Elections in Virginia Governor Lieutenant Governor Attorney General Senate House of Delegates State elections
Statewide Fairfax County 2016
The2025 Virginia gubernatorial election was held on November 4, 2025, to elect the nextgovernor of Virginia . The election was concurrent with other elections forVirginia's statewide offices , theHouse of Delegates , and othervarious political offices . IncumbentRepublican GovernorGlenn Youngkin wasineligible to run for re-election, as theConstitution of Virginia prohibits its governors from serving consecutive terms.
Neither formerDemocratic U.S. Representative Abigail Spanberger nor RepublicanLieutenant Governor Winsome Earle-Sears received opposition in their respective primaries. In April 2025, Spanberger and Earle-Sears were confirmed as the major party nominees.[ 2] [ 3] [ 4] landslide margin and the largest gubernatorial percentage margin since2009 .[ 5] [ 6] Virginia's government for the first time since2019 .[ 7]
The central issues of the campaign were the economy and affordability, which included the federal layoffs from theTrump administration .Transgender rights and political rhetoric followed behind as secondary issues.[ 8] [ 9] [ 10] President Trump 's general unpopularity and perceived performance on the economy, healthcare, immigration, and other issues were viewed as contributing factors for Earle-Sears' loss.[ 11] [ 12]
Spanberger was elected the firstfemale governor in the state's history, winning by the largest Democratic gubernatorial margin since1961 .[ 13] [ 14] [ 15]
Since the2008 presidential election , Virginia has votedDemocratic for president, due in part toNorthern Virginia 's growth and Democratic trends. In the2024 presidential election ,Kamala Harris won the state by 5.78%. After the2024 Virginia elections , Democrats maintained control of bothU.S. Senate seats and their 6-5 majority in theHouse of Representatives .[ 16] [ a]
In the2021 gubernatorial election , Youngkin defeatedTerry McAuliffe by two points, a year afterJoe Biden won the state in 2020 by 10 points. The central issues were the economy and education, which led to Republican flips in all three statewide executive offices and theHouse of Delegates .[ 17] 2023 Virginia elections , Democrats narrowly flipped the House of Delegates and maintained control of theVirginia Senate due to the issue of abortion rights.[ 18]
In the 2024 presidential election, Republican Donald Trump was re-elected into office, which Democrats hoped would energize their voter base in the off-year elections. Trump's personal popularity and voters' position on the economy were viewed as crucial to the gubernatorial race.[ 19] Elon Musk introduced theDepartment of Government Efficiency .[ b] DOGE laid off thousands of federal workers which were relevant in Northern Virginia andHampton Roads , since 140,000 federal workers resided in the state. Since1977 , Virginia elected the party out of presidential power for governor – with the exception of2013 – which made Democrats the initial favorite.[ 20]
Due to Virginia'sblue lean, the state was viewed as a likely gubernatorial pickup for Democrats as national circumstances were unfavorable for Republicans.[ 21] [ 22] tariffs and federal cuts from theTrump Administration .[ 23] [ 24]
On September 4, 2024, Lieutenant Governor Winsome Earle-Sears declared her candidacy for governor. She received criticism fromAttorney General Jason Miyares for making her announcement ahead of the 2024 presidential election. Miyares was widely viewed as a potential candidate for the Republican nomination.[ 25] 2025 . After his declination, Earle-Sears was viewed as the presumptive nominee.[ 26]
On February 27, 2025, Earle-Sears received opposition from former state senatorAmanda Chase and former state delegateDave LaRock . They affiliated themselves more with President Trump and criticized Earle-Sears' previous comments about him. Despite the newfound opposition, Earle-Sears was still viewed as the favorite in the primary.[ 27] [ 28]
Neither Chase nor LaRock reached the signature deadline before April 5, 2025, to qualify for the primary ballot. LaRock criticized Governor Youngkin's endorsement of Earle-Sears while Chase, who previously opposed Earle-Sears, ultimately expressed support for the Republican nominee.[ 29]
On April 5th, Earle-Sears became the Republican nominee for governor.[ 4]
Amanda Chase(disqualified)
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s) Sample[ c] Margin Jason Winsome Undecided Cygnal (R)[ 34] October 27–29, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 12% 48% 40% Cygnal (R)[ 35] March 13–14, 2024 510 (LV) ± 4.3% 16% 44% 41% Differentiators Data[ 36] February 21–24, 2023 500 (LV) ± 4.5% 17% 48% 35%
Primary campaign finance activity through March 31, 2025 Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand Winsome Earle-Sears $5,677,456 $1,630,867 $4,046,590 Amanda Chase(failed to qualify) $34,835 $51,204 $1,538 Dave LaRock(failed to qualify) $26,874 $25,813 $1,060 Source: Virginia Public Access Project [ 37]
In 2020,U.S. Representative Abigail Spanberger received advice from then-governorRalph Northam to someday run for governor.[ 38] 2024 .[ 39]
In December 2023,mayor of Richmond ,Levar Stoney declared his candidacy for governor one month after Spanberger announced her bid. He was considered the underdog in primary polls because of low statewide name recognition.[ 40] [ 41] [ 42] lieutenant governor in theDemocratic primary .[ 43]
In December 2024, U.S. RepresentativeBobby Scott , explored the possibility of running for governor, despite doubt from internal sources over whether he would actually do so.[ 44] [ 45]
On April 3rd, Spanberger became the official Democratic nominee for governor after no other candidates filed for governor.[ 46]
Levar Stoney(withdrawn)
State officials
State legislators
Local officials
Primary campaign finance activity through March 31, 2025 Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand Abigail Spanberger $16,301,998 $5,297,212 $11,004,790 Source: Virginia Public Access Project[ 37]
Third parties and independents [ edit ] Ghazala Hashmi speaking at a bus rally inFairfax, Virginia withJay Jones and Abigail Spanberger.Lieutenant Governor Winsome Earle-Sears campaigning. Since Spanberger and Earle-Sears were the only candidates to qualify for the ballot, they were confirmed as the major party nominees in April 2025. This was the first gubernatorial election in the state's history in which both major party nominees were women.[ 53] President Trump and theRepublican Party ahead of the2026 midterms .[ 2]
In April 2025, President Trump instatedtariffs on other nations includingCanada andChina . The tariffs were expected to increase prices on consumer goods from companies who relied on foreign imports in Virginia. Spanberger disagreed with the tariffs and said they were "...a massive tax hike on Virginians — plain and simple."[ 54] Virginia Democratic Party , which was received negatively.[ 55] [ 56]
After Earle-Sears' confirmation for the Republican nomination, there were internal concerns from theVirginia Republican Party and former campaign managers over how her campaign was directed. Earle-Sears' personal opposition to abortion rights and anti-LGBTQ+ discrimination bills were seen as potentially alienating to suburban voters in Northern Virginia. Earle-Sears' campaign sent an email which criticizedDEI initiatives and noted Virginia's role in the Confederacy — the email was put on her campaign website and described as "a blunder."[ 55]
In mid-July, Earle-Sears changed campaign managers after trailing Spanberger in fundraising and polling.[ 57] Arlington County School Board meeting stating "Hey Winsome, if trans [sic Blacks can't share my water fountain ", which received widespread attention and was condemned by both Earle-Sears and Spanberger.[ 58] [ 59]
The impact of the Department of Government Efficiency and Trump's federal mass layoffs reinforced the economy as the top issue for voters, particularly during theOctober federal government shutdown .[ 60] [ 61] Meet the Press [ 62] for they/them " in the 2024 presidential election, despite top election issues being the economy, affordability, threats against democracy, and the federal workforce.[ 63] [ 64]
In October 2025, following messages revealed by theNational Review Todd Gilbert , Spanberger and Ghazala Hashmi called for Jones to apologize and take full responsibility for his messages. Governor Glenn Youngkin called for both of them to call for Jay Jones to step down as a candidate, though neither did. Earle-Sears spent $1 million on ads in the wake of the scandal tying Jones to Spanberger.[ 65] [ 66]
In October 2025, during a football game atJames Madison University , a fan hurled a racist remark at Earle-Sears, telling her to "go back to Haiti." The incident was quickly condemned and the fan was suspended from attending all future sporting events.[ 67]
The in-personearly voting period ran from September 19 to November 1, 2025.[ 68]
Spanberger and Earle-Sears met on October 9, 2025, atNorfolk State University for their one televised debate.[ 69] [ 70] [ 71] [ 71] [ 72] [ 73]
Winsome Earle-Sears (R)
U.S. representatives Statewide officials State legislators Local officials Individuals Organizations Abigail Spanberger (D)
Executive branch officials U.S. Senators U.S. representatives Statewide officials State legislators Individuals Labor unions Organizations Aggregate polls
Source of poll Dates Dates Abigail Winsome Other/Undecided[ e] Margin 270toWin [ 127] October 27 – November 3, 2025 November 3, 2025 53.3% 43.1% 3.6% Spanberger +10.2% Decision Desk HQ [ 128] through November 3, 2025 November 3, 2025 52.3% 43.1% 4.6% Spanberger +9.2% FiftyPlusOne[ 129] through November 3, 2025 November 3, 2025 53.1% 42.4% 4.5% Spanberger +10.7% Race to the WH [ 130] through November 3, 2025 November 4, 2025 52.3% 42.8% 4.9% Spanberger +9.5% RealClearPolitics [ 131] October 16 – November 3, 2025 November 3, 2025 52.9% 42.7% 4.4% Spanberger +10.2% VoteHub[ 132] through November 3, 2025 November 3, 2025 52.1% 42.9% 5.0% Spanberger +9.2% Average 52.7% 42.8% 4.5% Spanberger +9.9%
Poll source Date(s) Sample[ c] Margin Winsome Abigail Other Undecided Quantus Insights (R)[ 133] November 3, 2025 1,201 (LV) ± 2.7% 44% 53% 1% 2% InsiderAdvantage (R)[ 134] November 2–3, 2025 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 40% 50% 5%[ f] 5% Research Co.[ 135] November 2–3, 2025 423 (LV) ± 4.6% 46% 54% – – 450 (LV) 43% 51% – 6% The Trafalgar Group (R)[ 136] November 1–2, 2025 1,057 (LV) ± 2.9% 43% 50% 1%[ g] 6% Emerson College [ 137] [ B] October 30–31, 2025 880 (LV) ± 3.2% 44% 55% 0% 1% Echelon Insights[ 138] October 28–31, 2025 606 (LV) ± 4.7% 43% 55% – 2% AtlasIntel [ 139] October 25–30, 2025 1,325 (LV) ± 3.0% 45% 54% 0%[ h] 1% SoCal Strategies (R)[ 140] [ C] October 28–29, 2025 800 (LV) – 43% 53% – 4% State Navigate [ 141] October 26–28, 2025 614 (LV) ± 4.0% 41% 54% – 5% InsiderAdvantage (R)/The Trafalgar Group (R)[ 142] October 27–28, 2025 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 42% 46% 4%[ i] 8% Roanoke College [ 143] October 22–27, 2025 1,041 (LV) ± 4.1% 41% 51% 3%[ j] 5% YouGov [ 144] October 17–28, 2025 1,179 (LV) ± 4.0% 42% 57% 2% – 41% 55% 0% 4% A2 Insights[ 145] October 24–26, 2025 776 (LV) – 46% 54% – 1% Christopher Newport University [ 146] October 21–23, 2025 803 (LV) ± 4.1% 43% 50% – 6% Suffolk University [ 147] October 19–21, 2025 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 43% 52% 1%[ k] 4% Quantus Insights (R)[ 148] October 19–20, 2025 1,302 (RV) ± 2.8% 46% 51% 1% 2% State Navigate [ 149] October 17–20, 2025 694 (LV) ± 4.0% 42% 55% – 3% The Washington Post /Schar School [ 150] October 16–20, 2025 927 (LV) ± 3.5% 42% 54% 2%[ l] 2% 927 (RV) 40% 53% 5%[ m] 2% Kaplan Strategies (R)[ 151] October 16–18, 2025 556 (LV) ± 4.2% 41% 51% – 7% co/efficient (R)[ 152] October 15–17, 2025 937 (LV) ± 3.2% 44% 49% 1%[ g] 6% Clarity Campaign Labs (D)[ 153] [ D] October 14–17, 2025 958 (RV) ± 3.2% 43% 53% – 4% The Trafalgar Group (R)/[ 154] October 13–15, 2025 1,039 (LV) ± 2.9% 45% 47% 1%[ g] 6% Virginia Commonwealth University [ 155] October 6–14, 2025 842 (A) ± 4.0% 42% 49% – 9% The Trafalgar Group (R)[ 156] October 8–10, 2025 1,034 (LV) ± 2.9% 45% 48% 2%[ n] 6% Public Policy Polling (D)[ 157] [ E] October 7–8, 2025 558 (RV) – 43% 52% – 5% Cygnal (R)[ 158] October 6–7, 2025 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 45% 49% – 6% Christopher Newport University [ 159] September 29 – October 1, 2025 805 (RV) ± 3.9% 42% 52% – 6% The Trafalgar Group (R)[ 160] September 29 – October 1, 2025 1,034 (LV) ± 2.9% 42% 47% 2%[ n] 9% Emerson College [ 161] [ B] September 28–29, 2025 725 (LV) ± 3.6% 42% 52% – 5% The Washington Post /Schar School [ 162] September 25–29, 2025 1,002 (LV) ± 3.4% 43% 55% 1%[ o] 2% 1,002 (RV) 40% 53% 4%[ p] 3% A2 Insights[ 163] September 16–28, 2025 771 (LV) – 45% 48% 1%[ q] 6% co/efficient (R)[ 164] September 22–23, 2025 1,024 (LV) ± 3.1% 43% 49% 1%[ g] 7% OnMessage Inc. (R)[ 165] September 15–18, 2025 800 (V) ± 3.5% 45% 50% – 5% Christopher Newport University [ 166] September 8–14, 2025 808 (RV) ± 3.9% 40% 52% – 8% Cygnal (R)[ 158] September 7, 2025 – (V) – 43% 50% – 7% Pulse Decision Science (R)[ 167] [ F] September 3–5, 2025 512 (LV) ± 4.4% 43% 48% 1%[ g] 8% SoCal Strategies (R)[ 168] [ G] August 31 – September 1, 2025 700 (LV) – 41% 53% – 6% Virginia Commonwealth University [ 169] August 18–28, 2025 764 (RV) ± 4.1% 40% 49% 2%[ r] 11% co/efficient (R)[ 170] August 23–26, 2025 1,025 (LV) ± 3.1% 43% 48% 3%[ s] 7% Roanoke College [ 171] August 11–15, 2025 702 (LV) ± 4.3% 39% 46% 1%[ t] 14% Wick Insights[ 172] July 9 – 11, 2025 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 40% 50% 2%[ n] 8% American Directions Research Group/AARP [ 173] June 25 – July 8, 2025 1,001 (LV) ± 3.1% 34% 49% 8%[ u] 9% Virginia Commonwealth University [ 174] June 19 – July 3, 2025 806 (A) ± 4.7% 37% 49% 2%[ r] 12% co/efficient (R)[ 175] [ H] June 8–10, 2025 1,127 (LV) ± 3.1% 43% 46% 2%[ n] 9% Roanoke College [ 176] May 12–19, 2025 609 (RV) ± 5.3% 26% 43% 3%[ v] 28% Pantheon Insight/HarrisX[ 177] [ I] May 9–13, 2025 1,000 (LV) ± 3.1% 48% 52% – – 45% 48% 7%[ w] – Cygnal (R)[ 178] February 26–28, 2025 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 40% 46% – 14% Roanoke College [ 179] February 17–20, 2025 690 (RV) ± 4.7% 24% 39% 4%[ x] 33% co/efficient (R)[ 180] [ J] January 18–20, 2025 867 (LV) ± 3.3% 40% 40% 5%[ y] 15% Virginia Commonwealth University [ 181] December 18, 2024 –January 15, 2025 806 (A) ± 4.7% 34% 44% 5%[ z] 17% Christopher Newport University [ 182] January 6–13, 2025 806 (RV) ± 3.6% 39% 44% 6%[ aa] 12% Emerson College [ 183] [ B] January 6–8, 2025 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 41% 42% 4%[ x] 13% Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy [ 184] December 15–19, 2024 625 (RV) ± 4.0% 44% 47% – 9% Research America Inc.[ 185] [ K] September 3–9, 2024 1,000 (A) ± 3.1% 39% 39% 10%[ ab] 12% co/efficient (R)[ 186] [ H] September 7–10, 2023 834 (LV) ± 3.4% 26% 27% – 47%
Hypothetical polling
Winsome Earle-Sears vs. Bobby Scott
Poll source Date(s) Sample Margin Winsome Bobby Undecided Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy [ 184] December 15–19, 2024 625 (RV) ± 4.0% 46% 44% 10%
Jason Miyares vs. Abigail Spanberger
Poll source Date(s) Sample[ c] Margin Jason Abigail Undecided Research America Inc.[ 185] [ K] September 3–9, 2024 1,000 (A) ± 3.1% 39% 40% 12% co/efficient (R)[ 186] [ H] September 7–10, 2023 834 (LV) ± 3.4% 22% 26% 52%
Election turnout by county and independent city (top) and precinct (bottom):
20–30%
30–40%
40–50%
50–60%
60–70%
70–80%
By county and independent city [ edit ] Locality[ 188] Winsome Earle-Sears Abigail Spanberger Write-in Margin Total # % # % # % # % Accomack 7,129 54.57% 5,925 45.35% 10 0.08% −1,204 −9.22% 13,064 Albemarle 16,480 29.48% 39,322 70.35% 93 0.17% 22,842 40.87% 55,895 Alexandria 10,424 16.59% 52,230 83.11% 190 0.30% 41,806 66.52% 62,844 Alleghany 4,011 69.14% 1,779 30.67% 11 0.19% −2,232 −38.48% 5,801 Amelia 4,521 71.08% 1,831 28.79% 8 0.13% −2,690 −42.30% 6,360 Amherst 8,811 67.13% 4,294 32.72% 20 0.15% −4,517 −34.42% 13,125 Appomattox 5,609 75.94% 1,765 23.90% 12 0.16% −3,844 −52.04% 7,386 Arlington 15,929 15.96% 83,657 83.81% 235 0.24% 67,728 67.85% 99,821 Augusta 24,612 71.98% 9,522 27.85% 60 0.18% −15,090 −44.13% 34,194 Bath 1,421 74.05% 493 25.69% 5 0.26% −928 −48.36% 1,919 Bedford 29,166 74.27% 10,048 25.59% 57 0.15% −19,118 −48.68% 39,271 Bland 1,974 81.64% 441 18.24% 3 0.12% −1,533 −63.40% 2,418 Botetourt 11,820 70.27% 4,969 29.54% 32 0.19% −6,851 −40.73% 16,821 Bristol 3,090 64.96% 1,660 34.90% 7 0.15% −1,430 −30.06% 4,757 Brunswick 2,591 43.66% 3,338 56.25% 5 0.08% 747 12.59% 5,934 Buchanan 4,434 81.91% 971 17.94% 8 0.15% −3,463 −63.98% 5,413 Buckingham 3,586 59.22% 2,456 40.56% 13 0.21% −1,130 −18.66% 6,055 Buena Vista 1,392 66.38% 696 33.19% 9 0.43% −696 −33.19% 2,097 Campbell 16,878 73.25% 6,130 26.60% 34 0.15% −10,748 −46.65% 23,042 Caroline 6,680 49.72% 6,733 50.11% 23 0.17% 53 0.39% 13,436 Carroll 8,889 78.33% 2,433 21.44% 26 0.23% −6,456 −56.89% 11,348 Charles City 1,485 42.53% 2,002 57.33% 5 0.14% 517 14.81% 3,492 Charlotte 3,159 67.07% 1,545 32.80% 6 0.13% −1,614 −34.27% 4,710 Charlottesville 2,056 10.88% 16,799 88.93% 35 0.19% 14,743 78.05% 18,890 Chesapeake 42,147 43.77% 53,971 56.06% 164 0.17% 11,824 12.28% 96,282 Chesterfield 70,021 40.97% 100,595 58.86% 294 0.17% 30,574 17.89% 170,910 Clarke 4,222 55.34% 3,389 44.42% 18 0.24% −833 −10.92% 7,629 Colonial Heights 4,092 62.12% 2,474 37.56% 21 0.32% −1,618 −24.56% 6,587 Covington 999 59.57% 678 40.43% 0 0.00% −321 −19.14% 1,677 Craig 1,806 79.25% 467 20.49% 6 0.26% −1,339 −58.75% 2,279 Culpeper 12,592 57.66% 9,214 42.19% 33 0.15% −3,378 −15.47% 21,839 Cumberland 2,609 59.03% 1,803 40.79% 8 0.18% −806 −18.24% 4,420 Danville 4,592 37.34% 7,678 62.43% 29 0.24% 3,086 25.09% 12,299 Dickenson 3,427 76.80% 1,028 23.04% 7 0.16% −2,399 −53.77% 4,462 Dinwiddie 7,028 58.19% 5,031 41.65% 19 0.16% −1,997 −16.53% 12,078 Emporia 544 32.65% 1,119 67.17% 3 0.18% 575 34.51% 1,666 Essex 2,572 52.82% 2,289 47.01% 8 0.16% −283 −5.81% 4,869 Fairfax City 2,847 27.28% 7,552 72.37% 36 0.34% 4,705 45.09% 10,435 Fairfax County 116,053 25.95% 329,977 73.78% 1,222 0.27% 213,924 47.83% 447,252 Falls Church 1,181 15.54% 6,407 84.30% 12 0.16% 5,226 68.76% 7,600 Fauquier 19,894 57.55% 14,610 42.27% 62 0.18% −5,284 −15.29% 34,566 Floyd 4,806 64.73% 2,603 35.06% 16 0.22% −2,203 −29.67% 7,425 Fluvanna 6,718 49.95% 6,712 49.91% 19 0.14% −6 −0.04% 13,449 Franklin City 1,084 36.93% 1,849 63.00% 2 0.07% 765 26.06% 2,935 Franklin County 16,317 70.37% 6,836 29.48% 36 0.16% −9,481 −40.89% 23,189 Frederick 23,130 59.32% 15,809 40.55% 51 0.13% −7,321 −18.78% 38,990 Fredericksburg 2,943 27.93% 7,561 71.76% 33 0.31% 4,618 43.83% 10,537 Galax 1,284 68.23% 597 31.72% 1 0.05% −687 −36.50% 1,882 Giles 4,983 73.48% 1,782 26.28% 16 0.24% −3,201 −47.21% 6,781 Gloucester 11,399 65.73% 5,912 34.09% 30 0.17% −5,487 −31.64% 17,341 Goochland 9,726 56.91% 7,339 42.95% 24 0.14% −2,387 −13.97% 17,089 Grayson 4,614 78.35% 1,264 21.46% 11 0.19% −3,350 −56.89% 5,889 Greene 5,458 57.39% 4,036 42.44% 16 0.17% −1,422 −14.95% 9,510 Greensville 1,427 42.76% 1,902 57.00% 8 0.24% 475 14.23% 3,337 Halifax 8,027 60.26% 5,272 39.58% 22 0.17% −2,755 −20.68% 13,321 Hampton 12,103 25.58% 35,129 74.23% 91 0.19% 23,026 48.66% 47,323 Hanover 36,278 60.10% 23,994 39.75% 95 0.16% −12,284 −20.35% 60,367 Harrisonburg 3,654 27.70% 9,512 72.12% 23 0.17% 5,858 44.42% 13,189 Henrico 45,627 30.53% 103,559 69.30% 260 0.17% 57,932 38.76% 149,446 Henry 11,150 63.71% 6,320 36.11% 30 0.17% −4,830 −27.60% 17,500 Highland 831 69.60% 362 30.32% 1 0.08% −469 −39.28% 1,194 Hopewell 2,610 39.10% 4,052 60.70% 13 0.19% 1,442 21.60% 6,675 Isle of Wight 10,931 56.95% 8,227 42.86% 37 0.19% −2,704 −14.09% 19,195 James City 19,029 44.57% 23,603 55.28% 63 0.15% 4,574 10.71% 42,695 King and Queen 1,985 60.50% 1,292 39.38% 4 0.12% −693 −21.12% 3,281 King George 6,909 59.33% 4,716 40.50% 20 0.17% −2,193 −18.83% 11,645 King William 6,033 66.56% 3,020 33.32% 11 0.12% −3,013 −33.24% 9,064 Lancaster 3,283 54.44% 2,734 45.34% 13 0.22% −549 −9.10% 6,030 Lee 5,439 84.13% 1,019 15.76% 7 0.11% −4,420 −68.37% 6,465 Lexington 686 31.66% 1,475 68.07% 6 0.28% 789 36.41% 2,167 Loudoun 59,278 35.22% 108,594 64.52% 444 0.26% 49,316 29.30% 168,316 Louisa 11,279 59.52% 7,628 40.25% 44 0.23% −3,651 −19.27% 18,951 Lunenburg 2,682 59.61% 1,806 40.14% 11 0.24% −876 −19.47% 4,499 Lynchburg 13,508 50.41% 13,231 49.38% 56 0.21% −277 −1.03% 26,795 Madison 4,259 64.01% 2,386 35.86% 9 0.14% −1,873 −28.15% 6,654 Manassas 4,036 34.42% 7,671 65.42% 18 0.15% 3,635 31.00% 11,725 Manassas Park 1,151 28.72% 2,852 71.16% 5 0.12% 1,701 42.44% 4,008 Martinsville 1,451 36.35% 2,534 63.48% 7 0.18% 1,083 27.13% 3,992 Mathews 3,242 67.51% 1,555 32.38% 5 0.10% −1,687 −35.13% 4,802 Mecklenburg 7,151 60.50% 4,657 39.40% 11 0.09% −2,494 −21.10% 11,819 Middlesex 3,473 61.44% 2,174 38.46% 6 0.11% −1,299 −22.98% 5,653 Montgomery 15,228 41.46% 21,428 58.34% 76 0.21% 6,200 16.88% 36,732 Nelson 3,828 49.55% 3,880 50.23% 17 0.22% 52 0.67% 7,725 New Kent 8,804 63.28% 5,087 36.56% 22 0.16% −3,717 −26.72% 13,913 Newport News 17,461 30.91% 38,936 68.93% 92 0.16% 21,475 38.02% 56,489 Norfolk 15,509 24.15% 48,599 75.68% 111 0.17% 33,090 51.53% 64,219 Northampton 2,469 44.59% 3,060 55.26% 8 0.14% 591 10.67% 5,537 Northumberland 4,132 60.47% 2,685 39.29% 16 0.23% −1,447 −21.18% 6,833 Norton 721 68.34% 332 31.47% 2 0.19% −389 −36.87% 1,055 Nottoway 3,122 57.91% 2,258 41.88% 11 0.20% −864 −16.03% 5,391 Orange 9,938 57.34% 7,361 42.47% 33 0.19% −2,577 −14.87% 17,332 Page 6,940 74.39% 2,365 25.35% 24 0.26% −4,575 −49.04% 9,329 Patrick 5,119 77.42% 1,488 22.50% 5 0.08% −3,631 −54.92% 6,612 Petersburg 1,124 11.29% 8,811 88.46% 25 0.25% 7,687 77.18% 9,960 Pittsylvania 17,439 70.46% 7,272 29.38% 38 0.15% −10,167 −41.08% 24,749 Poquoson 4,384 70.01% 1,862 29.73% 16 0.26% −2,522 −40.27% 6,262 Portsmouth 8,351 26.55% 23,040 73.25% 62 0.20% 14,689 46.70% 31,453 Powhatan 11,862 69.57% 5,168 30.31% 21 0.12% −6,694 −39.26% 17,051 Prince Edward 3,668 49.20% 3,767 50.53% 20 0.27% 99 1.33% 7,455 Prince George 7,986 58.27% 5,707 41.64% 13 0.09% −2,279 −16.63% 13,706 Prince William 54,309 32.74% 111,198 67.03% 381 0.23% 56,889 34.29% 165,888 Pulaski 8,607 68.55% 3,927 31.28% 22 0.18% −4,680 −37.27% 12,556 Radford 2,050 43.68% 2,632 56.08% 11 0.23% 582 12.40% 4,693 Rappahannock 2,231 55.10% 1,812 44.75% 6 0.15% −419 −10.35% 4,049 Richmond City 11,883 13.04% 79,019 86.73% 212 0.23% 67,136 73.68% 91,114 Richmond County 1,997 63.88% 1,124 35.96% 5 0.16% −873 −27.93% 3,126 Roanoke City 10,153 32.82% 20,700 66.91% 83 0.27% 10,547 34.09% 30,936 Roanoke County 24,728 57.66% 18,062 42.12% 97 0.23% −6,666 −15.54% 42,887 Rockbridge 6,599 64.93% 3,557 35.00% 7 0.07% −3,042 −29.93% 10,163 Rockingham 24,498 67.68% 11,622 32.11% 76 0.21% −12,876 −35.57% 36,196 Russell 7,268 81.13% 1,673 18.68% 17 0.19% −5,595 −62.46% 8,958 Salem 5,282 55.81% 4,150 43.85% 32 0.34% −1,132 −11.96% 9,464 Scott 6,103 83.00% 1,235 16.80% 15 0.20% −4,868 −66.20% 7,353 Shenandoah 12,488 68.53% 5,698 31.27% 37 0.20% −6,790 −37.26% 18,223 Smyth 7,712 76.90% 2,298 22.92% 18 0.18% −5,414 −53.99% 10,028 Southampton 4,492 60.34% 2,945 39.56% 8 0.11% −1,547 −20.78% 7,445 Spotsylvania 29,015 48.47% 30,748 51.36% 104 0.17% 1,733 2.89% 59,867 Stafford 27,774 43.94% 35,327 55.88% 115 0.18% 7,553 11.95% 63,216 Staunton 4,236 39.10% 6,580 60.73% 18 0.17% 2,344 21.64% 10,834 Suffolk 15,935 38.20% 25,696 61.60% 80 0.19% 9,761 23.40% 41,711 Surry 1,707 47.63% 1,873 52.26% 4 0.11% 166 4.63% 3,584 Sussex 1,802 46.91% 2,035 52.98% 4 0.10% 233 6.07% 3,841 Tazewell 10,407 82.10% 2,248 17.73% 21 0.17% −8,159 −64.37% 12,676 Virginia Beach 75,013 44.22% 94,339 55.62% 269 0.16% 19,326 11.39% 169,621 Warren 10,433 64.29% 5,757 35.47% 39 0.24% −4,676 −28.81% 16,229 Washington 15,614 74.21% 5,382 25.58% 43 0.20% −10,232 −48.63% 21,039 Waynesboro 4,037 47.46% 4,459 52.42% 11 0.13% 422 4.96% 8,507 Westmoreland 4,396 54.02% 3,733 45.88% 8 0.10% −663 −8.15% 8,137 Williamsburg 1,647 24.51% 5,063 75.35% 9 0.13% 3,416 50.84% 6,719 Winchester 3,485 39.52% 5,318 60.30% 16 0.18% 1,833 20.78% 8,819 Wise 8,744 79.15% 2,281 20.65% 22 0.20% −6,463 −58.50% 11,047 Wythe 8,426 76.29% 2,594 23.49% 24 0.22% −5,832 −52.81% 11,044 York 15,684 49.79% 15,769 50.06% 47 0.15% 85 0.27% 31,500 Totals 1,449,586 42.22% 1,976,857 57.58% 6,897 0.20% 527,271 15.36% 3,433,340
Swing by county and independent city Trend by county and independent city Democratic — >15%
Democratic — +12.5−15%
Democratic — +10−12.5%
Democratic — +7.5-10%
Democratic — +5−7.5%
Democratic — +2.5−5%
Democratic — +0−2.5%
Republican — +0−2.5%
Republican — +2.5−5%
Republican — +5−7.5%
Republican — +7.5−10%
Republican — +10−12.5%
Republican — +12.5−15%
County and independent city flipsDemocratic
Hold
Gain from Republican
Republican
Hold
Counties and independent cities that flipped from Republican to Democratic [ edit ] By congressional district [ edit ] Spanberger won eight of 11 congressional districts, including two held by Republicans.[ 189]
Aftermath and analysis [ edit ] The result was a landslide victory for Spanberger who set a record for most votes received by a gubernatorial candidate in Virginia. Spanberger's sizable victory was attributed to concerns over affordability, Earle-Sears' tendency to change staff and failure to find a convincing message, Spanberger's fundraising advantage, a significant decline in turnout in heavily-Republican Southwest Virginia, and outrage in Northern Virginia over the mass layoffs of federal workers as part of President Donald Trump's efforts to downsize thefederal government .[ 190] U.S. economy under Trump, which many Virginians blamed onhis tariff policies , also played a factor in motivating Spanberger voters.[ 191] Northern Virginia which contributed to her large victory margin.[ 192]
Northern Virginia backed 88% of her statewide margin where every locality in the region saw her margin increase significantly fromMcAuliffe's performance in2021 . She could've won statewide without Northern Virginia by three points.[ 193]
Spanberger did well with college-educated voters, winning voters with college degrees by 27 points (63%-36%). Many college campuses shifted leftward by 18 points on average due to young voters.Virginia Tech shifted 34 points to the left, which was the largest shift of all the college campuses. Spanberger’s strongest independent city wasCharlottesville where theUniversity of Virginia is — heralma mater . The evangelicalLiberty University inLynchburg shifted to the left by six points.[ 194] 2021 . Spanberger narrowly won non-college educated voters (50%-49%) despite Youngkin's 19-point margin (59%-40%) with non-college educated voters from 2021.[ 195]
This is the first time since1985 that a Democrat carriedSpotsylvania County , a notable Republican stronghold, as well asWaynesboro City .Stafford County also flipped for the first time since 1985, though Harris won Stafford in2024 .Nelson County andCaroline County also voted Democratic for the first time since2013 .James City County voted Democratic for the first time since2005 , although it voted Democratic in 2020 and 2024.[ 196] York County , which voted Democratic for the first time since1965 .[ 197] 2024 .[ 198]
2025 Virginia gubernatorial election voter demographics (CNN)[ 199] Demographic subgroup Spanberger Earle-Sears % of Ideology Liberals 96 4 33 Moderates 69 31 33 Conservatives 10 90 35 Party Democrats 99 1 36 Republicans 7 93 31 Independents 59 40 33 Donald Trump job approval Approve 6 94 39 Disapprove 92 7 59 Most important issue facing Virginia Economy 63 36 48 Health care 81 18 21 Education 55 45 11 Immigration 11 89 11 2024 presidential vote Kamala Harris 99 1 51 Donald Trump 7 93 42 Another candidate 61 36 2 Did not vote 61 39 3 Gender Men 48 51 47 Women 65 35 53 Income $200,000 or more 64 36 14 $100,000-$199,999 51 48 28 $50,000-$99,999 58 42 31 Less than $50,000 63 37 26 Race/ethnicity White 47 53 71 Asian 80 20 4 Latino 67 33 5 Black 93 7 16 White born-again or evangelical Christian? Yes 20 80 28 No 71 29 72 Race by gender White men 38 61 34 White women 54 46 36 Black men 89 11 7 Black women 96 3 9 Latino men 53 47 2 Latina women 78 22 2 All other voters 73 27 9 Age 18–29 years old 70 29 13 30–44 years old 62 38 20 45-64 years old 55 45 35 65 and older 51 49 32 Area type Urban 66 34 19 Suburban 59 41 57 Rural 46 54 24 Education College graduate 63 36 52 No college degree 50 49 48 Education by race White college graduates 57 43 38 Non-white college graduates 80 19 14 Whites without college 34 66 33 Non-whites without college 85 15 15 Education by gender and race White women with college degrees 65 35 20 White women without college degrees 39 60 16 White men with college degrees 48 52 18 White men without college degrees 29 71 17 Voters of color 83 17 30 Educational attainment Advanced degree 68 32 23 Bachelor's degree 60 40 29 Associate's degree 53 47 10 Some college 55 45 17 Never attended college 46 54 21
^ From May 21 to September 10, 2025, Virginia's 11th congressional district was vacant after the death of Democratic Representative Gerry Connolly. This temporarily created a split 5-5 U.S. House delegation in the state. Democrats' 6-5 majority was restored when Democrat James Walkinshaw won the September 9 special election. ^ Commonly referred to asDOGE . ^a b c d Key: ^ Held office as a Republican ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined. ^ Donna Charles with 5% ^a b c d e Donna Charles with 1% ^ "Would not vote" with 0% ^ Donna Charles with 4% ^ "Refused" with 2%; "Some other candidate" with 1% ^ "Refused" with 1%; Donna Charles with 0% ^ "Neither" and "Would not vote" with 1% ^ "Neither" with 3%; "Would not vote" with 2% ^a b c d Donna Charles with 2% ^ "None of these" with 1% ^ "Neither" and "Would not vote" with 2% ^ "Other" with 1% ^a b "Wouldn't vote" with 1%; "Someone else" with 1% ^ Donna Charles with 3% ^ "Some other candidate" with 1% ^ Donna Charles with 8% ^ "Some other candidate" with 3% ^ Denver Riggleman with 7% ^a b "Someone else" with 4% ^ "Someone else" with 5% ^ "Wouldn't vote" with 4%; "Someone else" with 1% ^ "Someone else" with 2%. "Don't know/Refused" with 4% ^ "None / Would not vote" with 5%; "Other candidate" with 4%; "Refused" with 1% Partisan clients
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Winsome Earle-Sears still the GOP favorite after governor's race shakeup?" .WAVY.com .Archived from the original on May 25, 2025. RetrievedFebruary 28, 2025 . ^ Jarvis, Brandon (April 5, 2025)."Sears is the Republican nominee for governor" .Virginia Scope Archived from the original on July 10, 2025. RetrievedApril 5, 2025 . ^a b Carey, Julie (April 7, 2025)."Earle-Sears vs. Spanberger: Virginia governor's race set without "Trump in heels", ex-delegate" .NBC Washington .Archived from the original on May 8, 2025. RetrievedMay 23, 2025 . ^ Vozzella, Laura (November 17, 2024)."Virginia AG Jason Miyares says he will run for re-election, not governor" .The Washington Post ^ Andrew Solender [@andrewsolender] (December 4, 2024)."Virginia Rep. Rob Wittman is "not considering a run for Governor in 2025", his campaign tells me. "Congressman Wittman is looking forward to serving his constituents in the 119th Congress and running for re-election to Congress in 2026." (Tweet ). 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RetrievedAugust 27, 2025 . ^ "Virginia governor nominees face-off in only debate before election day" .WJLA.com . October 9, 2025.Archived from the original on October 10, 2025. RetrievedOctober 9, 2025 .^a b "Abigail Spanberger and Winsome Earle-Sears clash over Jay Jones' violent texts in lone Virginia governor's debate" .NBC News . October 10, 2025. RetrievedOctober 11, 2025 .^ Khalil, Jahd (October 10, 2025)."What did Virginians learn from the sole Spanberger and Earle-Sears debate?" .VPM . RetrievedOctober 11, 2025 . ^ "BEYOND THE PODIUM: Virginia Gubernatorial Forum" .YouTube . ABC 7 News. October 28, 2025. Event occurs at 3:30.^ "Virginia Gubernatorial Debate" .YouTube ^ "2025 Governor Race Ratings" .The Cook Political Report . RetrievedDecember 19, 2024 .^ "Gubernatorial Ratings | Inside Elections" .Inside Elections Archived from the original on January 15, 2026. RetrievedFebruary 7, 2025 .^ Coleman, J. 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Archived fromthe original on November 5, 2025. RetrievedOctober 13, 2025 .^ Nuechterlein, Kate (July 25, 2025)."McGuire makes surprise roadside campaign stop in Charlottesville for Earle-Sears" .29News . Archived fromthe original on October 7, 2025. RetrievedAugust 19, 2025 . ^ Woods, Charlotte (August 15, 2025)."In Chesterfield, Earle-Sears slams Spanberger, revives Youngkin's winning campaign slogans" .Virginia Mercury . Archived fromthe original on February 7, 2026. RetrievedAugust 19, 2025 . ^ Diaz, Olivia (November 18, 2024)."Virginia Attorney General Jason Miyares will seek re-election, quelling talk of a gubernatorial bid" .The Associated Press the original on November 5, 2025. RetrievedNovember 18, 2024 . ^ "Candidates for Virginia governor want to make history, but voters are fatigued" .VPM . January 28, 2025. Archived fromthe original on November 5, 2025. RetrievedAugust 19, 2025 .^ LaRoue, Jimmy (September 18, 2025)."Earle-Sears wins endorsements of 81 Virginia sheriffs" .WAVY 10 . Archived fromthe original on October 25, 2025. RetrievedOctober 1, 2025 . ^ Creitz, Charles (September 10, 2025)."Ramaswamy endorses Winsome Earle-Sears for Virginia governor, rally planned next week in swing suburb" .Fox News the original on October 12, 2025. RetrievedSeptember 10, 2025 . ^ "Maggie's List Proudly Endorses Winsome Earle-Sears for Virginia Governor" .Maggie's List the original on September 6, 2025. RetrievedFebruary 24, 2025 .^ "NFIB Virginia PAC Endorses Winsome Earle-Sears for Governor" .NFIB . National Federation of Independent Business. October 15, 2025. Archived fromthe original on November 8, 2025. RetrievedOctober 21, 2025 .^ "The National Right to Life Committee endorses the following candidates in vitally important races in Virginia!" (PDF) .National Right to Life Committee . Archived fromthe original (PDF) on November 21, 2025. RetrievedOctober 1, 2025 .^ "NRA's Political Victory Fund Endorses Lieutenant Governor Winsome Sears, Attorney General Jason Miyares and John Reid" .NRA-PVF . August 6, 2025. Archived fromthe original on February 7, 2026. RetrievedAugust 19, 2025 .^ "Political Action Committee - Virginia Citizens Defense League" .Virginia Citizens Defense League the original on February 7, 2026. RetrievedOctober 13, 2025 .^ @VACollegeGOP (October 3, 2025)."ENDORSEMENT ALERT The Virginia College Republicans board has voted to endorse: WINSOME EARLE-SEARS for Governor JASON MIYARES for Attorney General" (Tweet ). RetrievedOctober 13, 2025 – viaTwitter . ^a b Nadeau, Ryan (October 21, 2025)."Spanberger rallies alongside Buttigieg, Bill Nye in Charlottesville as Election Day approaches" .8News' the original on February 7, 2026. RetrievedOctober 21, 2025 . ^ Bowman, Bridget (October 16, 2025)."Obama endorses Abigail Spanberger in Virginia's race for governor" .NBC News the original on October 16, 2025. RetrievedOctober 16, 2025 . ^a b Chase, Kenzie (October 8, 2025)."Who has endorsed your candidate for Virginia governor?" .WJHL . Archived fromthe original on February 7, 2026. RetrievedOctober 24, 2025 . ^a b Glass, Maggie (November 3, 2025)."Spanberger holds rally on VCU campus in final push for Virginia governor's race" .WWBT the original on November 5, 2025. RetrievedNovember 4, 2025 .Congresswoman Jennifer McClellan and Michigan Senator Elissa Slotkin joined her. ^a b Graham, Chris (November 15, 2023)."Beyer, Connolly endorse Abigail Spanberger in 2025 Virginia governor race" .Augusta Free Press . Archived fromthe original on November 5, 2025. RetrievedNovember 15, 2023 . ^a b Woodall, Hunter (September 17, 2025)."Abigail Spanberger gets show of support from 2 former GOP lawmakers in bid to be Virginia governor" .CBS News the original on January 18, 2026. RetrievedSeptember 17, 2025 . ^ Martz, Michael (November 23, 2023)."Spanberger broadens support with Perriello endorsement" .The Daily Progress the original on February 7, 2026. RetrievedNovember 27, 2023 . ^ Nir, David (December 17, 2024)."Morning Digest: Kathy Hochul could face a challenge from her own lieutenant governor" .The Downballot . Archived fromthe original on February 7, 2026. RetrievedDecember 17, 2024 . ^ "Vindman endorses Spanberger for governor" .Culpeper Star-Exponent the original on February 7, 2026. RetrievedDecember 20, 2024 .^a b Martz, Michael (November 15, 2023)."Northam endorses Spanberger in run for governor" .Richmond Times-Dispatch the original on February 16, 2024. RetrievedNovember 15, 2023 . ^ Swick, Carson (October 31, 2025)."Maryland Gov. Wes Moore to make multi-stop push for Spanberger in Virginia" .The Baltimore Sun the original on November 6, 2025. RetrievedOctober 31, 2025 . ^ Woodall, Hunter (October 23, 2025)."Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro heading to Virginia in final stretch of Spanberger's gubernatorial campaign - CBS News" .CBS News the original on November 5, 2025. RetrievedOctober 23, 2025 . ^ "Lucas endorsed Spanberger signaling peace for Virginia Democrats" .Virginia Scope . May 21, 2025. Archived fromthe original on January 14, 2026. RetrievedAugust 30, 2025 .^ Schmidt, Markus (September 23, 2025)."Morrissey breaks with Democrats, backs GOP's John Reid for lieutenant governor" .States Newsroom the original on December 30, 2025. RetrievedSeptember 23, 2025 . ^ Rene Woods, Charlotte (September 10, 2024)."Virginia House Speaker Don Scott endorses Abigail Spanberger for governor" .VirginiaMercury.com . Archived fromthe original on December 30, 2025. RetrievedJune 30, 2025 . ^ Beckford, Patriceia (August 13, 2025)."Virginia Police Benevolent Association endorses Abigail Spanberger for governor" .13 News Now . Archived fromthe original on February 7, 2026. ^ Cannon, Benjy (March 31, 2025)."UNITE HERE Endorses Abigail Spanberger for Virginia Governor" .UNITE HERE! . Archived fromthe original on January 26, 2026. RetrievedOctober 24, 2025 . ^ "Largest Federal Employee Union Endorses Abigail Spanberger for Election as Virginia's Next Governor" .American Federation of Government Employees . September 25, 2025. Archived fromthe original on February 3, 2026. RetrievedOctober 24, 2025 .^ "ANCA endorses Abigail Spanberger for Virginia Governor" . October 28, 2025. Archived fromthe original on November 19, 2025.^ "Brady PAC Endorses Abigail Spanberger for Governor of Virginia" .Brady PAC . November 30, 2023. Archived fromthe original on October 13, 2025. RetrievedNovember 30, 2023 .^ Martz, Michael (April 15, 2024)."Clean Virginia endorses Spanberger in governor's race" .Richmond Times-Dispatch . Archived fromthe original on February 7, 2026. ^ "End Citizens United // Let America Vote Endorses Congresswoman Abigail Spanberger for Virginia Governor" .End Citizens United . April 17, 2024. Archived fromthe original on February 5, 2026. RetrievedMay 6, 2024 .^ "EMILYs List Endorses Abigail Spanberger for Governor of Virginia" .EMILY's List the original on February 7, 2026. RetrievedDecember 20, 2023 .^ "Everytown for Gun Safety Endorses Abigail Spanberger, Former Moms Demand Action Volunteer, for Governor of Virginia; Announces $1 Million Investment in Virginia Governor's Race" .Everytown.org . April 10, 2025. Archived fromthe original on February 7, 2026. RetrievedJune 30, 2025 .^ "GIFFORDS PAC Endorses Abigail Spanberger for Virginia Governor" .Giffords . May 22, 2024. Archived fromthe original on February 7, 2026. RetrievedJune 3, 2024 .^ "Human Rights Campaign PAC Endorses Abigail Spanberger for Virginia…" .HRC . April 22, 2025. Archived fromthe original on February 7, 2026.^ McDonald, Joel (April 29, 2025)."LGBT+ Democrats of Virginia Proudly Endorse Abigail Spanberger for Governor" .LGBT+ Democrats of Virginia . Archived fromthe original on February 7, 2026. RetrievedJune 18, 2025 . ^ "2025 Endorsed Candidates – Virginia NOW" .vanow.org . Archived fromthe original on February 7, 2026.^ "Reproductive Freedom for All Endorses Abigail Spanberger for Virginia Governor" .Reproductive Freedom for All . June 4, 2025. Archived fromthe original on February 7, 2026. RetrievedJune 18, 2025 .^ "Virginia LCV Announces Endorsement of Spanberger in Pivotal 2025 Governor's Race" .VALCV.org . February 20, 2025. Archived fromthe original on February 7, 2026.^ "Vote Mama PAC | Candidates" .Vote Mama PAC . Archived fromthe original on October 10, 2025. RetrievedDecember 11, 2023 .^ "VoteVets PAC Endorses Spanberger for Governor of Virginia" .VoteVets . November 29, 2023. Archived fromthe original on October 13, 2025. RetrievedNovember 29, 2023 .^ "2025 Polls: Virginia Governor" .270toWin Archived from the original on January 19, 2026. RetrievedJanuary 19, 2025 .^ "Virginia Governor General Ballot Test" .Decision Desk HQ Archived from the original on December 19, 2025. RetrievedAugust 30, 2025 .^ "Virginia General Governor Election" .FiftyPlusOne .Archived from the original on November 23, 2025. RetrievedOctober 20, 2025 .^ "2025–2026 Governor Polling" .Race to the White House . Archived fromthe original on January 25, 2026. RetrievedSeptember 18, 2025 .^ "2025 Virginia Governor – Earle-Sears vs. Spanberger" .RealClearPolitics the original on February 6, 2026. RetrievedAugust 28, 2025 .^ "Who leads the 2025 Virginia gubernatorial race?" .VoteHub .Archived from the original on January 17, 2026. RetrievedOctober 21, 2025 .^ @QuantusInsights (November 4, 2025)."NEW QUANTUS INSIGHTS POLL: Virginia Snap Poll 2025 – N=1201 LVs, MoE ±2.7%" (Tweet ). RetrievedNovember 4, 2025 – viaTwitter . Wayback Machine ^ "Final InsiderAdvantage Survey Virginia Governor's Race: Winsome Earle-Sears Continues to Slide; Spanberger up by Ten Points" .InsiderAdvantage . November 3, 2025. Archived fromthe original on January 20, 2026. RetrievedNovember 3, 2025 .^ Canseco, Mario (November 3, 2025)."Spanberger Clearly Ahead in Virginia's Gubernatorial Election" .Research Co . Archived fromthe original on January 26, 2026. RetrievedNovember 3, 2025 . ^ "Virginia Governor General Election Survey – November 2025" (PDF) .The Trafalgar Group the original (PDF) on January 20, 2026. RetrievedNovember 3, 2025 .^ "Virginia 2025: Spanberger Leads Virginia Governor's Race; Attorney General Contest Remains a Toss-Up" .Emerson College . November 2, 2025. Archived fromthe original on January 18, 2026. RetrievedNovember 2, 2025 .^ "2025 Virginia Election Survey" .Echelon Insights . Archived fromthe original on December 25, 2025. RetrievedOctober 31, 2025 .^ "Atlas Poll - Virginia Gubernatorial Election - October 2025" (PDF) .AtlasIntel the original (PDF) on December 30, 2025. RetrievedOctober 31, 2025 .^ "Virginians May Split Their Tickets in November, SoCal Strategies Poll Finds" .SoCal Strategies on Substack . October 30, 2025. Archived fromthe original on January 26, 2026. RetrievedOctober 30, 2025 .^ Radcliffe, Mary; Nuttycombe, Chaz (November 2025)."Virginia Poll Shows Spanberger Maintaining Wide Lead, and a Dead Heat for Attorney General" .State Navigate . Archived fromthe original on November 1, 2025. RetrievedNovember 1, 2025 . ^ "Virginia Race for Governor Joint InsiderAdvantage/Trafalgar Group Survey: Spanberger Holds Four Point Lead" .InsiderAdvantage . October 30, 2025. Archived fromthe original on November 4, 2025. RetrievedOctober 30, 2025 .^ "Spanberger leads Earle-Sears by double digits; Jones now trails Miyares" .Roanoke College the original on January 18, 2026. RetrievedOctober 30, 2025 .^ "Virginia Gubernatorial Election" (PDF) .YouGov the original (PDF) on January 8, 2026. RetrievedOctober 30, 2025 .^ "A2 Insights Virginia Poll" .A2 Insights . October 27, 2025. Archived fromthe original on January 13, 2026. RetrievedOctober 27, 2025 .^ "Spanberger Leads Earle-Sears by 7 Points" .The Wason Center . October 27, 2025. Archived fromthe original on January 18, 2026. RetrievedOctober 27, 2025 .^ "Virginia Governor Statewide & Bellwethers marginals" (PDF) .Suffolk University the original (PDF) on January 2, 2026. RetrievedOctober 23, 2025 .^ "Quantus Insights Poll: Split Decision in Virginia" .Quantus Insights . October 21, 2025. Archived fromthe original on January 26, 2026. RetrievedOctober 21, 2025 .^ Radcliffe, Mary; Nuttycombe, Chaz (October 22, 2025)."State Navigate Poll Shows Spanberger with 13-Point Lead in Virginia Governor Race" .State Navigate . Archived fromthe original on October 22, 2025. RetrievedOctober 22, 2025 . ^ "Washington Post/Schar School October Poll" (PDF) .Washington Post the original (PDF) on October 28, 2025. RetrievedOctober 23, 2025 .^ "Virginia 2025: Spanberger Leads Statewide as Voters Split Their Tickets" (PDF) .Kaplan Strategies . October 19, 2025. Archived fromthe original (PDF) on October 24, 2025. RetrievedOctober 19, 2025 .^ "Virginia Statewide 2025 General Election" .co/efficient . October 17, 2025. Archived fromthe original on December 30, 2025. RetrievedOctober 20, 2025 .^ "The Virginia Attorney General race remains a dead heat" (PDF) .Clarity Campaign Labs . October 21, 2025. Archived fromthe original (PDF) on December 30, 2025. RetrievedOctober 21, 2025 .^ "Virginia Statewide Poll, October 2025" .The Trafalgar Group . October 16, 2025. Archived fromthe original on December 31, 2025. RetrievedOctober 16, 2025 .^ Wilder, Douglas (October 21, 2025)."Commonwealth Poll: Spanberger leads Earle-Sears 49% to 42% in Virginia governor's race" .Virginia Commonwealth University . Archived fromthe original on January 18, 2026. RetrievedOctober 21, 2025 . ^ "Virginia Statewide Poll, October 2025" .The Trafalgar Group . October 10, 2025. Archived fromthe original on December 5, 2025. RetrievedOctober 10, 2025 .^ "Virginia Survey Results" (PDF) .Public Policy Polling the original (PDF) on November 1, 2025. RetrievedOctober 9, 2025 .^a b Mates, Thomas; Minock, Nick (October 9, 2025)."New poll shows Virginia governor's race tightening, Spanberger still leads" .WJLA-TV the original on January 25, 2026. RetrievedOctober 9, 2025 . ^ "Spanberger Leads Earle-Sears by 10 Points in the Race for Governor" .The Wason Center . October 6, 2025. Archived fromthe original on January 11, 2026. RetrievedOctober 6, 2025 .^ "Virginia Statewide Poll, Sept-Oct 2025" .The Trafalgar Group the original on December 23, 2025. RetrievedOctober 2, 2025 .^ "Virginia 2025 Poll: Spanberger Holds 10-Point Lead over Earle-Sears for Governor" .Emerson College Polling the original on December 6, 2025. RetrievedOctober 2, 2025 .^ "Spanberger holds wide lead in Virginia governor's race, Post-Schar School poll finds" (PDF) .The Washington Post the original (PDF) on January 25, 2026. RetrievedOctober 3, 2025 .^ Givas, Nick (October 5, 2025)."Stunning Poll Shows Virginia GOP's Winsome Earle-Sears Surging in Gubernatorial Race Just Weeks Before Election" .Western Journal the original on November 9, 2025. RetrievedSeptember 30, 2025 . ^ "Virginia Statewide General Election 2025" .co/efficient . September 23, 2025. Archived fromthe original on January 25, 2026. RetrievedSeptember 25, 2025 .^ McLaughlin, Seth (September 25, 2025)."Virginia AG Miyares gains ground in reelection push as GOP rallies against political violence: Poll" .The Washington Times the original on October 25, 2025. RetrievedSeptember 25, 2025 . ^ "In the Race for Governor Spanberger Leads Earle Sears by 12 Points Among Virginia Likely Voters" .Christopher Newport University the original on January 18, 2026. RetrievedSeptember 18, 2025 .^ Guerra, Shirleen (September 10, 2025)."Reid leads Hashmi in campaign's internal poll" .The Center Square the original on January 25, 2026. RetrievedSeptember 10, 2025 . ^ "Democrats Poised to Win All Statewide Virginia Elections in 2025, New SoCal Strategies Poll Finds" .Substack the original on November 5, 2025. RetrievedSeptember 1, 2025 .^ "Spanberger maintains lead in race for governor" .Virginia Commonwealth University . September 9, 2025. Archived fromthe original on December 24, 2025. RetrievedSeptember 9, 2025 .^ "Virginia Statewide 2025 General Election" (PDF) .co/efficient . August 26, 2025. Archived fromthe original (PDF) on October 31, 2025. RetrievedAugust 27, 2025 .^ "Spanberger lead over Earle-Sears narrows" .Roanoke College the original on January 18, 2026. RetrievedAugust 19, 2025 .^ "VA Statewide Survey, July 2025" .Wick Insights . July 22, 2025. Archived fromthe original on November 5, 2025. RetrievedJuly 22, 2025 .^ "AARP 2025 Virginia Gubernatorial Survey: Annotated Questionnaire" (PDF) .AARP the original (PDF) on December 24, 2025. RetrievedOctober 7, 2025 .^ "Commonwealth Poll: In Virginia governor's race, Democratic candidate Spanberger leads GOP's Earle-Sears, 49% to 37%" .Virginia Commonwealth University the original on January 21, 2026. RetrievedJuly 16, 2025 .^ "Virginia Statewide 2025 General Election" (PDF) .co/efficient . June 10, 2025. Archived fromthe original (PDF) on November 29, 2025. RetrievedJune 13, 2025 .^ "Spanberger leads Earle-Sears in early poll; Political anxiety increases" .Roanoke College the original on January 18, 2026. RetrievedMay 22, 2025 .^ Martz, Michael (May 22, 2025)."Spanberger holds 4-point lead over Earle-Sears in new poll" .Richmond Times-Dispatch the original on August 30, 2025. RetrievedMay 22, 2025 . ^ Buchanan, Brent (March 4, 2025)."Virginia Governor Race Poll: Sears Positioned for Strong Showing" (PDF) .Cygnal . Archived fromthe original (PDF) on October 22, 2025. RetrievedMarch 4, 2025 . ^ "Roanoke College Poll: Spanberger leads Earle-Sears in early poll" .Roanoke College . February 25, 2025. Archived fromthe original on January 18, 2026. RetrievedFebruary 25, 2025 .^ "Virginia Car Tax Statewide Study" (PDF) .co/efficient . January 20, 2025. Archived fromthe original (PDF) on March 7, 2025. RetrievedJanuary 27, 2025 .^ "Commonwealth Poll: Virginians overwhelmingly concerned about cost of living" .Virginia Commonwealth University . January 24, 2025. Archived fromthe original on January 18, 2026. RetrievedJanuary 24, 2025 .^ "Spanberger holds a 5-point lead over Winsome Earle-Sears in Virginia Governor's Race with 16% undecided" .Christopher Newport University . January 16, 2025. Archived fromthe original on January 20, 2026. RetrievedJanuary 16, 2025 .^ "Virginia 2025 Poll: Spanberger (D) 42%, Earle-Sears (R) 41%" .Emerson College . January 9, 2025. Archived fromthe original on November 5, 2025. RetrievedJanuary 9, 2025 .^a b Schmidt, Markus (January 10, 2025)."Another poll confirms tight Virginia Governor's race between Spanberger and Earle-Sears" .Virginia Mercury . Archived fromthe original on September 7, 2025. RetrievedJanuary 10, 2025 . ^a b "2024 ANNUAL FALL STATEWIDE VA QUESTIONNAIRE" (PDF) .Univsersity of Mary Washington . September 20, 2024. Archived fromthe original (PDF) on June 29, 2025. RetrievedJanuary 27, 2025 .^a b "VA Absentee and Early Voting Opinion Poll" (PDF) . Founders Insight. September 11, 2023. Archived fromthe original (PDF) on March 31, 2025. RetrievedJanuary 27, 2025 .^ O'Bannon, John (November 4, 2025)."2025 November General" .Virginia Department of Elections . RetrievedNovember 4, 2025 .^ O'Bannon, John (October 10, 2025)."Governor" .Virginia Department of Elections . RetrievedOctober 13, 2025 .^ "VA 2025 Statewides by CD" .Google Sheets ^ Yancey, Dwayne (November 5, 2025)."13 reasons why Spanberger and the Democrats won so big. Trump is just one of them" .Cardinal News . RetrievedFebruary 1, 2026 . ^ Flynn, Meagan; Cox, Erin (November 5, 2025)."Five takeaways from Virginia's general election" .The Washington Post . RetrievedNovember 5, 2025 . ^ Barthel, Margaret (November 4, 2025)."Democrat Spanberger wins Virginia governor race with message on DOGE, cost of living" .NPR News Archived from the original on November 5, 2025. RetrievedDecember 7, 2025 . ^ Potter, Bruce (November 5, 2025)."Northern Virginia accounts for 88% of Spanberger's victory margin" .WTOPNews (InsideNoVa) . RetrievedDecember 5, 2025 .Northern Virginia accounted for about 88% of Gov.-elect Abigail Spanberger's victory margin on Tuesday, according to preliminary election results analyzed by InsideNoVa. In the region's four counties and five cities, Spanberger, the Democrat, won 72.3% of the total vote to just 27.4% for her Republican opponent, Lt. Gov. Winsome Earle-Sears. Across the rest of Virginia, the margin was much tighter, with Spanberger winning 51.2% to 48.7% for Earle-Sears. ^ Kutner, Brad (December 2, 2025)."Virginia's 2025 election certified, colleges swung hard left" .RadioIQ the original on January 28, 2026. RetrievedDecember 7, 2025 . ^ " .CNN Archived from the original on November 18, 2025. RetrievedJanuary 15, 2026 .^ Yancey, Dwayne (November 7, 2025)."Virginia's blue wave was real but not as big as it looked. Here are the numbers" .Cardinal News . Archived fromthe original on November 7, 2025. RetrievedNovember 7, 2025 . ^ Leip, David."Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections" .uselectionatlas.org . RetrievedNovember 9, 2025 . ^ Manzanares, Keyris (November 25, 2024)."How Virginia's Latinos voted in the 2024 election" .WHRO Public Media .Archived from the original on May 18, 2025. RetrievedDecember 7, 2025 . ^ "Exit polls for Election Results 2025 | CNN Politics" .CNN Archived from the original on November 16, 2025. RetrievedNovember 6, 2025 .Official campaign websites
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