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| Turnout | 61.15% ( 5.58pp) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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 County results Congressional district results Precinct results
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The2024 United States presidential election in Texas was held on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus theDistrict of Columbia participated.Texas voters chose electors to represent them in theElectoral College via a popular vote. The state of Texas had 40 electoral votes in the Electoral College, followingreapportionment due to the2020 United States census in which the state gained two seats.[1]
Texas was considered by some pollsters and experts to be potentially in play, as the state had not backed a Republican for president by double digits since it favoredMitt Romney in2012. This increased competitiveness was largely explained by the fast-growingTexas Triangle trending leftwards in some elections, namely in the closely-contested2018 U.S. Senate race and the2020 U.S. presidential election, which saw theMetroplex county ofTarrant and theGreater Austin counties ofWilliamson andHays flip to the Democratic candidate for the first time in decades. However, in the2020 state elections, predominantlyHispanicSouth Texas shifted significantly Republican, a trend that the rest of the state followed in the2022 midterms.[2][3] In 2024, Trump went on to win Texas by a margin of over 1.5 million votes, the largest margin of victory in the state in 2 decades.[4]
Trump’s 13.7% margin was significantly greater than his single-digit margins in2016 and2020. Trump significantly outperformed his polling averages in the state and became the first presidential candidate to win Texas by double digits since2012, reversing the trend towards Democrats that Texas had exhibited in the two previous presidential elections. According to exit polls, 55% of Latinos in the state voted for Trump.[5] This marked the first time a Republican candidate won a majority of both Asian and Latino voters in Texas, a feat that even former GovernorGeorge W. Bush did not achieve.
Trump carried all but two Texas counties located on theMexico–United States border (El Paso County andPresidio County), and most of these border counties had some of the largest swings in the country, some shifting upwards of 20% to the right. Trump made his largest county gain in the country in 95% HispanicMaverick County, which swung 28% to the right. Trump also won 97.7% HispanicStarr County, the most Hispanic county in the country, the first time a Republican won the county since1892.[6] Harris's 12 counties won was the least for any Democrat in the state sinceGeorge McGovern in1972.
Trump became the first presidential candidate to receive over 6 million votes in Texas, setting a record for the most votes received by a candidate in any election in the state, as well as the largest vote total ever received by a Republican presidential candidate in any state.Greater Houston andMetro Dallas also flipped back to supporting Trump after voting for Joe Biden in 2020.
The Texas Democratic primary was held onSuper Tuesday, March 5, 2024. Incumbent presidentJoe Biden won the state in a landslide, with minor opposition from various other candidates, particularly in theLower Rio Grande Valley region. Biden lostLoving County, in which there was only one ballot cast for Frankie Lozada.
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pledged | Unpledged | Total | |||
| Joe Biden (incumbent) | 831,247 | 84.6% | 244 | 244 | |
| Marianne Williamson | 43,667 | 4.5% | |||
| Armando Perez-Serrato | 27,473 | 2.8% | |||
| Dean Phillips | 26,473 | 2.7% | |||
| Gabriel Cornejo | 17,196 | 1.8% | |||
| Cenk Uygur | 16,100 | 1.6% | |||
| Frankie Lozada | 11,311 | 1.2% | |||
| Star Locke | 8,602 | 0.9% | |||
| Total: | 982,069 | 100% | 272 | 272 | |
The Texas Republican primary was held onSuper Tuesday, March 5, 2024. Former presidentDonald Trump easily won the state and all of its delegates againstNikki Haley, who remained his only major opposition. Trump received the endorsements of U.S. senatorsJohn Cornyn andTed Cruz, as well as Texas governorGreg Abbott, in his primary campaign.
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
| Donald Trump | 1,808,269 | 77.84% | 161 | 161 | |
| Nikki Haley | 405,472 | 17.45% | |||
| Uncommitted | 45,568 | 1.96% | |||
| Ron DeSantis (withdrawn) | 36,302 | 1.56% | |||
| Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn) | 10,582 | 0.46% | |||
| Chris Christie (withdrawn) | 8,938 | 0.38% | |||
| Asa Hutchinson (withdrawn) | 2,964 | 0.13% | |||
| Ryan Binkley (withdrawn) | 2,585 | 0.11% | |||
| David Stuckenberg | 2,339 | 0.10% | |||
| Total: | 2,323,019 | 100.00% | 161 | 161 | |
TheTexas Secretary of State's office announced on August 8 thatRobert F. Kennedy Jr. would appear on the state ballot.[9] Kennedy dropped out of the race nationally on August 23.[10][11]
The following presidential candidates received ballot access in Texas:[12]
In addition,Robert F. Kennedy Jr. was on the ballot under the Texas Independent Party before he suspended his campaign.
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Cook Political Report[13] | Likely R | August 27, 2024 |
| Inside Elections[14] | Likely R | August 29, 2024 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] | Likely R | September 25, 2024 |
| Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[16] | Likely R | October 4, 2024 |
| CNN[17] | Solid R | January 14, 2024 |
| The Economist[18] | Likely R | June 13, 2024 |
| 538[19] | Likely R | October 5, 2024 |
| CNalysis[20] | Lean R | November 4, 2024 |
| NBC News[21] | Likely R | October 6, 2024 |
| YouGov[22] | Lean R | October 16, 2024 |
| Split Ticket[23] | Likely R | November 1, 2024 |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald TrumpAggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Kamala Harris Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Undecided [a] | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 270ToWin[24] | October 18 – November 3, 2024 | November 3, 2024 | 44.4% | 51.8% | 3.8% | Trump +7.4% |
| 538[25] | through November 3, 2024 | November 3, 2024 | 43.8% | 51.7% | 4.5% | Trump +7.9% |
| Silver Bulletin[26] | through November 3, 2024 | November 3, 2024 | 44.3% | 51.4% | 4.3% | Trump +7.1% |
| The Hill/DDHQ[27] | through October 29, 2024 | November 3, 2024 | 44.2% | 51.8% | 4.0% | Trump +7.6% |
| Average | 44.2% | 51.7% | 4.1% | Trump +7.5% | ||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Kamala Harris Democratic | Other / undecided | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AtlasIntel[28] | November 3–4, 2024 | 2,434 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 55% | 44% | 1% | |
| Morning Consult[29] | October 22−31, 2024 | 2,120 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 52% | 45% | 3% | |
| ActiVote[30] | October 21−27, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 55% | 45% | – | |
| New York Times/Siena College[31] | October 23−26, 2024 | 1,180 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 52% | 41% | 7% | |
| 1,180 (LV) | 52% | 42% | 6% | ||||
| Rasmussen Reports (R)[32][A] | October 24–25, 2024 | 1,002 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 44% | 6%[c] | |
| CES/YouGov[33] | October 1–25, 2024 | 6,526 (A) | – | 51% | 47% | 2% | |
| 6,473 (LV) | 51% | 47% | 2% | ||||
| Emerson College[34] | October 18−21, 2024 | 815 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 53% | 46% | 1%[d] | |
| 53%[e] | 46% | 1%[d] | |||||
| Rose Institute/YouGov[35] | October 7–17, 2024 | 1,108 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 44% | 7%[f] | |
| 1,108 (RV) | 50%[e] | 45% | 5% | ||||
| 1,075 (LV) | 51% | 46% | 3% | ||||
| ActiVote[36] | September 26 − October 16, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 56% | 44% | – | |
| Morning Consult[29] | October 6−15, 2024 | 2,048 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 50% | 46% | 4% | |
| Marist College[37] | October 3–7, 2024 | 1,365 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 52% | 46% | 2%[g] | |
| 1,186 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 53% | 46% | 1% | |||
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[38] | October 2–6, 2024 | 811 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 50% | 45% | 5%[h] | |
| 775 (LV) | 50% | 45% | 5%[h] | ||||
| New York Times/Siena College[39] | September 29 – October 6, 2024 | 617 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 50% | 44% | 6% | |
| RMG Research[40][B] | September 25–27, 2024 | 779 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 51% | 45% | 3%[i] | |
| 53%[e] | 46% | 1% | |||||
| Public Policy Polling (D)[41][C] | September 25–26, 2024 | 759 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 51% | 46% | 3% | |
| Emerson College[42] | September 22−24, 2024 | 950 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 51% | 46% | 3%[d] | |
| 52%[e] | 47% | 1%[d] | |||||
| ActiVote[43] | September 7−24, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 54% | 46% | – | |
| Morning Consult[29] | September 9−18, 2024 | 2,716 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 50% | 46% | 4% | |
| Morning Consult[29] | August 30 – September 8, 2024 | 2,940 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 52% | 43% | 5% | |
| Emerson College[44] | September 3–5, 2024 | 845 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 50% | 46% | 4% | |
| 51%[e] | 48% | 1%[j] | |||||
| YouGov[45][D] | August 23–31, 2024 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 49% | 44% | 7%[k] | |
| ActiVote[46] | August 14–31, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 54.5% | 45.5% | – | |
| Quantus Insights (R)[47] | August 29–30, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 49% | 42% | 9%[l] | |
| 52% | 44% | 4%[m] | |||||
| August 23, 2024 | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspendshis presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump. | ||||||
| Public Policy Polling (D)[48][C] | August 21–22, 2024 | 725 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 49% | 44% | 6% | |
| August 19–22, 2024 | Democratic National Convention | ||||||
| ActiVote[49] | July 31 – August 13, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 53% | 47% | – | |
| August 6, 2024 | Kamala Harrisselects Gov.Tim Walz as her running mate. | ||||||
| July 21, 2024 | Joe Biden announceshis official withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declaresher candidacy for president. | ||||||
| July 15–19, 2024 | Republican National Convention | ||||||
| July 13, 2024 | Attempted assassination of Donald Trump | ||||||
| YouGov[50][E] | January 11–24, 2024 | 1,500 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 52% | 39% | 9% | |
| Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation[51] | May 8–17, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 46% | 39% | 15%[n] | |
Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Kamala Harris Democratic | Cornel West Independent | Jill Stein Green | Chase Oliver Libertarian | Other / undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AtlasIntel[28] | November 3–4, 2024 | 2,434 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 54% | 44% | − | 1% | 0% | 1% |
| Cygnal (R)[52] | October 26−28, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 43% | − | 2% | 2% | 2% |
| New York Times/Siena College[31] | October 23−26, 2024 | 1,180 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 50% | 40% | − | 2% | 2% | 6% |
| 1,180 (LV) | 51% | 40% | − | 1% | 1% | 7% | |||
| UT Tyler[53] | October 14–21, 2024 | 1,129 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 45% | – | 1% | 2% | 1% |
| 956 (LV) | 51% | 46% | – | 1% | 1% | 1% | |||
| YouGov[54][D] | October 2–10, 2024 | 1,091 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 46% | – | 2% | 1% | – |
| CWS Research (R)[55][F] | October 1–4, 2024 | 533 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 48% | 43% | – | 2% | 1% | 6% |
| University of Houston[56] | September 26 – October 10, 2024 | 1,329 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 51% | 46% | – | 1% | 0% | 2% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[41][C] | September 25–26, 2024 | 759 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 44% | 0% | 1% | – | 6% |
| Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation[57] | September 13–18, 2024 | 1,200 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 50% | 44% | – | 1% | 1% | 4% |
| CWS Research (R)[58][G] | September 4–9, 2024 | 504 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 51% | 41% | – | 0% | 2% | 6% |
| Texas Public Opinion Research/Lake Research Partners (D)[59] | August 24–29, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 51% | 43% | – | 2% | 2% | 2% |
| YouGov[45][D] | August 23–31, 2024 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 49% | 44% | – | 2% | 0% | 5% |
Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Kamala Harris Democratic | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Cornel West Independent | Jill Stein Green | Chase Oliver Libertarian | Other / undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Times/Siena College[39] | September 29 – October 6, 2024 | 617 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 49% | 42% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 2% | 5% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[60][C] | August 21–22, 2024 | 725 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 45% | 42% | 6% | 1% | 0% | – | 6% |
| University of Houston[61] | August 5–16, 2024 | 1,365 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 50% | 45% | 2% | – | 1% | 1% | 1% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ActiVote[62] | June 25 – July 18, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 54% | 46% | – |
| Manhattan Institute[63] | June 25–27, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 52% | 41% | 7% |
| UT Tyler[64] | June 11–20, 2024 | 1,144 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 46% | 40% | 14% |
| 931 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 48% | 43% | 9% | ||
| YouGov[65][D] | May 31 – June 9, 2024 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 46% | 39% | 15%[o] |
| YouGov[66][D] | April 12–22, 2024 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 48% | 40% | 12%[p] |
| John Zogby Strategies[67][H] | April 13–21, 2024 | 743 (LV) | – | 50% | 40% | 10% |
| Cygnal (R)[68] | April 4–6, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 51% | 42% | 7% |
| Marist College[69] | March 18–21, 2024 | 1,117 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 55% | 44% | 1% |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[70] | February 29 – March 3, 2024 | 489 (RV) | – | 50% | 42% | 8% |
| 458 (LV) | 51% | 42% | 7% | |||
| UT Tyler[71] | February 18–26, 2024 | 1,167 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 46% | 42% | 12% |
| YouGov[72][D] | February 2–12, 2024 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 48% | 41% | 11%[q] |
| YouGov[50][E] | January 11–24, 2024 | 1,145 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 49% | 40% | 11% |
| Emerson College[73][I] | January 13–15, 2024 | 1,315 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 49% | 41% | 10% |
| YouGov[74][D] | December 1–10, 2023 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 45% | 39% | 16% |
| YouGov[75][D] | October 5–17, 2023 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 45% | 37% | 18% |
| Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation[51] | May 8–17, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 44% | 42% | 14%[r] |
| CWS Research (R)[76][J] | April 17–21, 2023 | 677 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 45% | 42% | 13% |
| Emerson College[77] | October 17–19, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 40% | 13% |
| Emerson College[78] | September 20–22, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 40% | 11% |
| Echelon Insights[79] | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 813 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 43% | 9% |
| Blueprint Polling (D)[80] | June 8–10, 2022 | 603 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 38% | 17% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Cornel West Independent | Jill Stein Green | Other / undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov[81][K] | June 20 – July 1, 2024 | 1,484 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 49% | 40% | 5% | – | 2% | 4%[s] |
| Manhattan Institute[63] | June 25–27, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 36% | 7% | 1% | 0% | 11%[t] |
| UT Tyler[64] | June 11–20, 2024 | 1,144 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 46% | 38% | 12% | – | 1% | 3%[u] |
| 931 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 47% | 41% | 8% | – | 1% | 3%[u] | ||
| YouGov[65][D] | May 31 – June 9, 2024 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 43% | 34% | 8% | 2% | 2% | 11% |
| YouGov[66][D] | April 12–22, 2024 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 45% | 36% | 8% | 2% | 2% | 7% |
| Texas Lyceum[82] | April 12–21, 2024 | 926 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 41% | 31% | 11% | 1% | 1% | 15%[v] |
| Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation[83] | April 5–10, 2024 | 1,600 (LV) | ± 2.45% | 46% | 34% | 9% | – | 2% | 9%[w] |
| 48% | 36% | – | – | 3% | 13%[x] | ||||
| Cygnal (R)[68] | April 4–6, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 46% | 37% | 8% | 1% | 2% | 6% |
| UT Tyler[71] | February 18–26, 2024 | 1,167 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 41% | 37% | 13% | 6% | 3% | – |
| YouGov[72][D] | February 2–12, 2024 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 45% | 36% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 8% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[84] | February 1–3, 2024 | 605 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 35% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 13% |
| Emerson College[73][I] | January 13–15, 2024 | 1,315 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 46% | 36% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 11% |
| YouGov[74][D] | December 1–10, 2023 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 42% | 34% | 8% | 3% | 2% | 12% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Other / undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation[85] | April 5–10, 2024 | 1,600 (LV) | ± 2.45% | 46% | 34% | 9% | 11%[y] |
| Marist College[69] | March 18–21, 2024 | 1,117 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 48% | 36% | 15% | 1% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jill Stein Green | Other / undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation[85] | April 5–10, 2024 | 1,600 (LV) | ± 2.45% | 48% | 36% | 3% | 13%[z] |
| YouGov[50][E] | January 11–24, 2024 | 1,500 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 49% | 40% | 3% | 8%[aa] |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Joe Manchin vs. Cornel West
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Joe Manchin No Labels | Cornel West Independent | Other / undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National Public Affairs[86] | February 6–8, 2024 | 807 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 42% | 35% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 9% |
Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent | Other / undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Zogby Strategies[67][H] | April 13–21, 2024 | 743 (LV) | – | 45% | 40% | 15% |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Zogby Strategies[67][H] | April 13–21, 2024 | 743 (LV) | – | 53% | 35% | 12% |
Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Nikki Haley Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UT Tyler[71] | February 18–26, 2024 | 1,167 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 42% | 36% | 22% |
| YouGov[72][D] | February 2–12, 2024 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 31% | 40% | 29%[ab] |
| YouGov[50][E] | January 11–24, 2024 | 1,500 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 43% | 39% | 18% |
| YouGov[74][D] | December 1–10, 2023 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 33% | 36% | 31% |
| YouGov[75][D] | October 5–17, 2023 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 32% | 34% | 34% |
Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Nikki Haley Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Cornel West Independent | Jill Stein Green | Other / undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UT Tyler[71] | February 18–26, 2024 | 1,167 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 33% | 36% | 20% | 7% | 3% | 1% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[84] | February 1–3, 2024 | 605 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 30% | 32% | 14% | 0% | 0% | 24% |
Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Ron DeSantis Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov[74][D] | December 1–10, 2023 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 39% | 37% | 24% |
| YouGov[75][D] | October 5–17, 2023 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 39% | 38% | 24% |
| Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation[51] | May 8–17, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 44% | 42% | 14%[ac] |
| CWS Research (R)[76] | April 17–21, 2023 | 677 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 44% | 40% | 16% |
| Echelon Insights[79] | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 813 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 41% | 15% |
Ron DeSantis vs. Kamala Harris
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Ron DeSantis Republican | Kamala Harris Democratic | Other / undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation[51] | May 8–17, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 45% | 40% | 15%[ad] |
Vivek Ramaswamy vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Vivek Ramaswamy Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov[74][D] | December 1–10, 2023 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 34% | 37% | 30% |
| YouGov[75][D] | October 5–17, 2023 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 33% | 36% | 32% |
Mike Pence vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Mike Pence Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov[75][D] | October 5–17, 2023 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 29% | 36% | 36% |
Tim Scott vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Tim Scott Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov[75][D] | October 5–17, 2023 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 33% | 34% | 33% |
| Trump 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% | Harris 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% |
| Trump 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% | Harris 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | 6,393,597 | 56.14% |  4.08% | ||
| Democratic | 4,835,250 | 42.46% | 4.02% | ||
| Green | 82,701 | 0.73% | 0.43% | ||
| Libertarian | 68,557 | 0.60% | 0.52% | ||
| Write-in | 8,569 | 0.08% | 0.04% | ||
| Total votes | 11,388,674 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
| County[88] | Donald Trump Republican | Kamala Harris Democratic | Various candidates Other parties | Margin | Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Anderson | 15,597 | 80.57% | 3,635 | 18.78% | 126 | 0.65% | 11,962 | 61.79% | 19,358 |
| Andrews | 5,205 | 85.89% | 806 | 13.30% | 49 | 0.81% | 4,399 | 72.59% | 6,060 |
| Angelina | 26,049 | 75.68% | 8,146 | 23.67% | 227 | 0.66% | 17,903 | 52.01% | 34,422 |
| Aransas | 10,090 | 77.43% | 2,831 | 21.73% | 110 | 0.84% | 7,259 | 55.71% | 13,031 |
| Archer | 4,592 | 89.48% | 520 | 10.13% | 20 | 0.39% | 4,072 | 79.35% | 5,132 |
| Armstrong | 1,029 | 92.79% | 77 | 6.94% | 3 | 0.27% | 952 | 85.84% | 1,109 |
| Atascosa | 13,142 | 71.25% | 5,153 | 27.94% | 149 | 0.81% | 7,989 | 43.31% | 18,444 |
| Austin | 12,457 | 80.98% | 2,816 | 18.31% | 110 | 0.72% | 9,641 | 62.67% | 15,383 |
| Bailey | 1,395 | 80.13% | 332 | 19.07% | 14 | 0.80% | 1,063 | 61.06% | 1,741 |
| Bandera | 10,939 | 80.43% | 2,532 | 18.62% | 129 | 0.95% | 8,407 | 61.82% | 13,600 |
| Bastrop | 23,301 | 58.54% | 15,989 | 40.17% | 516 | 1.30% | 7,312 | 18.37% | 39,806 |
| Baylor | 1,471 | 87.82% | 184 | 10.99% | 20 | 1.19% | 1,287 | 76.84% | 1,675 |
| Bee | 6,111 | 69.52% | 2,606 | 29.65% | 73 | 0.83% | 3,505 | 39.87% | 8,790 |
| Bell | 75,161 | 57.52% | 53,973 | 41.31% | 1,528 | 1.17% | 21,188 | 16.22% | 130,662 |
| Bexar | 337,545 | 44.51% | 411,389 | 54.25% | 9,389 | 1.24% | −73,844 | −9.74% | 758,323 |
| Blanco | 6,447 | 75.64% | 1,973 | 23.15% | 103 | 1.21% | 4,474 | 52.49% | 8,523 |
| Borden | 370 | 95.61% | 16 | 4.13% | 1 | 0.26% | 354 | 91.47% | 387 |
| Bosque | 7,969 | 83.22% | 1,524 | 15.91% | 83 | 0.87% | 6,445 | 67.30% | 9,576 |
| Bowie | 27,122 | 74.01% | 9,282 | 25.33% | 240 | 0.65% | 17,840 | 48.68% | 36,644 |
| Brazoria | 95,867 | 59.16% | 63,976 | 39.48% | 2,203 | 1.36% | 31,891 | 19.68% | 162,046 |
| Brazos | 56,671 | 61.63% | 33,844 | 36.80% | 1,446 | 1.57% | 22,827 | 24.82% | 91,961 |
| Brewster | 2,545 | 55.59% | 1,969 | 43.01% | 64 | 1.40% | 576 | 12.58% | 4,578 |
| Briscoe | 666 | 89.40% | 72 | 9.66% | 7 | 0.94% | 594 | 79.73% | 745 |
| Brooks | 1,077 | 44.84% | 1,308 | 54.45% | 17 | 0.71% | −231 | −9.62% | 2,402 |
| Brown | 14,593 | 86.59% | 2,132 | 12.65% | 128 | 0.76% | 12,461 | 73.94% | 16,853 |
| Burleson | 7,590 | 81.01% | 1,705 | 18.20% | 74 | 0.79% | 5,885 | 62.81% | 9,369 |
| Burnet | 21,795 | 77.42% | 6,114 | 21.72% | 244 | 0.87% | 15,681 | 55.70% | 28,153 |
| Caldwell | 8,880 | 56.59% | 6,618 | 42.17% | 195 | 1.24% | 2,262 | 14.41% | 15,693 |
| Calhoun | 5,939 | 75.83% | 1,853 | 23.66% | 40 | 0.51% | 4,086 | 52.17% | 7,832 |
| Callahan | 6,180 | 88.44% | 761 | 10.89% | 47 | 0.67% | 5,419 | 77.55% | 6,988 |
| Cameron | 60,991 | 52.51% | 54,258 | 46.71% | 904 | 0.78% | 6,733 | 5.80% | 116,153 |
| Camp | 4,011 | 76.52% | 1,201 | 22.91% | 30 | 0.57% | 2,810 | 53.61% | 5,242 |
| Carson | 2,866 | 90.21% | 290 | 9.13% | 21 | 0.66% | 2,576 | 81.08% | 3,177 |
| Cass | 11,693 | 82.68% | 2,406 | 17.01% | 44 | 0.31% | 9,287 | 65.66% | 14,143 |
| Castro | 1,594 | 78.79% | 418 | 20.66% | 11 | 0.54% | 1,176 | 58.13% | 2,023 |
| Chambers | 20,567 | 82.36% | 4,192 | 16.79% | 214 | 0.86% | 16,375 | 65.57% | 24,973 |
| Cherokee | 16,593 | 80.91% | 3,744 | 18.26% | 170 | 0.83% | 12,849 | 62.66% | 20,507 |
| Childress | 1,991 | 87.63% | 263 | 11.58% | 18 | 0.79% | 1,728 | 76.06% | 2,272 |
| Clay | 5,288 | 89.51% | 584 | 9.88% | 36 | 0.61% | 4,704 | 79.62% | 5,908 |
| Cochran | 735 | 82.31% | 148 | 16.57% | 10 | 1.12% | 587 | 65.73% | 893 |
| Coke | 1,623 | 89.47% | 179 | 9.87% | 12 | 0.66% | 1,444 | 79.60% | 1,814 |
| Coleman | 3,712 | 89.32% | 428 | 10.30% | 16 | 0.38% | 3,284 | 79.02% | 4,156 |
| Collin | 279,534 | 54.22% | 222,115 | 43.08% | 13,936 | 2.70% | 57,419 | 11.14% | 515,585 |
| Collingsworth | 1,066 | 88.76% | 135 | 11.24% | 0 | 0.00% | 931 | 77.52% | 1,201 |
| Colorado | 7,824 | 78.29% | 2,108 | 21.09% | 62 | 0.62% | 5,716 | 57.19% | 9,994 |
| Comal | 74,756 | 72.23% | 27,680 | 26.75% | 1,055 | 1.02% | 47,076 | 45.49% | 103,491 |
| Comanche | 5,679 | 86.78% | 834 | 12.74% | 31 | 0.47% | 4,845 | 74.04% | 6,544 |
| Concho | 1,038 | 86.64% | 153 | 12.77% | 7 | 0.58% | 885 | 73.87% | 1,198 |
| Cooke | 16,975 | 83.02% | 3,310 | 16.19% | 162 | 0.79% | 13,665 | 66.83% | 20,447 |
| Coryell | 16,688 | 69.75% | 6,959 | 29.09% | 279 | 1.17% | 9,729 | 40.66% | 23,926 |
| Cottle | 565 | 86.00% | 89 | 13.55% | 3 | 0.46% | 476 | 72.45% | 657 |
| Crane | 1,195 | 86.03% | 186 | 13.39% | 8 | 0.58% | 1,009 | 72.64% | 1,389 |
| Crockett | 1,087 | 76.71% | 323 | 22.79% | 7 | 0.49% | 764 | 53.92% | 1,417 |
| Crosby | 1,416 | 75.32% | 451 | 23.99% | 13 | 0.69% | 965 | 51.33% | 1,880 |
| Culberson | 451 | 57.75% | 319 | 40.85% | 11 | 1.41% | 132 | 16.90% | 781 |
| Dallam | 1,285 | 88.80% | 152 | 10.50% | 10 | 0.69% | 1,133 | 78.30% | 1,447 |
| Dallas | 322,569 | 37.96% | 511,118 | 60.14% | 16,185 | 1.90% | -188,549 | -22.19% | 849,872 |
| Dawson | 2,810 | 79.99% | 667 | 18.99% | 36 | 1.02% | 2,143 | 61.00% | 3,513 |
| Deaf Smith | 3,233 | 75.43% | 1,019 | 23.78% | 34 | 0.79% | 2,214 | 51.66% | 4,286 |
| Delta | 2,250 | 84.65% | 397 | 14.94% | 11 | 0.41% | 1,853 | 69.71% | 2,658 |
| Denton | 250,521 | 55.77% | 191,503 | 42.63% | 7,164 | 1.59% | 59,018 | 13.14% | 449,188 |
| DeWitt | 6,515 | 83.26% | 1,270 | 16.23% | 40 | 0.51% | 5,245 | 67.03% | 7,825 |
| Dickens | 844 | 84.99% | 146 | 14.70% | 3 | 0.30% | 698 | 70.29% | 993 |
| Dimmit | 1,653 | 48.23% | 1,765 | 51.50% | 9 | 0.26% | -112 | -3.27% | 3,427 |
| Donley | 1,512 | 88.32% | 174 | 10.16% | 26 | 1.52% | 1,338 | 78.15% | 1,712 |
| Duval | 2,439 | 54.67% | 2,003 | 44.90% | 19 | 0.43% | 436 | 9.77% | 4,461 |
| Eastland | 7,397 | 88.44% | 918 | 10.98% | 49 | 0.59% | 6,479 | 77.46% | 8,364 |
| Ector | 32,429 | 76.10% | 9,881 | 23.19% | 305 | 0.72% | 22,548 | 52.91% | 42,615 |
| Edwards | 869 | 86.47% | 133 | 13.23% | 3 | 0.30% | 736 | 73.23% | 1,005 |
| Ellis | 64,763 | 65.05% | 33,850 | 34.00% | 944 | 0.95% | 30,913 | 31.05% | 99,557 |
| El Paso | 105,124 | 41.79% | 143,156 | 56.91% | 3,289 | 1.31% | -38,032 | -15.12% | 251,569 |
| Erath | 15,349 | 83.64% | 2,871 | 15.64% | 131 | 0.71% | 12,478 | 68.00% | 18,351 |
| Falls | 4,520 | 72.01% | 1,713 | 27.29% | 44 | 0.70% | 2,807 | 44.72% | 6,277 |
| Fannin | 13,648 | 83.24% | 2,607 | 15.90% | 140 | 0.85% | 11,041 | 67.34% | 16,395 |
| Fayette | 10,699 | 80.26% | 2,515 | 18.87% | 117 | 0.88% | 8,184 | 61.39% | 13,331 |
| Fisher | 1,487 | 81.26% | 330 | 18.03% | 13 | 0.71% | 1,157 | 63.22% | 1,830 |
| Floyd | 1,715 | 82.06% | 358 | 17.13% | 17 | 0.81% | 1,357 | 64.93% | 2,090 |
| Foard | 448 | 82.20% | 92 | 16.88% | 5 | 0.92% | 356 | 65.32% | 545 |
| Fort Bend | 173,592 | 47.88% | 179,310 | 49.46% | 9,622 | 2.65% | -5,718 | -1.58% | 362,524 |
| Franklin | 4,473 | 84.22% | 813 | 15.31% | 25 | 0.47% | 3,660 | 68.91% | 5,311 |
| Freestone | 7,500 | 82.92% | 1,499 | 16.57% | 46 | 0.51% | 6,001 | 66.35% | 9,045 |
| Frio | 3,060 | 61.88% | 1,848 | 37.37% | 37 | 0.75% | 1,212 | 24.51% | 4,945 |
| Gaines | 5,840 | 91.02% | 538 | 8.39% | 38 | 0.59% | 5,302 | 82.64% | 6,416 |
| Galveston | 100,295 | 63.08% | 56,732 | 35.68% | 1,969 | 1.24% | 43,563 | 27.40% | 158,996 |
| Garza | 1,374 | 85.93% | 213 | 13.32% | 12 | 0.75% | 1,161 | 72.61% | 1,599 |
| Gillespie | 13,202 | 80.05% | 3,160 | 19.16% | 130 | 0.79% | 10,042 | 60.89% | 16,492 |
| Glasscock | 623 | 93.97% | 38 | 5.73% | 2 | 0.30% | 585 | 88.24% | 663 |
| Goliad | 3,178 | 79.71% | 778 | 19.51% | 31 | 0.78% | 2,400 | 60.20% | 3,987 |
| Gonzales | 5,981 | 77.12% | 1,729 | 22.30% | 45 | 0.58% | 4,252 | 54.83% | 7,755 |
| Gray | 6,691 | 88.27% | 845 | 11.15% | 44 | 0.58% | 5,846 | 77.12% | 7,580 |
| Grayson | 50,556 | 76.70% | 14,800 | 22.45% | 559 | 0.85% | 35,756 | 54.25% | 65,915 |
| Gregg | 33,026 | 70.66% | 13,294 | 28.44% | 418 | 0.89% | 19,732 | 42.22% | 46,738 |
| Grimes | 11,197 | 79.69% | 2,734 | 19.46% | 120 | 0.85% | 8,463 | 60.23% | 14,051 |
| Guadalupe | 54,691 | 64.24% | 29,573 | 34.74% | 872 | 1.02% | 25,118 | 29.50% | 85,136 |
| Hale | 7,283 | 78.44% | 1,903 | 20.50% | 99 | 1.07% | 5,380 | 57.94% | 9,285 |
| Hall | 992 | 86.34% | 149 | 12.97% | 8 | 0.70% | 843 | 73.37% | 1,149 |
| Hamilton | 3,809 | 85.31% | 625 | 14.00% | 31 | 0.69% | 3,184 | 71.31% | 4,465 |
| Hansford | 1,842 | 92.15% | 146 | 7.30% | 11 | 0.55% | 1,696 | 84.84% | 1,999 |
| Hardeman | 1,210 | 86.12% | 188 | 13.38% | 7 | 0.50% | 1,022 | 72.74% | 1,405 |
| Hardin | 24,691 | 87.69% | 3,347 | 11.89% | 119 | 0.42% | 21,344 | 75.80% | 28,157 |
| Harris | 722,695 | 46.40% | 808,771 | 51.93% | 26,018 | 1.67% | -86,076 | -5.53% | 1,557,484 |
| Harrison | 22,658 | 74.92% | 7,369 | 24.37% | 216 | 0.71% | 15,289 | 50.55% | 30,243 |
| Hartley | 1,843 | 91.42% | 163 | 8.09% | 10 | 0.50% | 1,680 | 83.33% | 2,016 |
| Haskell | 1,918 | 85.36% | 313 | 13.93% | 16 | 0.71% | 1,605 | 71.43% | 2,247 |
| Hays | 58,438 | 46.44% | 65,528 | 52.08% | 1,861 | 1.48% | -7,090 | -5.63% | 125,827 |
| Hemphill | 1,412 | 87.59% | 190 | 11.79% | 10 | 0.62% | 1,222 | 75.81% | 1,612 |
| Henderson | 31,379 | 81.42% | 6,919 | 17.95% | 242 | 0.63% | 24,460 | 63.47% | 38,540 |
| Hidalgo | 110,760 | 50.98% | 104,517 | 48.11% | 1,988 | 0.92% | 6,243 | 2.87% | 217,265 |
| Hill | 13,669 | 81.82% | 2,919 | 17.47% | 118 | 0.71% | 10,750 | 64.35% | 16,706 |
| Hockley | 6,616 | 82.82% | 1,323 | 16.56% | 49 | 0.61% | 5,293 | 66.26% | 7,988 |
| Hood | 30,174 | 82.55% | 6,070 | 16.61% | 309 | 0.85% | 24,104 | 65.94% | 36,553 |
| Hopkins | 13,754 | 81.98% | 2,917 | 17.39% | 107 | 0.64% | 10,837 | 64.59% | 16,778 |
| Houston | 7,247 | 77.38% | 2,065 | 22.05% | 53 | 0.57% | 5,182 | 55.33% | 9,365 |
| Howard | 7,817 | 81.08% | 1,759 | 18.24% | 65 | 0.67% | 6,058 | 62.84% | 9,641 |
| Hudspeth | 759 | 73.12% | 275 | 26.49% | 4 | 0.39% | 484 | 46.63% | 1,038 |
| Hunt | 36,137 | 77.33% | 10,212 | 21.85% | 384 | 0.82% | 25,925 | 55.47% | 46,733 |
| Hutchinson | 7,273 | 88.22% | 913 | 11.07% | 58 | 0.70% | 6,360 | 77.15% | 8,244 |
| Irion | 761 | 87.67% | 105 | 12.10% | 2 | 0.23% | 656 | 75.58% | 868 |
| Jack | 3,819 | 90.91% | 363 | 8.64% | 19 | 0.45% | 3,456 | 82.27% | 4,201 |
| Jackson | 5,386 | 85.10% | 907 | 14.33% | 36 | 0.57% | 4,479 | 70.77% | 6,329 |
| Jasper | 13,162 | 83.09% | 2,615 | 16.51% | 64 | 0.40% | 10,547 | 66.58% | 15,841 |
| Jeff Davis | 699 | 59.79% | 450 | 38.49% | 20 | 1.71% | 249 | 21.30% | 1,169 |
| Jefferson | 46,596 | 53.98% | 38,936 | 45.11% | 782 | 0.91% | 7,660 | 8.87% | 86,314 |
| Jim Hogg | 725 | 45.74% | 856 | 54.01% | 4 | 0.25% | -131 | -8.26% | 1,585 |
| Jim Wells | 7,636 | 57.55% | 5,577 | 42.03% | 55 | 0.41% | 2,059 | 15.52% | 13,268 |
| Johnson | 60,752 | 75.26% | 19,247 | 23.84% | 722 | 0.89% | 41,505 | 51.42% | 80,721 |
| Jones | 5,988 | 86.20% | 907 | 13.06% | 52 | 0.75% | 5,081 | 73.14% | 6,947 |
| Karnes | 4,001 | 78.84% | 1,051 | 20.71% | 23 | 0.45% | 2,950 | 58.13% | 5,075 |
| Kaufman | 44,063 | 63.49% | 24,726 | 35.63% | 617 | 0.89% | 19,337 | 27.86% | 69,406 |
| Kendall | 22,668 | 77.33% | 6,355 | 21.68% | 292 | 1.00% | 16,313 | 55.65% | 29,315 |
| Kenedy | 115 | 72.78% | 41 | 25.95% | 2 | 1.27% | 74 | 46.84% | 158 |
| Kent | 390 | 87.64% | 50 | 11.24% | 5 | 1.12% | 340 | 76.40% | 445 |
| Kerr | 21,615 | 76.73% | 6,315 | 22.42% | 240 | 0.85% | 15,300 | 54.31% | 28,170 |
| Kimble | 2,126 | 88.44% | 261 | 10.86% | 17 | 0.71% | 1,865 | 77.58% | 2,404 |
| King | 129 | 95.56% | 6 | 4.44% | 0 | 0.00% | 123 | 91.11% | 135 |
| Kinney | 1,063 | 74.91% | 346 | 24.38% | 10 | 0.70% | 717 | 50.53% | 1,419 |
| Kleberg | 5,612 | 56.04% | 4,338 | 43.32% | 64 | 0.64% | 1,274 | 12.72% | 10,014 |
| Knox | 1,156 | 84.01% | 214 | 15.55% | 6 | 0.44% | 942 | 68.46% | 1,376 |
| Lamar | 17,044 | 80.08% | 4,079 | 19.16% | 162 | 0.76% | 12,965 | 60.91% | 21,285 |
| Lamb | 3,398 | 81.86% | 729 | 17.56% | 24 | 0.58% | 2,669 | 64.30% | 4,151 |
| Lampasas | 8,961 | 79.29% | 2,232 | 19.75% | 108 | 0.96% | 6,729 | 59.54% | 11,301 |
| La Salle | 1,417 | 60.04% | 933 | 39.53% | 10 | 0.42% | 484 | 20.51% | 2,360 |
| Lavaca | 9,215 | 87.84% | 1,235 | 11.77% | 41 | 0.39% | 7,980 | 76.07% | 10,491 |
| Lee | 6,724 | 79.90% | 1,640 | 19.49% | 51 | 0.61% | 5,084 | 60.42% | 8,415 |
| Leon | 7,982 | 88.06% | 1,033 | 11.40% | 49 | 0.54% | 6,949 | 76.67% | 9,064 |
| Liberty | 25,241 | 80.58% | 5,952 | 19.00% | 130 | 0.42% | 19,289 | 61.58% | 31,323 |
| Limestone | 7,081 | 78.03% | 1,921 | 21.17% | 73 | 0.80% | 5,160 | 56.86% | 9,075 |
| Lipscomb | 1,125 | 89.36% | 123 | 9.77% | 11 | 0.87% | 1,002 | 79.59% | 1,259 |
| Live Oak | 4,307 | 84.57% | 761 | 14.94% | 25 | 0.49% | 3,546 | 69.62% | 5,093 |
| Llano | 10,902 | 79.99% | 2,613 | 19.17% | 114 | 0.84% | 8,289 | 60.82% | 13,629 |
| Loving | 86 | 88.66% | 10 | 10.31% | 1 | 1.03% | 76 | 78.35% | 97 |
| Lubbock | 86,547 | 69.22% | 37,148 | 29.71% | 1,343 | 1.07% | 49,399 | 39.51% | 125,038 |
| Lynn | 2,175 | 84.73% | 371 | 14.45% | 21 | 0.82% | 1,804 | 70.28% | 2,567 |
| Madison | 4,498 | 81.95% | 964 | 17.56% | 27 | 0.49% | 3,534 | 64.38% | 5,489 |
| Marion | 3,577 | 75.88% | 1,101 | 23.36% | 36 | 0.76% | 2,476 | 52.52% | 4,714 |
| Martin | 1,825 | 87.61% | 247 | 11.86% | 11 | 0.53% | 1,578 | 75.76% | 2,083 |
| Mason | 2,076 | 82.15% | 434 | 17.17% | 17 | 0.67% | 1,642 | 64.98% | 2,527 |
| Matagorda | 9,957 | 74.80% | 3,231 | 24.27% | 124 | 0.93% | 6,726 | 50.53% | 13,312 |
| Maverick | 9,285 | 58.97% | 6,373 | 40.48% | 87 | 0.55% | 2,912 | 18.49% | 15,745 |
| McCulloch | 3,033 | 86.34% | 455 | 12.95% | 25 | 0.71% | 2,578 | 73.38% | 3,513 |
| McLennan | 64,606 | 64.82% | 33,863 | 33.97% | 1,203 | 1.21% | 30,743 | 30.84% | 99,672 |
| McMullen | 448 | 91.99% | 37 | 7.60% | 2 | 0.41% | 411 | 84.39% | 487 |
| Medina | 17,464 | 70.94% | 6,950 | 28.23% | 203 | 0.82% | 10,514 | 42.71% | 24,617 |
| Menard | 861 | 82.79% | 170 | 16.35% | 9 | 0.87% | 691 | 66.44% | 1,040 |
| Midland | 46,944 | 79.83% | 11,351 | 19.30% | 513 | 0.87% | 35,593 | 60.52% | 58,808 |
| Milam | 8,691 | 78.31% | 2,331 | 21.00% | 76 | 0.68% | 6,360 | 57.31% | 11,098 |
| Mills | 2,418 | 88.18% | 310 | 11.31% | 14 | 0.51% | 2,108 | 76.88% | 2,742 |
| Mitchell | 2,144 | 85.32% | 352 | 14.01% | 17 | 0.68% | 1,792 | 71.31% | 2,513 |
| Montague | 9,825 | 88.51% | 1,208 | 10.88% | 68 | 0.61% | 8,617 | 77.62% | 11,101 |
| Montgomery | 221,964 | 72.24% | 82,277 | 26.78% | 3,017 | 0.98% | 139,687 | 45.46% | 307,258 |
| Moore | 4,458 | 83.14% | 860 | 16.04% | 44 | 0.82% | 3,598 | 67.10% | 5,362 |
| Morris | 4,092 | 75.30% | 1,312 | 24.14% | 30 | 0.55% | 2,780 | 51.16% | 5,434 |
| Motley | 612 | 94.15% | 35 | 5.38% | 3 | 0.46% | 577 | 88.77% | 650 |
| Nacogdoches | 17,575 | 68.96% | 7,690 | 30.17% | 221 | 0.87% | 9,885 | 38.79% | 25,486 |
| Navarro | 14,983 | 75.55% | 4,708 | 23.74% | 140 | 0.71% | 10,275 | 51.81% | 19,831 |
| Newton | 4,781 | 83.16% | 952 | 16.56% | 16 | 0.28% | 3,829 | 66.60% | 5,749 |
| Nolan | 4,048 | 79.14% | 1,020 | 19.94% | 47 | 0.92% | 3,028 | 59.20% | 5,115 |
| Nueces | 67,201 | 55.23% | 53,248 | 43.76% | 1,229 | 1.01% | 13,953 | 11.47% | 121,678 |
| Ochiltree | 2,723 | 90.47% | 269 | 8.94% | 18 | 0.60% | 2,454 | 81.53% | 3,010 |
| Oldham | 895 | 91.89% | 74 | 7.60% | 5 | 0.51% | 821 | 84.29% | 974 |
| Orange | 30,191 | 83.08% | 5,945 | 16.36% | 202 | 0.56% | 24,246 | 66.72% | 36,338 |
| Palo Pinto | 11,093 | 83.18% | 2,143 | 16.07% | 100 | 0.75% | 8,950 | 67.11% | 13,336 |
| Panola | 9,500 | 83.05% | 1,905 | 16.65% | 34 | 0.30% | 7,595 | 66.40% | 11,439 |
| Parker | 75,168 | 82.75% | 14,872 | 16.37% | 800 | 0.88% | 60,296 | 66.38% | 90,840 |
| Parmer | 2,123 | 84.78% | 368 | 14.70% | 13 | 0.52% | 1,755 | 70.09% | 2,504 |
| Pecos | 3,042 | 71.86% | 1,144 | 27.03% | 47 | 1.11% | 1,898 | 44.84% | 4,233 |
| Polk | 19,216 | 79.10% | 4,910 | 20.21% | 166 | 0.68% | 14,306 | 58.89% | 24,292 |
| Potter | 23,007 | 71.63% | 8,748 | 27.23% | 366 | 1.14% | 14,259 | 44.39% | 32,121 |
| Presidio | 686 | 34.40% | 1,289 | 64.64% | 19 | 0.95% | -603 | -30.24% | 1,994 |
| Rains | 5,649 | 86.17% | 869 | 13.26% | 38 | 0.58% | 4,780 | 72.91% | 6,556 |
| Randall | 53,314 | 79.69% | 12,935 | 19.33% | 652 | 0.97% | 40,379 | 60.36% | 66,901 |
| Reagan | 800 | 84.30% | 141 | 14.86% | 8 | 0.84% | 659 | 69.44% | 949 |
| Real | 1,625 | 82.99% | 315 | 16.09% | 18 | 0.92% | 1,310 | 66.91% | 1,958 |
| Red River | 4,682 | 80.78% | 1,103 | 19.03% | 11 | 0.19% | 3,579 | 61.75% | 5,796 |
| Reeves | 2,340 | 68.04% | 1,070 | 31.11% | 29 | 0.84% | 1,270 | 36.93% | 3,439 |
| Refugio | 2,134 | 69.40% | 919 | 29.89% | 22 | 0.72% | 1,215 | 39.51% | 3,075 |
| Roberts | 547 | 95.63% | 20 | 3.50% | 5 | 0.87% | 527 | 92.13% | 572 |
| Robertson | 6,177 | 75.72% | 1,926 | 23.61% | 55 | 0.67% | 4,251 | 52.11% | 8,158 |
| Rockwall | 43,542 | 69.93% | 18,092 | 29.05% | 635 | 1.02% | 25,450 | 40.87% | 62,269 |
| Runnels | 3,580 | 88.26% | 452 | 11.14% | 24 | 0.59% | 3,128 | 77.12% | 4,056 |
| Rusk | 17,234 | 79.40% | 4,337 | 19.98% | 135 | 0.62% | 12,897 | 59.42% | 21,706 |
| Sabine | 4,972 | 89.09% | 590 | 10.57% | 19 | 0.34% | 4,382 | 78.52% | 5,581 |
| San Augustine | 2,917 | 77.85% | 809 | 21.59% | 21 | 0.56% | 2,108 | 56.26% | 3,747 |
| San Jacinto | 10,524 | 82.29% | 2,175 | 17.01% | 90 | 0.70% | 8,349 | 65.28% | 12,789 |
| San Patricio | 17,337 | 67.78% | 8,025 | 31.37% | 217 | 0.85% | 9,312 | 36.40% | 25,579 |
| San Saba | 2,412 | 89.04% | 276 | 10.19% | 21 | 0.78% | 2,136 | 78.85% | 2,709 |
| Schleicher | 906 | 81.77% | 192 | 17.33% | 10 | 0.90% | 714 | 64.44% | 1,108 |
| Scurry | 4,945 | 86.44% | 734 | 12.83% | 42 | 0.73% | 4,211 | 73.61% | 5,721 |
| Shackelford | 1,565 | 90.57% | 146 | 8.45% | 17 | 0.98% | 1,419 | 82.12% | 1,728 |
| Shelby | 8,164 | 82.07% | 1,741 | 17.50% | 43 | 0.43% | 6,423 | 64.57% | 9,948 |
| Sherman | 817 | 93.59% | 48 | 5.50% | 8 | 0.92% | 769 | 88.09% | 873 |
| Smith | 74,862 | 72.07% | 28,041 | 26.99% | 976 | 0.94% | 46,821 | 45.07% | 103,879 |
| Somervell | 4,493 | 84.87% | 751 | 14.19% | 50 | 0.94% | 3,742 | 70.68% | 5,294 |
| Starr | 9,487 | 57.77% | 6,862 | 41.79% | 72 | 0.44% | 2,625 | 15.99% | 16,421 |
| Stephens | 3,368 | 89.55% | 384 | 10.21% | 9 | 0.24% | 2,984 | 79.34% | 3,761 |
| Sterling | 583 | 92.69% | 43 | 6.84% | 3 | 0.48% | 540 | 85.85% | 629 |
| Stonewall | 604 | 84.36% | 110 | 15.36% | 2 | 0.28% | 494 | 68.99% | 716 |
| Sutton | 1,167 | 83.36% | 228 | 16.29% | 5 | 0.36% | 939 | 67.07% | 1,400 |
| Swisher | 1,840 | 81.24% | 403 | 17.79% | 22 | 0.97% | 1,437 | 63.44% | 2,265 |
| Tarrant | 426,626 | 51.82% | 384,501 | 46.70% | 12,185 | 1.48% | 42,125 | 5.12% | 823,312 |
| Taylor | 41,198 | 74.34% | 13,624 | 24.58% | 595 | 1.07% | 27,574 | 49.76% | 55,417 |
| Terrell | 314 | 77.53% | 91 | 22.47% | 0 | 0.00% | 223 | 55.06% | 405 |
| Terry | 2,815 | 82.31% | 587 | 17.16% | 18 | 0.53% | 2,228 | 65.15% | 3,420 |
| Throckmorton | 823 | 91.44% | 73 | 8.11% | 4 | 0.44% | 750 | 83.33% | 900 |
| Titus | 7,861 | 76.96% | 2,275 | 22.27% | 78 | 0.76% | 5,586 | 54.69% | 10,214 |
| Tom Green | 33,399 | 73.47% | 11,585 | 25.48% | 476 | 1.05% | 21,814 | 47.99% | 45,460 |
| Travis | 170,787 | 29.38% | 398,981 | 68.64% | 11,508 | 1.98% | -228,194 | -39.26% | 581,276 |
| Trinity | 6,136 | 83.21% | 1,195 | 16.21% | 43 | 0.58% | 4,941 | 67.01% | 7,374 |
| Tyler | 8,286 | 86.51% | 1,249 | 13.04% | 43 | 0.45% | 7,037 | 73.47% | 9,578 |
| Upshur | 16,939 | 85.18% | 2,820 | 14.18% | 128 | 0.64% | 14,119 | 71.00% | 19,887 |
| Upton | 1,149 | 88.18% | 146 | 11.20% | 8 | 0.61% | 1,003 | 76.98% | 1,303 |
| Uvalde | 6,482 | 66.33% | 3,218 | 32.93% | 72 | 0.74% | 3,264 | 33.40% | 9,772 |
| Val Verde | 9,162 | 62.81% | 5,282 | 36.21% | 144 | 0.99% | 3,880 | 26.60% | 14,588 |
| Van Zandt | 24,351 | 87.12% | 3,450 | 12.34% | 149 | 0.53% | 20,901 | 74.78% | 27,950 |
| Victoria | 25,010 | 70.82% | 9,998 | 28.31% | 307 | 0.87% | 15,012 | 42.51% | 35,315 |
| Walker | 17,515 | 69.57% | 7,461 | 29.64% | 199 | 0.79% | 10,054 | 39.94% | 25,175 |
| Waller | 17,077 | 61.96% | 10,183 | 36.95% | 301 | 1.09% | 6,894 | 25.01% | 27,561 |
| Ward | 3,115 | 82.74% | 627 | 16.65% | 23 | 0.61% | 2,488 | 66.08% | 3,765 |
| Washington | 14,020 | 76.96% | 4,058 | 22.28% | 139 | 0.76% | 9,962 | 54.69% | 18,217 |
| Webb | 33,384 | 50.69% | 31,952 | 48.51% | 529 | 0.80% | 1,432 | 2.17% | 65,865 |
| Wharton | 12,439 | 75.60% | 3,910 | 23.76% | 104 | 0.63% | 8,529 | 51.84% | 16,453 |
| Wheeler | 2,093 | 92.04% | 169 | 7.43% | 12 | 0.53% | 1,924 | 84.61% | 2,274 |
| Wichita | 31,818 | 71.45% | 12,237 | 27.48% | 475 | 1.07% | 19,581 | 43.97% | 44,530 |
| Wilbarger | 3,566 | 79.83% | 860 | 19.25% | 41 | 0.92% | 2,706 | 60.58% | 4,467 |
| Willacy | 2,856 | 51.34% | 2,673 | 48.05% | 34 | 0.61% | 183 | 3.29% | 5,563 |
| Williamson | 155,310 | 50.35% | 147,766 | 47.90% | 5,393 | 1.75% | 7,544 | 2.45% | 308,469 |
| Wilson | 20,894 | 76.60% | 6,247 | 22.90% | 134 | 0.49% | 14,647 | 53.70% | 27,275 |
| Winkler | 1,646 | 85.15% | 283 | 14.64% | 4 | 0.21% | 1,363 | 70.51% | 1,933 |
| Wise | 32,385 | 84.68% | 5,605 | 14.66% | 253 | 0.66% | 26,780 | 70.03% | 38,243 |
| Wood | 20,621 | 84.56% | 3,618 | 14.84% | 147 | 0.60% | 17,003 | 69.72% | 24,386 |
| Yoakum | 2,039 | 85.21% | 342 | 14.29% | 12 | 0.50% | 1,697 | 70.92% | 2,393 |
| Young | 7,298 | 87.78% | 962 | 11.57% | 54 | 0.65% | 6,336 | 76.21% | 8,314 |
| Zapata | 2,970 | 60.97% | 1,877 | 38.53% | 24 | 0.49% | 1,093 | 22.44% | 4,871 |
| Zavala | 1,482 | 42.44% | 1,984 | 56.82% | 26 | 0.74% | -502 | -14.38% | 3,492 |
| Totals | 6,393,597 | 56.14% | 4,835,250 | 42.46% | 159,827 | 1.40% | 1,558,347 | 13.68% | 11,388,674 |
Swing by county
County flipsDemocratic Hold | Republican Hold Flip
|
Trump won 27 of 38 congressional districts, including two that elected Democrats.[89]
| District | Trump | Harris | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 75% | 24% | Nathaniel Moran |
| 2nd | 61% | 37% | Dan Crenshaw |
| 3rd | 59% | 39% | Keith Self |
| 4th | 65% | 33% | Pat Fallon |
| 5th | 63% | 36% | Lance Gooden |
| 6th | 64% | 35% | Jake Ellzey |
| 7th | 38% | 59% | Lizzie Fletcher |
| 8th | 66% | 32% | Morgan Luttrell |
| 9th | 27% | 71% | Al Green |
| 10th | 62% | 37% | Michael McCaul |
| 11th | 72% | 27% | August Pfluger |
| 12th | 61% | 38% | Kay Granger (118th Congress) |
| Craig Goldman (119th Congress) | |||
| 13th | 73% | 26% | Ronny Jackson |
| 14th | 66% | 32% | Randy Weber |
| 15th | 58% | 41% | Monica De La Cruz |
| 16th | 41% | 57% | Veronica Escobar |
| 17th | 64% | 35% | Pete Sessions |
| 18th | 29% | 69% | Erica Lee Carter (118th Congress) |
| Sylvester Turner (119th Congress) | |||
| 19th | 75% | 24% | Jodey Arrington |
| 20th | 39% | 60% | Joaquín Castro |
| 21st | 61% | 38% | Chip Roy |
| 22nd | 59% | 39% | Troy Nehls |
| 23rd | 57% | 42% | Tony Gonzales |
| 24th | 57% | 41% | Beth Van Duyne |
| 25th | 68% | 31% | Roger Williams |
| 26th | 61% | 38% | Michael Burgess (118th Congress) |
| Brandon Gill (119th Congress) | |||
| 27th | 64% | 35% | Michael Cloud |
| 28th | 53% | 46% | Henry Cuellar |
| 29th | 39% | 60% | Sylvia Garcia |
| 30th | 26% | 73% | Jasmine Crockett |
| 31st | 61% | 38% | John Carter |
| 32nd | 37% | 60% | Colin Allred (118th Congress) |
| Julie Johnson (119th Congress) | |||
| 33rd | 32% | 66% | Marc Veasey |
| 34th | 52% | 47% | Vicente Gonzalez |
| 35th | 32% | 66% | Greg Casar |
| 36th | 68% | 31% | Brian Babin |
| 37th | 24% | 73% | Lloyd Doggett |
| 38th | 59% | 39% | Wesley Hunt |
A heavily populatedWest South Central state, Texas is one of the fastest growing and most diverse states in the U.S. and is generally considered to be ared state, not having votedDemocratic in a presidential election since1976 and with Republicans holding all statewide offices since 1999. Texas's location in theAmerican South and largely in the greaterBible Belt has given theRepublican Party the upper hand in the state in recent decades.[90] Trump received the most raw votes for a political candidate ever in Texas, breaking his own record from2020 by over 500,000. The Democratic vote total fell by 425,000 between 2020 and 2024. Compared to 2020, Trump improved his performance in 233 counties while Harris improved on Biden's performance in 21 counties.Loving andKaufman counties were the only counties in Texas to swing to the Democrats by more than 5%.[91]
Trump flipped 10 counties that voted for Biden in 2020, including multiple heavily Hispanic counties in theRio Grande Valley andSouth Texas. Notably, he took 58% of the vote in 97.7% HispanicStarr County, becoming the first Republican to win it sinceBenjamin Harrison in1892.[92][93] Trump also became the first Republican to winDuval County sinceTheodore Roosevelt in1904, the first Republican to winWebb County sinceWilliam Howard Taft in1912,[94] the first Republican to winMaverick County sinceHerbert Hoover in1928,[95] the first Republican to winHidalgo County andWillacy County sinceRichard Nixon in1972, and the first Republican to winCameron County andCulberson County sinceGeorge W. Bush in2004.[96] Most of these South Texas counties have some of the lowest levels of educational attainment in the country, with Trump winning 48% of non-white voters without college degrees per the exit poll.
Trump won the three largestmetro areas in Texas, which includeDallas-Fort Worth (which Trump carried by a margin of about 7 percentage points),Greater Houston (which Trump also carried by about 7 percentage points), andGreater San Antonio (which Trump carried by about 5 percentage points). Trump also carried every other metro area in the state except forGreater Austin andEl Paso (though he greatly improved on his2020 margins in both of these).[97]
Trump made his three largest county gains in the country compared to 2020 inMaverick County, Texas (by 27.95%),Webb County, Texas (by 25.43%), andImperial County, California (by 25.23%). All three counties are almost entirelyMexican American, located along theMexico–United States border.[98] Harris significantly underperformed Biden amongHispanic voters, including Mexican American voters. California and Texas are both over 25% Mexican American.[99] Even though Harris wonEl Paso County, the Democratic margin of victory was reduced by 20% from 2020, with Trump winning 42% of the vote in the county. This was the highest vote share in the county by a Republican nominee since2004, when former Governor of TexasGeorge W. Bush won 43% of the vote in the county.
Amongst the states, Texas had the sixth-largest swing to Republican in this election, with Trump increasing his margin of victory from 2020 by 8.1%. It was also the second largest swing to Republican (after Florida) in a state that he won.[100]
| 2024 presidential election in Texas voter demographics[101] | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Demographic subgroup | Trump | Harris | % of total vote |
| Ideology | |||
| Liberals | 12 | 87 | 18 |
| Moderates | 37 | 62 | 38 |
| Conservatives | 92 | 8 | 44 |
| Party | |||
| Democrats | 4 | 95 | 26 |
| Republicans | 97 | 3 | 38 |
| Independents | 49 | 48 | 36 |
| Gender | |||
| Men | 63 | 35 | 48 |
| Women | 50 | 49 | 52 |
| Race/ethnicity | |||
| White | 66 | 33 | 55 |
| Black | 12 | 86 | 11 |
| Latino | 55 | 45 | 26 |
| Asian | 55 | 42 | 4 |
| Gender by race/ethnicity | |||
| White men | 70 | 27 | 25 |
| White women | 62 | 37 | 30 |
| Black men | 22 | 77 | 5 |
| Black women | 4 | 94 | 6 |
| Latino men | 65 | 35 | 14 |
| Latina women | 41 | 58 | 12 |
| All other races | 58 | 40 | 8 |
| White evangelical or born again Christian | |||
| Yes | 86 | 13 | 23 |
| No | 46 | 53 | 77 |
| Age | |||
| 18–29 years old | 48 | 50 | 14 |
| 30–44 years old | 55 | 44 | 24 |
| 45–64 years old | 58 | 41 | 37 |
| 65 and older | 59 | 40 | 26 |
| First time voter | |||
| Yes | 77 | 23 | 9 |
| No | 54 | 44 | 91 |
| Education | |||
| No college degree | 61 | 38 | 58 |
| College graduate | 49 | 49 | 42 |
| Education by race | |||
| White college graduates | 57 | 41 | 27 |
| White no college degree | 74 | 25 | 29 |
| Non-White college graduates | 37 | 62 | 16 |
| Non-White no college degree | 48 | 51 | 29 |
| Military service | |||
| Veterans | 65 | 34 | 18 |
| Non-veterans | 54 | 44 | 82 |
| Area type | |||
| Urban | 46 | 52 | 42 |
| Suburban | 62 | 37 | 49 |
| Rural | 72 | 25 | 9 |
| Biden job approval | |||
| Strongly disapprove | 98 | 1 | 52 |
| Somewhat disapprove | 35 | 60 | 12 |
| Somewhat approve | 4 | 95 | 21 |
| Strongly approve | 1 | 99 | 15 |
| Feeling about the way things are going in U.S. | |||
| Dissatisfied | 50 | 48 | 40 |
| Angry | 86 | 13 | 37 |
| Satisfied | 15 | 85 | 15 |
| Enthusiastic | n/a | n/a | 8 |
| Quality of candidate that mattered most | |||
| Has ability to lead | 70 | 29 | 29 |
| Can bring needed change | 69 | 29 | 29 |
| Has good judgment | 33 | 65 | 23 |
| Cares about people like me | 43 | 57 | 17 |
| Vote for president mainly | |||
| For your candidate | 59 | 40 | 79 |
| Against their opponent | 46 | 52 | 20 |
| Issue regarded as most important | |||
| Democracy | 23 | 75 | 31 |
| Economy | 87 | 12 | 35 |
| Abortion | 9 | 91 | 14 |
| Immigration | 91 | 9 | 14 |
| Foreign policy | n/a | n/a | 5 |
| Democracy threatened in the United States | |||
| Democracy in the U.S. very threatened | 60 | 38 | 41 |
| Democracy in the U.S. somewhat threatened | 59 | 40 | 32 |
| Democracy in the U.S. somewhat secure | 46 | 53 | 22 |
| Democracy in the U.S. very secure | n/a | n/a | 4 |
| Confident election being conducted fairly and accurately | |||
| Very confident | 30 | 68 | 34 |
| Somewhat confident | 68 | 31 | 47 |
| Not very confident | 56 | 40 | 14 |
| Not at all confident | n/a | n/a | 4 |
| Condition of the nation's economy | |||
| Not so good | 55 | 44 | 32 |
| Poor | 94 | 5 | 39 |
| Good | 6 | 93 | 25 |
| Excellent | n/a | n/a | 4 |
| Family's financial situation today | |||
| Worse than four years ago | 84 | 15 | 53 |
| About the same | 33 | 65 | 27 |
| Better than four years ago | 12 | 86 | 20 |
| Abortion should be | |||
| Legal in all cases | 10 | 89 | 23 |
| Legal in most cases | 43 | 54 | 35 |
| Illegal in most cases | 95 | 5 | 31 |
| Illegal in all cases | n/a | n/a | 8 |
| Most undocumented immigrants in the U.S. should be | |||
| Offered chance at legal status | 21 | 76 | 50 |
| Deported | 92 | 7 | 48 |
As large as the cities are and how Democratic that they are, Texas Democrats still don't have a way to get past that red wall of rural West Texas, [Drew Landry] said. Rural Texas still rules the day. I was seeing some very, very close numbers before a lot of the rural counties reported [election returns], and once they did, it just blew the door open for Abbott.
State and district results of the2024 United States presidential election | ||
|---|---|---|
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