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Uxbridge and South Ruislip

Coordinates:51°32′N0°26′W / 51.54°N 0.44°W /51.54; -0.44
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(Redirected fromUxbridge and South Ruislip (UK Parliament constituency))
UK Parliament constituency (2010–)

Uxbridge and South Ruislip
Borough constituency
for theHouse of Commons
CountyGreater London
Electorate75,042 (2023)[1]
Major settlementsUxbridge,South Ruislip,Eastcote,Hillingdon,Yiewsley
Current constituency
Created2010
Member of ParliamentDanny Beales (Labour)
SeatsOne
Created from

Uxbridge and South Ruislip is aconstituency[n 1] inGreater London represented in theHouse of Commons of theUK Parliament since its2010 creation. The seat has been held byDanny Beales of theLabour Party since July 2024.

From 2015 to 2023, the seat was held by former Prime Minister (2019–2022)Boris Johnson, of theConservative Party. Johnson won the seat in2015 with a majority of 10,695. In2017, asForeign Secretary, he won a narrower majority of 5,034 votes. In2019, asPrime Minister, he won an increased majority of 7,210. Johnson formally resigned in June 2023 after receiving a copy of the Standard Committee's report intoPartygate, which recommended arecall petition.[2] The subsequent by-election was won by Conservative candidateSteve Tuckwell, who then lost the seat toDanny Beales in the2024 general election.

An estimate by theHouse of Commons Library puts the "Leave" vote by the constituency in the2016 referendum at 57.2%.[citation needed]

History

[edit]

TheConservative Party won in2010 and2015 by a margin of about 25%, and since 1970 the fourteen parliamentary elections in this constituency and its predecessor (the constituency ofUxbridge) were won by the Conservatives. The 2015 result gave the seat the 149th smallest majority of the Conservative Party's 331 seats by percentage of majority.[3]

2010–2017

[edit]

In 2010, for the Uxbridge-born Conservative candidateJohn Randall, theone-party swing in the seat was 0.1% greater than that seen nationally – enough on the newly drawn constituency boundaries to provide 48.3% of the vote, and a majority of more than 11,000 votes. In the 2010 and 2015 elections, three (of 8 and 13 candidates respectively) attained 5% or more of the vote, thus retaining theirdeposits.

In 2014,Boris Johnson was selected to run in the seat; he was elected in2015 with a swing of less than 1% toLabour and 50.2% of the vote. However, the2017 election saw a 13.6% increase in Labour's vote share, although Johnson also increased his votes, which reduced Johnson's majority to only 5,034, less than half his 2015 margin and by far the lowest for a Conservative candidate in the area since2001.

2019 general election

[edit]

Boris Johnson becamePrime Minister of the United Kingdom on 24 July 2019, following the resignation ofTheresa May.[4] His 2017 majority in Uxbridge and South Ruislip of 5,034 votes was the smallest of any sitting prime minister since 1924.[5] The main challenger in the seat was theLabour Party, whose 2019 candidate wasAli Milani. In April 2019, think-tank Onward classified the seat as "vulnerable" for the Conservatives,[6] whileYouGov classified the seat on 27 November 2019 as "likely Conservative".[7] An article inThe Independent on the same date inferred a 22.2% chance of Milani winning the seat from odds by bookmakerPaddy Power.[8] Johnson retained the seat with an increased vote share of 52.6% and an increased majority of 15%.

In 2019, two satirical candidates,Count Binface andLord Buckethead, stood for election. Lord Buckethead is the name of a character in the 1984 movieGremloids, and several previous UK election candidates have used the name, but Jon Harvey was prevented from standing again as Lord Buckethead afterGremloids creatorTodd Durham asserted his rights over the character. Instead, Harvey stood as Count Binface and anOfficial Monster Raving Loony Party candidate used the name Lord Buckethead.[9][10] On 6 December, Lord Buckethead encouraged constituents to vote for Labour candidate Ali Milani.[11][12] Also standing wasWilliam Tobin, who aimed to receive no votes. As an expatriate who has lived abroad for 15 years, he was not able to vote in UK elections, but could stand as a candidate. Tobin stood to raise awareness of disenfranchisement of voting rights for expatriates, as well as 16- and 17-year-olds and foreign nationals who live in the UK.[13][14] Tobin received five votes.

2023 by-election

[edit]

On 9 June 2023, Johnson announced his intention to resign, triggering the2023 Uxbridge and South Ruislip by-election.[15] The resignation occurred on 12 June 2023[16] and the by-election took place on 20 July 2023.[17] It was won by theTory candidateSteve Tuckwell, although with vote share reduced from 52.6% in 2019 to 45.2%, with Tuckwell beating Labour candidateDanny Beales by less than 500 votes.

2024 general election

[edit]

The latest election was held on Thursday, 4 July 2024. The seat was won by Labour candidateDanny Beales, who ousted Tory MPSteve Tuckwell after less than 12 months in office. Beales secured 16,599 votes (36.2%) compared to Tuckwell's 16,012 votes (34.9%).[18] This was a reversal of the 2023 by-election (triggered by Boris Johnson's resignation), in which Tuckwell beat Beales by fewer than 500 votes (see below for full results).Other candidates running included:Reform UK candidate Tim Wheeler,Green Party candidate Sarah Green, andLiberal Democrats (UK) candidateIan Rex-Hawkes.[19]

Boundaries

[edit]

2010–2024

[edit]
Map
Map of 2010-2024 boundaries

Most of the constituency came from that ofUxbridge, which was first established under theRedistribution of Seats Act 1885; however parts of the seat came fromRuislip-Northwood andHayes and Harlington, both of which had been carved out of the Uxbridge seat in 1950. The 1950 changes reflected the area's growth in population since1918, the previous national reorganisation of seats.

The boundaries of the constituency changed prior to thegeneral election in 2010 as Parliament approved theFifth periodic review of Westminster constituencies.Ickenham and parts ofWest Ruislip were allocated to the new seat ofRuislip, Northwood and Pinner. Treating the constituency as the direct successor to the Uxbridge seat, it gained the electoral wards:

The seat comprised the followingelectoral wards:

Current

[edit]
Uxbridge and South Ruislip from 2024

Further to the2023 periodic review of Westminster constituencies, which came into effect for the2024 general election, the constituency is composed of the following wards of the London Borough of Hillingdon:

As a result of a new ward structure, the boundary withRuislip, Northwood and Pinner was realigned, with the constituency gaining the Ickenham and South Harefield ward, but losing parts of the (redrawn) Eastcote and Ruislip wards.

Constituency profile

[edit]

The seat is in theOuter London commuter belt, is served by seventube stations, and includes green spaces such as theColne Valley regional park. In contrast to neighbouringHayes and inner western suburbs, the area is withoutbrutalist tower blocks. The highest density of buildings is found close to historicUxbridge town centre, a hub in a seat that is ethnically diverse and prosperous, including on its outskirtsBrunel University. Most of the borough electoral wards in the area vote Conservative, except for Uxbridge South, which returns Labour councillors. Workless claimants, registered jobseekers, were in November 2012 significantly lower than the national average of 3.8%, at 2.6% of the population based on a statistical compilation byThe Guardian.[22]

The constituencyvoted to leave the European Union in 2016 with an estimated 57.2% of votes, according to aHouse of Commons Library report.[23] In August 2018, an analysis of YouGov polling by Focaldata suggested support for Remain had risen from 43.6% to 51.4%.Boris Johnson, former Prime Minister and Member of Parliament for the constituency, is a prominentEurosceptic politician and was a key figure of theVote Leave campaign in the run-up to theBrexit referendum on 23 June 2016; which resulted in a victory for the Leave campaign when the UK electorate voted in favour of British withdrawal from the European Union.[24]

Members of Parliament

[edit]
YearsMemberParty
Constituency created fromUxbridge andRuislip-Northwood
2010John RandallConservative
2015Boris JohnsonConservative
2023 by-electionSteve TuckwellConservative
2024Danny BealesLabour

Elections

[edit]
Election results 2010-2024

Elections in the 2020s

[edit]
General election 2024: Uxbridge and South Ruislip[25]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
LabourDanny Beales16,59936.2–0.8
ConservativeSteve Tuckwell16,01234.9–17.7
ReformTim Wheeler6,61014.4N/A
GreenSarah Green4,3549.5+6.8
Liberal DemocratsIan Rex-Hawkes1,7523.8–2.8
TUSCGary Harbord2230.5N/A
SDPStephen Gardner2000.4N/A
UKIPGeoff Courtenay1640.4–0.2
Majority5871.3N/A
Turnout45,91461.4–6.3
Registered electors74,746
Labourgain fromConservativeSwingIncrease8.5
2019notional result[26]
PartyVote%
Conservative26,71252.6
Labour18,77337.0
Liberal Democrats3,3716.6
Green1,3472.7
Others5791.2
Turnout50,78267.7
Electorate75,042
2023 Uxbridge and South Ruislip by-election[27]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
ConservativeSteve Tuckwell13,96545.2–7.4
LabourDanny Beales13,47043.6+6.0
GreenSarah Green8932.9+0.7
ReclaimLaurence Fox7142.3N/A
Liberal DemocratsBlaise Baquiche5261.7–4.6
SDPSteve Gardner2480.8N/A
IndependentKingsley Hamilton Anti-Ulez2080.7N/A
Count BinfaceCount Binface1900.6+0.5
IndependentNo-Ulez Leo Phaure1860.6N/A
Rejoin EURichard Hewison1050.3N/A
Let London LivePiers Corbyn1010.3N/A
IndependentCameron Bell910.3N/A
CPAEnomfon Ntefon780.3N/A
UKIPRebecca Jane610.2–0.4
ClimateEd Gemmell490.2N/A
Monster Raving LoonyHowling Laud Hope320.1–0.2
Independent77 Joseph80.0N/A
Majority4951.6–13.4
Turnout30,92546.1–22.4
Registered electors67,067
ConservativeholdSwing–6.7

Elections in the 2010s

[edit]
General election 2019: Uxbridge and South Ruislip[28][29]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
ConservativeBoris Johnson25,35152.6+1.8
LabourAli Milani18,14137.6–2.4
Liberal DemocratsJoanne Humphreys3,0266.3+2.4
GreenMark Keir1,0902.2+0.3
UKIPGeoffrey Courtenay2830.6–2.8
Monster Raving LoonyLord Buckethead1250.3N/A
IndependentCount Binface690.1N/A
IndependentAlfie Utting440.1N/A
[30]Yace "Interplanetary Time Lord" Yogenstein230.0N/A
IndependentNorma Burke220.0N/A
[30]Bobby Smith80.0N/A
[30]William Tobin[31]50.0N/A
Majority7,21015.0+4.2
Turnout48,18768.5+1.7
Registered electors70,369
ConservativeholdSwing+2.1
General election 2017: Uxbridge and South Ruislip[28][32]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
ConservativeBoris Johnson23,71650.8+0.6
LabourVincent Lo18,68240.0+13.6
Liberal DemocratsRosina Robson1,8353.9–1.0
UKIPLizzy Kemp1,5773.4–10.8
GreenMark Keir8841.9–1.3
Majority5,03410.8–13.0
Turnout46,69466.8+3.4
Registered electors69,936
ConservativeholdSwing–6.5
General election 2015: Uxbridge and South Ruislip[33][34][35]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
ConservativeBoris Johnson22,51150.2+1.9
LabourChris Summers[36]11,81626.4+3.0
UKIPJack Duffin6,34614.2+11.5
Liberal DemocratsMichael Cox2,2154.9–14.9
GreenGraham Lee[37]1,4143.2+2.1
TUSCGary Harbord[38]1800.4N/A
IndependentJenny Thompson[39]840.2N/A
Monster Raving LoonyHowling Laud Hope[40]720.2N/A
Communities UnitedSabrina Moosun[39]520.1N/A
The Eccentric Party of Great Britain (UK)Lord Toby Jug[39]500.1N/A
IndependentMichael Doherty[39]390.1N/A
The Realists' PartyJane Lawrence[39]180.0N/A
IndependentJames Jackson[39]140.0N/A
Majority10,69523.8–1.1
Turnout44,81163.4+0.1
Registered electors70,631
ConservativeholdSwing–0.5
General election 2010: Uxbridge and South Ruislip[41]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
ConservativeJohn Randall*21,75848.3
LabourSidharath Garg10,54223.4
Liberal DemocratsMike Cox8,99520.0
BNPDiane Neal1,3963.1
UKIPMark Wadsworth1,2342.7
GreenMike Harling4771.1
English DemocratRoger Cooper4030.9
National FrontFrank McCallister2710.6
Majority11,21624.9
Turnout45,07663.3
Registered electors71,160
Conservativewin (new seat)
Source:BBC News[42]
*Served as an MP in the 2005–2010 Parliament

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^Acounty constituency (for the purposes of election expenses and type of returning officer).

References

[edit]
  1. ^"The 2023 Review of Parliamentary Constituency Boundaries in England – Volume two: Constituency names, designations and composition – London". Boundary Commission for England. Retrieved4 June 2024.
  2. ^"Resignation statement in full as Boris Johnson steps down". BBC News. BBC News. 10 June 2023. Retrieved13 June 2023.
  3. ^"Conservative Members of Parliament 2015".UK Political.info.Archived from the original on 8 June 2017. Retrieved12 February 2017.
  4. ^Mason, Rowena (24 July 2019)."Boris Johnson becomes PM with promise of Brexit by 31 October".The Guardian. Retrieved27 July 2019.
  5. ^Townsend, Mark (17 November 2019)."The view from Uxbridge: young voters battle to oust Johnson from his own seat".The Observer.ISSN 0029-7712. Retrieved17 November 2019.
  6. ^Chakelian, Anoosh (24 July 2019)."Meet Ali Milani, the millennial who could unseat Boris Johnson in Uxbridge".New Statesman. Retrieved10 November 2019.
  7. ^Timsit, Annabelle (2 December 2019).""I don't think he's got a hope in hell": A 25-year-old's quest to oust Boris Johnson".Quartz. Retrieved2 December 2019.
  8. ^Moore, James (27 November 2019)."The bookies now think there's a higher chance that Boris Johnson could lose his seat – here's why".The Independent. Retrieved1 December 2019.
  9. ^Cockburn, Harry (15 November 2019)."Count Binface: Former Lord Buckethead takes aim at election rival who took his name as he bids to unseat Boris Johnson".The Independent. Retrieved1 December 2019.
  10. ^Morrison, Sean (15 November 2019)."Man behind Lord Buckethead to run in Boris Johnson's constituency under new alias... Binface".Evening Standard. Retrieved1 December 2019.
  11. ^@LordBuckethead (6 December 2019)."Humans of Earth, Heed My Party Political Broadcast! [...]" (Tweet) – viaTwitter.
  12. ^Adams, Tim (7 December 2019)."The gloves are off in Uxbridge, but Johnson is nowhere to be found".The Guardian. Retrieved7 December 2019.
  13. ^"Don't vote for me, says Boris Johnson's election rival".Ealing Times. 29 November 2019. Retrieved2 December 2019.
  14. ^Rowland, Oliver (15 November 2019)."Briton in France stands against Boris Johnson".The Connexion. Archived fromthe original on 7 December 2019. Retrieved2 December 2019.
  15. ^"Boris Johnson stands down as MP with immediate effect".Sky News. Retrieved12 June 2023.
  16. ^"Boris Johnson formally steps down as MP | Boris Johnson | The Guardian".amp.theguardian.com. 12 June 2023. Retrieved12 June 2023.
  17. ^Salisbury, Josh (15 June 2023)."By-election date confirmed for Boris Johnson's London constituency".Evening Standard. Retrieved15 June 2023.
  18. ^"Statement of Person Nominated and Notice of Poll: Uxbridge and South Ruislip Constituency"(PDF). Hillingdon Council. 7 June 2024.
  19. ^"You Deserve Better".You Deserve Better.
  20. ^"Uxbridge and South Ruislip".UK Polling Report. Archived fromthe original on 17 February 2011. Retrieved21 April 2011.
  21. ^"The Parliamentary Constituencies Order 2023". Schedule 1 Part 3 London region.
  22. ^Unemployment claimants by constituencyThe Guardian
  23. ^Dempsey, Noel (6 February 2017)."Brexit: votes by constituency".House of Commons Library. Retrieved1 December 2019.
  24. ^Savage, Michael (11 August 2018)."More than 100 seats that backed Brexit now want to remain in EU".The Observer.
  25. ^"Statement of Person Nominated and Notice of Poll: Uxbridge and South Ruislip Constituency"(PDF). Hillingdon Council. 7 June 2024.
  26. ^"Notional results for a UK general election on 12 December 2019".Rallings & Thrasher, Professor David Denver (Scotland), Nicholas Whyte (NI) for Sky News, PA, BBC News and ITV News.UK Parliament. Retrieved11 July 2024.
  27. ^"Commons Briefing Paper 9225. By-elections in the 2019 Parliament"(PDF). London:House of Commons Library. 20 October 2023. Retrieved3 December 2023.
  28. ^ab"Uxbridge & Ruislip South parliamentary constituency".BBC News.
  29. ^"Commons Briefing Paper 8749. General Election 2019: results and analysis"(PDF). London:House of Commons Library. 28 January 2020.Archived(PDF) from the original on 18 November 2021. Retrieved19 January 2022.
  30. ^abcThisindependent candidate left the optionalDescription field blank on the"Statement of Persons Nominated"(PDF).London Borough of Hillingdon. Archived fromthe original(PDF) on 15 November 2019. Retrieved14 November 2019.
  31. ^"I'm Standing!"(PDF). April 2020. Retrieved16 May 2021.
  32. ^"Commons Briefing Paper 7979. General Election 2017: results and analysis"(PDF) (Second ed.).House of Commons Library. 29 January 2019 [7 April 2018].Archived(PDF) from the original on 12 November 2019.
  33. ^"Election Data 2015".Electoral Calculus. Archived fromthe original on 17 October 2015. Retrieved17 October 2015.
  34. ^"London Borough of Hillingdon – Uxbridge and South Ruislip constituency results 2015". Government of the United Kingdom. Archived fromthe original on 5 September 2017. Retrieved22 April 2018.
  35. ^"Uxbridge & Ruislip South parliamentary constituency – Election 2015 – BBC News". BBC.
  36. ^"VOTE FOR CHRIS SUMMERS".VOTE FOR CHRIS SUMMERS.
  37. ^"Your Green candidates for May 2015".London Green Party. Archived fromthe original on 8 January 2015. Retrieved25 February 2015.
  38. ^"TUSC parliamentary candidates in May 2015"(PDF).Tusc.org. Retrieved13 June 2017.
  39. ^abcdefWhite, Lloyd (9 April 2015)."Statement of persons nominated and notice of poll. Election of a Member of Parliament for Uxbridge & South Ruislip Constituency".Hillingdon London Borough Council. Archived fromthe original on 18 April 2015. Retrieved10 April 2015.
  40. ^"Monster Raving Loony's Howling Laud Hope's career". BBC. 27 November 2014.
  41. ^"Election Data 2010".Electoral Calculus. Archived fromthe original on 26 July 2013. Retrieved17 October 2015.
  42. ^"Election 2010: Uxbridge & South Ruislip".BBC News. Retrieved21 April 2011.

External links

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