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Black model

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Financial model
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TheBlack model (sometimes known as theBlack-76 model) is a variant of theBlack–Scholes option pricing model. Its primary applications are for pricing options onfuture contracts,bond options,interest rate cap and floors, andswaptions. It was first presented in a paper written byFischer Black in 1976.

Black's model can be generalized into a class of models known as log-normal forward models.

The Black formula

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The Black formula is similar to theBlack–Scholes formula for valuingstock options except that thespot price of the underlying is replaced by a discountedfutures price F.

Suppose there is constantrisk-free interest rater and the futures priceF(t) of a particular underlying is log-normal with constantvolatilityσ. Then the Black formula states the price for aEuropean call option of maturityT on afutures contract with strike priceK and delivery dateT' (withTT{\displaystyle T'\geq T}) is

c=erT[FN(d1)KN(d2)]{\displaystyle c=e^{-rT}[FN(d_{1})-KN(d_{2})]}

The corresponding put price is

p=erT[KN(d2)FN(d1)]{\displaystyle p=e^{-rT}[KN(-d_{2})-FN(-d_{1})]}

where

d1=ln(F/K)+(σ2/2)TσT{\displaystyle d_{1}={\frac {\ln(F/K)+(\sigma ^{2}/2)T}{\sigma {\sqrt {T}}}}}
d2=ln(F/K)(σ2/2)TσT=d1σT,{\displaystyle d_{2}={\frac {\ln(F/K)-(\sigma ^{2}/2)T}{\sigma {\sqrt {T}}}}=d_{1}-\sigma {\sqrt {T}},}

andN(){\displaystyle N(\cdot )} is thecumulative normal distribution function.

Note thatT'doesn't appear in the formulae even though it could be greater thanT. This is because futures contracts are marked to market and so the payoff is realized when the option is exercised. If we consider an option on aforward contract expiring at timeT' > T, the payoff doesn't occur untilT'. Thus the discount factorerT{\displaystyle e^{-rT}} is replaced byerT{\displaystyle e^{-rT'}} since one must take into account thetime value of money. The difference in the two cases is clear from the derivation below.

Derivation and assumptions

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The Black formula is easily derived from the use ofMargrabe's formula, which in turn is a simple, but clever, application of theBlack–Scholes formula.

The payoff of the call option on the futures contract ismax(0,F(T)K){\displaystyle \max(0,F(T)-K)}. We can consider this an exchange (Margrabe) option by considering the first asset to beer(Tt)F(t){\displaystyle e^{-r(T-t)}F(t)} and the second asset to beK{\displaystyle K} riskless bonds paying off $1 at timeT{\displaystyle T}. Then the call option is exercised at timeT{\displaystyle T} when the first asset is worth more thanK{\displaystyle K} riskless bonds. The assumptions of Margrabe's formula are satisfied with these assets.

The only remaining thing to check is that the first asset is indeed an asset. This can be seen by considering a portfolio formed at time 0 by going long aforward contract with delivery dateT{\displaystyle T} and longF(0){\displaystyle F(0)} riskless bonds (note that under the deterministic interest rate, the forward and futures prices are equal so there is no ambiguity here). Then at any timet{\displaystyle t} you can unwind your obligation for the forward contract by shorting another forward with the same delivery date to get the difference in forward prices, but discounted to present value:er(Tt)[F(t)F(0)]{\displaystyle e^{-r(T-t)}[F(t)-F(0)]}. Liquidating theF(0){\displaystyle F(0)} riskless bonds, each of which is worther(Tt){\displaystyle e^{-r(T-t)}}, results in a net payoff ofer(Tt)F(t){\displaystyle e^{-r(T-t)}F(t)}.

See also

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References

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  • Black, Fischer (1976). The pricing of commodity contracts, Journal of Financial Economics, 3, 167-179.
  • Garman, Mark B. and Steven W. Kohlhagen (1983). Foreign currency option values, Journal of International Money and Finance, 2, 231-237.
  • Miltersen, K., Sandmann, K. et Sondermann, D., (1997): "Closed Form Solutions for Term Structure Derivates with Log-Normal Interest Rates", Journal of Finance, 52(1), 409-430.

External links

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