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Venezuelan presidential crisis

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Political crisis in Venezuela from 2019 to 2023

Venezuelan presidential crisis
Part of thecrisis in Venezuela
Juan Guaidó (left) andNicolás Maduro (right)
Date10 January 2019 (2019-01-10) – 5 January 2023 (2023-01-05) (3 years, 11 months and 26 days)
Location
Caused by
Goals
  • End of Maduro's government
  • Transition government
  • Free and fair presidential elections
MethodsProtests, support campaigns, foreign diplomatic pressure andinternational sanctions
Resulted inStatus quo
Parties
Lead figures
Part of aseries on the
Crisis in Venezuela
Events

People

Organizations

In popular culture
flagVenezuela portal

TheVenezuelan presidential crisis was a political crisis concerning the leadership and the legitimatepresident of Venezuela between 2019 and 2023, with thenation and the world divided in support forNicolás Maduro orJuan Guaidó.

Venezuela is engulfed in a political and economic crisis which has led to more than seven million people leaving the country since 2015. The process and results of the2018 presidential elections were widely disputed.[1][2] The opposition-majorityNational Assembly declared Maduro a usurper of the presidency on the day of hissecond inauguration and disclosed a plan to set forth its president Guaidó as the succeedingacting president of the country under article 233 of theVenezuelan Constitution.[2][5] A week later, theSupreme Tribunal of Justice declared that the presidency of the National Assembly was the "usurper" of authority and declared the body to be unconstitutional.[2] Minutes after Maduro took the oath as president, theOrganization of American States (OAS) approved a resolution in a special session of its Permanent Council declaring Maduro's presidency illegitimate and urging new elections.[6] Special meetings of the OAS on 24 January and in theUnited Nations Security Council on 26 January were held but no consensus was reached.Secretary-General of the United NationsAntónio Guterres called for dialogue.[7] During the 49thGeneral Assembly of the Organization of American States on 27 June, Guaidó's presidency was recognized by the organization.[8] Guaidó and the National Assembly declared he was acting president and swore himself in on 23 January.[4]

At his peak, Guaidó wasrecognized as legitimate by about 60 countries, despite never running as president; Maduro by about 20 countries.[9][10][11] However, Guaidó's international support waned over time.[12] Internationally, support followed geopolitical lines, with Russia, China, Cuba, Iran, Syria, and Turkey supporting Maduro, while the majority ofWestern andLatin American countries supported Guaidó as acting president.[9][13][14] Support for Guaidó began to decline when amilitary uprising attempt in April 2019 failed to materialize.[15][16] Following the failed uprising, representatives of Guaidó and Maduro began mediation, with the assistance of the Norwegian Centre for Conflict Resolution.[17] After the second meeting in Norway, no deal was reached.[18] In July 2019, negotiations started again inBarbados with representatives from both sides.[19][20][21] In September, Guaidó announced the end of dialogue following a forty-day absence by the Maduro government as a protest against therecent sanctions by the United States. In March 2020, theUnited States proposed a transitional government that would exclude both Maduro and Guaidó from the presidency.[22] U.S. Secretary of StateMike Pompeo said that sanctions did not apply to humanitarian aid during thecoronavirus pandemic health emergency and that the United States would lift all sanctions if Maduro agreed to organize elections that did not include himself.[23] Guaidó accepted the proposal,[24] while Venezuela's foreign minister,Jorge Arreaza, rejected it.[25]

By January 2020, efforts led by Guaidó to create a transitional government had been unsuccessful and Maduro continued to control Venezuela's state institutions.[26][27][28] In January 2021, theEuropean Union stopped recognizing Guaidó as president, but still did not recognize Maduro as the legitimate president;[29] theEuropean Parliament reaffirmed its recognition of Guaidó as president,[30][31] and the EU threatened with furthersanctions.[29] After the announcement of regional elections in 2021, Guaidó announced a "national salvation agreement" and proposed the negotiation with Maduro with a schedule for free and fair elections, with international support and observers, in exchange for lifting international sanctions.[32]

In December 2022, three of the four main opposition political parties (Justice First,Democratic Action andA New Era) backed and approved a reform to dissolve the interim government and create a commission of five members to manage foreign assets, as deputies sought a united strategy ahead of the2024 Venezuelan presidential election,[33][34] stating that the interim government had failed to achieve the goals it had set.[35]

Background

[edit]
See also:Crisis in Venezuela,2017 Venezuelan constitutional crisis, and2017 Venezuelan protests

Since 2010, Venezuela has been suffering a socioeconomic crisis underNicolás Maduro and briefly under his predecessorHugo Chávez, as rampantcrime,hyperinflation andshortages as a result of sanctions, diminish the quality of life.[36][37] Javier Corrales stated in a 2020Journal of Democracy that Maduro "presided over one of the most devastating national economic crises seen anywhere in modern times."[38] As a result of discontent with the government, the opposition was elected to hold the majority in theNational Assembly for the first time since 1999 following the2015 parliamentary election.[39] After the election, thelame duck National Assembly consisting ofBolivarian officials filled theSupreme Tribunal of Justice, the highest court in Venezuela, with Maduro allies.[39][40] The tribunal stripped three opposition lawmakers of their National Assembly seats in early 2016, citing alleged "irregularities" in their elections, thereby preventing an oppositionsupermajority which would have been able to challenge President Maduro.[39]

In January 2016, the National Assembly declared a "health humanitarian crisis" given the "serious shortage of medicines, medical supplies and deterioration of humanitarian infrastructure", asking Maduro's government to "guarantee immediate access to the list of essential medicines that are basic and indispensable and that must be accessible at all times."[41]

External videos
video iconHuman Rights Watch multimedia report regarding the 2017 protests onYouTube

The tribunal approved several actions by Maduro and granted him more powers in 2017.[39] As protests mounted against Maduro, he called for aconstituent assembly that would draft a new constitution to replace the1999 Venezuela Constitution created under Chávez.[42] According to Rafael Villa – writing inDefence Studies in 2022 – "Maduro's leadership [was] not consensual" and among the changes he had made to overcome his "political fragility" was promoting an excessive number of officers within the military, and the election of a 2017 Constituent National Assembly to replace the opposition-ledNational Assembly, which was elected in 2015.[43][44] Many countries considered these actions a bid by Maduro to stay in power indefinitely,[45] and over 40 countries stated that they would not recognize the2017 Constituent National Assembly (ANC).[46][47] TheDemocratic Unity Roundtable, the main opposition to the incumbent ruling party, boycotted the election, saying that the ANC was "a trick to keep [the incumbent ruling party] in power."[48] Since the opposition did not participate in the election, theGreat Patriotic Pole coalition and its supporters, including the incumbentUnited Socialist Party of Venezuela, won all seats in the assembly by default.[49] On 8 August 2017, the ANC declared itself to be the government branch with supreme power in Venezuela, banning the opposition-led National Assembly from performing actions that would interfere with the assembly while continuing to pass measures in "support and solidarity" with President Maduro, effectively stripping the National Assembly of all its powers.[50]

Maduro disavowed the National Assembly in 2017.[51][52] As of 2018, some considered the National Assembly the only "legitimate" institution left in the country[a] and human rights organizations said there were no independent institutional checks on presidential power.[b]

2018 election and calls for transitional government

[edit]
Main articles:2018 Venezuelan presidential election andSecond inauguration of Nicolás Maduro
Presidents ofCuba,Bolivia andEl Salvador greet Maduro at Maduro's second inauguration on 10 January 2019

In February 2018, Maduro called for presidential elections four months before the prescribed date.[66] He was declared the winner in May 2018 after multiple major opposition parties were banned from participating, among other irregularities; many said the elections were invalid.[67] Some politicians both internally and internationally said Maduro was not legitimately elected[68] and considered him an ineffective dictator.[69] In the months leading up to his 10 January 2019 inauguration, Maduro was pressured to step down by nations and bodies including theLima Group (excluding Mexico), the United States and theOAS; this pressure was increased after the newNational Assembly of Venezuela was sworn in on 5 January 2019.[70][71] Between the May 2018 presidential election and Maduro's inauguration, there were calls to establish a transitional government.[72][73]

Signs of impending crisis showed when aSupreme Tribunal Justice and Electoral Justice seen as close to Maduro defected to the United States just a few days before the 10 January 2019second inauguration of Nicolás Maduro. The justice,Christian Zerpa [es], said that Maduro was "incompetent" and "illegitimate".[70][71][74] Minutes after Maduro took the oath as president of Venezuela, the OAS approved a resolution in a special session of its Permanent Council declaring Maduro's presidency illegitimate and urging new elections.[6] Maduro's election was supported by Turkey, Russia, China, and the Bolivarian Alliance for the Peoples of Our America (ALBA).[75][76][77]

In December 2018, Guaidó had traveled to Washington, D.C., met with OAS Secretary GeneralLuis Almagro. On 14 January 2019, he traveled to Colombia for a Lima Group meeting, in which Maduro's mandate was rejected. According to an article inEl País, the January Lima Group meeting and the stance taken byCanadian Minister of Foreign AffairsChrystia Freeland were key.El País describesDonald Trump's election—coinciding with the election of conservative presidentsin Colombia andBrazil, along with deteriorating conditions in Venezuela—as "a perfect storm", with decisions influenced by U.S. officials includingVice PresidentMike Pence,Secretary of StatePompeo,National Security AdvisorJohn Bolton and legislatorsMario Díaz-Balart andMarco Rubio. VenezuelansCarlos Vecchio,Julio Borges andGustavo Tarre were consulted and the Trump administration decision to back Guaidó formed on 22 January, according toEl País. Díaz-Balart said that the decision was the result of two years of planning.[78]

Justification for the challenge

[edit]
A June 2018 video withUnited Nations High Commissioner for Human RightsZeid bin Ra'ad discussing thecrisis in Venezuela

The Venezuelan opposition says its actions are based on the1999 Constitution of the Bolivarian Republic of Venezuela, specifically Articles 233, 333 and 350.[79]

The first paragraph of Article 233 states that "when the president-elect is absolutely absent before taking office, a new election shall take place [...] And while the president is elected and takes office, the interim president shall be the president of the National Assembly."[80][c][d]

Article 333 calls for citizens to restore and enforce the Constitution if it is not followed.[80][c] Article 350 calls for citizens to "disown any regime, legislation or authority that violates democratic values, principles and guarantees or encroaches upon human rights."[82][83][c]

Article 233 was invoked after the death ofHugo Chávez in 2013, which took place soon after his inauguration, andextraordinary elections were called within thirty days.[84][85] Invoked by the National Assembly, Guaidó was declaredacting president until elections could be held; Diego A. Zambrano, an assistant professor of law atStanford Law School, says that "Venezuelan lawyers disagree on the best reading of this provision. Some argue Guaidó can serve longer if the electoral process is scheduled within a reasonable time."[86] The National Assembly announced that it will designate a committee to appoint a newNational Electoral Council, in anticipation of free elections.[87]

2019 events

[edit]

Inauguration of Maduro

[edit]

In January 2019,Leopoldo López'sPopular Will party attained the leadership of theNational Assembly of Venezuela according to a rotation agreement made by opposition parties, namingJuan Guaidó aspresident of the legislative body.[88]

Juan Guaidó surrounded by members of the opposition during the public assembly on 11 January 2019

Guaidó began motions to form aprovisional government shortly after assuming his new role on 5 January 2019, stating that whether or not Maduro began his new term on the 10th, the country would not have a legitimately elected president in either case,[89][non-primary source needed] calling for soldiers to "enforce the Constitution"[90][non-primary source needed] Signs of impending crisis showed when aSupreme Court Justice and Electoral Justice seen as close to Maduro defected to the United States just a few days before the 10 January 2019second inauguration of Nicolás Maduro. The justice,Christian Zerpa [es], said that Maduro was "incompetent" and "illegitimate".[91][92][74] Minutes after Maduro took the oath as president of Venezuela, the OAS approved a resolution in a special session of its Permanent Council declaring Maduro's presidency illegitimate and urging new elections.[93] Maduro's election was supported by Turkey, Russia, China, and the Bolivarian Alliance for the Peoples of Our America (ALBA).[76][77]

Guaidó announced a public assembly, referred to as anopen cabildo, on 11 January, a rally in the streets of Caracas, where Guaidó spoke on behalf of the National Assembly saying that the country had fallen into ade facto dictatorship and had no leader.[94][95] Guaidó said that the National Assembly would "take the responsibility that touches us".[95] Leaders of other political parties, trade unions, women, and students also spoke at the rally.[96][non-primary source needed] The opposition considered assuming the powers of the executive branch legitimate based on constitutional processes; The National Assembly specifically invoked Articles 233, 333, and 350 of the Constitution.[97][96] Guaidó announcednationwide protests to be held on 23 January—the same day as theremoval of Marcos Pérez Jiménez in 1958—using a slogan chant of¡Sí se puede!.[97][98] The National Assembly worked with the coalitionFrente Amplio Venezuela Libre to create a plan for the demonstrations, organizing a unified national force.[99] On 11 January, plans to offer incentives for the armed forces to disavow Maduro were announced.[100]

Guaidó declared acting president

[edit]
Agreement approved by the National Assembly to declare the usurpation of the presidency by Nicolás Maduro on 15 January 2019.

During Guaidó's speech, he said he was "willing to assume command ... only possible with the help of Venezuelans".[5] Following Guaidó's speech, the National Assembly released a press statement saying that Guaidó had assumed the role of acting president. The Assembly retracted the statement later published another clarifying Guaidó's position as "willing to assume command ... only possible with the help of Venezuelans".[5]

Maduro's response was to call the opposition a group of "little boys", describing Guaidó as "immature". The Minister for Prison Services,Iris Varela, threatened that she had picked out a prison cell for Guaidó and asked him to be quick in naming his cabinet so she could prepare prison cells for them as well.[101]

The president of theSupreme Tribunal of Justice of Venezuela in exile, based in Panama, wrote to Guaidó, requesting him to become acting president of Venezuela.[102] OAS Secretary-GeneralLuis Almagro was the first to give international official support to Guaidó's claim, tweeting "We welcome the assumption of Juan Guaidó as interim president of Venezuela in accordance with Article 233 of the Political Constitution. You have our support, that of the international community and of the people of Venezuela."[97] Later that day, Brazil and Colombia gave their support to Guaidó as acting president of Venezuela.[103]

Guaidó briefly detained, plans continue

[edit]
See also:2019 Venezuelan protests

Guaidó was detained on 13 January by theBolivarian Intelligence Service (SEBIN)[104] and released 45 minutes later.[105] The SEBIN agents who intercepted his car and took him into custody were fired.[106][107] The Information Minister,Jorge Rodríguez, said the agents did not have instructions and the arrest was orchestrated by Guaidó as a "media stunt" to gain popularity;BBC News correspondents said that it appeared to be a genuine ambush to send a message to the opposition.[106] Almagro condemned the arrest, which he called a "kidnapping", while Pompeo referred to it as an "arbitrary detention".[108] After his detention, Guaidó said that Rodríguez's admission that the SEBIN agents acted independently showed that the government had lost control of its security forces; he calledMiraflores (the presidential palace) "desperate",[106][108] and stated: "There is one legitimate president of the National Assembly and of all Venezuela."[109]

On 15 January 2019, the National Assembly approved legislation to work with dozens of foreign countries to request that these nations freeze Maduro administration bank accounts.[110] Guaidó wrote a 15 January 2019 opinion piece inThe Washington Post entitled "Maduro is a usurper. It's time to restoredemocracy in Venezuela"; he outlined Venezuela's erosion of democracy and his reasoning for the need to replace Maduro on an interim basis according to Venezuela's constitution.[111]

On 21 January, over two dozen National Guardsmen participated in a mutiny against Maduro with the assistance of residents in the area during the early morning hours. Government forces repressed the protestors tear gas and the officers were later captured.[112][113] During the night, over thirty communities in Caracas and surrounding areas participated in strong protests against the Maduro government.[114] The strongest protests occurred in San José de Cotiza, where the rebel National Guardsmen were arrested, with demonstrations spreading throughout nearby communities, withcacerolazos heard throughout Caracas.[114] One woman who was confused for a protester was killed in San José de Cotiza by members of acolectivo, who stole her phone.[115] On 22 January, Vice PresidentMike Pence called Guaidó personally and assured him that the United States would support his declaration.[116]

Guaidó declares himself acting president

[edit]
23 January 2019 march in Caracas

On 23 January, Guaidó swore to serve as acting president.[4] On that morning, Guaidó tweeted, "The world's eyes are on our homeland today."[117][118] On that day, millions of Venezuelans[119] demonstrated across the country and world in support of Guaidó,[120][121] with a few hundred supporting Maduro outside Miraflores.[122][123] At one end of the blocked street was a stage where Guaidó spoke and took an oath to serve as interim president.[124][125][126] Minutes after his speech, the United States announced that it recognized Guaidó as interim president while presidentsIván Duque of Colombia andJair Bolsonaro of Brazil, beside deputy Canadian prime ministerChrystia Freeland, announced at theWorld Economic Forum that they too recognized him.[116]

TheVenezuelan National Guard used tear gas on gathering crowds at other locations,[124] andblocked protesters from arriving.[117] Some protests grew violent,[127] and at least 13 people were killed.[128]Michelle Bachelet of theUnited Nations requested a UN investigation into the security forces' use of violence.[129]

Mike Pence meets with Carlos Vecchio,Julio Borges, and other Washington-based Venezuelan representatives on 29 January 2019

Guaidó began to appoint individuals in late January to serve as aides or diplomats, includingCarlos Vecchio as the Guaidó administration's diplomatic envoy to the US,[130]Gustavo Tarre to the OAS,[131] andJulio Borges to represent Venezuela in theLima Group.[132] He announced that the National Assembly had approved a commission to implement a plan for the reconstruction of Venezuela,[133][134] calledPlan País (Plan for the Country),[135] and he offered anAmnesty law, approved by the National Assembly, for military personnel and authorities who help to "restore constitutional order".[136][137] TheStatute Governing the Transition to Democracy was approved by the National Assembly on 5 February.[138]

As of July 2019, the National Assembly had approved Juan Guaidó's appointment has named 37 ambassadors and foreign representatives to international organizations and nations abroad.[139][140][141][142]

Organization/countryOfficial
OASGustavo Tarre Briceño
Inter-American Development BankAlejandro Plaz[e]
Lima GroupJulio Borges
AndorraCarmen Alguindingue
ArgentinaElisa Trotta Gamus (2019–2020)[145]
AustraliaAlejandro Martínez
BelgiumMary Ponte [es]
BrazilMaría Teresa Belandria
BulgariaEstefanía Meléndez [es]
CanadaOrlando Viera Blanco
ChileGuarequena Gutiérrez [es]
ColombiaVacant[f]
Costa RicaMaría Faría
Czech RepublicVacant[e]
DenmarkEnrique Ser Horst
Dominican RepublicEusebio Carlino
EcuadorRené de Sola
FranceIsadora Zubillaga
GermanyOtto Gebauer
GreeceEduardo Fernando Massieu
GuatemalaMaría Teresa Romero [es]
HondurasClaudio Sandoval
HungaryEnrique Alvarado
IsraelPynchas Brener
LuxembourgAngelina Jaffe
MaltaFelipe Zoghbi
MoroccoJosé Ignacio Guédez
NetherlandsGloria Notaro
PanamaFabiola Zavarce
ParaguayDavid Olsen
PeruCarlos Scull
PolandAna Medina
PortugalJosé Rafael Cotas
RomaniaMemo Mazzone
SpainAntonio Ecarri Bolívar [es]
SwedenLeón Poblete
 SwitzerlandMaría Alejandra Aristeguieta [es]
United KingdomVanessa Neumann
United StatesCarlos Vecchio

Maduro response

[edit]

Maduro accused the United States of backing a coup and said he would cut ties with them.[148] He said Guaidó's actions were part of a "well-written script from Washington" to create apuppet state of the United States,[149] and appealed to the American people in a 31 January video, asking them not to "convert Venezuela into another Vietnam".[150]

Maduro asked for dialogue with Guaidó, saying "if I have to go meet this boy in thePico Humboldt at three in the morning I am going, [...] if I have to go naked, I am going, [I believe] that today, sooner rather than later, the way is open for a reasonable, sincere dialogue".[151] He stated he would not leave the presidential office, saying that he was elected in compliance with the Venezuelan constitution.[152] With the two giving speeches to supporters at the same time, Guaidó replied to Maduro's call for dialogue, saying he would not initiate diplomatic talks with Maduro because he believed it would be a farce and fake diplomacy that could not achieve anything.[153]

On 18 February, Maduro's government expelled a group of Members of theEuropean Parliament that planned to meet Guaidó.[154] The expulsion was condemned by Guaidó as well asPablo Casado, president of theSpanish People's Party, and the Colombian government.[155] Maduro's Foreign MinisterJorge Arreaza defended the expulsions,[156] saying that the constitutional government of Venezuela "will not allow the European extreme right to disturb the peace and stability of the country with another of its gross interventionist actions."[157]

Humanitarian aid crisis

[edit]
Main article:2019 shipping of humanitarian aid to Venezuela
Venezuelan presidential crisis is located in Venezuela
Cúcuta
Colombia Cúcuta
Pacaraima
Brazil Pacaraima
Curaçao
Kingdom of the Netherlands Curaçao
Location of the proposed entry points for humanitarian aid.

Shortages in Venezuela have been present since 2007 during the presidency ofHugo Chávez.[158] In 2016, theNational Assembly of Venezuela declared a humanitarian crisis, asking Maduro's government to provide access to essential medicines and medical supplies.[41] Before the presidential crisis, the Maduro government denied several offers of aid, stating that there was not a humanitarian crisis and that such claims were used to justify foreign intervention.[159] Maduro's refusal of aid worsened the effects of Venezuela's crisis.[159] During the presidential crisis, Maduro initially refused aid, stating that Venezuela is not a country of "beggars".[160]

Guaidó made bringing humanitarian aid to the country a priority.[161] In early February, Maduro prevented the American-sponsored aid from entering Venezuela via Colombia,[161][162] and Venezuela's communications minister, Jorge Rodriguez, said there was a plot between Colombia, theCIA and exiled Venezuelan politicianJulio Borges to oust Maduro.[163] Humanitarian aid intended for Venezuela was also stockpiled on the Brazilian border,[164] and two indigenousPemon people were killed as they attempted to block military vehicles from entering the area, when members of armed forces loyal to Maduro fired upon them with live ammunition.[165][166][167]

Guaidó issued an ultimatum to the Venezuelan Armed Forces, stating that humanitarian aid would enter Venezuela on 23 February and that the armed forces "will have to decide if it will be on the side of the Venezuelans and the Constitution or the usurper".[168] Guaidó defied the restriction imposed by the Maduro administration on him leaving Venezuela, secretly crossed the border,[169] saying that with the help of the Venezuelan military,[170] and appeared at theVenezuela Aid Live concert in Cúcuta, Colombia on 22 February,[171] also to be present for theplanned delivery of humanitarian aid.[170][172] Testing Maduro's authority, he was met by presidentsIván Duque of Colombia,[171][173]Sebastián Piñera from Chile,[174] andMario Abdo Benítez from Paraguay,[175] as well as the OAS Secretary-GeneralLuis Almagro.[173]

On 23 February, trucks with humanitarian aid attempted to enter Venezuela from Brazil and Colombia;[176][177] the attempts failed, with only one truck able to deliver aid.[178] At the Colombia–Venezuela border, the caravans were tear-gassed or shot at with rubber bullets by Venezuelan personnel.[179][180] The National Guard repressed demonstrations on the Brazilian border andcolectivos attacked protesters near the Colombian border,[181][182] leaving at least four dead,[183][184] and more than 285 injured.[185]

Lima Group meeting and Latin American tour

[edit]
Guaidó, Colombia president Duque, and US vice president Pence during the February 2019Lima Group meeting in Colombia

Guaidó traveled from Cúcuta toBogotá for a 24 February meeting with US Vice President Mike Pence,[186][187] and a 25 February meeting of the Lima Group.[188][189] The group urged theInternational Criminal Court to pursue charges of crimes against humanity for the Maduro administration's use of violence against civilians and blockade of humanitarian aid.[190][191]

Pence did not rule out the use of US military force.[188] The Venezuelan government responded saying that Pence was trying to order others to take the country's assets, and saying that its basic rights were being disregarded in a campaign to unseat Maduro.[189] Brazil's vice president said it would not permit its territory to be used to invade Venezuela,[192] and the European Union cautioned against the use of military force.[189][193] The Lima Group rejected the use of force as well.[190] The USFAA warned pilots not to fly below 26,000 feet over Venezuela,[194] andUS military officials said they had flownreconnaissance flights off the coast of Venezuela to gather classified intelligence about Maduro.[195]

From Bogotá, Guaidó embarked on a regional tour to meet with the presidents of Brazil, Paraguay, Argentina, and Ecuador,[196] to discuss ways to rebuild Venezuela and defeat Maduro.[197] Guaidó's trip was approved by Venezuela'sNational Assembly, as required by the Constitution of Venezuela,[198] but he faced the possibility of being imprisoned when returning to Venezuela because of the travel restriction placed upon him by the Maduro administration.[196][199] He re-entered Venezuela on 4 March, viaSimón Bolívar International Airport inMaiquetía, and was received at the airport by diplomats[g] and in Caracas by a crowd of supporters.[200][201] German ambassador Daniel Kriener was accused of interference in internal affairs and expelled from Venezuela because of his role in helping Guaidó re-enter.[200][202]

Blackouts

[edit]
Further information:2019 Venezuelan blackouts andHuman rights in Venezuela § 2019 OHCHR delegation visit
Guri Dam supplies 80% of Venezuela's electrical power.[203]

In March 2019,Venezuela experienced a near total electrical blackout, and lost 150,000 barrels per day in crude oil production during the blackout.[204][205] Full recovery of oil production was expected to take months,[206] but by April, Venezuela's exports were steady at a million barrels daily, "partially due to inventory drains".[207]

Experts and state-runCorpoelec (Corporación Eléctrica Nacional) sources attributed the electricity shortages to lack of maintenance, underinvestment, corruption and to a lack of technical expertise in the country resulting from abrain drain;[208][209][210]Nicolás Maduro's administration attributes them to sabotage.[211][212][213] Guaidó said that Venezuela's largest-everpower outage was "the product of the inefficiency, the incapability, the corruption of a regime that doesn't care about the lives of Venezuelans",[214] Maduro's Attorney General, Tarek William Saab, called for an investigation of Guaidó, alleging that he had "sabotaged" theelectric sector.[214]

While Maduro visited hydroelectric facilities inCiudad Guayana on 16 March, promising to restructure the state-run power companyCorpoelec, his Vice PresidentDelcy Rodríguez announced that Maduro would restructure his administration, asking the "entire executive Cabinet to put their roles up for review".[215] Guaidó announced he would embark on a tour of the country beginning 16 March, to organize committees for Operation Freedom with the goal to claim the presidential residence,Miraflores Palace.[216] From the first rally inCarabobo state, he said, "We will be in each state of Venezuela and for each state we have visited the responsibility will be yours, the leaders, the united, [to] organize ourselves in freedom commands."[216]

United Nations High Commissioner for Human Rights (OHCHR) commissionerMichelle Bachelet's office sent a five-person delegation to Venezuela in March.[217][218] On 20 March, Bachelet delivered apreliminary oral report before the UN Human Rights Council,[219][220] in which she outlined a "devastating and deteriorating" human rights situation in Venezuela, expressed concern that sanctions would worsen the situation, and called on authorities to show a true commitment to recognizing and resolving the situation.[221]

Elvis Amoroso, Maduro's comptroller, alleged in March that Guaidó had not explained how he paid for his February 2019 Latin American trip,[222] and said Guaidó would be barred from running for public office for fifteen years.[223][224] The comptroller general is not a judicial body; according to constitutional lawyer José Vicente Haro, theInter-American Court of Human Rights ruled in 2011 that an administrative body cannot disallow a public servant from running. Constitutional law expertJuan Manuel Raffalli stated that Article 65 of Venezuela's Constitution provides that such determinations may only be made by criminal courts, after judgment of criminal activity.[225]

Red Cross aid effort

[edit]
Further information:2019 shipping of humanitarian aid to Venezuela § RedCrossVenAid
U.S. Assistant Secretary of StateKimberly Breier, Juan Guaidó's wifeFabiana Rosales, U.S. Special Representative for VenezuelaElliott Abrams, and Venezuelan Ambassador to the U.S.Carlos Vecchio, and diplomat in Washington, D.C., on 27 March 2019

In March, Francesco Rocca, president of theInternational Federation of Red Cross and Red Crescent Societies, announced that theRed Cross was preparing to bring humanitarian aid to the country in April to help ease both the chronic hunger and the medical crisis.[226]The Wall Street Journal said that the acceptance of humanitarian shipments by Maduro was his first acknowledgement that Venezuela is "suffering from an economic collapse."[227][228] After a 9 April meeting with theInternational Committee of the Red Cross (ICRC),[229] Maduro indicated for the first time that he was prepared to accept international aid.[230] Guaidó called on Venezuelans to "stay vigilant to make sure incoming aid is not diverted for 'corrupt' purposes".[228]

Following thejoint report from Human Rights Watch and Johns Hopkins in April 2019, increasing announcements from the United Nations about the scale of the humanitarian crisis, and the softening of Maduro's position on receiving aid, the ICRC tripled its budget for aid to Venezuela.[231] The first Red Cross delivery of supplies for hospitals arrived on 16 April, offering an encouraging sign that the Maduro administration would allow more aid to enter.[232] According toThe New York Times, "armed pro-government paramilitaries" fired weapons to disrupt the first Red Cross delivery, and officials associated with Maduro's party told the Red Cross to leave.[233]

According to theAssociated Press, having long denied that there was a humanitarian crisis in Venezuela, Maduro positioned the delivery "as a necessary measure to confront punishing U.S. economic sanctions." Having "rallied the international community", Guaidó "quickly claimed credit for the effort."[234]

Revocation of Guaidó's parliamentary immunity

[edit]

Chief justiceMaikel Moreno asked that theConstituent Assembly (ANC), controlled by Maduro loyalists, remove Guaidó's parliamentary immunity as president of the National Assembly,[235][236] moving the Maduro administration a step closer towards prosecuting Guaidó.[237] Guaidó supporters disagree that the Maduro-backed institutions have the authority to ban Guaidó from leaving the country and consider acts of the ANC "null and void".[235] The Venezuelan Constitution provides that only the National Assembly can bring the president to trial by approving the legal proceeding in a "merit hearing".[235] On 2 April, after the ANC voted to remove his parliamentary immunity, Guaidó promised to continue fighting "Maduro's 'cowardly, miserable and murderous' regime."[238]

Military uprising attempt

[edit]
Main article:2019 Venezuelan uprising attempt
Juan Guaidó speaks to supporters on 30 April 2019

On 19 April, Guaidó called for a "definite end of the usurpation" and the "largest march in history" on 1 May.[239] Coinciding with his speech,NetBlocks stated that state-runCANTV again blocked access to social media in Venezuela.[240] On 30 April 2019,Leopoldo López, who was held under house arrest by the Maduro administration, was freed on orders from Guaidó.[241] The two men, flanked by members of the Venezuelan armed forces nearLa Carlota Air Force Base in Caracas, announced an uprising,[242] stating that this was the final phase of "Operation Freedom".[243] Though Guaidó said his forces held La Carlota, when supporters approached the base, Guaidó and a few dozen supporters stayed in a nearby overpass outside.[244]

Maduro was not seen during the day,[245] but he appeared with his Defense Minister Padrino on that evening's televised broadcast,[246] and announced he would replaceManuel Cristopher Figuera, Director General of theBolivarian Intelligence Service (SEBIN), who had broken with Maduro during the uprising,[247] saying it was time to "rebuild the country"[247] and that "scoundrels were plundering the country."[248] The United States said Maduro had prepared to leave Venezuela that morning, but Russia and Cuba helped convince him to stay.[245][249][250] Both Russia and Maduro denied that he had plans to leave Venezuela.[251]

Guaidó's supporters were forced to retreat by security forces using tear gas.Colectivos fired on protesters with live ammunition, and one protester was shot in the head and killed.[252][253]Human Rights Watch said it believed that "security forces fired shotgun pellets at demonstrators and journalists."[254] By the end of the day, one protester had died,[252] and López was at the Spanish embassy,[255] while about 25 military personnel received asylum in the Panamanian embassy in Caracas.[244][256]

Guaidó acknowledged he had received insufficient military backing,[254] but added that "Maduro did not have the support nor the respect of the Armed Forces"[257] and called for strikes beginning on 2 May, with the aim of a general strike later in the month.[253] Russia and the US each charged the other with interference in another country's affairs.[254]

Negotiations

[edit]
See also:Negotiations during the Venezuelan crisis § 2019 presidential crisis

Following the failed military uprising, momentum surrounding Guaidó had subsided and fewer supporters gathered at demonstrations, with Guaidó resorting to negotiations with Maduro.[258] Guaidó's deputy chief Rafael Del Rosario acknowledged that the debacle on 30 April made the prospect of removing Maduro more difficult.[258] Beginning negotiations was a setback for Guaidó's movement,[258][259] with theAssociated Press stating, "Participation in the mediation effort is a reversal for the opposition, which has accused Maduro of using negotiations between 2016 and 2018 to play for time".[259] According to theNew York Times, years of difficulties has made Maduro "adept at managing, if not solving, cascading crises",[258] while Phil Gunson of theInternational Crisis Group stated that despite facing issues, Maduro "must be very pleased that he is now in the driving seat", with the ability to use the actions of Guaidó and international actors for propaganda purposes.[260] By May 2019, Trump had decided that Guaidó was weak; Bolton attributed a change of Trump's position to a comment made by President of RussiaVladimir Putin to Trump in a phone call that Guaidó's claim to the presidency would be the equivalent ofHillary Clinton declaring herself president following the2016 United States presidential election.[244]

Representatives of Guaidó and Maduro began mediation with the assistance of the Norwegian Centre for Conflict Resolution (NOREF), withJorge Rodríguez andHéctor Rodríguez serving as representatives for Maduro whileGerardo Blyde [es] andStalin González were representatives for Guaidó.[259][261] Guaidó confirmed that there was an envoy in Norway, but assured that the opposition would not take part in "any kind of false negotiation" and that talks must lead to Maduro's resignation, a transitional administration and free and fair elections.[259][261]

In July 2019, Norway's commission carried out a third round of discussions between Guaidó's and Maduro's representatives inBarbados.[262] By August 2019, the Maduro administration decided to halt talks with Guaidó's commission after Trump administration imposed new additional sanctions on Venezuela, ordering a freeze on all Venezuelan government assets in theUnited States and barred transactions with US citizens and companies.[263]

Second visit of the OHCHR

[edit]

Ahead of a three-week session of theUN Human Rights Council, the OHCHR chief,Michelle Bachelet, visited Venezuela from 19 to 21 June.[264] The Human Rights Commissioner met separately with both Maduro and Guaidó during her visit, as well as with Maduro's Attorney GeneralTarek William Saab, several human right activists, and families of victims who experienced torture and state repression.[264][265] Protests occurred in front of the UN office in Caracas during the last day of the visit, denouncing rights abuses carried out by Maduro's administration.[265]Gilber Caro, who was released two days before the visit, joined the protest.[266] Bachelet announced the creation of a delegation maintained by two UN officials that will remain in Venezuela to monitor the humanitarian situation.[265] Bachelet expressed concern that the recent sanctions on oil exports and gold trade could worsen the crisis that has increased since 2013,[265][267] calling the measures "extremely broad" and that they are capable of exacerbating the suffering of the Venezuelan people.[268] She also called for the release of political prisoners in Venezuela.[264] This was the first time aUnited Nations High Commissioner of Human Rights visited Venezuela.[267]

The final published report addressed the extrajudicial executions, torture,forced disappearances and other human rights violations reportedly committed by Venezuelan security forces in the recent years.[269] Bachelet expressed her concerns for the "shockingly high" number of extrajudicial killings and urged for the dissolution of theSpecial Action Forces (FAES).[270] According to the report, 1,569 cases of executions as consequence as a result of "resistance to authority" were registered by the Venezuelan authorities from 1 January to 19 March.[270] Other 52 deaths that occurred during 2019 protests were attributed to colectivos.[271] The report also details how the Venezuelan government "aimed at neutralising, repressing and criminalising political opponents and people critical of the government" since 2016.[270]

Guaidó supported the investigation, stating "the systematic violation of human rights, the repression, the torture... is clearly identified in the (UN) report".[269] Maduro administration described the report as a "biased vision" and demanded it be "corrected".[272] In the words of his foreign minister, "It's a text lacking in scientific rigor, with serious errors in methodology and which seems like a carbon copy of previous reports".[272] Maduro would later state that the OHCHR "has declared itself an enemy" to Maduro and the Bolivarian Revolution.[273]

Speaking to reporters after the UN Human Rights Council, Bachelet announced the release of 22 Venezuelan prisoners, including 20 students, judgeMaria Lourdes Afiuni, in her second house arrest since March, and journalistBraulio Jatar, arrested in 2016.[274] Bachelet welcomed the conditional releases and the acceptance of the two officers delegation as "the beginning of positive engagement on the country's many human rights issues".[274]

In October 2019, Venezuela competed for one of the two seats to theUnited Nations Human Rights Council, along with Brazil and Costa Rica, and was elected with 105 votes in a secret ballot by the 193-memberUnited Nations General Assembly. Brazil was re-elected with 153 votes, while Costa Rica was not having garnered 96 votes and entering the month of the election as competition to Venezuela. The United States,Lima Group and human rights groups lobbied against Venezuela's election.[275]

On 16 September 2020, the United Nations accused the Maduro government ofcrimes against humanity.[276]

Torture and death of Acosta Arévalo

[edit]

On 26 June, Maduro said that his government had arrested several defecting military, thus foiling a plot to remove him from power and to assassinate him, his wife andDiosdado Cabello.[277][278] The alleged plan also included the rescue ofRaúl Baduel, a retired general imprisoned for a second time in 2017, to install him as president.[278][277] Maduro accused Israel, Colombia, Chile and the United States of involvement in the plot.[278][279] Jorge Rodríguez said that the foiled plan involved the bombing of a government building, the seizing ofLa Carlota air base, and a bank robbery.[277] Guaidó dismissed the allegations as lies;[278] opposition members have frequently accused Maduro of coercion of arrested suspects and fabrication of plots for political gain.[278][280]

In the wake of the coup allegations, an alleged kidnapping attempt directed at members of Guaidó's entourage occurred on a Caracas highway.[281] Eight armed men on motorcycles dressed as civilians allegedly surrounded a vehicle containing two of Guaidó's aides.[281][282] Guaidó, who was in a car further ahead, spoke with the armed civilians,[280] according to photos and a video released by his press team[282] and published byInfobae.[283] According to Guaidó, the group received orders from the Venezuelan Military Counter-intelligence agencyDGCIM, but were not "hostile".[282][280]

Navy captainRafael Acosta Arévalo, who had been arrested on charges related to the alleged foiled coup attempt and transferred to a military hospital, died during detention on 28 June.[284] Maduro administration did not provide a cause of death but announced an investigation on the matter.[285] Acosta Arevalo's wife, human rights advocates, Juan Guaidó and theUS Department of State accused Maduro's administration of torturing the captain to death.[284] The Lima Group and the European Union called for an independent investigation.[286] The preliminary autopsy determined that Acosta Arévalo's cause of death was "severecerebral edema [brain swelling] caused by acuterespiratory failure caused by apulmonary embolism caused byrhabdomyolysis [a potentially life-threatening breakdown of muscle fibers] bymultiple trauma".[287]

Operación Alacrán

[edit]
See also:Operación Alacrán

The conditions for any political change in 2020 are getting ever more remote.

John Magdaleno, Venezuelan consultant[9]

An investigation led byArmando.info reported that nine members of the National Assembly defended individuals sanctioned by the United States for their involvement in the controversialLocal Committees for Supply and Production (CLAP) program. The investigation reported that the implicated lawmakers had written letters of support to theUnited States Treasury and others to a Colombian man named Carlos Lizcano, who authorities were investigating over his possible links toAlex Saab, a Colombian businessman associated with the food distribution program and under United States sanctions. According to Armando.info, the lawmakers wrote the letters despite being aware of evidence that tied Lizcano to Saab.[28] Guaidó condemned the actions of the nine legislators, suspending them from their positions and stating that it was "unacceptable to use a state institution to attempt to whitewash the reputation of thieves".[28] The scandal damaged Guaidó's reputation among his supporters inVenezuela, with some members of the opposition beginning to call for new leadership, according to analysts and those involved.[28]

The Maduro government increased its pressure by "deploying bribes, intimidation and repression" attempting to divide the opposition to maintain power.[288]

Dollarization

[edit]

Following increased sanctions throughout 2019, the Maduro government abandoned policies established byChávez such as price and currency controls.[9] In a November 2019 interview withJosé Vicente Rangel, President Maduro describeddollarization as an "escape valve" that helps the recovery of the country, the spread of productive forces in the country and the economy. However, Maduro said that theVenezuelan bolívar would still remain as the national currency.[289]The Economist wrote that Venezuela had also obtained "extra money from selling gold, both from illegal mines and from its reserves, and narcotics".[9] Its article continued to explain that the improving economy led to more difficulties for Guaidó as Venezuelans who had a better situation were less likely to protest against Maduro.[9]

2020 events

[edit]
Juan Guaidó trying to enter theNational Assembly of Venezuela before the police blockade on 5 January 2020.
Officers of theVenezuelan National Guard blocking off access to thePalacio Federal Legislativo on 5 January 2020.

Internal parliamentary election disrupted

[edit]
Main article:2020 Venezuelan National Assembly Delegated Committee election

The2020 Venezuelan National Assembly Delegated Committee election of 5 January, to elect the Board of Directors of the National Assembly was disrupted. The events resulted in two competing claims for the Presidency of the National Assembly: one byLuis Parra and one by Juan Guaidó.[290] Parra was formerly a member ofJustice First, but was expelled from the party on 20 December 2019 based on theOperación Alacrán corruption allegations, which he denied. From inside the legislature, Parra declared himself president of the National Assembly, a move that was welcomed by the Maduro administration.[291] The opposition disputed this outcome, saying that quorum had not been achieved and that no votes were counted.[291] Police forces had blocked access to parliament to some opposition members, including Guaidó and journalists. Later in the day, a separate session was carried out at the headquarters ofEl Nacional newspaper, where 100 of the 167 deputies voted to re-elect Guaidó as president of the parliament.[291]

Guaidó was sworn in a session on 7 January after forcing his way in through police barricades. On the same day, Parra reiterated his claim to the parliament's presidency.[292]

Russia is the only foreign government to have officially recognized Luis Parra's investiture, while the European Union, the United States, Canada, and most Latin American countries recognized Guaidó's re-election.[293]

Guaidó second international tour

[edit]

On 19 January, Guaidó once again exited Venezuela and arrived in Colombia, planning to meet withMike Pompeo, as well as traveling to Europe and the United States later, defying his exit prohibition for a second time.[294] Guaidó travelled toBrussels,Belgium, and on 22 January met withMargaritis Schinas,Vice-President of the European Commission, andJosep Borrell,High Representative of the European Union for Foreign Affairs.[295] On 23 January, Guaidó participated in theWorld Economic Forum inDavos,Switzerland.[296] During his trip in Europe, Guaidó also met withBoris Johnson,Emmanuel Macron,[297] andAngela Merkel.[298] Afterwards, Guaidó travelled to Canada and met with Prime MinisterJustin Trudeau.[299] On February 4, he was invited to President Donald Trump's 2020State of the Union address to Congress, and was applauded by the crowd, which was composed of members of bothDemocratic andRepublican parties.[300]

Diosdado Cabello declared that "nothing" would happen to Guaidó when he returned to Venezuela.[301] After meeting with Donald Trump in theWhite House, Constituent Assembly memberPedro Carreño said that if Guaidó wanted to come back as "commander-in-chief", "we will receive him with thispeinilla", hitting his podium with amachete.[302] Guaidó was allowed back into Venezuela by officials throughSimón Bolívar International Airport on 12 February, despite the travel ban imposed by Maduro's government.[303]

Security forces installed an anti-aircraft gun in theCaracas-La Guaira highway and blocked the highway;[304] opposition deputies had to reach the airport on foot to receive Guaidó. Due to the block, several ambassadors were also unable to go to the airport. Upon Guaidó's arrival at theSimón Bolívar International Airport, around two hundred Maduro supporters surrounded and jostled Guaidó, his wifeFabiana Rosales and several opposition deputies that waited for him at the airport. Some journalists were also attacked and had their equipment stolen by the group. Tens of military and police officials were present and did not intervene to prevent the attack. Several passengers declared to local outlets that Maduro's administration sent a group of pro-government activists to insult and harass the opposition members with impunity, including employees of the recently sanctionedConviasa airline.[305] TheInter American Press Association condemned the attacks on the journalists.[306]

The following day, the opposition and relatives denounced that Guaidó's uncle, Juan José Márquez, had been missing for 24 hours after receiving his nephew in the airport, blaming Maduro's government. His wife declared that Márquez was detained in the migration area and that his whereabouts were unknown.[307] Afterwards, in his television talk showCon El Mazo Dando, Diosdado Cabello accused Márquez of carrying explosives when he landed in Venezuela. Hours later, a court formalized Márquez's detention, copying Cabello's accusations. Márquez was detained in the Caracas headquarters of theDirectorate General of Military Counterintelligence, despite him being a civilian.[308]

Barquisimeto shooting

[edit]
Main article:2020 Barquisimeto shooting

On 29 February Juan Guaidó mobilized a march against the government of Nicolás Maduro in the Juan de Villegas parish,Barquisimeto,Lara state. The day of the march, pro-governmentcolectivos shot at Guaidó, who was in a van at the time of the shooting. Bolivarian National Intelligence Service agents were also reported of having participated in the attack.[309] Guaidó's vehicle received nine gunshots and the shooting left a total of ten wounded.[309][310]

COVID-19 pandemic

[edit]
Main article:COVID-19 pandemic in Venezuela

TheCOVID-19 pandemic was confirmed to have spread to Venezuela on 13 March, when the Maduro administration announced the first two cases.[311] On 16 March, Maduro reversed the country's official position against theInternational Monetary Fund (IMF), asking the institution for US$5 billion to combat the pandemic,[312] a first during Maduro's presidency, being a critic of the institution.[313][314] The IMF rejected the deal as it was not clear, among its member states, on who it recognizes as Venezuela's president.[315] According to a report byBloomberg, the Maduro administration also tried to request aid of $1 billion from the IMF after the first request was denied.[316] Guaidó called for the creation of a "national emergency government", not led by Maduro, on 28 March. According to Guaidó, a loan of US$1.2 billion was ready to be given in support of a power-sharing coalition between pro-Maduro officials, the military and the opposition in order to fight the pandemic in Venezuela. If accepted, the money would go to assist families affected by the disease and its economic consequences.[317]

US Department of Justice indictment

[edit]
The "Corrupt Venezuelan Regime" as defined by theUnited States Department of Justice

On 26 March, theUS Department of State offered $15 million on Nicolás Maduro, and $10 million each onDiosdado Cabello,Hugo Carvajal,Clíver Alcalá Cordones andTareck El Aissami, for information leading to their arrest in relation to charges ofdrug trafficking andnarco-terrorism.[318] Maduro had been offering to hold talks with the opposition about handling the outbreak in the country shortly before the indictment and then called them off.[319][320][321][322]

After being indicted, retired general Clíver Alcalá in Colombia published a video claiming responsibility for a stockpile of weapons and military equipment seized in Colombia.[323] According to Alcalá, he had made a contract with Guaidó and "American advisers" in order to buy weapons to remove Maduro.[323] Alcalá did not present any evidence[323] and Guaidó rejected the allegations.[324] After wishing farewell to his family, Alcalá surrendered to US authorities on 27 March.[325]

Transitional government proposals

[edit]

On 31 March, US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo said that sanctions did not apply to humanitarian aid during theCOVID-19 pandemic in Venezuela and that the US wouldlift all sanctions if Maduro agreed to organize elections that did not include himself in a period of six to twelve months. Pompeo reiterated US support for Juan Guaidó.[326] The US proposed a transitional government that would exclude both Maduro and Guaidó from the presidency.[327] The deal would enforce a power-sharing scenario between the different government factions. Elections would have to be held within the year, and all foreign militaries, particularly Cuba and Russia, would have to leave the country. The US were still seeking Maduro's arrest at the time of the announcement.[328] Other aspects of the US deal would include releasing all political prisoners and setting up a five-person council to lead the country; two members each chosen by Maduro and Guaidó would sit on the council, with the last member selected by the four. The European Union also agreed to remove sanctions if the deal went ahead. Experts have noted that the deal is similar to earlier proposals but explicitly mentions who would lead a transitional government, something which stalled previous discussions, and comes shortly after the US indicted Maduro, which might pressure him to peacefully leave power.[329] Guaidó accepted the proposal[330] while Venezuela's foreign ministerJorge Arreaza rejected it and declared that only parliamentary elections would take place in 2020. Arreaza said that "decisions about Venezuela would be made in Caracas and not in Washington or other capitals" and that "the most important transition for Venezuela was the one started many years ago from capitalism to socialism."[undue weight?discuss][331]

After various members of Guaidó's team were arrested on 30 March, Guaidó denounced a new wave of attacks against him.[332] Following that, Attorney GeneralTarek William Saab called Juan Guaidó to appear before thePublic Ministry on 2 April based on Alcalá's accusations.[333] Guaidó did not accept to appear before the public prosecutor.[333] The day of the citation, two more members of Guaidó's office were arrested, charged for alleged "attempted coup d'etat" and "magnicide".[333] Guaidó's team reported that "With this new assault by the dictatorship, there are now 10 [of its] members that have been detained by security forces. Five of them in the last 72 hours."[333]

Reuters reported that during the pandemic allies of bothNicolás Maduro andJuan Guaidó had secretly begun exploratory talks, according to sources on both sides.[334] Guaidó andUS Special Representative forVenezuelaElliott Abrams have denied that negotiations have taken place.[335][336] TheAssociated Press reported that the National Assembly agreed to establish a monthly $5,000 salary for the lawmakers funded from an $80 million "Liberation Fund" made up of Venezuelan assets seized by the Trump administration. Guaidó's communications team issued a statement denying that such salary had been approved, saying that lawmakers have gone unpaid since Maduro cut off funding after the opposition won the legislature in 2015 and that the deputies would determine an appropriate, as well as communicating it transparently. It also said that the $14 million in funding destined for the National Assembly would cover not only the deputies' personal income, but also office expenses, staff costs, travel and other related legislative expenses.[337]

Operation Gideon

[edit]
Main article:Operation Gideon (2020)

Eight former Venezuelan soldiers were killed and seventeen rebels werecaptured on 3 May, including two American security contractors, after approximately 60 men landed inMacuto and tried to invade Venezuela. The members of the naval attack force were employed asprivate military contractors bySilvercorp USA and the operation aimed to depose Maduro from power.[338]

Parliamentary election

[edit]
Main article:2020 Venezuelan parliamentary election

The opposition parties that make up theDemocratic Unity Roundtable coalition agreed unanimously not to participate in the election, stating the reason as irregularities and their complaints during the planning of the process and arguing that it was likely the election would be fraudulent. Twenty-seven political parties signed the agreement, including the four largest opposition partiesPopular Will,Justice First,Democratic Action andA New Era.[339][340][341]

The opposition criticized the appointment of the members of the National Electoral Council by the Supreme Tribunal, stating that it is under the purview of the National Assembly, and at least seven political parties had their board of directors suspended or replaced by the pro-governmentSupreme Tribunal of Justice, including Popular Will, Justice First, Democratic Action,[342] andCopei, as well as left-wing political parties, includingTupamaro,[343]Fatherland for All,[344] andRed Flag.[345] Opposition politiciansHenrique Capriles andStalin González initially encouraged participation in the elections. They later withdrew and demanded better electoral conditions.[346]

TheLima Group, theInternational Contact Group, theEuropean Union and theUnited States rejected holding parliamentary elections in 2020, insisting in the necessity of holding elections "with free and fair conditions".[347] The International Contact Group, headed by Uruguay, stated the formation of the Electoral Council "undermines the credibility of the next electoral process."[347] TheOrganization of American States (OAS) stated the appointment of the Electoral Council was "illegal", rejecting it, and further stated that independent bodies are needed for "transparent, free and fair" elections to take place in the country.[348] In July, theOffice of the United Nations High Commissioner for Human Rights, headed byMichelle Bachelet, said that "the recent decisions of the Supreme Tribunal of Justice diminish the possibility to build conditions for democratic and credible electoral processes" and "appoint new National Electoral Council rectors without the consensus of all the political forces."[349][350]

2021 events

[edit]

As a response to the position of thePopular Will party of focusing on a timetable for presidential, parliamentary and regional elections,Leopoldo López said that "telling us from Europe that we are maximalist because we want freedom is a colonialist comment [...] that we should renounce our dream of freedom when you already have it."[351]

On 5 August 2021, Mexican PresidentAndrés Manuel López Obrador announced that Mexico would host talks between the Maduro government and the political opposition.[352]

2022 events

[edit]

San Carlos attack

[edit]

On 11 June 2022, pro-government followers attacked Guaidó after an opposition march inSan Carlos,Cojedes state, throwing objects at him and violently removing him from the restaurant he was holding a meeting in.Nosliw Rodríguez, former PSUV deputy and candidate for the Cojedes governorship, was identified as one of the people that led the attack against Guaidó.[353]

Interim government dissolution

[edit]

On 30 December 2022, three of the four main political parties (Justice First,Democratic Action andA New Era) backed a reform of the Statute for the Transition to Democracy to dissolve the interim government and create a commission of five members to manage foreign assets,[33][34] stating that the interim government had failed to achieve the goals it had set.[35] The amendment was voted by the opposition National Assembly as deputies sought a united strategy ahead of thepresidential elections scheduled for 2024. The reform was approved with 72 votes in favor, 29 against and 8 abstentions.[33][34]

Recognition, reactions, and public opinion

[edit]
Main article:Responses to the Venezuelan presidential crisis
Nations recognizing presidential legitimacy as of 8 February 2019, during the year of Guaidó's height of recognition.
  Venezuela
  Neutral countries
  No statement
  Countries recognizing Guaidó
  Countries supporting the opposition National Assembly
  Countries recognizing Maduro
Nations recognizing presidential legitimacy as of 5 January 2023, before Guaidó's interim government dissolution was made effective:
  Venezuela
  Neutral
  No statement
  Recognize Guaidó
  Recognize Maduro

At his peak, Guaidó's claim as the interim president of Venezuela was recognized 57 countries,[354] "including the US, Canada and most Latin American and European countries".[355] Other countries were divided between a neutral position, support for the National Assembly in general without endorsing Guaidó, and support for Maduro's presidency; internationally, support followed traditional geopolitical lines, with Russia, China, Iran, Syria, Cuba, and Turkey supporting Maduro, and the US, Canada, and most of Western Europe supporting Guaidó.[13][356]

TheEuropean Parliament recognized Guaidó as interim president.[357][358] In 2019, theEuropean Union unanimously recognized the National Assembly,[359] but Italy dissented on recognizing Guaidó.[360] In January 2021, theEuropean Union stopped recognizing Guaidó's claim, but still did not recognize Maduro as the legitimate president;[29][361] theEuropean Parliament reaffirmed its recognition of Guaidó as president,[30][31] and the EU threatened with furthersanctions.[29]

The OAS approved a resolution on 10 January 2019 "to not recognize the legitimacy of Nicolás Maduro's new term".[362] In a 24 January special OAS session, sixteen countries including the US recognized Guaidó as interim president, but they did not achieve the majority needed for a resolution.[363] The United Nations called for dialogue and deescalation of tension, but could not agree on any other path for resolving the crisis.[364] Twelve of the fourteen members of theLima Group recognize Guaidó;[365]Beatriz Becerra—on the day after she retired as head of the human rights subcommittee for the European Parliament—said that theInternational Contact Group, jointly sponsored by Uruguay and Mexico, had been of no use and "has been an artifact that has served no purpose since it was created". She said there had been no progress on the 90-day deadline for elections that the group established when it was formed, and she considered that the Contact Group should be terminated and efforts coordinated through the Lima Group.[366] During the 49thGeneral Assembly of the Organization of American States, on 27 June, Guaidó's presidency was recognized by the organization.[8]

The Venezuelan Observatory of Social Conflictivity stated that there were on average 69protests daily in Venezuela during the first three months of 2019, for a total of 6,211 protests, representing a significant increase over previous years (157% of protests for the same period in 2018, and 395% relative to the number in 2017).[367]

Following the failed uprising on 30 April, support for Guaidó declined, attendance to his demonstrations subsided and participants in committees organized by Guaidó stated that there has been little progress.[368][369]Reuters reported in June that analysts have predicted that Maduro would maintain his position as he gains confidence that his actions against the opposition go "relatively unpunished".[368]

By the end of 2019, support for Guaidó dropped, with protests organized by his movement resulting with low participation.[26][27][28][370] Pollster Datanálisis published figures showing that support for Guaidó decreased from 61% in February to 42% in November 2019.[28] According to Jesús Seguías, the head of the Venezuelan analysis firm Datincorp, "For years Washington and the Venezuelan opposition have said that Nicolás Maduro, and before him Hugo Chávez, were weak and about to fall [...] but it's clear that's not the case".[371] Analyst Carlos Pina stated that as "[t]he military support to President Maduro remains intact", the opposition will need to "rethink its strategy" and that "Guaidó has also been very limited in suggesting or proposing a strategy that could change the current [status quo]."[27] Into December 2019, Venezuelan pollster Meganálisis surveys showed that 10% of respondents approved of Guaidó, compared to 9% who supported Maduro.[372]

As of January 2023, following the opposition vote to dissolve Guaidó's interim government, the United States stopped recognizing Guaidó's presidential claim. A spokesperson for theWhite House andState Department said that the US "recognized the National Assembly elected in 2015, which Guaidó had led, as Venezuela's 'only remaining democratically elected institution'."[12]

Defections

[edit]
Main article:Venezuelan crisis defection

TheMiami Herald reported that dozens of arrests were made in anticipation of a military uprising, and Defense MinisterVladimir Padrino López ordered a counterintelligence effort to locate conspirators or possible defectors.[373] According toFrance 24, Maduro declared "military deserters who fled to Colombia have become mercenaries" as part of a "US-backed coup".[374] Guaidó declared that the opposition had held secret meetings with military officials to discuss theAmnesty Law.[375]

Hugo Carvajal, the head ofVenezuela's military intelligence for ten years duringHugo Chávez's presidency and "one of the government's most prominent figures",[376] publicly broke with Maduro and endorsed Guaidó as acting president.[377] During the30 April 2019 uprising attempt, Manuel Cristopher Figuera, the Director General of Venezuela's National Intelligence Service,SEBIN, broke with Maduro.[248][247]

Certain top military figures recognized Guaidó,[378][379] and around 1,400 military personnel have defected to Colombia, but the top military command stays loyal to the government.[380]

Following the 23 January events, some Venezuelan diplomats in the United States supported Guaidó; the majority returned to Venezuela on Maduro's orders.[381]

Foreign military involvement

[edit]
Main article:Foreign involvement during the Venezuelan presidential crisis
On 18 February 2019, PresidentDonald Trump advised Venezuelan soldiers to renounce loyalty to Nicolás Maduro.[382]

In early 2019, with Cuban and Russian-backed security forces in the country, United States military involvement became the subject of speculation.[383] Senior U.S. officials have declared that "all options are on the table",[384] but they have also said that "our objective is apeaceful transfer of power".[385] Colombian guerrillas fromNational Liberation Army (ELN) have vowed to defend Maduro, with ELN leaders in Cuba stating that they have been drafting plans to provide military assistance to Maduro.[386]

Article 187 of theVenezuelan Constitution provides that "[i]t shall be the function of the National Assembly: (11) To authorize the operation of Venezuelan military missions abroad or foreign military missions within the country."[81][384] In every demonstration summoned by Guaidó, there have been numerous signs demanding the application of Article 187, and a March poll showed 87.5% support for foreign intervention.[h][384][387] Venezuelan politicians suchMaría Corina Machado andAntonio Ledezma, former mayor of Caracas, have also demanded the application of the article.[384]

According to Giancarlo Fiorella, writing inForeign Affairs, the "loudest calls for intervention are coming not from the White House and its media mouthpieces but from some members of the Venezuelan opposition and from residents of the country desperate for a solution—any solution—to their years-long plight."[384] Fiorella states that "talk of invoking article 187(11) has become commonplace" in Venezuela, adding that "the push for a military intervention in Venezuela is most intense not among hawks in Washington but inside the country itself."[384]

Guaidó has said he would call for intervention "when the time comes", but in media interviews, he has not stated he supports removing Maduro by force.[384] The National Assembly approved in July 2019 the reincorporation of Venezuela to theInter-American Treaty of Reciprocal Assistance, a mutual defense pact signed in 1947 that has never been enacted and from which Venezuela retired in 2013.[388][389] Venezuela's reincorporation to the pact "can be used to request military assistance against foreign troops inside the country."[390]

In a 4 December 2019 interview withVox, Guaidó stated: "We sense a firm commitment from the United States. [...] I think they're doing everything they could be doing under these circumstances, as are Colombia and Brazil."[391] When asked if he was nearer from removing Maduro from power than in January 2019, Guaidó replied: "Absolutely. Back then we didn't have multiple countries recognizing and supporting us. [...] Today, we have way more tools at our disposal than we did one year ago."[391]Bloomberg News reported two days later that theTrump administration began to doubt that an opposition led by Guaidó would remove Maduro from office.[16] The United States reportedly had no military option regarding Venezuela, although it began to debate on whether to partner with Russia to encourage Maduro to leave office or to increase pressure on Cuba, which is the Maduro government's main supporter.[16]

Cuban presence

[edit]

According to professor Erick Langer ofGeorgetown University, "Cuba and Russia have already intervened."[383] A Cuban military presence of at least 15,000 personnel was in Venezuela in early 2018,[392] while estimates ranging from hundreds to thousands of Cuban security forces were reported in 2019.[383] In April 2019, Trump threatened a "full and complete embargo, together with highest-level sanctions" on Cuba if its troops do not cease operations in Venezuela.[393]

Russian presence

[edit]

Two nuclear weapon-capable Russian planes landed in Venezuela in December 2018 in what Reuters called a "show of support for Maduro's socialist government."[394]

According to the Kremlin, there are about 100 Russian military personnel in Venezuela "to repair equipment and provide technical co-operation".[395] On 23 March 2019, two Russian planes landed in Venezuela carrying 99 troops[396] and 35 tonnes ofmatériel.[394] Alexey Seredin from the Russian Embassy in Caracas said the two planes were "part of an effort to maintain Maduro's defense apparatus, which includesSukhoi fighter jets and anti-aircraft systems purchased from Russia."[396]

National Assembly deputy Williams Dávila said the National Assembly would investigate the "penetration of foreign forces in Venezuela."[397]

Assets and reserves

[edit]

Venezuela's third-largest export (after crude oil and refined petroleum products) is gold.[398] TheWorld Gold Council reported in January 2019 that Venezuela's foreign-held gold reserves had fallen by 69% to US$8.4 billion during Maduro's presidency.[399] In 2018, Maduro's government exported $900 million worth of gold out of Venezuela intoErdoğan's Turkey.[400][401] In April 2019, Rubio warned the United Arab Emirates and Turkey not be "accomplices" in the "outrageous crime" of exporting Venezuela's gold.[402]

In mid-December 2018, a Venezuelan delegation went to London to arrange for theBank of England to return the $1.2 billion in gold bullion that Venezuela stores at the bank. Unnamed sources told Bloomberg that the Bank of England declined the transfer due to a request from US Secretary of State Pompeo and National Security Adviser Bolton, who wanted to "cut off the regime from its overseas assets".[403] In his memoirThe Room Where It Happened, Bolton said UK Foreign MinisterJeremy Hunt was "delighted to cooperate on steps they could take, for example freezing Venezuela's gold deposits in the Bank of England, so the regime could not sell the gold to keep itself going".[404] In an interview with the BBC, Maduro asked Britain to return the gold instead of sending humanitarian aid, saying that the gold was "legally Venezuela's, it belongs to theCentral Bank of Venezuela" and could be used to solve the country's problems. Guaidó asked the British government to ensure that the Bank of England does not provide the gold to the Maduro government. Maduro also said that the US has frozen $10 billion in Venezuelan accounts through its sanctions.[405]

In mid-February 2019, a National Assembly legislator Ángel Alvarado said that eight tonnes of gold worth over US$340 million[398] had been taken from the vault while the head of the Central Bank was abroad.[406] In March, Ugandan investigators reported that the gold could have been smuggled into that country.[407] Government sources said another eight tonnes of gold was taken out of the Central Bank in the first week of April 2019; the government source said that there were 100 tonnes left. The gold was removed while minimal staff was present and the bank was not fully operational because of theongoing, widespread power outages; the destination of the gold was not known.[408][409]

In 2009, Venezuela'sforeign reserves peaked at US$43 billion; by July 2017, they had fallen below $10 billion "for the first time in 15 years",[410] and as of March 2019, they had dropped to US$8 billion.[411] About two-thirds of Venezuela's reserves are in gold.[412] Part of Venezuela's remaining reserves are held by theInternational Monetary Fund (IMF) in financial instruments calledSDRs. In 2018, Venezuela had almost $1 billion in IMF SDRs, but it had drawn US$600 million in one year. To access SDR reserves, IMF rules require than a government be recognized by a majority of IMF members, and there is no majority recognition for either man claiming the Venezuelan presidency; the IMF denied Maduro access to the remaining US$400 million—"one of the regime's last remaining sources of cash" according to Bloomberg.[412] The IMF has not recognized Guaidó;[413]Ricardo Hausmann—Guaidó's representative recognized by theInter-American Development Bank—said the "IMF is safeguarding the assets until a new government takes over. 'Those funds will be available when this usurpation ends.'" The US has given Guaidó control of "key Venezuelan bank accounts",[412] and has said it will give Guaidó control of US assets once his administration is in power.[405]

The Portuguese bankNovo Banco stopped Maduro's attempt to transfer over US$1 billion[414] throughBANDES subsidiary, Banco Bandes Uruguay, in early 2019.[citation needed] Over two months later, Maduro responded that Portugal had illegally blocked the money, and asked that it be returned to buy food and medicine.[415]

In 2020, the English High Court ruled in favor of Juan Guaidó in a hearing over whether Guaidó or Nicolás Maduro should control $1 billion of its gold stored in the Bank of London.[416]

In 2022, theUnited Kingdom Supreme Court ruled in favor of Juan Guaidó again regarding the control of the gold stored in the Bank of London.[417][418]

Sanctions

[edit]
Main articles:International sanctions during the Venezuelan crisis andU.S. sanctions during the Venezuelan crisis
A map of countries that have introduced sanctions against Venezuela in response to the outgoingcrisis in Venezuela
  Venezuela
  Countries that introduced sanctions
  European Union-countries that have collectively introduced sanctions
  Non-EU European countries that aligned with EU sanctions
  Countries introducing entry bans on Maduro government officials

During thecrisis in Venezuela, the United States, Canada, Mexico, Panama, Switzerland individually, and the countries of the European Union collectively, have applied sanctions against people associated with Maduro's administration, including government officials, members of the military and security forces, and private individuals.[419] As of 27 March 2018, the Washington Office on Latin America said 78 Venezuelans associated with Maduro had been sanctioned by several countries.[420]

On 15 January 2019, the National Assembly approved legislation to work with dozens of foreign countries to request that these nations freeze Maduro administration bank accounts.[110]

Through April 2019, the U.S. sanctioned more than 150 companies, vessels and individuals, in addition to revoking visas of 718 individuals associated with Maduro.[421]

Christian Krüger Sarmiento, director ofColombia Migration, announced on 30 January 2019 that the Colombian government maintained a list of people banned from entering Colombia or subject to expulsion. As of January 2019, the list had 200 people with a "close relationship and support for the Nicolás Maduro regime", but Krüger said the initial list could increase or decrease.[422]

As the humanitarian crisis deepened and expanded, the Trump administration levied more serious economic sanctions against Venezuela.[419] In January 2019, during the presidential crisis, the United States imposed sanctions on the Venezuelan state-owned oil and natural gas companyPDVSA to pressure Maduro to resign.[423]

On 15 April 2019,Canada announced that another round of sanctions on 43 individuals were applied on 12 April based on theSpecial Economic Measures Act.[424] The government statement said those sanctioned are "high ranking officials of the Maduro regime, regional governors and/or directly implicated in activities undermining democratic institutions".[425]

TheUnited States Department of the Treasury has also placed restrictions on transactions with digital currency emitted by or in the name of the government of Venezuela, referencing "Petro", a DIGITAL token.[426] and on Venezuela's gold industry.[427] After the detention of Guaidó's chief of staff,Roberto Marrero, in March 2019, the US also sanctioned the Venezuelan bankBANDES and its subsidiaries.[428]

The Treasury Department sanctioned seven additional individuals for their involvement in thedisputed internal parliamentary elections of the National Assembly in January 2020.[429]

An October 2020 report published by theWashington Office on Latin America (WOLA) by Venezuelan economist Luis Oliveros found that "while Venezuela's economic crisis began before the first U.S. sectoral sanctions were imposed in 2017, these measures 'directly contributed to its deep decline, and to the further deterioration of the quality of life of Venezuelans' ". The report concluded that economic sanctions "have cost Venezuela's government as much as $31 billion since 2017"[430][431]

Censorship and media control

[edit]
Main article:Censorship and media control during the Venezuelan presidential crisis
Univision anchorJorge Ramos was detained by the Maduro administration in February 2019 after a live interview.

The Venezuelan press workers union denounced that in 2019, 40 journalists had been illegally detained as of 12 March; the National Assembly Parliamentary Commission for Media declared that there had been 173 aggressions against press workers as of 13 March.[432] As of June 2019, journalists have been denied access to seven sessions of the National Assembly by the National Guard.[433]

Between 12 January and 18 January,[434][435]Internet access to Wikipedia (in all languages) was blocked in Venezuela[436][437] afterGuaidó's page on theSpanish Wikipedia was edited to show him as president.[438] Later on 21 January, the day of the National Guard mutiny in Cotiza, Internet access to some social media was reported blocked for CANTV users. The Venezuelan government denied it had engaged in blocking.[439][440] During the 23 January protests, widespread Internet outages for CANTV users were reported.[441][442]

Live streams of the National Assembly sessions and Guaidó's speeches have been regularly disrupted for CANTV users.[443] Since 22 January, some radio programs have been ordered off air; other programs have been temporarily canceled or received censorship warnings, including a threat to close private television and radio stations if they recognized Guaidó as acting president or interim president of Venezuela.[444]

The website "Voluntarios X Venezuela" was promoted by Guaidó and the National Assembly to gather volunteers for humanitarian aid.[445] Between 12 and 13 February, CANTV users that tried to access were redirected to a mirror site with a differentURL address. The mirror site asked for personal information, including names, ID, address and telephone numbers. The phishing website used the.ve domain controlled by Conatel. This manipulation was denounced as a technique to identify dissidents to the government.[446] Following the phishing incident, the official site was completely blocked for CANTV users on 16 February.[447]

During the2020 election to choose the president of the National Assembly, independent journalists were also impeded from covering the event. Maduro's Ministry of Information, which has no relationship to the National Assembly, allowed reporters from state-run media to enter the legislative palace.[448] Other reporters were not allowed in and told to watch it on a live feed from outside.[448] State communications serviceCANTV reportedly blocked access to social media sitesTwitter,Facebook,Instagram, andYouTube on the day of the election. Block tracking websiteNetBlocks reported that the block began as the National Assembly session did.[449]

During theCOVID-19 pandemic in Venezuela, the National Assembly created a webpage to provide information on thecoronavirus disease 2019 to the public. The access to the site was restricted for CANTV users.[450] During Juan Guaidó's return to Venezuela in February 2020, after his second international tour, various media workers were insulted, harassed, robbed and physically aggressed by a group of supporters and pro-Maduro agitators that received him in the airport.[451] According to the Venezuelan Press Working Union (SNTP), Venezuelan security forces were present and witnessed the attacks, but did not intervene.[452] When journalists were going to file the complaint to the authorities, security forces impeded their access to the prosecutor office.[452]

Closure of social media accounts

[edit]

In September 2020, Facebook closed 55 accounts, 42 pages and 36 Instagram accounts linked to CLS Strategies, a Washington-based public relations firm. Facebook said these were fake accounts used to secretly manipulate politics in Bolivia, Venezuela and Mexico in violation of Facebook's prohibition on foreign interference. TheStanford Internet Observatory, a disinformation research group, reported that CLS Strategies employees had previous professional ties to opposition political leaders in Venezuela.[453]

Arrests and detentions

[edit]

Multiple individuals associated with Guaidó were arrested or detained by the Maduro government.

Roberto Marrero—Guaidó's chief of staff andLeopoldo López's attorney—was arrested bySEBIN during a raid on his home on 21 March.[454]Gilber Caro, an alternate deputy and member of Guaidó's party,Popular Will, was re-arrested by theBolivarian Intelligence Service on 26 April 2019.[455][456] Eleven other members of Guaidó's team have been summoned to appear before SEBIN.[457]

Vice president of the National Assembly,Edgar Zambrano, arrested in May 2019.

Most of the individuals who were seen with Guaidó during the attempted uprising and many legislators were either arrested or in hiding.[258] In May 2019, the TSJ ordered the prosecution of seven National Assembly members for their actions on 30 April.[458][459][i] The rival Constituent Assembly stripped the members of their parliamentary immunity.[459] The National Assembly dismissed the sentence, holding that the members of the Tribunal are illegitimate and that their ruling violates the parliamentary immunity of the deputies.[461] As of 2 May 2019, there were 205 arrests related to protests.[462]

National Assembly Vice PresidentEdgar Zambrano was arrested on 8 May 2019.[463] With the seven deputies charged several crimes, anEl País article stated that the Venezuelan parliament, elected to a majority in the 2015 elections, has been "systematically blocked" and dismembered by "political persecution" of 60% of its elected members.[464][j] There was no preliminary merit hearing as required by law; an additional three deputies were indicted without a preliminary merit hearing.[464][k] Three of the recently sanctioned members[l] sought temporary refuge in foreign embassies.[467]

On 13 July 2019, two of Guaidó's security guards were arrested in Caracas.[468][469] According to Information Minister Jorge Rodríguez, the two guards had attempted to sell rifles that had been taken from a National Guard armory ahead of the failed uprising on 30 April 2019.[468] Guaidó said that the guards were arrested while protecting his family during his tour around the country. He dismissed the weapon sale allegations and speculated that the authorities would torture and frame the two men by planting weapons on them.[470][469] Rodríguez announced that evidence would be presented during the next round of talks.[468]

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^Sources reporting on claims of the National Assembly being the "only democratically elected" or "only legitimate" political body in Venezuela include:The Wall Street Journal,[53]The Washington Post,[54]Financial Times,[55] theBBC,[56]Economic Times,[57]CTV,[58]Business Times,[59]Reuters agency,[60]CBC,[61] etc.
  2. ^On unchecked power of the executive: Human Rights Watch 2018 report,[62] Human Rights Watch 2017 report,[63] Amnesty International,[64] and Amnesty International on opposition.[65]
  3. ^abc See the full article in the Constitution of the Bolivarian Republic of Venezuela.[81]
  4. ^Later paragraphs describe what to do in the event of a vacancy due to "permanent unavailability to serve", depending on when the vacancy occurs.
    • Prior to elected President's inauguration, "a new election shall take place The President of the National Assembly shall take charge of the Presidency of the Republic".
    • During the first four years of President's six-year term, "a new election ... shall be held within thirty consecutive days ... The Executive Vice-President shall take charge of the Presidency of the Republic".
    • During the last two years of President's six-year term, "the Executive Vice-President shall take over the Presidency of the Republic until such term is completed".
    [81]
  5. ^abIn August 2019, ambassador to the Czech Republic,Tamara Sujú, resigned. On September,Ricardo Hausmann also resigned as the Venezuelan representative to theInter-American Development Bank.[143][144]
  6. ^On 26 November 2019, Guaidó dismissed his ambassador in Colombia,Humberto Calderón, citing plans to change foreign policy.[146] Venezuelan diplomatDiego Arria condemned the dismissal, calling it a "huge mistake."[147]
  7. ^Diplomats from Argentina, Brazil, Canada, Chile, Ecuador, France, Germany, the Netherlands, Portugal, Romania, Spain and the United States received Guaidó at the airport.[200]
  8. ^Foreign Affairs states "this figure is likely inflated—the surveys do not define what a military intervention under 187(11) would look like.[384]
  9. ^The seven members are: José Calzadilla,Luis Florido,Mariela Magallanes [es],Américo De Grazia [es],Richard Blanco,Henry Ramos Allup andEdgar Zambrano.[458] Edgar Zambrano order of prosecution was announced some days before the other six.[459] Initially, the TSJ list includedAndrés Delgado Velásquez but the name was later scrapped.[459][460]
  10. ^Among the elected deputies in exile areJulio Borges,Gaby Arellano [es],José Manuel Olivares,Rosmit Mantilla,Dinorah Figuera,Sonia Medina,Ismael García,Germán Ferrer [es] andAdriana D'Elia [es].Freddy Guevara is in the Chilean embassy.Gilber Caro is among those arrested.[464]Juan Requesens is imprisoned.[465]
  11. ^Freddy Superlano,Sergio Vergara andJuan Andrés Mejía were also indicted.[466]
  12. ^Richard Blanco,Américo de Grazia [es], andMariela Magallanes [es] sought temporary refuge in embassies.[467]

References

[edit]
  1. ^abBullock, Penn (10 January 2019). "Climate Change, U.S. Shutdown, Michael Cohen: Your Friday Briefing".New York Times (Online).President Nicolás Maduro was inaugurated for a second term after an election last year that was widely considered illegitimate — and despite a plummeting economy and skyrocketing violence, hunger and migration. Also availableonline.
  2. ^abcde"El Tribunal Supremo de Justicia de Venezuela declara "inconstitucional" a la Asamblea Nacional y anula el nombramiento de Juan Guaidó como su presidente".BBC. 21 January 2019. Retrieved29 January 2019.
  3. ^Luhnow, David; Forero, Juan; Córdoba, José de (7 February 2019)."'What the Hell Is Going On?' How a Small Group Seized Control of Venezuela's Opposition".The Wall Street Journal.ISSN 0099-9660. Retrieved2 June 2019.
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  5. ^abc"Prensa de la AN rectifica comunicado que proclama a Juan Guaidó Presidente de la República".Efecto Cocuyo. 11 January 2019. Archived fromthe original on 2 July 2019. Retrieved12 January 2019.
  6. ^ab"La OEA aprobó la resolución que declara ilegítimo al nuevo gobierno de Nicolás Maduro" [The OAS approved the resolution that declared the new government of Nicolás Maduro illegitimate].Infobae (in Spanish). 10 January 2019.
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  8. ^ab"México, Uruguay, Bolivia y Nicaragua respaldaron al régimen de Maduro e intentaron desplazar al enviado de Guaidó de la Asamblea de la OEA".Infobae (in Spanish). EFE. 27 June 2019.Si se convalidan las credenciales (por las del enviado de Guaidó) se reconoce un nuevo gobierno de Venezuela y Uruguay eso no lo puede aceptar
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    • Wyss, Jim (6 May 2019)."As Guaido's popularity in Venezuela begins to dwindle, what's next for the opposition?".Miami Herald.Chicago Tribune. Archived fromthe original on 10 May 2019. Retrieved10 May 2019.... last week's failed military uprising and a spate of violent but fruitless demonstrations have some wondering if Guaido, and the opposition at large, have what it takes to oust Maduro ... A poll released Monday by Caracas-based Meganalisis found that Guaido's approval ratings dropped to 50 percent, down from 84 percent in January. He's still far more popular than Maduro whose approval rating is at 4 percent but the precipitous drop can't be ignored ...
    • Casoni, Giampiero (7 May 2019)."Venezuela, il gradimento di Guaidò cala a picco: meno 34% in soli tre mesi".Ci Siamo (in Italian). Archived fromthe original on 10 May 2019. Retrieved10 May 2019.The popularity of Juan Guaidò is in sharp decline and the 'liberator' of Venezuela seems to have exhausted the original propulsive thrust ... At the center of this drop in consensus, especially the failure (because of its failure) of the coup in recent weeks ...
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  23. ^"Mike Pompeo dijo que EEUU levantará las sanciones a Venezuela si el chavismo acepta ir a elecciones libres" [Mike Pompeo said that the US will lift sanctions against Venezuela if Chavismo agrees to go to free elections].Infobae Mexico (in Spanish). 31 March 2020.
  24. ^"Guaidó acepta el gobierno de transición que propone EEUU".Atlántico (in Spanish). 1 April 2020.
  25. ^"Arreaza rechaza la propuesta de EEUU para una "transición democrática" en Venezuela".Europa Press (in Spanish). 31 March 2020. Retrieved1 April 2020.
  26. ^ab"Venezuela: Thousands take to the streets of Caracas for rival protests".Deutsche Welle. 16 November 2019. Retrieved4 December 2019.
  27. ^abc"Venezuela: Rival rallies held as Guaido calls for daily protests".Al Jazeera. Retrieved4 December 2019.
  28. ^abcdef"'Missed his moment': opposition corruption scandal undermines Venezuela's Guaido".Reuters. 3 December 2019. Retrieved4 December 2019.
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  32. ^"Juan Guaidó abre la puerta a la negociación con Nicolás Maduro al invocar un acuerdo de salvación nacional".El Mundo. 11 May 2021. Retrieved14 May 2021.
  33. ^abcArmas, Mayela (31 December 2022)."Venezuela opposition removes interim President Guaido".Reuters. Retrieved31 December 2022.
  34. ^abcMartínez, Deisy (30 December 2022)."AN de 2015 aprueba su extensión por otro año y elimina gobierno interino" [2015 NA approves its extension for one more year and eliminates interim government].Efecto Cocuyo (in Spanish). Retrieved31 December 2022.
  35. ^ab"Mayoría de la AN-2015 ratifica disolución del Gobierno interino".Tal Cual (in Spanish). 30 December 2022. Retrieved31 December 2022.Hemos tenido algo que pasó de ser provisional a convertirse en algo perpetuo. Y no se celebraron las elecciones, de manera que el artículo 233 perdió su razón de ser para justificar el gobierno interino.
  36. ^"Venezuela blackout, in 2nd day, threatens food supplies and patient lives".New York Times. 8 March 2019. Retrieved18 March 2019.The Maduro administration has been responsible for grossly mismanaging the economy and plunging the country into a deep humanitarian crisis in which many people lack food and medical care. He has also attempted to crush the opposition by jailing or exiling critics, and using lethal force against antigovernment protesters.
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    *"General de la Fuerza Aérea envió un mensaje al personal militar".El Nacional (in Spanish). 2 February 2019. Retrieved3 February 2019.
    *"Mayor General Jorge Oropeza se pronuncia contra el régimen de Maduro y en respaldo a Guaidó (VIDEO)".La Patilla (in Spanish). 2 February 2019. Retrieved3 February 2019.
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  382. ^"Ditch Maduro or lose everything, Trump tells Venezuelan army".The Guardian. 18 February 2019.
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  384. ^abcdefghFiorella, Giancarlo (17 April 2019)."Will Guaidó call for U.S. military intervention?".Foreign Affairs. Retrieved17 April 2019.
  385. ^Hains, Tim (1 February 2019)."John Bolton: "All Options Are On The Table" For Venezuela; Hope For "Peaceful" Transfer Of Power".Real Clear Politics. Retrieved5 February 2019.
  386. ^Charles, Mathew (2 February 2019)."ELN interview: Colombian Marxist guerrillas 'will fight' US troops if they invade Venezuela".The Daily Telegraph.Archived from the original on 12 January 2022. Retrieved2 February 2019.
  387. ^Paola Martínez, Sammy (14 April 2019)."Expertos señalan que la aplicación del artículo 187.11 no implica una intervención militar" [Experts point out that the application of article 187.11 does not imply a military intervention] (in Spanish). El Pitazo. Retrieved19 April 2019.
  388. ^"Venezuela rejoins regional defense treaty but Guaido warns it's no 'magic' solution".Reuters. 23 July 2019. Retrieved23 July 2019.
  389. ^"Crisis en Venezuela: qué es el TIAR, el pacto interamericano de defensa mutua al que quiere sumarse la oposición de Venezuela" [Crisis in Venezuela: what is TIAR, the inter-American pact of mutual defense which Venezuela's opposition wants to join] (in Spanish). BBC. 7 May 2019. Retrieved8 May 2019.
  390. ^Sayago, Gabriel (8 May 2019)."AN aprueba reintegración de Venezuela al TIAR" [NA approves reintegration of Venezuela to the TIAR].El Universal (in Spanish). Retrieved8 May 2019.
  391. ^abWard, Alex (6 December 2019)."Venezuela's opposition leader failed to depose Maduro. He explains why he's not giving up".Vox. Retrieved9 December 2019.
  392. ^"Cuba Is Making the Crisis in Venezuela Worse".Foreign Policy. 7 February 2018. Retrieved8 February 2018.
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  394. ^ab"Russian air force planes land in Venezuela carrying troops: report".Reuters. 24 March 2019. Retrieved24 March 2019.
  395. ^"Russian bravado 'may lead to war'".PerthNow. 1 April 2019. Retrieved2 May 2019.
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  397. ^González, Ron (24 March 2019)."Militares rusos copan la escena en jornada libre para Maduro y Guaidó" [Russian military take over the stage on a free day for Maduro and Guaidó].La Vanguardia (in Spanish). Retrieved24 March 2019.
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  400. ^Oner, Imdat."Venezuela, Turkey using gold to evade U.S. sanctions".Miami Herald.
  401. ^"As gold trade booms, Venezuela eyes stronger Turkey ties".Al-Jazeera. 17 January 2019. Retrieved2 May 2019.
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  403. ^Biggs, Stuart and Jess Shankleman (29 January 2019)."U.K. Leaves Fate of Venezuela's Gold Up to the Bank of England". Bloomberg. Retrieved19 February 2019.According to a person familiar with the matter, the BOE declined the withdrawal request after U.S. Secretary of State Michael Pompeo and National Security Adviser John Bolton lobbied their U.K. counterparts to help cut off the regime from its overseas assets.
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  407. ^Biryabarema, Elias (14 March 2019)."Uganda probes refinery over alleged smuggling of gold".Reuters. Archived fromthe original on 2 April 2019. Retrieved20 March 2019.
  408. ^Armas, Mayela (9 April 2019)."Exclusive: Venezuela removes eight tonnes of gold from central bank – sources". Reuters. Retrieved9 April 2019.
  409. ^"Denuncian retiro de más lingotes de oro del Banco Central de Venezuela".VOA News (in Spanish). Reuters. 9 April 2019. Retrieved9 April 2019.
  410. ^"Venezuela's crisis drains its foreign reserves".Financial Times. 14 July 2017. Retrieved10 April 2019.Venezuela's foreign reserves have dropped below $10bn for the first time in 15 years as chronic mismanagement, corruption and subdued oil prices continue to batter what used to be the wealthiest country in South America. The reserves stood at $9.983bn, according to figures published on Friday from the central bank, representing a 77 per cent decrease since January 2009 when they hit a peak of $43bn.
  411. ^Lugo, Luis Alonso (8 March 2019)."World Bank: Venezuela must pay Conoco more than $8 billion".ABC News. Associated Press. Retrieved6 April 2019.
  412. ^abcArrioja, Jose Enrique and Ben Bartenstein (10 April 2019)."Maduro is cut off from $400 million in cash held at the IMF". Bloomberg. Retrieved10 April 2019.The International Monetary Fund suspended the Venezuelan leader's access to almost $400 million of special drawing rights, citing political chaos since National Assembly President Juan Guaido claimed in January that he was the nation's rightful leader, said two people familiar with the matter. Venezuela already whittled its SDR holdings down from almost $1 billion in March 2018. Almost two-thirds of Venezuela's $9 billion in foreign reserves are in the form of gold, which has been difficult to liquidate because of U.S. sanctions.
  413. ^Campos, Rodrigo; Lawder, David (11 April 2019)."Venezuela leadership issue still blocking IMF, World Bank aid".Reuters UK. Archived fromthe original on 12 April 2019. Retrieved14 April 2019.
  414. ^"Maduro intenta mover hasta 1.200 mln dlr a Uruguay: líder opositor Venezuela" (in Spanish). Reuters. 4 February 2019. Archived fromthe original on 5 February 2019. Retrieved10 April 2019.
  415. ^"Maduro pide a Portugal devolver a Venezuela 1.700 millones de dólares para medicinas" [Maduro asks Portugal to return to Venezuela $1.700 million for medicine] (in Spanish). NTN24. 17 April 2019. Retrieved17 April 2019.
  416. ^"UK court recognises Guaido as Venezuela's president in gold dispute".Reuters. 2 July 2020.
  417. ^"Venezuelan opposition government wins another round in U.K. gold dispute".Law.com International. Retrieved10 August 2022.
  418. ^"Bank of England $1 Billion Gold Cache Not Maduro's, Says Judge".Bloomberg. 29 July 2022. Retrieved10 August 2022.
  419. ^abVidal, Laura and Jessica Carrillo Mazzali (31 January 2019)."US sanctions squeezed Venezuela's Chavismo elites. This time, it's oil".Public Radio International.
  420. ^Camacho, Carlos (27 March 2018)."Panama sanctions Venezuela, including Maduro & 1st Lady family companies".Latin American Herald Tribune. Archived fromthe original on 24 February 2021. Retrieved3 April 2019.
  421. ^"Treasury sanctions Venezuelan business to isolate Maduro". AP News. 12 April 2019. Retrieved12 April 2019.
  422. ^"Maduro encabeza lista de 200 venezolanos que no pueden entrar al país" [Maduro tops list of 200 Venezuelans who can not enter the country].El Tiempo (in Spanish). 30 January 2019. Retrieved13 April 2019.
  423. ^Lee, Matthew and Deb Riechmann (29 January 2019)."US hits Venezuela with oil sanctions to pressure Maduro". AP. Retrieved12 March 2019.
  424. ^"Regulations Amending the Special Economic Measures (Venezuela) Regulations". Government of Canada. 12 April 2019. Retrieved15 April 2019.[permanent dead link]
  425. ^"Canada imposes additional sanctions on the Maduro regime in Venezuela" (Press release). Government of Canada. 15 April 2019. Retrieved17 April 2019.
  426. ^"Estados Unidos prohibió las operaciones con el Petro, la criptomoneda venezolana".Infobae (in Spanish). 19 March 2018. Retrieved2 April 2019.
  427. ^Wyss, Jim (19 March 2019)."Washington hits Venezuela's gold sector with new sanctions".Miami Herald. Retrieved20 March 2019.
  428. ^"US slaps sanctions on Venezuelan bank".France 24. 22 March 2019. Retrieved22 March 2019.
  429. ^"U.S. targets Maduro-picked top legislator, six others in fresh Venezuelan sanctions".Reuters. 13 January 2020. Retrieved13 January 2020.
  430. ^"New Report Documents How U.S. Sanctions Have Directly Aggravated Venezuela's Economic Crisis".WOLA. 29 October 2020. Retrieved13 March 2021.
  431. ^Jakes, Lara; Kurmanaev, Anatoly (8 March 2021)."Biden Grants Protections for Venezuelans to Remain in U.S."The New York Times. Retrieved13 March 2021.
  432. ^Escalona, José (13 March 2019)."173 agresiones a trabajadores de la prensa contabiliza Comisión de Medios de la Asamblea Nacional #13Mar".El Impulso (in Spanish). Retrieved19 March 2019.
  433. ^"Soldiers block press access to Venezuelan parliament".CPJ. 25 June 2019. Retrieved26 June 2019.
  434. ^"Wikipedia ya está disponible para Venezuela tras ser bloqueado por Cantv!".El Pitazo (in Spanish). 19 January 2019. Archived fromthe original on 28 June 2022. Retrieved6 March 2019.
  435. ^"From the blocking of Wikipedia to Social Media: Venezuela's Political Crisis".IPYS Venezuela. 29 January 2019. Retrieved6 March 2019.
  436. ^"Wikipedia blocked in Venezuela as internet controls tighten".NetBlocks. 12 January 2019.Archived from the original on 13 January 2019. Retrieved13 January 2019.
  437. ^"Usuarios de Cantv denuncian que el acceso a Wikipedia está bloqueado".El Nacional (in Spanish). 12 January 2019. Retrieved13 January 2019.
  438. ^"Nota de Juan Guaidó en Wikipedia cambia 37 veces en dos horas y nueve minutos este #11E".Efecto Cocuyo (in Spanish). Archived fromthe original on 13 January 2019. Retrieved11 January 2019.
  439. ^"Social media outage and disruptions in Venezuela amid incident in Caracas".NetBlocks. 21 January 2019. Retrieved22 January 2019.
  440. ^del Castillo, Carlos (19 January 2019)."Venezuela y Wikipedia se contradicen: ¿bloqueó Maduro el acceso a la enciclopedia tras una "guerra de ediciones"?".El Diario (in Spanish). Retrieved6 March 2019.
  441. ^Wikimedia Venezuela (23 January 2019)."#23Ene Reportamos, nuevamente, un bloqueo parcial para acceder a #Wikipedia en #Venezuela desde @ContactoCantv y @SomosMovilnet_. Ayúdanos a reportar: ¿puedes acceder sin problemas? ¡Los leemos! @Wikimediapic.twitter.com/XeVOh8zWMM".@wikimedia_ve (in Spanish). Retrieved23 January 2019.
  442. ^"Major Internet disruptions in Venezuela amid protests".NetBlocks. 23 January 2019. Retrieved23 January 2019.
  443. ^"Venezuela National Assembly live streams disrupted".NetBlocks. 29 January 2019. Retrieved31 January 2019.
    *"Disruptions in Venezuela affecting YouTube and other services during political rally".NetBlocks. 12 February 2019. Retrieved13 February 2019.
    *"YouTube and Google services restricted in Venezuela as Guaidó speaks".NetBlocks. 18 February 2019. Retrieved18 February 2019.
    *"NetBlocks denuncia bloqueos a YouTube para censurar las manifestaciones de Guaidó este #12Feb".La Patilla (in European Spanish). 12 February 2019. Retrieved12 February 2019.
    *"Web platforms blocked in Venezuela-Colombia border standoff".NetBlocks. 23 February 2019. Retrieved24 February 2019.
  444. ^González Mendoza, Isaac (31 January 2019)."Censura a emisoras, televisoras y plataformas arreció desde el 22 de enero".El Nacional (in Spanish). Retrieved31 January 2019.
    *"César Miguel Rondón se despide de la radio y transmitirá programa por Periscope e Instagram".NTN24 | www.ntn24.com (in Spanish). 29 January 2019. Retrieved31 January 2019.
    *"Conatel amenaza con cerrar a medios privados que llamen a Guaidó presidente encargado".NTN24. 24 January 2019.Algunas radios y televisoras privadas del país han recibido una amenaza por parte de Conatel si reconocen al diputado Juan Guaidó como presidente encargado o interino de Venezuela. [Some private radios and television stations in the country have received a threat from Conatel if they recognize deputy Juan Guaidó as acting president or interim president of Venezuela.]
  445. ^"Sector salud y ciudadanía se congregan en actividad de VoluntariosxVenezuela el #16F".Tal Cual Digital (in Spanish). 16 February 2019. Retrieved16 February 2019.
  446. ^Franceschi-Bicchierai, Lorenzo and Jason Koebler (15 February 2019)."Venezuela's Government Appears To Be Trying to Hack Activists With Phishing Pages".Motherboard. Retrieved15 February 2019.
    *"DNS Manipulation in Venezuela in regards to the Humanitarian Aid Campaign".securelist.com. 13 February 2019. Retrieved15 February 2019.
    *"Cantv redirecciona página de Voluntarios X Venezuela a portal falso".NTN24 | www.ntn24.com (in Spanish). 13 February 2019. Retrieved15 February 2019.
    *"Denuncian creación un sitio web idéntico al portal Voluntarios X Venezuela".El Nacional (in Spanish). 15 February 2019. Retrieved15 February 2019.
  447. ^"Venezuela humanitarian aid volunteer platform blocked".NetBlocks. 17 February 2019. Retrieved18 February 2019.
  448. ^ab"Venezuela opposition pushes to re-elect Guaido as congress chief".Reuters. 5 January 2020. Archived fromthe original on 5 January 2020. Retrieved5 January 2020.
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  450. ^Fermín, María Victoria (18 March 2020)."Cantv bloquea web informativa sobre el COVID-19, denuncia Venezuela Sin Filtro".Efecto Cocuyo (in Spanish). Retrieved3 April 2020.
  451. ^Sarah Kinosian; Shaylim Valderrama (11 February 2020)."Venezuela's Guaido returns home after diplomatic world tour".Reuters. Retrieved26 February 2020.
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  454. ^"Venezuela detains top aide to Guaido in test of Trump's red line".Haaretz. Reuters. 21 March 2019. Retrieved21 March 2019.
  455. ^Rosati, Andrew (26 April 2019)."Venezuela Opposition Lawmaker Arrested Ahead of Demonstration".Bloomberg. Retrieved1 May 2019.
  456. ^Torchia, Christopher (26 April 2019)."US adds Venezuela foreign minister to sanctions target list".The Washington Post. Archived fromthe original on 26 April 2019. Retrieved1 May 2019.
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  459. ^abcdSanchez, Fabiola; Torchia, Christopher (8 May 2019)."Venezuela's top court targets opposition lawmakers".The Washington Post. Archived fromthe original on 7 May 2019. Retrieved8 May 2019.
  460. ^"TSJ corrige y excluye a un ciudadano de la lista de procesados por traición a la patria".Efeto Cocuyo (in Spanish). 7 May 2019. Archived fromthe original on 9 May 2019. Retrieved9 May 2019.
  461. ^Brito, Estefani (7 May 2019)."AN desconoció decisión del TSJ y atentado contra la inmunidad parlamentaria" (in Spanish). El Nacional. Retrieved8 May 2019.
  462. ^"Venezuelan rights group says 4 dead in clashes amid opposition call for uprising".CBC News. 2 May 2019. Retrieved2 May 2019.
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  464. ^abcSinger, Florantonia (9 May 2019)."Casi 70 diputados venezolanos han sido víctimas de persecución" [Almost 70 Venezuelan deputies have been victims of persecution].El Pais (in Spanish). Retrieved9 May 2019.
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