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| Turnout | 72.12% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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 County results Municipality results Precinct results
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The2024 United States presidential election in Vermont took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the2024 United States elections.Vermont voters chose electors to represent them in theElectoral College via a popular vote. The state of Vermont has 3 electoral votes in the Electoral College, followingreapportionment due to the2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.[1]
Vermont was won by theDemocratic nominee for the ninth time in as many presidential elections. Vice PresidentKamala Harris carried Vermont by nearly 32 points, a slight decrease fromJoe Biden's 35-point victoryfour years earlier. Nonetheless, it provided Harris with her largest winning margin of any state in 2024.
The Vermont Republican primary was held onSuper Tuesday, March 5, 2024.Nikki Haley won the primary, becoming the first woman to win a state primary in a Republican presidential primary.[2]
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
| Nikki Haley | 36,241 | 49.32% | 9 | 9 | |
| Donald Trump | 33,162 | 45.13% | 8 | 8 | |
| Chris Christie (withdrawn) | 1,020 | 1.39% | |||
| Ron DeSantis (withdrawn) | 949 | 1.29% | |||
| Write-in votes | 586 | 0.80% | |||
| Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn) | 546 | 0.74% | |||
| Ryan Binkley (withdrawn) | 278 | 0.38% | |||
| Overvotes | 51 | 0.07% | |||
| Blank ballots | 654 | 0.89% | |||
| Total: | 73,487 | 100.00% | 17 | 17 | |
The Vermont Democratic primary was held onSuper Tuesday, March 5, 2024.Joe Biden won the primary.
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pledged | Unpledged | Total | |||
| Joe Biden (incumbent) | 56,924 | 82.98% | 16 | ||
| Marianne Williamson | 2,873 | 4.19% | |||
| Dean Phillips | 1,942 | 2.83% | |||
| Otherwrite-ins | 1,260 | 1.84% | |||
| Mark Greenstein | 779 | 1.14% | |||
| Rashida Tlaib (write-in) | 763 | 1.11% | |||
| Cenk Uygur | 700 | 1.02% | |||
| "Blank" (write-in) | 556 | 0.81% | |||
| Jason Palmer | 404 | 0.59% | |||
| Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (write-in)(Independent) | 322 | 0.47% | |||
| Bernie Sanders (write-in)(Independent) | 288 | 0.42% | |||
| Nikki Haley (write-in)(Republican) | 187 | 0.27% | |||
| Kamala Harris (write-in) | 23 | 0.03% | |||
| Overvotes | 73 | 0.10% | |||
| Blank ballots | 1,525 | 2.22% | |||
| Total: | 68,599 | 100% | 16 | 8 | 24 |
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Cook Political Report[6] | Solid D | December 19, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[7] | Solid D | April 26, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[8] | Safe D | June 29, 2023 |
| Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[9] | Safe D | December 14, 2023 |
| CNalysis[10] | Solid D | December 30, 2023 |
| CNN[11] | Solid D | January 14, 2024 |
| The Economist[12] | Safe D | June 12, 2024 |
| 538[13] | Solid D | June 11, 2024 |
| NBC News[14] | Safe D | October 6, 2024 |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Kamala Harris Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| August 23, 2024 | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspendshis presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump. | |||||
| August 22, 2024 | Democratic National Convention concludes | |||||
| University of New Hampshire[15] | August 15–19, 2024 | 924 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 70% | 29% | 1% |
| August 19, 2024 | Democratic National Convention begins | |||||
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Kamala Harris Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Cornel West Independent | Jill Stein Green | Chase Oliver Libertarian | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire[16] | October 29 – November 2, 2024 | 1,167 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 63% | 31% | 2% | 0% | – | 0% | 4%[b] |
| University of New Hampshire[15] | August 15–19, 2024 | 924 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 67% | 27% | 3% | 0% | – | 0% | 3%[c] |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Zogby Strategies[17][A] | April 13–21, 2024 | 272 (LV) | – | 56% | 35% | 9% |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[18] | February 29 – March 3, 2024 | 117 (RV) | – | 58% | 28% | 14%[d] |
| 111 (LV) | 59% | 28% | 13%[e] |
Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Zogby Strategies[17][A] | April 13–21, 2024 | 272 (LV) | – | 47% | 42% | 11% |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Zogby Strategies[17][A] | April 13–21, 2024 | 272 (LV) | – | 52% | 29% | 19% |
Swing by county
Trend relative to the state by county
County flipsDemocratic Hold | Republican Hold Gain from Democratic
|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | 235,791 | 63.83% | –2.26% | ||
| Republican | 119,395 | 32.32% | +1.65% | ||
| We the People |
| 5,905 | 1.60% | New | |
| Libertarian | 1,828 | 0.49% | –0.49% | ||
| Socialism and Liberation | 1,710 | 0.46% | New | ||
| Green Mountain Peace and Justice | 1,549 | 0.42% | +0.37% | ||
| Green |
| 893 | 0.24% | −0.12% | |
| Socialist Workers |
| 211 | 0.06% | +0.01% | |
| Write-in | 2,140 | 0.58% | N/A | ||
| Total votes | 369,422 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
| County[21] | Kamala Harris Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Various candidates Other parties | Margin | Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Addison | 14,879 | 65.82% | 6,841 | 30.26% | 887 | 3.92% | 8,038 | 35.56% | 22,607 |
| Bennington | 12,326 | 59.52% | 7,697 | 37.17% | 687 | 3.31% | 4,629 | 22.35% | 20,710 |
| Caledonia | 8,977 | 53.97% | 6,927 | 41.65% | 729 | 4.38% | 2,050 | 12.32% | 16,633 |
| Chittenden | 72,656 | 74.65% | 20,937 | 21.51% | 3,736 | 3.84% | 51,719 | 53.14% | 97,329 |
| Essex | 1,344 | 39.24% | 1,890 | 55.18% | 191 | 5.58% | -546 | -15.94% | 3,425 |
| Franklin | 13,280 | 49.66% | 12,490 | 46.70% | 973 | 3.64% | 790 | 2.96% | 26,743 |
| Grand Isle | 2,940 | 58.79% | 1,893 | 37.85% | 168 | 3.36% | 1,047 | 20.94% | 5,001 |
| Lamoille | 9,788 | 65.94% | 4,505 | 30.35% | 551 | 3.71% | 5,283 | 35.59% | 14,844 |
| Orange | 10,220 | 57.83% | 6,683 | 37.82% | 769 | 4.35% | 3,537 | 20.01% | 17,672 |
| Orleans | 7,006 | 47.45% | 7,233 | 48.99% | 526 | 3.56% | -227 | -1.54% | 14,765 |
| Rutland | 17,375 | 50.95% | 15,586 | 45.70% | 1,141 | 3.35% | 1,789 | 5.25% | 34,102 |
| Washington | 24,527 | 69.35% | 9,327 | 26.37% | 1,515 | 4.28% | 15,200 | 42.98% | 35,369 |
| Windham | 17,904 | 69.04% | 6,928 | 26.71% | 1,101 | 4.25% | 10,976 | 42.33% | 25,933 |
| Windsor | 22,569 | 65.82% | 10,458 | 30.50% | 1,262 | 3.68% | 12,111 | 35.32% | 34,289 |
| Totals | 235,791 | 63.83% | 119,395 | 32.32% | 14,236 | 3.85% | 116,396 | 31.51% | 369,422 |
Due to the state's low population, only one congressional district is allocated. This district, called the at-large district because it covers the entire state, is thus equivalent to the statewide election results.
| District | Trump | Harris | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| At-large | 32.32% | 63.83% | Becca Balint |
A sparsely populated state inNew England, Vermont is one of the mostrural states in the nation and is considered to be deeplyblue, contradicting a trend in modern American electoral politics in which rural areas tend to be red. It was historically a moderate to liberal "Yankee Republican" stronghold, having backed the GOP in all but one presidential election between the party's formation andGeorge H. W. Bush's narrow victory in1988, the exception beingLyndon B. Johnson's1964landslide. However, an influx of more liberal voters has turned Vermont into a Democratic stronghold at the presidential level since the early1990s, as the state has been won by the Democratic candidate in every presidential race starting in1992, all of these victories being by double digits apart fromAl Gore's 9.93% win in2000. As a measure of how Republican Vermont once was, Trump andGeorge W. Bush are the only Republicans to have won the White House without carrying Vermont.
Despite it being Harris’s strongest state, all of the state’s counties shifted rightward.Bernie Sanders had his weakest Senate election performance in the2024 U.S. Senate election in Vermont. Moderate Republican governorPhil Scott won in a landslide in the2024 Vermont gubernatorial election.
Trump managed to narrowly flipOrleans County, the first time for a presidential Republican candidate since 2000, and also the first time a Republican had won any county other thanEssex County since then. Vermont was once again the most Democratic state in the nation, only the second occasion in the state's history (behind 2020) in which it was the strongest for the Democrats,[22] and the first time since1956 in which it was the strongest state for either party in back-to-back elections.[23]
Partisan clients
State and district results of the2024 United States presidential election | ||
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