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Eli Zeira

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Israeli military intelligence officer (1928–2025)
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Eli Zeira
Native name
אלי זעירא
Born(1928-04-04)April 4, 1928
Haifa, Mandatory Palestine
DiedNovember 21, 2025(2025-11-21) (aged 97)
AllegianceIsrael
BranchIsrael Defense Forces
Years of service1946–1974
RankMajor General
CommandsDirector ofAman

Eli Zeira (Hebrew:אלי זעירא; April 4, 1928 – November 21, 2025) was amajor general in theIsrael Defense Forces. He was director ofAman, Israel's military intelligence, during the 1973Yom Kippur War. He is most remembered for his ill-conceived prewar assessment thatEgypt andSyria would not attack (also known as "The Concept"),[1][2] despite intelligence to the contrary.

The postwarAgranat Commission, set to investigate the reasons for the costly war, found Zeira to be negligent of his duty, and he resigned.[3]

In 2004, formerMossad Director-GeneralZvi Zamir accused Zeira of leaking the identity ofAshraf Marwan, an Egyptian billionaire who served as a Mossad informant.[4] The State Prosecutor's Office opened a criminal investigation, which proved inconclusive and was closed in 2012.[5]

Early life and career

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Zeira was born inHaifa, Mandatory Palestine, on April 4, 1928, where he received elementary and high school education at theHebrew Reali School.[6] In 1946, when he was 18, he joined theYiftach Brigade, then part of thePalmach. He fought for the brigade during the1948 Palestine War, serving as both a company and platoon commander for its 1st Battalion. During the war, he fought against theArab Liberation Army (ALA) in theGalilee, theArab Legion atLatrun, and theEgyptian Army in theNegev.[7][8] He also participated in repelling an offensive by the ALA in kibbutzTirat Zvi.[9]

Between 1949 and 1950, he led theSouthern Command's squad leaders' school. He then enrolled in theUnited States Army's company commander's school for a year, becoming the first IDF officer to do so, where he learned to fly.[9] When he returned to Israel, he attended theHebrew University of Jerusalem, graduating with a bachelor's in economics and statistics.[7][8] In 1951, he became an instructor at a battalion commander's school inTzrifin.[9]  

Rise in the military ranks

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Between 1953 and 1954, he commanded the Planning Department of theGeneral Staff. Between 1954 and 1955, he headed IDF chief of staffMoshe Dayan's office, where he was present at weekly meetings with Dayan, then-Defense MinisterDavid Ben-Gurion, and then-director general of the ministryShimon Peres.[9] He led theGivati Brigade's 51st Battalion in 1956, and after the brigade's disbandment, served as the General Staff's operations head, a role he held during that year'sSuez Crisis. He then finished a command and staff course for the US Army inFort Leavenworth, before serving with theMossad in an advisory mission for theEthiopian Army for a year.[7][8]

Between 1960 and 1962, he commanded the35th Paratroopers Brigade, before heading theOperations Directorate's Operations Department from 1962 to 1963. He joined theMilitary Intelligence Directorate (Aman) in 1963, heading its intelligence collection department until 1968. He wrote in an autobiography that at this time, he focused on developing technological innovations for Aman, including for intelligence collection at long-ranges in countries such as Egypt and Syria. His innovations helped the IDF achieve intelligence that led to its victory in theSix-Day War, which he was commended for by theIsrael Defense Prize Committee.[9] He became themilitary attaché to the US and Canada in January 1970.[7][8]

Director of Aman

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Zeira (fourth from right) and other senior Israeli leaders in a meeting in theNorthern Command during theYom Kippur War

In October 1972, Zeira was appointed as the director of Aman. Before theYom Kippur War, he assessed in what is known as "The Concept" that Egypt would not declare war on Israel without air superiority, despite intelligence suggesting the contrary, including an October 6, 1973, warning by Mossad headZvi Zamir.[10] A day after a secret meeting by KingHussein of Jordan to the Mossad guesthouse north ofTel Aviv on September 25, 1973, in which he warned of an imminent war, defense minister Dayan held a meeting with Zeira and his deputy,Aryeh Shalev, where they dismissed his warning as too vague.[11] During a General Staff meeting on October 5, one day before the war, Zeira assessed that the probability of Egypt and Syria declaring war was "lower than low".[12]

On October 6, Egypt and Syria began a coordinated attack on Israel in the first stage of the Yom Kippur War, catching Israel off guard and leading to heavy losses.[8] After the war, theAgranat Commission was formed to investigate Israel's failures. The commission cleared the political leadership of wrongdoing and found that the key shortcomings stemmed from intelligence failures, particularly Zeira's concept.[9] It also found that Zeira failed to activate Aman's "special means" of collecting intelligence in time, despite the fact that they could have warned of Egypt's offensive. The commission further suspected that Zeira misled Israel's political leadership, including prime ministerGolda Meir, IDF chief of staffDavid Elazar, and defense minister Dayan, into believing that he had activated those "special means".[13] Zeira did not activate these means despite requests from his own staff and Elazar because he was convinced that Egypt would not attack Israel, and believed that activating the means would risk exposing them.[14]

Zeira called the findings baseless, and wrote in his autobiography that, "thus the entire blame was placed on those in uniform, and the political leadership came out clean." He argued that the Mossad was responsible for Israel's shortcomings by listening toAshraf Marwan, who he claimed was a "double agent" that misguided Israel.[11] The commission did not directly call for Zeria's dismissal, but he left Israel to study atStanford University and resigned from the IDF anyway, at the age of 47.[8][9]

Later life

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State Prosecutor's Office probe

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In 2004, former Mossad headZvi Zamir accused Zeira of leaking the identity ofAshraf Marwan, an Egyptian billionaire and senior advisor to presidentAnwar Sadat who covertly provided Israel with valuable intelligence, including a warning of Egypt's 1973 attack. Zeira said that he had relied on news publications that had already named Marwan, and filed a libel lawsuit against Zamir in April 2005.[15] A criminal probe into Zeira was conducted by theState Prosecutor's Office. Retired judge Theodore Orr declared in 2007 that Zeira had leaked Marwan's identity and ordered him to pay compensation. TheAttorney General closed the case with no charges in 2012, due to Zeira's age and his contributions to Israel’s security.[8][10]

Death

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Zeira died on November 21, 2025, at the age of 97.[16]

References

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  1. ^Shlaim, Avi "The Iron Wall -Israel and the Arab World." 2000.ISBN 978-0-140-28870-4. Page 319.
  2. ^^ Steven, Stewart, "The Spymasters of Israel." 1980, ninth printing 1988.ISBN 0-345-33927-4. Page 358:" [Zeira] was one of the architects of what was known as 'the concept.' Simply stated, the concept laid down first that the Arabs were not ready for an all-out war with Israel. Though they could launch a limited war, they knew perfectly well that Israel would not feel bound by the rules of that game, and a limited war would quickly escalate into a general one. Second, Zeira's concept laid down, that if there was to be a war, it would be a short one. The third assumption was that in an overall war, the Arabs would be quickly defeated."
  3. ^Dayan, Moshe, "Story of My Life."ISBN 0-688-03076-9. 1976. Page 606. "The commission found that Maj. Gen. Eliyahu Zeira, 'in view of his grave failure ... cannot continue in his post as chief of Military Intelligence.'"
  4. ^Bar-Joseph, Uri (2016).The Angel: The Egyptian Spy Who Saved Israel. New York: HarperCollins. pp. 299–300.ISBN 9780062420138.
  5. ^Magnezi, Aviel (July 8, 2012)."State to close case against former IDF intel chief".Ynetnews.
  6. ^"זעירא אליהו".www.palmach.org.il (in Hebrew). RetrievedNovember 22, 2025.
  7. ^abcd"Eli Zeira, IDF intelligence chief widely blamed for Yom Kippur War failure, dies at 97".Ynetglobal. November 21, 2025. RetrievedNovember 22, 2025.
  8. ^abcdefgFabian, Emanuel; Levaton, Stav (November 21, 2025)."Eli Zeira, Yom Kippur War intel chief who assessed Egypt and Syria wouldn't attack, dies at 97".The Times of Israel.ISSN 0040-7909. RetrievedNovember 22, 2025.
  9. ^abcdefgAderet, Ofer (November 21, 2025)."אלי זעירא, ראש אמ"ן במלחמת יום כיפור, מת בגיל 97".Haaretz (in Hebrew). RetrievedNovember 21, 2025.
  10. ^ab"אלי זעירא, ראש אמ"ן במלחמת יום כיפור, הלך לעולמו בגיל 97 - וואלה חדשות".Walla (in Hebrew). November 21, 2025. RetrievedNovember 22, 2025.
  11. ^ab"Enigma: The anatomy of Israel's intelligence failure almost 45 years ago".Brookings. RetrievedNovember 22, 2025.
  12. ^"'Odds of war lower than low': Papers highlight intel failures in Yom Kippur War".The Times of Israel. September 17, 2018. RetrievedNovember 22, 2025.
  13. ^Aderet, Ofer."Military Intelligence chief misled Israeli leaders ahead of 1973 War, declassified doc reveals".Haaretz. Archived fromthe original on April 9, 2024. RetrievedNovember 22, 2025.
  14. ^Rabinovich, Abraham (September 15, 2021)."Worse than the worst-case scenario: The dreadful hours before the Yom Kippur War".The Times of Israel.ISSN 0040-7909. RetrievedNovember 23, 2025.
  15. ^"Israel's Egyptian spy: Double agent or nothing?".The Jerusalem Post. September 1, 2017. RetrievedNovember 22, 2025.
  16. ^Fabian, Emanuel (November 21, 2025)."Eli Zeira, IDF intel chief during 1973 Yom Kippur War, dies at 97".The Times of Israel.ISSN 0040-7909. RetrievedNovember 21, 2025.

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