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On-base plus slugging

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Hitting statistic in baseball

On-base plus slugging (OPS) is asabermetricbaseball statistic calculated as the sum of a player'son-base percentage andslugging percentage.[1] The ability of a player both to get on base and to hit for power, two important offensive skills, are represented. An OPS of .800 or higher inMajor League Baseball puts the player in the upper echelon of hitters. Typically, the league leader in OPS will score near, and sometimes above, the 1.000 mark.

Equation

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The basic equation is

OPS=OBP+SLG{\displaystyle OPS=OBP+SLG\,}

where OBP ison-base percentage and SLG isslugging average. These averages are defined below as:

OBP=H+BB+HBPAB+BB+SF+HBP{\displaystyle OBP={\frac {H+BB+HBP}{AB+BB+SF+HBP}}}

- the numerator "H + BB + HBP" effectively means "number of trips to first base at least"

- the denominator "AB + BB + SF + HBP" effectively means "total plate appearances", but does not include sacrifice bunts

This is because though a batter makes a trip to the plate he is not given an "AB" when he walks (BB or HBP) or when he hits the ball into play and is called out, but the action allows a run to score (SF). As a result, the 4 counts (AB + BB + SF +HBP) are needed to calculate a batter's total trips to the plate.

and

SLG=TBAB{\displaystyle SLG={\frac {TB}{AB}}}

where:

In one equation, OPS can be represented as:

OPS=AB(H+BB+HBP)+TB(AB+BB+SF+HBP)AB(AB+BB+SF+HBP){\displaystyle OPS={\frac {AB*(H+BB+HBP)+TB*(AB+BB+SF+HBP)}{AB*(AB+BB+SF+HBP)}}}

History

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On-base plus slugging was first popularized in 1984 byJohn Thorn andPete Palmer's book,The Hidden Game of Baseball.[2]The New York Times then began carrying the leaders in this statistic in its weekly "By the Numbers" box, a feature that continued for four years. Baseball journalistPeter Gammons used and evangelized the statistic, and other writers and broadcasters picked it up. The popularity of OPS gradually spread, and by 2004 it began appearing onTopps baseball cards.[3]

OPS was formerly sometimes known asproduction. For instance,production was included in early versions of Thorn'sTotal Baseball encyclopedia, and in theStrat-O-Matic Computer Baseball game. This term has fallen out of use.

OPS gained popularity because of the availability of its components, OBP and SLG, and that team OPS correlates well with team runs scored.

An OPS scale

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Bill James, in his essay titled "The 96 Families of Hitters"[4] uses seven different categories for classification by OPS:

CategoryClassificationOPS range
AGreat.9000 and higher
BVery good.8334 to .8999
CAbove average.7667 to .8333
DAverage.7000 to .7666
EBelow average.6334 to .6999
FPoor.5667 to .6333
GVery poor.5666 and lower

This effectively transforms OPS into a seven-point ordinal scale. Substituting quality labels such asexcellent (A),very good (B),good (C),average (D),fair (E),poor (F) andvery poor (G) for the A–G categories creates a subjective reference for OPS values.

Leaders

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Further information:List of Major League Baseball career OPS leaders

The top tenMajor League Baseball players in lifetime OPS, with at least 3,000 plate appearances as of June 8, 2024[update], were:

  1. Babe Ruth, 1.1636
  2. Ted Williams, 1.1155
  3. Lou Gehrig, 1.0798
  4. Oscar Charleston, 1.0632
  5. Barry Bonds, 1.0512
  6. Jimmie Foxx, 1.0376
  7. Turkey Stearnes, 1.0340
  8. Mule Suttles, 1.0276
  9. Hank Greenberg, 1.0169
  10. Rogers Hornsby, 1.0103

The top five were all left-handed batters. Jimmie Foxx has the highest career OPS for a right-handed batter.[5]

The top ten single-season performances in MLB are:

  1. Josh Gibson, 1.4744 (1937)
  2. Josh Gibson, 1.4271 (1943)
  3. Barry Bonds, 1.4217 (2004)
  4. Charlie Smith, 1.4214 (1929)
  5. Barry Bonds, 1.3807 (2002)
  6. Babe Ruth, 1.3791 (1920)
  7. Barry Bonds, 1.3785 (2001)
  8. Babe Ruth, 1.3586 (1921)
  9. Mule Suttles, 1.3489 (1926)
  10. Mule Suttles, 1.3247 (1930)

Gibson holds the highest single-season OPS for a right-hander, while Barry Bonds holds the record for a left-hander. Since 1944, the highest single-season OPS for a right-hander is 1.2224 byMark McGwire in1998, which was 28th all-time.[6]

Adjusted OPS (OPS+)

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OPS+, adjusted OPS, is a closely related statistic. OPS+ is OPS adjusted for the park and the league in which the player played. An OPS+ of 100 is defined to be the league average. An OPS+ of 150 or more is excellent and 125 very good, while an OPS+ of 75 or below is poor.

The basic equation for OPS+ is

OPS+=100(OBPlgOBP+SLGlgSLG1){\displaystyle OPS+=100*({\frac {OBP}{*lgOBP}}+{\frac {SLG}{*lgSLG}}-1)}

where *lgOBP is the park-adjusted OBP of the league and *lgSLG is the park-adjusted SLG of the league.

A common misconception is that OPS+ closely matches the ratio of a player's OPS to that of their league. In fact, due to the additive nature of the two components in OPS+, a player with an OBP and SLG both 50% better than the league average in those metrics will have an OPS+ of 200 (twice the league average OPS+) while still having an OPS that is only 50% better than the average OPS of the league. It would be a better (although not exact) approximation to say that a player with an OPS+ of 150 produces 50% moreruns, in a given set of plate appearances than a player with an OPS+ of 100 (though see clarification above, under "History").

Leaders in OPS+

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Through the end of the 2024 season, the career top twenty leaders in OPS+ (minimum 3,000 plate appearances) were:[7]

  1. Babe Ruth, 206
  2. Ted Williams, 191
  3. Oscar Charleston, 184
  4. Barry Bonds, 182
  5. Lou Gehrig, 179
  6. Turkey Stearnes, 177
  7. Rogers Hornsby, 175
  8. Aaron Judge, 173
  9. Mike Trout, 173
  10. Mickey Mantle, 172
  11. Mule Suttles, 172
  12. Dan Brouthers, 171
  13. Joe Jackson, 170
  14. Ty Cobb, 168
  15. Pete Browning, 163
  16. Jimmie Foxx, 163
  17. Mark McGwire, 163
  18. Dave Orr, 162
  19. Juan Soto, 160
  20. Hank Greenberg, 159
  21. Stan Musial, 159

The only purely right-handed batters to appear on this list are Hornsby, Judge, Trout, Suttles, Browning, Foxx, McGwire, Orr, and Greenberg. Mantle is the only switch-hitter in the group.

The top ten single-season performances were:[8]

  1. Josh Gibson, 281 (1943)
  2. Josh Gibson, 273 (1937)
  3. Barry Bonds, 268 (2002)
  4. Barry Bonds, 263 (2004)
  5. Barry Bonds, 259 (2001)
  6. Fred Dunlap, 256 (1884) *
  7. Babe Ruth, 255 (1920)
  8. Mule Suttles, 253 (1930)
  9. Oscar Charleston, 251 (1924)
  10. Josh Gibson, 251 (1939)

* Fred Dunlap's historic 1884 season came in theUnion Association, which some baseball experts consider not to be a true major league. If Dunlap's seasons was to be eliminated from the list, Charleston's 1921 season would be on the list.

Criticism

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Despite its simple calculation, OPS is a controversial measurement. OPS weighs on-base percentage and slugging percentage equally. However, on-base percentage correlates better with scoring runs.[9] Statistics such aswOBA build on this distinction usinglinear weights. Additionally, the components of OPS are not typically equal (league-average slugging percentages are usually 75–100 points higher than league-average on-base percentages). As a point of reference, the OPS for all of Major League Baseball in 2024 was .711.[10]

See also

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Notes

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  1. ^Seewww.baseballprospectus.com orrec.sport.baseballArchived 2010-08-10 at theWayback Machine.
  2. ^John Thorn and Pete Palmer,The Hidden Game of Baseball, pp. 69-70.
  3. ^Alan Schwarz,The Numbers Game, pp. 165, 233.
  4. ^James, Bill.The 96 Families of Hitters.The Bill James Gold Mine, 2009, p.24.
  5. ^"Career Leaders & Records for OPS".Baseball-Reference.com. RetrievedJuly 26, 2019.
  6. ^"Single-Season Records for OPS".Baseball-Reference.com. RetrievedMarch 5, 2025.
  7. ^"Career Leaders & Records for Adjusted OPS+".Baseball-Reference.com. RetrievedMarch 5, 2025.
  8. ^"Single-Season Leaders & Records for Adjusted OPS+".Baseball-Reference.com. RetrievedMarch 5, 2025.
  9. ^Lewis, Michael (203).Moneyball: The Art of Winning an Unfair Game[page needed]
  10. ^"2024 Major League Baseball Standard Batting".Baseball-Reference.com.

References

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Batting
Base running
Pitching
Fielding
Sabermetrics
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