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Angus Deaton

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
British-American economist (born 1945)
This article is about the economist. For the English comic actor and television presenter, seeAngus Deayton.

Sir Angus Deaton
Deaton in 2015
Born
Angus Stewart Deaton

(1945-10-19)19 October 1945 (age 79)
Edinburgh, Scotland
NationalityBritish, American
Education
Alma materFitzwilliam College, Cambridge
SpouseAnne Case
Awards
Scientific career
FieldsMicroeconomics
Institutions
Thesis Models of Consumer Demand and Their Application to the United Kingdom (1975)
Doctoral advisorRichard Stone
Academic career
Information atIDEAS / RePEc

Sir Angus Stewart DeatonFBA[1] (born 19 October 1945) is a British-American economist and academic. Deaton is currently a Senior Scholar and the Dwight D. Eisenhower Professor of Economics and International Affairs Emeritus at thePrinceton School of Public and International Affairs and the Economics Department atPrinceton University. His research focuses primarily onpoverty,inequality,health,wellbeing, andeconomic development.[2]

In 2015, he was awarded theNobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences for his analysis ofconsumption, poverty, andwelfare.[3][4]

Biography

[edit]
Angus Deaton presenting himself, December 2015

Deaton was born in Edinburgh, Scotland. He attendedHawick High School[5] and thenFettes College as a foundation scholar, working at Portmeirion hotel in summer 1964. He earned hisB.A.,M.A. andPh.D. degrees at theUniversity of Cambridge, the last with a 1975 thesis entitledModels of Consumer Demand and Their Application to the United Kingdom under the supervision ofRichard Stone. At Cambridge, he was later a fellow atFitzwilliam College and a research officer working withRichard Stone andTerry Barker in the Department of Applied Economics.[6]

In 1976 Deaton took up a post at theUniversity of Bristol as Professor of Econometrics. During this period, he completed a significant portion of his most influential work. In 1978, he became the first ever recipient of theFrisch Medal, an award given by theEconometric Society every two years to an applied paper published within the past five years inEconometrica. In 1980, his paper[7] on how demand for various consumption goods depends on prices and income was published inThe American Economic Review. This paper has since been hailed as one of the twenty most influential articles published in the journal in its first hundred years.[8]

In 1983, he left theUniversity of Bristol forPrinceton University. He is currently theDwight D. Eisenhower Professor of International Affairs and Professor of Economics and International Affairs at thePrinceton School of Public and International Affairs and the Department of Economics at Princeton.[9] Since 2017, he holds a joint appointment with the University of Southern California where he is the Presidential Professor of Economics.[10] He holds both British and American citizenship.[11]

In 2015, Deaton won that year'sNobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences. Deaton was "delighted" and described himself as "someone who's concerned with the poor of the world and how people behave, and what gives them a good life." TheRoyal Swedish Academy of Sciences said that economic policy intended to reduce poverty could only be designed once individuals' consumption choices were understood, saying, "More than anyone else, Angus Deaton has enhanced this understanding. By linking detailed individual choices and aggregate outcomes, his research has helped transform the fields of microeconomics, macroeconomics, and development economics".[12] Deaton is also the author of "Letters from America", a popular semi-annual feature in theRoyal Economic Society Newsletter.[13]

In 2024, Deaton wrote about having changed his mind on a large part of the mainstream economics he had previously supported,[14] concluding that economists' mistakes showed how "Economists could benefit by greater engagement with the ideas of philosophers, historians, and sociologists, just as Adam Smith once did".[15]

Scholarship

[edit]

Almost Ideal Demand System

[edit]

Deaton's first work to become known wasAlmost Ideal Demand System (AIDS), which he developed withJohn Muellbauer and published inThe American Economic Review (AER) in 1980.[16] As a consumer demand model, it provides a first-order approximation to any demand system that satisfies theaxioms of order, aggregates over consumers without invoking parallel linear Engel curves, is consistent with budget constraints, and is simple to estimate.

According to a review by the American Economic Review, the paper "introduces a practical system of demand equations that are consistent with preference maximization and have sufficient flexibility to support full welfare analysis of policies that have an impact on consumers."[17] The paper was listed as one of the top 20 published works in the AER in the first 100 years of the journal.[17]

Morbidity and Mortality in the 21st Century

[edit]

In 2015,Anne Case and Angus Deaton published the paper "Rising morbidity and mortality in midlife among white non-Hispanic Americans in the 21st century" in theProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. In the article, Case and Deaton highlight the rising all-causemortality rate among middle-aged white non-Hispanic Americans in the past decade, a recent trend that was unique among "rich" countries.[18] Case and Deaton found that the rising mortality rates were only occurring for white non-Hispanics and that less-educated white non-Hispanics were at the greatest risk. Further, they discovered that the increasing mortality rates among white non-Hispanics could be classified as "deaths of despair", most notably drug and alcohol poisonings, suicide, and chronic liver diseases and cirrhosis."[18] Finally, they noted that rising mortality rates were accompanied by risingmorbidity rates, particularly "[s]elf-reported declines in health, mental health, and ability to conduct activities of daily living, and increases in chronic pain and inability to work".[18] To explain their findings, Case and Deaton point to the rising availability and abuse of opioids:

The increased availability of opioid prescriptions for pain that began in the late 1990s has been widely noted, as has the associated mortality. The CDC estimates that for each prescription painkiller death in 2008, there were 10 treatment admissions for abuse, 32 emergency department visits for misuse or abuse, 130 people who were abusers or dependent, and 825 nonmedical users  ...[A]ddictions are hard to treat and pain is hard to control, so those currently in midlife may be a "lost generation" whose future is less bright than those who preceded them.[18]

As a follow-up to their previous work, Case and Deaton received funding from theNational Institute on Aging through theNational Bureau of Economic Research to release a larger study that was published in 2017 entitledMortality and Morbidity in the 21st Century.[19][20][21] In extending their research, they found that the mortality rates for educated white non-Hispanics have begun to decrease again, although the rates for uneducated white non-Hispanics have continued to climb; at the same time, rates for Hispanics and blacks continued to decrease, regardless of educational attainment. Additionally, they found that contemporaneous resources had no effect on mortality rates and that, instead, worsening labor market opportunities for uneducated white non-Hispanics have pushed forward severalcumulative disadvantages for middle-aged people, such as worsened marriage and child outcomes, and overall health.[19]

As a result of this research, Case has opined that physical and mental distress may bolster candidates likeDonald Trump andBernie Sanders.[22][23] Likewise, theWashington Post and aGallup Poll showed strong correlation between support for Trump and higher death rates.[22][24][25]

Recognition and awards

[edit]

Deaton is a Fellow of theEconometric Society, theBritish Academy (FBA),[30] and theAmerican Academy of Arts and Sciences.

He holds honorary degrees from theUniversity of Rome, Tor Vergata;University College London; theUniversity of St. Andrews; and theUniversity of Edinburgh.[31]

Political views

[edit]

In June 2024, 16Nobel Prize in Economics laureates, including Deaton, signed an open letter arguing thatDonald Trump’s fiscal and trade policies coupled with efforts to limit theFederal Reserve's independence would reignite inflation in the United States.[32][33][34]

Personal life

[edit]

Previously widowed, Deaton has two children, born in 1970 and 1971.[35] He is married toAnne Case, the Alexander Stewart 1886 Professor of Economics and Public Affairs at Princeton University'sPrinceton School of Public and International Affairs. The couple enjoy the opera and trout fishing.[9] He has declined to comment on whether he supports independence for his native Scotland but said that he has a “strong personal and historical attachment to theUnion".[36]

Books

[edit]
  • Deaton, Angus; Muellbauer, John (1980).Economics and Consumer Behavior. New York: Cambridge University Press.ISBN 0521228506.
  • Deaton, Angus. (1981). Essays in the Theory and Measurement of Consumer Behaviour. New York: Cambridge University Press.ISBN 9780521067553.
  • Deaton, Angus (1992).Understanding Consumption. Clarendon Lectures in Economics. Oxford: Clarendon Press.ISBN 0198287593.
  • Deaton, Angus (1997).The Analysis of Household Surveys: A Microeconometric Approach to Development Policy. Baltimore: Johns Hopkins University Press for the World Bank.ISBN 0801852544.
  • Deaton, Angus; Zaidi, Salman. (2002). Guidelines for Constructing Consumption Aggregates for Welfare Analysis. New York: World Bank Press.ISBN 0821349902.
  • Deaton, Angus; Kozel, Valerie, eds. (2005).The Great Indian Poverty Debate. New Delhi: Macmillan India Ltd.ISBN 9781403926449.
  • Deaton, Angus (2013).The Great Escape: Health, Wealth, and the Origins of Inequality. Princeton: Princeton University Press.ISBN 9780691153544.
  • Case, Anne; Deaton, Angus (2020).Deaths of Despair and the Future of Capitalism. Princeton University Press.ISBN 978-0691190785.
  • Deaton, Angus (2023).Economics in America: An Immigrant Economist Explores the Land of Inequality. Princeton University Press.ISBN 978-0691247625.

Selected journal articles

[edit]
  • Deaton, Angus; J Muellbauer (1980). An almost ideal demand system, The American economic review 70 (3), 312-326[7]
  • Deaton, Angus (1989). Saving and liquidity constraints, National Bureau of Economic Research.[37]
  • Deaton, Angus (2001).Health, inequality and economic development. Cambridge.{{cite book}}: CS1 maint: location missing publisher (link)[38]

References

[edit]
  1. ^Instruments of Development - website British Academy
  2. ^"Bio".Professor Sir Angus Deaton. Princeton University. princeton.edu. Retrieved27 November 2017.
  3. ^ab"The Prize in Economic Sciences 2015".nobelprize.org.
  4. ^abWearden, Graeme (12 October 2015)."Nobel prize in economics won by Angus Deaton – live".The Guardian. theguardian.com (updated 25 May 2017). Retrieved26 January 2018.
  5. ^"Angus Deaton - Biographical".nobelprize.org. Retrieved29 November 2017.
  6. ^"Cambridge alumnus awarded Nobel economics prize". University of Cambridge. 12 October 2015. Retrieved17 October 2015.
  7. ^abDeaton, Angus; Muellbauer, John (1980)."An Almost Ideal Demand System".The American Economic Review.70 (3):312–326.ISSN 0002-8282.JSTOR 1805222.
  8. ^Arrow, Kenneth J.; Bernheim, B. Douglas; Feldstein, Martin S.; McFadden, Daniel L.; Poterba, James M.; Solow, Robert M. (2011)."100 Years of the American Economic Review: The Top 20 Articles".American Economic Review.101:1–8.doi:10.1257/aer.101.1.1.hdl:1721.1/114169.
  9. ^ab"NBER Profile: Angus Deaton".National Bureau of Economic Research. Retrieved13 October 2015.
  10. ^"Nobel Laureate Sir Angus Deaton Named a Presidential Professor". Retrieved16 November 2017.
  11. ^Rising, Malin (12 October 2015)."Scottish economist Angus Deaton wins Nobel economics prize". Yahoo! News. Associated Press. Retrieved12 October 2015.
  12. ^"British academic awarded Nobel economics prize".BBC News Online. 12 October 2015. Retrieved12 October 2015.
  13. ^"Letters from America". princeton.edu.
  14. ^Jakob Kapeller (1 April 2024)."Heterodox Economics Newsletter: Issue 325".
  15. ^Angus Deaton."Rethinking Economics or Rethinking My Economics".IMF. Retrieved1 April 2024.
  16. ^Deaton, A; Muellbauer, J. (1980). "An Almost Ideal Demand System".American Economic Review.70 (3):312–326.JSTOR 1805222.
  17. ^abArrow, Kenneth J; Bernheim, B. Douglas; Feldstein, Martin S; McFadden, Daniel L; Poterba, James M; Solow, Robert M (2011)."100 Years of theAmerican Economic Review: The Top 20 Articles".American Economic Review.101 (1):1–8.doi:10.1257/aer.101.1.1.hdl:1721.1/114169.
  18. ^abcdCase, Anne; Deaton, Angus (8 December 2015)."Rising morbidity and mortality in midlife among white non-Hispanic Americans in the 21st century"(PDF).Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.112 (49):15078–15083.Bibcode:2015PNAS..11215078C.doi:10.1073/pnas.1518393112.PMC 4679063.PMID 26575631.
  19. ^abCase, Anne; Deaton, Angus (Spring 2017)."Mortality and Morbidity in the 21st Century"(PDF).Brookings Papers on Economic Activity.2017:397–476.doi:10.1353/eca.2017.0005.PMC 5640267.PMID 29033460.
  20. ^Case, Anne; Deaton, Sir Angus (23 March 2017)."Mortality and morbidity in the 21st century".Brookings. Retrieved27 November 2017.
  21. ^Body, Jessica (23 March 2017)."The Forces Driving Middle-Aged White People's 'Deaths Of Despair'".NPR.org. Retrieved27 November 2017.
  22. ^abc"The POLITICO 50 - 2016".POLITICO Magazine. Retrieved27 November 2017.
  23. ^Case, Anne (30 December 2015).""Deaths of despair" are killing America's white working class".Quartz. Retrieved27 November 2017.
  24. ^Guo, Jeff (4 March 2016)."Death predicts whether people vote for Donald Trump".Washington Post.ISSN 0190-8286. Retrieved27 November 2017.
  25. ^Rothwell, Jonathan; Diego-Rosell, Pablo (2 November 2016). "Explaining Nationalist Political Views: The Case of Donald Trump". Rochester, NY.SSRN 2822059.
  26. ^Alonso, M. E. (21 February 2012)."Angus Deaton y su teoría del consumo, premio BBVA".ABC (in Spanish). Retrieved13 October 2015.
  27. ^"Newly Elected - April 2014".American Philosophical Society. Archived fromthe original on 6 September 2015. Retrieved13 October 2015.
  28. ^"News from the National Academy of Sciences".National Academy of Sciences. 28 April 2015.Archived from the original on 26 March 2016. Retrieved26 January 2018.
  29. ^"No. 61608".The London Gazette (Supplement). 11 June 2016. p. B2.
  30. ^British Academy Fellows: DEATON, Professor AngusArchived 4 March 2016 at theWayback Machine - website of the British Academy
  31. ^"Honorary graduates".Annual Review 2010/11. The University of Edinburgh. www.ed.ac.uk. Retrieved28 December 2016.
  32. ^Nichols, Hans (25 June 2024)."Scoop: 16 Nobel economists see a Trump inflation bomb".Axios. Cox Enterprises. Retrieved26 June 2024.
  33. ^Picciotto, Rebecca (25 June 2024)."Sixteen Nobel Prize-winning economists warn a second Trump term would 'reignite' inflation". CNBC.Archived from the original on 26 June 2024. Retrieved26 June 2024.
  34. ^Picchi, Aimee (25 June 2024)."16 Nobel Prize-winning economists warn that Trump's economic plans could reignite inflation".www.cbsnews.com.Archived from the original on 9 July 2024. Retrieved12 July 2024.Trump's policies could prove to be inflationary, other economists also warned, such as his proposal to create a 10% across-the-board tariff on all imports to deporting immigrants. The tariff plan would add $1,700 in annual costs for the typical U.S. household, essentially acting as an inflationary tax, according to experts at the Peterson Institute for International Economics.
  35. ^Deaton, Angus (November 2014)."Curriculum Vitae"(PDF).Princeton University. Archived fromthe original(PDF) on 15 October 2015. Retrieved13 October 2015.
  36. ^"Sir Angus Deaton: 'A lot of people feel they're not in control of their lives anymore'". 22 April 2022.
  37. ^Deaton, Angus (1 December 1989)."Saving and Liquidity Constraints". Working Paper Series.doi:10.3386/w3196.{{cite journal}}:Cite journal requires|journal= (help)
  38. ^Deaton, Angus (1 March 2003)."Health, Inequality, and Economic Development".Journal of Economic Literature.41 (1):113–158.doi:10.1257/002205103321544710.ISSN 0022-0515.S2CID 15490945.

External links

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