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2024 Washington Initiative 2117

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Proposed repeal of state carbon tax cap and trade laws
Initiative 2117
November 5, 2024
This measure would prohibit state agencies from imposing any type of carbon tax credit trading, and repeal legislation establishing a cap and invest program to reduce greenhouse gas emissions.
WebsiteWashington Secretary of State
Results
Choice
Votes%
✔ Yes1,437,10338.05%
✖ No2,340,07761.95%
Valid votes3,777,180100.00%
Invalid or blank votes00.00%
Total votes3,777,180100.00%

County results
Congressional district results
Precinct results

Yes

  90–100%
  80–90%
  70–80%
  60–70%
  50–60%

No

  90–100%
  80–90%
  70–80%
  60–70%
  50–60%

Other

  Tie
  No votes

Initiative No. 2117 (I-2117) is a failedballot initiative in theU.S. State ofWashington that appeared on the ballot on November 5, 2024. The initiative was brought to thestate legislature by Let's Go Washington, aRedmond-basedpolitical action committee founded by Brian Heywood.[1] The initiative sought to repeal theWashington Climate Commitment Act (CCA), acap and trade program adopted by the state in 2021 to begin pricing carbon emissions in order to create a downward pressure on state carbon emissions.[2][3]

The effort to repeal the CCA through initiative was one of six ballot efforts spearheaded by Let's Go Washington in 2023.[1] I-2117 collected a total of 466,072 signatures on the way to certification and introduction to the state legislature during their 2024 legislative session.[4] I-2117 was one of three bills that Senate majority leader Andy Billig (D) and Speaker of the House Laurie Jenkins (D) announced on February 16, 2024, that the state legislature would not hold hearings on.[5] This decision not to take action on the referred initiative placed the decision on the question to the November 2024 general election.

Background

[edit]

The establishment of a carbon tax has been a priority for Washington stateDemocrats since at least 2009, when HB1819 and SB 5735 were proposed to reduce greenhouse gas emissions through a cap and trade program.[6] The effort to pass the bill failed to pass in either the 2009 or 2010 session, ultimately dying during the 2010 special session. Subsequent efforts to establish a carbon market involved the initiative process with the introduction ofInitiative 732 in 2016 andInitiative 1631 in 2018, both of which failed to pass by a vote of the people. Supporters of establishing a carbon market finally found success in 2021 with the passage of theClimate Commitment Act (CCA) in 2021.[7] The goal of the CCA is to reduce Washington state carbon tonet zero by 2050 by establishing gradually declining caps on the amount of carbon businesses are permitted to release and requiring them to purchase allowances on a state-run market managed by theDepartment of Ecology for exceeding permitted carbon emission levels.[7]

One of the main concerns around the passage of the CCA was the impact the climate legislation could have on the price of gas in the state. The particular impact on agricultural production was addressed in the legislation itself by establishing a five-year exemption for agricultural vehicles in particular.[8] State officials in charge with implementing CCA also sought to reassure the public that the impact on gas prices would be negligible as they worked to bring the law into force in 2022.[9] However, following implementation of the CCA on January 1, 2023, the state saw a rise in gas prices above what had been expected absent the CCA. As of July 1, 2023, the state of Washington had an average gas price of $4.95/gallon, which was $1.43/gallon higher than the national average for that day in 2023 and $0.81/gallon more above the national average than Washington had been in 2022.[10] A former economist for the state of Washington had anticipated a surge in gas prices related to the CCA implementation and noted so in his reports, an act for which he claims to have later been fired.[11]

The rise in gas prices tied to the CCA spurred efforts became the primary argument against the CCA adopted by conservative opponents adopted when making a push to repeal the CCA throughinitiative.[12] The initiative repeal effort was led by Let's Go Washington, a PAC founded by thelibertarian-leaninghedge fund manager Brian Heywood to circumvent the Democratic-dominated state legislature and attempt to repeal six laws that he and other conservatives found objectionable.[12] Signatures for the repeal effort were certified in December, with the state legislature declining to take action on the proposals in February.[13][14] This decision by legislative leaders put I-2117 on track for public consideration on the November 2024 general election ballot.

Language and Impact

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I-2117 places the following question before the citizens of Washington:

Initiative Measure No. 2117 concerns carbon tax credit trading.

This measure would prohibit state agencies from imposing any type of carbon tax credit trading, and repeal legislation establishing a cap and invest program to reduce greenhouse gas emissions.

Should this measure be enacted into law? Yes [ ] No [ ]

The CCA raised approximately $1.8 billion through its quarterly auction of carbon credits during its first full year of implementation in 2023.[15] The revenues raised by carbon credit auctions are required by law to focus on three priority areas above the costs of administering the program itself (which is capped at 5% of revenues): reducing transportation-related carbon emissions, increasing community andecological resilience, and reducing health disparities across economic and racial lines related to air pollution and other environmental contaminants.[16] The largest immediate impact of the CCA's repeal on the state expenditure side of the ledger would be cuts to public transit and state transportation spending.[15]

Support for I-2117

[edit]

As of September 24, 2024, Let's Go Washington and the Taxpayers Accountability Alliance are registered as sponsors of the initiative.[17] During a debate held on September 10, 2024, Republican gubernatorial candidateDave Reichert reaffirmed his support of I-2117.[18]Jaime Herrera Beutler, the Republican candidate forCommissioner of Public Lands, also opposed the initiative.[19]

Opposition to I-2117

[edit]

As of September 24, 2024, the 45th district Democratic Party, the Clean and Prosperous America No on 2117 Committee, Defend Washington, Fuse Voters, the Green Jobs PAC, the No on 2117 PAC, Protect Washington, the SEIU 775 Ballot Fund, and the Stop Greed PAC are registered as opponents of the initiative.[17] During a debate held on September 10, 2024, Democratic gubernatorial candidateBob Ferguson reaffirmed his opposition to I-2117.[18]

Public Opinion on I-2117

[edit]
PollSponsorDatesMargin of ErrorModeSample SizeSupportOpposeUndecided
SurveyUSA[20]Seattle Times,KING-TV, & UW Center for an Informed PublicOct 9–14, 2024± 5%Online703 LV30%48%22%
Elway[21]Cascade PBSOct 8–12, 2024± 5%Live Phone & Text401 LV31%46%23%
Elway[22]Cascade PBSSep 3–6, 2024± 5%Live Phone & Text403 RV30%46%24%
SurveyUSA[23]Seattle Times,KING-TV, & UW Center for an Informed PublicJuly 10–13, 2024± 5%Online708 LV48%34%18%
Scott Rasmussen National Survey[24]May 20–23, 2024± 3.5%800 RV45%39%16%
ElwayCascade PBSMay 13–16, 2024± 5%Live Phone & Text403 RV41%31%28%
GBAO StrategiesDefend WashingtonApril 11–14, 2024± 4%Live Phone & Text600 LV37%57%6%

Results

[edit]

Initiative 2117 failed with only 38% support.[25]

By county

[edit]
County results
County[26]NoYesMarginTotal votes
#%#%#%
Adams2,20742.64%2,96957.36%-762-14.72%5,176
Asotin5,46349.61%5,55050.39%-87-0.79%11,013
Benton44,35945.49%53,16554.51%-8,806-9.03%97,524
Chelan21,55553.00%19,11847.00%2,4375.99%40,673
Clallam27,70559.16%19,12440.84%8,58118.32%46,829
Clark149,60157.13%112,25742.87%37,34414.26%261,858
Columbia95839.75%1,45260.25%-494-20.50%2,410
Cowlitz28,26449.76%28,53950.24%-275-0.48%56,803
Douglas9,72347.73%10,64652.27%-923-4.53%20,369
Ferry1,73743.85%2,22456.15%-487-12.29%3,961
Franklin13,26244.64%16,44755.36%-3,185-10.72%29,709
Garfield47935.96%85364.04%-374-28.08%1,332
Grant14,99143.21%19,70556.79%-4,714-13.59%34,696
Grays Harbor19,59553.81%16,82346.19%2,7727.61%36,418
Island31,31261.93%19,25138.07%12,06123.85%50,563
Jefferson17,83274.10%6,23325.90%11,59948.20%24,065
King816,73374.76%275,81025.24%540,92349.51%1,092,543
Kitsap96,31463.27%55,91036.73%40,40426.54%152,224
Kittitas12,19547.80%13,31752.20%-1,122-4.40%25,512
Klickitat6,77251.83%6,29548.17%4773.65%13,067
Lewis18,79342.75%25,16957.25%-6,376-14.50%43,962
Lincoln2,37934.44%4,52865.56%-2,149-31.11%6,907
Mason19,31554.27%16,27545.73%3,0408.54%35,590
Okanogan10,49152.25%9,58847.75%9034.50%20,079
Pacific7,86157.28%5,86342.72%1,99814.56%13,724
Pend Oreille3,43841.56%4,83458.44%-1,396-16.88%8,272
Pierce244,28657.94%177,34242.06%66,94415.88%421,628
San Juan9,36775.31%3,07124.69%6,29650.62%12,438
Skagit38,78857.26%28,95742.74%9,83114.51%67,745
Skamania3,55850.85%3,43949.15%1191.70%6,997
Snohomish242,76460.71%157,12739.29%85,63721.42%399,891
Spokane149,44453.91%127,78846.09%21,6567.81%277,232
Stevens10,15037.09%17,21962.91%-7,069-25.83%27,369
Thurston100,83563.38%58,26836.62%42,56726.75%159,103
Wahkiakum1,48350.72%1,44149.28%421.44%2,924
Walla Walla15,08852.89%13,43847.11%1,6505.78%28,526
Whatcom86,28064.62%47,23935.38%39,04129.24%133,519
Whitman11,36958.56%8,04641.44%3,32317.12%19,415
Yakima43,33150.91%41,78349.09%1,5481.82%85,114
Totals2,340,07761.95%1,437,10338.05%902,97423.91%3,777,180

References

[edit]
  1. ^abDenkmann, Libby; Anderson, Hans (2024-09-11)."The man behind three WA initiatives says the state legislature has gone too far, will voters agree?".www.kuow.org. Retrieved2024-09-17.
  2. ^"Washington Initiative 2117, Prohibit Carbon Tax Credit Trading and Repeal Carbon Cap-and-Invest Program Measure (2024)".Ballotpedia. Retrieved2024-09-24.
  3. ^Cornfield, Jerry (2024-05-20)."WA decides: Initiative 2117 to repeal the Climate Commitment Act • Washington State Standard".Washington State Standard. Retrieved2024-09-24.
  4. ^"Submitted Signature Statistics | WA Secretary of State".www.sos.wa.gov. Retrieved2024-09-24.
  5. ^"Sen. Billig, Speaker Jinkins: Three initiatives will have hearings, three will not".Washington Senate Democrats. 2024-02-16. Retrieved2024-09-24.
  6. ^"Washington State Legislature".app.leg.wa.gov. Retrieved2024-10-01.
  7. ^ab"Cap-and-Invest - Washington State Department of Ecology".ecology.wa.gov. Retrieved2024-10-01.
  8. ^"RCW 70A.65.080: Program coverage. (Contingent expiration date.)".app.leg.wa.gov. Retrieved2024-10-08.
  9. ^"Former WSDOT economist accuses state leaders of retaliation for refusing to lie about gas prices".king5.com. 2023-11-30. Retrieved2024-10-08.
  10. ^Staff REPORT (2024-07-02)."WA gas prices consistently higher most of U.S., CCA causes jump".Columbia Basin Herald. Retrieved2024-10-08.
  11. ^"Former WSDOT economist sues agency and governor's office, claims he was pressured to lie about gas prices".king5.com. 2024-03-05. Retrieved2024-10-08.
  12. ^abO’Sullivan, Joseph."Six measures Washington conservatives are pushing on 2024 ballots | Cascade PBS".www.cascadepbs.org. Retrieved2024-10-08.
  13. ^"Effort to repeal WA capital gains tax, other initiatives move forward".The Seattle Times. 2023-12-29. Retrieved2024-10-08.
  14. ^"Repeals of WA capital gains tax, climate policy take step toward November ballot".The Seattle Times. 2024-02-14. Retrieved2024-10-08.
  15. ^ab"WA raises estimated $1.8 billion in first year of carbon market".The Seattle Times. 2023-12-13. Retrieved2024-10-08.
  16. ^"Auction revenue - Washington State Department of Ecology".ecology.wa.gov. Retrieved2024-10-08.
  17. ^ab"Committees | Washington State Public Disclosure Commission (PDC)".www.pdc.wa.gov. Retrieved2024-09-24.
  18. ^abSowersby, Shauna."Recap: 5 top takeaways from Washington's governor debate | Cascade PBS".www.cascadepbs.org. Retrieved2024-10-01.
  19. ^Editorial Board, The Seattle Times (October 15, 2024)."The Seattle Times editorial board recommends: Jaime Herrera Beutler for WA lands commissioner".The Seattle Times. RetrievedNovember 18, 2025....she plans to vote in favor of a repeal of the state's Climate Commitment Act...
  20. ^"3 of 4 Let's Go WA Initiatives face significant opposition headed into Nov. election: WA Poll".KING-TV. 2024-10-15. Retrieved2024-10-31.
  21. ^Buhain, Venice."WA voters poised to reject two initiatives, accept other two | Cascade PBS".Cascade PBS. Retrieved2024-10-31.
  22. ^Sowersby, Shauna."Washington ballot initiatives lose ground with voters in new poll | Cascade PBS".Cascade PBS. Retrieved2024-09-24.
  23. ^"SurveyUSA News Poll #27198".SurveyUSA. Retrieved2024-09-24.
  24. ^Square, Brett Davis | The Center (2024-06-19)."Poll indicates voter support for three initiatives on Washington's fall ballot".The Center Square. Retrieved2024-09-24.
  25. ^Hobbs, Steve (December 4, 2024)."Canvass of the Returns of the General Election Held on November 5, 2024"(PDF).Secretary of State of Washington.Archived(PDF) from the original on 2025-07-04. RetrievedJuly 14, 2025.
  26. ^Hobbs, Steve (November 5, 2024)."Initiative Measure No. 2117 - County Results".Secretary of State of Washington.Archived from the original on July 22, 2025. RetrievedNovember 21, 2025.
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