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| Turnout | 64.42% 4.92pp[1] | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Elections in Oklahoma |
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The2024 United States presidential election in Oklahoma took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus theDistrict of Columbia participated.Oklahoma voters chose electors to represent them in theElectoral College via a popular vote. The state of Oklahoma has seven electoral votes in the Electoral College, followingreapportionment due to the2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.[2]
RepublicanDonald Trump easily kept the state in the GOP column in the past two election cycles, with a 36.4% margin of victory in2016 and 33.1%four years later. Oklahoma was widely-expected to go for Trump a third time in 2024,[3] and Trump ultimately carried the state by 34.26%, winning every county.
Oklahoma was Trump's fifth strongest state in the nation, behindNorth Dakota,Idaho,West Virginia, andWyoming, in order from weakest to strongest. Despite this, the state had one of the smallest swings of any state, shifting rightward by just 1.2%, with many counties inthe northwest of the state shifting slightly leftward.
TheOklahoma State Election Board approved Independent candidateRobert F. Kennedy Jr. to officially appear on the ballot in the state on May 9, though he withdrew from the race, and subsequently endorsed Trump's candidacy, his name remained on the ballot.[4][5]
The Oklahoma Democratic primary was held onSuper Tuesday, March 5, 2024.
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pledged | Unpledged | Total | |||
| Joe Biden (incumbent) | 66,882 | 72.98% | 36 | 36 | |
| Marianne Williamson | 8,356 | 9.12% | 0 | 0 | |
| Dean Phillips | 8,182 | 8.93% | 0 | 0 | |
| Stephen Lyons | 4,441 | 4.85% | 0 | 0 | |
| Cenk Uygur | 1,974 | 2.15% | 0 | 0 | |
| Armando Perez-Serrato | 1,809 | 1.97% | 0 | 0 | |
| Total: | 91,644 | 100.00% | 40 | 4 | 40 |
The Oklahoma Republican primary was held onSuper Tuesday, March 5, 2024.
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
| Donald Trump | 254,928 | 81.83% | 43 | 43 | |
| Nikki Haley | 49,406 | 15.86% | |||
| Ron DeSantis (withdrawn) | 3,946 | 1.27% | |||
| Chris Christie (withdrawn) | 1,095 | 0.35% | |||
| Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn) | 1,022 | 0.33% | |||
| Asa Hutchinson (withdrawn) | 431 | 0.14% | |||
| David Stuckenberg | 397 | 0.13% | |||
| Ryan Binkley (withdrawn) | 303 | 0.10% | |||
| Total: | 311,528 | 100.00% | 43 | 43 | |
The Oklahoma Libertarian primary was held onSuper Tuesday, March 5, 2024. Jacob Hornberger andChase Oliver were qualified by petition for placement on the ballot. This is the first presidential preference primary for any alternative party in the state.[9]
Oliver and Hornberger participated in a forum atRose State College inMidwest City, on February 7, 2024.[10][11]
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Oliver | 569 | 61.25% | |||
| Jacob Hornberger | 360 | 38.75% | |||
| Total: | 929 | 100% | |||
| Source:[12] | |||||
The following presidential candidates have received ballot access in Oklahoma:[13]
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Cook Political Report[14] | Solid R | December 19, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[15] | Solid R | April 26, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[16] | Safe R | June 29, 2023 |
| Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[17] | Safe R | December 14, 2023 |
| CNalysis[18] | Solid R | December 30, 2023 |
| CNN[19] | Solid R | January 14, 2024 |
| The Economist[20] | Safe R | June 12, 2024 |
| 538[21] | Solid R | June 11, 2024 |
| RCP[22] | Solid R | June 26, 2024 |
| NBC News[23] | Safe R | October 6, 2024 |
Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Kamala Harris Democratic | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ActiVote[24] | October 3–29, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 67% | 33% | – |
| ActiVote[25] | September 13 – October 19, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 66% | 34% | – |
| SoonerPoll[26] | August 24–31, 2024 | 323 (LV) | ± 5.5% | 56% | 40% | 4% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Zogby Strategies[27][A] | April 13–21, 2024 | 391 (LV) | – | 53% | 40% | 7% |
| Cygnal (R)[28] | April 11–12, 2024 | 615 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 61% | 30% | 9% |
| Emerson College[29] | October 1–3, 2023 | 447 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 55% | 27% | 18% |
| Emerson College[30] | October 25–28, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 59% | 30% | 11% |
| SoonerPoll[31] | October 4–6, 2022 | 301 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 53% | 41% | 6% |
| Echelon Insights[32][B] | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 522 (LV) | ± 6.3% | 63% | 30% | 7% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Cornel West Independent | Jill Stein Green | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cygnal (R)[28] | April 11–12, 2024 | 615 (LV) | ± 3.83% | 56% | 24% | 7% | 2% | 1% | 10% |
Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Zogby Strategies[27][A] | April 13–21, 2024 | 391 (LV) | – | 46% | 43% | 11% |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Zogby Strategies[27][A] | April 13–21, 2024 | 391 (LV) | – | 50% | 36% | 14% |
Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Ron DeSantis Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Echelon Insights[32][B] | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 522 (LV) | ± 6.3% | 53% | 28% | 19% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | 1,036,213 | 66.16% | +0.79% | ||
| Democratic | 499,599 | 31.90% | −0.39% | ||
| Independent |
| 16,020 | 1.02% | N/A | |
| Libertarian | 9,198 | 0.59% | −0.99% | ||
| Independent |
| 5,143 | 0.33% | N/A | |
| Total votes | 1,566,173 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
| County | Donald Trump Republican | Kamala Harris Democratic | Various candidates Other parties | Margin | Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Adair | 5,860 | 80.76% | 1,289 | 17.76% | 107 | 1.47% | 4,571 | 63.00% | 7,256 |
| Alfalfa | 1,891 | 87.55% | 236 | 10.93% | 33 | 1.53% | 1,655 | 76.62% | 2,160 |
| Atoka | 4,832 | 85.34% | 779 | 13.76% | 51 | 0.90% | 4,053 | 71.58% | 5,662 |
| Beaver | 1,938 | 91.24% | 158 | 7.44% | 28 | 1.32% | 1,780 | 83.80% | 2,124 |
| Beckham | 6,474 | 84.32% | 1,093 | 14.24% | 111 | 1.45% | 5,381 | 70.08% | 7,678 |
| Blaine | 3,054 | 80.67% | 671 | 17.72% | 61 | 1.61% | 2,383 | 62.95% | 3,786 |
| Bryan | 13,999 | 78.59% | 3,569 | 20.04% | 244 | 1.37% | 10,430 | 58.55% | 17,812 |
| Caddo | 6,886 | 72.51% | 2,414 | 25.42% | 196 | 2.06% | 4,472 | 47.09% | 9,496 |
| Canadian | 50,551 | 69.18% | 21,038 | 28.79% | 1,485 | 2.03% | 29,513 | 40.39% | 73,074 |
| Carter | 14,945 | 76.69% | 4,277 | 21.95% | 266 | 1.36% | 10,668 | 54.74% | 19,488 |
| Cherokee | 11,637 | 65.29% | 5,826 | 32.69% | 360 | 2.02% | 5,811 | 32.60% | 17,823 |
| Choctaw | 4,633 | 82.16% | 944 | 16.74% | 62 | 1.10% | 3,689 | 65.42% | 5,639 |
| Cimarron | 860 | 91.98% | 66 | 7.06% | 9 | 0.96% | 794 | 84.92% | 935 |
| Cleveland | 67,225 | 56.35% | 49,432 | 41.44% | 2,637 | 2.21% | 17,793 | 14.91% | 119,294 |
| Coal | 2,155 | 84.91% | 345 | 13.59% | 38 | 1.50% | 1,810 | 71.32% | 2,538 |
| Comanche | 20,823 | 60.74% | 12,823 | 37.40% | 638 | 1.86% | 8,000 | 23.34% | 34,284 |
| Cotton | 2,067 | 82.48% | 392 | 15.64% | 47 | 1.88% | 1,675 | 66.84% | 2,506 |
| Craig | 4,740 | 78.27% | 1,212 | 20.01% | 104 | 1.72% | 3,528 | 58.26% | 6,056 |
| Creek | 24,098 | 76.96% | 6,643 | 21.22% | 571 | 1.82% | 17,455 | 55.74% | 31,312 |
| Custer | 7,693 | 75.66% | 2,279 | 22.41% | 196 | 1.93% | 5,414 | 53.25% | 10,168 |
| Delaware | 14,407 | 79.56% | 3,475 | 19.19% | 226 | 1.25% | 10,932 | 60.37% | 18,108 |
| Dewey | 1,984 | 89.57% | 209 | 9.44% | 22 | 0.99% | 1,775 | 80.13% | 2,215 |
| Ellis | 1,585 | 87.47% | 197 | 10.87% | 30 | 1.66% | 1,388 | 76.60% | 1,812 |
| Garfield | 16,593 | 75.96% | 4,849 | 22.20% | 402 | 1.84% | 11,744 | 53.76% | 21,844 |
| Garvin | 9,063 | 82.46% | 1,802 | 16.40% | 126 | 1.15% | 7,261 | 66.06% | 10,991 |
| Grady | 20,378 | 80.60% | 4,536 | 17.94% | 369 | 1.46% | 15,842 | 62.66% | 25,283 |
| Grant | 1,794 | 84.42% | 295 | 13.88% | 36 | 1.69% | 1,499 | 70.54% | 2,125 |
| Greer | 1,511 | 82.30% | 304 | 16.56% | 21 | 1.14% | 1,207 | 65.74% | 1,836 |
| Harmon | 709 | 80.39% | 165 | 18.71% | 8 | 0.91% | 544 | 61.68% | 882 |
| Harper | 1,284 | 88.49% | 147 | 10.13% | 20 | 1.38% | 1,137 | 78.36% | 1,451 |
| Haskell | 4,156 | 84.20% | 718 | 14.55% | 62 | 1.26% | 438 | 69.65% | 4,936 |
| Hughes | 3,744 | 80.36% | 831 | 17.84% | 84 | 1.80% | 2,913 | 62.52% | 4,659 |
| Jackson | 6,295 | 78.17% | 1,602 | 19.89% | 156 | 1.94% | 4,693 | 58.28% | 8,053 |
| Jefferson | 2,020 | 85.05% | 319 | 13.43% | 36 | 1.52% | 1,701 | 71.62% | 2,375 |
| Johnston | 3,462 | 81.84% | 684 | 16.17% | 84 | 1.99% | 2,778 | 65.67% | 4,230 |
| Kay | 12,483 | 73.81% | 4,136 | 24.45% | 294 | 1.74% | 8,347 | 49.36% | 16,913 |
| Kingfisher | 5,745 | 85.06% | 923 | 13.67% | 86 | 1.27% | 4,822 | 71.39% | 6,754 |
| Kiowa | 2,569 | 78.37% | 658 | 20.07% | 51 | 1.56% | 1,911 | 58.30% | 3,278 |
| Latimer | 3,356 | 82.28% | 681 | 16.70% | 42 | 1.03% | 2,675 | 65.58% | 4,079 |
| LeFlore | 15,333 | 81.76% | 3,184 | 16.98% | 237 | 1.26% | 12,149 | 64.78% | 18,754 |
| Lincoln | 12,495 | 80.80% | 2,712 | 17.54% | 258 | 1.67% | 9,783 | 63.26% | 15,465 |
| Logan | 17,748 | 73.49% | 5,901 | 24.44% | 500 | 2.07% | 11,847 | 49.05% | 24,149 |
| Love | 3,510 | 82.39% | 689 | 16.17% | 61 | 1.43% | 2,821 | 66.22% | 4,260 |
| McClain | 17,005 | 79.47% | 4,031 | 18.84% | 361 | 1.69% | 12,974 | 60.63% | 21,397 |
| McCurtain | 9,485 | 83.87% | 1,696 | 15.00% | 128 | 1.13% | 7,789 | 68.87% | 11,309 |
| McIntosh | 6,387 | 75.68% | 1,937 | 22.95% | 115 | 1.36% | 4,450 | 52.73% | 8,439 |
| Major | 3,087 | 88.76% | 327 | 9.40% | 64 | 1.84% | 2,760 | 79.36% | 3,478 |
| Marshall | 5,348 | 81.17% | 1,169 | 17.74% | 72 | 1.09% | 4,179 | 63.43% | 6,589 |
| Mayes | 13,514 | 77.78% | 3,529 | 20.31% | 331 | 1.91% | 9,985 | 57.47% | 17,374 |
| Murray | 4,689 | 79.68% | 1,080 | 18.35% | 116 | 1.97% | 3,609 | 61.33% | 5,885 |
| Muskogee | 16,550 | 67.95% | 7,400 | 30.38% | 407 | 1.67% | 9,150 | 37.57% | 24,357 |
| Noble | 3,853 | 77.73% | 1,009 | 20.36% | 95 | 1.92% | 2,844 | 57.37% | 4,957 |
| Nowata | 3,774 | 82.75% | 720 | 15.79% | 67 | 1.47% | 3,054 | 66.96% | 4,561 |
| Okfuskee | 3,080 | 77.23% | 854 | 21.41% | 54 | 1.35% | 2,226 | 55.82% | 3,988 |
| Oklahoma | 143,618 | 49.71% | 138,769 | 48.03% | 6,536 | 2.26% | 4,849 | 1.68% | 288,923 |
| Okmulgee | 10,100 | 70.39% | 3,979 | 27.73% | 270 | 1.88% | 6,121 | 42.66% | 14,349 |
| Osage | 14,404 | 69.83% | 5,867 | 28.44% | 357 | 1.73% | 8,537 | 41.39% | 20,628 |
| Ottawa | 8,490 | 75.95% | 2,511 | 22.46% | 177 | 1.58% | 5,979 | 53.49% | 11,178 |
| Pawnee | 5,405 | 78.56% | 1,355 | 19.69% | 120 | 1.74% | 4,050 | 58.87% | 6,880 |
| Payne | 17,962 | 61.35% | 10,560 | 36.07% | 757 | 2.59% | 7,402 | 25.28% | 29,279 |
| Pittsburg | 13,841 | 78.77% | 3,473 | 19.76% | 258 | 1.47% | 10,368 | 59.01% | 17,572 |
| Pontotoc | 10,967 | 72.27% | 3,895 | 25.67% | 312 | 2.06% | 7,072 | 46.60% | 15,174 |
| Pottawatomie | 20,915 | 72.69% | 7,266 | 25.25% | 593 | 2.06% | 13,649 | 47.44% | 28,774 |
| Pushmataha | 4,025 | 85.60% | 616 | 13.10% | 61 | 1.30% | 3,409 | 72.50% | 4,702 |
| Roger Mills | 1,548 | 89.32% | 160 | 9.23% | 25 | 1.45% | 1,388 | 80.09% | 1,733 |
| Rogers | 35,942 | 76.63% | 10,146 | 21.63% | 814 | 1.74% | 25,796 | 55.00% | 46,902 |
| Seminole | 5,951 | 73.98% | 1,951 | 24.25% | 142 | 1.77% | 4,000 | 49.73% | 8,044 |
| Sequoyah | 12,491 | 80.16% | 2,907 | 18.65% | 185 | 1.19% | 9,584 | 61.51% | 15,583 |
| Stephens | 15,092 | 81.05% | 3,236 | 17.38% | 292 | 1.57% | 11,856 | 63.67% | 18,620 |
| Texas | 4,319 | 82.96% | 793 | 15.23% | 94 | 1.81% | 3,526 | 67.73% | 5,206 |
| Tillman | 2,006 | 79.19% | 500 | 19.74% | 27 | 1.07% | 1,506 | 59.45% | 2,533 |
| Tulsa | 145,241 | 56.53% | 106,105 | 41.30% | 5,593 | 2.18% | 39,136 | 15.23% | 256,939 |
| Wagoner | 28,487 | 73.99% | 9,330 | 24.23% | 684 | 1.78% | 19,157 | 49.76% | 38,501 |
| Washington | 16,836 | 72.65% | 5,793 | 25.00% | 545 | 2.35% | 11,043 | 47.65% | 23,174 |
| Washita | 4,030 | 86.63% | 551 | 11.84% | 71 | 1.53% | 3,479 | 74.79% | 4,652 |
| Woods | 2,955 | 81.23% | 614 | 16.88% | 69 | 1.90% | 2,341 | 64.35% | 3,638 |
| Woodward | 6,231 | 85.22% | 967 | 13.22% | 114 | 1.56% | 5,264 | 72.00% | 7,312 |
| Totals | 1,036,213 | 66.16% | 499,599 | 31.90% | 30,361 | 1.94% | 536,614 | 34.26% | 1,566,173 |
Trump won all five congressional districts.[34]
| District | Trump | Harris | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 59.71% | 38.17% | Kevin Hern |
| 2nd | 77.02% | 21.40% | Josh Brecheen |
| 3rd | 71.51% | 26.66% | Frank Lucas |
| 4th | 65.51% | 32.58% | Tom Cole |
| 5th | 57.98% | 39.75% | Stephanie Bice |
A deeplyred state entirely in theBible Belt, Oklahoma has the longest Republican presidential voting streak of anySouthern state, having not backed a Democratic presidential candidate since it was won byLyndon B. Johnson of neighboringTexas in1964. Since then, the state has only been contested by single digits in the nationwide victories of former Southern governorsJimmy Carter andBill Clinton (the latter from neighboringArkansas) in1976,1992, and1996. In addition, Republican presidential candidates have consistently won every county in the state starting with TexanGeorge W. Bush in2004 — althoughOklahoma County, home to the largest city and state capitalOklahoma City, was closely decided in2020.
While dominating thePanhandle andNorthwestern counties, Trump improved across the state, particularlythe east with largeNative American populations. He increased his vote-share in the only two plurality-Native counties in the state:Adair andCherokee, both encompassed by theCherokee Reservation, and the latter hosting the tribal capital inTahlequah. Counties encompassed by the Cherokee,Muscogee, andSeminole reservations were all won by Trump by large margins, continuing 2020 trends. In addition, his 55% victory inOklahoma's 2nd congressional district is the best for a presidential Republican; the historically Democratic region ("Little Dixie"), home to theChoctaw Reservation, has voted for Trump in all three of his election bids. His 41.4% victory inOsage County is the best for a presidential Republican sinceNixon's 50.2% in1972.
Although Trump easily won Oklahoma, the state had the third smallest rightward shift in the nation (afterUtah andWashington state), shifting rightward by 1.18%. Much like in 2020, Oklahoma County was close, with Trump winning the county by less than 1.7%, though he did narrowly increase his margin in the county. Despite losingTulsa County by 15%, Harris won 41.3% of the vote in the county, the highest since1964.[35]
Partisan clients
The two Libertarian Party candidates on Oklahoma's ballot, Chase Oliver and Jacob Hornberger, spoke at Rose State College this month.
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