World map of communist and socialist countries in 1985
The beginning of this period is marked by the ascent ofMikhail Gorbachev to the position ofGeneral Secretary of the Communist Party of the Soviet Union. Seeking to bring an end to the economic stagnation associated with theBrezhnev Era, Gorbachev initiated economic reforms (perestroika), and political liberalization (glasnost). While the exact end date of the Cold War is debated among historians, it is generally agreed upon that the implementation of nuclear and conventional arms control agreements, thewithdrawal of Soviet military forces from Afghanistan and Eastern Europe, and the collapse of the Soviet Union marked the end of the Cold War.
After the deaths of three successive elderly Soviet leaders since 1982, the SovietPolitburo elected GorbachevCommunist Party General Secretary in March 1985, marking the rise of a new generation of leadership. Under Gorbachev, relatively young reform-orientedtechnocrats, who had begun their careers in the heyday of "de-Stalinization" under reformist leaderNikita Khrushchev, rapidly consolidated power, providing new momentum for political andeconomic liberalization, and the impetus for cultivating warmer relations and trade with the West.
Reagan and Gorbachev during their first summit meeting in Geneva, 1985
On the Western front, President Reagan's administration had taken a hard line against the Soviet Union. Under theReagan Doctrine, the Reagan administration began providing military support toanti-communist armed movements inAfghanistan,Angola,Nicaragua and elsewhere.
A major breakthrough came in 1985–87, with the successful negotiation of theIntermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty (INF). The INF Treaty of December 1987, signed by Reagan and Gorbachev, eliminated all nuclear and conventional missiles, as well as their launchers, with ranges of 500–1,000 kilometres (310–620 mi) (short-range) and 1,000–5,500 kilometres (620–3,420 mi) (intermediate-range). The treaty did not cover sea-launched missiles. By May 1991, after on-site investigations by both sides, 2,700 missiles had been destroyed.[1][2]
The Reagan administration also persuaded theSaudi Arabian oil companies to increase oil production.[3] This led to athree-times drop in the prices of oil, and oil was the main source of Soviet export revenues.[3] Following the USSR's previous large military buildup, President Reagan ordered an enormous peacetime defense buildup of theUnited States Armed Forces; the Soviets did not respond to this by building up their military because the military expenses, in combination withcollectivized agriculture in the nation, and inefficientplanned manufacturing, would cause a heavy burden for theSoviet economy. It was already stagnant and in a poor state prior to the tenure of Mikhail Gorbachev who, despite significant attempts at reform, was unable to revitalise the economy.[4] In 1985, Reagan and Gorbachev held their first of four "summit" meetings, this one inGeneva,Switzerland. After discussing policy, facts, etc., Reagan invited Gorbachev to go with him to a small house near the beach. The two leaders spoke in that house well over their time limit, but came out with the news that they had planned two more (soon three more) summits.
The second summit took place the following year, in 1986 on October 11, inReykjavík,Iceland. Themeeting was held to pursue discussions about scaling back theirintermediate-range ballistic missile arsenals inEurope. The talks came close to achieving an overall breakthrough onnuclear arms control, but ended in failure due to Reagan's proposedStrategic Defense Initiative and Gorbachev's proposed cancellation of it. Nonetheless, cooperation continued to increase and, where it failed, Gorbachev reduced some strategic arms unilaterally.
Fundamental to the dissolution of the Soviet Union, the Gorbachev policy initiatives of Restructuring (Perestroika) and Openness (Glasnost) had ripple effects throughout the Soviet world, including eventually making it impossible to reassert central control overWarsaw Pact member states without resorting to military force.
General Secretary Gorbachev, if you seek peace, if you seek prosperity for the Soviet Union, Central and South-East Europe, if you seek liberalization, come here to this gate; Mr. Gorbachev, open this gate. Mr. Gorbachev, tear down this wall![5]
While the aging communist European leaders kept their states in the grip of "normalization", Gorbachev's reformist policies in the Soviet Union exposed how a once revolutionaryCommunist Party of the Soviet Union had become moribund at the very center of the system. Facing declining revenues due to declining oil prices and rising expenditures related to the arms race and the command economy, the Soviet Union was forced during the 1980s to take on significant amounts of debt from the Western banking sector.[6] The growing public disapproval of theSoviet–Afghan War, and the socio-political effects of theChernobyl accident inUkraine increased public support for these policies. By the spring of 1989, the USSR had not only experienced lively media debate, but had also held itsfirst multi-candidate elections. For the first time in recent history, the force of liberalization was spreading from West to East.
ThePan-European Picnic took place in August 1989 on the Hungarian-Austrian border.
Grassroots organizations, such asPoland'sSolidarity movement, rapidly gained ground with strong popular bases. In February 1989 thePolish People's Republic opened talks with opposition, known as thePolish Round Table Agreement, which allowed elections with participation of anti-Communist parties in June 1989.
The initially inconspicuous opening of a border gate of theIron Curtain betweenAustria andHungary in August 1989 then triggered a chain reaction, at the end of which theGerman Democratic Republic no longer existed and the Eastern Bloc had disintegrated. The idea for thePan-European Picnic came fromOtto von Habsburg and was intended as a test of whether the Soviet Union would react when the iron curtain was opened. The Pan-European Union Austria then advertised with leaflets in Hungary to makeEast Germans aware of the possibility of escape. The result of the greatest mass exodus since the building of theBerlin Wall and the non-reaction of the Eastern bloc states showed the oppressed population that their governments had lost absolute power. Subsequently, large numbers ofEast German refugees attempted to flee through Hungary and the weak reactions showed that the communist leaders lost even more power.[7][8][9][10]
Also in 1989 the Communist government inHungary started to negotiate organizing of competitive elections which took place in 1990. InCzechoslovakia andEast Germany, mass protests unseated entrenched Communist leaders. The Communist regimes inBulgaria andRomania also crumbled, in the latter case as the result of aviolent uprising. Attitudes had changed enough thatUS Secretary of StateJames Baker suggested that the American government would not be opposed to Soviet intervention in Romania, on behalf of the opposition, to prevent bloodshed.[11] The tidal wave of change culminated with thefall of the Berlin Wall in November 1989, which symbolized the collapse of European Communist governments and graphically ended theIron Curtain divide of Europe.
The collapse of the Eastern European governments with Gorbachev's tacit consent inadvertently encouraged severalSoviet republics to seek greater independence from Moscow's rule. Agitation for independence in theBaltic states led to firstLithuania, and thenEstonia andLatvia, declaring their independence. Disaffection in the other republics was met by promises of greater decentralization. More open elections led to the election of candidates opposed toCommunist Party rule.
In an attempt to halt the rapid changes to the system, a group of Soviet hard-liners represented by Vice-presidentGennady Yanayev launched acoup overthrowing Gorbachev in August 1991. Russian PresidentBoris Yeltsin rallied the people and much of the army against the coup and the effort collapsed. Although restored to power, Gorbachev's authority had been irreparably undermined. In September, the Baltic states were granted independence. On December 1,Ukraine withdrew from the USSR. On December 26, 1991, the USSR officially dissolved, breaking up into fifteen separate nations.
After the end of theRevolutions of 1989, Gorbachev andPresident Bush Sr.met on the neutral island ofMalta to discuss the events of the year, the withdrawal of the Soviet military from Eastern Europe, and the future course oftheir relationship. After their discussions, the two leaders publicly announced they would work together for German reunification, the normalization of relations, the resolution ofThird World conflicts, and the promotion of peace and democracy (referred to by President Bush as a "New World Order").[12]
Between the Malta Summit and theDissolution of the Soviet Union negotiations on several arms control agreements began, resulting in agreements such asSTART I and theChemical Weapons Convention. Additionally, the United States, still believing the Soviet Union would continue to exist in the long term, began to take steps to create a positive long-term relationship.[13]
Several conflicts in third world nations (i.e.Cambodia,Angola,Nicaragua) related to the Cold War would come to an end during this era of cooperation, with both the Soviet Union and the United States working together to pressure their respectiveproxies to make peace with one another. Overall, this détente which accompanied the final twilight of the Cold War would help bring about a relatively more peaceful world.[15]
The United States had established a complex global presence by the 1990s and policymakers felt that some structure to explain the "threats, interests and priories" that guide foreign policy was needed, but there was no agreement on how to proceed.Anthony Lake has said that attempts at doctrine making during this period risked introducing "neo-know-nothing" isolationism or what he termed "irrational" ideas. The goal then of Bush Sr. and Clinton during their terms in office was to develop foreign policy objectives that would support consensus rather than accelerate fragmentation inside America's sphere of influence.[18]
Scholars have pointed to materialist and ideational reasons for the end of the Cold War. Materialists emphasize Soviet economic difficulties (such as economic stagnation and sovereign debt),[19] whereas ideationalists argue that the worldviews and personas of Gorbachev and Reagan mattered. Ideationalists point to a Gorbachev and Reagan's mutual desire to abolish nuclear weapons,[20] as well as Gorbachev's perceptions of the legitimate ends and means of foreign policy.[21]
Countries such as the Czech Republic, Estonia, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, and Slovakia experiencedeconomic reconstruction, growth and fast integration withEU andNATO while some of their eastern neighbors created hybrids of free market oligarchy system, post-communist corrupted administration and dictatorship.
Russia and some otherSoviet successor states faced a chaotic and harsh transition from a command economy tofree market capitalism following thedissolution of the Soviet Union. A large percentage of the population lived in poverty,GDP growth declined, and life expectancy dropped sharply. Living conditions also declined in some other parts of the formerEastern bloc.
The post–Cold War era saw a period of unprecedented prosperity in the West, especially in the United States, and a wave of democratization throughout Latin America, Africa, and Central, South-East and Eastern Europe.
SociologistImmanuel Wallerstein expresses a less triumphalist view, arguing that the end of the Cold War is a prelude to the breakdown ofPax Americana. In his essay "Pax Americana is Over", Wallerstein argues, "The collapse of communism in effect signified the collapse of liberalism, removing the only ideological justification behind US hegemony, a justification tacitly supported by liberalism's ostensibleideological opponent".[22]
Space exploration has petered out in both the United States and Russia without the competitive pressure of thespace race.Military decorations have become more common, as they were created, and bestowed, by the major powers during the near 50 years of undeclared hostilities.
June 4, 1989 –Solidarity's decisive victory in the first partially free parliamentary elections in post-warPoland sparks off a succession of anti-communistRevolutions of 1989 across Central, later South-East and Eastern Europe.
August 19, 1989 – The opening of the border gate between Austria and Hungary at thePan-European Picnic set in motion a chain reaction, at the end of which there was no longer aGDR and theEastern Bloc had disintegrated.
December 2–3, 1989 –Malta Summit between Bush and Gorbachev, who said, "I assured the President of the United States that I will never start a hot war against the USA".
December 10, 1989 –Czechoslovak PresidentGustáv Husák's resignation amounted to the fall of the Communist regime in Czechoslovakia, leaving Ceaușescu's Romania as the only remaining hard-line Communist regime in the Warsaw Pact.[26][27][28]
December 23, 1990 – Slovenia holds anindependence referendum resulting in a majority of Slovenians voting in favour of Slovenia seeking independence from Yugoslavia.
March 3, 1991 –Estonia andLatvia hold an independence referendum with a majority voting to restore independence.
March 31, 1991 – Georgia holds anindependence referendum resulting in a majority of Georgians voting in favour of Georgia becoming independent from the Soviet Union.
May 19, 1991 – Croatia holds anindependence referendum resulting in a majority of Croatians voting in favour of Croatia seeking independence from Yugoslavia.
September 6, 1991 – The Soviet Union recognizes the independence of theBaltic States.
September 8, 1991 – The Republic of Macedonia holds anindependence referendum resulting in a majority of Macedonians voting in favour of Macedonia seeking independence from Yugoslavia.
September 21, 1991 – Armenia holds anindependence referendum resulting in a majority of Armenians voting in favour of Armenia becoming independent from the Soviet Union.
October 26, 1991 – Turkmenistan holds anindependence referendum resulting in a majority of voting in favour of Turkmenistan becoming independent of the Soviet Union.
^Gaidar, Yegor (2007-10-17).Collapse of an Empire: Lessons for Modern Russia (in Russian). Brookings Institution Press. pp. 190–210.ISBN978-5-8243-0759-7.
^Leebaert, Derek (2002).The Fifty-Year Wound. New York, USA: Little, Brown and Company. p. 595.
^Michael Frank: Paneuropäisches Picknick – Mit dem Picknickkorb in die Freiheit (German: Pan-European picnic - With the picnic basket to freedom), in: Süddeutsche Zeitung 17 May 2010.
^Thomas Roser: DDR-Massenflucht: Ein Picknick hebt die Welt aus den Angeln (German - Mass exodus of the GDR: A picnic clears the world) in: Die Presse 16 August 2018.
^„Der 19. August 1989 war ein Test für Gorbatschows“ (German - August 19, 1989 was a test for Gorbachev), in: FAZ 19 August 2009.
^Miklós Németh in Interview, Austrian TV - ORF "Report", 25 June 2019
^Garthof, Raymond L. "The Great Transition: American-Soviet Relations and the End of the Cold War" (Washington: Brookings Institution, 1994).
^Bartel, Fritz (2021), Bartel, Fritz; Monteiro, Nuno P. (eds.), "Overcoming Stagnation",Before and After the Fall: World Politics and the End of the Cold War, Cambridge University Press, pp. 27–44,doi:10.1017/9781108910194.003,ISBN978-1-108-90677-7,S2CID244846930
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