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2025 Northern Cypriot presidential election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2025 Northern Cypriot presidential election

← 202019 October 20252030 →
Turnout64.87%
 
CandidateTufan ErhürmanErsin Tatar
PartyCTPIndependent
Popular vote87,13749,714
Percentage62.76%35.81%

Results bydistrict (green for Tufan Erhürman)

President before election

Ersin Tatar
Independent

ElectedPresident

Tufan Erhürman
CTP

Presidential elections were held inNorthern Cyprus on 19 October 2025.[1] Incumbent presidentErsin Tatar was defeated byTufan Erhürman of theRepublican Turkish Party (CTP), who received 63% of the vote.

Background

[edit]

Economic crisis

[edit]

In 2022, Northern Cyprus was affected by the devaluation of theTurkish lira as a result of theTurkish economic crisis. The increase in exchange rates increased import costs and fuelled inflation. In particular, food inflation reached 99%, reaching the highest level since the 1990s.[2] TheRussian invasion of Ukraine also negatively affected the TRNC by increasing energy and commodity prices.[3]

The high level of inflation has seriously reduced the purchasing power of the people, making it difficult to access basic necessities. Economic pressures have also affected family structure; an increase in divorce rates has been observed.[4]

The government sought economic support through financial protocols signed with Turkey. However, opinions differ on the effectiveness of these protocols.[3]

2025 protests

[edit]

In 2025, there was a wide public outcry after middle school student İkra Şimşek was not allowed into school because she was wearing a headscarf. Following this incident, the government published a regulation in the Official Gazette on 8 April 2025, on the grounds that it would eliminate a legal gap regarding the headscarf, and put it into effect. Although this decision was considered by some as a guarantee of individual freedoms, concerns that the principle of secularism was being eroded triggered social opposition.[5]

The beginning of the protests was announced at a press conference held on 4 April, led by the Cyprus Turkish Teachers' Union (KTÖS) and the Cyprus Turkish Secondary Education Teachers' Union (KTOEÖS). At this meeting, it was emphasized that they would not remain silent against political interventions targeting secular education and social structure, and it was announced that a large-scale action would be held with the participation of nearly 40 organizations.[5]

The participation of the children of the founding leaders of Northern Cyprus,Fazıl Küçük andRauf Denktaş, in the protests revealed that the defense of secularism was not limited to left-wing groups, but also found a response in nationalist circles that are sensitive about historical identity and independence.[5] The slogan “Cyprus will stay secular" came to the fore during the protests.[6]

Electoral system

[edit]

Presidential elections are held directly with universal suffrage and by secret ballot. Every citizen over the age of 18 has the right to vote. Presidential elections are held every 5 years and the age limit for the presidency is set at 35. In the TRNC, a candidate participating in the election must receive an absolute majority of the valid votes cast to be elected president. If none of the candidates receive an absolute majority, the election isrenewed after 7 days between the two candidates who receive the most votes and the candidate who receives the most votes is elected as the new president.[7]

Candidates

[edit]

National Unity Party

[edit]

On 2 June 2025 the Democrat Party and theRebirth Party held an event called "Common Sense Consensus" to support PresidentErsin Tatar's second-term candidacy. These three parties stated that they would partner for the next presidential election.[8]

The statement emphasized the importance of Turkish Cypriots defending their sovereignty in the face of theGreek Cypriot side's uncompromising stance and stated that Tatar's two-state solution policy reflects the will of the people. In his speech, President Tatar expressed his determination to promote the TRNC internationally and the need to strengthen the understanding of national unity.[8]

Tatar also had the support of theTurkish government.[9][10]

Republican Turkish Party

[edit]

On 6 April 2025 theRepublican Turkish Party Assembly unanimously voted for ChairmanTufan Erhürman as its presidential candidate. This decision was later approved by the CTP's congress. Erhürman received support not only within the party but also from independent members of parliament. He announced his candidacy on social media, emphasizing a presidential approach that would represent the integrity of the people.[11]

Mehmet Harmancı, the strongest potential candidate for theCommunal Democracy Party, called for his party to not field a candidate in the elections and support CTP candidateTufan Erhürman.[12]

Münür Rahvancıoğlu said thatIndependence Path might not field a candidate if only Erhürman and Tatar compete[13] but in the end, the party refused to endorse him.[14] İzzet İzcan of theUnited Cyprus Party avoided endorsing Erhürman directly but stated that they "support candidates who advocate for peace against those who uphold the status quo" and acknowledged the common views with Erhürman.[15]

Cyprus Socialist Party

[edit]

The party's Central Committee released a written statement announcing its decision to run its own candidate in the elections. During the nomination process, Osman Zorba, a member of the party's Central Committee, was selected as the presidential candidate, and the candidacy was announced to the public.[16]

Independent candidates

[edit]

Mehmet Hasgüler and Arif Salih Kırdağ announced that they would participate in the elections as independent candidates.[17][18] Although it was claimed thatSerdar Denktaş would also be a candidate due to a statement he made on July 18, 2024, he did not announce his candidacy.[19]

On October 18, the Supreme Election Council (YSK) announced that Hüseyin Gürlek applied to the Supreme Election Council and announced his withdrawal from the presidential candidacy. In accordance with the Election and Referendum Law, the name of the withdrawn candidate continued to appear on the ballot.[20] Hüseyin Gürlek announced he withdrew in favor ofErsin Tatar.[21]

Confirmed

[edit]

The final candidate list announced by the YSK is as follows:[22]

  • İbrahim Yazıcı – Independent
  • Osman Zorba – Cyprus Socialist Party
  • Ersin Tatar – Independent
  • Arif Salih Kırdağ – Independent
  • Mehmet Hasgüler – Independent
  • Tufan ErhürmanRepublican Turkish Party
  • Ahmet Boran – Independent
  • Hüseyin Gürlek – Independent

Campaign

[edit]

Tatar supported the continued division of Cyprus into two separate states while Erhurman supported a resumption of negotiations with Greek Cypriots towards a binational Cypriot federation and criticized Tatar's hardline stance for isolating the Turkish Cypriot community internationally.[23]

Opinion polls

[edit]
Fieldwork datePolling firmSample sizeErhürman
CTP
Siber
CTP
Tatar
UBP
Özersay
HP
Manavoğlu
HP
Arıklı
YDP
Harmancı
TDP
Denktaş
Independent
OthersLead
Election results14161562,7635,811,4326,95
4 OctPublic Global151647,9051,200,903,30
2 OctCMIRS50050,4040,609,009,80
Sep–OctGENAR~20040,0141,8018,101,79
AugustCMIRS50051,6346,641,744,99
AprilCMIRS50033,8035,106,606,205,804,508,001,30
4 AprilAnti-government protests broke out across TRNC.
8–21 MarGENAR20036,0037,906,807,107,004,600,601,90
MarchCMIRS50033,832,3435,116,601,916,175,744,473,931,28
2025
DecemberCMIRS50034,562,5929,817,994,545,188,212,164,964,75
SeptemberCMIRS50038,082,3437,023,192,773,199,361,912,141,06
JuneCMIRS50036,212,2729,837,613,084,737,825,143,316,38
2024

Results

[edit]

The turnout was 64.87% of registered voters. Tufan Erhürman of the Republican Turkish Party was elected president with 62.76% of the vote, while incumbent Ersin Tatar (independent) received 35.81%.

CandidatePartyVotes%
Tufan ErhürmanRepublican Turkish Party87,13762.76
Ersin TatarIndependent49,71435.81
Arif Salih Kırdağ [tr]Independent4590.33
Osman ZorbaCyprus Socialist Party [tr]4430.32
İbrahim YazıcıIndependent3300.24
Mehmet Hasgüler [tr]Independent3000.22
Hüseyin GürlekIndependent2570.19
Ahmet BoranIndependent1990.14
Total138,839100.00
Valid votes138,83998.04
Invalid/blank votes2,7761.96
Total votes141,615100.00
Registered voters/turnout218,31364.87
Source:Kıbrıs Postası

Aftermath

[edit]

At a victory rally inNorth Nicosia, Tufan Erhürman said the election was a victory for all Turkish Cypriots, adding that any steps to revive peace efforts with the Greek community would continue to be subject to consultation with Turkey. Greek Cypriot presidentNikos Christodoulides expressed congratulations, adding that he looks forward to meeting Erhürman as soon as possible and reiterated his readiness to resume peace talks.[24]

Turkish presidentRecep Tayyip Erdoğan congratulated Erhürman and said that Turkey would "continue to defend the rights and sovereign interests" of Northern Cyprus.[25] Turkish far-right leaderDevlet Bahçeli rejected the election results and called on theNorthern Cypriot parliament to pursue unification with Turkey.[26]

References

[edit]
  1. ^"Presidential Election in TRNC Set for October 19 — Key Dates Announced".Cyprus Mirror. 8 August 2025.
  2. ^"Year of crisis".Yeni Duzen. 31 December 2022.
  3. ^ab"The financial protocol signed with Türkiye contains opportunities for the financial structure of the TRNC".Anadolu Agency. 10 June 2022. Archived fromthe original on 10 June 2022.
  4. ^"TRNC economy is breaking homes! Divorce numbers are frightening!".Ekonomi Kibris. 15 January 2025.
  5. ^abc"Headscarf protests in TRNC: How did the discussions begin?".EuroNews. 10 April 2025.
  6. ^"Turkish Cypriots protest over what they say is Turkey's introduction of Islam into education system".Associated Press News. 2 May 2025. Retrieved23 October 2025.
  7. ^"TRNC Supreme Election Board".Supreme Election Board. 12 February 2020. Archived fromthe original on 9 August 2019.
  8. ^ab"KKTC'de koalisyon hükümetindeki 3 parti ortak adayları Cumhurbaşkanı Tatar'a desteklerini açıkladı". 3 June 2025.
  9. ^"Pro-reunification candidate wins north Cyprus election".Financial Times.
  10. ^Smith, Helena."Landslide win for pro-EU Turkish Cypriot candidate raises hopes for peace".The Guardian.
  11. ^"CTP'de kurultay günü: Erhürman'ın adaylığı onaylanıyor". 6 June 2025.
  12. ^"Erhürman'ın Desteklenmesi Gerektiği".Facebook.
  13. ^"Rahvancıoğlu: Sadece Tatar ve Erhürman aday olursa, Bağımsızlık Yolu'nun aday çıkarmama olasılığı var" (in Turkish). 28 June 2025.
  14. ^"Kuzey Kıbrıs seçime gidiyor: Saray Tatar için seferber; sosyalistler Tatar'ın karşısında, Erhürman'ın ensesinde" (in Turkish). 18 October 2025.
  15. ^"BKP: "Cumhurbaşkanlığı seçiminde federasyondan yana olan adayları destekleyeceğiz"" (in Turkish). 24 September 2025.
  16. ^Yüksel, Emine (31 July 2025)."KSP, Cumhurbaşkanlığı seçimine kendi adayıyla katılacak".Bugün Kıbrıs. Retrieved12 September 2025.
  17. ^"Kıbrıs'ta son söz Kıbrıslılar'da olmalı".Yeni Arayış (in Turkish). 24 June 2025.Archived from the original on 25 June 2025. Retrieved25 June 2025.
  18. ^"Arif Salih Kırdağ yeniden sahnede: Sandığın gediklisi".KIBRIS POSTASI (in Turkish). Archived fromthe original on 28 August 2025. Retrieved28 August 2025.
  19. ^"Serdar Denktaş'tan Cumhurbaşkanlığı adaylığı sinyali: Niyetim var" [Serdar Denktaş signals presidential candidacy: I intend to].Kıbrıs Postası (in Turkish). 18 July 2024.Archived from the original on 22 March 2025. Retrieved14 September 2025.
  20. ^"Bağımsız aday Hüseyin Gürlek cumhurbaşkanlığı yarışından çekildi" [Independent candidate Hüseyin Gürlek withdrew from the presidential race].Kıbrıs Postası (in Turkish). 18 October 2025.Archived from the original on 22 October 2025. Retrieved19 October 2025.
  21. ^Efesoy, Can; Tarhan, Muhammet; Dincel, Serdar (19 October 2025)."Polling begins in TRNC presidential election".Anadolu Agency. Retrieved19 October 2025.
  22. ^"Kesinleşen Aday Listesi" [Finalized Candidate List].Yüksek Seçim Kurulu (in Turkish). 22 September 2025.Archived from the original on 22 October 2025. Retrieved20 October 2025.
  23. ^"Turkish Cypriots vote in an election seen as a choice on deeper Turkey ties or closer EU relations". AP News. 19 October 2025. Retrieved19 October 2025.
  24. ^"Turkish Cypriots elect new leader, reigniting hopes for renewed talks to heal Cyprus' ethnic split". AP News. 20 October 2025. Retrieved20 October 2025.
  25. ^"Turkish Cypriots elect Tufan Erhurman in northern Cyprus polls". Al Jazeera. 20 October 2025. Retrieved20 October 2025.
  26. ^"Bahçeli urges Turkish Cyprus to reject election result, calls for annexation to Turkey".Turkish Minute. 20 October 2025.
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