He entered university at the age of seventeen, enrolling in the faculty of Law at theSapienza University of Rome.[3] In his second year at Sapienza, his submission to a nationwide contest ineconomics sponsored by the officialstudent organization of the state, won first prize and Modigliani received an award from the hand ofBenito Mussolini.[2][4]He wrote several essays for the fascist magazineLo Stato[5] where he showed an inclination for the fascist ideological currents critical of liberalism.[6]
Among his early works in Fascist Italy was an article about the organization and management of production in asocialist economy, written inItalian and arguing the case for socialism along lines laid out by earliermarket socialists likeAbba Lerner andOskar Lange.[7]
But, that early enthusiasm evaporated soon after the passage ofracial laws in Italy. In 1938, Modigliani left Italy forParis together with his then-girlfriend, Serena Calabi, to join her parents there. After briefly returning toRome to defend hislaurea thesis at the city's university, he obtained his diploma on 22 July 1939, and returned to Paris.[4]
Modigliani, beginning in the 1950s, was an originator[9] of thelife-cycle hypothesis, which attempts to explain the level ofsaving in the economy.[10] The hypothesis thatconsumers aim for a stable level ofconsumption throughout their lifetime (for example by saving during their working years and then spending during theirretirement).
Therational expectations hypothesis is considered by economists[11] to originate in the[12] paper written by Modigliani and Emile Grunberg in 1954.[13][14]
In 1997, Modigliani and his granddaughter, Leah Modigliani, developed what is now called the "Modigliani Risk-Adjusted Performance," a measure of the risk-adjusted returns of aninvestment portfolio that was derived from theSharpe ratio, adjusted for the risk of the portfolio relative to that of a benchmark, e.g. the "market."[21]
Late in his life, Modigliani became a trustee of theEconomists for Peace and Security organization, formerly "Economists Allied for Arms Reduction"[24] and was considered an "influential adviser": in the late 1960s, on a contract with theFederal Reserve, he designed the "MIT-Pennsylvania-Social Science Research Council" model, a tool that "guidedmonetary policy in Washington for many decades."[8]
Modigliani's work on fiscal policy came under criticism from followers ofPost-Keynesian economics, who disputed the "Keynesianism" of his viewpoints, pointing out his contribution to theNAIRU concept,[26] as well as his general stance onfiscal deficits.[27] The Modigliani-Miller theorem implies that, for a closed economy, state borrowing is merely deferredtaxation, since state spending can be financed only by "printing money", taxation, or borrowing, and therefore monetary financing of state spending implies the subsequent imposition of a so-called "inflation tax," which ostensibly has the same effect onpermanent income as explicit taxation.[note 6][28]
Nonetheless, they acknowledged his dissenting voice on the issue of unemployment, in which Modigliani concurred early on[29] withheterodox economists that Europe-wide unemployment in the late 20th century was caused by the lack ofdemand induced byausterity policies.[30][note 7]
Modigliani, Franco; Abel, Andrew B.; Johnson, Simon (1980).The Collected Papers of Franco Modigliani. Cambridge, Massachusetts:MIT Press.ISBN978-0262131506.
Modigliani, Franco; Fabozzi, Frank J. (1996).Capital Markets: Institutions and Instruments. Upper Saddle River, New Jersey: Prentice Hall.ISBN978-0133001877.
Modigliani, Franco; Fabozzi, Frank J.; Ferri, Michael G. (1998).Foundations of Financial Markets and Institutions. Upper Saddle River, New Jersey:Prentice Hall.ISBN978-0136860563.
^Demand-driven fiscal policies, as opposed tosupply-driven, are a cornerstone of Keynesian and Post-Keynesian economics. For a critique of European economic policies from a modern, Post-Keynesian point of view, see e.g. Mitchell, William (2016)Eurozone Dystopia: Groupthink and Denial on a Grand Scale,Edward Elgar, 2015,ISBN978-1784716653
^Parisi, Daniela (2005) "Five Italian Articles Written by the Young Franco Modigliani (1937–1938)",Rivista Internazional di Scienze Sociali, 113(4), pp. 555–557 (inlanguage)
^abFranco Modigliani, autobiographical notes, Nobel Prize organization website, 1985
^Modigliani, Franco & Richard H. Brumberg (1954) "Utility analysis and the Consumption Function: An Interpretation of Cross-Section Data",Kenneth K. Kurihara (editor)Post-Keynesian Economics, New Brunswick:Rutgers University Press, 1954, pp. 388–436
^Modigliani, Franco (1966). "The Life Cycle Hypothesis of Saving, the Demand for Wealth and the Supply of Capital".Social Research.33 (2):160–217.JSTOR40969831.
^Wade-Hands, Douglas (1986)Modigliani And Grunberg : A Precursor To Rational Expectations?,University of Puget Sound
^Visco, Ignazio (1984) "Price expectations in rising inflation",Contributions to economic analysis, Volume 152, North-Holland, 1984,ISBN978-0444868367
^Grunberg, E. & Franco Modigliani (1954) "The Predictability of Social Events,"Journal of Political Economy,62, pp. 465–478, December 1954
^Breit, William; Spencer, Roger W. (1990).Lives of the Laureates: Ten Nobel Economists. Massachusetts: MIT Press.ISBN978-0262023085.
^abMiller, Merton H. & Franco Modigliani (1963) "Corporate Income Taxes and the Cost of Capital: A Correction",The American Economic Review, Vol. 53, No. 3, June 1963, pp. 433–443
^Ando, Albert & Franco Modigliani (1965) "The relative stability of monetary velocity and the investment multiplier",The American Economic Review, 55.4, pp. 693–728
^Friedman, Milton &David I. Meiselman (1963) "The Relative Stability of Monetary Velocity and the Investment Multiplier in the United States, 1897–1958",Stabilization Policies: A Series of Research Studies Prepared for theCommission on Money and Credit by E.C. Brownet al, Englewood Cliffs, NJ: Prentice-Hall: 1963, pp. 165–268
^Press Release, Nobel Prize Organisation, 15 October 1985
^Fabozzi, Frank J.; Frank J. Jones; Franco Modigliani (2010).Foundations of Financial Markets and Institutions. Pearson Education, Inc. pp. Dedication.ISBN978-0136135319.
^E.g. Modigliani Andre & Franco Modigliani (1987) "The Growth of the Federal Deficit and the pole of public attitudes",Public Opinion Quarterly, Volume 51,University of Chicago Press, pp. :459–480
^Blejer, Mario I.Adrienne Cheasty (1993) "How to measure the fiscal deficit : analytical and methodological issues", Washington, DC :International Monetary Fund
^Modigliani, Franco (2000) "Europe"s Economic Problems",Carpe Oeconomiam Papers in Economics, 3rd Monetary and Finance Lecture, Freiburg, 6 April 2000