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Franco Modigliani

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Italian-American economist and Nobel Laureate (1918–2003)
Franco Modigliani
Modigliani in 2000
Born(1918-06-18)18 June 1918
Rome, Italy
Died25 September 2003(2003-09-25) (aged 85)
Citizenship
  • Italy
  • United States
Academic background
Alma materThe New School (PhD)
Sapienza University of Rome (Laurea)
Doctoral advisorJacob Marschak
InfluencesJ. M. Keynes,Jacob Marschak
Academic work
DisciplineFinancial economics
Doctoral studentsAlbert Ando
Robert Shiller
Mario Draghi
Lucas Papademos
Notable ideasModigliani–Miller theorem
Life-cycle hypothesis
MPS model

Franco Modigliani (US:/ˌmdlˈjɑːni/;Italian:[modiʎˈʎaːni]; 18 June 1918 – 25 September 2003)[1] was an Italian-Americaneconomist and the recipient of the 1985Nobel Memorial Prize in Economics. He was a professor atUniversity of Illinois at Urbana–Champaign,Carnegie Mellon University, andMIT Sloan School of Management.

Early life and education

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Modigliani was born on 18 June 1918 inRome to the Jewish family of apediatrician father and a voluntarysocial worker mother.[2]

He entered university at the age of seventeen, enrolling in the faculty of Law at theSapienza University of Rome.[3] In his second year at Sapienza, his submission to a nationwide contest ineconomics sponsored by the officialstudent organization of the state, won first prize and Modigliani received an award from the hand ofBenito Mussolini.[2][4]He wrote several essays for the fascist magazineLo Stato[5] where he showed an inclination for the fascist ideological currents critical of liberalism.[6]

Among his early works in Fascist Italy was an article about the organization and management of production in asocialist economy, written inItalian and arguing the case for socialism along lines laid out by earliermarket socialists likeAbba Lerner andOskar Lange.[7]

But, that early enthusiasm evaporated soon after the passage ofracial laws in Italy. In 1938, Modigliani left Italy forParis together with his then-girlfriend, Serena Calabi, to join her parents there. After briefly returning toRome to defend hislaurea thesis at the city's university, he obtained his diploma on 22 July 1939, and returned to Paris.[4]

The same year, they all immigrated to the United States and he enrolled at the Graduate Faculty of theNew School for Social Research. HisPh.D. dissertation, an elaboration and extension ofJohn Hicks'IS–LM model, was written under the supervision ofJacob Marschak andAbba Lerner, in 1944,[note 1] and is considered "ground breaking."[7]

Career

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From 1942 to 1944, Modigliani taught atColumbia University andBard College as an instructor ineconomics andstatistics. In 1946, he became anaturalized citizen of the United States. In 1948, he joined theUniversity of Illinois at Urbana–Champaign faculty. From 1952 to 1962, he was a member of theCarnegie Mellon University faculty.[8]

In 1962, he joined the faculty ofMIT, as anInstitute Professor.[8]

Contributions to economic theory

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Modigliani, beginning in the 1950s, was an originator[9] of thelife-cycle hypothesis, which attempts to explain the level ofsaving in the economy.[10] The hypothesis thatconsumers aim for a stable level ofconsumption throughout their lifetime (for example by saving during their working years and then spending during theirretirement).

Therational expectations hypothesis is considered by economists[11] to originate in the[12] paper written by Modigliani and Emile Grunberg in 1954.[13][14]

When he was a member of theCarnegie Mellon University faculty, he formulated in 1958, along withMerton Miller, theModigliani–Miller theorem forcorporate finance.[15][16] The theorem posits that, under certain assumptions,[note 2] the value of a firm is not affected by whether it is financed byequity (selling shares) or bydebt (borrowing money), meaning that thedebt-to-equity ratio is unimportant for private firms.[15][16]

In the early 1960s, his response,[17] co-authored withAlbert Ando, to the 1963 paper[18] ofMilton Friedman andDavid I. Meiselman, initiated the so-called "monetary/fiscal policy debate" among economists, which went on for more than sixty years.[citation needed]

In 1975, Modigliani, in a paper[19] whose co-author was his former studentLucas Papademos,[note 3] introduced the concept of the "NIRU", the non-inflationary rate ofunemployment,[note 4] ostensibly an improvement over the "natural rate of unemployment" concept.[20] The terms refer to a level of unemployment below whichinflation rises.[note 5]

In 1997, Modigliani and his granddaughter, Leah Modigliani, developed what is now called the "Modigliani Risk-Adjusted Performance," a measure of the risk-adjusted returns of aninvestment portfolio that was derived from theSharpe ratio, adjusted for the risk of the portfolio relative to that of a benchmark, e.g. the "market."[21]

Appointments and awards

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In October 1985, Modigliani was awarded theNobel prize in Economics "for his pioneering analyses ofsaving and offinancial markets."[22]

In 1985, Modigliani received MIT's James R. Killian Faculty Achievement Award.[23] In 1997, he received anhonoris causa degree inManagement Engineering from theUniversity of Naples Federico II in 1997.

Late in his life, Modigliani became a trustee of theEconomists for Peace and Security organization, formerly "Economists Allied for Arms Reduction"[24] and was considered an "influential adviser": in the late 1960s, on a contract with theFederal Reserve, he designed the "MIT-Pennsylvania-Social Science Research Council" model, a tool that "guidedmonetary policy in Washington for many decades."[8]

A collection of Modigliani's papers is housed atDuke University'sRubenstein Library.[25]

Criticism

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Modigliani's work on fiscal policy came under criticism from followers ofPost-Keynesian economics, who disputed the "Keynesianism" of his viewpoints, pointing out his contribution to theNAIRU concept,[26] as well as his general stance onfiscal deficits.[27] The Modigliani-Miller theorem implies that, for a closed economy, state borrowing is merely deferredtaxation, since state spending can be financed only by "printing money", taxation, or borrowing, and therefore monetary financing of state spending implies the subsequent imposition of a so-called "inflation tax," which ostensibly has the same effect onpermanent income as explicit taxation.[note 6][28]

Nonetheless, they acknowledged his dissenting voice on the issue of unemployment, in which Modigliani concurred early on[29] withheterodox economists that Europe-wide unemployment in the late 20th century was caused by the lack ofdemand induced byausterity policies.[30][note 7]

Personal life

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In 1939, while they were in Paris, Modigliani married Serena Calabi. They had two children, Andre and Sergio Modigliani.

Modigliani died inCambridge, Massachusetts, in 2003, while still working at MIT, and teaching until the last months of his life. He was 85.[31] Serena Modigliani-Calabi, active to the end inprogressive politics, most notably with theLeague of Women Voters, and an outspoken believer inparticipatory democracy,[32] died in 2008.[33]

Selected bibliography

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Books

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Articles

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See also

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Notes

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  1. ^The basis of his dissertation subsequently appeared inEconometrica. See Modigliani (1944)
  2. ^The theorem assumes an economic environment with anefficient market and withouttaxes,bankruptcy costs,agency costs, andasymmetric information.
  3. ^Papademos went on to become Governor of theBank of Greece from 1994 until 2002, andPrime Minister of Greece from November 2011 to May 2012.
  4. ^Subsequently known as the "non-accelerating inflation rate of unemployment" (NAIRU)
  5. ^Inflation "rises"; it does not "accelerate," as can often be misread from the acronymNAIRU
  6. ^See "crowding out effect"
  7. ^Demand-driven fiscal policies, as opposed tosupply-driven, are a cornerstone of Keynesian and Post-Keynesian economics. For a critique of European economic policies from a modern, Post-Keynesian point of view, see e.g. Mitchell, William (2016)Eurozone Dystopia: Groupthink and Denial on a Grand Scale,Edward Elgar, 2015,ISBN 978-1784716653

References

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  1. ^Adams, Richard (1 October 2003)."Franco Modigliani".The Guardian. Retrieved18 August 2021.
  2. ^ab"Franco Modigliani" byDaniel B. Klein and Ryan Daza, in "The Ideological Migration of the Economics Laureates",Econ Journal Watch, 10(3), September 2013, pp. 472–293
  3. ^Parisi, Daniela (2005) "Five Italian Articles Written by the Young Franco Modigliani (1937–1938)",Rivista Internazional di Scienze Sociali, 113(4), pp. 555–557 (inlanguage)
  4. ^abFranco Modigliani, autobiographical notes, Nobel Prize organization website, 1985
  5. ^Francesca Dal Degan; Fabrizio Simon (2019).""Generalist" Journals between Dissemination of Economics and Regime Propaganda". In Massimo M. Augello; Marco E.L. Guidi; Fabrizio Bientinesi (eds.).An Institutional History of Italian Economics in the Interwar Period. Vol. 1. Cham, Switzerland:Palgrave Macmillan. pp. 146–147.doi:10.1007/978-3-030-32980-8_6.ISBN 978-3030329808.S2CID 213105744.
  6. ^Luca Michelini, Il nazional-fascismo economico del giovane Franco Modigliani, Firenze, Firenze University Press, 2019
  7. ^abMongiovi, Gary (2015) "Franco Modigliani and the Socialist StateArchived 2020-11-28 at theWayback Machine", Economics & Finance Department,St. John's, May 2015
  8. ^abcProfessor Franco Modigliani, obituary,The Independent, 28 September 2003
  9. ^Modigliani, Franco & Richard H. Brumberg (1954) "Utility analysis and the Consumption Function: An Interpretation of Cross-Section Data",Kenneth K. Kurihara (editor)Post-Keynesian Economics, New Brunswick:Rutgers University Press, 1954, pp. 388–436
  10. ^Modigliani, Franco (1966). "The Life Cycle Hypothesis of Saving, the Demand for Wealth and the Supply of Capital".Social Research.33 (2):160–217.JSTOR 40969831.
  11. ^Wade-Hands, Douglas (1986)Modigliani And Grunberg : A Precursor To Rational Expectations?,University of Puget Sound
  12. ^Visco, Ignazio (1984) "Price expectations in rising inflation",Contributions to economic analysis, Volume 152, North-Holland, 1984,ISBN 978-0444868367
  13. ^Grunberg, E. & Franco Modigliani (1954) "The Predictability of Social Events,"Journal of Political Economy,62, pp. 465–478, December 1954
  14. ^Breit, William; Spencer, Roger W. (1990).Lives of the Laureates: Ten Nobel Economists. Massachusetts: MIT Press.ISBN 978-0262023085.
  15. ^abMiller, Merton H. & Franco Modigliani (1958) "The cost of capital, corporate finance and the theory of investment",The American Economic Review, Vol. XLVIII, June 1958, #3, pp. 261–297. The article was a revised version of a paper delivered at the annual meeting of theEconometric Society in December 1956.
  16. ^abMiller, Merton H. & Franco Modigliani (1963) "Corporate Income Taxes and the Cost of Capital: A Correction",The American Economic Review, Vol. 53, No. 3, June 1963, pp. 433–443
  17. ^Ando, Albert & Franco Modigliani (1965) "The relative stability of monetary velocity and the investment multiplier",The American Economic Review, 55.4, pp. 693–728
  18. ^Friedman, Milton &David I. Meiselman (1963) "The Relative Stability of Monetary Velocity and the Investment Multiplier in the United States, 1897–1958",Stabilization Policies: A Series of Research Studies Prepared for theCommission on Money and Credit by E.C. Brownet al, Englewood Cliffs, NJ: Prentice-Hall: 1963, pp. 165–268
  19. ^Modigliani, Franco; Papademos, Lucas (1975)."Targets for Monetary Policy in the Coming Year"(PDF).Brookings Papers on Economic Activity.1975 (1):141–165.doi:10.2307/2534063.JSTOR 2534063.
  20. ^Coe, David T."Nominal Wages. The NAIRU and Wage Flexibility"(PDF). Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development.
  21. ^Modigliani, Franco & Leah Modigliani (1997) "Risk-Adjusted Performance",The Journal of Portfolio Management, Winter 1997, 23 (2), pp. 45–54
  22. ^Press Release, Nobel Prize Organisation, 15 October 1985
  23. ^Fabozzi, Frank J.; Frank J. Jones; Franco Modigliani (2010).Foundations of Financial Markets and Institutions. Pearson Education, Inc. pp. Dedication.ISBN 978-0136135319.
  24. ^The Newsletter for Economists Allied for Arms ReductionArchived 2016-04-09 at theWayback Machine, Vol. 12,1, April 2000
  25. ^"Franco Modigliani Papers, 1936–2005 and undated, bulk 1970s–2003".Rubenstein Library,Duke University.
  26. ^Mitchell, William (2016) "The Modigliani controversy: The break with Keynesian thinking", 21 January 2016
  27. ^E.g. Modigliani Andre & Franco Modigliani (1987) "The Growth of the Federal Deficit and the pole of public attitudes",Public Opinion Quarterly, Volume 51,University of Chicago Press, pp. :459–480
  28. ^Blejer, Mario I.Adrienne Cheasty (1993) "How to measure the fiscal deficit : analytical and methodological issues", Washington, DC :International Monetary Fund
  29. ^Modigliani, Franco (2000) "Europe"s Economic Problems",Carpe Oeconomiam Papers in Economics, 3rd Monetary and Finance Lecture, Freiburg, 6 April 2000
  30. ^Mitchell, William (2011) "Lies, damned lies, and statistics", 13 July 2011
  31. ^"In March 2003, only few months before his demise, I was at MIT and witnessed Franco [Modigliani] still teaching with the same enthusiasm another class at theSloan School of Management" : from Pagano, Marco (2005) "The Modigliani-Miller Theorems: A Cornerstone of Finance", Center for Studies in Economics and Finance, May 2005
  32. ^"Chilmarker Serena Modigliani, 91, Escaped Fascism",Vineyard Gazette, 9 October 2008
  33. ^Serena Calabi obituary,The Boston Globe, 24 September 2008

External links

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