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2026 United States Senate election in Massachusetts

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

For related races, see2026 United States Senate elections.
Not to be confused with2026 Massachusetts Senate election.

2026 United States Senate election in Massachusetts

← 2020November 3, 20262032 →
 
PartyDemocraticRepublican

IncumbentU.S. senator

Ed Markey
Democratic



Elections in
Massachusetts
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flagMassachusetts portal

The2026 United States Senate election in Massachusetts will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect a member of theUnited States Senate to represent theCommonwealth of Massachusetts.Primary elections will be held on September 1, 2026. Incumbent two-term Democratic SenatorEd Markey was re-elected in 2020 with 66.2% of the vote and is running for re-election to a third full term.

Markey, who will be 80 years old at the time of the 2026 election, has faced calls to retire due to his age.[1]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Declared

[edit]

Publicly expressed interest

[edit]
  • Earl Phalen, nonprofit CEO[6]

Potential

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Ed Markey
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
Statewide officials
State legislators
County officials
Labor unions
Organizations

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Ed Markey$4,099,317$3,210,652$2,540,642
Seth Moulton$385,564$203,543$2,032,359
Alex Rikleen$29,835$19,160$10,675
Source:Federal Election Commission[25]

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Ed
Markey
Seth
Moulton
Alex
Rikleen
OtherUndecided
University of New Hampshire[26]November 13–17, 2025343 (LV)± 5.3%34%25%2%3%[b]35%
Data for Progress (D)[27]October 23–26, 2025652 (LV)± 4.0%53%34%13%
UMass Amherst/YouGov[28][A]October 21–29, 2025416 (LV)± 6.1%51%[c]28%6%1%[d]14%
44%25%5%1%[d]25%
Advantage, Inc. (R)[29][B]September 23–24, 2025278 (LV)± 3.6%30%38%32%
Hypothetical polling
Ed Markey vs. Ayanna Pressley
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Ed
Markey
Ayanna
Pressley
Undecided
Advantage, Inc. (R)[29][B]September 23-24, 2025278 (LV)± 3.6%34%37%28%
Ed Markey vs. Seth Moulton vs. Ayanna Pressley vs. Alex Rikleen
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Ed
Markey
Seth
Moulton
Ayanna
Pressley
Alex
Rikleen
OtherUndecided
UMass Amherst/YouGov[28][A]October 21–29, 2025416 (LV)± 6.1%35%[c]25%21%5%1%[d]19%
31%24%20%4%1%[d]24%
Seth Moulton vs. Ayanna Pressley vs. Michelle Wu vs. Joseph P. Kennedy III vs. Jake Auchincloss vs. Alex Rikleen
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Seth
Moulton
Ayanna
Pressley
Michelle
Wu
Joseph P.
Kennedy III
Jake
Auchincloss
Alex
Rikleen
OtherUndecided
UMass Amherst/YouGov[28][A]October 21–29, 2025416 (LV)± 6.1%29%[c]24%19%11%6%6%1%[d]4%
26%23%17%9%5%3%1%[d]16%

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Declared

[edit]
  • John Deaton, attorney and nominee for U.S. Senate in2024[30][31]

Formed exploratory committee

[edit]

Publicly expressed interest

[edit]

Withdrawn

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
John Deaton
Political parties

Other candidates

[edit]

Party for Socialism and Liberation

[edit]

Declared

[edit]
  • Joe Tache, organizer[38]

Independent

[edit]

Declared

[edit]

Filed paperwork

[edit]
  • Morgan Dawicki[39]
  • Philip Peter Devincentis, Jr.[40]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
Inside Elections[41]Solid DAugust 12, 2025
The Cook Political Report[42]Solid DOctober 14, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball[43]Safe DAugust 12, 2025
Race To The WH[44]Safe DSeptember 4, 2025

Polling

[edit]
Ed Markey vs. John Deaton
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Ed
Markey (D)
John
Deaton (R)
OtherUndecided
SurveyUSA[45][C]February 28 – March 4, 2025775 (RV)45%26%30%
Hypothetical polling
Ed Markey vs. Charlie Baker
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Ed
Markey (D)
Charlie
Baker (R)
OtherUndecided
UMass Amherst/YouGov[46][A]February 14–20, 2025700 (A)± 4.8%35%33%33%
MassINC Polling Group[47]October 29 – November 1, 2024582 (LV)± 4.9%34%40%7%[e]19%

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^abcdefKey:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^'Write in someone else' with 3%
  3. ^abcWith voters who lean towards a given candidate
  4. ^abcdef"Would not vote" with 1%
  5. ^"Would not vote for Senate" & "Another candidate" with 3%; "Prefer not to say" with 1%
Partisan clients
  1. ^abcdPoll sponsored byWCVB
  2. ^abPoll sponsored by the Fiscal Alliance Foundation
  3. ^Poll sponsored by the Massachusetts Responsible Alliance

References

[edit]
  1. ^Keller, Jon (October 20, 2024)."Is it time for Ed Markey to step aside? Chairman of Massachusetts Democrats weighs in".CBS News. RetrievedDecember 4, 2024.
  2. ^Medsger, Matthew (October 27, 2024)."Ed Markey says he will seek a third term in 2026, when he will be 80 years old".Boston Herald.
  3. ^Brodey, Sam (September 23, 2025)."Seth Moulton believed to be weighing 2026 primary challenge to Ed Markey".The Boston Globe. Archived fromthe original on September 24, 2025. RetrievedSeptember 24, 2025.
  4. ^"Moulton launches challenge to Markey, arguing Democrats can no longer afford to 'follow same old playbook' - The Boston Globe".BostonGlobe.com. RetrievedOctober 15, 2025.
  5. ^Garrity, Kelly (May 30, 2025)."Meet Markey's primary challenger".Politico. RetrievedJune 5, 2025.
  6. ^Medsger, Matthew (June 4, 2025)."Another potential Ed Markey challenger emerges calling for fresh perspective".Boston Herald. RetrievedJune 6, 2025.
  7. ^Garrity, Kelly (September 24, 2025)."Why Moulton v. Markey wouldn't be Kennedy v. Markey".Politico. RetrievedSeptember 27, 2025.
  8. ^Wu, Nicholas; Garrity, Kelly (November 4, 2025)."Ayanna Presley is considering a Senate run in Massachusetts".Politico. RetrievedNovember 4, 2025.
  9. ^Battenfeld, Joe (October 21, 2025)."Battenfeld: What is ambitious Michelle Wu up to?".Boston Herald. RetrievedOctober 21, 2025.
  10. ^Brodey, Sam (September 17, 2025)."Auchincloss rules out Markey challenge to focus on leading new national Democratic group".The Boston Globe. RetrievedSeptember 17, 2025.
  11. ^Stout, Matt (June 25, 2025)."In early show of political muscle, Ed Markey gets Elizabeth Warren's endorsement".The Boston Globe. RetrievedJune 25, 2025.
  12. ^abc"Sen. Collins and Rep. Hunt join latest group of Markey endorsers | Dorchester Reporter".Dorchester Reporter. September 22, 2025. RetrievedSeptember 22, 2025.
  13. ^Castellano, Jessie (July 31, 2025)."This Local Congressman Endorsed Sen. Ed Markey For Reelection".Patch Media. RetrievedJuly 31, 2025.
  14. ^Micek, John (July 8, 2025)."Western Mass.'s most powerful pol endorses Ed Markey's 2026 reelection bid".The Republican. RetrievedJuly 8, 2025.
  15. ^Micek, John L. (October 23, 2025)."All the right friends: Mass AG Campbell endorses Sen. Ed Markey for reelection".MassLive.com. RetrievedOctober 23, 2025.
  16. ^abcdeGarrity, Kelly (July 1, 2025)."Markey marks his territory".Politico. RetrievedJuly 1, 2025.
  17. ^abcdeGarrity, Kelly (October 9, 2025)."Galvin wades into congressional crypto fight".Politico. RetrievedOctober 12, 2025.
  18. ^"Largest Federal Employee Union Endorses Sen. Ed Markey for Reelection".afge.org. American Federation of Government Employees. RetrievedNovember 18, 2025.
  19. ^"Beacon Hill's credit check".Politico. November 3, 2025. RetrievedNovember 3, 2025.
  20. ^Garrity, Kelly (October 30, 2025)."Wu's school speech".Politico. RetrievedOctober 30, 2025.
  21. ^"2026 Endorsements".Population Connection Action Fund. RetrievedNovember 13, 2025.
  22. ^"2025-2026 Endorsements".League of Conservation Voters. RetrievedNovember 13, 2025.
  23. ^"Jewish Dems Endorsed Candidates".Jewish Democratic Council of America. RetrievedNovember 13, 2025.
  24. ^"CANDIDATES".JAC. RetrievedNovember 23, 2025.
  25. ^"2026 Election United States Senate - Massachusetts".fec.gov.Federal Election Commission. RetrievedApril 23, 2025.
  26. ^"Markey Holds Slim Lead Over Moulton in Massachusetts Senate Dem Primary 11/24/2025".All UNH Survey Center Polls. November 24, 2025. RetrievedNovember 25, 2025.
  27. ^"Markey Leads Moulton in 2026 Primary for Senator in Massachusetts".Data for Progress. November 5, 2025. RetrievedNovember 6, 2025.
  28. ^abcTenser, Phil (November 2, 2025)."UMass Amherst/WCVB poll examines how Sen. Markey fares against Democratic challengers".WCVB. RetrievedNovember 6, 2025.
  29. ^ab"Fiscal Alliance Foundation - 750 Likely Voters"(PDF).Fiscal Alliance Foundation. October 2, 2025. RetrievedOctober 2, 2025.
  30. ^Van Buskirk, Chris (May 7, 2025)."John Deaton, former challenger to Warren, considering a run against Ed Markey".Boston Herald. RetrievedMay 7, 2025.
  31. ^Van Buskirk, Chris (October 22, 2025)."GOP's John Deaton close to announcing U.S. Senate bid against Ed Markey".WBUR. RetrievedOctober 23, 2025.
  32. ^Hayes, Ted (August 28, 2025)."Westport attorney eyes US Senate run".EastBayRI.com. RetrievedNovember 21, 2025.
  33. ^Garrity, Kelly (November 17, 2025)."The GOP Senate primary is (maybe) back on".Politico. RetrievedNovember 17, 2025.
  34. ^abPlatoff, Emma (November 20, 2025)."As Democrats duke it out, Mass. GOP endorses John Deaton for US Senate in hopes of avoiding primary".The Boston Globe. RetrievedNovember 22, 2025.
  35. ^Altimari, Daniela; Ellen McIntire, Mary (January 7, 2025)."An early look at potentially vulnerable senators in 2026".Roll Call. RetrievedJanuary 7, 2025.Baker is currently the head of the NCAA and a spokesman for the organization dismissed the rumors, saying Baker is 'not running for any political office.'
  36. ^Van Buskirk, Chris (April 29, 2025)."Bellingham Republican setting sites on potentially running for Mass. constitutional office".Boston Herald. RetrievedApril 29, 2025.
  37. ^Platoff, Emma (November 20, 2025)."As Democrats duke it out, Mass. GOP endorses John Deaton for US Senate in hopes of avoiding primary".The Boston Globe. RetrievedNovember 20, 2025.
  38. ^Evans, Jordan Willow (October 20, 2025)."Party for Socialism and Liberation's Joseph Tache Announces U.S. Senate Campaign in Massachusetts".Independent Political Report. RetrievedNovember 14, 2025.
  39. ^"Morgan G Dawicki | Independent Candidate for U.S. Senate".votemgd.com. March 21, 2025. RetrievedNovember 5, 2025.
  40. ^"Form 2 for Report FEC-1880236".Federal Election Commission. RetrievedMay 28, 2025.
  41. ^"Senate Ratings".Inside Elections. RetrievedJanuary 14, 2025.
  42. ^"2026 CPR Senate Race Ratings".Cook Political Report. RetrievedFebruary 11, 2025.
  43. ^"2026 Senate ratings".Sabato's Crystal Ball. RetrievedFebruary 13, 2025.
  44. ^"2026 Senate Forecast".Race to the WH. RetrievedMarch 19, 2025.
  45. ^"Once Messaging is Shared, Republican John Deaton Leads Democrat Ed Markey in MA 2026 US Senate Race, Despite Deeply Unpopular Trump".SurveyUSA. March 6, 2025. RetrievedApril 29, 2025.
  46. ^Medsger, Matthew (February 26, 2025)."Charlie Baker 'does not intend to run' for Senate, despite poll showing him right on Ed Markey's heels".Boston Herald. RetrievedApril 29, 2025.
  47. ^"The MassINC Polling Group - Survey of 582 likely voters in Massachusetts"(PDF).Squarespace. November 1, 2024. RetrievedApril 29, 2025.

External links

[edit]
Official campaign websites
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