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Council of Economic Advisers

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
U.S. presidential advisory committee on economic policy
For the body that advises the Scottish Government, seeCouncil of Economic Advisers (Scotland). For another similarly sounding agency within the U.S. federal government, seeNational Economic Council (United States).
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Council of Economic Advisers
Agency overview
Formed1946; 79 years ago (1946)
Preceding agencies
HeadquartersEisenhower Executive Office Building
EmployeesAbout 35
Agency executive
Parent agencyExecutive Office of the President of the United States
Websitewh.gov/ceaEdit this at Wikidata

TheCouncil of Economic Advisers (CEA) is a United States agency within theExecutive Office of the President established in 1946, which advises thepresident of the United States on economic policy.[2] The CEA provides much of the empirical research for theWhite House and prepares the publicly-available annualEconomic Report of the President.[3] The council is made up of its chairperson and generally two to three additional member economists. Its chairperson requires appointment and Senate confirmation, and its other members are appointed by the president.

Activities

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Economic Report of the President

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The report is published by the CEA annually in February, no later than 10 days after the budget of the US government is submitted.[4] The president typically writes a letter introducing the report, serving as an executive summary. The report proceeds with several hundred pages of qualitative and quantitative research reviewing the impact ofeconomic activity in the previous year, outlining economic goals for the coming year (based on the president's economic agenda), and making numerical projections of economic performance and outcomes.[5] The data referenced or used in the report are from theBureau of Economic Analysis and U.S.Bureau of Labor Statistics.[citation needed]

History

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Establishment

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TheTruman administration established the Council of Economic Advisers via theEmployment Act of 1946 to provide presidents with objective economic analysis and advice on the development and implementation of a wide range of domestic and international economic policy issues. It was a step from an "ad hoc style of economic policy-making to a more institutionalized and focused process". The act gave the council the following goals:

1. to assist and advise the President in the preparation of the Economic Report;

2. to gather timely and authoritative information concerning economic developments and economic trends, both current and prospective, to analyze and interpret such information in the light of the policy declared in section 2 for the purpose of determining whether such developments and trends are interfering, or are likely to interfere, with the achievement of such policy, and to compile and submit to the President studies relating to such developments and trends;

3. to appraise the various programs and activities of the Federal Government in the light of the policy declared in section 2 for the purpose of determining the extent to which such programs and activities are contributing, and the extent to which they are not contributing, to the achievement of such policy, and to make recommendations to the President with respect thereto;

4. to develop and recommend to the President national economic policies to foster and promote free competitive enterprise, to avoid economic fluctuations or to diminish the effects thereof, and to maintain employment, production, and purchasing power;

5. to make and furnish such studies, reports thereon, and recommendations with respect to matters of Federal economic policy and legislation as the President may request.[6]

In 1949 ChairmanEdwin Nourse and memberLeon Keyserling argued about whether the advice should be private or public and about the role of government in economic stabilization.[7] Nourse believed a choice had to be made between "guns or butter" but Keyserling argued fordeficit spending, asserting that an expanding economy could afford large defense expenditures without sacrificing an increasedstandard of living. In 1949, Keyserling gained support from Truman advisorsDean Acheson andClark Clifford. Nourse resigned as chairman, warning about the dangers of budget deficits and increased funding of "wasteful" defense costs. Keyserling succeeded to the chairmanship and influenced Truman'sFair Deal proposals and the economic sections ofNSC 68 that, in April 1950, asserted that the larger armed forces America needed would not affect living standards or risk the "transformation of the free character of our economy".[8]

1950s–80s

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During the1953–54 recession, the CEA, headed byArthur Burns, deployed non-traditionalneo-Keynesian interventions, which provided results later called the "steady fifties" wherein many families stayed in the economic "middle class" with just one family wage-earner. TheEisenhower administration supported an activist contracyclical approach that helped to establishKeynesianism as a possible bipartisan economic policy for the nation. Especially important in formulating the CEA response to the recession—acceleratingpublic works programs, easing credit, and reducing taxes—were Arthur F. Burns andNeil H. Jacoby.[9]

Until 1963, during its first seven years the CEA made five technical advances in policy making, including the replacement of a "cyclical model" of the economy by a "growth model", the setting of quantitative targets for the economy, use of the theories offiscal drag and full-employment budget, recognition of the need for greater flexibility in taxation, and replacement of the notion of unemployment as a structural problem by a realization of a low aggregate demand.[10]

The 1978Humphrey–Hawkins Full Employment Act required each administration to move towardfull employment and reasonable price stability within a specific time period. It has been criticized for making CEA's annual economic report highly political in nature, as well as highly unreliable and inaccurate over the standard two or five year projection periods.[11]

1980–present

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Since 1980, the CEA has focused on sources of economic growth, thesupply side of the economy, and on international issues.[7] In the wake of theGreat Recession of 2008–09, the Council of Economic Advisers played a significant role in supporting theAmerican Recovery and Reinvestment Act.[12]

On March 12, 2025,Stephen Miran was confirmed as President Trump's nominee to be the chairman of the Council of Economic Advisers.[13][14]

Organization

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The council and staff during theBiden administration, in March 2023

The council's chairman is nominated by the president and confirmed by theUnited States Senate. The members are appointed by the president. As of July 2017, the council's eighteen person staff consisted of a chief of staff (Director of Macroeconomic Forecasting), fifteen economists (five senior, four research, four staff economists, two economic statisticians) and two operations staff.[15] Many of the staff economists are academics on leave or government economists on temporary assignment from other agencies.[12]

Composition

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Chairs

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  Denotes acting capacity.
ImageNameStartEndPresident
Edwin NourseAugust 9, 1946November 1, 1949Harry Truman
(1945–1953)
Leon KeyserlingNovember 2, 1949May 10, 1950
May 10, 1950January 20, 1953
Arthur BurnsMarch 19, 1953December 1, 1956Dwight Eisenhower
(1953–1961)
Raymond SaulnierDecember 3, 1956January 20, 1961
Walter HellerJanuary 29, 1961November 15, 1964John F. Kennedy
(1961–1963)
Lyndon Johnson
(1963–1969)
Gardner AckleyNovember 16, 1964February 15, 1968
Arthur OkunFebruary 15, 1968January 20, 1969
Paul McCrackenFebruary 4, 1969December 31, 1971Richard Nixon
(1969–1974)
Herbert SteinJanuary 1, 1972August 31, 1974
Gerald Ford
(1974–1977)
Alan GreenspanSeptember 4, 1974January 20, 1977
Charles SchultzeJanuary 22, 1977January 20, 1981Jimmy Carter
(1977–1981)
Murray WeidenbaumFebruary 27, 1981August 25, 1982Ronald Reagan
(1981–1989)
Marty FeldsteinOctober 14, 1982July 10, 1984
Beryl SprinkelApril 18, 1985January 20, 1989
Michael BoskinFebruary 2, 1989January 20, 1993George H. W. Bush
(1989–1993)
Laura TysonFebruary 5, 1993April 22, 1995Bill Clinton
(1993–2001)
Joe StiglitzJune 28, 1995February 10, 1997
Janet YellenFebruary 18, 1997August 3, 1999
Martin BailyAugust 12, 1999January 20, 2001
Glenn HubbardMay 11, 2001February 28, 2003George W. Bush
(2001–2009)
Greg MankiwMay 29, 2003February 18, 2005
Harvey RosenFebruary 23, 2005June 10, 2005
Ben BernankeJune 21, 2005January 31, 2006
Edward LazearFebruary 27, 2006January 20, 2009
Christina RomerJanuary 29, 2009September 3, 2010Barack Obama
(2009–2017)
Austan GoolsbeeSeptember 10, 2010August 5, 2011
Alan KruegerNovember 7, 2011August 2, 2013
Jason Furman[16]August 2, 2013January 20, 2017
Kevin Hassett[17]September 13, 2017June 28, 2019Donald Trump
(2017–2021)
Tomas Philipson
Acting
June 28, 2019June 23, 2020
Tyler Goodspeed
Acting
June 23, 2020January 7, 2021
Cecilia RouseMarch 12, 2021March 31, 2023Joe Biden
(2021–2025)
Jared BernsteinJuly 10, 2023January 20, 2025
Steve MiranMarch 13, 2025
On leave: September 16, 2025 – present
presentDonald Trump
(2025–present)
Pierre Yared
Acting
September 16, 2025present

Chief Economist

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Members

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References

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  1. ^abWage and Price Controls Encyclopedia.com n.d.
  2. ^Council of Economic Advisers, archived fromthe original on April 24, 2001
  3. ^"Economic Report of the President".govinfo.
  4. ^"Economic Report of the President | CEA".The White House. Retrieved2023-06-04.
  5. ^"Economic Report of the President".The White House. Retrieved2023-06-04.
  6. ^"History of the CEA".The White House. Retrieved4 May 2021.(Public domainPublic domain)
  7. ^abRemarks by Chairman Alan Greenspan. Receipt of the Truman Medal for Economic Policy. Before the Truman Medal Award and Economics Conference, Kansas City, Missouri October 26, 2005, Council of Economic Advisers website under President Bush
  8. ^Brune 1989
  9. ^Engelbourg 1980
  10. ^Salant 1973
  11. ^Cimbala and Stout 1983
  12. ^abFlickenschild; Michael, Afonso, Alexandre (2018)."Networks of economic policy expertise in Germany and the United States in the wake of the Great Recession".Journal of European Public Policy.26 (9):1292–1311.doi:10.1080/13501763.2018.1518992.hdl:1887/71157.{{cite journal}}: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link)
  13. ^Singh, Kanishka (22 December 2024)."Trump taps ex-Treasury official Miran as chair of Council of Economic Advisers".Reuters.
  14. ^"PN19 - Nomination of Stephen Miran for Executive Office of the President, 119th Congress (2025-2026)". 12 March 2025.
  15. ^Council of Economic Advisers. Staff Whitehouse.gov, n.d. accessed 29 July 2017
  16. ^"Obama names Furman as new White House chief economist".Reuters. 2013-06-10.
  17. ^"Senate Confirms Kevin Hassett as Chairman of the President's Council of Economic Advisers".The Wall Street Journal. 2017-09-12.
  18. ^"Curriculum vitae of Michael Greenstone from the website of the Brookings Institution (dated July 21, 2016)"(PDF). RetrievedNovember 17, 2025.
  19. ^"2017 Economic Report of the President, Appendix A"(PDF). RetrievedJune 9, 2025.
  20. ^"2019 Economic Report of the President, Appendix A"(PDF). RetrievedJune 9, 2025.
  21. ^"Rauh named Principal Economic Adviser". 20 November 2019. RetrievedMarch 21, 2024.
  22. ^"Kevin Corinth Bio".American Enterprise Institute - AEI. RetrievedMarch 21, 2024.
  23. ^"Tedeschi tapped to be Chief Economist". RetrievedMarch 21, 2024.
  24. ^"White House CEA Staff". RetrievedJune 2, 2025.

Sources

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External links

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