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Politics of Oregon

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Politics of a U.S. state

Like many otherU.S. states, thepolitics of Oregon largely concerns regional issues.[1]Oregon leans Democratic as a state, with both U.S.senators from theDemocratic party,[2] as well as five out of Oregon's sixU.S. Representatives.[3] The Democratic candidate for president has won in Oregon in every election since 1988.[4] Both houses ofOregon's legislative assembly have been under Democratic control since the 2012 elections.[5]

For most of its existence, Oregon was the most consistentlyRepublicanwest coast state.[6] Between 1860 and 1984, the state voted Democratic just six times, in 1868, 1912, 1932, 1936, 1940, and 1964.

In 1954, the upset of incumbent Republican SenatorGuy Cordon by DemocratRichard L. Neuberger, along with Democratic wins in the U.S. House and statewide races and pickups of fourteen and two seats in the state House and Senate, respectively, signaled the beginning of a shift towards the Democratic Party.[6] The lastRepublican governor of Oregon wasVictor G. Atiyeh, who served from 1979 to 1987.[7][8] Since 1988, Oregon voters have consistently favored Democratic candidates for most major elected positions, including the U.S. presidency.

History

[edit]
United States presidential election results for Oregon[9]
YearRepublicanDemocraticThird party(ies)
No. %No. %No. %
18605,34436.20%4,13127.99%5,28635.81%
18649,88853.90%8,45746.10%00.00%
186810,96149.63%11,12550.37%00.00%
187211,81858.66%7,74238.43%5872.91%
187615,21450.92%14,15747.38%5101.71%
188020,61950.51%19,95548.88%2490.61%
188426,86050.99%24,60446.70%1,2182.31%
188833,29153.82%26,52242.88%2,0403.30%
189235,00244.59%14,24318.15%29,24637.26%
189648,77950.07%46,73947.98%1,8961.95%
190046,17255.46%32,81039.41%4,2695.13%
190460,45567.06%17,52119.43%12,17813.51%
190862,53056.39%38,04934.31%10,3109.30%
191234,67325.30%47,06434.34%55,30340.36%
1916126,81348.47%120,08745.90%14,7505.64%
1920143,59260.20%80,01933.55%14,9116.25%
1924142,57951.01%67,58924.18%69,32024.80%
1928205,34164.18%109,22334.14%5,3781.68%
1932136,01936.88%213,87157.99%18,9185.13%
1936122,70629.64%266,73364.42%24,5825.94%
1940219,55545.62%258,41553.70%3,2700.68%
1944225,36546.94%248,63551.78%6,1471.28%
1948260,90449.78%243,14746.40%20,0293.82%
1952420,81560.54%270,57938.93%3,6650.53%
1956406,39355.25%329,20444.75%00.00%
1960408,06052.56%367,40247.32%9590.12%
1964282,77935.96%501,01763.72%2,5090.32%
1968408,43349.83%358,86643.78%52,3236.38%
1972486,68652.45%392,76042.33%48,5005.23%
1976492,12047.78%490,40747.62%47,3494.60%
1980571,04448.33%456,89038.67%153,58213.00%
1984685,70055.91%536,47943.74%4,3480.35%
1988560,12646.61%616,20651.28%25,3622.11%
1992475,75732.53%621,31442.48%365,57224.99%
1996538,15239.06%649,64147.15%189,96713.79%
2000713,57746.52%720,34246.96%100,0496.52%
2004866,83147.19%943,16351.35%26,7881.46%
2008738,47540.40%1,037,29156.75%52,0982.85%
2012754,17542.15%970,48854.24%64,6073.61%
2016782,40339.09%1,002,10650.07%216,82710.83%
2020958,44840.37%1,340,38356.45%75,4903.18%
2024919,48040.97%1,240,60055.27%84,4133.76%
Gubernatorial election results[10]
YearDemocraticRepublican
195034.0%171,75066.0%334,160
195443.1%244,17056.9%322,522
195844.7%267,93455.3%331,900
196241.6%265,35954.2%345,497
196644.7%305,00855.3%377,346
197044.2%293,89255.6%369,964
197457.7%444,81242.1%324,751
197845.1%409,41154.9%498,452
198235.9%374,31661.4%639,841
198651.9%549,45647.9%506,989
199045.7%508,74940.0%444,646
199451.0%622,08342.4%517,874
199864.4%717,06130.0%334,001
200249.0%618,00446.2%581,785
200650.7%699,78642.8%589,748
201049.3%716,52547.8%694,287
201449.9%733,23044.1%648,542
201650.6%985,02743.4%845,609
201850.1%934,49843.7%814,988
202247.0%917,07443.5%850,347

The longest-serving governor in Oregon history isJohn Kitzhaber, who served two consecutive terms as governor, then left office before returning to win a third term in 2010 ahead of Republican and formerPortland Trail BlazerChris Dudley and the 2014 election against RepublicanDennis Richardson. Kitzhaber resigned in February 2015 after allegations of financial impropriety involving his partner and girlfriend,Cylvia Hayes, and certain lobbying efforts.[11][12][13]

The state is broken up into two main geographically separate political areas: the generally liberal cities and towns of theWillamette Valley andcentral/northern coast. The rest of the state (apart fromAshland andBend) has voters are typically conservative or right wing.[1][14] While about 47% of the population of Oregon lives in thePortland metropolitan area as of 2013,[15][16] the rest of the state has a rural population with generally conservative views onstate taxes. Because of the greater population living in the liberal Willamette Valley cities compared to the rest of Oregon, the state has very liberal laws, including on public health care,[17][18] recreational andmedical marijuana,[19]assisted dying,[20] and environmental protections.[21]

In the2016 presidential election, DemocratHillary Clinton received 50.07% of the vote, while Republican candidateDonald Trump received 39.09%. Trump performed best inLake County, winning 77% of the 5,400 registered voters.Hillary Clinton performed best in Multnomah County, where she received 73% of the vote.Libertarian candidateGary Johnson performed best inGilliam County, where he received 8% of the vote. Columbia and Tillamook counties in the far northwest of Oregon are among 181 pivot counties out of more than 3,000 counties nationwide that Barack Obama carried in 2008 and 2012, but flipped to Donald Trump in 2016 and 2020.[22]

Political geography

[edit]

Oregon's politics are largely divided by theCascade Mountains, with much ofwestern Oregon leaning Democratic andeastern Oregon leaning Republican.[23] The rapidly-growing area around Bend in Central Oregon has created Democratic voter registration majorities in Deschutes County.[24] Republicans have some strongholds in the western part of the state outside of larger cities.[25]Linn County, between the liberal cities of Eugene and Salem, has voted for the Republican presidential candidate in every election since 1980.[26]Southern Oregon is also a Republican stronghold, except inJackson County, which frequently votes for both Republican and Democratic candidates.

In the1998 gubernatorial election, the only county won by Republican candidateBill Sizemore wasMalheur County. Because of the concentration of population in Portland and the Willamette Valley,Gov. Kate Brown, a Democrat, won the2018 election despite carrying only 7 of Oregon's 36 counties.

Based on voting data from the2012 presidential election,Ontario in Malheur County was rated as the most Republican in the state.[27]Gresham inMultnomah County was rated as the most Democratic.[28]

The last time a Democrat won every county in the state in a presidential election was in1936, whenFranklin D. Roosevelt carried all counties. The last time a Republican accomplished this feat was in1928, when every county was won byHerbert Hoover. The last time a third-party candidate won any county was in1912, whenTheodore Roosevelt carried Clatsop, Columbia, Jackson, and Washington counties on the Progressive ticket. Independent candidateRoss Perot won 24.7% of the1992 presidential vote in Oregon, but carried no counties.

Ideology

[edit]

Similar to the West Coast states of California and Washington, Oregon has a high percentage of people who identify as liberals. A 2013Gallup poll that surveyed the political ideology of residents in every state found that people in Oregon identified as:[29]

A 2008 analysis by political statisticianNate Silver on states' political ideology noted that the state's conservatives were the most conservative of any state (more so than Utah or Tennessee) and that the state's liberals were more liberal than any state (more so than Vermont or D.C.).[30]

Political parties

[edit]
Main article:List of political parties in Oregon
Party registration by county (October 2018):
  •   Democrat >= 30%
  •   Democrat >= 40%
  •   Democrat >= 50%
  •   Republican >= 30%
  •   Republican >= 40%
  •   Republican >= 50%
  •   Unaffiliated >= 30%

According to the state's election agency, as of September 2022, there were 2,995,364 registered voters in Oregon.

Party registration as of June 2025:[31]
PartyNumber of votersPercentage
Non-affiliated1,099,98936.15%
Democratic993,47932.65%
Republican732,07024.05%
Independent153,0825.03%
Libertarian19,4160.64%
Minor parties44,7291.47%
Total3,042,762100%

Federal representation

[edit]
Main article:Oregon's congressional districts

Oregon currently has sixHouse districts. In the 119th Congress, five of Oregon's seats are held by Democrats and one is held by a Republican:

Oregon's two United States senators are DemocratsRon Wyden andJeff Merkley, serving since 1996 and 2009, respectively.

Oregon is part of theUnited States District Court for the District of Oregon in the federal judiciary. The district's cases are appealed to the San Francisco-basedUnited States Court of Appeals for the Ninth Circuit.

See also

[edit]

References

[edit]
  1. ^abCohen, Micah (August 16, 2012)."Oregon, Sitting at the Border of Safe and In Play".FiveThirtyEight. RetrievedAugust 6, 2014.
  2. ^"Oregon's United States Senators".Oregon Blue Book. Oregon Secretary of State. RetrievedJuly 31, 2014.
  3. ^"Oregon's United States Representatives".Oregon Blue Book. Oregon Secretary of State. RetrievedJuly 31, 2014.
  4. ^"Votes Cast in Oregon for U.S. President 1860-2016"(PDF).Oregon Blue Book. Oregon Secretary of State. RetrievedJuly 31, 2014.
  5. ^"2012 Election Results: Oregon Legislature".OregonLive.com. RetrievedNovember 7, 2012.
  6. ^abSwarthout, John M. (December 1954). "The 1954 Election in Oregon".The Western Political Quarterly.7 (4):620–625.doi:10.2307/442815.JSTOR 442815.
  7. ^"Governor Victor G. Atiyeh's Administration: Biographical Note". Oregon Secretary of State. RetrievedJuly 31, 2014.
  8. ^Turner, Wallace (May 18, 1982)."Oregon's Governor Leading 6 in Polls".The New York Times. RetrievedJuly 31, 2014.
  9. ^Leip, David."Presidential General Election Results Comparison – Oregon". US Election Atlas. RetrievedOctober 29, 2022.
  10. ^Leip, David."General Election Results—Oregon". United States Election Atlas.Archived from the original on July 9, 2018. RetrievedNovember 18, 2016.
  11. ^"Governor's Records Guides - Governor John Kitzhaber".Oregon State Archives. Oregon Secretary of State. RetrievedJuly 31, 2014.
  12. ^Kaplan, Thomas (August 2, 2010)."Candidate's Platform: Jobs. Experience: N.B.A."The New York Times. RetrievedJuly 31, 2010.
  13. ^Nakamura, Beth."Governor John Kitzhaber announces his resignation".The Oregonian. RetrievedFebruary 13, 2015.
  14. ^Yardley, William (May 19, 2008)."A Shift in Voters, but Oregon Still Embraces the Unconventional".The New York Times. RetrievedJuly 27, 2014.
  15. ^"State & County QuickFacts: Oregon". U.S. Census Bureau. Archived fromthe original on February 24, 2016. RetrievedJuly 27, 2014.
  16. ^"Update of Statistical Area Definitions and Guidance on Their Uses"(PDF).Office of Management and Budget. November 20, 2007. p. 45. RetrievedJuly 27, 2014 – viaNational Archives.
  17. ^"Oregon Health Plan". State of Oregon. RetrievedJuly 31, 2014.
  18. ^Vekshin, Alison (May 19, 2014)."Doctor-Governor Kitzhaber Imperiled by Oregon Insurance Failure".Bloomberg Businessweek. Archived fromthe original on August 8, 2014. RetrievedJuly 31, 2014.
  19. ^"Oregon Medical Marijuana Program (OMMP)".Oregon Health Authority. State of Oregon. RetrievedJuly 31, 2014.
  20. ^Oregon Death with Dignity Act
  21. ^McCaulou, Lily Raff (December 10, 2012)."Oregon's political divide".The Bulletin. Bend, Oregon. RetrievedJuly 27, 2014.
  22. ^Bureau, Gary A. Warner Oregon Capital."Voting surges as campaigns head to finish line".www.mailtribune.com. Retrieved2021-12-23.{{cite web}}:|last= has generic name (help)
  23. ^Cohen, Micah (August 16, 2012)."Oregon, Sitting at the Border of Safe and In Play".FiveThirtyEight.The New York Times. RetrievedJanuary 3, 2016.Oregon, like Wisconsin, is an ideologically polarized state. The Cascade Mountains are a convenient dividing line, politically and geographically.
  24. ^Bureau, Gary A. Warner Oregon Capital."Big turnout, big spending as election finish line looms".The Bulletin. Retrieved2020-10-30.{{cite web}}:|last= has generic name (help)
  25. ^"Oregon Election Results 2016: President Live Map by County, Real-Time Voting Updates".Election Hub. Retrieved2020-10-30.[dead link]
  26. ^Presidential Election of 1976 by County
  27. ^White, Carrie (June 14, 2016)."These Are The 10 Most Conservative Cities In Oregon". RoadSnacks. RetrievedJanuary 7, 2017.
  28. ^White, Carrie (June 14, 2016)."These Are The 10 Most Liberal Cities In Oregon". RoadSnacks. RetrievedJanuary 7, 2017.
  29. ^Swift, Art (January 31, 2014)."Wyoming Residents Most Conservative, D.C. Most Liberal". Gallup. RetrievedJuly 31, 2014.
  30. ^Silver, Nate (May 17, 2008)."Oregon: Swing State or latte-drinking, Prius-driving lesbian commune?".FiveThirtyEight. RetrievedFebruary 24, 2010.
  31. ^"Oregon Voter Registration Statistics".sos.oregon.gov. RetrievedSeptember 20, 2023.

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