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2016 New York Democratic presidential primary

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2016New York Democratic presidential primary

← 2008April 19, 20162020 →
← WY
CT →
 
CandidateHillary ClintonBernie Sanders
Home stateNew YorkVermont
Delegate count139108
Popular vote1,133,980[1]820,256
Percentage57.54%41.62%

Results by county
Clinton:     50-60%     60-70%     70-80%
Sanders:     50-60%     60-70%     70-80%
New York City results by precinct
  Sanders
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  •   90–100%
  Clinton
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  •   90–100%
  Other
  •   40–50% tie
  •   50% tie
  •   No votes


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The2016 New York Democratic presidential primary was held on April 19 in the U.S. state ofNew York as one of theDemocratic Party's primaries ahead of the2016 presidential election. Hillary Clinton, who had previously represented New York in theUnited States Senate from 2001 to 2009, won a comfortable majority in both the popular vote and delegate count over Bernie Sanders, who was born inBrooklyn.

TheRepublican Party also held their ownNew York primary on the same day. Apart from that, no other primaries were scheduled for that day by either party.

Campaign

[edit]

The week before the primary, Sanders drew large crowds to campaign events in New York City: 28,000 heard Sanders speak in Brooklyn the weekend before the primary and 27,000 heard him speak inManhattan the week before.[2] Clinton drew "appreciative crowds of respectable size" but did not approach the attendance of Sanders events.[2]

In early April, ahead of the primary, former PresidentBill Clinton visitedwestern New York twice for campaign events, speaking at an event inDepew (attended by almost a thousand people) and addressing a room of activists and volunteers at Clinton'sBuffalo campaign office.[3]

In total, the Sanders campaign spent about $2 million more than the Clinton campaign on television ads in New York.[4] In terms of campaign-expenditures per vote, Sanders' campaign spent about $9.03 per vote, while Clinton's campaign spent about $3.62 per vote.[5]

April 2016 presidential debate

[edit]

A ninth debate was held on April 14, 2016, in Brooklyn, New York at the Duggal Greenhouse inBrooklyn Navy Yard. The debate was aired on CNN andNY1.[6] Wolf Blitzer of CNN served as moderator.[7]

Election Day irregularities

[edit]

TheNew York Times reported the day after the primary:

The Democratic vote was marred by major irregularities at polling places acrossBrooklyn. Thecity comptroller's office announced that theBoard of Elections had confirmed that more than 200,000 Democratic voters in Brooklyn were dropped between November and this month, while about 63,000 were added – a net loss that was not explained. MayorBill de Blasio described 'the purging of entire buildings and blocks of voters,' while the comptroller,Scott Stringer, said his office would audit the Board of Elections.[4]

The Brooklyn voter purge disproportionately affected Hispanic voters, and mostly voters between the ages of 30 and 80, and happened at similar rates in election districts where Clinton won and where Sanders won.[8] Although 121,056 people voted with provisional ballots in New York City, the board threw out nearly 91,000 "either because their names were taken off the rolls or because their party affiliation had been dropped or switched to a different party without their knowing."[9]

In November 2016, several groups sued the New York City Board of Elections over the voter roll purge. Initial parties to the lawsuit included "Lawyers Committee for Civil Rights Under the Law, Latino Justice/PRLDEF and Dechert LLP on behalf of Common Cause New York and several individual plaintiffs. In early 2017, both the Justice Department and New York State Attorney General's office made motions to join the lawsuit."[10] In October 2017 WNYC reported that, pending court approval to the consent decree, that the New York State Board of Elections agreed to a settlement with parties to the lawsuit against them, admitting to illegally purging over 200,000 eligible voters from New York City voter rolls.

As a part of the settlement, the Board agreed to a series of remedial measures that will be in place at least through the next presidential election, November 2020 – pending court approval. The deal restores the rights of improperly purged voters and establishes a comprehensive plan to prevent illegal voter purges in future elections.[10]

Opinion polling

[edit]
See also:Statewide opinion polling for the 2016 Democratic Party presidential primaries
List of polls
Poll sourceDate1st2ndOther
Primary results[11]April 19, 2016Hillary Clinton
57.5%
Bernie Sanders
41.6%
Void / Blank Votes
0.9%
Emerson College[12]

Margin of error: ± 4.6%
Sample size: 438

April 15–17, 2016Hillary Clinton
55%
Bernie Sanders
40%
Others / Undecided
5%
CBS News/YouGov[13]

Margin of error: ± 4.4%
Sample size: 1,033

April 13–15, 2016Hillary Clinton
53%
Bernie Sanders
43%
Others / Undecided
4%
NBC/WSJ/Marist[14]

Margin of error: ± 4.0%
Sample size: 591

April 10–13, 2016Hillary Clinton
57%
Bernie Sanders
40%
Others / Undecided
3%
Quinnipiac[15]

Margin of error: ± 3.3%
Sample size: 860

April 6–11, 2016Hillary Clinton
53%
Bernie Sanders
40%
Others / Undecided
7%
Gravis Marketing/
One America News[16]

Margin of error: ± 2.9%
Sample size: 1,134

April 5–6, 2016Hillary Clinton
53%
Bernie Sanders
47%
Siena College[17]

Margin of error: ± 4.5%
Sample size: 538

April 6–11, 2016Hillary Clinton
52%
Bernie Sanders
42%
Others / Undecided
6%
Monmouth[18]

Margin of error: ± 5.6%
Sample size: 302

April 8–10, 2016Hillary Clinton
51%
Bernie Sanders
39%
Others / Undecided
10%
PPP[19]

Margin of error: ± 3.8%
Sample size: 663

April 7–10, 2016Hillary Clinton
51%
Bernie Sanders
40%
Others / Undecided
9%
NBC News/WSJ/Marist[20]

Margin of error: ± 4.2%
Sample size: 557

April 6–10, 2016Hillary Clinton
55%
Bernie Sanders
41%
Others / Undecided
4%
NY1/Baruch[21]

Margin of error: ± 4.2%
Sample size: 632

April 5–10, 2016Hillary Clinton
50%
Bernie Sanders
37%
Others / Undecided
13%
Emerson College[22]

Margin of error: ± 5.4%
Sample size: 324

April 6–7, 2016Hillary Clinton
56%
Bernie Sanders
38%
Others / Undecided
6%
FOX News[23]

Margin of error: ± 3.5%
Sample size: 801

April 4–7, 2016Hillary Clinton
53%
Bernie Sanders
37%
Others / Undecided
10%
CBS News/YouGov[24]

Margin of error: ± 3.4%
Sample size: 718

March 29- April 1, 2016Hillary Clinton
53%
Bernie Sanders
43%
Others / Undecided
4%
Quinnipiac[25]

Margin of error: ± 3.7%
Sample size: 693

March 22–29, 2016Hillary Clinton
54%
Bernie Sanders
42%
Others / Undecided
4%
Emerson College[26]

Margin of error: ± 5.0%
Sample size: 373

March 14–16, 2016Hillary Clinton
71%
Bernie Sanders
23%
Others / Undecided
6%
Siena College[27]

Margin of error: ± 6.2%
Sample size: 368

February 28–March 3, 2016Hillary Clinton
55%
Bernie Sanders
34%
Others / Undecided
11%
Siena College[28]

Margin of error: ± 5.6%
Sample size: 434

January 31 – February 3, 2016Hillary Clinton
55%
Bernie Sanders
34%
Others / Undecided
11%
Polls in 2015
Poll sourceDate1st2nd3rdOther
Siena College[29]

Margin of error: ± 5%
Sample size: 374

September 14–17, 2015Hillary Clinton
45%
Joe Biden
24%
Bernie Sanders
23%
None of them 4%, Don't know/No opinion 3%
Quinnipiac University[30]

Margin of error: ± 4.4%
Sample size: 508

May 28 – June 1, 2015Hillary Clinton
55%
Bernie Sanders
15%
Joe Biden
9%
Martin O'Malley 2%, Jim Webb 2%, Lincoln Chafee 1%, Someone else 2%, Wouldn't vote 2%, Undecided 13%
Siena College[31]

Margin of error: ± 6.3%
Sample size: ?

April 19–23, 2015Hillary Clinton
69%
Someone else 22%
Quinnipiac University[32]

Margin of error: ± 4.3%
Sample size: 521

March 11–16, 2015Hillary Clinton
51%
Elizabeth Warren
11%
Joe Biden
8%
Andrew Cuomo 7%, Bernie Sanders 5%, Martin O'Malley 1%, Jim Webb 1%, Other 0%, Wouldn't vote 3%, Undecided 12%
Polls in 2013
Poll sourceDate1st2nd3rdOther
Marist College[33]

Margin of error: ± 5.7%
Sample size: 294

November 18–20, 2013Hillary Clinton
64%
Andrew Cuomo
14%
Joe Biden
8%
Elizabeth Warren 6%, Martin O'Malley 3%, Undecided 5%

Results

[edit]
See also:Results of the 2016 Democratic Party presidential primaries
New York Democratic primary, April 19, 2016
CandidatePopular voteEstimated delegates
CountPercentagePledgedUnpledgedTotal
Hillary Clinton1,133,98057.54%13941180
Bernie Sanders820,05641.62%1080108
Void11,3060.57%
Blank votes5,3580.27%
Uncommitted033
Total1,970,900100%24744291
Source:[34][35]

Results by county

[edit]
County[36]Clinton%Sanders%BVSTotalsTurnoutMargin
Albany19,91447.74%21,79852.26%[37]35442,06647.47%-4.48%
Allegany84740.62%1,20957.99%292,08535.53%-17.36%
Bronx105,71968.76%46,18930.04%1,834153,74231.31%38.72%
Broome7,64143.11%9,95156.15%13117,72343.40%-13.03%
Cattaraugus1,84442.28%2,48156.89%364,36129.93%-14.61%
Cayuga2,59247.65%2,80551.56%435,44036.89%-3.92%
Chautauqua3,86546.09%4,43152.84%908,38632.68%-6.75%
Chemung2,74049.43%2,75249.65%515,54335.91%-0.22%
Chenango1,06239.23%1,61359.59%322,70737.60%-20.35%
Clinton1,77426.76%4,79772.35%596,63039.37%-45.60%
Columbia3,03945.14%3,66054.37%336,73251.64%-9.22%
Cortland1,51541.90%2,03756.33%643,61642.80%-14.44%
Delaware1,17238.96%1,81360.27%233,00841.70%-21.31%
Dutchess11,70148.37%12,39551.23%9724,19341.70%-2.87%
Erie54,27950.40%52,47348.72%955107,70738.91%1.68%
Essex83827.90%2,14571.40%213,00447.40%-43.51%
Franklin1,07629.74%2,51269.43%303,61837.59%-39.69%
Fulton1,01040.16%1,47558.65%302,51532.80%-18.49%
Genesee1,39345.66%1,62253.16%363,05133.66%-7.51%
Greene1,19542.82%1,56656.11%302,79140.29%-13.29%
Hamilton14135.97%24562.50%639244.70%-26.53%
Herkimer1,50744.01%1,87354.70%443,42434.22%-10.69%
Jefferson2,57948.80%2,65650.26%505,28534.96%-1.46%
Kings (Brooklyn)183,66259.07%123,87239.84%3,372310,90636.42%19.23%
Lewis49240.53%70357.91%191,21428.88%-17.38%
Livingston1,68539.86%2,51659.52%264,22742.23%-19.66%
Madison2,03944.12%2,52854.71%544,62141.82%-10.58%
Monroe39,31051.60%36,49047.90%38076,18043.85%3.70%
Montgomery1,29842.31%1,73256.45%383,06833.64%-14.15%
Nassau74,87062.14%44,73137.13%884120,48532.59%25.01%
New York (Manhattan)190,80665.42%98,19433.67%2,656291,65647.20%31.75%
Niagara8,20246.48%9,29452.67%14917,64534.09%-6.19%
Oneida6,58645.21%7,73953.12%24314,56833.81%-7.91%
Onondaga21,78652.90%19,18646.59%21241,18441.40%6.31%
Ontario4,04047.31%4,44552.05%558,54043.88%-4.74%
Orange12,85551.14%12,07748.04%20625,13833.12%3.09%
Orleans72543.36%92355.20%241,67231.43%-11.84%
Oswego2,63143.98%3,27354.71%785,98235.11%-10.73%
Otsego1,99540.72%2,86858.54%364,89947.17%-17.82%
Putnam3,71849.00%3,83250.50%387,58842.73%-1.50%
Queens133,21061.32%81,78237.64%2,272217,24432.15%23.68%
Rensselaer5,06841.76%7,00357.70%6612,13743.14%-15.94%
Richmond (Staten Island)17,61252.40%15,47146.03%53033,61328.17%6.37%
Rockland17,86859.78%11,79039.44%23329,89135.11%20.33%
St. Lawrence3,14244.04%4,42557.87%537,64635.72%−16.78%
Saratoga7,67244.04%9,69455.65%10417,41945.81%−11.61%
Schenectady6,52647.05%7,24152.20%1513,87140.12%−5.15%
Schoharie70636.45%1,21662.78%81,93740.93%−26.33%
Schuyler54838.27%87661.17%121,43244.27%−22.91%
Seneca1,12547.19%1,24752.31%792,38440.18%−5.12%
Steuben2,14941.86%2,92656.99%595,13436.61%−15.13%
Suffolk53,42054.80%44,03345.14%2597,47832.07%9.63%
Sullivan2,36944.12%2,95855.09%425,36931.84%−10.97%
Tioga1,31840.12%1,93658.93%313,28541.14%-18.81%
Tompkins6,13837.60%10,13062.06%5616,32463.40%-24.45%
Ulster7,64237.90%12,43561.68%8420,16150.70%-23.77%
Warren1,86839.21%2,87160.26%254,76446.75%-21.05%
Washington1,29236.08%2,27463.50%153,58141.49%-27.42%
Wayne1,98844.56%2,43654.61%374,46134.17%-10.04%
Westchester74,90066.87%36,75332.81%354112,00742.45%34.06%
Wyoming63939.89%95859.80%51,60230.12%-19.91%
Yates63746.46%72052.52%141,37142.98%-6.05%
Total1,133,98057.54%820,25641.62%16,6671,970,70337.41%15.93%

Note: New York State is a closed primary state, meaning the turnout is based on active enrolled democrats by county on April 1, 2016. Blank, void, and scattering votes (BVS) are only for blank and void, since there was not other candidate on the ballot or the ability to write-in.

New York City results

[edit]
2016 Democratic primaryManhattanThe BronxBrooklynQueensStaten IslandTotal
Hillary Clinton190,806105,719183,662133,21017,612631,009
64.42%68.76%59.07%61.32%52.40%62.65%
Bernie Sanders98,19446,189123,87281,76215,471365,488
33.67%30.04%39.84%37.64%46.03%36.29%
Blank, Void2,6561,8343,3722,27253010,664
1.91%1.2%1.09%1.04%1.57%1.06%
TOTAL291,656153,742310,906217,24433,6131,007,161
TURNOUT47.20%31.31%36.42%32.15%28.17%36.52%

Analysis

[edit]

Clinton won a 16-point victory in her home state.Exit polls showed that Sanders wonamong voters age 18–29 in the Empire State, capturing 65% of this demographic, while Clinton won every other age group, performing better witholder groups (53% of voters ages 30–44, 63% of voters aged 45–54, and 73% of voters aged 65 and over).[38] Clinton tied men with Sanders 50-50, but won a 63–37 landslide among women (both married and unmarried). The candidates split thewhite vote 50–50, but Clinton won theAfrican American vote 75–25 and theHispanic/Latino vote 64–36. Clinton swept all income levels/socioeconomic statuses and educational attainment levels in her home state.

In terms of political ideology, Clinton won 62–38 amongDemocrats while Sanders won 72–28 amongIndependents, who were 14% of the electorate. Clinton won both liberals and moderate/conservative voters. She won amongunion households 58–42, and won both married and unmarried voters. In terms of religious affiliation, Clinton wonProtestants 65–35,Catholics 62–38, and also won theJewish vote by a 2 to 1 margin after Sanders caused controversy by criticizingIsrael.[39] Sanders won agnostic/atheist voters 57–43. While Clinton won voters who saidWall Street does more to help the economy, Sanders won among those who said it hurts the economy.[40]

Clinton performed very well onLong Island and in thefive boroughs of New York City, particularly inManhattan,Queens andthe Bronx; she also won handily inBrooklyn andStaten Island.[4] Clinton ran up big margins in New York City neighborhoods likeHarlem, where the percentage of African American voters was highest. Sanders did better in rural, whiterupstate New York counties, with Clinton winningBuffalo,Syracuse, andRochester while Sanders won inAlbany.[38][4] Sanders also performed well in theHudson Valley, with a high concentration of liberals and college students.[4]

Aftermath

[edit]

After winning her home state convincingly, Clinton told supporters, "New Yorkers, you've always had my back and I've always tried to have yours [...] Today together we did it again and I am deeply, deeply grateful."[41]

Following his primary, a Manhattan attorney filed suit, seeking atemporary restraining order to block certification of the presidential primary election byNew York City Board of Elections and the state elections board based on his argument that New York'sclosed primary system violated thestate Constitution. This argument was rejected by theNew York Supreme Court (the statetrial court).[42]

See also

[edit]

References

[edit]
  1. ^"New York State Board of Elections"(PDF). Archived fromthe original(PDF) on June 30, 2016. RetrievedAugust 25, 2017.
  2. ^abPeter Nicholas,Five Reasons the New York Democratic Primary Felt Competitive,Wall Street Journal (April 20, 2016).
  3. ^Bill Clinton Rallies Hillary Backers in Final N.Y. Primary Push,Roll Call (April 18, 2016).
  4. ^abcdePatrick Healy & Maggie Haberman,Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton Win Easily in New York Primary,New York Times (April 19, 2016).
  5. ^Michael Beckel,Sanders spent $9 per vote in New York. Trump? About 13 cents.,Center for Public Integrity (April 20, 2016).
  6. ^Stelter, Brian (April 4, 2016)."Clinton, Sanders to meet for Brooklyn debate". CNN. RetrievedApril 5, 2016.
  7. ^Brian Stelter, Host (April 4, 2016)."Clinton, Sanders to meet for Brooklyn debate".CNN.
  8. ^John Keefe, Jenny Ye and Brigid Bergin (June 22, 2016)."The Brooklyn Voter Purge: By Age, Registration and Sanders Districts". WNYC News. RetrievedJune 2, 2019.
  9. ^"Elections chief defends botched N.Y. primary election; Challenges loom | The Villager Newspaper". October 16, 2014.Archived from the original on May 13, 2016. RetrievedMay 13, 2016.
  10. ^abCity Board of Elections Admits It Broke the Law, Accepts Reforms, retrievedOctober 26, 2017
  11. ^Primary results
  12. ^"Clinton and Trump Poised to Regain Momentum in the Empire State; NY Looks Safe For Dems In General"(PDF). RetrievedApril 18, 2016.
  13. ^"Poll: Clinton keeps New York edge, leads Sanders in California". RetrievedApril 17, 2016.
  14. ^"Clinton Protects Big Lead Over Sanders in NY: NBC4/WSJ/Marist Poll". RetrievedApril 14, 2016.
  15. ^"Black Votes Matter for Clinton in New York, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Trump Sweeps All Groups Against Cruz or Kasich"(PDF). RetrievedApril 12, 2016.
  16. ^"New York Polling Results". April 17, 2016.
  17. ^"Bernie Narrows Gap; Hillary Still Leads By 10 Points; Trump Maintains Huge Lead, Kasich 2nd, Cruz 3rd"(PDF). RetrievedApril 13, 2016.
  18. ^"New York: Clinton Leads by 12"(PDF). RetrievedApril 11, 2016.
  19. ^"New York Hates Ted Cruz; Trump, Clinton Lead Big"(PDF). RetrievedApril 15, 2016.
  20. ^"NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll April 2016 New York Questionnaire"(PDF). RetrievedApril 11, 2016.
  21. ^"NY1/Baruch College Poll: Trump Leads Rivals by 43 Percentage Points". RetrievedApril 15, 2016.
  22. ^"Clinton and Trump Lose Ground in NY, but Still in Control; Voters Weigh in on Open-Conventions". RetrievedApril 8, 2016.
  23. ^"Fox News Poll: Trump, Clinton rule Empire State". RetrievedApril 10, 2016.
  24. ^"CBS News 2016 Battleground TrackerNew York". RetrievedApril 3, 2016.
  25. ^"Clinton, Trump Have Big Leads in New York Primaries, Quinnipiac Poll Finds; Adopted Daughter Thumps Native Son, Edges Kasich"(PDF). RetrievedMarch 31, 2016.
  26. ^"Emerson Poll: Trump, Clinton Trouncing Their Rivals in New York; In General Election, Hillary and Bernie Lead The Donald"(PDF).
  27. ^Siena College
  28. ^Siena College
  29. ^Siena College
  30. ^"Quinnipiac NY poll"(PDF).quinnipiac.edu. RetrievedJuly 9, 2015.
  31. ^Siena College
  32. ^Quinnipiac University
  33. ^Marist College
  34. ^Green Papers
  35. ^New York State Board of Elections
  36. ^"2016 Election Center – Presidential Primaries and Caucuses".CNN. RetrievedJune 4, 2018.
  37. ^"Election results"(PDF).app.albanycounty.com. Archived fromthe original(PDF) on February 14, 2017. RetrievedFebruary 3, 2023.
  38. ^abNew York Exit Polls (conducted by Edison Research of Somerville, New Jersey, for theNational Election Pool which consists of ABC News, The Associated Press, CBS News, CNN, Fox News, and NBC News) (April 19, 2016).
  39. ^"Hillary Clinton takes Jewish vote in New York primaries – U.S. Election 2016".Haaretz. RetrievedOctober 10, 2016.
  40. ^"2016 Election Center".CNN. RetrievedOctober 10, 2016.
  41. ^"US election 2016: Trump and Clinton win New York primaries".BBC News. April 20, 2016.
  42. ^Barbara Ross,Judge rejects challenge to New York's 'closed primary' system,New York Daily News (May 2, 2016).
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