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2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Connecticut

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2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Connecticut

← 2008November 2, 2010 (2010-11-02)2012 →

All 5 Connecticut seats to theUnited States House of Representatives
 Majority partyMinority party
 
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Last election50
Seats won50
Seat changeSteadySteady
Popular vote667,983460,286
Percentage58.69%40.44%
SwingDecrease 6.6%Increase 7.71%

District results
Municipality results

Democratic

  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%

Republican

  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%

Elections in Connecticut
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The2010United States House of Representatives elections inConnecticut took place on Tuesday, November 2, 2010, to elect the five Congressional representatives from the state, one from each of the state's five Congressional districts. The elections coincided with the elections of other federal and state offices, includinggovernor,U.S. Senate, andstate legislature races.

The incumbent state Congressional delegation, elected in2008, consisted of fiveDemocratic representatives. All were re-elected in the 2010 elections.

Primary elections were necessary to selectRepublican candidates in all districts except the Third, while no Democratic candidates faced primary challenges. The GOP primaries took place on Tuesday, August 10, 2010.

Overview

[edit]

The table below shows the total number and percentage of votes, as well as the number of seats gained and lost by each political party in the election for the United States House of Representatives in Connecticut. In addition, the voter turnout and the number of votes not valid will be listed below.

United States House of Representatives elections in Connecticut, 2010[1]
PartyVotesPercentageSeats
Democratic667,98358.69%5
Republican460,286 ‡40.44%0
Green8,8920.78%0
Socialist Action9550.08%0
Write-in candidates86<0.01%0
Total1,138,202100%5

† Includes 33,036 votes received on the line of theConnecticut Working Families Party, whichcross-endorsed the Democratic candidate in each of the five districts.
‡ Includes 2,310 votes received by Republican Sam Caliguiri on theindependent line in the Fifth District.

By district

[edit]

Results of the 2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Connecticut by district:[2]

DistrictDemocraticRepublicanOthersTotalResult
Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
District 1130,53857.75%84,07637.20%11,4245.05%226,038100.0%Democratic hold
District 2140,88857.08%95,67138.76%10,2504.15%246,809100.0%Democratic hold
District 3134,54460.97%74,10733.58%12,0105.44%220,661100.0%Democratic hold
District 4110,74650.94%102,03046.93%4,6152.12%217,391100.0%Democratic hold
District 5118,23152.01%102,09244.91%6,9803.07%227,303100.0%Democratic hold
Total634,94755.78%457,97640.24%45,2793.98%1,138,202100.0%

District 1

[edit]

Incumbent Democratic CongressmanJohn B. Larson was challenged by Republican Ann Brickley, Green Party candidate Kenneth J. Krayeske, and Socialist Action candidate Christopher J. Hutchinson.

Polling

[edit]

October polls conducted by the website CT Capitol Report showed Larson leading Brickley by seven- and 18-point margins.

Poll sourceDates administeredJohn Larson (D)Ann Brickley (R)
CT Capitol Report/Merriman River Group[3]October 24–26, 201055.8%38.3%
CT Capitol Report/Merriman River Group[4]October 3–5, 201051.8%44.7%

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[5]Safe DNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg[6]Safe DNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[7]Safe DNovember 1, 2010
RCP[8]Likely DNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics[9]Safe DOctober 28, 2010
New York Times[10]Safe DNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[10]Safe DNovember 1, 2010

Results

[edit]
Representative in Congress (CT-1), November 2, 2010[1]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanAnn Brickley84,07637.20
DemocraticJohn B. Larson138,44061.25
GreenKenneth J. Krayeske2,5641.13
Socialist ActionChristopher J. Hutchinson9550.42
Write-InDaniel J. Stepanek3<0.1
Total votes226,038100

Note: Larson also appeared on the line of theConnecticut Working Families Party and received 7,902 votes on it. His Working Families and Democratic votes have been aggregated together on this table.

District 2

[edit]

Incumbent Democratic CongressmanJoe Courtney was challenged by RepublicanJanet Peckinpaugh, a formerNBC Connecticutanchorwoman.[11] Also running was Green Party candidate Scott Deshefy. Courtney was also cross-endorsed by theConnecticut Working Families Party.

Polling

[edit]

October polls conducted by the website CT Capitol Report had shown Courtney leading Peckinpaugh by 14- and 19-point margins.

Poll sourceDates administeredJoe Courtney (D)Janet Peckinpaugh (R)
CT Capitol Report/Merriman River Group[3]October 24–26, 201057.2%38%
CT Capitol Report/Merriman River Group[12]October 3–5, 201055.041.3%

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[5]Safe DNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg[6]Safe DNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[7]Safe DNovember 1, 2010
RCP[8]Likely DNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics[9]Safe DOctober 28, 2010
New York Times[10]Safe DNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[10]Safe DNovember 1, 2010

Results

[edit]
Representative in Congress (CT-2), November 2, 2010[1]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanJanet Peckinpaugh95,67138.76
DemocraticJoe Courtney147,74859.86
GreenG. Scott Deshefy3,3441.35
Write-InDaniel Reale27<0.1
Write-InMuriel P. Bianchi19<0.1
Total votes246,809100

Note: Courtney also appeared on the line of theConnecticut Working Families Party and received 6,860 votes on it. His Working Families and Democratic votes have been aggregated together on this table.

District 3

[edit]

Incumbent Democratic CongresswomanRosa L. DeLauro was challenged byConnecticut Republican Party treasurerJerry Labriola Jr. and Green Party nomineeCharles Pillsbury.

Polling

[edit]

October polls conducted by the website CT Capitol Report had shown DeLauro leading Labriola by the largest margins of any of the state's five congressional districts.

Poll sourceDates administeredRosa DeLauro (D)Jerry Labriola (R)
CT Capitol Report/Merriman River Group[13]October 24–26, 201056%37.9%
CT Capitol Report/Merriman River Group[12]October 3–5, 201058.1%36.5%

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[5]Safe DNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg[6]Safe DNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[7]Safe DNovember 1, 2010
RCP[8]Safe DNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics[9]Safe DOctober 28, 2010
New York Times[10]Safe DNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[10]Safe DNovember 1, 2010

Results

[edit]
Representative in Congress (CT-3), November 2, 2010[1]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticRosa L. DeLauro143,56565.06
RepublicanJerry Labriola, Jr.74,10733.58
GreenCharles A. Pillsbury2,9841.35
Write-InBoaz Itshaky5<0.1
Total votes220,661100

Note: DeLauro also appeared on the line of theConnecticut Working Families Party and received 9,021 votes on it. Her Working Families and Democratic votes have been aggregated together on this table.

District 4

[edit]
2010 Connecticut's 4th congressional district election

← 2008
2012 →
 
NomineeJim HimesDan Debicella
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Popular vote115,351102,030
Percentage53.1%46.9%

Municipality results
Himes:     50–60%     60–70%     80–90%
Debicella:     50–60%     60–70%

U.S. Representative before election

Jim Himes
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Jim Himes
Democratic

Incumbent Democratic CongressmanJim Himes was challenged by Republican State SenatorDan Debicella.

Polling

[edit]

October polling had shown this race to have essentially been a toss-up.

Poll sourceDates administeredJim Himes (D)Dan Debicella (R)
CT Capitol Report/Merriman River Group[14]October 24–26, 201046.1%48%
National Research[15]October 17–18, 201042%46%
CT Capitol Report/Merriman River Group[16]October 3–5, 201049.4%47.2%
National Research[15]September 27–28, 201042%42%
National Research[15]August 17–18, 201042%38%
American Action Forum[17]July 28-Aug. 1, 201046%42%

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[5]Lean DNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg[6]Likely DNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[7]Lean DNovember 1, 2010
RCP[8]TossupNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics[9]Lean DOctober 28, 2010
New York Times[10]Lean DNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[10]Lean DNovember 1, 2010

Results

[edit]
Representative in Congress (CT-4), November 2, 2010[1]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanDan Debicella102,03046.93
DemocraticJim Himes115,35153.06
Write-InEugene Flanagan10<0.1
Total votes217,391100

Note: Himes also appeared on the line of theConnecticut Working Families Party and received 4,605 votes on it. His Working Families and Democratic votes have been aggregated together on this table.

District 5

[edit]
2010 Connecticut's 5th congressional district election

← 2008
2012 →
 
NomineeChris MurphySam Caligiuri
PartyDemocraticRepublican
AllianceWorking Families
Popular vote122,879104,402
Percentage54.1%45.9%

Municipality results
Murphy:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
Caligiuri:     50–60%     60–70%

U.S. Representative before election

Chris Murphy
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Chris Murphy
Democratic

Incumbent Democratic CongressmanChris Murphy was challenged by Republican State SenatorSam Caligiuri.

Polling

[edit]

The last polling in this district before the election, as conducted by the website CT Capitol Report, had essentially indicated this race was a toss up.

Poll sourceDates administeredChris Murphy (D)Sam Caligiuri (R)
CT Capitol Report/Merriman River Group[18]October 28–31, 201043.8%51.5%
CT Capitol Report/Merriman River Group[14]October 24–26, 201045.5%46.9%
Gotham Research Group[19]October 4–6, 201048%34%
CT Capitol Report/Merriman River Group[20]October 3–5, 201044.3%49.7%
Gotham Research Group[21]September 19–21, 201050%37%
National Research[15]August 30–31, 201040%39%

† Internal poll commissioned for Murphy campaign

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[5]Lean DNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg[6]Likely DNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[7]Lean DNovember 1, 2010
RCP[8]TossupNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics[9]Likely DOctober 28, 2010
New York Times[10]Lean DNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[10]TossupNovember 1, 2010

Results

[edit]
Representative in Congress (CT-5), November 2, 2010[1]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanSam S. F. Caligiuri104,40245.93
DemocraticChris Murphy122,87954.06
Write-InElmon Smith2<0.1
Write-InJohn Pistone20<0.1
Total votes227,303100

Note: Murphy also appeared on the line of theConnecticut Working Families Party and received 4,648 votes on it. His Working Families and Democratic votes have been aggregated together on this table. Caligiuri also appeared on theindependent line and received 2,310 votes on it. His independent and Republican votes have been aggregated together on this table.

References

[edit]
  1. ^abcdef"Election Results for Representative in Congress". State of Connecticut, Secretary of the State. Archived fromthe original on June 19, 2011. RetrievedDecember 29, 2010.
  2. ^Haas, Karen L. (June 3, 2011)."Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010".Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives. RetrievedNovember 12, 2019.
  3. ^abCT Capitol Report/Merriman River Group
  4. ^CT Capitol Report/Merriman River Group
  5. ^abcde"The Cook Political Report – Charts – 2010 House Competitive Races".The Cook Political Report. November 1, 2010. Archived fromthe original on November 4, 2010. RetrievedNovember 1, 2010.
  6. ^abcdeRothenberg Political Report (November 1, 2010)."House Ratings". Rothenbergpoliticalreport.com. Archived fromthe original on November 1, 2010. RetrievedNovember 1, 2010.
  7. ^abcdeCrystal Ball, as of November 1, 2010[update]
  8. ^abcdeRealClearPolitics, as of November 1, 2010[update]
  9. ^abcde"2010 House Ratings Chart".CQ Politics. Archived fromthe original on October 28, 2010. RetrievedNovember 1, 2010.
  10. ^abcdefghij"House Race Ratings".nytimes.com.The New York Times. Archived fromthe original on November 7, 2010. RetrievedOctober 9, 2023.
  11. ^"Former News Anchor Running for Congress". NBC Connecticut. May 5, 2010. RetrievedAugust 21, 2010.
  12. ^abCT Capitol Report/Merriman River Group
  13. ^CT Capitol Report/Merriman River Group
  14. ^abCT Capitol Report/Merriman River Group
  15. ^abcdNational Research
  16. ^CT Capitol Report/Merriman River Group
  17. ^American Action Forum
  18. ^CT Capitol Report/Merriman River Group
  19. ^Gotham Research Group
  20. ^CT Capitol Report/Merriman River Group
  21. ^Gotham Research Group

General references

External links

[edit]

Official campaign sites

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