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Day of Seven Billion

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October
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2011
When the human population reached 7 billion

Estimated (to 2011) and projected (from 2012) populations of the world and its inhabited continents. The shaded regions correspond to range of projections by the United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs;[1] for example, the chart showed that the world population would reach 8 billion people between 2021 and 2035
Estimated (to 2011) and projected (from 2012) populations of the world and its inhabited continents. The shaded regions correspond to range of projections by theUnited Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs;[1] for example, the chart showed that the world population would reach 8 billion people between 2021 and 2035

TheDay of Seven Billion, 31 October 2011, is the day that was officially designated by theUnited Nations Population Fund (UNFPA) as the approximate day on which theworld's population reached seven billion people.[2] United Nations Secretary GeneralBan Ki-moon spoke at theUnited Nations building in New York City on this new milestone in the size of world population and the issues that it will raise, along with promoting the UNFPA's new program named7 Billion Actions,[3] which will seek to "build global awareness around the opportunities and challenges associated with a world of seven billion people" and inspire individuals and organizations to take action.[4] It was succeeded by theDay of Eight Billion on 15 November 2022.

Background

[edit]
PopulationYearYears elapsed since
previous milestone
1 billion1804––
2 billion1927123
 
3 billion196033
 
4 billion197414
 
5 billion198713
 
6 billion199912
 
7 billion201112
 
8 billion202211
 
9 billion203816
 
World population milestones (USCB estimates)

The world had already reached a population of five billion on 11 July 1987,[5] and six billion, twelve years later on 12 October 1999.[6]

United Nations Population Fund spokesman Omar Gharzeddine disputed the date of theDay of Six Billion by stating, "The U.N. marked the '6 billionth' [person] in 1999, and then a couple of years later the Population Division itself reassessed its calculations and said, actually, no, it was in 1998."[7]

Choice of date

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According to the United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs Population Division, 31 October 2011, is a symbolic date chosen based on data interpolated from its 5-year-period estimates. The estimates are based on data sources such as recent censuses, surveys, vital and population registers, and are published every other year as part of itsWorld Population Prospects.

The actual date that the world population reached 7 billion had an error margin of around 12 months owing to inaccuracies in demographic statistics, particularly in some developing countries (even the world's best censuses have 1–2% error).[citation needed] Assuming a 1% global error margin, the 7 billion world population could have been reached as early as 20 March 2011, or as late as 12 April 2012.[8]

However, the International Programs Division of theUnited States Census Bureau estimated that the total world population would not reach 7 billion until sometime on 12 March 2012.[9] It also offered an estimate that differed by about three months from the UN estimate for the Day of Six Billion.[10]

TheInternational Institute for Applied Systems Analysis estimated a date between February 2012 and July 2014.[11]

Seven billionth person

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United Nations Population Fund spokesman Omar Gharzeddine said, "There's no way that the U.N. or anyone could know where or at what minute on the 31st the 7 billionth baby will be born", and that the United Nations would not be giving official status to this and similar publicity efforts.[7] Nevertheless, several newborns were selected by various groups to represent the seven billionth person.

On the Day of Seven Billion, the groupPlan International symbolically marked the birth of the 7 billionth human with a ceremony in the Indian state ofUttar Pradesh where a birth certificate was presented to a newly born baby girl, Nargis Kumar,[12] to protestsex-selective abortion in the state. The Indian girl-to-boy ratio for 0–6-year-olds is at 914 girls per 1,000 boys nationwide, with Uttar Pradesh's one of the lowest at 889 girls for every thousand boys.[13]

Other babies selected include Danica May Camacho, born in theDr. Jose Fabella Memorial Hospital,Manila,Philippines just before midnight on the eve of the Day of Seven Billion,[14] and Wattalage Muthumai, ofColombo, Sri Lanka.[15]

See also

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References

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  1. ^World Population Prospects, the 2010 Revision
  2. ^World Population Prospects, the 2008 Revision Frequently Asked Questions Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat updated 10 November 2010. Retrieved 26 January 2011
  3. ^"Day of 7 Billion". UNFPA. Archived fromthe original on 2 November 2013. Retrieved16 October 2011.
  4. ^"About 7 Billion Actions". 7 Billion Actions. Archived fromthe original on 24 October 2011. Retrieved16 October 2011.
  5. ^"And Baby Makes Five Billion:U.N. Hails a Yugoslav Infant".New York Times. 12 July 1987. Retrieved16 October 2011.
  6. ^Lederer, Edith (12 October 1999)."World Population hits 6 Billion".The Washington Post. Archived fromthe original on 16 September 2013. Retrieved16 October 2011.
  7. ^abCosmic Log – 7 billion people? How do they know?
  8. ^How do we know that the world population reaches 7 billion on October 31, 2011?
  9. ^"World Population Clock".
  10. ^Brunner, Borgna."Population hits Six Billion". infoplease.com. Retrieved16 October 2011.
  11. ^Scherbov, Lutz and Sanderson, "The Uncertain Timing of Reaching 7 Billion and Peak Population", International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, 2011 :« The distribution is highly skewed with a mode in July 2012, a median in January 2013, and a mean in April 2013. There is a 60 percent chance that the world's population would reach 7 billion between February 2012 and July 2014. According to the United Nations, the "Day of 7 Billion" should be celebrated on 26 August 2011 ».
  12. ^"India welcomes 'world's seven billionth baby'".BBC News. 31 October 2011. Retrieved31 October 2011.
  13. ^"Baby 7 Billion: Countdown begins for a girl in India". Reuters NewsAlert. 14 October 2011. Archived fromthe original on 19 October 2011. Retrieved16 October 2011.
  14. ^Coleman, Jasmine (31 October 2011)."World's 'seven billionth baby' is born".The Guardian. London. Retrieved31 October 2011.
  15. ^"Seven billionth child born in SL | Caption Story". Dailymirror.lk. 31 October 2011. Retrieved5 October 2012.

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