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Huliaipole offensive

Extended-protected article
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
2025 offensive in the Russo-Ukrainian war

Huliaipole offensive
Part of thesouthern front of theRusso-Ukrainian war (2022–present)

Map of the offensive as of 17 December 2025
Date11 September 2025 – early 2026
(3 or 4 months)
Location
ResultRussian victory[1][2]
Territorial
changes
Russia capturesHuliaipole and 44 villages[a] in Dnipropetrovsk and Zaporizhzhia Oblasts
Belligerents
RussiaUkraine
Units involved

Russian Armed Forces

Ukrainian Armed Forces

Overview
2022–2023
Invasion of Ukraine (February–April 2022)

Northern front


Eastern front


Southern front


Other regions


Naval operations


Spillover & related incidents

2024–2026

As part of thesouthern front of the Russo-Ukrainian war, a military engagement between theRussian Armed Forces andUkrainian Armed Forces for control over the Ukrainian city ofHuliaipole and the northern surrounding area began in September 2025 and ended with the Russian capture of the city in January 2026.

Background

Main article:Novopavlivka offensive

Huliaipole has been a frontline city since the early stages of Russia'sfull-scale invasion in 2022, with theline of contact stagnating just south of it.[12] The city witnessedintensive shelling in the years that followed.[13] Citizens from Huliaipole who decided to stay went to live underground in their basements.[14] According to thegovernor of Zaporizhzhia Oblast,Ivan Fedorov, only 500 civilians remained in Huliaipole by late 2025.[15]

Following the Russiancapture of Velyka Novosilka in January 2025, its forces continued advancing westward toward the Dnipropetrovsk region.[16] By 1 September, the Russian army seized the village of Komyshuvakha, located at theborder junction of theDonetsk,Dnipropetrovsk andZaporizhzhia Oblasts.[17][18]

Offensive

Opening advances and crossing of the Yanchur river

TheRussian Armed Forces began advancing westwards from their positions along the administrative border of Donetsk Oblast into the Dnipropetrovsk region, capturing the villages of Sosnivka andTernove on 12 September.[19][20][21] The next day, Russia said its forces seized the village ofNovomykolaivka.[22] Further south, Russian forces also started to advance west ofVelyka Novosilka into the northeastern outskirts of the Zaporizhzhia region by securing Olhivske.[23] Continued Russian assaults to the west along the Huliaipole – Velyka Novosilka road resulted in the capture of Novoivanivka by 19 September.[24][25] That same day, Ivan Fedorov reported that a Russian drone attacked a civilian car in Huliaipole, killing a married couple.[26] In eastern Dnipropetrovsk, elements of the Russian36th Motorized Rifle Brigade raised Russian flags in multiple locations ofBerezove, located to the west of Ternove.[27] In the final week of September, Russian forces increased control around Berezove by taking control ofKalynivske andStepove, which was denied by the Ukrainian military.[28][29]

In early October, Russian assault units made further gains to the west with the capture of Verbove.[30][31] Simultaneous assaults began to the north ofMalynivka, where Russian forces were able to advance into eastern Poltavka.[32] On 7 October, units of the Ukrainian141st Mechanized Brigade launched a counterattack in eastern Dnipropetrovsk resulting in the recapture of Sosnivka and Sichneve.[33][34] In northeastern Zaporizhzhia, Russian troops advanced into Novovasylivske and Novohryhorivka.[35][36] The following week, Russian forces seized the village of Oleksiivka, located to the north of Verbove.[37] A Russian push west of Verbove led to the capture of Pryvillia, thus reaching theYanchur [uk] river.[38] Meanwhile in Poltavka, Russian troops took full control of the village by 19 October.[39][40] Geolocated footage indicated that Russian forces established a bridgehead across the Yanchur river with the seizure of Zlahoda (formerly Pershotravneve).[41][42]

Push towards the Haichur river and approach of the city

In the final week of October, the Russian army secured the settlements of Pavlivka, Pryvilne and Krasnohirske, all located on the right bank of the Yanchur river.[43][44][45][46] Further north, soldiers of the Russian 36th Motorized Rifle Brigade displayed Russian flags over the villages of Vyshneve and Novooleksandrivka, indicating that they are under Russian control.[47][48] One week later, Russian forces gained a second foothold across the Yanchur river with the capture of Uspenivka.[49][50] In the days that followed, Russian units of the37th Motorized Rifle Brigade levelled the frontline along the left bank of the Yanchur river seizing the village of Rybne.[51] Due to dense fog and increased pressure, Ukrainian forces withdrew from the settlements of Nove, Novomykolaivka, Novouspenivske, Okhotnyche andSolodke in eastern Zaporizhzhia.[52][53]Ukraine's Southern Defense Forces spokesman Vladyslav Voloshyn toldABC News that Russia launched over 400 artillery strikes per day on Ukrainian positions.[54] Ukrainian commander-in-chiefOleksandr Syrskyi acknowledged that the situation in the Huliaipole sector had deteriorated, with the "numerically superior" Russian forces capturing three settlements and clashing inRivnopillia [uk] andYablukove [uk].[55] Governor Ivan Fedorov reported that a 56-year-old civilian was killed by a Russian FPV drone in Huliaipole.[56][57]

The Ukrainian army pulled back from Rivnopillia on 12 November.[58][59][60] The day after,DeepStateMap showed that Russian forces had taken control of Rivnopillia and Yablukove located to the northeast of Huliaipole.[61] The capture of Rivnopillia gave Russian forces operational room to advance on the city of Huliaipole from the north.[62] As a result of this retreat, the fighting came significantly closer to Huliaipole itself and the remaining residentsstarted to evacuate.[63] Vladyslav Voloshyn reported that Ukrainian forces were clashing with Russians west of Solodke, preventing a Russian advance towardVarvarivka [uk].[64][65][15] Further north, Russian forces penetrated Ukrainian defenses through the village of Yehorivka. Russian units were spotted waving flags in the neighbouring settlement of Danylivka, thus cutting the T-0401Pokrovske – Huliaipole highway.[66][67] Towards Pokrovske itself, the Russian 36th Motorized Rifle Brigade took control of Hai on 17 November.[68][69] Governor Ivan Fedorov, announced on 20 November that the regional administration was beginning to evacuate civilians from Huliaipole, at a rate of around 10 to 20 people each day. At the time of the announcement, an estimated number of 400 people remained inside the city.[70]

Along the T-0401 highway, Russian forces reached the eastern bank of theHaichur river by gaining a foothold in the settlements of Nechaivka, Radisne andNove Zaporizhzhia.[71][72] At the same time, Russian units began to advance east of Huliaipole, seizing the locality ofVesele [uk].[73][74] According to Vladyslav Voloshyn, 150 Russian soldiers were killed every day in the Huliaipole sector, representing half of daily Russian casualties on the southern front.[75] The Russian army captured the remaining villages ofVysoke [uk],Zelenyi Hai [uk] andZatyshshia [uk] to the east of Huliaipole by 27 November.[76][77][78] As a result of these advances, Russian troops reached both the eastern and northern flank of the city of Huliaipole.[79][80] The Southern Defense Forces reported that they eliminated at least 250 Russian soldiers and 50 pieces of military equipment each day. They also denied reports of an encirclement at Huliaipole.[81] Military analysts of DeepState described a chaotic retreat of the Ukrainian102nd Territorial Defense Brigade caused by Russian troops infiltrating its rear positions. Amid the confusion, one of the battalions lostcommand and control and retreated without orders, which resulted in incidents of friendly fire with the225th Assault Battalion.[82][83] Furthermore, they reported Russian execution of four captured Ukrainian drone operators.[84][85] According toThe New York Times, the Russian army seized 75 square miles around the city of Huliaipole in November.[86]

Assault and subsequent capture of Huliaipole

At the beginning of December, Russian forces advanced in the fields north of Huliaipole towards Varvarivka.[87] Simultaneously, Russian troops began assaulting the city ofHuliaipole itself from the north and east.[88] This led to Russian forces penetrating into the eastern and northeastern parts of the city.[89] Geolocated footage indicated that Russian units also made advances in southeastern Huliaipole.[90] Meanwhile along the T-0401 highway, Russian assault groups were spotted in the villages of Dobropillia and Varvarivka by 14 December.[91][92] In the second half of December, Russian forces crossed the Haichur river and advanced into central Huliaipole.[93] The Russian army managed to capture the headquarters of the 1st Battalion of the Ukrainian106th Territorial Defense Brigade.[94][95] Video footage showed Russian soldiers inside the abandonedcommand post, accessing multiple laptops and an unlocked smartphone.[96][97] On 20 December, the Russian forces executed three captured Ukrainian soldiers.[98]

On 27 December, Russia reported the complete capture of Huliaipole.[99][100] In response, the Ukrainian General Staff dubbed the Russian announcement "false" and added that the defensive operation of its forces in the western parts of the settlement is still ongoing.[101][102] The next day, DeepStateMap displayed the entirety of Huliaipole as a gray zone, indicating an unclear frontline.[103][104] The Southern Defense Forces reported that, although part of the city was under Russian control, a "significant part" of it remained under Ukrainian control; they additionally reported to have killed 300 Russian soldiers and destroyed dozens of pieces of military equipment that same day.[105] DeepState reported that Russian and Ukrainian forces were present throughout the city, and that they were likely sheltering in neighbouring basements, while only assault groups operated in the open.[106] Both the Ukrainian Defense Forces and DeepState reported that Russian forces had significantly more manpower in the area.[105][106]

According to military bloggerDavid Axe ofEuromaidan Press, on 31 December, the city was likely seized by Russian forces, noting that if there are any Ukrainian forces in the city they were "probably clinging to the western outskirts".[107][108] DeepStateMap showed on 15 January 2026 that Russian forces had advanced in the city.[109] The following day, DeepState analysts reported that continuous Russian infantry offensives had resulted in most of the city falling under Russian control, although intense fighting was still taking place in the western portion of the city.[110] On 19 January, Vladyslav Voloshyn described the city as a gray zone and reported that Russian forces were placing anti-personnel and anti-tank mines in the areas they could not hold.[111] TheInstitute for the Study of War confirmed in its report of 6 February that Russia captured the city on a prior date.[112]

Analysis

The Huliaipole sector had been one of the most stable parts of frontline, which has not seen any movement sincethe first months of the full-scale war.[113] A new dynamic in this direction emerged in late 2025 when the Russian army began advancing westwards from Donetsk Oblast in the east towards Huliaipole, instead of directly from the south. The majority of Ukrainian defenses were built to defend attacks from the south.[114] According toThe Kyiv Independent, the Russian advances north of Huliaipole could lead to Russia outflanking Ukraine's main defense line in Zaporizhzhia Oblast in 2026, with the potential of making a push towards the city ofZaporizhzhia itself thereafter.[115]

The Institute for the Study of War assessed that Russia's ability to cross the Haichur river will be the determining factor for the Russian army to make further operationally significant advances to the west.[116] Vladyslav Voloshyn emphasised the strategic importance of Huliaipole, as a transport andlogistical hub betweenPokrovske and the regional capital of Zaporizhzhia.[75] Analysts from DeepState reported that the lowland terrain would make defending Huliaipole difficult and called for a preparatory defensive line to be built behind the city, to prevent a repeat of thebattle of Avdiivka.[106]

See also

Notes

  1. ^Ternove,Novomykolaivka, Olhivske, Novoivanivka,Berezove,Kalynivske,Stepove, Verbove, Novovasylivske, Novohryhorivka, Oleksiivka, Pryvillia, Poltavka, Pavlivka, Zlahoda, Pryvilne, Yehorivka, Vyshneve, Krasnohirske, Novooleksandrivka, Uspenivka, Rybne, Nove, Novomykolaivka, Novouspenivske, Okhotnyche,Solodke, Rivnopillia, Yablukove, Danylivka, Orestopil, Sosnivka, Hai, Nechaivka, Vesele, Radisne,Nove Zaporizhzhia, Vidradne, Zatyshshia, Zelenyi Hai, Vysoke, Dobropillia, Ostapivske and Varvarivka

References

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  83. ^"DeepState про ситуацію навколо Гуляйполя: Командування підрозділу 102 бригади самоусунулося від ухвалення рішень" [DeepState on the situation around Huliaipole: The command of a 102nd brigade's unit removed itself from making decisions].NV (in Ukrainian). 28 November 2025. Retrieved30 November 2025.
  84. ^"Timely decisions by Ukrainian command save Huliaipole from occupation – DeepState".Ukrainska Pravda. 27 November 2025. Retrieved30 November 2025.
  85. ^"Russians execute five prisoners of war in Huliaipole sector".Ukrinform. 27 November 2025. Retrieved15 December 2025.
  86. ^Vinograd, Cassandra; Chubko, Oleksandr; Varenikova, Maria (6 December 2025)."Battlefield Picture Worsening for Ukraine as Trump Pushes Peace Plan".The New York Times. Retrieved15 December 2025.
  87. ^Harward, Christina; Young, Justin; Olmsted, Jennie; Greene, James; Matthews, Ian; Barros, George; Iredale, Veronica (1 December 2025)."Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, December 1, 2025".Institute for the Study of War. Retrieved15 December 2025.
  88. ^Chiu, Leo (11 December 2025)."Huliaipole Under Control But Difficult, Ukraine Says".Kyiv Post. Retrieved15 December 2025.
  89. ^Porokhnia, Yana (12 December 2025)."Heavy fighting continues in Huliaipole, enemy tries to enter the city from two directions".LIGA. Retrieved15 December 2025.
  90. ^Olmsted, Jennie; Sobieski, Jessica; Young, Justin; Mappes, Grace; Greene, James; Shafiro, Samuel; Nasreddine, Diana; Kagan, Frederick W.; Iredale, Veronica (12 December 2025)."Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, December 12, 2025".Institute for the Study of War. Retrieved15 December 2025.
  91. ^Harward, Christina; Olmsted, Jennie; Sobieski, Jessica; Simanovskyy, Misha; Greene, James; Matthews, Ian; Stepanenko, Kateryna (2 December 2025)."Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, December 2, 2025".Institute for the Study of War. Retrieved19 December 2025.
  92. ^Sobieski, Jessica; Stepanenko, Kateryna; Simanovskyy, Misha; Greene, James; Matthews, Ian; Hird, Karolina (14 December 2025)."Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, December 14, 2025".Institute for the Study of War. Retrieved19 December 2025.
  93. ^Harward, Christina; Stepanenko, Kateryna; Young, Justin; Simanovskyy, Misha; Nasreddine, Diana; Shafiro, Samuel; Kagan, Frederick W. (24 December 2025)."Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, December 24, 2025".Institute for the Study of War. Retrieved27 December 2025.
  94. ^Romanenko, Valentyna; Kyrylenko, Olha (25 December 2025)."Ukraine's Defence Forces launch investigation regarding Russians posting video of "command observation post captured in Huliaipole"".Pravda UA. Retrieved27 December 2025.
  95. ^Буцко, Діана (25 December 2025)."Окупанти показали захоплений штаб одного з батальйонів у Гуляйполі. У Силах оборони проведуть розслідування" [The occupiers showed the captured headquarters of one of the battalions in Huliaipole].Hromadske (in Ukrainian). Retrieved27 December 2025.
  96. ^Volovich, Maxim (26 December 2025)."Russians capture Ukrainian battalion command post in Huliaipole with laptops still running".Euromaidan Press. Retrieved27 December 2025.
  97. ^Калімбет, Вікторія (26 December 2025)."Росіяни у командному пункті Сил оборони в Гуляйполі. Що про це відомо та які наслідки" [Russians at the command post of the Defense Forces in Huliaipole. What is known about this and what are the consequences].BBC News Україна (in Ukrainian). Retrieved27 December 2025.
  98. ^Tyshchenko, Kateryna (28 December 2025)."Russians execute three Ukrainian fighters near Huliaipole – DeepState".Ukrainska Pravda. Retrieved7 January 2026.
  99. ^"Putin says Russia will achieve its Ukraine aims by force if Kyiv doesn't want peace".Reuters. 27 December 2025. Retrieved31 December 2025.
  100. ^"Russian forces reported capturing Ukraine's Myrnohrad, Huliaipole to Putin".Al Arabiya English. 27 December 2025. Retrieved31 December 2025.
  101. ^Fenbert, Abbey (28 December 2025)."Ukraine denies Russia's claims of capturing key front-line cities ahead of Zelensky-Trump meeting".The Kyiv Independent. Retrieved31 December 2025.
  102. ^Tyshchenko, Kateryna (27 December 2025)."Ukraine's General Staff refutes Putin's claim about "capture" of Huliaipole and Myrnohrad".Pravda UA. Retrieved31 December 2025.
  103. ^Myronyshena, Tania (29 December 2025)."'A continuous field of battle' – Huliaipole becomes gray zone as fighting intensifies in Zaporizhzhia Oblast, Southern Command says".The Kyiv Independent. Retrieved31 December 2025.
  104. ^Shostak, Kyrylo (29 December 2025)."Fighting for Huliaipole: DeepState analysts warn of critical factor".TSN UA. Retrieved31 December 2025.
  105. ^abTyshchenko, Kateryna (28 December 2025)."Situation in Huliaipole difficult, but Russia does not have full control – Defence Forces of Ukraine's South".Ukrainska Pravda. Retrieved7 January 2026.
  106. ^abcRomanenko, Valentyna (29 December 2025)."DeepState on situation in Huliaipole: Ukrainian and Russian forces may be in neighbouring basements".Ukrainska Pravda. Retrieved7 January 2026.
  107. ^Axe, David (30 December 2025)."Outgunned territorials retreat. Now the path to Zaporizhzhia is open".EuromaidanPress. Retrieved31 December 2025.
  108. ^Axe, David (31 December 2025)."Huliaipole fell. Its defenders had been abandoned long before".Euromaidan Press. Retrieved3 January 2026.
  109. ^Oliynyk, Tetyana (15 January 2026)."DeepState: Russia occupies Krasnohirske and advances in Huliaipole in Zaporizhzhia Oblast".Ukrainska Pravda. Retrieved18 January 2026.
  110. ^"Russians assault Huliaipole with infantry, Ukrainian forces abandon some positions – DeepState analysts".Ukrainska Pravda. 16 January 2026. Retrieved18 January 2026.
  111. ^Protz, Anastasia (19 January 2026)."Russians laying mines in Huliaipole because they cannot hold the town".Ukrainska Pravda. Retrieved21 January 2026.
  112. ^"Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 6, 2026".Institute for the Study of War. 6 February 2026.Geolocated footage published on February 6 shows Ukrainian forces striking Russian positions in northern Zaliznychne (west of Hulyaipole), indicating that Russian forces advanced beyond Hulyaipole at a prior date. ISW has not observed evidence in the past few weeks that Ukrainian forces continue to maintain defensive positions in Hulyaipole, and the pattern of recent Russian infiltrations and advances in area suggests that Russian forces hold the town.
  113. ^Kateryna Hodunova (15 November 2025)."Ukraine confirms withdrawal from Novovasylivske amid Russian advances in Zaporizhzhia Oblast".The Kyiv Independent. Retrieved16 November 2025.
  114. ^Mappes, Grace; Sobieski, Jessica; Young, Justin; Gibson, Olivia; Stepanenko, Kateryna (12 November 2025)."Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 12, 2025".Institute for the Study of War. Retrieved16 November 2025.
  115. ^Francis Farrell (12 November 2025)."Analysis: With all eyes on Pokrovsk, Russia drives forward in Zaporizhzhia Oblast".The Kyiv Independent. Retrieved16 November 2025.
  116. ^Stepanenko, Kateryna; Olmsted, Jennie; Sobieski, Jessica; Greene, James; Harward, Christina; Matthews, Ian; Hird, Karolina (3 December 2025)."Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, December 3, 2025".Institute for the Study of War. Retrieved15 December 2025.
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