude: 35.03806 deg West Longitude: 106.62194 deg Elevation: 5298.6 feet (1615 meters)and may not be representative of other areas, especially along and east of the Sandia and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weatherprediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead todata which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these shouldnot be used.The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subjectto change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directedto one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.DEFINITIONS:CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the energy available for convective development, also known as the positive area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should convective activity develop.CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft, lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass, if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are produced by surface heating only.Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a "trigger temperature" for that level.Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain waves.K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158 and is reproduced in the following table: below -10 no or weak thermals -10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals 5 to 15 good soaring conditions 15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers 20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing probability of showers and thunderstorms above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstormsLapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate inversions. Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with positive values showing stable conditions.Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation. Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index are applied to these calculations.Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger temperature and the time of overdevelopment. Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus) or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud. Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests that little sunlight is reaching the ground. Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights: 1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists) where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more 2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists) where the wind speed no longer increases with heightPVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA) on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached and the time of overdevelopment.Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values are indicative of thermal lift.Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following: Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating >= 800 fpm Excellent >= 400 and< 800 fpm Good >= 200 and< 400 fpm Fair< 200 fpm Poor Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena, which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur: 1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover 2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts 3. initiation of widespread precipitationTime of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to reach the trigger temperature.Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000 feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough movements.042613
Soaring Forecast for Santa Fe NMNational Weather Service Albuquerque NM0717 MDT Sunday May 4 2025This forecast is for Sunday, May 4, 2025:If the trigger temperature of 59.6 F/15.3 C is reached...then Thermal Soaring Index....................... Good Maximum rate of lift........................ 583 ft/min (3.0 m/s) Maximum height of thermals.................. 16913 ft MSL (10463 ft AGL)Forecast maximum temperature................... 66.0 F/19.3 CTime of trigger temperature.................... 1030 MDTTime of overdevelopment........................ NoneMiddle/high clouds during soaring window....... Broken/overcast opaque middleSurface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or lessHeight of the -3 thermal index................. 11044 ft MSL (4594 ft AGL)Thermal soaring outlook for Monday 05/05....... GoodRemarks... Sunrise/Sunset.................... 06:08:41 / 19:53:34 MDTTotal possible sunshine........... 13 hr 44 min 52 sec (824 min 52 sec)Altitude of sun at 13:01:08 MDT... 70.59 degreesUpper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 05/04/2025 at 0600 MDTFreezing level.................. 11859 ft MSL (5409 ft AGL)Convective condensation level... 14448 ft MSL (7998 ft AGL)Lifted condensation level....... 15128 ft MSL (8677 ft AGL)Lifted index.................... -1.2K index......................... +21.9Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rateft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s-------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 50000 -58.9 -74.0 250 18 9 2.2 1.2 94.4 201.9 44.0 M M 45000 -55.7 -68.3 250 22 11 -0.1 -0.1 77.3 171.1 36.2 M M 40000 -58.4 -73.1 240 25 13 -1.8 -1.0 48.7 119.6 19.9 M M 38000 -57.3 -71.1 235 26 13 4.0 2.2 41.6 107.0 15.6 M M 36000 -54.9 -66.8 230 27 14 4.0 2.2 36.7 98.0 12.5 M M 34000 -52.0 -61.6 220 29 15 7.2 4.0 32.8 91.1 10.1 M M 32000 -47.6 -53.7 220 32 17 7.3 4.0 30.7 87.3 8.8 M M 30000 -43.0 -45.4 220 34 18 8.4 4.6 29.2 84.5 7.8 M M 29000 -40.5 -40.9 215 35 18 8.4 4.6 28.6 83.4 7.4 M M 28000 -38.0 -36.4 215 35 18 8.4 4.6 28.1 82.6 7.1 M M 27000 -34.8 -30.6 215 34 18 8.1 4.4 27.5 81.5 6.8 M M 26000 -32.4 -26.3 215 31 16 8.1 4.5 26.8 80.3 6.3 M M 25000 -30.0 -22.0 215 28 14 8.1 4.5 26.3 79.3 5.9 M M 24000 -27.6 -17.7 215 25 13 7.5 4.1 25.7 78.3 5.5 M M 23000 -25.4 -13.7 220 23 12 7.4 4.0 24.8 76.6 4.8 M M 22000 -23.2 -9.8 220 21 11 7.4 4.0 23.9 75.1 4.1 M M 21000 -21.0 -5.8 220 20 10 7.2 3.9 23.1 73.6 3.5 M M 20000 -18.8 -1.8 220 18 9 7.2 3.9 22.2 71.9 2.7 M M 19500 -17.8 -0.0 220 17 9 7.2 4.0 21.7 71.1 2.3 M M 19000 -16.7 1.9 215 16 8 7.3 4.0 21.3 70.4 2.0 M M 18500 -15.6 3.9 215 15 8 6.6 3.6 20.9 69.6 1.6 M M 18000 -14.7 5.5 215 13 7 6.6 3.6 20.3 68.6 1.1 M M 17500 -13.7 7.3 215 11 6 6.7 3.7 19.8 67.7 0.6 M M 17000 -12.7 9.1 220 10 5 6.9 3.8 19.3 66.8 0.1 M M 16500 -11.7 10.9 225 9 5 6.8 3.7 18.9 65.9 -0.3 950 4.8 16000 -10.6 12.9 225 9 4 8.6 4.7 18.5 65.3 -0.7 902 4.6 15500 -9.4 15.1 225 9 4 8.5 4.7 18.3 65.0 -0.9 850 4.3 15000 -8.2 17.2 225 9 4 8.5 4.7 18.1 64.6 -1.2 798 4.1 14500 -6.9 19.6 220 9 5 8.5 4.7 17.9 64.2 -1.4 746 3.8 14000 -5.7 21.7 215 10 5 8.4 4.6 17.7 63.8 -1.6 694 3.5 13500 -4.4 24.1 205 10 5 8.4 4.6 17.5 63.4 -1.9 642 3.3 13000 -3.2 26.2 200 11 6 8.5 4.7 17.3 63.1 -2.1 590 3.0 12500 -1.9 28.6 190 12 6 8.6 4.7 17.1 62.7 -2.3 537 2.7 12000 -0.6 30.9 185 13 7 8.5 4.7 16.9 62.4 -2.5 484 2.5 11500 0.6 33.1 175 14 7 8.0 4.4 16.6 62.0 -2.7 433 2.2 11000 2.4 36.3 165 16 8 7.6 4.2 16.3 61.4 -3.1 355 1.8 10500 3.5 38.3 155 16 8 7.6 4.2 15.9 60.7 -3.5 308 1.6 10250 4.1 39.4 155 16 8 7.8 4.3 15.8 60.4 -3.6 283 1.4 10000 4.7 40.5 150 16 8 7.4 4.1 15.6 60.1 -3.8 259 1.3 9750 5.2 41.4 150 16 8 7.3 4.0 15.4 59.8 -4.0 235 1.2 9500 5.7 42.3 145 16 8 7.3 4.0 15.2 59.4 -4.2 212 1.1 9250 6.3 43.3 145 16 8 7.4 4.0 15.1 59.1 -4.4 188 1.0 9000 6.8 44.2 140 16 8 7.0 3.8 14.9 58.7 -4.6 165 0.8 8750 7.3 45.1 140 16 8 6.6 3.6 14.6 58.3 -4.9 143 0.7 8500 7.8 46.0 140 15 8 6.9 3.8 14.4 57.9 -5.1 121 0.6 8250 8.3 46.9 140 15 8 5.8 3.2 14.2 57.5 -5.4 99 0.5 8000 8.6 47.5 135 14 7 4.5 2.5 13.8 56.8 -5.8 81 0.4 7750 9.0 48.2 130 13 7 4.6 2.5 13.4 56.1 -6.2 63 0.3 7500 9.3 48.7 130 12 6 4.2 2.3 13.0 55.4 -6.6 46 0.2 7250 9.6 49.3 125 11 6 4.6 2.6 12.6 54.6 -7.0 29 0.1 7000 9.8 49.6 120 9 4 -2.0 -1.1 12.0 53.7 -7.6 16 0.1 6750 9.2 48.6 115 7 3 -14.7 -8.1 10.7 51.2 -9.0 28 0.1 6500 8.5 47.3 105 4 2 8.4 4.6 9.3 48.7 -10.4 40 0.2 * * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * * 05/04/2025 at 0900 MDT | 05/04/2025 at 1200 MDT |CAPE... +10.3 LI... +0.6 | CAPE... +223.2 LI... -1.5CINH... -16.8 K Index... +24.7 | CINH... -6.1 K Index... +26.7 |Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rateft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft-------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 50000 -58.2 -72.8 235 15 8 2.3 1.3 | -57.8 -72.0 215 16 8 1.9 1.0 45000 -54.7 -66.5 230 20 10 0.4 0.2 | -55.0 -67.0 210 22 11 -1.2 -0.6 40000 -57.4 -71.3 225 18 9 -1.7 -1.0 | -56.7 -70.1 185 23 12 -1.1 -0.6 38000 -56.9 -70.4 220 23 12 2.6 1.4 | -56.4 -69.5 175 27 14 1.7 0.9 36000 -55.3 -67.5 210 33 17 2.6 1.4 | -55.4 -67.7 175 33 17 1.7 0.9 34000 -53.1 -63.6 205 38 20 7.3 4.0 | -53.5 -64.3 170 38 20 8.6 4.7 32000 -48.6 -55.5 200 30 15 7.4 4.1 | -48.3 -54.9 170 37 19 8.5 4.7 30000 -44.0 -47.2 185 25 13 9.1 5.0 | -43.3 -45.9 170 36 18 8.4 4.6 29000 -41.2 -42.2 185 26 13 9.1 5.0 | -40.7 -41.3 165 35 18 8.4 4.6 28000 -37.8 -36.0 180 27 14 9.1 5.0 | -37.6 -35.7 165 35 18 8.4 4.6 27000 -35.1 -31.2 180 28 14 8.4 4.6 | -35.1 -31.2 170 34 18 7.8 4.3 26000 -32.6 -26.7 180 27 14 8.5 4.6 | -32.8 -27.0 170 33 17 7.9 4.3 25000 -30.1 -22.2 185 27 14 8.5 4.7 | -30.5 -22.9 175 32 17 7.9 4.3 24000 -27.6 -17.7 185 26 13 7.9 4.3 | -28.1 -18.6 180 31 16 7.3 4.0 23000 -25.3 -13.5 185 27 14 7.8 4.3 | -26.0 -14.8 180 31 16 7.1 3.9 22000 -23.0 -9.4 185 28 14 7.8 4.3 | -23.9 -11.0 185 31 16 7.1 3.9 21000 -20.7 -5.3 180 28 14 7.2 4.0 | -21.8 -7.2 190 31 16 7.7 4.2 20000 -18.6 -1.5 180 27 14 7.3 4.0 | -19.5 -3.1 185 31 16 7.7 4.2 19500 -17.5 0.5 180 26 13 7.3 4.0 | -18.3 -0.9 185 31 16 7.7 4.2 19000 -16.4 2.5 180 25 13 7.4 4.1 | -17.2 1.0 185 31 16 7.6 4.2 18500 -15.4 4.3 180 24 13 6.5 3.6 | -16.0 3.2 185 31 16 8.0 4.4 18000 -14.4 6.1 180 22 11 6.3 3.5 | -14.9 5.2 185 31 16 8.2 4.5 17500 -13.5 7.7 175 20 10 6.3 3.5 | -13.7 7.3 185 31 16 8.2 4.5 17000 -12.6 9.3 175 17 9 6.1 3.4 | -12.5 9.5 180 31 16 8.4 4.6 16500 -11.7 10.9 165 15 8 6.2 3.4 | -11.3 11.7 180 31 16 8.5 4.7 16000 -10.8 12.6 160 14 7 6.0 3.3 | -10.1 13.8 180 31 16 7.4 4.0 15500 -9.9 14.2 150 15 8 6.0 3.3 | -9.1 15.6 180 31 16 7.4 4.1 15000 -9.0 15.8 140 16 8 6.6 3.6 | -8.0 17.6 180 30 16 7.0 3.9 14500 -8.0 17.6 140 17 9 6.8 3.8 | -7.0 19.4 175 30 15 6.8 3.7 14000 -7.0 19.4 135 19 10 7.4 4.1 | -6.0 21.2 175 29 15 6.7 3.7 13500 -5.8 21.6 140 20 10 8.1 4.5 | -5.1 22.8 170 28 14 6.5 3.6 13000 -4.7 23.5 145 21 11 8.2 4.5 | -4.1 24.6 165 27 14 6.6 3.6 12500 -3.4 25.9 145 21 11 8.4 4.6 | -3.1 26.4 160 26 13 7.1 3.9 12000 -1.6 29.1 155 21 11 7.8 4.3 | -2.1 28.2 155 25 13 7.2 4.0 11500 -0.5 31.1 160 21 11 7.8 4.3 | -0.3 31.5 150 24 13 7.5 4.1 11000 0.7 33.3 165 21 11 8.8 4.8 | 0.8 33.4 145 25 13 8.3 4.6 10500 2.1 35.8 170 21 11 8.8 4.8 | 2.1 35.8 145 24 13 8.2 4.5 10250 2.7 36.9 170 20 10 8.3 4.6 | 2.6 36.7 140 24 12 7.4 4.1 10000 3.3 37.9 170 20 10 8.3 4.6 | 3.2 37.8 140 24 12 8.8 4.8 9750 3.9 39.0 170 19 10 8.4 4.6 | 3.9 39.0 135 24 12 9.7 5.3 9500 4.6 40.3 170 18 9 8.6 4.7 | 4.6 40.3 135 24 12 9.7 5.3 9250 5.2 41.4 175 18 9 7.8 4.3 | 5.3 41.5 135 24 12 8.7 4.8 9000 5.7 42.3 170 16 8 7.1 3.9 | 6.0 42.8 130 23 12 8.7 4.8 8750 6.2 43.2 170 15 8 7.3 4.0 | 6.7 44.1 130 23 12 9.8 5.4 8500 6.8 44.2 165 14 7 7.3 4.0 | 7.4 45.3 130 23 12 9.3 5.1 8250 7.3 45.1 165 13 7 6.9 3.8 | 8.1 46.6 130 23 12 10.1 5.5 8000 7.8 46.0 165 12 6 7.8 4.3 | 8.9 48.0 125 23 12 10.3 5.7 7750 8.4 47.1 160 11 6 8.9 4.9 | 9.6 49.3 125 23 12 9.8 5.4 7500 9.1 48.4 160 11 5 8.2 4.5 | 10.3 50.5 125 22 11 10.1 5.6 7250 9.6 49.3 155 10 5 6.2 3.4 | 11.1 52.0 125 22 11 10.6 5.8 7000 10.1 50.2 155 9 5 8.5 4.7 | 12.0 53.6 125 22 11 16.3 8.9 6750 11.0 51.8 155 8 4 15.2 8.3 | 13.6 56.5 120 20 10 25.3 13.9 6500 11.9 53.4 155 7 4 2.6 1.5 | 15.2 59.4 120 18 9 9.5 5.2 05/04/2025 at 1500 MDT | 05/04/2025 at 1800 MDT |CAPE... +267.8 LI... -1.3 | CAPE... +277.4 LI... -2.6CINH... -9.6 K Index... +26.6 | CINH... -110.1 K Index... +20.1 |Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rateft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft-------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 50000 -58.1 -72.6 215 16 8 1.2 0.6 | -58.2 -72.8 220 21 11 0.6 0.3 45000 -56.4 -69.5 205 22 11 -0.3 -0.1 | -57.3 -71.1 210 29 15 0.7 0.4 40000 -60.9 -77.6 175 28 14 -3.0 -1.6 | -56.0 -68.8 190 34 17 0.9 0.5 38000 -59.6 -75.3 165 29 15 6.1 3.3 | -54.6 -66.3 165 40 21 3.2 1.7 36000 -55.9 -68.6 155 29 15 6.1 3.3 | -52.7 -62.9 145 57 29 3.2 1.7 34000 -51.9 -61.4 150 30 15 8.6 4.7 | -50.4 -58.7 135 72 37 7.2 4.0 32000 -46.7 -52.1 155 30 16 8.6 4.7 | -46.2 -51.2 140 65 33 7.0 3.9 30000 -41.6 -42.9 160 31 16 8.4 4.6 | -42.1 -43.8 140 56 29 5.7 3.1 29000 -39.1 -38.4 165 31 16 8.4 4.6 | -40.3 -40.5 145 50 26 5.8 3.2 28000 -36.0 -32.8 170 32 17 8.4 4.6 | -38.6 -37.5 155 43 22 5.8 3.2 27000 -33.5 -28.3 175 34 17 7.8 4.3 | -36.4 -33.5 165 37 19 7.5 4.1 26000 -31.2 -24.2 180 35 18 7.8 4.3 | -33.9 -29.0 170 36 19 8.2 4.5 25000 -28.9 -20.0 180 36 18 7.8 4.3 | -31.5 -24.7 170 35 18 8.2 4.5 24000 -26.5 -15.7 185 37 19 7.5 4.1 | -29.0 -20.2 175 34 18 7.6 4.2 23000 -24.4 -11.9 185 37 19 7.2 4.1 | -27.0 -16.6 180 36 19 6.8 3.7 22000 -22.3 -8.1 185 37 19 7.2 4.0 | -24.9 -12.8 185 39 20 6.9 3.8 21000 -20.1 -4.2 185 37 19 7.2 4.0 | -22.9 -9.2 190 41 21 7.2 3.9 20000 -18.0 -0.4 190 36 19 7.2 4.0 | -20.8 -5.4 195 39 20 7.3 4.0 19500 -16.9 1.6 190 36 18 7.3 4.0 | -19.7 -3.5 195 38 20 7.3 4.0 19000 -15.9 3.4 190 36 18 7.3 4.0 | -18.7 -1.7 200 37 19 7.3 4.0 18500 -14.8 5.4 190 35 18 7.1 3.9 | -17.6 0.3 205 37 19 7.9 4.3 18000 -13.8 7.2 190 35 18 6.9 3.8 | -16.3 2.7 205 36 19 8.3 4.5 17500 -12.8 9.0 190 34 18 6.9 3.8 | -15.1 4.8 205 36 18 8.3 4.5 17000 -11.8 10.8 190 34 17 6.8 3.8 | -13.7 7.3 205 35 18 9.8 5.4 16500 -10.8 12.6 190 33 17 6.9 3.8 | -12.3 9.9 205 35 18 9.7 5.3 16000 -9.8 14.4 185 33 17 6.8 3.7 | -10.8 12.6 205 34 18 9.8 5.4 15500 -8.8 16.2 185 32 16 6.8 3.8 | -9.4 15.1 205 34 18 9.8 5.4 15000 -7.8 18.0 185 31 16 7.2 3.9 | -7.9 17.8 205 34 17 9.7 5.3 14500 -6.7 19.9 180 31 16 7.7 4.2 | -6.4 20.5 205 33 17 9.6 5.3 14000 -5.6 21.9 180 30 15 7.6 4.2 | -5.0 23.0 205 33 17 9.6 5.3 13500 -4.5 23.9 175 29 15 7.3 4.0 | -3.6 25.5 205 32 16 9.3 5.1 13000 -3.4 25.9 175 29 15 7.4 4.0 | -2.2 28.0 205 31 16 9.3 5.1 12500 -2.3 27.9 170 28 15 7.4 4.0 | -0.9 30.4 205 30 15 8.6 4.7 12000 -0.7 30.7 165 27 14 8.1 4.4 | 0.3 32.5 200 28 15 8.9 4.9 11500 0.5 32.9 160 28 14 6.8 3.7 | 2.0 35.6 200 26 13 7.4 4.0 11000 1.3 34.3 155 27 14 7.1 3.9 | 3.0 37.4 195 23 12 6.9 3.8 10500 2.5 36.5 150 27 14 7.9 4.4 | 3.9 39.0 190 21 11 5.8 3.2 10250 3.0 37.4 150 27 14 6.5 3.6 | 4.3 39.7 185 20 10 5.2 2.8 10000 3.5 38.3 145 27 14 7.6 4.2 | 4.6 40.3 180 18 9 4.8 2.6 9750 4.2 39.6 145 27 14 9.0 4.9 | 4.9 40.8 175 16 8 4.4 2.4 9500 4.8 40.6 140 27 14 8.9 4.9 | 5.2 41.4 165 15 8 4.8 2.7 9250 5.4 41.7 140 28 14 8.0 4.4 | 5.5 41.9 155 14 7 3.6 2.0 9000 6.0 42.8 140 27 14 8.2 4.5 | 5.7 42.3 150 12 6 4.8 2.6 8750 6.7 44.1 135 27 14 9.4 5.2 | 6.2 43.2 145 11 6 6.9 3.8 8500 7.3 45.1 135 27 14 9.3 5.1 | 6.6 43.9 135 11 6 6.5 3.6 8250 8.0 46.4 130 27 14 8.6 4.7 | 7.1 44.8 125 10 5 6.1 3.3 8000 8.6 47.5 130 26 13 8.6 4.7 | 7.5 45.5 120 10 5 7.2 3.9 7750 9.3 48.7 130 25 13 9.4 5.1 | 8.1 46.6 115 9 5 8.7 4.8 7500 10.0 50.0 130 25 13 9.1 5.0 | 8.7 47.7 105 9 5 8.0 4.4 7250 10.7 51.3 125 24 12 9.3 5.1 | 9.4 48.9 100 9 4 9.3 5.1 7000 11.4 52.5 125 24 12 11.8 6.5 | 10.2 50.4 090 8 4 11.8 6.5 6750 12.4 54.3 120 21 11 15.7 8.6 | 11.0 51.8 085 8 4 12.2 6.7 6500 13.4 56.1 115 18 9 8.9 4.9 | 11.9 53.4 075 7 4 12.6 6.9________________________________________________________________________________This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial issuance. The information contained herein is based on numerical weather predictionmodel data for the Santa Fe County Municipal Airport site in Santa Fe, New Mexico at North Latitude: 35.61097 deg West Longitude: 106.61097 deg Elevation: 6279.5 feet (1936.0 meters)and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandiaand Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weatherprediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead todata which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these shouldnot be used.The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subjectto change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directedto one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.DEFINITIONS:CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the energy available for convective development, also known as the positive area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should convective activity develop.CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft, lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass, if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are produced by surface heating only.Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a "trigger temperature" for that level.Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain waves.K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158 and is reproduced in the following table: below -10 no or weak thermals -10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals 5 to 15 good soaring conditions 15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers 20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing probability of showers and thunderstorms above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstormsLapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate inversions. Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with positive values showing stable conditions.Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation. Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index are applied to these calculations.Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger temperature and the time of overdevelopment. Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus) or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud. Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests that little sunlight is reaching the ground. Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights: 1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists) where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more 2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists) where the wind speed no longer increases with heightPVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA) on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached and the time of overdevelopment.Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values are indicative of thermal lift.Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following: Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating >= 800 fpm Excellent >= 400 and< 800 fpm Good >= 200 and< 400 fpm Fair< 200 fpm Poor Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena, which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur: 1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover 2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts 3. initiation of widespread precipitationTime of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to reach the trigger temperature.Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000 feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough movements.042613
Albuquerque (KABX) Radar Velocity Azimuth Display Wind Profile (Observed)![]() | Albuquerque Vertical Wind Profile (Forecast from Rapid Refresh Model)Lowest 2000 ft Above Ground Level![]() Vertical Wind Profile (for lowest 2000 ft) |
Albuquerque Vertical Wind Profiler at Double Eagle Airport (Real-time observations)Note: The Wind Profiler is moved to Balloon Fiesta Park during Balloon Fiesta![]() Double Eagle (Albuquerque) Vertical Wind Profiler | |
![]() Map of Surface Observations (Including Winds) Once the map is loaded, click on an observation site for more details. |
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