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Red states and blue states

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
United States voting pattern
"Red state" and "Blue state" redirect here. For other uses, seeRed State andBlue State.

Summary of statewide results of the2012,2016,2020, and2024 presidential elections by state
  Won by the Republicans in all four elections
  Won by the Republicans in three of the four elections
  Won by each party twice in the four elections
  Won by the Democrats in three of the four elections
  Won by the Democrats in all four elections
Map of the United States with states and territories colored according to the party affiliation of their governor
Party affiliation of current United States state and territorial governors as of July 2025:
  Democratic (23 states, 2 territories, and 1 district)
  Republican (27 states)
  Independent (1 territory)
  New Progressive (Republican affiliated) (1 territory)
  Non-partisan (Republican affiliated) (1 territory)
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Starting with the2000 United States presidential election, the termsred state andblue state have referred toUS states whose voters vote predominantly for one party—theRepublican Party in red states and theDemocratic Party in blue states—in presidential and other statewide elections.[1][2] By contrast, states where the predominant vote fluctuates between Democratic and Republican candidates are known asswing states orpurple states. Examining patterns within states reveals that thereversal of the two parties' geographic bases has happened at the state level, but it is more complicated locally, withurban–rural divides associated with many of the largest changes.[3]

Incumbent senators. Red and blue denote two Republican or two Democratic senators respectively. Purple states denote one Republican and one Democrat from the state. Light blue stripes denote one independent senator (who caucuses with the Democrats).

All states contain both liberal and conservative voters (i.e., they are "purple") and only appear blue or red on the electoral map because of thewinner-take-all system used by most states in theElectoral College.[4] However, the perception of some states as "blue" and some as "red", based on plurality or majority support for either main party, was reinforced by a degree of partisan stability from election to election—from the2016 presidential election to the2020 presidential election, only five states changed "color"; and as of2024, 35 out of 50 states have voted for the same party in every presidential election since the red-blue terminology was popularized in 2000, with only 15 having swung betweenthe 2000 presidential election andthe 2024 election. Although many red states and blue states stay in the same category for long periods, they may also switch from blue to red or from red to blue over time.

History of the color schematics

[edit]

Origins

[edit]

The colors red and blue are also featured on theUnited States flag. Traditional political mapmakers, at least throughout the 20th century, had used blue to represent the modern-day Republicans, as well as the earlierFederalist Party. This may have been a holdover from theCivil War, during which the predominantly Republican north was considered"blue".[5] However, at that time, a maker of widely sold maps accompanied them with blue pencils to mark Confederate force movements, while red was for the Union.[6]

Later, in the1888 presidential election,Grover Cleveland andBenjamin Harrison used maps that coded blue for the Republicans, the color perceived to represent the Union and "Lincoln's Party", and red for the Democrats. The parties themselves had no official colors, with candidates variously using either or both of the national color palette of red and blue (white being unsuitable for printed materials).

There was one historical use, associated withboss rule, of blue for Democrats and red for Republicans: during the late 19th century and early 20th century,Texas county election boards used color-coding to help Spanish-speaking andilliterate voters identify the parties;[7] however, this system was not applied consistently in Texas and was not replicated in any other state. In 1908,The New York Times printed a special color map, using blue for Democrats and yellow for Republicans, to detailTheodore Roosevelt's1904 electoral victory.[8] That same year, a colorsupplement included with a July issue ofThe Washington Post used red for Republican-favoring states, blue for Democratic-favoring states, yellow for "doubtful" states and green forterritories that did not have a presidential vote.[9]

Contrast with color usage in other countries

[edit]
Incumbent House of Representative members by state. The darker the shade, the higher percentage of members of that party. Dark blue and red are 100% members of the party. Purple states are evenly split.

The 21st-century association of colors in American politics is contrary to the long-standing conventions ofpolitical color in most other countries whereby red symbols (such as thered flag orred star) are associated withleftist politics[10] including countries with such governments, such asRed China, whereas blue is associated withconservatism.[11] As late as the 1990s, Democrats were often represented by red and Republicans by blue.[1] According toThe Washington Post, journalistTim Russert invented these terms during his televised coverage of the2000 United States presidential election.[12] The 2000 election was not the first during which thenews media used colored maps to depict voter preferences in the various states, but it was the first time the current red–blue terminology was used. In previous elections, the color assignments or even the actual colors used were often different.

History of current designations

[edit]

The advent ofcolor television in America during the late 1950s and early 1960s prompted television news reporters to rely on color-coded electoral maps, though sources conflict as to the conventions they used. One source claims that in the elections prior to 2000 every state that voted for Democratic candidates but one had been coded red. It further claims that from1976 to2004, in an attempt to avoid favoritism in color-coding, the broadcast networks standardized the convention of alternating every four years between blue and red the color used for the incumbentpresident's party.[9][13]

According to another source, in 1976,John Chancellor, the anchorman forNBC Nightly News, asked his network's engineers to construct a large illuminated map of the United States. The map was placed in the network's election-night news studio. IfJimmy Carter, the Democratic candidate that year, won a state, it was lit in red whereas ifGerald Ford, the incumbent Republican president, won a state, it was litin blue.[1] It was said that Roy Wetzel, then the newly appointed general manager of NBC's election unit, justified the color scheme of blue for Republicans and red for Democrats for a simple reason: "Great Britain. Without giving it a second thought, we said blue for conservatives, because that's what the parliamentary system in London is, red for the more liberal party. And that settled it. We just did it. Forget all that communist red stuff. It didn't occur to us. When I first heard it, I thought, 'Oh, that's reallysilly.'"[2] The feature proved to be so popular that,four years later, all three major television networks used colors to designate the states won by the presidential candidates, though not all using the same color scheme.NBC continued its color scheme (blue for Republicans)until1996.[1] NBC newsmanDavid Brinkley referred to the 1980 election map outcome showing RepublicanRonald Reagan's 44-state landslide in blue as resembling a "suburbanswimming pool".[14]

Since the1984 election,CBS has used the opposite scheme: blue for Democrats, red for Republicans.ABC used yellow for Republicans and blue for Democrats in 1976, then red for Republicans and blue for Democrats in 1980, 1984, and 1988. In 1980, whenJohn Anderson had a relatively well publicized campaign as an independent candidate, at least one network indicated provisionally that they would use yellow if he were to win a state. Similarly, at least one network would have used yellow to indicate a state won byRoss Perot in1992 and1996, though neither of them did claim any states in any of these years.

By 1996, color schemes were relatively mixed, asCNN, CBS, ABC, NBC, andThe New York Times referred to Democratic states with the color blue and Republican ones as red, whileTime andThe Washington Post used the opposite scheme.[15][16][17]

In the days after the 2000 election, the outcome of which was unknown for some time after election day, major media outlets began conforming to the same color scheme because the electoral map was continually in view, and conformity made for easy and instant viewer comprehension. On election night that year, there was no coordinated effort to code Democratic states blue and Republican states red; the association gradually emerged. Partly as a result of this eventual and near-universal color-coding, the terms "red states" and "blue states" entered popular use in the weeks after the 2000 presidential election. After the results were final with the RepublicanGeorge W. Bush winning, journalists stuck with the color scheme, asThe Atlantic's December 2001 cover story byDavid Brooks entitled, "One Nation, Slightly Divisible", illustrated.[18][original research?]

Thus, red and blue became fixed in the media and in many people's minds, despite the fact that the Democratic and Republican parties had not officially chosen colors.[19] Some Republicans argue the GOP should retain its historic association with blue, since most center-right parties worldwide are associated with blue. On March 14, 2014, theCalifornia Republican Party officially rejected red and adopted blue as its color. Archie Tse,The New York Times graphics editor who made the choice when theTimes published its first color presidential election map in 2000, provided a nonpolitical rationale for retaining the red–Republican link, explaining that "Both 'Republican' and 'red' start with the letter 'R.'"[20]

Map interpretation

[edit]

There are several problems in creating and interpreting election maps. Popular vote data are necessarily aggregated at several levels, such as counties and states, which are then colored to show election results. Maps of this type are termedchoropleth maps, which have several well-known problems that can result in interpretation bias. One problem occurs whenareal units differ in size and significance, as is the case with election maps. These maps give extra visual weight to larger areal units, whether by county or state. This problem is compounded if the units are not equally significant. A large county or state in area may have fewer voters than a small one in area, for example. Some maps attempt to account for this by usingcartogram methods, but the resulting distortion can make such maps difficult to read.[21][22] Another problem relates to data classification. Election maps often use a two-class color scheme (red and blue), which results in a map that is easy to read but is very generalized. Some maps use more classes, such as shades of red and blue to indicate the degree of election victory. These maps provide a more detailed picture but themselves have various problems associated with classification of data. The cartographer must choose how many classes to use and how to divide the data into those classes. While there are various techniques available, the choice is essentially arbitrary. The look of a map can vary significantly depending on the classification choices. The choices of color and shading likewise affect the map's appearance. Further, all election maps are subject to the interpretation error known as theecological fallacy.[23]

Finally, there are problems associated with human perception.[24] Large areas of color appear more saturated than small areas of the same color.[24] A juxtaposition of differing colors and shades can result in contrast misperceptions. For example, due to thesimultaneous contrast effect, theBezold effect, and other factors, an area shaded light red surrounded by areas shaded dark red will appear even lighter. Differing shades of red and blue compound this effect.[25]

Cartographers have traditionally limited the number of classes so that it is always obvious which class a color shade represents. Some election maps, however, have violated this tradition by simply coloring each areal unit with a red-blue mixture linked to voting ratio data—resulting in an "unclassified choropleth map". These "purple maps" are useful for showing the highly mixed nature of voting, but are extremely difficult to interpret in detail. The lack of clear classes make these purple maps prone to the problems of color perception described above. However, there are pros and cons to both classified and unclassified choropleth maps. Each tend to show some patterns well while obscuring others.[25] All these facts should be taken into account when looking at election maps.

Critiques

[edit]

The paradigm has been criticized on several fronts. Many argue that assigning partisanship to states is only really useful as it pertains to theElectoral College, as well as (more recently) the Senate, primarily a winner-take-all system of elections (with the exceptions of Nebraska and Maine).

The Democratic or Republican party of a particular state may have policies that depart—sometimes greatly—from those of the national party, sometimes causing that state to favor one party in state and local elections and the other in presidential elections. This is most evident in theSouthern United States, where the state Democratic Party organizations tend to be more conservative than the national party, especially on social issues.[citation needed] Likewise, Republicans have elected many statewide officeholders in states that vote strongly Democratic in presidential elections, such asMassachusetts,Illinois,Maryland,Vermont, andNew Jersey, generally by running closer to the political center.[citation needed]

The elections inArkansas as well asWest Virginia in 2004 were won by Republican PresidentGeorge W. Bush, but Democrats at the time held all fourU.S. Senate seats and majorities of elected executive officeholders in those states, including the governorship of the latter. Similarly,Tennessee was won by Bush in both 2000 and 2004, but going into 2004, its governor was a Democrat and both chambers of the state legislature were controlled by Democrats as well. The converse can also be true, as in the case ofMaine, which had two Republican U.S. senators, but Democratic presidential candidateJohn Kerry won the state's electoral votes. Likewise,Vermont,New York,Massachusetts,Maryland, andHawaii all voted for Democrat Kerry by wide margins, but all had Republican governors at the time.

In his address before the2004 Democratic National Convention inBoston,Barack Obama spoke on the issue of blue states and red states, saying: "The pundits like to slice-and-dice our country into red states and blue states—red states for Republicans, and blue states for Democrats. But I've got news for them, too. We worship an awesomeGod in the blue states, and we don't like federal agents poking around our libraries in the red states. We coachLittle League in the blue states and have gay friends in the red states. ... We are one people, all of us pledging allegiance to theStars and Stripes, all of us defending the United States of America."[26]

In April 2008, Republican presidential nomineeJohn McCain predicted that thepresidential election that November would not follow the red-state-blue-state pattern, saying, "I'm not sure that the old red state, blue state scenario that prevailed for the last several elections works. I think most of these states that we have either red or blue are going to be up for grabs."[27] Arguably, this eventually proved to be somewhat true, but not in McCain's favor as Obama won three "red" states that had not voted Democratic in many years, namelyVirginia,North Carolina, andIndiana along with a part of deep redNebraska, via the state's (much less conservative as a whole)second congressional district. Obama also came close to winningMissouri andMontana, losing both by a small margin. The only deviations from the preexisting red-blue paradigm were all in Obama's favor. In the three presidential elections since 2008, Indiana and North Carolina went back to supporting Republicans. Virginia has continued voting for the Democratic presidential nominees (as well as increasingly electing Democrats at the state level), leading to its being reclassified as a blue state in recent years. Nebraska's 2nd district flipped back into the Republican column in2012 and2016, but supported the Democrats in2020 and2024.

Purple states

[edit]
Main article:Swing state
2016 United States presidential election results bycounty, on acolor spectrum fromDemocratic blue toRepublican red

A purple state refers to a swing state where both Democratic and Republican candidates receive many votes without an overwhelming majority for either party. Purple states are also often referred to as "battleground" states.

The demographic and political applications of the terms have resulted in a temptation to presume this arbitrary classification is a definite and fundamentalcultural division. Given the general nature and common perception of the two parties, "red state" implies a conservative region or a more conservative American, and "blue state" implies a more liberal region or a more liberal American. But the distinction between the two groups of states is less simplistic. The analysis that suggests political, cultural and demographic differences between the states is more accurate when applied to smaller geographical areas.

Traditionally, the practice of designating a U.S. state as red or blue is based on thefirst-past-the-post winner-take-all system employed for presidential elections by 48 of the 50 U.S. states and theDistrict of Columbia. Electoral law in Maine and Nebraska makes it possible for those states to divide their electoral votes: winner-take-all both by congressional district and statewide.

Despite the prevalent winner-take-all practice, the minority party almost always gets a sizable vote, with the most strongly partisan states typically having 25% to 40% of the population vote for the losing party in a presidential election. Most states have strongly Democratic cities as well as strongly Republican rural areas.[28]

Robert Vanderbei atPrinceton University made the firstPurple America map after the2000 presidential election.[29] It attempts to represent the margin of victory in each county by coloring each with a shade between true blue and true red. Due to the general absence of overwhelming victories, this technique results in mostly shades of purple. After the2004 election, Vanderbei and then others made similar maps summarizing the results. Quickly thereafter, the termPurple America entered the public lexicon as a way of stating that the United States is not as divided as the political pundits would have the people believe.

Cartograms developed by Gastner,Shalizi, and Newman at theUniversity of Michigan provide another way to depict election results,[30] which change from a red-blue paradigm to one of shades of purple.[28]

Forty-four of the 50 states were consistent in voting for Donald Trump or his Democratic opponent in the2016,2020, and2024 presidential elections. The exceptions wereGeorgia,Arizona,Wisconsin,Pennsylvania,Michigan – all of which voted for Trump in 2016, Biden in 2020, and Trump again in 2024; andNevada – the only state that voted for the Democrats in 2016 and 2020 but voted for Trump in 2024.Wisconsin,Pennsylvania and particularlyMichigan voted in2008 and2012 forObama handily, as well as having supported theDemocratic nominee in every presidential election since1988, suggesting they are gradually becoming redder. Inversely,Georgia andArizona had supportedRepublican presidential candidates for decades before2020, with Georgia last voting blue in1992 and Arizona in1996. This suggests thatGeorgia andArizona are gradually becoming bluer.

Some states did not switch parties in 2016, 2020 or 2024, yet are/were still relatively even and often considered swing states. These includeNorth Carolina,Florida,Ohio,Iowa, andNew Hampshire. Occasionally, swing state maps might includeMinnesota,Maine,Virginia andTexas, which generally vote for one party (Minnesota,Maine andVirginia generallyDemocratic;Texas generallyRepublican) but still often see close elections.

Polarization

[edit]
Main article:Political polarization in the United States
Hexagonal cartogram summarizing the results of the 2008, 2012, 2016, and 2020 presidential elections by state (scaled by 2020 elector count)
  Won by the Republicans in all four elections
  Won by the Republicans in three of the four elections
  Won by each party twice in the four elections
  Won by the Democrats in three of the four elections
  Won by the Democrats in all four elections

Feelings of cultural and politicalpolarization between red and blue states, which have gained increased media attention since the 2004 election, have resulted in increased mutual feelings of alienation and enmity.[31] The polarization has been present for only four close elections (2000, 2004, 2016, and 2020). One trend that has been true for several election cycles is that states that vote Republican tend to be more rural and more sparsely populated (thus having fewer electoral votes) than states that vote Democratic. Polarization is more evident on a county scale with the growing percentage of the U.S. electorate living in "landslide counties", counties where the popular vote margin between the Democratic and Republican candidate is 20 percentage points or greater.[32][33][34]

In1976, only 27 percent of U.S. voters lived in landslide counties, which increased to 39 percent by1992.[35][36] Nearly half of U.S. voters resided in counties that voted forGeorge W. Bush orJohn Kerry by 20 percentage points or more in2004.[37] In2008, 48 percent of U.S. voters lived in such counties, which increased further to 50 percent in2012 and to 61 percent in2016.[35][36] In2020, 58 percent of U.S. voters lived in landslide counties.[38]At the same time, the 2020 U.S. presidential election marked the ninth presidential election where the victoriousmajor party nominee did not win apopular vote majority by a double-digit margin over the losing major party nominee(s), continuing the longest sequence of such presidential elections in U.S. history that began in1988 and in 2016 eclipsed the previous longest sequence from1876 through1900.[39][40]

Red-state/blue-state secession

[edit]

Various editorials[41][42][who?] have proposed that states of the U.S.secede and then form federations only with states that have voted for the same political party. These editorials note the increasingly polarized political strife in the U.S. between Republican voters and Democratic voters. They propose partition of the U.S. as a way of allowing both groups to achieve their policy goals while reducing the chances of civil war.[citation needed]

A 2021 poll found that 52% of Trump voters and 41% of Biden voters support partitioning the United States into multiple countries based on political party lines.[43][44] A different poll that same year grouped the United States into five geographic regions, and found that 37% of Americans favored secession of their own region. 44% of Americans in the South favored secession, with Republican support at 66%; while Democratic support was 47% in the Pacific states.[45][46][47]

Demographics

[edit]

Although theElectoral College determines thepresidential election, a more precise measure of how the country actually voted may be better represented by either a county-by-county or a district-by-district map. By breaking the map down into smaller units (including many blue counties lying next to red counties), these maps tend to display many states with a purplish hue, thus demonstrating that an ostensibly blue or red state may, in fact, be closely divided. Note that election maps of all kinds are subject toerrors of interpretation.

Urban versus rural

[edit]

These county-by-county and district-by-district maps reveal that the true nature of the divide is betweenurban areas andinner suburbs versusrural andexurban areas. In the 2020 election, most voters in most rural counties voted for RepublicanDonald Trump.Georgia,Nevada,Pennsylvania, andWisconsin, all states Biden won statewide, are good examples of this with some exceptions. Inversely, in solidly red states, most voters in most urban counties voted for DemocratJoe Biden; good examples for this would beOrleans Parish,Louisiana, andDavidson County,Tennessee (the locations of major U.S. citiesNew Orleans andNashville, respectively). Both provided Biden with double-digit margins of victory over Trump. An even more detailed precinct-by-precinct breakdown demonstrates that in many cases, large cities voted for Biden, and their suburbs were divided.

Table of presidential elections by states since 1972

[edit]
Year19721976198019841988199219962000200420082012201620202024

Democratic  Republican   (lighter shading indicates win ≤5%)
      Winner received plurality of the vote but did not receive an outright majority of the popular vote      Winnerdid not receive a plurality of the vote and lost the popular vote

Democratic candidateGeorge McGovernJimmy CarterJimmy CarterWalter MondaleMichael DukakisBill ClintonBill ClintonAl GoreJohn KerryBarack ObamaBarack ObamaHillary ClintonJoe BidenKamala Harris
Republican candidateRichard NixonGerald FordRonald ReaganRonald ReaganGeorge H. W. BushGeorge H. W. BushBob DoleGeorge W. BushGeorge W. BushJohn McCainMitt RomneyDonald TrumpDonald TrumpDonald Trump
United States Nationalpopular voteNixonCarterReaganReaganBushClintonClintonGoreBushObamaObamaClintonBidenTrump
AlabamaNixonCarterReaganReaganBushBushDoleBushBushMcCainRomneyTrumpTrumpTrump
AlaskaNixonFordReaganReaganBushBushDoleBushBushMcCainRomneyTrumpTrumpTrump
ArizonaNixonFordReaganReaganBushBushClintonBushBushMcCainRomneyTrumpBidenTrump
ArkansasNixonCarterReaganReaganBushClintonClintonBushBushMcCainRomneyTrumpTrumpTrump
CaliforniaNixonFordReaganReaganBushClintonClintonGoreKerryObamaObamaClintonBidenHarris
ColoradoNixonFordReaganReaganBushClintonDoleBushBushObamaObamaClintonBidenHarris
ConnecticutNixonFordReaganReaganBushClintonClintonGoreKerryObamaObamaClintonBidenHarris
DelawareNixonCarterReaganReaganBushClintonClintonGoreKerryObamaObamaClintonBidenHarris
Washington, D.C.District of ColumbiaMcGovernCarterCarterMondaleDukakisClintonClintonGoreKerryObamaObamaClintonBidenHarris
FloridaNixonCarterReaganReaganBushBushClintonBushBushObamaObamaTrumpTrumpTrump
Georgia (U.S. state)GeorgiaNixonCarterCarterReaganBushClintonDoleBushBushMcCainRomneyTrumpBidenTrump
HawaiiNixonCarterCarterReaganDukakisClintonClintonGoreKerryObamaObamaClintonBidenHarris
IdahoNixonFordReaganReaganBushBushDoleBushBushMcCainRomneyTrumpTrumpTrump
IllinoisNixonFordReaganReaganBushClintonClintonGoreKerryObamaObamaClintonBidenHarris
IndianaNixonFordReaganReaganBushBushDoleBushBushObamaRomneyTrumpTrumpTrump
IowaNixonFordReaganReaganDukakisClintonClintonGoreBushObamaObamaTrumpTrumpTrump
KansasNixonFordReaganReaganBushBushDoleBushBushMcCainRomneyTrumpTrumpTrump
KentuckyNixonCarterReaganReaganBushClintonClintonBushBushMcCainRomneyTrumpTrumpTrump
LouisianaNixonCarterReaganReaganBushClintonClintonBushBushMcCainRomneyTrumpTrumpTrump
MaineNixonFordReaganReaganBushClinton (at-large andME-01)ClintonGore (at-large andME-01)KerryObamaObamaClinton(at-large)Biden (at-large andME-01)Harris (at-large andME-01)
Clinton (ME-01)
Clinton (ME-02)Gore (ME-02)Trump (ME-02)Trump (ME-02)Trump (ME-02)
MarylandNixonCarterCarterReaganBushClintonClintonGoreKerryObamaObamaClintonBidenHarris
MassachusettsMcGovernCarterReaganReaganDukakisClintonClintonGoreKerryObamaObamaClintonBidenHarris
MichiganNixonFordReaganReaganBushClintonClintonGoreKerryObamaObamaTrumpBidenTrump
MinnesotaNixonCarterCarterMondaleDukakisClintonClintonGoreKerryObamaObamaClintonBidenHarris
MississippiNixonCarterReaganReaganBushBushDoleBushBushMcCainRomneyTrumpTrumpTrump
MissouriNixonCarterReaganReaganBushClintonClintonBushBushMcCainRomneyTrumpTrumpTrump
MontanaNixonFordReaganReaganBushClintonDoleBushBushMcCainRomneyTrumpTrumpTrump
NebraskaNixonFordReaganReaganBushBushDoleBushBushMcCain (at-large,NE-01,NE-03)RomneyTrump (at-large,NE-01,NE-03)Trump (at-large,NE-01,NE-03)Trump (at-large,NE-01,NE-03)
Obama (NE-02)Trump (NE-02)Biden (NE-02)Harris (NE-02)
NevadaNixonFordReaganReaganBushClintonClintonBushBushObamaObamaClintonBidenTrump
New HampshireNixonFordReaganReaganBushClintonClintonBushKerryObamaObamaClintonBidenHarris
New JerseyNixonFordReaganReaganBushClintonClintonGoreKerryObamaObamaClintonBidenHarris
New MexicoNixonFordReaganReaganBushClintonClintonGoreBushObamaObamaClintonBidenHarris
New YorkNixonCarterReaganReaganDukakisClintonClintonGoreKerryObamaObamaClintonBidenHarris
North CarolinaNixonCarterReaganReaganBushBushDoleBushBushObamaRomneyTrumpTrumpTrump
North DakotaNixonFordReaganReaganBushBushDoleBushBushMcCainRomneyTrumpTrumpTrump
OhioNixonCarterReaganReaganBushClintonClintonBushBushObamaObamaTrumpTrumpTrump
OklahomaNixonFordReaganReaganBushBushDoleBushBushMcCainRomneyTrumpTrumpTrump
OregonNixonFordReaganReaganDukakisClintonClintonGoreKerryObamaObamaClintonBidenHarris
PennsylvaniaNixonCarterReaganReaganBushClintonClintonGoreKerryObamaObamaTrumpBidenTrump
Rhode IslandNixonCarterCarterReaganDukakisClintonClintonGoreKerryObamaObamaClintonBidenHarris
South CarolinaNixonCarterReaganReaganBushBushDoleBushBushMcCainRomneyTrumpTrumpTrump
South DakotaNixonFordReaganReaganBushBushDoleBushBushMcCainRomneyTrumpTrumpTrump
TennesseeNixonCarterReaganReaganBushClintonClintonBushBushMcCainRomneyTrumpTrumpTrump
TexasNixonCarterReaganReaganBushBushDoleBushBushMcCainRomneyTrumpTrumpTrump
UtahNixonFordReaganReaganBushBushDoleBushBushMcCainRomneyTrumpTrumpTrump
VermontNixonFordReaganReaganBushClintonClintonGoreKerryObamaObamaClintonBidenHarris
VirginiaNixonFordReaganReaganBushBushDoleBushBushObamaObamaClintonBidenHarris
Washington (state)WashingtonNixonFordReaganReaganDukakisClintonClintonGoreKerryObamaObamaClintonBidenHarris
West VirginiaNixonCarterCarterReaganDukakisClintonClintonBushBushMcCainRomneyTrumpTrumpTrump
WisconsinNixonCarterReaganReaganDukakisClintonClintonGoreKerryObamaObamaTrumpBidenTrump
WyomingNixonFordReaganReaganBushBushDoleBushBushMcCainRomneyTrumpTrumpTrump

^1 : Split their votes.

Reaction

[edit]

United States

[edit]

The "Democratic blue" and "Republican red" color scheme is now part of the lexicon of American journalism.

Neither party national committee has officially accepted these color designations, though informal use by each party is becoming common. Both parties have since adopted logos that use their respective colors (a blue "D" for Democrats[48] and a red "GOP" for Republicans).National conventions for both major parties increasingly feature the parties' respective colors, from the colors emphasized on convention podiums to the color conventioneers can be seen wearing on the delegate floor. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee also alluded to the color scheme when it launched a national "Red to Blue Program" in 2006.[49]

The scheme has found acceptance and implementation from the U.S. federal government as theFederal Election Commission report for the2004 presidential election uses the red-Republican and blue-Democratic scheme for its electoral map.[50]

International

[edit]

The choice of colors in this divide may appear counter-intuitive to non-American observers, as in most countries, red is associated withsocialist,communist, orsocial democratic parties, while blue is associated withconservative (especiallyliberal conservative) parties. For example, the major center-right conservative parties in theUnited Kingdom,Canada,Australia,New Zealand,Brazil,Italy,Spain,France andBavaria, all use blue or its shades (whether officially or unofficially) whereas the major socialist, communist, or social democratic parties in each country are associated with red (orange in Canada). If the U.S. followed such a pattern, blue would be used for the Republicans and red for the Democrats. However, the current U.S. scheme has become so ingrained in the American election system that foreign sources who cover U.S. elections, such as theBBC,Der Spiegel andEl Mundo follow with the red-Republican, blue-Democratic scheme for U.S. elections.[51][52][53]

Australian usage

[edit]

In Australia, the center-rightLiberal Party uses the color blue, while the center-leftLabor Party uses the color red. The formal alliance between the two main center-right political parties in Australia, the Liberal Party andNational Party), known as theCoalition, also uses blue (although the National Party itself uses dark green). While the terminology used in the United States is sometimes used in Australia, the terms "Liberal state" (or "Coalition state") and "Labor state" are generally used instead.

As the Coalition is dominant in regional and rural areas, states where over 40% of the population live outside the state capital typically have higher numbers of Coalition supporters.

However, state politics and federal politics are separate and many states vote for different parties in state and federal elections. WhileWestern Australia has a Labor government, federally the state has almost always voted for the Coalition, although has shifted to Labor more recently on both a state and federal level. TheNorthern Territory, which also has a Labor government, has also historically voted primarily for the Coalition.Tasmania has also been an important state for both parties over the past 50 years because, of the five Tasmanian seats in theHouse of Representatives, there have been times where one party has won all five of them. As of the2022 Australian federal election, the Liberals have two Tasmanian seats (Bass andBraddon), as does Labor (Franklin andLyons), the remaining seat (Clark) being represented byindependentAndrew Wilkie. Queensland and Tasmania were considered the two states that deliveredScott Morrison's unpredicted win at the2019 federal election and both states are the only two where less than 50% of the population resides in the capital city (Brisbane andHobart, respectively), which is important due to the Coalition's dominance in regional Australia.

Of the 29 federal elections held since1949, Labor has won the federal two-party-preferred vote in Queensland just three times: in1961,1990 and2007 (when QueenslanderKevin Rudd was leader of the Labor Party); and in Western Australia just six times: in1969,1983,1984,1987,2001 (when Western AustralianKim Beazley was Labor leader) and 2022. Conversely, in theAustralian Capital Territory, which is dominated by national capitalCanberra, Labor has won the two-party-preferred vote in every election except the1975 election.[54]

In Australia, the leader of the party that forms government (wins a majority of seats in the House of Representatives) becomesPrime Minister, who does not always win the primary vote or even the two-party-preferred vote (although the later scenario is rare for federal elections, last occurring in1998) due to the voting system beingunproportional. This happens in the United States as well.

See also

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References

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  25. ^abAndrienko, Natalia; Andrienko, Gennady (2006).Exploratory Analysis of Spatial and Temporal Data: A Systematic Approach. Birkhäuser. pp. 217–221.ISBN 978-3-540-25994-7. RetrievedNovember 21, 2010.
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  35. ^abHaidt, Jonathan (May 2012)."Born This Way?".Reason.com. RetrievedDecember 28, 2017.
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Notes

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Further reading

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External links

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