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United States presidential elections in Florida

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Presidential elections in Florida
Map of the United States with Florida highlighted
Number of elections44
Voted Democratic25
Voted Republican18
Voted Whig1
Voted other0
Voted for winning candidate31
Voted for losing candidate12
Elections in Florida
Presidential elections
Presidential primaries
Democratic
2000
2004
2008
2012
2016
2020
2024
Republican
2008
2012
2016
2020
2024
U.S. Senate elections
U.S. House of Representatives elections
C.S. House of Representatives elections
General elections
Gubernatorial elections
Attorney General elections
Chief Financial Officer elections
Agriculture Commissioner elections
Senate elections
House of Representatives elections
Ballot measures
Government

Florida is astate in theSouth Atlantic region of theUnited States.[1] Since itsadmission to the Union in March 1845, it has participated in everyUnited States presidential elections, with the1848 election being the first. In this election, theWhig Party won Florida's three electoral votes with 57.20% of the vote; this was its only victory in the state.[2]

In therealigning1860 election, Florida was one of the tenslave states that did not provideballot access to theRepublican nominee,Abraham Lincoln.[3]John C. Breckinridge emerged victorious, winning 62.23% of the vote.[4] Shortly after the 1860 election, Floridaseceded from the Union and became a part of theConfederacy.[5] As a result, it did not participate in the1864 presidential election.[6]

With the end of theCivil War, Florida rejoined the Union and participated in the1868 presidential election. This was the sole presidential election in Florida not decided by the popular vote; instead, thestate legislature choseUlysses S. Grant.[7]

Florida voted for the Republican nominee in all three presidential elections held during theReconstruction era.[8][9] Shortly after, white Democrats regained control of the legislature. In 1885, they created a new constitution, followed by statutes through 1889, thatdisfranchised mostBlack people and many poor whites.[10][11] From the end of the Reconstruction era until the1952 presidential election, the Republican Party only won Florida once, in1928. According to historian Herbert J. Doherty, the Republicans' victory in that election was mainly becauseAl Smith, the Democratic nominee, was aCatholic and opposed toProhibition, causing many members of theSouthern Baptist Convention to switch to the Republican Party.[12] The Republican victory in 1952 has been attributed to the emergence of thePinellas Republican Party, which attracted many voters.[13]

Since the 1952 presidential election, the Democrats have only won Florida five times: in1964,1976,1996,2008, and2012. In2000,George W. Bush ledAl Gore by less than 2,000 votes on election day, but as therecount proceeded, the gap between the two sides continued to narrow.[14] InBush v. Gore, the Bush campaign filed a lawsuit against Gore in the U.S. Supreme Court, arguing that the recounting of votes in certain counties violated theEqual Protection Clause of theU.S. Constitution. The Supreme Court announced the halt of voterecounting.[15] After a lengthy judicial process, Bush eventually won Florida's electoral votes by a margin of only 537 votes out of almost six million cast (0.009%) and, as a result, became the president-elect.[16] However, the result sparked controversy.[17]

Florida was long aswing state; furthermore, it had been seen as abellwether in presidential elections since 1928, only voting for the non-winner in1960,1992 and2020.[18] However, with the Republican Party far exceeding its national average in Florida in the2022 midterm elections, many analysts believe that the state has transitioned from being a Republican-leaning swing state into a reliable red state, with Democratic-leaning trends inHillsborough County,Orange County, andOsceola County unable to offset Republican gains inMiami-Dade County,Broward County, andPalm Beach County.[19][20] This proposition was reinforced in2024, when RepublicanDonald Trump won the state by 13.1 points, a margin that was 11.6 points greater than the national popular vote.

Presidential elections

[edit]
Key for parties
  Democratic Party – (D)
  Dixiecrat Party – (DI)
  Ecology Party – (E)
  Free Soil Party – (FS)
  Green Party – (G)
  Know Nothing Party – (KN)
  Libertarian Party – (LI)
  Populist Party – (PO)
  Progressive Party (1912) – (PR-1912)
  Progressive Party (1924) – (PR-1924)
  Prohibition Party – (PRO)
  Reform Party – (RE)
  Republican Party – (R)
  Whig Party – (W)
Note – A double dagger (‡) indicates the national winner.

1848 to 1856

[edit]
Presidential elections in Florida from 1848 to 1856
YearWinnerRunner-up (nationally)Other candidate[a]EVRef.
CandidateVotes%CandidateVotes%CandidateVotes%
1848Zachary Taylor(W)‡4,12057.2%Lewis Cass(D)3,08342.8%Martin Van Buren(FS)
[b]
3
1852Franklin Pierce(D)‡4,31860.03%Winfield Scott(W)2,87539.97%John P. Hale(FS)
[b]
3
1856James Buchanan(D)‡6,35856.81%John C. Frémont(R)
[b]
Millard Fillmore(KN)4,83343.19%3

1860 and 1864

[edit]

The election of 1860 was a complex realigning election in which the breakdown of the previous two-party alignment culminated in four parties each competing for influence in different parts of the country.[31] The result of the election, with the victory of an ardent opponent ofslavery, spurred the secession of eleven states and brought about theAmerican Civil War.[32]

1860 Presidential election in Florida
YearWinnerRunner-upRunner-upRunner-upEVRef.
CandidateVotes
(%)
CandidateVotes
(%)
CandidateVotes
(%)
CandidateVotes
(%)
1860John C. Breckinridge(SD)8,277
(62.23%)
John Bell(CU)4,801
(36.1%)
Stephen A. Douglas(D)223
(1.68%)
Abraham Lincoln(R)‡
[b]
4
1864
Election was not conducted in Florida as itseceded from theUnion to join theConfederacy

1868 to present

[edit]
Presidential elections in Florida from 1864 to present
YearWinnerRunner-upOther candidate[c]EVRef.
CandidateVotes%CandidateVotes%CandidateVotes%
Ulysses S. Grant(R)‡
Horatio Seymour(D)
3
Ulysses S. Grant(R)‡17,76353.52%Horace Greeley(LR)15,42746.48%
4
Rutherford B. Hayes(R)‡23,84950.99%Samuel J. Tilden(D)22,92749.01%
4
Winfield S. Hancock(D)27,96454.17%James A. Garfield(R)‡23,65445.83%
4
Grover Cleveland(D)‡31,76952.96%James G. Blaine(R)28,03146.73%John St. John(PRO)720.12%4
Grover Cleveland(D)39,55759.48%Benjamin Harrison(R)‡26,52939.89%Clinton Fisk(PRO)4140.62%4
Grover Cleveland(D)‡30,15385.01%James B. Weaver(PO)4,84313.65%John Bidwell(PRO)4751.34%4
William Jennings Bryan(D)32,75670.46%William McKinley(R)‡11,29824.3%John M. Palmer(ND)17783.82%4
William Jennings Bryan(D)28,27371.31%William McKinley(R)‡7,35518.55%John G. Woolley(PRO)2,2445.66%4
Alton B. Parker(D)27,04668.82%Theodore Roosevelt(R)‡8,31421.15%Eugene V. Debs(S)2,3375.95%5
William Jennings Bryan(D)31,10463.01%William Howard Taft(R)‡10,65421.58%Eugene V. Debs(S)3,7477.59%5
Woodrow Wilson(D)‡35,34369.52%Eugene V. Debs(S)4,8069.45%Theodore Roosevelt(PR-1912)4,5558.96%6
Woodrow Wilson(D)‡55,98469.34%Charles Evans Hughes(R)14,61118.1%Allan L. Benson(S)5,3536.63%6
James M. Cox(D)90,51562.13%Warren Harding(R)‡44,85330.79%Eugene V. Debs(S)5,1893.56%6
John W. Davis(D)62,08356.88%Calvin Coolidge(R)‡30,63328.06%Robert M. La Follette(PR-1924)8,6257.9%6
Herbert Hoover(R)‡144,16856.83%Al Smith(D)101,76440.12%Norman Thomas(S)4,0361.59%6
Franklin D. Roosevelt(D)‡206,30774.49%Herbert Hoover(R)69,17024.98%Norman Thomas(S)7750.28%7
Franklin D. Roosevelt(D)‡249,11776.08%Alfred Landon(R)78,24823.9%Norman Thomas(S)90%7
Franklin D. Roosevelt(D)‡359,33473.99%Wendell Willkie(R)126,15825.98%Various candidates (Write-ins)1480.03%7
Franklin D. Roosevelt(D)‡339,37770.29%Thomas Dewey(R)143,21529.66%Various candidates (Write-ins)2110.04%8
Harry Truman(D)‡281,98848.82%Thomas Dewey(R)194,28033.63%Strom Thurmond(DI)89,75515.54%8
Dwight D. Eisenhower(R)‡544,03654.99%Adlai Stevenson II(D)444,95044.97%Various candidates (Write-ins)3510.04%10
Dwight D. Eisenhower(R)‡643,84957.19%Adlai Stevenson II(D)480,37142.67%Various candidates (Write-ins)1,5420.14%10
Richard Nixon(R)795,47651.51%John F. Kennedy(D)‡748,70048.49%
10
Lyndon B. Johnson(D)‡948,54051.14%Barry Goldwater(R)905,94148.84%
14
Richard Nixon(R)‡886,80440.53%Hubert Humphrey(D)676,79430.93%George Wallace(AI)624,20728.53%14
Richard Nixon(R)‡1,857,75971.91%George McGovern(D)718,11727.8%Various candidates (Write-ins)7,4070.29%17
Jimmy Carter(D)‡1,636,00051.93%Gerald Ford(R)1,469,53146.64%Eugene McCarthy(I)23,6430.75%17
Ronald Reagan(R)‡2,046,95155.52%Jimmy Carter(D)1,419,47538.5%John B. Anderson(I)189,6925.14%17
Ronald Reagan(R)‡2,730,35065.32%Walter Mondale(D)1,448,81634.66%David Bergland(LI)7540.02%21
George H. W. Bush(R)‡2,618,88560.87%Michael Dukakis(D)1,656,70138.51%Ron Paul(LI)19,7960.46%21
George H. W. Bush(R)2,173,31040.89%Bill Clinton(D)‡2,072,69839%Ross Perot(I)1,053,06719.82%25
Bill Clinton(D)‡2,546,87048.02%Bob Dole(R)2,244,53642.32%Ross Perot(RE)483,8709.12%25
George W. Bush(R)‡2,912,79048.85%Al Gore(D)2,912,25348.84%Ralph Nader(G)97,4881.63%25
George W. Bush(R)‡3,964,52252.1%John Kerry(D)3,583,54447.09%Ralph Nader(RE)32,9710.43%27
Barack Obama(D)‡4,282,07450.91%John McCain(R)4,045,62448.09%Ralph Nader(E)28,1280.33%27
Barack Obama(D)‡4,237,75650.01%Mitt Romney(R)4,163,44749.13%Gary Johnson(LI)44,7260.53%29
Donald Trump[e](R)‡4,617,88649.02%Hillary Clinton(D)4,504,97547.82%Gary Johnson(LI)207,0432.2%29
Donald Trump[e](R)5,668,73151.22%Joe Biden(D)‡5,297,04547.86%Jo Jorgensen(LI)70,3240.64%29
Donald Trump(R) ‡6,110,12556.09%Kamala Harris(D)4,683,03842.99%Jill Stein(G)43,1550.4%30

Graph

[edit]
Party percentage vote margin (D+, R−)Year-60-40-200204060801860189019201950198020102040Party percentage vote margin (D+, R−)US presidential popular-vote margin (D+ / R−...Democratic positive, Republican negative
US presidential popular-vote margin in Florida (D+, R−)


Results Maps

[edit]

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^For purposes of these lists, other national candidates are defined as those who won at least one electoral vote, or won at least ten percent of the vote in multiple states.
  2. ^abcdNot on ballot
  3. ^For purposes of these lists, other candidates are defined as those who were in third place in Florida.
  4. ^Due to the status of Reconstruction, no election was held; the three electoral votes were allocated by theFlorida State Legislature to Grant.
  5. ^abChanged his home state from State of New York to Florida during his first presidency.

References

[edit]
  1. ^"The South".Encyclopedia Britannica. June 30, 2021.Archived from the original on July 11, 2021. RetrievedJuly 11, 2021.
  2. ^"1848 Presidential General Election Results - Florida".U.S. Election Atlas.Archived from the original on February 19, 2023. RetrievedFebruary 19, 2023.
  3. ^Burlingame, Michael (October 4, 2016)."Abraham Lincoln: Campaign and Elections".Miller Center.Archived from the original on November 21, 2016. RetrievedJuly 13, 2021.
  4. ^abGuide to U.S. Elections 2010, p. 764.
  5. ^"Museum of Florida History".Museum of Florida History.Archived from the original on February 19, 2023. RetrievedFebruary 19, 2023.
  6. ^abGuide to U.S. Elections 2010, p. 765.
  7. ^ab"The Returns".The Carson Daily Appeal. November 6, 1868. RetrievedJanuary 26, 2021.
  8. ^abGuide to U.S. Elections 2010, p. 767.
  9. ^abGuide to U.S. Elections 2010, p. 768.
  10. ^Nancy A. Hewitt (2001).Southern Discomfort: Women's Activism in Tampa, Florida, 1880s–1920s. University of Illinois Press. p. 22.ISBN 978-0-252-02682-9.Archived from the original on February 4, 2021. RetrievedMay 13, 2018.
  11. ^Benson, Lee; et al. (1978).The History of American Electoral Behavior. Princeton, New Jersey: Princeton University Press. p. 210.JSTOR j.ctt13x10rd.Archived from the original on February 21, 2023. RetrievedFebruary 21, 2023.
  12. ^Doherty, Herbert J. (1947)."Florida and the Presidential Election of 1928".The Florida Historical Quarterly.26 (2):174–186.ISSN 0015-4113.JSTOR 30138645.Archived from the original on April 23, 2023. RetrievedApril 23, 2023.
  13. ^"A quick history of Florida's presidential politics, from Whigs to wigged out".Tampa Bay Times.Archived from the original on February 21, 2023. RetrievedFebruary 21, 2023.
  14. ^"CNN.com - Bush leads Gore by 327 votes in Florida recount, Associated Press reports - November 10, 2000".CNN.Archived from the original on February 21, 2023. RetrievedFebruary 21, 2023.
  15. ^Bush v. Gore, 531 U.S.98, 103 (2000)
  16. ^"2000 Presidential General Election Results".Federal Election Commission. Archived fromthe original on August 25, 2012. RetrievedOctober 2, 2019.
  17. ^Wolter, Kirk; et al. (February 1, 2003)."Reliability of the Uncertified Ballots in the 2000 Presidential Election in Florida".The American Statistician.57 (1):1–14.doi:10.1198/0003130031144.ISSN 0003-1305.S2CID 120778921.Archived from the original on April 23, 2023. RetrievedApril 23, 2023.
  18. ^"Florida is the true US presidential election bellwether state".Al Jazeera.Archived from the original on November 17, 2020. RetrievedFebruary 20, 2023.
  19. ^Friedersdorf, Conor (November 9, 2022)."Is Florida Still a Swing State?".The Atlantic.Archived from the original on January 12, 2023. RetrievedFebruary 21, 2023.
  20. ^Breuninger, Kevin."Florida no longer looks like a swing state after DeSantis, Rubio lead big Republican wins".CNBC.Archived from the original on February 11, 2023. RetrievedFebruary 21, 2023.
  21. ^abcBurnham 1955, p. 252.
  22. ^Leip, David."1848 Presidential General Election Results - Florida".Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections.Archived from the original on February 19, 2023. RetrievedFebruary 19, 2023.
  23. ^Guide to U.S. Elections 2010, p. 761.
  24. ^Presidential elections, 1789–1996, p. 90.
  25. ^Leip, David."1852 Presidential General Election Results - Florida".Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections.Archived from the original on February 19, 2023. RetrievedFebruary 19, 2023.
  26. ^Guide to U.S. Elections 2010, p. 762.
  27. ^Presidential elections, 1789–1996, p. 91.
  28. ^Leip, David."1856 Presidential General Election Results - Florida".Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections.Archived from the original on February 19, 2023. RetrievedFebruary 19, 2023.
  29. ^Guide to U.S. Elections 2010, p. 763.
  30. ^Presidential elections, 1789–1996, p. 92.
  31. ^Egerton, Douglas (2010).Year of Meteors: Stephen Douglas, Abraham Lincoln, and the Election That Brought on the Civil War. Bloomsbury Press. p. 19.ISBN 978-1-59691-619-7.
  32. ^Egerton, Douglas (2010).Year of Meteors: Stephen Douglas, Abraham Lincoln, and the Election That Brought on the Civil War. Bloomsbury Press. pp. 293–305.ISBN 978-1-59691-619-7.
  33. ^Leip, David."1860 Presidential General Election Results - Florida".Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections.Archived from the original on February 19, 2023. RetrievedFebruary 19, 2023.
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  35. ^"SECESSION OF FLORIDA".The New York Times. January 12, 1861.Archived from the original on February 19, 2023. RetrievedFebruary 19, 2023.
  36. ^Leip, David."1872 Presidential General Election Results - Florida".Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections.Archived from the original on February 19, 2023. RetrievedFebruary 19, 2023.
  37. ^abcdefBurnham 1955, p. 253.
  38. ^Presidential elections, 1789–1996, p. 96.
  39. ^Leip, David."1876 Presidential General Election Results – Florida".Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections. RetrievedFebruary 19, 2023.
  40. ^Presidential elections, 1789–1996, p. 97.
  41. ^Leip, David."1880 Presidential General Election Results – Florida".Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections.Archived from the original on February 19, 2023. RetrievedFebruary 19, 2023.
  42. ^Guide to U.S. Elections 2010, p. 769.
  43. ^Presidential elections, 1789–1996, p. 98.
  44. ^Leip, David."1884 Presidential General Election Results – Florida".Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections.Archived from the original on February 19, 2023. RetrievedFebruary 19, 2023.
  45. ^Guide to U.S. Elections 2010, p. 770.
  46. ^Presidential elections, 1789–1996, p. 99.
  47. ^Leip, David."1888 Presidential General Election Results – Florida".Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections.Archived from the original on February 19, 2023. RetrievedFebruary 19, 2023.
  48. ^Guide to U.S. Elections 2010, p. 771.
  49. ^Presidential elections, 1789–1996, p. 100.
  50. ^Leip, David."1892 Presidential General Election Results – Florida".Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections.Archived from the original on February 19, 2023. RetrievedFebruary 19, 2023.
  51. ^Guide to U.S. Elections 2010, p. 772.
  52. ^Presidential elections, 1789–1996, p. 101.
  53. ^Leip, David."1896 Presidential General Election Results – Florida".Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections.Archived from the original on February 19, 2023. RetrievedFebruary 19, 2023.
  54. ^Guide to U.S. Elections 2010, p. 773.
  55. ^Presidential elections, 1789–1996, p. 102.
  56. ^Leip, David."1900 Presidential General Election Results – Florida".Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections.Archived from the original on December 26, 2022. RetrievedFebruary 19, 2023.
  57. ^Guide to U.S. Elections 2010, p. 774.
  58. ^Presidential elections, 1789–1996, p. 103.
  59. ^Leip, David."1904 Presidential General Election Results – Florida".Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections.Archived from the original on February 19, 2023. RetrievedFebruary 19, 2023.
  60. ^Guide to U.S. Elections 2010, p. 775.
  61. ^Presidential elections, 1789–1996, p. 104.
  62. ^Leip, David."1908 Presidential General Election Results – Florida".Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections.Archived from the original on February 19, 2023. RetrievedFebruary 19, 2023.
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  64. ^Presidential elections, 1789–1996, p. 105.
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  97. ^Presidential elections, 1789–1996, p. 116.
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  100. ^Presidential elections, 1789–1996, p. 117.
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  103. ^Presidential elections, 1789–1996, p. 118.
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  106. ^Presidential elections, 1789–1996, p. 119.
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  109. ^Presidential elections, 1789–1996, p. 120.
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  112. ^Presidential elections, 1789–1996, p. 121.
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  115. ^Presidential elections, 1789–1996, p. 122.
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  124. ^Presidential elections, 1789–1996, p. 125.
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Works cited

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