In his subsequent bookTrust: Social Virtues and Creation of Prosperity (1995), he modified his earlier position to acknowledge that culture cannot be cleanly separated from economics.
Fukuyama is also associated with the rise of theneoconservative movement,[5] from which he has since distanced himself.[6]
Fukuyama is best known as the author ofThe End of History and the Last Man, in which he argued that the progression of human history as a struggle between ideologies was largely at an end, with the world settling onliberal democracy after the end of theCold War and the fall of theBerlin Wall in 1989. The book was an expansion on ideas expressed in an earlier article, "The End of History?" published inThe National Interest. In the article, Fukuyama predicted the coming global triumph of political andeconomic liberalism:
What we may be witnessing is not just the end of theCold War, or the passing of a particular period of postwar history, but the end of history as such: that is, the end point of mankind's ideological evolution and the universalization of Western liberal democracy as the final form of human government.
— Francis Fukuyama, 'The End of History?', The National Interest, No. 16 (Summer 1989)
Authors such asRalf Dahrendorf andLuciano Canfora argued in 1990 that the essay gave Fukuyama his15 minutes of fame, which a slide into obscurity would soon follow.[17][18] However, Fukuyama remained a relevant and citedpublic intellectual, which led AmericancommunitarianAmitai Etzioni to declare him "one of the few enduring public intellectuals. They are often media stars who are eaten up and spat out after their 15 minutes. But he has lasted."[19]Bernard Crick in his book titledDemocracy spoke of Fukuyama's principle of "the end of the world" as being a poor misreading of the historical processes involved in the development of modern democracy.[20]
According to Fukuyama, one of the main critiques ofThe End of History was of his aggressive stance againstpostmodernism. In Fukuyama's opinion,postmodern philosophy undermined the ideology behind liberal democracy, leaving the Western world in a potentially weaker position.[21] The fact thatMarxism andfascism had proven untenable for practical use while liberal democracy still thrived was reason enough to embrace the hopeful attitude of theProgressive Era, as this hope for the future was what made a society worth struggling to maintain. Postmodernism, which, by this time, had become embedded in thecultural consciousness, offered no hope and nothing to sustain a necessary sense of community, instead relying only on lofty intellectual premises.[22]
In the 2011 book, Fukuyama describes what makes a state stable, using comparativepolitical history to develop a theory of the stability of apolitical system. According to Fukuyama, an ideal political order needs a modern and effective state, the rule of law governing the state, and accountability.[23]
The 2014 book is his second work on political order, following the 2011 bookThe Origins of Political Order. In this book, Fukuyama covers events since theFrench Revolution and sheds light on political institutions and their development in different regions.[24]
After tracing the development of a modern and effective government in the United States, Fukuyama asserts that the country is experiencingpolitical decay.[25] Fukuyama believes that political decay can be observed in the deterioration of bureaucracies,special interest groups capturing the legislature, and inevitable but cumbersome judicial processes challenging all types of government action.[26]
Fukuyama has written a number of other books, among themTrust: The Social Virtues and the Creation of Prosperity andOur Posthuman Future: Consequences of the Biotechnology Revolution. In the latter, he qualified his original "end of history" thesis, arguing that since biotechnology increasingly allows humans to control their ownevolution, it may allow humans to alterhuman nature, thereby putting liberal democracy at risk.[27] One possible outcome could be that an altered human nature could end in radical inequality. He is a fierce enemy oftranshumanism, an intellectual movement asserting thatposthumanity is a desirable goal.
In another work,The Great Disruption: Human Nature and the Reconstruction of Social Order, Fukuyama explores the origins of social norms and analyzes current disruptions in the fabric of human moral traditions.[28] He considers these disruptions to arise from a shift from the manufacturing to theInformation Age. This shift is, he thinks, normal and will prove self-correcting, given the intrinsic human need for social norms and rules.
In 2006, inAmerica at the Crossroads, Fukuyama discusses the history ofneoconservatism, with particular focus on its major tenets and political implications. He outlines his rationale for supporting the Bush Administration and where he believed it was going wrong at the time.
In 2008, Fukuyama published the bookFalling Behind: Explaining the Development Gap Between Latin America and the United States, which resulted from research and a conference funded by Grupo Mayan to gain an understanding of why Latin America, once far wealthier than North America, fell behind in terms of development in only a matter of centuries. Discussing this book at a 2009 conference, Fukuyama outlined his belief that inequality within Latin American nations impedes growth. He stated that anunequal distribution of wealth leads to social upheaval, resulting in stunted growth.[29]
In 2018, inIdentity: The Demand for Dignity and the Politics of Resentment, Fukuyama enlistsPlato's notion ofthymos to understand the politics of grievance andresentment.[30]
At the start of the following decade, he published some reflections on his work in the form of conversations under the titleAfter the End of History.[31]
As a supporter of theIraq War, Fukuyama defended the war against critics who accused the US ofunilateralism and violating international law, saying "Americans are right to insist that there is no such thing as an 'international community' in the abstract, and that nation-states must ultimately look out for themselves when it comes to critical matters of security."[37]
In aNew York Times article from February 2006, Fukuyama, in considering the ongoing Iraq War, stated: "What American foreign policy needs is not a return to a narrow and cynical realism, but rather the formulation of a 'realistic Wilsonianism' that better matches means to ends."[38] In regard to neoconservatism, he went on to say: "What is needed now are new ideas, neither neoconservative nor realist, for how America is to relate to the rest of the world – ideas that retain the neoconservative belief in the universality of human rights, but without its illusions about the efficacy of American power and hegemony to bring these ends about."[38]
Fukuyama began to distance himself from the neoconservative agenda of theBush administration, citing its excessive militarism and embrace of unilateral armed intervention, particularly in theMiddle East. By mid-2004, Fukuyama had voiced his growing opposition to theIraq War[39] and called forDonald Rumsfeld's resignation asSecretary of Defense.[40]
At an annual dinner of theAmerican Enterprise Institute in February 2004,Dick Cheney andCharles Krauthammer declared the beginning of aunipolar era under Americanhegemony. "All of these people around me were cheering wildly,"[41] Fukuyama remembers. He believes that the Iraq War was being blundered. "All of my friends had taken leave of reality."[41] He has not spoken toPaul Wolfowitz (previously a good friend) since.[41]
Fukuyama declared he would not be voting for Bush,[42] and that the Bush administration had made three mistakes:[43]
Failing to foresee the fierce negative reaction to its "benevolent hegemony". From the very beginning showing a negative attitude toward the United Nations and otherintergovernmental organizations and not seeing that it would increaseanti-Americanism in other countries.
Misjudging what was needed to bring peace inIraq and being overly optimistic about the success with whichsocial engineering of western values could be applied to Iraq and the Middle East in general.
Fukuyama believes the US has a right to promote its own values in the world, but more along the lines of what he calls "realisticWilsonianism", with military intervention only as a last resort and only in addition to other measures.[citation needed]
The US should instead stimulate political and economic development and gain a better understanding of what happens in other countries. The best instruments are setting a good example and providing education and, in many cases, money. The secret of development, be it political or economic, is that it never comes from outsiders, but always from people in the country itself. One thing the US proved to have excelled in during the aftermath ofWorld War II was the formation of international institutions. A return to support for these structures would combine American power with international legitimacy, but such measures require a lot of patience. This is the central thesis of his 2006 workAmerica at the Crossroads.
Fukuyama announced the end of the neoconservative moment and argued for the demilitarization of thewar on terrorism:[44]
[W]ar is the wrong metaphor for the broader struggle, since wars are fought at full intensity and have clear beginnings and endings. Meeting the jihadist challenge is more of a "long, twilight struggle" [quotingJohn F. Kennedy's inaugural address] whose core is not a military campaign but a political contest for the hearts and minds of ordinary Muslims around the world.
I'm voting for Barack Obama this November for a very simple reason. It is hard to imagine a more disastrous presidency than that of George W. Bush. It was bad enough that he launched an unnecessary war and undermined the standing of the United States throughout the world in his first term. But in the waning days of his administration, he is presiding over a collapse of the American financial system and broader economy that will have consequences for years to come. As a general rule, democracies don't work well if voters do not hold political parties accountable for failure. WhileJohn McCain is trying desperately to pretend that he never had anything to do with the Republican Party, I think it would be a travesty to reward the Republicans for failure on such a grand scale.
In 2007 Fukuyama criticized the American government's attitude to Iran, "If the only thing we're putting on the table is that we'll talk to you, it isn't going to work. What the Iranians have really wanted over a long period of time is the grand bargain."[46] In 2009 he described Iran as "not quite a tyranny, petty or grand" but also not a liberal democracy and added that "Iran could evolve towards a genuine rule-of-law democracy within the broad parameters of the1979 constitution."[47]
In a 2018 interview withNew Statesman, when asked about his views on the resurgence ofsocialist politics in the United States and the United Kingdom, he responded:[48]
It all depends on what you mean by socialism. Ownership of the means of production – except in areas where it's clearly called for, like public utilities – I don't think that's going to work. If you mean redistributive programmes that try to redress this big imbalance in both incomes and wealth that has emerged then, yes, I think not only can it come back, it ought to come back. This extended period, which started with Reagan andThatcher, in which a certain set of ideas about the benefits of unregulated markets took hold, in many ways it's had a disastrous effect. At this juncture, it seems to me that certain thingsKarl Marx said are turning out to be true. He talked about the crisis of overproduction… that workers would be impoverished and there would be insufficient demand.
In 2020, Fukuyama became the chair of the editorial board forAmerican Purpose, a magazine established in 2020 to promote three central ideas. Firstly, it wants to promoteliberal democracy in the United States. Secondly, it seeks to understand and opine on the challenges to liberal democracy in other countries. Thirdly, it wants to "offer criticism and commentary on history and biography, high art and pop culture, science and technology."[50]
A few weeks after the beginning ofRussia's invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, Fukuyama made several prognoses in the magazineAmerican Purpose:[52]
Russia was heading towards defeat, with its planning being incompetent and based on flawed assumptions about Ukrainians being favorable to Russia and about the Ukrainian military suffering immediate collapse in an invasion scenario. "Russian soldiers were evidently carrying dress uniforms for their victory parade in Kyiv rather than extra ammo and rations." The bulk of Russia's military had been committed to the invasion and so there were no vast reserves available to it.
Russia's position could collapse suddenly and catastrophically rather than through a slowwar of attrition. Its army would reach a point where it could be neither resupplied nor withdrawn, and morale would collapse accordingly.
A Russian defeat was a prerequisite for any diplomatic solution to the war as otherwise both Russia and Ukraine'slosses meant that there was no conceivable compromise which they could both accept.
Vladimir Putin's rule over Russia would not survive a military defeat. "He gets support because he is perceived to be a strongman; what does he have to offer once he demonstrates incompetence and is stripped of his coercive power?"
The war thus far had been a "good lesson" for China whose military, like Russia's, was technologically sophisticated but had minimal combat experience. ThePeople's Liberation Army Air Force's lack of experience in relation to complex air operations meant that in a future conflict it would likely replicate the poor performance of Russia's air force. "We may hope that the Chinese leadership will not delude itself as to its own capabilities the way the Russians did when contemplating a future move against Taiwan"; as for Taiwan itself, Fukuyama expressed his hope that it would now begin to prepare for a future conflict including by reintroducing conscription.
A Russian defeat would permit a "new birth of freedom" and assuage fears about the declining state of global democracy. The spirit of1989 would live on thanks to Ukraine's bravery.
Fukuyama has also put emphasis on the importance of national identity for a sound defense of liberal values – and thus the need to reconcile the nation-state with liberal universalism, even if they seem at odds at first – in aForeign Affairs article:[53]
Liberalism, with its universalist pretensions, may sit uneasily alongside seemingly parochial nationalism, but the two can be reconciled. The goals of liberalism are entirely compatible with a world divided into nation-states. ... Liberal rights are meaningless if they cannot be enforced by a state. ... The territorial jurisdiction of a state necessarily corresponds to the area occupied by the group of individuals who signed on to the social contract. People living outside that jurisdiction must have their rights respected, but not necessarily enforced, by that state. ... The need for international cooperation in addressing issues such as global warming and pandemics has never been more evident. But it remains the case that one particular form of power, the ability to enforce rules through the threat or the actual use of force, remains under the control of nation-states. . . Ultimate power, in other words, continues to be the province of nation-states, which means that the control of power at this level remains critical. ... There is thus no necessary contradiction between liberal universalism and the need for nation-states. Although the normative value of human rights may be universal, enforcement power is not; it is a scarce resource that is necessarily applied in a territorially delimited way.
In a 2022 interview withEl País, Fukuyama expressed support forsocial democratic policies: "In Germany, the Netherlands, Scandinavia, you've had social democratic parties in power for a long time. [They've] done a lot of redistribution – you don't get this kind of polarized politics and you have an alternation between the center-left and center-right, which I think is much healthier." However, Fukuyama also said that he "was never opposed to social democracy. I think that it really depends on the historical period and the degree of state intervention. By the 1960s, many social democratic societies had become mired in low growth [and] high inflation. At that point, I think it was important to roll some of that back. That is, in fact, what happened inScandinavia. Most of those countries reduced tax rates, reduced levels of regulation and therefore became more productive. But I think that in the current period, we need more social democracy, especially in the United States."[54]
On June 29, 2023, at an event hosted byStanford University, Fukuyama met with the delegation from theAzov Brigade, posing for a picture with them and expressing his support "to Ukraine on [their] sure way to victory."[55][56]
Between 2006 and 2008, Fukuyama advisedMuammar Gaddafi as part of theMonitor Group, a consultancy firm based in Cambridge, MA.[57]
In August 2005, Fukuyama co-foundedThe American Interest, a bimonthly magazine devoted to the broad theme of "America in the World". He served as chairman of the editorial board until his resignation. In a published letter posted on his publicMedium page on July 27, 2020, Fukuyama cited a disagreement with the publisher's decision to terminateJeff Gedmin as editor-in-chief. Fukuyama also indicated other changes underway at the publication as an additional reason for his resignation.[58]
Fukuyama was a member of theRAND Corporation's Political Science Department from 1979 to 1980, 1983 to 1989, and 1995 to 1996. He is now a member of the board of trustees.[16]
Fukuyama was on the steering committee for theScooter Libby Legal Defense Trust.[59] Fukuyama is a long-time friend of Libby. They served together in the State Department in the 1980s.
Fukuyama is a part-time photographer. He also has an interest in early Americanfurniture, which he reproduces by hand.[63] Another hobby of Fukuyama's issound recording and reproduction. He explained, "These days I seem to spend as much time thinking about gear as I do analyzing politics for my day job."[41] Since the mid-1990s, Fukuyama has been building his own personal computers.[64]
Fukuyama is married to Laura Holmgren, whom he met when she was aUniversity of California, Los Angeles graduate student after he started working for theRAND Corporation.[13][16] He dedicated his bookTrust: The Social Virtues and the Creation of Prosperity to her. They live in California, with their three children, Julia, David, and John.[65]
He is the first cousin to crime novelistJoe Ide. Fukuyama helped him get his first book published.[66]
^Fukuyama, Francis (October 7, 1999)."Fukuyama 101".Think Tank (Interview). Interviewed by Ben Wattenberg. Washington, DC: PBS. RetrievedMarch 17, 2011.
Quanto detto sin qui può forse bastare a non prendere sul serio saggi troppo fortunati (ma già quasi avviati al dimenticatoio) come La fine della storia del nippo-statunitense Fukuyama. Libro che, comunque, è stato ampiamente stroncato per le sciocchezze che contiene: e non già da tardi epigoni del marxismo-leninismo, ma da filosofi 'liberal' come Dahrendorf, il quale ha anche avuto il buon senso di elencare gli errori di fatto (tali da mettere in forse il conseguimento della "maturità classica"!) che il troppo fortunato libretto contiene.
^Bernard Crick.Democracy: A Very Short Introduction. Oxford Univ. Press. p. 112.
^'Francis Fukuyama, "Reflections on the End of History, Five Years Later",History and Theory 34, 2: "World Historians and Their Critics" (May 1995): 43.
^'Francis Fukuyama, "Reflections on the End of History, Five Years Later",History and Theory 34, 2: World Historians and Their Critics (May 1995): 36.
^Fukuyama, Francis (2011).Origins of political order: from prehuman times to the French revolution (1st paperback ed.). New York City: Farrar, Straus and Giroux. pp. 312, 420.ISBN978-0374-5332-29.
^Fukuyama, Francis (December 8, 2016)."America in Decay".Foreign Affairs: America and the World.ISSN0015-7120. RetrievedMay 15, 2020.
^For a critical analysis of Fukuyama's bioethical argument, see:Jordaan, D. W. (2009). "Antipromethean Fallacies: A Critique of Fukuyama's Bioethics".Biotechnology Law Report.28 (5):577–590.doi:10.1089/blr.2009.9915.
^Francis Fukuyama, "U.S. vs. Them: Opposition to American Policies Must Not Become the Chief Passion in Global Politics,"Washington Post, September 11, 2002
^abFukuyama, Francis (February 19, 2006)."After Neoconservatism".The New York Times. RetrievedMay 2, 2010.
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