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United for Hungary

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Political alliance in Hungary
United for Hungary
Egységben Magyarországért
LeaderPéter Márki-Zay[a]
Founded20 December 2020 (2020-12-20)
Dissolved3 April 2022 (2022-04-03)
Preceded byUnity
Succeeded byDK–MSZP–Dialogue
IdeologyAnti–Orbanism
Liberal democracy
Pro-Europeanism
Political positionBig tent[1]
Colors Turquoise
 White
 Blue
SloganLegyen Magyarország mindannyiunké!
('Let Hungary belong to us all!')
Website
egysegbenmagyarorszagert.hu

United for Hungary[b] (Hungarian:Egységben Magyarországért[ˈɛcʃeːɡbɛnˈmɒɟɒrorsaːɡeːrt]) was a big tentpolitical alliance inHungary that was formed to compete in the2022 parliamentary election. The alliance lost the 2022 election, and dissolved shortly after.[3][4]

History

[edit]
Slogan of the coalition

The need for collaboration

[edit]
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The need for opposition cooperation was deemed by some to stem from the characteristics of the latest electoral system, the diversity of opposition parties, and thegame-theoretic characteristics of human behavior:

  1. a single round,plurality voting system introduced in 2011 delegates the most supported district candidate to parliament, even if his or her support is actually below 50%, only the other candidates received even less support individually. This is identical in the United Kingdom, however in Hungary, the electoral system was adopted and therefore districts were created solely by the ruling parties, and many consider the districts to begerrymandered in their favour.
  2. due to the unity of the right-wing ruling parties (Fidesz–KDNP) and the multiplicity of opposition parties, and without opposition coordination, the last voters have been naturally divided among their parties for years, so that their voting power has mostly not reached the one-sided right-wing community
  3. opposition parties facethe tragedy of the commons known from game theory, because if they pursue their selfish interests alone, they are more likely to get into parliament and stay afloat, although they cannot form a government, and their cooperation is hampered by the fact that "a selfish player in this game his behavior naturally entails similar behavior by others":
    • "Under the current rules, if a single party lists, it must reach 5% to get in, if two, 10%, if more, 15%."[5] – it encourages selfishness, as there is a greater risk to not reaching the higher threshold
    • "a political group could henceforth be formed only by members of the same party who had drawn up a national list and obtained a mandate in the previous election"[6] – this is a condition for remaining afloat
    • out of 106 "candidates must be nominated in 27 SMDs (since increase to 71) in order for the nominating organization to have a national list"[7] – but the district votes areshattered if more opposition candidates enter in one district
    • vote for losing candidates are transferred to the list tier (although with inherently less weight), thereby encouraging every party to run a candidate in every SMD if they run separately, unless any agreements to tactically withdraw prove more beneficial

According to Tibor Závecz, managing director of Závecz Research, the support data and the willingness of the opposition side to vote show that there can even be close competition between Fidesz and the opposition, which has been cooperating much more closely than before. Fidesz has a huge advantage on the party list, but it can be a potential challenger in the unifying opposition. According to a July 2020 poll, 87% of opposition voters supported the common candidate, 83% also supported the common list.[8]

Foundation and Purpose of the Alliance

[edit]

The founder parties of the alliance at its formation were theHungarian Socialist Party,Democratic Coalition,Jobbik,LMP – Hungary's Green Party,Dialogue for Hungary and theMomentum Movement. Other associate parties and organizations were theÚVNP, theHungarian Liberal Party, theNew Start, theEverybody's Hungary Movement, the 99 Movement and theSpark Movement, however, their candidates had to join one of the 6 main parties' parliamentary groups if they win a seat.

The alliance's aim is to nominate one candidate against theFidesz–KDNP candidate in each of the 106 individual constituencies and, in the event of a victory, to co-govern on the basis of a commonly agreed programme and principles.[9]

Opposition parties are not expected to merge completely, as the goal is not to eliminate differences, but to function if they want not only a change of government, but "to create a lasting livable Hungary where differences can be discussed and managed".[10]

Controversies within the party alliance

[edit]

Closer cooperation through the alliance, but much debate is also expected between the parties. A joint program can be created through close cooperation between the expert staffs, the background institutions and the party foundations operating them, which requires the coordination of financial resources and communication activities.[10]

Serious debates were expected on the selection of the 106 individual candidates, the issue of joint or separate lists, and the manner in which the joint prime ministerial candidate would be selected. The alliance was born of several ideas; some parties supported full cooperation, but Péter Jakab, president of Jobbik, spoke of two types of lists, namely an MSZP-DK-Dialogue and a Jobbik-Momentum-LMP list.[5] Jakab said he needed two lists because he said not many people in rural villages would vote for politicians ruling before 2010. A joint decision on this issue was expected by the end of 2020.[8] According to a July 2020 survey, only 5 percent wanted more lists, the rest uncertain. Common candidates were supported regardless of party preference, with differences in sympathizers from each party in the common list: 80 and 81 percent of DK and Momentum voters would support "only" it (4 and 7 percent, respectively, strongly oppose it), while 88-91 percent of the rate. In his view, that one list would be psychologically better for the opposition. However, according to an analyst at Political Capital, anti-Orbán voters could be better mobilized if they had at least one tiny choice and could choose at least the most attractive party groupings.[8]

Primary elections

[edit]
Main article:2021 Hungarian opposition primary

The party presidents agreed to set up a joint programme in the interests of the country and considered the institution of primary elections to be a legitimate tool for the selection of individual candidates in addition to the negotiated path.[9] Not only individual joint candidates were decided by primary, but also the person of the joint prime ministerial candidate.[11]

The opposition primary was held between 18 and 28 September 2021 (first round) and 10–16 October 2021 (second round), it was the first countrywide primary election in the political history of Hungary. 106 local candidates were elected to be the joint candidates of the participating opposition parties.

Non-partisan candidatePéter Márki-Zay was elected as prime ministerial candidate of the united opposition.

Selection of list candidates

[edit]

Some participating parties, including MSZP, LMP, Momentum and Dialogue for Hungary have already put forward a list of their preferred candidates for the joint list prior to the full list of candidates for the joint list of United for Hungary being announced.[12]

2022 election results

[edit]

United for Hungary lost the 2022 elections.[3][4]

Some analysts claimed that the majority ofJobbik voters turned out forFidesz orMi Hazánk instead of the united opposition.[13] Márki-Zay shared this assessment, admitting that the united opposition may have lost up to "two thirds" of Jobbik voters.[14] Other opposition leaders could not immediately agree on how to assess their defeat.

DK leaderFerenc Gyurcsány and Jobbik leaderPéter Jakab blamed Márky-Zay,[15][16][17] whileBernadett Szél andÁkos Hadházy did not.[18]Péter Ungár claimed that while it was a "strategic mistake" for a center-left alliance to nominate the conservative Márky-Zay, the united opposition's "elitist" rhetoric may have hurt it with rural voters even in traditionally left-leaning constituencies.[19]

Composition

[edit]

United for Hungary is composed of the followingpolitical parties and organisations:

Main parties

[edit]
PartyAbbr.Main ideologyLeader(s)
Democratic CoalitionDKSocial liberalismFerenc Gyurcsány
JobbikJobbikConservatismPéter Jakab
Momentum MovementMMLiberalismAndrás Fekete-Győr (2017–2021)
Anna Orosz (2021)
Anna Donáth (2021–2022)
Hungarian Socialist PartyMSZPSocial democracyBertalan Tóth
Ágnes Kunhalmi
LMP – Hungary's Green PartyLMPGreen liberalismMáté Kanász-Nagy
Erzsébet Schmuck
Dialogue – The Greens' PartyPMGreen politicsGergely Karácsony
Tímea Szabó

Associate parties

[edit]
PartyAbbr.Main ideologyLeader(s)
Hungarian Liberal PartyMLPLiberalismAnett Bősz
New StartUKConservative liberalismKrisztina Hohn
New World People's PartyÚVNPLiberal conservatismJózsef Pálinkás

Organizations

[edit]
OrganisationAbbr.IdeologyLeader
Everybody's Hungary MovementMMMLiberal conservatismPéter Márki-Zay
99 Movement99MProgressivismGergely Karácsony[c]
Spark MovementSzikraDemocratic socialism,green politicsCollective leadership

Election results

[edit]

National Assembly

[edit]
ElectionLeaderConstituencyParty listSeats+/–Status
Votes%Votes%
2022Péter Márki-Zay1,983,70836.90 (#2)1,947,33134.44 (#2)
57 / 199
NewOpposition

See also

[edit]

Notes

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  1. ^Winner of the2021 opposition primary, candidate forPrime Minister in the 2022 election.
  2. ^Previously known as theUnited Opposition.[2]
  3. ^Karácsony was the co-leader ofDialogue, the movement was founded to support his candidacy for Prime Minister in 2021.

References

[edit]
  1. ^Gaál, Bence (17 March 2022)."Election battle enters final stretch as April 3 approaches".Budapest Business Journal. Retrieved24 October 2023.
  2. ^Gosling, Tim (12 November 2021)."Hungary's Opposition Unites in a Bid to Defeat Orban".World Politics Review. Retrieved4 February 2022.
  3. ^abClinch, Matt (3 April 2022)."Prime Minister Viktor Orban declares victory in Hungary election".CNBC. Retrieved3 April 2022.
  4. ^abKomuves, Anita; Szakacs, Gergely (3 April 2022)."Orban on track for crushing victory as Ukraine war solidifies support".Reuters. Retrieved3 April 2022.
  5. ^ab"A 22-es választás csapdái" (in Hungarian). 2020-02-12. Retrieved2020-05-16.
  6. ^László, Szily (2019-12-06)."A Fidesz egy módosítással saját maga szabná meg az ellenzéki pártok struktúráját".444. Retrieved2020-06-14.
  7. ^Péter, Magyari (2020-01-02)."19-re kellene lapot húznia az ellenzéknek".444. Retrieved2020-06-14.
  8. ^abc"Orbán elleni csodafegyvert talált az ellenzék?". hvg.hu. 2020-08-14. Retrieved2020-08-17.
  9. ^ab"Minden választókerületben közös jelöltet indít az ellenzék a Fidesz ellen 2022-ben". index.hu. 2020-08-13. Retrieved2020-08-17.
  10. ^ab"Lakner az ellenzéki összefogásról: komoly vizsga lesz a közös jelöltek kiválasztása". hvg.hu. 2020-08-15. Retrieved2020-08-17.
  11. ^"Közös miniszterelnök-jelöltet állít az ellenzék 2022-ben".24.hu (in Hungarian). 2020-11-16. Retrieved2021-02-09.
  12. ^"Ungár Péter vezeti az LMP ellenzéki listán belüli listáját".telex (in Hungarian). 2021-12-12. Retrieved2021-12-25.
  13. ^"A Jobbik szavazói hiányozhattak leginkább az ellenzéki együttműködés mögül". Political Capital. Retrieved4 April 2022.
  14. ^Presinsky, Judit; Cseke, Balázs (4 April 2022)."Márki-Zay Péter: A baloldali szavazók megvoltak dekára, a jobbikosok kétharmada elveszett". Retrieved4 April 2022.
  15. ^Presinszky, Judit (3 April 2022)."Gyurcsány Ferenc szerint Márki-Zay nem volt a legjobb kapitány".Telex.hu. Telex. Retrieved4 April 2022.
  16. ^Presinsky, Judit; Cseke, Balázs (4 April 2022)."Jakab Péter szerint ő már eleget mosta Márki-Zay szennyesét, aki ellenzéki előnyből fél év alatt brutális hátrányt csinált". Retrieved4 April 2022.
  17. ^"Jakab Péter: Épp eleget mostam már Márki-Zay szennyesét".Magyar Hang. 4 April 2022. Retrieved5 April 2022.
  18. ^"Szél Bernadett szerint Magyarországot egy fortélyos hatalom irányítja, Hadházy szerint nem Márki-Zay a kudarc oka, Navracsics meglepődött".Telex.hu. Telex. 4 April 2022. Retrieved4 April 2022.
  19. ^Cseke, Balázs."Ungár Péter: Stratégiai hiba, hogy jobboldali jelöltje lett a baloldali centrumú ellenzéknek".Telex.hu. Telex. Retrieved4 April 2022.
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