The following is a list of countries in theMiddle East sorted by projected population.
Rank | Country (or dependent territory) | 2020 projection Note 1 | % of pop. | Average annual growth | Estimated doubling time (years) Note 2 | Official population figure (where available) | Date of last figure | Source | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
% Note 3 | Number Note 4 | ||||||||
1 | ![]() | 113,210,388[a] | 22.53 | 1.94 | 1,981,000 | 31 | 99,341,000 | July 8, 2025 | [1] |
2 | ![]() | 89,351,259 | 18.51 | 1.30 | 1,001,000 | 54 | 79,824,000 | July 8, 2025 | [2] |
3 | ![]() | 85,372,377[b] | 18.63 | 1.09 | 909,452 | 64 | 83,614,362 | December 31, 2023 | [3] |
4 | ![]() | 40,063,400 | 8.85 | 2.32 | 1,030,000 | 24 | 40,575,000 | 2020 | [4] |
5 | ![]() | 34,719,000 | 7.67 | 1.59 | 751,000 | 29 | 34,719,418 | April 28, 2020 | [5] |
6 | ![]() | 29,710,300 | 6.56 | 2.28 | 766,000 | 24 | 29,719,300 | April 28, 2020 | [6] |
7 | ![]() | 17,425,600 | 3.85 | 2.45 | 557,000 | 29 | 21,377,000 | April 28, 2020 | [7] |
8 | ![]() | 10,185,500 | 2.25 | 1.00 | 183,000 | 26 | 10,248,069 | 2020 | [8] |
9 | ![]() | 9,869,000 | 2.18 | 1.32 | 83,000 | 76 | 9,154,000 | April 28, 2020 | [9] |
10 | ![]() | 9,842,000 | 1.91 | 1.60 | 162,000 | 37 | 9,100,000 | February 11, 2024 | [10] |
11 | ![]() | 6,830,600 | 1.51 | -0.44 | 75,000 | 39 | 6,830,600 | April 28, 2020 | [11] |
12 | ![]() | 5,148,249 | 1.14 | 2.41 | — | 24 | 4,816,503 | 2020 | [12] |
13 | ![]() | 5,081,600 | 1.12 | 2.65 | 204,000 | 14 | 4,985,100 | July 8, 2025 | [13] |
14 | ![]() | 4,259,500 | 0.94 | 1.51 | 121,000 | 23 | 4,259,500 | April 28, 2020 | [14] |
15 | ![]() | 2,113,000 | 0.47 | 4.29 | 87,000 | 16 | 2,412,483 | October 31, 2015 | Monthly official estimate |
16 | ![]() | 1,690,900 | 0.37 | 3.68 | 122,000 | 10 | 1,701,000 | April 28, 2020 | [15] |
Total | 452,748,183 | 100.00 | 2.01 | 8,284,000 | 35 | 411,788,402 | — |
Note 1: Calculated, where available, from the latest national censuses or most recent official estimates (many of which are cited in their respective column), using theexponential formula shown on theList of countries by past and future population article. This is done to normalize the different populations to a unique date, so that they are really comparable.[clarification needed][Most of the official estimates are for dates after 2020, so is the projection done backwards??]
Note 2: Assuming continuation of the same compound annual growth rate, i.e. based on the formula: LN(2)/LN(%growth/100+1), or equivalently: LOG10(2)/LOG10(%growth/100+1).
Note 3: From 2019 to 2020, i.e using the formula: (100 × projection2020/projection2019) − 100.
Note 4: It corresponds to the calculation: projection2015*annual_growth/100.[clarification needed][For clarity, this should be consistent with the calculation of the percentage annual growth.]