Indian polling agency
Centre for Voting Opinions and Trends in Election Research , orCVoter , is an Indian international polling agency headquartered inDelhi , India.[ 1]
Yashwant Deshmukh is the director and founding editor of CVoter.[ 1] [ 2]
CVoter India states that it has covered 15 union budgets, more than 100 state elections and more than 30 international events. Since 2000 it has worked with Times Now, ANN7,[ 3] United Press International ,[ 4] Reuters ,Bloomberg News ,BBC News ,Aaj Tak ABP News ,Zee News ,Zee Business , the Development and Educational Communication Unit of theIndian Space Research Organisation ,India TV ,Lok Sabha TV , UTVi business news channel (owned byUTV Software Communications ),Sahara Samay (owned bySahara India Pariwar ), Jain TV,Asianet ,ETV , CNEB and other news and information providers.[ 5] [ 6] [ 7] [ 8] [ 9] [ 10] [ 11] [ 12]
2022 State Elections [ edit ] Opinion polls Date Published Polling agency Lead Remarks NDA UPA AAP AITC+ Others 7 February 2022 ABP News C-voter[ 13] 14-18 10-14 4-8 3-7 0-2 0-8 Hung 10 January 2022 ABP News C-voter[ 14] 19-23 4-8 5-9 2-6 0-4 10-18 Hung 11 December 2021 ABP News C-Voter[ 15] 17-21 4-8 5-9 6-10 7-15 Hung 12 November 2021 ABP News C-voter[ 16] 19-23 2-6 3-7 8-12 7-15 Hung 8 October 2021 ABP News C-voter[ 17] 24-28 1-5 3-7 4-8 16-24 BJP majority 3 Sept 2021 ABP News C-voter[ 18] 22-26 3-7 4-8 3-7 14-22 BJP majority 10 March 2022 Election results 20 12 2 2 4 8 Hung
Exit polls Polling agency Lead Remarks NDA UPA AAP AITC+ Others ABP-CVoter[ 19] 13-17 12-16 1-5 5-9 0-2 0-1 Hung Election results 20 12 2 2 4 8 Hung
Opinion polls Date Published Polling agency Lead Remarks INC BJP NPF Others 10 January 2022 ABP News C-Voter[ 20] 22-26 23-27 2-6 5-9 0-5 Hung 11 December 2021 ABP News C-Voter[ 21] 23-27 29-33 2-6 0-2 2-10 Hung 12 November 2021 ABP News C-Voter[ 22] 20-24 25-29 4-8 3-7 1-9 Hung 8 October 2021 ABP News C-Voter[ 23] 21-25 26-30 4-8 1-5 1-9 Hung 3 September 2021 ABP News C-Voter[ 24] 18-22 32-36 2-6 0-4 10-18 BJP majority 10 March 2022 Election results 5 32 5 18 14 NDA majority
Exit polls Polling agency Lead Remarks BJP INC NPP NPF Others ABP News-CVoter[ 25] 23-27 12-16 10-14 3-7 2-6 7-15 Hung Election results 32 5 7 5 11 21 NDA majority
Opinion Polls Date published Polling agency Lead Remarks UPA AAP SAD+ NDA Others 7 February 2022 ABP News - C-Voter[ 26] 24-30 55-63 20-26 3-11 0-2 25-39 Hung 10 January 2022 ABP News - C-Voter[ 27] 37-43 52-58 17-23 1-3 0-1 9-21 Hung 11 December 2021 ABP News - C-Voter[ 28] 39-45 50-56 17-23 0-3 0-1 5-16 Hung 12 November 2021 ABP News - C-Voter[ 29] 42-50 47-53 16-24 0-1 0-1 0-11 Hung 8 October 2021 ABP News - C-Voter[ 30] 39-47 49-55 17-25 0-1 0-1 2-16 Hung 4 September 2021 ABP News - C-Voter[ 31] 38-46 51-57 16-24 0-1 0-1 5-19 Hung 19 March 2021 ABP News - C-Voter[ 32] 43-49 51-57 12-18 0-3 0-5 2-14 Hung 10 March 2022 Election results 18 92 4 2 1 74 AAP Majority
Exit polls Polling agency Lead Remarks UPA AAP SAD+ NDA Others ABP News - C Voter[ 33] 22-28 51-61 20-26 7-13 1-5 23-39 Hung Election results 18 92 4 2 1 74 AAP Majority
Opinion polls Polling agency NDA Lead Remarks Date Published SP+ BSP UPA Others 18 March 2021 ABP-CVoter[ 34] [ 35] 284-294 54-64 33-43 1-7 10-16 220-240 NDA majority 3 September 2021 ABP-CVoter[ 36] 259-267 109-117 12-16 3-7 6-10 142-158 NDA majority 8 October 2021 ABP-CVoter[ 37] 241-249 130-138 15-19 3-7 0-4 103-119 NDA majority 13 November 2021 ABP-CVoter[ 38] 213-221 152-160 16-20 6-10 NA 53-69 NDA majority 11 December 2021 ABP-CVoter[ 39] 212-224 151-163 12-24 2-10 2-6 49-73 NDA majority 10 January 2022 ABP-CVoter[ 40] 223-235 145-157 8-16 3-7 4-8 66-90 NDA majority 10 March 2022 Election results 273 125 1 2 2 178 NDA majority
Exit polls NDA Lead Remarks SP+ BSP UPA Others ABP News - CVoter[ 41] 228-244 132-148 13-21 4-8 NA 80-112 NDA majority Election results 273 125 1 2 2 178 NDA majority
Opinion polls Date Polling agency Lead Remarks NDA UPA AAP Others 7 February 2022 ABP News - C-Voter[ 42] 31-37 30-36 2-4 0-1 0-7 Hung 10 January 2022 ABP News - C-Voter[ 43] [ 44] 31-37 30-36 2-4 0-1 0-7 Hung 11 December 2021 ABP News - C-Voter[ 45] 33-39 29-35 1-3 0-1 0-10 Hung 12 November 2021 ABP News - C-Voter[ 46] 36-40 30-34 0-2 0-1 2-10 BJP majority 8 October 2021 ABP News - C-Voter[ 47] 42-46 21-25 0-4 0-2 17-25 BJP majority 3 September 2021 ABP News - C-Voter[ 48] 44-48 19-23 0-4 0-2 21-29 BJP majority 18 March 2021 ABP News - C-Voter[ 49] 24-30 32-38 2-8 0-9 2-14 Hung 10 March Election results 47 19 0 4 28 NDA majority
Exit polls [ edit ] Poll type Date published Polling agency Lead Ref. NDA Mahajot Others Exit poll 29 April 2021 ABP News- CVoter 58-71 53-66 0-5 Hung [ 51] Times Now-CVoter 65 59 2 6 [ 52] Opinion poll 24 March 2021 Times Now-CVoter 65-73 52-60 0-4 5-21 [ 53] ABP News- CVoter 65-73 52-60 0-4 5-21 [ 54] 15 March 2021 ABP News- CVoter 64-72 52-60 0-2 4-20 [ 55] 8 March 2021 Times Now-CVoter 67 57 2 10 [ 56] 27 February 2021 ABP News- CVoter 68-76 47-55 0-3 13-29 [ 57] 18 January 2021 ABP News- CVoter 73-81 41-49 0-4 24-40 [ 58]
Election outcome projections as surveyed by various agencies prior to the election day Type of Poll Date published Polling agency Lead DMK+ AIADMK+ AMMK+ MNM+ NTK Others[ a] Opinion Poll 24 Mar 21 Times Now - CVoter[ 68] 177 49 3 3 – 2 128 15 Mar 21 ABP News - CVoter[ 69] 161 - 169 53 - 61 1 - 5 2 - 6 – 3 - 7 100 - 116 8 Mar 21 Times Now - CVoter[ 70] 158 65 – – – – 88- 104 27 Feb 21 ABP News - CVoter[ 71] 154 - 162 58 - 66 1 - 5 2 - 6 – 5 - 9 88- 104 18 Jan 21 ABP News - CVoter[ 72] 158 - 166 60 - 68 2 - 6 0 - 4 – 0 - 4 90 - 106 Exit polls 29 Apr 21 ABP /Times Now - CVoter[ 73] [ 74] 160 - 172 58 - 70 0 - 4 0 - 2 0 - 3 90 - 114
Type of poll Date published Polling agency Lead AITC+ BJP+ SM Others Opinion Poll 24 March 2021 Times Now C-Voter[ 75] 152-168 104-120 18-26 0-2 32-64 15 March 2021 ABP News - C Voter[ 76] [ 77] [ 78] 150-166 98-114 23-31 3-5 36-52 8 March 2021 Times Now - C Voter[ 79] 146-162 99-112 29-37 0 31-63 27 February 2021 ABP News - C Voter[ 80] [ 81] 148-164 92-108 31-39 1-5 40-72 18 January 2021 ABP News - CVoter[ 82] 158 102 30 4 56 Exit poll 29 April 2021 ABP News - C-Voter[ 83] [ 84] 152-164 109-121 14-25 - 31-55
Election Results Election Results Date published Election Results Lead AITC+ BJP+ SM Others Election Results 2 May 2021 Election Results 215 77 1 1 138
[ edit ] ABP News-CVoter gauges the nation's sentiments with ‘Desh ka Mood’ Survey[ 85]
58% of people favor NDA government, 28% favor UPA: ABP News’ Desh Ka Mood survey[ 86]
Naveen country's best CM[ 87]
2020 Trust on Media Institutions [ edit ] CVoter carried out a survey Trust on Indian media institutions[ 88] [ 89] [ 90] [ 91] [ 92]
Indian readers place higher credibility to newspapers, survey finds[ 93]
2020 Bihar elections [ edit ] Bihar Assembly polls: It had projected 104-128 seats for the NDA and 108-131 seats for the opposition grand alliance.NDA secured a total of 125 seats (37.26% votes) whileMGB won 110 seats (37.23% votes).[ 94] [ 95] [ 96] [ 97] [ 98]
Polling type Date Polling Agency Majority Ref NDA MGB LJP Others Opinion poll 24 October 2020 ABP-CVoter 135-159 77-98 5-13 13-37 [ 99] 12 October 2020 Times Now-CVoter 160 76 7 39 [ 100] 25 September 2020 ABP-CVoter 141-161 64-84 13-23 20–40 [ 101] Exit poll Times Now-CVoter 116 120 1 6 HUNG [ 102] ABP News-CVoter 104-128 108-131 1-3 4-8 HUNG Election Results 10 November 2020 125 110 1 7 NDA
[ edit ] May 2016 saw elections in Bengal, Assam, Tamil Nadu and Kerala. CVoter was the only one of five polling agencies to predict the Tamil Nadu outcome correctly.[ 103]
2016 United States elections [ edit ] The UPI/CVoter poll wrongly predicted aHillary Clinton victory in the2016 United States presidential election .[ 104] Donald Trump won the election.
Poll source Date Hillary ClintonDemocratic Donald TrumpRepublican Leading Sample Margin UPI/CVoter[ 105] 1 – 7 November 2016 48.7% 46.2% 2.5 1,728 ± 3.0% UPI/CVoter[ 106] 30 October – 5 November 2016 49% 46% 3 1,572 ± 3.0% UPI/CVoter[ 107] 29 October – 4 November 2016 49% 48% 1 1,497 ± 3.0% UPI/CVoter[ 108] 28 October – 3 November 2016 49% 48% 1 1,395 ± 3.0% UPI/CVoter[ 109] 27 October – 2 November 2016 49% 48% 1 1,329 ± 3.0% UPI/CVoter[ 110] 26 October – 1 November 2016 49% 48% 1 1,383 ±3.0% UPI/CVoter[ 111] 24–30 October 2016 49% 48% 1 1,299 ±3.0% UPI/CVoter[ 112] 23–29 October 2016 48% 48% Tied 1,317 ± 3.0% UPI/CVoter[ 113] 20–26 October 2016 49% 47% 2 1,363 ± 3.0% UPI/CVoter[ 114] 19–25 October 2016 49% 47% 2 1,349 ± 3.0% UPI/CVoter[ 115] 17–23 October 2016 49% 46% 3 1,414 ± 3.0% UPI/CVoter[ 116] 11–17 October 2016 51% 46% 5 1,326 ± 3.0% UPI/CVoter[ 117] 10–16 October 2016 50% 46% 4 1,325 ± 3.0% UPI/CVoter[ 118] 7–13 October 2016 50% 45% 5 1,482 ± 3.0% UPI/CVoter[ 119] 4–10 October 2016 50% 44% 6 1,367 ± 3.0% UPI/CVoter[ 120] 3–9 October 2016 49% 44% 5 1,801 ± 3.0% UPI/CVoter[ 121] 30 September – 6 October 2016 48% 47% 1 1,774 ± 3.0% UPI/CVoter[ 122] 28 September – 4 October 2016 47% 48% 1 1,274 ± 3.0% UPI/CVoter[ 123] 26 September – 2 October 2016 47% 49% 2 1,285 ± 3.0% UPI/CVoter[ 124] 23–29 September 2016 47% 49% 2 1,236 ± 3.0% UPI/CVoter[ 125] 21–27 September 2016 48% 48% Tied 1,239 ± 3.0% UPI/CVoter[ 126] 19–25 September 2016 48% 47% 1 1,052 ± 3.0% UPI/CVoter[ 127] 12–18 September 2016 48% 47% 1 1,203 ± 3.0% UPI/CVoter[ 128] 10–16 September 2016 47% 47% Tied 1,246 ± 3.0% UPI/CVoter[ 129] 9–15 September 2016 47% 48% 1 1,229 ± 3.0% UPI/CVoter[ 130] 8–14 September 2016 47% 48% 1 1,265 ± 3.0% UPI/CVoter[ 131] 7–13 September 2016 47% 48% 1 1,245 ± 3.0% UPI/CVoter[ 132] 6–12 September 2016 46% 49% 3 1,232 ± 3.0% UPI/CVoter[ 133] 5–11 September 2016 46% 49% 3 1,260 ± 3.0% UPI/CVoter[ 134] 2–8 September 2016 46% 48% 2 1,256 ± 3.0% UPI/CVoter[ 135] 1–7 September 2016 47% 48% 1 1,226 ± 3.0% UPI/CVoter[ 136] 31 August – 6 September 2016 47% 47% Tied 1,262 ± 3.0% UPI/CVoter[ 137] 30 August – 5 September 2016 48% 46% 2 1,220 ± 3.0% UPI/CVoter[ 138] 29 August – 4 September 2016 49% 47% 2 1,237 ± 3.0% UPI/CVoter[ 139] 28 August – 3 September 2016 49% 46% 3 1,242 ± 3.0% UPI/CVoter[ 140] 24–30 August 2016 49% 46% 3 1,162 ± 3.0% UPI/CVoter[ 141] 23–29 August 2016 50% 47% 3 1,173 ± 3.0% UPI/CVoter[ 142] 22–28 August 2016 50% 47% 3 1,145 ± 3.0% UPI/CVoter[ 143] 21–27 August 2016 50% 47% 3 1,682 ± 3.0% UPI/CVoter[ 144] 18–24 August 2016 48% 49% 1 1,720 ± 3.0% UPI/CVoter[ 145] 17–23 August 2016 48% 48% Tied 1,737 ± 3.0% UPI/CVoter[ 146] 16–22 August 2016 48% 48% Tied 1,752 ± 3.0% UPI/CVoter[ 147] 15–21 August 2016 48% 47% 1 1,795 ± 3.0% UPI/CVoter[ 148] 14–20 August 2016 48% 47% 1 1,191 ± 3.0% UPI/CVoter[ 149] 11–17 August 2016 50% 46% 4 1,009 ± 3.0% UPI/CVoter[ 150] 9–16 August 2016 51% 44% 7 1,069 ± 3.0% UPI/CVoter[ 151] 9–15 August 2016 51% 44% 7 1,035 ± 3.0% UPI/CVoter[ 152] 7–14 August 2016 50% 45% 5 975 ± 3.0% UPI/CVoter[ 153] 7–13 August 2016 49% 46% 3 1,403 ± 3.0% UPI/CVoter[ 154] 3–10 August 2016 49% 45% 4 1,077 ± 3.0% UPI/CVoter[ 155] 3–9 August 2016 48% 46% 2 1,002 ± 3.0% UPI/CVoter[ 156] 2–8 August 2016 49% 45% 4 993 ± 3.0% UPI/CVoter[ 157] 1–7 August 2016 49% 44% 5 1,407 ± 3.0% UPI/CVoter[ 158] 31 July – 6 August 2016 50% 43% 7 1,036 ± 3.0% UPI/CVoter[ 159] 29 July – 4 August 2016 50% 44% 6 1,060 ± 3.0% UPI/CVoter[ 160] 27 July – 2 August 2016 49% 46% 3 989 ± 3.0%
2009 Indian general elections [ edit ] The CVoter exit poll projections for India TV showed the UPA with 189–201 seats. It gives the Congress 149–155, the DMK between 9 and 13, the NCP 12–16 and the Trinamool between 12 and 16. The poll showed the BJP-led Front getting between 183 and 195 seats. It includes the BJP (140–146), the JD (U) 17–21.[ 161] 2009 Indian general election , UPA got 262 (Congress – 206) and NDA 159 (BJP – 116).
2004 Indian general elections [ edit ] The CVoter exit poll projections for Star News predicted NDA getting between 267–279 and Congress+Allies between 169 and 181.[ 162] [ 163] 2004 Indian general election , Congress+Allies (UPA) got 218 (Congress 145) and NDA got 181 (BJP – 138).[citation needed
CVoter allegedly carried out tracking polls for Indian news networks Times Now, India Today & India TV. A television news channel claimed in a sting operation conducted by it that some of the agencies which conduct opinion polls before elections are willing to tweak their findings for money.[ 164] [ 165] [ 166] [ 167]
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Retrieved11 December 2021 .^ "ABP News-CVoter Survey: Goa Could Re-Elect BJP With Majority, Manipur To See Close Battle" .news.abplive.com . 12 November 2021.Archived from the original on 12 November 2021. Retrieved14 November 2021 .^ Bureau, ABP News (8 October 2021)."CVoter Survey: BJP Likely To Win Goa & Manipur For Second Consecutive Term In 2022 Elections" .news.abplive.com . Retrieved10 October 2021 . {{cite web }}:|last= has generic name (help )^ Bureau, ABP News (3 September 2021)."ABP News Cvoter Survey: BJP Likely To Reign For Second Consecutive Term In Goa & Manipur" .news.abplive.com . Retrieved5 September 2021 . {{cite web }}:|last= has generic name (help )^ "Goa Exit Poll Results 2022 Highlights: Khela Hobe in Goa? Mamata's TMC may emerge kingmaker as per Axis MyIndia" . FE Online. Retrieved8 March 2022 .^ news, abp (10 January 2022)."सर्वे: मणिपुर में बीजेपी को फिर मिलेगी सत्ता या कांग्रेस का खत्म होगा वनवास? ये कहते हैं आंकड़े" .www.abplive.com (in Hindi). Retrieved10 January 2022 . {{cite web }}:|last= has generic name (help )^ news, abp (11 December 2021)."बीजेपी-कांग्रेस या एनपीएफ, मणिपुर में किसकी बन सकती है सरकार? जानें" .www.abplive.com (in Hindi). Retrieved8 January 2022 . {{cite web }}:|last= has generic name (help )^ "ABP News-CVoter Survey: Goa Could Re-Elect BJP With Majority, Manipur To See Close Battle" .news.abplive.com . 12 November 2021. Retrieved14 November 2021 .^ Bureau, ABP News (8 October 2021)."CVoter Survey: BJP Likely To Win Goa & Manipur For Second Consecutive Term In 2022 Elections" .news.abplive.com . Retrieved21 October 2021 . {{cite web }}:|last= has generic name (help )^ Bureau, ABP News (3 September 2021)."ABP News Cvoter Survey: BJP Likely To Reign For Second Consecutive Term In Goa & Manipur" .news.abplive.com . Retrieved21 October 2021 . {{cite web }}:|last= has generic name (help )^ Bureau, ABP News (7 March 2022)."ABP News-CVoter Manipur Exit Poll 2022: BJP Is Single Largest, Congress Could Be 10 Seats Down" .news.abplive.com . Retrieved8 March 2022 . {{cite news }}:|last1= has generic name (help )^ Bureau, ABP News (7 February 2022)."ABP News-CVoter Survey: AAP Nears Majority Mark In Punjab, Projected Much Ahead Of Congress" .ABP Live . Retrieved8 February 2022 . {{cite web }}:|last= has generic name (help )^ "Punjab ABP News-CVoter Opinion Poll: AAP Favourite, CM Channi-Led Congress Gets Stronger" .ABP Live . 10 January 2022. Retrieved10 January 2022 .^ "ABP News-CVoter Survey: AAP Most Favourite In Punjab, BJP Could Retain Uttarakhand" .news.abplive.com . 11 December 2021. Retrieved11 December 2021 .^ "ABP-CVoter Survey: AAP To Emerge As Single Largest Party In Punjab, BJP To Bag 0-1 Seat" .news.abplive.com . 12 November 2021. 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