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Quantitative revolution

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Paradigm shift in geography
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  • Ingeography, thequantitative revolution (QR)[a] was aparadigm shift that sought to develop a more rigorous and systematic methodology for the discipline. It came as a response to the inadequacy ofregional geography to explain general spatial dynamics. The main claim for the quantitative revolution is that it led to a shift from a descriptive (idiographic) geography to an empirical law-making (nomothetic) geography.[1][2] The quantitative revolution occurred during the 1950s and 1960s and marked a rapid change in the method behind geographical research, from regional geography into aspatial science.[3][4]

    In thehistory of geography, the quantitative revolution was one of the four major turning points of modern geography – the other three beingenvironmental determinism, regional geography andcritical geography. It contributed to thetechnical geography branch of the discipline, culminating in the emergence ofquantitative geography, which includesgeographic information science,geoinformatics, andspatial analysis.[5][6]

    The quantitative revolution had occurred earlier ineconomics andpsychology and contemporaneously inpolitical science and othersocial sciences and to a lesser extent inhistory.

    Antecedents

    [edit]

    During the late 1940s and early 1950s:

    • The regional tradition, which believed the objective of geography was to describe and explain the areal differentiation of the Earth's surface, dominated geography studies.[7]
    • The closing of many geography departments and courses in universities took place, most notably, the abolition of the geography program atHarvard University (a highly prestigious institution) in 1948 was seen as an “academic war over the field of geography".[8]
    • There was a continuing division betweenhuman andphysical geography – general talk ofhuman geography becoming an autonomous subject.
    • Geography was regarded as overly descriptive andunscientific – it was claimed that there was no explanation ofwhy processes or phenomena occurred.
    • Geography was seen as exclusively educational and "not a university subject"[8] – there were few if any applications of contemporary geography.
    • Continuing debates regarding what geography is –science,art, humanity orsocial science – took place.
    • After World War II, technology became increasingly important in society, and as a result,nomothetic-based sciences gained popularity and prominence.

    All of these events presented a threat to geography's position as an academic subject, and thus geographers began seeking new methods to counter critique.

    The Revolution

    [edit]

    The quantitative revolution responded to the regional geographyparadigm that was dominant at the time. Debates raged predominantly (although not exclusively) in the U.S., whereregional geography was the major philosophical school. In the early 1950s, there was a growing sense that the existingparadigm for geographical research was not adequate in explaining how physical, economic, social, and political processes are spatially organized, ecologically related, or how outcomes generated by them are evidence for a given time and place. A growing number of geographers started to express their dissatisfaction with the traditionalparadigm of the discipline and its focus on regional geography, deeming the work as too descriptive, fragmented, and non-generalizable. To address these concerns, early critics such as Ackerman[9] suggested the systematization of the discipline. Soon thereafter, a series of debates regarding methodological approaches in geography took place. One of the first illustrations of this was theSchaefer vs.Hartshorne debate. In 1953Exceptionalism in geography: A Methodological Examination was published. In this work, Schaefer rejectedHartshorne'sexceptionalist interpretations about the discipline of geography and having the region as its central object of study. Instead, Schaefer envisioned as the discipline's main objective the establishment of morphological laws through scientific inquiry, i.e. incorporating laws and methods from other disciplines in the social sciences that place a greater emphasis on processes.Hartshorne, on the other hand, addressed Schaefer's criticism in a series of publications,[10][11][12][13] where he dismissed Schaefer's views as subjective and contradictory. He also stressed the importance of describing and classifying places and phenomena, yet admitted that there was room for employing laws of generic relationships in order to maximize scientific understanding. In his view, however, there should be no hierarchy between these two approaches.

    While debates about methods carried on, the institutionalization of systematic geography was taking place in the U.S. academy. The geography programs at theUniversity of Iowa,University of Wisconsin–Madison, and theUniversity of Washington were pioneering programs in that respect. At the University of Iowa, Harold McCarty led efforts to establish laws of association between geographical patterns. At the University of Wisconsin,Arthur H. Robinson led efforts to develop statistical methods for map comparison. And at the University of Washington,Edward Ullman andWilliam Garrison worked on developing the field ofeconomic andurban geography, andcentral place theory. Graduate students from the University of Washington, such asWilliam Bunge,Artur Getis, andWaldo R. Tobler expanded on this work throughout their careers, with Bunge's bookTheoretical Geography "described as "perhaps the seminal text of the spatial-quantitative revolution."[14][15][16] These institutions engendered a generation of geographers that established spatial analysis as part of the research agenda at other institutions includingUniversity of Chicago,Northwestern University,Loyola University,Ohio State University, theUniversity of Michigan, among others.[17][18]

    The changes introduced during the 1950s and 1960s under the banner of bringing 'scientific thinking' to geography led to an increased use of technique-based practices, including an array of mathematical techniques and computerizedstatistics that improved precision, and theory-based practices to conceptualize location and space in geographical research.[18]

    Some of the techniques that epitomize the quantitative revolution include:[3]

    The common factor, linking the above techniques, was a preference for numbers over words and a belief that numerical work had a superior scientific pedigree.[3]Ron Johnston and colleagues at the University of Bristol have published a history of the revolution that stresses changes in substantive focus and philosophical underpinnings as well as methods.[19]

    Epistemological underpinnings

    [edit]

    The new method of inquiry led to the development of generalizations about spatial aspects in a wide range of natural and cultural settings. Generalizations may take the form of testedhypotheses,models, ortheories, and the research is judged on its scientific validity, turning geography into anomothetic science.

    One of the most significant works to provide a legitimate theoretical and philosophical foundation for the reorientation of geography into a spatial science wasDavid Harvey's book,Explanation in Geography, published in 1969. In this work,Harvey laid out two possible methodologies to explain geographical phenomena: an inductive route where generalizations are made from observation; and a deductive one where, through empirical observation, testable models and hypothesis are formulated and later verified to become scientific laws.[20] He placed preference on the latter method. Thispositivist approach was countered bycritical rationalism, a philosophy advanced byKarl Popper who rejected the idea of verification and maintained that hypothesis can only be falsified. Both epistemological philosophies, however, sought to achieve the same objective: to produce scientific laws and theories.[21]

    Theparadigm shift had its strongest repercussions in the sub-field ofeconomic andurban geography, especially as it pertains tolocation theory. However, some geographers–such as Ian Burton–expressed their dissatisfaction with quantification[22] while others – such asEmrys Jones, Peter Lewis, and Golledge and Amedeo – debated the feasibility of law-making.[23][24][25] Others, such as F. Luckermann, criticized the scientific explanations offered in geography as conjectural and lacking empirical basis. As a result, even models that were tested failed to accurately depict reality.[26]

    By the mid-1960s the quantitative revolution had successfully displaced regional geography from its dominant position and the paradigm shift was evident by the myriad of publications in geographical academic journals and geography textbooks. The adoption of the new paradigm allowed the discipline to be more serviceable to the public and private sectors.[27]

    Post-revolution geography

    [edit]

    The quantitative revolution had enormous implications in shaping the discipline of geography into what it looks like today given that its effects led to the spread of positivist (post-positivist) thinking and counter-positivist responses.[28]

    The rising interest in the study of distance as a critical factor in understanding the spatial arrangement of phenomena during the revolution led to the formulation of thefirst law of geography by Waldo Tobler.[29][30][31] The development of spatial analysis in geography led to more applications in planning process and the further development oftechnical geography offered to geographical research a necessary theoretical background.[32]

    The greater use of computers in geography also led to many new developments ingeomatics, such as the creation and application ofGIS andremote sensing.[33] These new developments allowed geographers for the first time to assess complex models on a full-scale model and over space and time and the relationship between spatial entities.[34] To some extent, the development ofgeomatics helped obscure the binary betweenphysical andhuman geography, as the complexities of the human and natural environments could be assessed on new computable models.[35]

    Criticism and responses

    [edit]

    The limited focus on statistical modeling brought about by the quantitative revolution has led to concerns that the techniques remove the 'human dimension' from a discipline. As the 1970s dawned, the quantitative revolution came under direct challenge.[3] The counter-positivist response came as geographers began to expose the inadequacy of quantitative methods to explain and address issues regarding race, gender, class and war.[36] David Harvey disregarded earlier works where he advocated for the quantitative revolution and adopted aMarxist theoretical framework.[37][38] Soon new subfields would emerge inhuman geography to contribute a new vocabulary for addressing these issues, includingcritical geography andfeminist geography. These fields have attempted to appropriate quantitative methods to address the focus of their study.[39] One commentator described this as "an extraordinary contribution. This is a panoramic survey of the legacy of half a century of innovation in spatial science—put into a critical, constructive engagement with half a century of innovation in critical social theory".[40]

    There have been many responses to these criticisms, and counter criticisms of the new fields that have emerged in response to the quantitative revolution.[5] These include that the critics of new methods do not understand them, are criticizing earlier work, or are advocating for non-scientific approaches.[5] While many would claim the quantitative revolution was replaced by the new paradigms, and that the arguments are a thing of the past, it is perhaps better described as a split withquantitative geography and qualitative geography both coexisting and continuing to borrow from each other's research.[1][5] Barnes pointed out that there is no real contradiction between quantitative geography and critical geography, citing that even the "ultimate social critic",Karl Marx, attached great importance to mathematical methods.[41]

    See also

    [edit]

    Notes

    [edit]
    1. ^During the 1940s–1970s, it was customary to capitalize generalized concept names, especially inphilosophy ("Truth, Kindness, Beauty"), plus using capital letters when namingideologies, movements, or schools of thought. Example: "the Automobile" as a concept, versus "the automobile in a garage"

    References

    [edit]
    1. ^abDeLyser, Dydia; Herbert, Steve; Aitken, Stuart; Crang, Mike; McDowell, Linda (November 2009).The SAGE Handbook of Qualitative Geography (1 ed.). SAGE Publications.ISBN 9781412919913. Retrieved27 April 2023.
    2. ^Yano, Keiji (2001). "GIS and quantitative geography".GeoJournal.52 (3):173–180.doi:10.1023/A:1014252827646.S2CID 126943446.
    3. ^abcd"The 'Quantitative Revolution': hard science or "inconsequential claptrap"?".University of Aberdeen. GG3012(NS) Lecture 4. 2011. Archived fromthe original on 24 February 2015. Retrieved4 February 2023.
    4. ^Gregory, Derek; Johnston, Ron; Pratt, Geraldine; Watts, Michael J.; Whatmore, Sarah (2009).The Dictionary of Human Geography (5th ed.). US & UK: Wiley-Blackwell. pp. 611–12.
    5. ^abcdFotheringham, A. Stewart; Brunsdon, Chris; Charlton, Martin (2000).Quantitative Geography: Perspectives on Spatial Data Analysis. Sage Publications Ltd.ISBN 978-0-7619-5948-9.
    6. ^Murakami, Daisuke; Yamagata, Yoshiki (2020)."Spatial Analysis Using Big Data: Chapter Six - Models in quantitative geography".Methods and Urban Applications:159–178.doi:10.1016/B978-0-12-813127-5.00006-0.S2CID 213700891. Retrieved3 February 2023.
    7. ^Hartshorne, Richard (1959).Perspective On The Nature Of Geography.
    8. ^abSmith, N. (1987).""Academic war over the field of geography": The elimination of geography at Harvard, 1947–1951".Annals of the Association of American Geographers.77 (2):155–172.doi:10.1111/j.1467-8306.1987.tb00151.x.S2CID 145064363.
    9. ^Ackerman, E.A. (1945). "Geographic training, wartime research, and immediate professional objectives".Annals of the Association of American Geographers.35 (4):121–43.doi:10.1080/00045604509357271.--as cited in Johnston, Ron and Sideway James (2016).Geography and Geographers: Anglo-American Human Geography since 1945 (7th ed). New York: Routledge.
    10. ^Hartshorne, Richard (1954). "Comment on 'Exceptionalism in geography'".Annals of the Association of American Geographers.38 (1):108–9.JSTOR 2561120.--as cited inJohnston, Ron; Sideway, James (2016).Geography and Geographers: Anglo-American Human Geography since 1945 (7th ed.). New York: Routledge.
    11. ^Hartshorne, Richard (1955). "'Exceptionalism in Geography' re-examined".Annals of the Association of American Geographers.45:205–44.doi:10.1111/j.1467-8306.1955.tb01671.x.--as cited inJohnston, Ron; Sideway, James (2016).Geography and Geographers: Anglo-American Human Geography since 1945 (7th ed.). New York: Routledge.
    12. ^Hartshorne, Richard (1958). "The concept of geography as a science of space from Kant and Humboldt to Hettner".Annals of the Association of American Geographers.48 (2):97–108.doi:10.1111/j.1467-8306.1958.tb01562.x.--as cited in Johnston, Ron and Sideway James (2016).Geography and Geographers: Anglo-American Human Geography since 1945 (7th ed). New York: Routledge.
    13. ^Hartshorne, Richard (1959).Perspective on the Nature of Geography. Chicago: Rand McNally.--as cited in Johnston, Ron and Sideway James (2016).Geography and Geographers: Anglo-American Human Geography since 1945 (7th ed). New York: Routledge.
    14. ^Cox, Kevin R. (2001)."Bunge, W. 1962: Theoretical geography: Commentary 1".Progress in Human Geography. Classics in human geography revisited.25 (1):71–73.doi:10.1191/030913201673714256. Retrieved18 March 2025.
    15. ^Goodchild, Michael F (2008). "2 Theoretical Geography (1962): William Bunge". In Hubbard, Phil; Kitchin, Rob; Valentine, Gill (eds.).Key Texts in Human Geography. SAGE Publications Ltd. pp. 9–16.ISBN 978-1412922616. Retrieved18 March 2025.
    16. ^Getis, Arthur (16 July 2008)."A History of the Concept of Spatial Autocorrelation: A Geographer's Perspective".Geographical Analysis.40 (3):297–309.Bibcode:2008GeoAn..40..297G.doi:10.1111/j.1538-4632.2008.00727.x.
    17. ^Johnston, Ron; Sidaway, James (2016).Geography & Geographers: Anglo-American Human Geography since 1945 (7th ed.). New York: Routledge. pp. 64–76.
    18. ^abGregory, Derek; Johnston, Ron; Pratt, Geraldine; Watts, Michael J.; Whatmore, Sarah (2009).The Dictionary of Human Geography (5th ed.). USA & UK: Wiley-Blackwell. pp. 611–12.
    19. ^Ron Johnston; Richard Harris; Kelvyn Jones; David Manley; Wenfei Winnie Wang; Levi Wolf (2019)."Quantitative methods I: The world we have lost – or where we started from".Progress in Human Geography.43 (6):1133–1142.doi:10.1177/0309132518774967.hdl:1983/7f152036-5f52-4a37-ab46-07f23bf2149e.S2CID 150035396.;Johnston, Ron; Harris, Richard; Jones, Kelvyn; Manley, David; Wang, Wenfei Winnie; Wolf, Levi (2020)."Quantitative methods II: How we moved on – Decades of change in philosophy, focus and methods;".Progress in Human Geography.44 (5):959–971.doi:10.1177/0309132519869451.S2CID 203064581.
    20. ^Harvey, David (1969).Explanation in Geography. London: Edward Arnold --as cited in Johnston, Ron and Sideway James (2016).Geography and Geographers: Anglo-American Human Geography since 1945 (7th ed). New York: Routledge.
    21. ^Johnston, Ron; Sidaway, James (2016).Geography and Geographers: Anglo-American Human Geography since 1945 (7th ed.). New York: Routledge. pp. 77–80.
    22. ^Burton, I. (1963). "The quantitative revolution and theoretical geography".Canadian Geographer.7 (4):151–62.Bibcode:1963CGeog...7..151B.doi:10.1111/j.1541-0064.1963.tb00796.x.--as cited in Johnston, Ron and Sideway James (2016).Geography and Geographers: Anglo-American Human Geography since 1945 (7th ed). New York: Routledge.
    23. ^Jones, Emrys (1956). "Cause and effect in human geography".Annals of the Association of American Geographers.46 (4):369–77.doi:10.1111/j.1467-8306.1956.tb01515.x.--as cited in Johnston, Ron and Sideway James (2016).Geography and Geographers: Anglo-American Human Geography since 1945 (7th ed). New York: Routledge.
    24. ^Lewis, Peter (1965). "Three related problems in the formulation of laws in geography".Professional Geographer.17 (5):24–7.Bibcode:1965ProfG..17...24L.doi:10.1111/j.0033-0124.1965.024_v.x.--as cited in Johnston, Ron and Sideway James (2016).Geography and Geographers: Anglo-American Human Geography since 1945 (7th ed). New York: Routledge.
    25. ^Golledge, R.G.; Amedeo, D. (1968). "On laws in geography".Annals of the Association of American Geographers.58 (4):760–74.doi:10.1111/j.1467-8306.1968.tb01666.x.--as cited in Johnston, Ron and Sideway James (2016).Geography and Geographers: Anglo-American Human Geography since 1945 (7th ed). New York: Routledge.
    26. ^Luckermann, F. (1965). "Geography: De facto or de jure".Journal of the Minnesota Academy of Science.32:189–96.--as cited in Johnston, Ron and Sideway James (2016).Geography and Geographers: Anglo-American Human Geography since 1945 (7th ed). New York: Routledge.
    27. ^Johnston, Ron; Sidaway, James (2016).Geography & Geographers: Anglo-American Human Geography since 1945 (7th ed.). New York: Routledge. pp. 64–76.
    28. ^Johnston, Ron and Sideway James (2016).Geography and Geographers: Anglo-American Human Geography since 1945 (7th ed). New York: Routledge. Ch. 3-8
    29. ^Tobler, Waldo (1970)."A Computer Movie Simulating Urban Growth in the Detroit Region"(PDF).Economic Geography.46:234–240.doi:10.2307/143141.JSTOR 143141.S2CID 34085823. Archived fromthe original(PDF) on 2019-03-08. Retrieved22 July 2022.
    30. ^Tobler, Waldo (2004)."On the First Law of Geography: A Reply".Annals of the Association of American Geographers.94 (2):304–310.doi:10.1111/j.1467-8306.2004.09402009.x.S2CID 33201684.Archived from the original on 21 June 2022. Retrieved22 July 2022.
    31. ^Walker, Robert Toovey (28 Apr 2021). "Geography, Von Thünen, and Tobler's first law: Tracing the evolution of a concept".Geographical Review.112 (4):591–607.doi:10.1080/00167428.2021.1906670.S2CID 233620037.
    32. ^Gregory, Derek; Johnston, Ron; Pratt, Geraldine; Watts, Michael J.; Whatmore, Sarah (2009).The Dictionary of Human Geography (5th ed.). USA & UK: Wiley-Blackwell. p. 608.
    33. ^St. Martin, Kevin; Wing, John (2007). "The Discourse and Discipline of GIS".Cartographica.42 (3):235–248.doi:10.3138/carto.42.3.235.
    34. ^Gregory, Derek; Johnston, Ron; Pratt, Geraldine; Watts, Michael J.; Whatmore, Sarah (2009).The Dictionary of Human Geography (5th ed.). USA & UK: Wiley-Blackwell. pp. 277–79.
    35. ^Johnston, Ron and Sideway James (2016).Geography and Geographers: Anglo-American Human Geography since 1945 (7th ed). New York: Routledge. P.84
    36. ^Gregory, Derek; Johnston, Ron; Pratt, Geraldine; Watts, Michael J.; Whatmore, Sarah (2009).The Dictionary of Human Geography (5th ed.). USA & UK: Wiley-Blackwell. p. 612.
    37. ^Harvey, David (1973).Social Justice and the City. London: Edward Arnold.
    38. ^Harvey, David (1972)."Revolutionary and counter revolutionary theory in geography and the problem of ghetto formation"(PDF).Antipode.4 (2):1–13.Bibcode:1972Antip...4....1H.doi:10.1111/j.1467-8330.1972.tb00486.x.hdl:10214/1818.
    39. ^Johnston, R; et al. (2014)."One step forward but two steps back to the proper appreciation of spatial science".Dialogues in Human Geography.4 (1):59–69.doi:10.1177/2043820614526818.hdl:1983/ebbf7077-4b09-42f8-ae1c-c36d85c5ec6f.S2CID 131585880.
    40. ^Wyly, E (2014)."The new quantitative revolution".Dialogues in Human Geography.4 (1):26–38.doi:10.1177/2043820614525732.S2CID 147480267.
    41. ^Barnes, Trevor J. (2009-07-06). ""Not Only … But Also": Quantitative and Critical Geography".The Professional Geographer.61 (3):292–300.doi:10.1080/00330120902931937.

    Further reading

    [edit]
    • Science, Philosophy and Physical Geography. Robert Inkpen, Routledge,ISBN 0-415-27954-2.
    • Explanation in Geography,David Harvey, E Arnold,ISBN 0-7131-5464-0.
    • Key Thinkers on Space and Place, Phil Hubbard, Rob Kitchin, Gill Valentine, Sage Publications Ltd,ISBN 0-7619-4963-1.
    • Social Justice and the City, Ira Katznelson (Foreword), David Harvey, Blackwell Publishers,ISBN 0-631-16476-6.
    • The Geographical Tradition: Episodes in the History of a Contested Enterprise, David N. Livingstone, Blackwell PublishersISBN 0-631-18586-0.

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