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2028 Philippine presidential election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
18th election of Philippine president

2028 Philippine presidential election

← 2022May 8, 2028 (2028-05-08)2034 →


Incumbent President

Bongbong Marcos
PFP



Vice presidential election


Incumbent Vice President

Sara Duterte
Hugpong



Apresidential election in thePhilippines is scheduled to be held on May 8, 2028, as part of a general election that will also determine the control of theCongress of the Philippines and numerous local positions in the country. This will be the 18th direct presidential election and 16th vice presidential election in the country since1935, and will be the seventhsextennial presidential and vice presidential election since1992.

IncumbentpresidentBongbong Marcos is term-limited under theConstitution of the Philippines and is ineligible for re-election. Incumbentvice presidentSara Duterte is eligible for re-election to a second term. Therefore, this election will determine the 18th president and the 16th vice president, if Duterte decides to run for another position or is not re-elected. The president and vice president are elected separately, thus, the two winning candidates may come from different political parties.

Background

[edit]
See also:2022 Philippine presidential election and2025 Philippine Senate election
Bongbong Marcos, theincumbent president whose term will expire at noon on June 30, 2028.

In the2022 Philippine presidential and vice presidential elections, theUniTeam ticket of former SenatorBongbong Marcos of thePartido Federal ng Pilipinas (PFP) andDavao City mayorSara Duterte ofLakas–CMD won, running on a platform that promised broad continuity of incumbent presidentRodrigo Duterte's programs and policies.[1] The two became the first presidential ticket to win since2004 and the first president and vice president to be elected by a majority since the establishment of the Fifth Republic in 1987, defeating theLiberal-led opposition ticket of incumbent vice presidentLeni Robredo and senatorKiko Pangilinan alongside several other candidates.[2] Being the only candidate of the oppositionTeam Robredo–Pangilinan alliance to be re-elected in the2022 Senate election,[a] senatorRisa Hontiveros ofAkbayan emerged as thede facto leader of the opposition against Marcos and Duterte.[3][4]

During the Marcos presidency, relations between Marcos and Duterte worsened. Duterte left Lakas–CMD in May 2023 and later resigned from his cabinet in June 2024.[5] On February 5, 2025, the vice president wasimpeached in theHouse of Representatives, following Duterte's controversial use of confidential and intelligence funds and her assassination threat against Marcos and his family.[6][7] She became the first sitting vice president, and the fourth official in Philippine history, to be impeached.[8] If Duterte had been convicted, she was to be removed from office and be barred from holding any government position, including the presidency.[9]

For the2025 midterm Senate election, Marcos formed theAlyansa para sa Bagong Pilipinas (Alyansa) electoral alliance,[10] while former president Duterte formed a separate slate of candidates under theDuterTen in support of the vice president.[11] The traditional opposition led by Hontiveros fielded two candidates under theKiBam ticket.[12] During the campaign period, former president Duterte wasarrested on charges related to thePhilippine drug war. In response, the president's sister,Imee Marcos, withdrew from Alyansa.[13] Six Alyansa candidates won seats, while three DuterTen candidates were elected.[14][15] Two winning candidates, Imee andCamille Villar (an Alyansa candidate), were guest candidates on the DuterTen slate.[16] Meanwhile, both candidates from the KiBam ticket secured victories, marking a significant gain for the opposition.[17][18] Duterte ally and incumbent senatorBong Go emerged as the top-ranking candidate in the Senate race.[19]

Following the election, the Senate minority sought to formally convene the Senate as an impeachment court on June 9; the court was officially convened the following day, June 10. Senators allied with Duterte attempted to dismiss the impeachment complaint, but the Senate ultimately voted to return the articles of impeachment to the House.[20] On July 25, Duterte's impeachment was ruled unconstitutional by theSupreme Court on the basis that the fourth impeachment case violated the one-year ban on the filing of multiple impeachment cases but maintained that it was not absolving the vice president.[21] While the House filed a motion for reconsideration, on August 6, the Senate voted to archive the articles of impeachment, with only senatorsBam Aquino, Hontiveros, Pangilinan, andTito Sotto voting against.[22]

Electoral system

[edit]
Main article:Presidential elections in the Philippines

Presidential elections in the Philippines are held every six years, after 1992, on the second Monday of May. Elections to the presidency and vice presidency use thefirst-past-the-post voting to determine the winner, with the candidate with the highest number of votes, whether or not one has a majority, winning the contested position.[23] The elections are held in parallel and voters may split their ticket. If two or more candidates are tied for either position,Congress shall vote from among them which shall be president or vice president, as the case may be.

Both winners will serve six-year terms commencing at noon on June 30, 2028, and ending on the same day, six years later.[23]

Eligibility

[edit]

TheConstitution of the Philippines limits the occupancy of the presidency and vice presidency to natural-born citizens aged 40 on the day of the election who are registered to vote, who have been a resident of the Philippines for at least ten years immediately preceding such election, and are able to read and write.[24] Incumbent presidents who have served a complete a six-year term are term-limited while their vice president may seek reelection for a second consecutive term.[24]

Candidates

[edit]

For president

[edit]

Expressed interest

[edit]

The following individuals have been mentioned as potential presidential candidates in at least two reliable media sources in the last six months.

Publicly expressed interest in running
  • Sara Duterte (Hugpong), incumbentVice President of the Philippines
    • On February 7, 2025, Duterte announced in a press conference that she is "seriously considering" running for elected office in 2028 despite her ongoingimpeachment, though she affirmed that she will assess her chances of being elected before making a major decision.[25] While she did not specify any position, she later confirmed that she would be seeking the presidency in such a case, motivated by discontent over the direction of the Marcos administration.[26]
  • Risa Hontiveros (Akbayan), incumbentSenator of the Philippines[27]
    • At a press conference on May 21, 2025, Hontiveros stated her openness to a possible presidential run, although she emphasized that she remained "open to all possibilities."[28] She reiterated that her main priority is to unify and strengthen the opposition, and expressed confidence that a standard bearer for the liberal-progressive bloc, or a "third force," would emerge by 2028.[29]

Speculated by the media

[edit]

The following individuals have been mentioned in media discussions as possible presidential candidates but have not publicly expressed interest in running

Speculated by the media

For vice president

[edit]

Speculated by the media

[edit]

Individuals below have been mentioned in media discussions as possible vice presidential candidates but have not publicly expressed interest in running.

Speculated by the media

Declined to run for either position

[edit]

The following individuals have been mentioned as potential candidates but have publicly declined to run.

Opinion polling

[edit]
Main article:Opinion polling for the 2028 Philippine presidential election

Social research institutions in the Philippines, includingSocial Weather Stations (SWS),Pulse Asia,OCTA Research, have conducted surveys for the 2028 Philippine presidential election as early as 2025. In each poll,bold indicates the leading candidate whereasitalics indicate runner(s)-up within the margin of error.

Hypothetical polls

[edit]

For president

[edit]

President

[edit]
Fieldwork
date(s)
PollsterSample
size
MoEAquino
KANP
R. Duterte[b]
PDP
Sa. Duterte
HNP
Escudero[c]
NPC
Gatchalian
NPC
Go
PDP
Hontiveros
Akbayan
B. Marcos[b]
PFP
I. Marcos
Nacionalista
S. Marcos[b]
PFP
Moreno[c]
Aksyon
Pacquiao
PFP
Padilla
PDP
Poe
Ind.
Robredo[c]
Liberal
Romualdez
Lakas
Singson
Ind.
Sotto[b]
Ind.
R. Tulfo[c]
Ind.
OthersUnd./
None
Ref.Lead
August 27—30, 2025Tangere[46]1,400±2.57%3612110334616Sa. Duterte +2
July 29—August 6, 2025WR Numero[47][48]1,4183.131.41.30.16.51.44.41.02.02.113.30.710.31.75Sa. Duterte +18.1
June 20—22, 2025Tangere[49]2,000±2.15%35313311196910Sa. Duterte +16
May 20—21, 2025Tangere[50]1,800±2.48%29315321611111Sa. Duterte +8
March 31—April 7, 2025WR Numero[51]30.242.33.82.11.74.712.70.517.92.817.5Sa. Duterte +12.3
February 20—26, 2025Pulse Asia[52]39514128Sa. Duterte +11
February 10—18, 2025WR Numero[53][54]1,814±2.0%29.11.12.84.11.93.812.41.219.32.822.6Sa. Duterte +6.5
September 5—23, 2024WR Numero[55]1,7292445435912418Tie
June 25—30, 2024Oculum[56]1,200±3.0%25.42.95.74.83.12.610.60.818.520.44.3Sa. Duterte +5
May 23—26, 2024Tangere[57]±2.5%27.673.734.136.601.730.6010.2014.3327.073.93Sa. Duterte +0.6
March 6—10, 2024Pulse Asia[58]0.234150.132110.53552R. Tulfo +1
February 21—29, 2024Oculum[59]3,000±2.0%4214442100.417214Sa. Duterte +28
January 20—24, 2024Tangere[60]2,00031.5136210120.3130.84Sa. Duterte +0.7
November 24—December 24, 2023WR Numero[61]1,500361755912314Sa. Duterte +13
June 11, 2023SWS[62]1,200±3.0%328111121611541None +13

For vice president

[edit]

Vice president

[edit]
Fieldwork
date(s)
PollsterSample
size
MoEAbalos
PFP
Aquino
KANP
R. Duterte
PDP
Sa. Duterte
HNP
Se. Duterte
PDP
Escudero[c]
NPC
Garcia
Ind.
Gatchalian
NPC
Go
PDP
Hontiveros
Akbayan
I. Marcos
Nacionalista
Moreno[c]
Aksyon
Pacquiao
PFP
Padilla
PDP
Pangilinan
Liberal
Poe
Ind.
Robredo[c]
Liberal
Romualdez
Lakas
Teodoro
PRP
E. Tulfo
Lakas
R. Tulfo[c]
Ind.
Zubiri[c]
Ind.
OthersUnd./
None
Ref.Lead
July 29—August 6, 2025WR Numero[47][48]1,41814.95.90.416.24.34.51.87.76.81.48.40.35.5Go +1.3
June 20—22, 2025Tangere[49]2,000±2.15%224385434938Go +16
May 20—21, 2025Tangere[50]1,800±2.48%264366341146Go +10
March 31—April 7, 2025WR Numero[51]7.45.28.418.416.11.41.637.730.7None +12.3
February 20—26, 2025Pulse Asia[52]47Poe +47
February 10—18, 2025WR Numero[53][54]1,814±2.0%7.09.78.315.613.51.12.83.36.233None +17.4
September 5—23, 2024WR Numero[55]1,7298892014334Poe +6
June 25—30, 2024Oculum[56]1,200±3.0%16564644712022None +2
May 23—26, 2024Tangere[57]±2.5%2.3311.800.010.8711.271.409.607.805.674.003.132.2713.932.1317.802.133.87R. Tulfo +3.87
March 6—10, 2024Pulse Asia[58]0.0010.010.0040.30.051614140.0235140.5762Poe +19
November 24—December 24, 2023WR Numero[63]1,45715111122924621Poe +1

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^SenatorsFrancis Escudero andJoel Villanueva ran as "guest" candidates of the TRoPa, and did not endorse Robredo.
  2. ^abcdIneligible
  3. ^abcdefghiDeclined to run

References

[edit]
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  2. ^"Marcos wins Philippine presidential election in a landslide".Nikkei Asia.Archived from the original on February 4, 2025. RetrievedFebruary 5, 2025.
  3. ^Luna, Franco."'We must lead': Hontiveros, now opposition leader, urges supporters to 'confront authority'".Philstar.com. RetrievedFebruary 5, 2025.
  4. ^Cepeda, Mara (June 27, 2022)."Robredo passes on torch as PH opposition leader to Hontiveros".Rappler.Archived from the original on January 17, 2025. RetrievedFebruary 5, 2025.
  5. ^Flores, Mikhail; Lema, Karen (June 19, 2024)."Philippine VP Duterte exits Marcos cabinet as their alliance crumbles".Reuters. RetrievedFebruary 5, 2025.
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  8. ^"Philippine House impeaches Vice President Sara Duterte".Al Jazeera.Archived from the original on February 7, 2025. RetrievedFebruary 5, 2025.
  9. ^Leon, Dwight de (February 5, 2025)."House impeaches Vice President Sara Duterte".Rappler.Archived from the original on February 5, 2025. RetrievedFebruary 5, 2025.
  10. ^Leon, Dwight de (September 26, 2024)."Marcos bares 2025 senatorial slate under Alyansa para sa Bagong Pilipinas".RAPPLER. RetrievedFebruary 5, 2025.
  11. ^Suelto, Diana Lhyd."Duterte on PDP-Laban bets: We will win".Philstar.com. RetrievedFebruary 5, 2025.
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  13. ^Ramos, Marlon (March 26, 2025)."Sen. Imee Marcos leaves bro's Alyansa ticket, cites Duterte arrest".Inquirer.net.Archived from the original on May 4, 2025. RetrievedMay 22, 2025.
  14. ^"Philippines election result: Marcos' hold on senate grows shaky while Duterte wins mayor race".www.bbc.com. May 13, 2025.Archived from the original on May 23, 2025. RetrievedMay 22, 2025.
  15. ^Al Jazeera Staff."Philippines election results: Who won, who lost and what's next?".Al Jazeera.Archived from the original on May 14, 2025. RetrievedMay 22, 2025.
  16. ^Domingo, Katrina."PDP adopts Imee Marcos, Camille Villar to protect Sara Duterte".ABS-CBN.Archived from the original on May 10, 2025. RetrievedMay 22, 2025.
  17. ^Quitzon, Japhet (May 15, 2025)."Philippines Votes 2025: A Power Shift in the Senate".Center for Strategic and International Studies.
  18. ^Chi, Cristina."Bam, Kiko set for Senate comeback as Comelec proclaims winners".Philstar.com.Archived from the original on May 17, 2025. RetrievedMay 22, 2025.
  19. ^Cahatol, Marilyn."'God is good, God is fair,' says Bong Go after topping Senate race".ABS-CBN.Archived from the original on May 13, 2025. RetrievedMay 22, 2025.
  20. ^Lema, Karen; Flores, Mikhail (June 10, 2025)."Philippine Senate returns VP impeachment case to lower house hours after convening trial".Reuters. RetrievedAugust 21, 2025.
  21. ^"Impeachment probe of Philippine VP Sara Duterte voided by Supreme Court".Al Jazeera. RetrievedAugust 21, 2025.
  22. ^Magsambol, Bonz (August 6, 2025)."Trial 'dead': Senate archives Sara Duterte impeachment".RAPPLER. RetrievedAugust 21, 2025.
  23. ^abHartmann, Christoff; Hassall, Graham; Santos, Soliman M. Jr. (November 15, 2001). Nohlen, Dieter; Grotz, Florian; Hartmann, Christof (eds.).Elections in Asia and the Pacific: A Data Handbook, Volume II.Oxford University Press. p. 187.ISBN 0199249598.
  24. ^ab1987 Constitution of the Philippines, art. 7, sec. 2
  25. ^Sarao, Zacarian; postie (February 7, 2025)."Impeached VP Duterte still 'seriously considering' running in 2028 polls".Inquirer.net. RetrievedMay 23, 2025.
  26. ^Servallos, Neil Jayson (February 3, 2025)."VP Sara reaffirms presidential run in 2028".The Philippine Star.Archived from the original on February 10, 2025. RetrievedFebruary 3, 2025.
  27. ^Abarca, Charie (May 21, 2025)."Risa Hontiveros 'open' to be opposition standard-bearer in 2028".INQUIRER.net. RetrievedMay 21, 2025.
  28. ^Magsambol, Bonz (May 23, 2025)."Can 'progressive' opposition break through Marcos, Duterte dominance in 2028?".RAPPLER. RetrievedMay 24, 2025.
  29. ^Mangaluz, Jean."Standard-bearer? Hontiveros says she's open to it".Philstar.com. RetrievedMay 24, 2025.
  30. ^Lopez, Tony."The president in 2028".Philstar.com. RetrievedMay 18, 2025.
  31. ^Jimenez, Josephus (September 5, 2024)."Imee vs Sara vs Risa in 2028".The Freeman.Archived from the original on October 9, 2024. RetrievedOctober 13, 2024.
  32. ^Barro II, Dexter (September 17, 2024)."Speaker Romualdez to run for president in 2028, says VP Sara".Manila Bulletin.Archived from the original on October 7, 2024. RetrievedOctober 7, 2024.
  33. ^Serquiña, Mariel Celine (August 31, 2024)."Duterte urged to run as Sara's VP in 2028 polls".GMA Network. RetrievedOctober 1, 2024.
  34. ^"'Siguradong panalo' sa 2028! Panelo eyes Sara Duterte-Robin Padilla tandem".POLITIKO. April 3, 2024.Archived from the original on February 21, 2025. RetrievedMarch 3, 2025.
  35. ^Tundag, Jerrt (May 29, 2023)."Oh no, not again!".The Freeman.Archived from the original on July 25, 2024. RetrievedJuly 24, 2024.
  36. ^Layson, Mer; Escudero, Malou."'Sara-Imee tandem' sa 2028, inilutang".Philstar.com. RetrievedAugust 20, 2025.
  37. ^Dacanay, Niko (June 13, 2025)."Padilla floats Sara-Imee tandem for 2028 polls".News5. RetrievedAugust 20, 2025.
  38. ^"Sara Duterte's potential VP pick? Marcoleta could do the job, says Hugpong exec".Politiko. November 21, 2025. RetrievedNovember 21, 2025.
  39. ^Salcedo, Mary Joy (September 3, 2025)."'No way': DPWH chief Dizon says no to 2028 poll bid".INQUIRER.net. RetrievedSeptember 4, 2025.
  40. ^"Escudero 'not interested' in 2028 presidential race".GMA News. April 3, 2024. RetrievedMay 17, 2025.
  41. ^Salcedo, Mary Joy (May 20, 2025)."Manila Mayor-elect Isko Moreno vows not to run for higher post in 2028".INQUIRER.net.Archived from the original on May 20, 2025. RetrievedMay 20, 2025.
  42. ^Cantos, Joy; Hallare, Jorge (October 6, 2024)."Leni 'di tatakbong Pangulo sa 2028!".Philstar Global. RetrievedJanuary 31, 2025.
  43. ^Quismorio, Ellson (April 4, 2024)."Will Raffy Tulfo run for president in 2028? Bro Erwin answers".Manila Bulletin. RetrievedJuly 26, 2024.
  44. ^Ager, Maila (May 9, 2024)."Raffy Tulfo says running for president not on his mind: 'Sakit sa ulo lang yan'".Philippine Daily Inquirer. RetrievedJuly 26, 2024.
  45. ^Abarca, Charie (April 1, 2024)."Zubiri on vice presidency: 'I will not be running for any public office in 2028'".Philippine Daily Inquirer.Archived from the original on July 24, 2024. RetrievedJuly 24, 2024.
  46. ^"Vico Sotto could challenge VP Sara in 2028 race – survey". September 1, 2025.
  47. ^ab"Sara Duterte, Bong Go dominate pre-election polls for 2028—survey".The Philippine Star Life. August 13, 2025. RetrievedAugust 14, 2025.
  48. ^ab"VP Sara Duterte still leads 2028 presidential race – WR Numero Survey".Brigada. August 13, 2025. RetrievedAugust 17, 2025.
  49. ^ab"Early poll shows VP, Go leading 2028 race".The Manila Times. June 26, 2025. RetrievedJune 26, 2025.
  50. ^ab"Sara, Leni early favorites for '28".The Manila Times. May 27, 2025. RetrievedMay 27, 2025.
  51. ^ab"WR Numero poll: Sara Duterte performance rating up, Marcos steady".ABS-CBN. April 11, 2025. RetrievedApril 12, 2025.
  52. ^ab"Sara Duterte for president? She's top pick in new survey".Politiko. March 13, 2025. RetrievedMarch 13, 2025.
  53. ^ab"VP Sara, Grace Poe remain top pick for 2028 polls; Over 3 in 10 still undecided — WR Numero February 2025 survey".Mindanao Times. March 3, 2025. Archived fromthe original on March 3, 2025. RetrievedMarch 4, 2025.
  54. ^abBasilio, Kenneth Christiane L.; Hufana, Chloe Mari A. (March 3, 2025)."VP remains Pinoy pick for President in 2028".Business World. RetrievedMarch 5, 2025.
  55. ^ab"VP Duterte, Senator Tulfo are Filipinos' most preferred presidential candidates in 2028 — survey".Business World. August 12, 2024. RetrievedFebruary 15, 2025.
  56. ^ab"VP Sara tops potential 2028 presidential bets in Q2 poll".GMA Network. August 12, 2024. RetrievedFebruary 15, 2025.
  57. ^abde Vera-Ruiz, Ellalyn (June 20, 2024)."Sara, Raffy neck and neck as potential presidential candidates for 2028 elections, Tangere survey shows".Manila Bulletin. RetrievedMarch 16, 2025.
  58. ^ab"March 2024 Nationwide Survey on 2028 Presidential and Vice-Presidential Preference".Pulse Asia. March 6, 2024. RetrievedFebruary 15, 2025.
  59. ^"Sara Duterte leads potential presidential bets in survey".GMA Network. April 26, 2024. RetrievedFebruary 15, 2025.
  60. ^de Vera-Ruiz, Ellalyn (February 8, 2024)."VP Sara, Sen. Tulfo lead Tangere's 2028 presidential survey".Manila Bulletin. RetrievedMarch 16, 2025.
  61. ^"VP Sara top choice for president in 2028 — poll".Business World. January 25, 2024. RetrievedFebruary 15, 2025.
  62. ^"SWS confirms survey for Mr. Arnel Ty on the best leader to become the next President in 2028".Social Weather Stations. June 11, 2023. RetrievedFebruary 15, 2025.
  63. ^"Poe-Llamanzares tops early poll for VP in 2028".Business World. January 30, 2024. RetrievedFebruary 15, 2025.

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