Follow-up observations were made on 22 September 2012 by a team fromRemanzacco Observatory in Italy using theiTelescope network.[1][9] The discovery was announced by theMinor Planet Center on 24 September.[8]
Observations bySwift in January 2013 suggested that Comet ISON'snucleus was around 5 kilometers (3 mi) in diameter.[10] Later estimates were that the nucleus was only about 2 kilometers (1 mi) in diameter.[11]Mars Reconnaissance Orbiter (MRO) observations suggested the nucleus was smaller than 0.8 kilometers (0.5 mi) in diameter.[12]
Shortly after Comet ISON's discovery, the media reported that it might become brighter than thefull Moon. However, as events transpired, it never became bright enough to be readily visible to the naked eye. Furthermore, it broke apart as it passed close to theSun. Reports on 28 November 2013 (the day ofperihelion passage)[13][14] indicated that Comet ISON had partially or completely disintegrated due to the Sun's heat andtidal forces. However, later that day CIOC (NASACometISONObservingCampaign) members discovered acoma-like feature, suggesting a small fragment of it may have survived perihelion.[13][14][15][16][17]
On 29 November 2013, the coma dimmed to anapparent magnitude of 5.[18] By the end of 30 November 2013, the coma had further faded to below naked-eye visibility at magnitude 7.[19] On 1 December 2013, the coma continued to fade even further as it finished traversing theSolar and Heliospheric Observatory's view.[20][21] On 2 December 2013, the CIOC announced that Comet ISON had fully disintegrated.[22][23] TheHubble Space Telescope failed to detect fragments of ISON on 18 December 2013.[24]
On 8 May 2014, a detailed examination of the disintegration was published, suggesting that the comet had fully disintegrated hours before perihelion.[25]
During routine observations on 21 November 2012, Vitali Nevski and Artyom Novichonok monitored areas ofGemini andCancer after their observations were delayed by clouded weather for much of the night. The team used ISON's 0.4-meter (16 in)reflector nearKislovodsk, Russia, andCCD imaging to carry out their observations. Shortly after their session, Nevski processed data using CoLiTec, an automated asteroid discoverysoftware program. In analysis he noted an unusually bright object with slow apparent movement, indicating a position outside the orbit ofJupiter based on the use of four 100-second CCD exposures.[26][27] At the time of discovery, the object'sapparent magnitude ranged from 19.1 to as bright as 18.8.[a][28]
The group reported their discovery to theCentral Bureau for Astronomical Telegrams as an asteroidal object, which was subsequently forwarded to theMinor Planet Center. However, the group later reported that the object had a cometary appearance with acoma approximately 8 arcseconds across.[27] The object's position and cometary appearance was confirmed by several other unaffiliated observers, and as such the comet was namedISON, after the international observational project and in accordance withInternational Astronomical Union naming guidelines.[26][27] Comet ISON wasprecovered in analysis ofMount Lemmon Observatory imagery byGareth V. Williams andPan-STARRS imagery inHaleakalā. Precovery images from Mount Lemmon were first taken on 28 December 2011 and indicated that the comet had an estimated apparent magnitude ranging from 19.5 to 19.9. Images from Pan-STARRS were taken on 28 January 2012 and in those images the comet had an estimated apparent magnitude ranging from 19.8 to 20.6.[26]
Comet ISON came toperihelion (closest approach to the Sun) on 28 November 2013 at a distance of 0.0124 AU (1,860,000 km; 1,150,000 mi) from the center point of the Sun.[3] Accounting for thesolar radius of 695,500 km (432,200 mi), Comet ISON passed approximately 1,165,000 km (724,000 mi) above the Sun's surface.[29] Its trajectory appeared to behyperbolic, which suggested that it was a dynamically new comet that took millions of years coming freshly from theOort cloud[30][31] or even a candidate interstellar comet.[32][b] Near perihelion, generic heliocentrictwo-body solutions to theorbital eccentricity suggested that the comet could be either bound or unbound to the Sun.[33] But for objects at such high eccentricity, the Solar System'sbarycenter is more stable than a heliocentric solution.[34] The orbit of a long-period comet is properly obtained when theosculating orbit is computed at anepoch after leaving the planetary region and is calculated with respect to thecenter of mass of the Solar System.JPL Horizons barycentric orbital elements for epoch 1950 and 2050 both generate a hyperbolic solution with no orbital period.[2] Using an epoch of 1950, the inbound weakly hyperbolic eccentricity of 1.000000086 suggests ISON is of solar origin.[2] On its closest approach, Comet ISON passed about 0.07248 AU (10.843 million km; 6.737 million mi) from Mars on 1 October 2013, and the remnants of Comet ISON passed about 0.43 AU (64 million km; 40 million mi) from Earth on 26 December 2013.[35]
Shortly after its discovery, similarities between theorbital elements of Comet ISON and theGreat Comet of 1680 led to speculation that there might be a connection between them.[36] Further observations of ISON, however, showed that the two comets are not related.[37]
When Earth passed near the orbit of Comet ISON on 14–15 January 2014, it was predicted that micron-sized dust particles blown by the Sun's radiation might cause ameteor shower ornoctilucent clouds;[38][39] however, both events were considered unlikely. Because Earth only passed near Comet ISON's orbit, not through the tail, the chances that a meteor shower would occur were slim.[40] In addition, meteor showers from long-period comets that make just one pass into the inner solar system are very rare, if ever recorded.[41] The possibility that small particles left behind on the orbital path—almost one hundred days after the nucleus has passed—could form noctilucent clouds is also slim. No such events are known to have taken place in the past under similar circumstances.[41]
Position of comet remnants on 11 December 2013
Visualization of the orbit of comet ISON as it moved into the inner Solar System in 2013
At the time of its discovery, Comet ISON's brightness was approximatelyapparent magnitude 18.8, far too dim to be seen with thenaked eye, but bright enough to be imaged by amateurs with large telescopes.[43][44] It then followed the pattern of most comets and increased gradually in brightness on approach to the Sun.
At least a dozen spacecraft imaged Comet ISON.[23] It was first imaged by the Swift andDeep Impact spacecraft in January and February 2013, and shown to be active with an extended tail. In April and May 2013 theHubble Space Telescope (HST) measured Comet ISON's size, and the color, extent, and polarization of its emitted dust. TheSpitzer Space Telescope (SST) observed Comet ISON on 13 June and estimatedcarbon dioxide outgassing at about 1 million kilograms (2.2 million pounds) per day.[45] From 5 June to 29 August 2013, Comet ISON had anelongation less than 30° from the Sun.[46] No obvious rotational variability was detected by either Deep Impact, HST, or Spitzer.Amateur astronomer Bruce Gary recovered it on 12 August 2013 when it was 6° above thehorizon and 19° from the Sun.[47] Due to it brightening more slowly than predicted, Comet ISON only became visible through small telescopes during early October 2013.[48]
On 28 September 2013, NASA launchedBRRISON, a stratospheric science balloon carrying a 0.8 m (31 in) telescope and science instruments designed to capture images and data on Comet ISON from an altitude of37 km (23 mi). However, about two and a half hours after launch, the telescope returned to its stowed position too quickly, driving it past a stow latch. Operators were unable to redeploy the telescope, resulting in mission failure.[49]
The path of Comet ISON from December 2012 through October 2013 as it passed throughGemini,Cancer, andLeo
On 1 October 2013, Comet ISON passed within 0.07 AU (10 million km; 6.5 million mi) of Mars. Between 29 September and 2 October, theMars Reconnaissance Orbiter (MRO) detected Comet ISON.[50] The twinSTEREO spacecraft began detecting Comet ISON in the second week of October.[51] October 2013 images of Comet ISON displayed a greenish tint, probably attributable to the release ofcyanogen anddiatomic carbon.[52] On 31 October 2013, Comet ISON was detected with 10×50 mmbinoculars.[53]
On 14 November 2013, Comet ISON was reported to be visible to the naked eye by experienced observers located at dark sites.[54] It had an appearance similar to cometC/2013 R1 that was also visible to the naked eye. Comet ISON was not expected to reach the naked-eye magnitude 6 until mid-November,[46][55] and was not expected to be observable by the general public until it brightened to about magnitude 4.[48] On 17–18 November, when Comet ISON was brighter and much closer to the morningtwilight, it passed the bright starSpica in the constellationVirgo.[56] But due to thefull Moon and glow of twilight, Comet ISON had not become bright enough to be seen without optical aid by the general public. On 22 November, it started to drop below Mercury in the bright twilight.[57]
Around the time it reachedperihelion on 28 November 2013, it might have become extremely bright if it had remained fully intact. However, predicting the brightness of a comet is difficult, especially one that passes so close to the Sun and is affected by theforward scattering of light. Originally, media sources predicted that it might become brighter than the full Moon,[30][31] but based on more recent observations, it was only expected to reach aroundapparent magnitude −3 to −5, about the same brightness asVenus.[55][61] In comparison, the brightest comet since 1935 wasComet Ikeya–Seki in 1965 atmagnitude −10, which was much brighter than Venus.[62]
On 29 November 2013, Comet ISON had dimmed to magnitude 5 in the LASCO images.[18] By the end of 30 November 2013, it had further faded below naked-eye visibility at magnitude 7.[19]
In a February 2013 study, 1,897 observations were used to create alight curve. The resulting plot showed Comet ISON increasing its brightness relatively quickly at R+4.35.[Unit?][63] If this had continued to perihelion, it would have reached magnitude −17 – brighter than the full Moon. It had since exhibited a "slowdown event", however, similar to behavior exhibited by otherOort cloud comets, among themC/2011 L4. Therefore, Comet ISON's brightness increased less quickly than expected and it did not become as bright as some early predictions.
Further observations suggested that, even if it had remained intact, it might only brighten to about magnitude −6.[61] The temperature at perihelion had been calculated to reach 2,700 °C (4,890 °F) – sufficient to melt iron. Additionally, it passed within itsRoche limit, meaning it might disintegrate due to the Sun's gravity.
Comet ISON had been expected to be brightest around the time it was closest to the Sun, if it could have been seen; but because it was less than 1° from the Sun at its closest, it would have been difficult to see against the Sun's glare.[64] If it had survived its perihelion passage intact, Comet ISON should have been well-placed for observers in the northern hemisphere during mid to late December 2013.[65] It might even have remained visible to the naked eye until January 2014.[30][44] As Comet ISON moved north on the celestial sphere it would have passed within 2° ofPolaris on 8 January.[44]
On 22 May 2014, theEurasian Astronomical Society andSternberg Astronomical Institute published preliminary results of observations of the observed meteor shower of Comet ISON from January 2014. Scientists from Ukraine and Belarus were assisted by meteor observation groups around the world. The results confirmed that particles of Comet ISON, which likelysublimated at perihelion, entered Earth's atmosphere as meteor particles. 43 meteor events were recorded after analyzing 54,000 images from 10–17 January 2014.[66]
Comet ISON'sformal designation was C/2012 S1.[c][69] It was named "ISON" after the organization where its discovery was made, the Russia-basedInternational Scientific Optical Network. The initial report of the object to the Central Bureau for Astronomical Telegrams identified the object as an asteroid, and it was listed on theNear-Earth Object Confirmation Page. Follow-up observations by independent teams were the first to report cometary features. Therefore, under the International Astronomical Union's comet-naming guidelines, Comet ISON was named after the team that discovered it, rather than the individual discoverers.[70]
After it was discovered in 2012, some media sources called Comet ISON the "Comet of the Century" and speculated that it might outshine the full Moon.[71] AnAstronomy Now columnist wrote in September 2012 that "if predictions hold true then Comet ISON will certainly be one of the greatest comets in human history."[30]
Astronomer Karl Battams criticized the media's suggestion that Comet ISON would be "brighter than the full Moon", saying that members of the Comet ISON Observing Campaign did not foresee ISON becoming that bright.[72]
Comet ISON has been compared toComet Kohoutek, seen in 1973–1974, another highly anticipated Oort Cloud comet that peaked early and fizzled out.[73][74]
^abAstronomical magnitudes decrease as brightness increases, from large positive values, through zero, to negative values for very bright objects.
^C/2012 S1 (ISON) had an epoch 1600 barycentric semi-major axis of−145127 and would have an inbound v_infinite of 0.2 km/s at 50000 au: v=42.1219√1/(distance of 50000) − 0.5/(semi-major axis of −145127)
^The "C" indicates that it was non-periodic, followed by the year of discovery. The "S" represents the half-month of discovery – in the case of C/2012 S1, the second half of September – and the number "1" shows that this was the first comet found in that half-month.
^abc"Comet C/2012 S1 (ISON)".Cometary Science Archive. Central Bureau for Astronomical Telegrams, International Astronomical Union. Retrieved12 December 2013.
^"Comet C/2012 S1 (ISON)". Central Bureau for Astronomical Telegrams.Central Bureau Electronic Telegrams. International Astronomical Union. 24 September 2012. Electronic Telegram No. 3258.