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Landslide victory

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Election result wherein a party or candidate wins by a large margin

Alandslide victory is anelection result in which the winningcandidate orparty achieves a decisive victory by an overwhelming margin, securing a very large majority of votes or seats far beyond the typical competitive outcome.[1][2] The term became popular in the 19th century to describe a victory in which the opposition is "buried",[1] similar to the way in which a geologicallandslide buries whatever is in its path. A landslide victory for one party is often accompanied by anelectoral wipeout for the opposition, as the overwhelming support for the winning side inflicts a decisive loss on its rivals. What qualifies as a landslide victory can vary depending on the type of electoral system, as the term does not entail a precise, technical, or universally agreed-upon measurement. Instead, it is used informally in everyday language, making it subject to interpretation. Even within a singleelectoral system, there is no consensus on the exact margin that constitutes a landslide victory.[1]

A landslide victory implies a powerful expression ofpopular will and a ringing endorsement by theelectorate for the winner'spolitical platform. A landslide can be viewed by a winning candidate or party as amandate or a tacit authorization from the public to implement their proposedpolicies and pursue theiragenda with confidence. Emboldened by the result, the winner may undertake ambitiousreforms or significant policy shifts to reflect the electorate's desire for meaningful change.[3] However, it can also indicate deeppolitical polarization in an electorate[4] or anunfair election.[5]

A combination of factors, includingcharismatic leadership, a favorable shift in public sentiment driven by dissatisfaction with or support for thestatus quo, strategicelectoral campaigning and a positivemedia portrayal, can create the conditions necessary for a landslide victory. A landslide may fundamentally reshape thepolitical landscape of a country; one example of this phenomenon isFranklin D. Roosevelt's election as US president in 1932.[6] In a post-landslide scenario, a winning party can sometimes implement its policies with little resistance, while its severely weakened opposition may struggle to perform essentialchecks and balances.

Notable examples

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Australia

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Local and mayoral elections:

Labor's landslide victory at the2021 Western Australian state election. Seats won by Labor are in red, seats won by theLiberals are in blue and seats won by theNationals are in green.

State and territory elections:

  • 2021 Western Australian state electionMark McGowan led theLabor Party to win 53 out of the 59 seats in the lower house. The Labor Party had a primary vote of 59.92% and a two-party-preferred vote of 69.68%. TheNational Party won 4 seats and theLiberal Party won 2 seats, making the National Party the official opposition, the first time they had held this status since the 1940s. To date, the election is the most decisive result at any Australian state or federal election since Federation, in terms of both percentage of lower house seats controlled by the governing party (89.8%) and two-party preferred margin.[9][10]

Canada

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In a Canadian federal election, a landslide victory occurs when a political party gains a significant majority of theHouse of Commons of Canada.

Landslide victories may also occur during provincial elections, and territorial elections inYukon. Landslide victories are not possible for territorial elections in theNorthwest Territories, andNunavut, as its members are elected without reference to political parties, operating as aconsensus government.

National landslide victories

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The following Canadian federal elections resulted in landslide victories:[11]

The vote by province in 1958 shows the scale of the Progressive Conservatives' landslide victory.
  • 1958 – The Progressive Conservatives, led byJohn Diefenbaker, won 208 seats (an increase of 96) and gained a majority of 75, while the Liberals, led byLester B. Pearson, won just 48 (a decrease of 57).
The vote by province in 1984 shows the scale of the Progressive Conservatives' landslide victory.
  • 1984 – The Progressive Conservatives, led byBrian Mulroney, won 211 seats (an increase of 111) and gained a majority of 69, while the Liberals, led byJohn Turner, won just 40 (a decrease of 95). Mulroney is the only prime minister to have won a majority of seats in every single province.
  • 1993 – The Liberals, led byJean Chrétien, won 177 seats (an increase of 96) and gained a majority of 29, while theBloc Québecois, led byLucien Bouchard, which ran only in Quebec, won 54 (an increase of 54). The ruling Progressive Conservatives, led byKim Campbell, won just 2 (a decrease of 154).

India

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Jamaica

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Japan

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New Zealand

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Until 1996, New Zealand used the traditionalfirst-past-the-post system as in the U.K. to determine representation in itsParliament. Thus, landslide elections at that time were defined in an identical fashion, i.e. where one party won an overwhelming majority of the seats. Since 1996, New Zealand has used themixed member proportional system as in Germany, making landslides much less likely.[18]

First past the post

South Africa

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United Kingdom

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In UK general elections, a landslide victory involves winning a largemajority in parliament and often goes with a largeswing from one party to another as well. Landslide victories have usually occurred after a long period of government from one particular party and a change in the popular mood.[21]

Large majorities, however, are not always the advantage they appear to be. Anthony Seldon gives a number of examples of the infighting that can arise from large majorities. He claims that a "sweet spot" parliamentary majority of 35–50 seats is enough to protect from by-elections and still comfortably pass legislation.[22]

Notable landslide election results

  • 1906Henry Campbell-Bannerman led hisLiberal Party to victory overArthur Balfour's Conservative Party who lost more than half their seats, including his own seat inManchester East, as a result of the large national swing to the Liberal Party (The 5.4% swing from the Conservatives to Liberals was at the time the highest ever achieved). The Liberal Party won 397 seats (an increase of 214) and a majority of 124 seats, while the Conservative Party were left with 156 seats (a decrease of 246).[23][24]
TheLabour Party landslide victoryin 1997
  • 1945Clement Attlee led the Labour Party to victory overWinston Churchill's Conservative Party, a 12.0% swing from the Conservatives to Labour. Labour won 393 seats (an increase of 239) while the Conservative Party were left with 197 (a decrease of 190).[25]
  • 1983Margaret Thatcher led the Conservative Party to win a landslide victory (her second term in office) with 397 seats (an increase of 58, the party's highest seat countsince 1931) and a majority of 144 seats,[1] while the Labour Party led byMichael Foot won 209 seats (a decrease of 60). Additionally in the popular vote the party finished just two points ahead of theSDP–Liberal Alliance. However, they receive far more seats due to thefirst past the post system.[2]
  • 1997Tony Blair led the Labour Party to win a first landslide victory with 418 seats (an increase of 146) and gained an overall majority of 179 while the Conservative Party led byJohn Major won 165 seats (a decrease of 178). The swing from the Conservatives to Labour was 10.2% and was the second biggest general election victory of the 20th Century after 1931.[26]
  • 2001 – Tony Blair led the Labour Party to win a second landslide victory with 412 seats (a decrease of 6) and retained an overall majority of 167 while the Conservative Party led byWilliam Hague won 166 seats (an increase of 1), making Tony Blair the first Labour Prime Minister to serve two consecutive full terms in office.[27]
TheConservative Party landslide victoryin 2019
  • 2019Boris Johnson led the Conservative Party to win a landslide victory (his second term in office) with 365 seats (an increase of 48, the party's highest seat countsince 1987) and a majority of 80 seats, while the Labour Party led byJeremy Corbyn won 202 seats (a decrease of 60, the party's worst resultsince 1935). The election led to 54 Labour seats changing to Conservative predominantly in the Midlands and Northern England – some of which had been held by Labour since the first half of the 20th century.[28]
  • 2024Keir Starmer led the Labour Party to win a landslide victory with 411 seats (an increase of 211, the party's highest seat countsince 2001) and a majority of 172 seats, while the Conservative Party led byRishi Sunak won 121 seats (a decrease of 251, the party's worst ever result, exceeding the previous worstdefeat of 1906.[29])

United States

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A landslide victory in presidential elections occurs when a candidate has an overwhelming majority in theElectoral College. In federal and state congressional elections, a landslide victory occurs when a party wins 60% or more of the seats in a legislative chamber.

Presidential elections

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The map of the Electoral College in1936 shows the scale ofFranklin D. Roosevelt's landslide victory.
  • 1936 – Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) received 523 (98.5%) of the electoral votes—the largest share since 1820 and the largest in a non-unanimous election—whileAlf Landon (R) received only 8 (1.5%). Additionally, Roosevelt received 60.8% of the popular vote.
  • 1940 – Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) received 449 (84.6%) of the electoral votes whileWendell Willkie (R) received only 82 (15.4%).
  • 1944 – Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) received 432 (81.4%) of the electoral votes whileThomas E. Dewey (R) received only 99 (18.6%).
  • 1952Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) received 442 (83.2%) of the electoral votes whileAdlai Stevenson II (D) received only 89 (16.8%).
  • 1956 – Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) received 457 (86.1%) of the electoral votes while Adlai Stevenson II (D) received only 73 (13.7%).
  • 1964Lyndon B. Johnson (D) received 486 (90.3%) of the electoral votes whileBarry Goldwater (R) received only 52 (9.7%). Additionally, Johnson received 61.1% of the popular vote.
The map of the Electoral College in1972 shows the scale ofRichard Nixon's landslide victory.
The map of the Electoral College in1984 shows the scale ofRonald Reagan's landslide victory.

Congressional elections

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House of Representatives
  • 1932 – Coinciding with Franklin D. Roosevelt's win in the presidential election, the Democratic Party won 313 seats with 54.5% of the popular vote, which caused the Republican Party to lose its two-seat majority. This election marked a beginning of political dominance for the Democratic Party that would last until the 1994 election.
  • 1934 – The Democratic Party gained nine seats from the previous election.
  • 1936 – Coinciding with Franklin D. Roosevelt's election to a second term as president, the Democratic Party gained an additional twelve seats from the previous election with 55.9% of the popular vote, bringing the total amount of seats held by the party to 334. This would be the most recent election where one party won more than 300 seats in the House of Representatives, and was the last of four straight elections where Republicans lost seats due to the effects of the Great Depression.[35]
Senate
  • 1920 – Coinciding with Warren G. Harding's win in the presidential election, the Republican Party gained ten seats from the Democratic Party, giving them a 59–37 majority.
  • 1932 –– Coinciding with Franklin D. Roosevelt's win in the presidential election, the Democratic Party gained twelve seats from the Republican Party, giving them a 60–36 majority.

Elsewhere

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Results of the2006 Samoan general election by constituency.

See also

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References

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  1. ^abcMurse, Tom (8 October 2020)."Landslide Victory: Definition in Elections".ThoughtCo.Archived from the original on 27 June 2017. Retrieved18 October 2020.
  2. ^Multiple sources:
  3. ^James H Fowler; Oleg Smirnov (2009),Mandates, Parties, and Voters: How Elections Shape the Future, p. 15
  4. ^Johnston, Ron; Jones, Kelvyn; Manley, David (July 2019)."MultiLevel Modeling of Space–Time Variations: Exploring Landslide Voting Patterns at United States Presidential Elections, 1992–2016".Geographical Analysis.51 (3):280–313.doi:10.1111/gean.12176.
  5. ^Newton-Farrelly, Jenni (November 2009). "FROM GERRY-BUILT TO PURPOSE-BUILT: DRAWING ELECTORAL BOUNDARIES FOR UNBIASED ELECTION OUTCOMES".Representation.45 (4):471–484.doi:10.1080/00344890903257565.
  6. ^Jason D. Mycoff; Joseph August Pika (2008),Confrontation and Compromise: Presidential and Congressional Leadership, 2001–2006, Rowman & Littlefield Publishers, p. 11
  7. ^"Newman wins Brisbane election landslide".ABC News. 15 March 2008.Archived from the original on 31 May 2023. Retrieved31 May 2023.
  8. ^"The Mayor that was re-elected in a landslide, collecting 85 per cent of the votes". 20 October 2021.Archived from the original on 31 May 2023. Retrieved31 May 2023.
  9. ^"Biggest State Election Landslides".Armarium Interreta. 12 March 2021.Archived from the original on 12 March 2021. Retrieved7 April 2021.
  10. ^"Mark McGowan claims WA election victory as Liberals all but wiped out".The New Daily. 14 March 2021.
  11. ^"Party Standings in the House of Commons (1867-date)".PARLINFO. Library of Parliament. 24 March 2016.Archived from the original on 19 April 2016. Retrieved5 April 2016.
  12. ^"Political Tsunami turns Jamaica green with massive JLP victory". Archived fromthe original on 4 April 2023. Retrieved20 November 2020.
  13. ^"Archived copy".TheGuardian.com.Archived from the original on 4 August 2020. Retrieved9 February 2026.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  14. ^"Political Tsunami turns Jamaica green with massive JLP victory". Archived fromthe original on 4 April 2023. Retrieved20 November 2020.
  15. ^"衆院党派別得票数・率(比例代表)". (in Japanese) Jiji. 31 August 2009. Archived fromthe original on 20 February 2014.
  16. ^"'Major win' for Japan opposition".BBC News. 30 August 2009.Archived from the original on 11 June 2019. Retrieved31 August 2009.
  17. ^https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/feb/08/japan-election-conservatives-victory-sanae-takaichi
  18. ^Electoral Commission (17 July 2014).Mixed Member Proportional Representation in New Zealand (Video). Wellington.Archived from the original on 19 September 2014. Retrieved5 April 2016.
  19. ^abcdefg"1890–1993 general elections". Electoral Commission New Zealand.Archived from the original on 8 April 2023. Retrieved9 July 2023.
  20. ^"Archived copy".Archived from the original on 16 December 2025. Retrieved9 February 2026.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  21. ^Multiple sources:
  22. ^Seldon, Anthony (8 June 2017)."Politicians dream of landslide victories – but they are a curse, not a blessing".The Guardian.
  23. ^"1906: The Liberal landslide".bbc.co.uk. 9 February 2006.Archived from the original on 10 April 2025. Retrieved31 December 2015.
  24. ^Liberal Landslide: The General Election of 1906.
  25. ^Labour Landslide, July 5–19, 1945.
  26. ^Labour's Landslide: The British General Election 1997.
  27. ^"The rise and fall of New Labour".BBC News. 3 August 2010.Archived from the original on 30 December 2021. Retrieved30 December 2021.
  28. ^"Boris Johnson must fulfil his One Nation pledge".Financial Times. 13 December 2019.Archived from the original on 14 December 2019. Retrieved14 December 2019.
  29. ^"UK election results 2024".BBC. 6 July 2024.Archived from the original on 4 July 2024. Retrieved6 July 2024.
  30. ^Friel, Brian (7 November 1996)."Divided Government".Government Executive. Retrieved11 December 2025.President Clinton was re-elected Tuesday by amassing a landslide victory in the Electoral College
  31. ^Hanlon, Seth D. (4 December 1996)."Democrat Roll".The Harvard Crimson.Archived from the original on 18 December 2025. Retrieved11 December 2025.On November 5, 1996, the American people, in a coast-to-coast electoral landslide, re-elected a Democratic president… Voters re-elected him in a tremendous electoral landslide
  32. ^"Clinton Rides Landslide: First Democrat To Be Re-Elected Since Roosevelt".The Spokesman-Review. Knight-Ridder. 6 November 1996.Archived from the original on 4 August 2021. Retrieved11 December 2025.
  33. ^King, John (6 November 1996)."Clinton easily keeps White House"(PDF).The Observer. Notre Dame, Indiana. Associated Press.Archived(PDF) from the original on 28 March 2025. Retrieved11 December 2025.President Clinton won a land-slide re-election and political redemption Tuesday night
  34. ^Smith, Craig Allen (August 1997). "Bill Clinton and the 1996 presidential campaign".American Behavioral Scientist.40 (8):1250–1264.doi:10.1177/0002764297040008021.…the apparent contradiction between Clinton's modest aggregate public approval ratings and his landslide re-election
  35. ^"CNN Explains: How today's GOP has its roots in anti-slavery crusade – CNN.com". cnn.com. 26 August 2012. Retrieved5 October 2014.
  36. ^https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/american-political-science-review/article/abs/german-party-system-and-the-1961-federal-election1/4DE5C1ABE2EC179628BFA39AAC3C14E2
  37. ^"Elections in 2006". Inter-Parliamentary Union.Archived from the original on 17 March 2022. Retrieved26 September 2023.
  38. ^"Tsai Ing-wen wins landslide in Taiwan presidential election".aljazeera.com.Archived from the original on 12 January 2020. Retrieved12 January 2020.
  39. ^"Fernández wins Argentina primary, looks poised for re-election". CNN. Archived fromthe original on 16 September 2011. Retrieved21 June 2012.
  40. ^"Legislative Assembly (Fono)". Inter-Parliamentary Union.Archived from the original on 1 September 2022. Retrieved26 September 2023.
  41. ^"Tsai Ing-wen wins landslide in Taiwan presidential election".aljazeera.com.Archived from the original on 12 January 2020. Retrieved12 January 2020.
  42. ^Verizon, Cliff (25 May 2022)."Marcos officially declared Philippines' next president". Nikkei Asia. Retrieved26 May 2022.
  43. ^"Early results showing Prabowo on course for landslide win in Indonesia's presidential election, securing around 60% of votes cast".CNA. 14 February 2024.Archived from the original on 14 February 2024. Retrieved14 February 2024.
  44. ^"Indonesia election commission confirms Prabowo Subianto wins presidency".Al Jazeera. 20 March 2024. Retrieved20 March 2024.
  45. ^"Quanto recordes bateu Seguro e quantos ficaram por bater?".Renascença. 8 February 2026. Retrieved9 February 2026.
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