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Hertsmere (UK Parliament constituency)

Coordinates:51°40′N0°16′W / 51.667°N 0.267°W /51.667; -0.267
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Parliamentary constituency in the United Kingdom, 1983 onwards

Hertsmere
County constituency
for theHouse of Commons
Map
Interactive map of boundaries since 2024
Map of constituency
Boundary with in the East of England
CountyHertfordshire
Electorate73,256 (2023)[1]
Major settlementsBorehamwood,Potters Bar andBushey
Current constituency
Created1983
Member of ParliamentOliver Dowden (Conservative)
SeatsOne
Created fromSouth Hertfordshire andSouth West Hertfordshire[2]

Hertsmere is aconstituency[n 1] inHertfordshire,England, represented in theHouse of Commons since 2015 bySir Oliver Dowden of theConservative Party, who is a formerdeputy prime minister.[n 2]

Constituency profile

[edit]

Just beyond the northwestern boundary ofGreater London and with fast railway links into the capital, Hertsmere is a Parliamentary constituency in theHome Counties. The constituency is in theLondon Commuter Belt, largely inside London's orbital motorway,the M25, and within the London green belt, in the South-West ofHertfordshire. Political consultancy Electoral Calculus classifies the constituency's population as broadly Conservative 'kind yuppies'.[3] Hertsmere has the third-highest Jewish population of any UK Parliamentary constituency.[4]

According to the census for England and Wales, the population of theHertsmere local authority area (which presently corresponds to the area of the Parliamentary constituency) has increased by 7.8%, from around 100,000 in 2011 to 107,800 in 2021. This is higher than the overall increase for England (6.6%), where the population grew by nearly 3.5 million to 56,489,800, but slightly lower than the increase for the East of England region that Hertsmere belongs to (8.3%). The fastest growing age group in Hertsmere is the over-65s, which has increased since 2011 by 17.6%, close to the overall rate of growth for this age group in England (20.1%).[5]

Parts of the constituency are among the most prosperous in Britain but 2015 data from the EnglishMultiple deprivation index for the Borough ofHertsmere shows widely varying levels of deprivation, with overall deprivation levels – on a scale from 1 (the most deprived) to 32,844 (the least deprived) – ranging from 3,049 for Borehamwood Cowley Hill, the most deprived area in Hertfordshire and in the 10% most deprived nationally, to 32,695 for Bushey Heath, in the 1% least deprived.[6]

The constituency of Hertsmere has returned aConservative Member of Parliament at every general election since its creation and has been asafe seat almost throughout, with majorities ranging from 3,075 in1997 (the election in whichLabour won 418 Parliamentary seats, the largest number ever held by a single party) to 21,313 in2019 (when the Conservative Party won 365 seats and a Parliamentary majority of 85). A close result for second place occurred in2010, with only 661 votes separating the Labour Party andLiberal Democrat candidates.

In the history of the constituency the Liberal Democrat vote share has fallen substantially, from a quarter of the vote and second place ahead of Labour in 1983, to less than half that and third place in 2019. In2015 the party fell to fourth place.

Boundaries and composition

[edit]

1983–1997

[edit]
  • The Borough of Hertsmere; and
  • The City of St Albans ward of London Colney.[7]

The new county constituency was formed largely from the bulk of the abolished constituency ofSouth Hertfordshire. It also included the area comprising the former Urban District ofBushey, transferred fromSouth West Hertfordshire.

1997–2024

[edit]
Map
Map of boundaries 2010–2024

From 1997 to 2024 the constituency was coterminous with theborough of Hertsmere[8] in southernHertfordshire (before then it had also included the City of St Albans ward ofLondon Colney, which was transferred to theSt Albans constituency).

Following its review of parliamentary representation inHertfordshire, theBoundary Commission recommended no changes to constituency boundaries for the2010 general election. The seat contained these electoral wards:

  • Aldenham East, Aldenham West, Borehamwood Brookmeadow, Borehamwood Cowley Hill, Borehamwood Hillside, Borehamwood Kenilworth, Bushey Heath, Bushey North, Bushey Park, Bushey St James, Elstree, Potters Bar Furzefield, Potters Bar Oakmere, Potters Bar Parkfield, Shenley.[9][10]

Current

[edit]

In 2021 theBoundary Commission for England, as part of the2023 Periodic Review of Westminster constituencies, published draft changes to constituency boundaries. On 8 November 2022, the final draft of the Boundary Commission's proposals was published, following consultation. The revised Hertsmere CC (County Constituency) was as proposed in the previous draft and became effective for the2024 general election.[11][12] Although the electorate of the constituency was within 5% of the new 'electoral quota' of 73,393, the commission proposed that changes be made to enable neighbouring constituencies to remain within the electoral range. The borough ward ofBushey North, previously in the Hertsmere constituency, joined theWatford constituency and theWelwyn Hatfield borough ward ofNorthaw and Cuffley, previously in theBroxbourne constituency, joined Hertsmere.[13] The new Hertsmere constituency contains an electorate of approximately 73,256.[14]

Hertsmere consists of the major towns and villages ofBushey,Radlett,Potters Bar andBorehamwood, elevated settlements above the headwaters of theRiver Colne which forms much of the northern border. Bushey bordersWatford and theLondon Borough of Harrow to the west and south west, while Potters Bar bordersBarnet andBroxbourne on the east. Borehamwood is just south-east of the centre, the largest town in the constituency — in the north and centre is Radlett, separated by two large villages and farms fromSt Albans to the north.

Members of Parliament

[edit]

This safe Conservative constituency was created in 1983 from the former seat ofSouth Hertfordshire.Cecil Parkinson, who had entered Parliament in 1970 and had previously represented South Hertfordshire, was MP from the seat's creation until his retirement in 1992. He was a close ally of Prime MinisterMargaret Thatcher and had run her successful1983 election campaign.[15] Parkinson stepped down from government on the day of Thatcher's resignation as Conservative Party leader.[16]

James Clappison held the seat for five electoral terms, from 1992 until his decision to stand down from parliament at the2015 general election.[17]

The seat was subsequently won byOliver Dowden.[18]

ElectionMember[19]Party
1983Cecil ParkinsonConservative
1992James ClappisonConservative
2015Oliver DowdenConservative

Elections

[edit]
Hertsmere election results 1983–2024

Elections in the 2020s

[edit]
General election 2024: Hertsmere[20][21]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
ConservativeOliver Dowden21,45144.7−20.2
LabourJosh Tapper13,45928.0+6.9
ReformDarren Selkus6,58413.7New
Liberal DemocratsEmma Matanle3,7107.7−3.2
GreenJohn Humphries2,2674.7+1.6
IndependentRay Bolster5361.1New
Majority7,99216.7−24.1
Turnout48,00765.3−6.4
Registered electors73,518
ConservativeholdSwing−13.6

Elections in the 2010s

[edit]
2019notional result[22]
PartyVote%
Conservative34,08364.9
Labour11,10321.1
Liberal Democrats5,71310.9
Green1,6143.1
Turnout52,51371.7
Electorate73,256
General election 2019: Hertsmere[23]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
ConservativeOliver Dowden32,65162.5+1.4
LabourHolly Kal-Weiss11,33821.7−7.0
Liberal DemocratsStephen Barrett6,56112.6+7.3
GreenJohn Humphries1,6533.2+1.3
Majority21,31340.8+8.4
Turnout52,20370.6−0.6
ConservativeholdSwing+4.2
General election 2017: Hertsmere[24]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
ConservativeOliver Dowden31,92861.1+1.8
LabourFiona Smith14,97728.7+6.3
Liberal DemocratsJoe Jordan2,7945.3−0.2
UKIPDavid Hoy1,5643.0−9.7
GreenSophie Summerhayes9901.9New
Majority16,95132.4−4.5
Turnout52,38971.2+3.3
ConservativeholdSwing−2.3
General election 2015: Hertsmere[25][26]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
ConservativeOliver Dowden29,69659.3+3.3
LabourRichard Butler[27]11,23522.4+3.6
UKIPFrank Ward6,38312.7+9.1
Liberal DemocratsSophie Bowler2,7775.5−11.9
Majority18,46136.9−0.3
Turnout50,09167.9+3.2
ConservativeholdSwing−0.2
General election 2010: Hertsmere[28]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
ConservativeJames Clappison26,47656.0+2.8
LabourSam Russell8,87118.8−8.4
Liberal DemocratsAnthony Rowlands8,21017.4−1.0
UKIPDavid Rutter1,7123.6New
BNPDaniel Seabrook1,3973.0New
GreenArjuna Krishna-Das6041.3New
Majority17,60537.2+11.2
Turnout47,27064.7+1.7
ConservativeholdSwing+5.6

Elections in the 2000s

[edit]
General election 2005: Hertsmere[29]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
ConservativeJames Clappison22,66553.2+5.4
LabourKelly Tebb11,57227.2−8.8
Liberal DemocratsJonathan Davies7,81718.4+3.2
Socialist LabourJames Dry5181.2+0.2
Majority11,09326.0+14.2
Turnout42,57263.0+2.7
ConservativeholdSwing+7.1
General election 2001: Hertsmere[30]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
ConservativeJames Clappison19,85547.8+3.5
LabourHilary Broderick14,95336.0−2.2
Liberal DemocratsPaul Thompson6,30015.2+2.4
Socialist LabourJames Dry3971.0New
Majority4,90211.8+5.7
Turnout41,50560.3−13.7
ConservativeholdSwing+2.9

Elections in the 1990s

[edit]
General election 1997: Hertsmere[31]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
ConservativeJames Clappison22,30544.3−12.5
LabourBeth Kelly19,23038.2+14.5
Liberal DemocratsAnn Gray6,46612.8−6.1
ReferendumJames Marlow1,7033.4New
UKIPRodney Saunders4530.9New
Natural LawNigel Kahn1910.4New
Majority3,0756.1−27.0
Turnout50,34874.0−6.9
ConservativeholdSwing−13.5
General election 1992: Hertsmere[32][33]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
ConservativeJames Clappison32,13356.8+0.2
LabourDavid Souter13,39823.7+4.1
Liberal DemocratsZerbanoo Gifford10,68118.9−4.9
Natural LawDiana Harding3730.7New
Majority18,73533.1+0.3
Turnout56,58580.9+5.5
ConservativeholdSwing−2.1

Elections in the 1980s

[edit]
General election 1987: Hertsmere[34]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
ConservativeCecil Parkinson31,27856.6+3.4
LiberalLaurence Brass13,17223.8−1.8
LabourFrank Ward10,83519.6+0.4
Majority18,10632.8+5.2
Turnout55,28575.4+1.7
ConservativeholdSwing+2.6
General election 1983: Hertsmere[35]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
ConservativeCecil Parkinson28,62853.2
LiberalZerbanoo Gifford13,75825.6
LabourIan Reed10,31519.2
Independent CommunistRonald Parkinson1,1162.1
Majority14,87027.6
Turnout53,81773.7
Conservativewin (new seat)

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^Acounty constituency (for the purposes of election expenses and type of returning officer).
  2. ^As with all constituencies, the constituency elects oneMember of Parliament (MP) by thefirst past the post system of election at least every five years.

References

[edit]
  1. ^"The 2023 Review of Parliamentary Constituency Boundaries in England – Volume two: Constituency names, designations and composition – Eastern". Boundary Commission for England. Retrieved26 June 2024.
  2. ^"'Hertsmere', June 1983 up to May 1997".ElectionWeb Project. Cognitive Computing Limited. Archived fromthe original on 12 March 2016. Retrieved11 March 2016.
  3. ^"Electoral Calculus".
  4. ^"UK Polling Report".
  5. ^"How the population changed in Hertsmere: Census 2021".Census 2021. UK Office of National Statistics. 28 June 2022. Retrieved2 November 2022.
  6. ^"Hertsmere Indices of Multiple Deprivation 2015"(PDF). Hertsmere Borough Council. 2015. Retrieved2 November 2022.
  7. ^"The Parliamentary Constituencies (England) Order 1983".www.legislation.gov.uk. Retrieved25 February 2019.
  8. ^"The Parliamentary Constituencies (England) Order 1995".www.legislation.gov.uk. Retrieved25 February 2019.
  9. ^"2015 proposed map"(PDF). Archived fromthe original(PDF) on 29 October 2012. Retrieved7 January 2013.
  10. ^"The Parliamentary Constituencies (England) Order 2007".www.legislation.gov.uk. Retrieved25 February 2019.
  11. ^"constituency map for proposed Hertsmere CC"(PDF).Boundary Commission for England. Retrieved9 November 2022.
  12. ^"Revised proposals for new Parliamentary constituency boundaries in the Eastern region".Boundary Commission for England. Retrieved9 November 2022.
  13. ^"Boundary review 2023: Which seats will change?".commonslibrary.parliament.uk. Retrieved1 November 2022.
  14. ^"The 2023 Review of Parliamentary Constituency Boundaries in England – Volume two: Constituency names, designations and composition – Eastern | Boundary Commission for England".boundarycommissionforengland.independent.gov.uk. Retrieved1 June 2024.
  15. ^Beattie, Jason (25 January 2016)."Late Cecil Parkinson was a hero to Tories – but a missing dad to girl he wouldn't love".Daily Mirror. Retrieved1 November 2022.
  16. ^"Obituary: Cecil Parkinson".BBC News. 25 January 2015. Retrieved1 November 2022.
  17. ^Ikonen, Charlotte (3 July 2014)."Hertsmere MP James Clappison to stand down at next election".Watford Observer.
  18. ^Rambhai, Jyoti (8 May 2015)."Oliver Dowden retains Conservative seat in Hertsmere".Watford Observer.
  19. ^Leigh Rayment's Historical List of MPs – Constituencies beginning with "H" (part 3)
  20. ^"Notice of Poll and Statement of Persons Nominated"(PDF). Hertsmere Borough Council. 7 June 2024. Retrieved8 June 2024.
  21. ^"Hertsmere - General election results 2024".BBC News. Retrieved8 December 2024.
  22. ^"Notional results for a UK general election on 12 December 2019".Rallings & Thrasher, Professor David Denver (Scotland), Nicholas Whyte (NI) for Sky News, PA, BBC News and ITV News.UK Parliament. Retrieved11 July 2024.
  23. ^"Hertsmere Parliamentary constituency". BBC News. Retrieved13 December 2019.
  24. ^"Declaration of Result of Poll"(PDF). Acting Returning Officer. 9 June 2017. Retrieved13 June 2017.
  25. ^"Election Data 2015".Electoral Calculus. Archived fromthe original on 17 October 2015. Retrieved17 October 2015.
  26. ^"Statement Of Persons Nominated And Notice Of Poll". Acting Returning Officer. 9 April 2015. Retrieved14 April 2015.
  27. ^"UK ELECTION RESULTS: Hertsmere 2015".
  28. ^"Election Data 2010".Electoral Calculus. Archived fromthe original on 26 July 2013. Retrieved17 October 2015.
  29. ^"Election Data 2005".Electoral Calculus. Archived fromthe original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved18 October 2015.
  30. ^"Election Data 2001".Electoral Calculus. Archived fromthe original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved18 October 2015.
  31. ^"Election Data 1997".Electoral Calculus. Archived fromthe original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved18 October 2015.
  32. ^"Election Data 1992".Electoral Calculus. Archived fromthe original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved18 October 2015.
  33. ^"UK General Election results April 1992".Richard Kimber's Political Science Resources. Politics Resources. 9 April 1992. Archived fromthe original on 11 August 2011. Retrieved6 December 2010.
  34. ^"Election Data 1987".Electoral Calculus. Archived fromthe original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved18 October 2015.
  35. ^"Election Data 1983".Electoral Calculus. Archived fromthe original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved18 October 2015.

External links

[edit]
Labour (26)
Conservative (22)
Liberal Democrats (7)
Reform UK (1)
Green Party (1)
Independent (4)
Authority control databases: PeopleEdit this at Wikidata

51°40′N0°16′W / 51.667°N 0.267°W /51.667; -0.267

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