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| Turnout | 73.73%[1] 1.62pp | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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 County results Congressional district results Precinct results
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The2024 United States presidential election in North Carolina took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus theDistrict of Columbia participated.North Carolina voters chose electors to represent them in theElectoral College via a popular vote. The state of North Carolina has 16 electoral votes in the Electoral College, followingreapportionment due to the2020 United States census in which the state gained a seat.[2]
While Republican presidential candidates won close victories in2012,2016, and2020, even as polls indicated a narrow win by DemocratJoe Biden in 2020, at the state level, DemocratRoy Cooper won the2016 and2020 gubernatorial elections. Because of these results, the presidential election was expected to be competitive. Today apurple to slightly red state, North Carolina was targeted by both parties in 2024, with major news organizations marking the state as a tossup or slightly leaning towards the Republican candidate, Donald Trump, who carried the state with a margin similar to his 2016 result.[3] Incumbent president Biden was initially poised to run for re-election but withdrew on July 21 and endorsed his vice president,Kamala Harris.
Despite North Carolina Republicans struggling down-ballot, especially due to controversial Republican gubernatorial nomineeMark Robinson, Trump won the state by 3.21%, keeping it in the Republican column for the fourth election cycle in a row. Trump won the state himself for the third straight election. North Carolina remains the only battleground state that Trump won all three times. With 50.9 percent of the vote, Trump won the highest percentage of the vote for any presidential candidate since2004.
Harris did outperformHillary Clinton in 2016, losing by a 3.21% margin compared to Clinton's 3.66% margin of defeat. North Carolina and Georgia were the only two battleground states where Harris did better than Clinton but worse than Biden. North Carolina was also the only state that Trump won in 2020 that did not vote for him by double digits in 2024.
In North Carolina, candidates can make the primary ballot either by being nominated by the state party or by filing a nominating petition with at least 10,000 signatures.[4] TheNorth Carolina Democratic Party submitted onlyJoe Biden as a candidate,[5] and no candidate submitted 10,000 signatures by the December 22, 2023, deadline.[6]
The cancellation was criticized by theDean Phillips campaign, who started an online petition to get his candidacy on the ballot and threatened legal challenges.[5][7]Marianne Williamson andCenk Uygur also criticized the moves.[5]
In addition to the candidates on the ballot, the "No Preference" option appeared on the Democratic, Republican, and Libertarian Presidential Preference Primary ballots. In 2012, when President Barack Obama did not face primary opposition in North Carolina, approximately twenty percent of voters opted for the "No Preference" option.[8]
The North Carolina Democratic presidential primary was held onSuper Tuesday, March 5, 2024.
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pledged | Unpledged | Total | |||
| Joe Biden (incumbent) | 609,680 | 87.27% | 113 | ||
| No Preference | 88,900 | 12.73% | |||
| Total: | 698,580 | 100.00% | 132 | 132 | |
The North Carolina Republican primary was held onSuper Tuesday, March 5, 2024.
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
| Donald Trump | 793,978 | 73.84% | 62 | 62 | |
| Nikki Haley | 250,838 | 23.33% | 12 | 12 | |
| Ron DeSantis (withdrawn) | 14,740 | 1.37% | |||
| No Preference | 7,448 | 0.69% | |||
| Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn) | 3,418 | 0.32% | |||
| Chris Christie (withdrawn) | 3,166 | 0.29% | |||
| Ryan Binkley (withdrawn) | 916 | 0.09% | |||
| Asa Hutchinson (withdrawn) | 727 | 0.07% | |||
| Total: | 1,075,231 | 100.00% | 74 | 74 | |
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The North Carolina Libertarian primary was held onSuper Tuesday, March 5, 2024. Ten candidates were presented on the ballot.[11]
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage |
|---|---|---|
| None of the Above | 2,058 | 40.5% |
| Chase Oliver | 676 | 13.3% |
| Jacob Hornberger | 357 | 7.0% |
| Joshua Smith | 354 | 7.0% |
| Michael Rectenwald | 195 | 3.8% |
| Charles Ballay | 183 | 3.6% |
| Lars Mapstead | 176 | 3.5% |
| Mike ter Maat | 137 | 2.7% |
| Other[a] | 946 | 18.7% |
| Total: | 5,082 | 100.0% |
| Source:[12] | ||
Voters must now show a voter ID at the polls and provide a copy of their ID with their mail-in ballots. Mail-in ballots received after election day also will not be counted.[13] There will also be more partisan poll-watchers.[14] The laws are similar to others passed in Republican-controlled states which Democrats have criticized asvoter suppression.[13][14]Common Cause North Carolina and theLeague of Women Voters of North Carolina have been educating voters on the new rules.[13]
On September 12, 2024, theRepublican National Committee sued to block the use of digital IDs, popular with students at theUniversity of North Carolina, as a form of voter ID.[15] The plaintiffs sought a temporary restraining order, and alleged that the digital IDs did not comply with the state's voter identification requirements and were susceptible to fraud.[15] On September 20, 2024,Wake CountySuperior Court Judge Keith Gregory rejected the request for a temporary restraining order, stating that theRepublican National Committee had not "advanced any credible link between the State Board's approval of Mobile One Cards and a heightened risk of ineligible voters casting illegal votes."[15]
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. was granted the status of presidential candidate in July 2024 for North Carolina after state authorities recognized the political party he founded, "We the People," which allowed Kennedy to qualify using 13,757 signatures, instead of the 82,542 signatures required for a candidate with no party.[16][17] The North Carolina Democratic Party filed a lawsuit alleging that Kennedy was improperly using his party to avoid higher qualification requirements, but this lawsuit against Kennedy was unsuccessful.[17] On August 27, Kennedy asked state authorities to remove him as a presidential candidate in North Carolina; on August 28, the We the People party officially made the same request to state authorities; both requests were initially denied due to ballots already being printed and upcoming deadlines, with North Carolina law mandating that absentee ballots should be mailed by authorities from September 6.[18][19]
Kennedy responded by launching a lawsuit demanding to be removed as a presidential candidate in North Carolina, with Kennedy previously saying that "by staying on the ballot in the battleground states, I would likely hand the election over to the Democrats", while Kennedy remained as a presidential candidate in non-battleground states and indicated that his lawsuit to become a presidential candidate in New York would continue.[17][19][20] While Wake County Superior Court ruled against Kennedy, he appealed and the North Carolina Court of Appeals ruled for Kennedy on September 6, ordering for authorities to reprint ballots without Kennedy as a candidate.[20] The North Carolina Supreme Court affirmed the Court of Appeals' decision on September 9, so authorities went to reprint the ballots, which delayed the mailing date from the originally stipulated September 6 date to become September 20 for military and overseas voters and September 24 for other voters.[21]
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[22] | Tossup | November 4, 2024 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[23] | Lean R | November 4, 2024 |
| Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[24] | Tossup | November 4, 2024 |
| CNN[25] | Tossup | November 4, 2024 |
| CNalysis[26] | Tilt D(flip) | November 4, 2024 |
| The Economist[27] | Tossup | November 4, 2024 |
| 538[28] | Tossup | November 4, 2024 |
| Inside Elections[29] | Tossup | November 4, 2024 |
| NBC News[30] | Tossup | November 4, 2024 |
Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Kamala Harris Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided [b] | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 270ToWin[31] | October 23 – November 4, 2024 | November 5, 2024 | 47.3% | 48.6% | 4.1% | Trump +1.3% |
| 538[32] | through November 4, 2024 | November 5, 2024 | 47.4% | 48.3% | 4.3% | Trump +0.9% |
| Silver Bulletin[33] | through November 4, 2024 | November 5, 2024 | 47.7% | 48.8% | 3.5% | Trump +1.1% |
| The Hill/DDHQ[34] | through November 4, 2024 | November 5, 2024 | 47.9% | 49.4% | 2.7% | Trump +1.5% |
| Average | 47.6% | 48.8% | 3.6% | Trump +1.2% | ||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[c] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Kamala Harris Democratic | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HarrisX[35] | November 3–5, 2024 | 1,815 (RV) | ± 2.3% | 48% | 47% | 5% |
| 50.5%[d] | 49.5% | – | ||||
| 1,600 (LV) | 49% | 48% | 3% | |||
| 50.2%[d] | 49.8% | – | ||||
| AtlasIntel[36] | November 3–4, 2024 | 1,219 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 48% | 2% |
| Patriot Polling[37] | November 1–3, 2024 | 799 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 49% | – |
| InsiderAdvantage (R)[38] | November 1–2, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 49% | 47% | 4%[e] |
| AtlasIntel[39] | November 1–2, 2024 | 1,310 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 47% | 2% |
| Emerson College[40] | October 30 – November 2, 2024 | 860 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 49% | 48% | 3%[f] |
| 50%[d] | 49% | 1%[f] | ||||
| The New York Times/Siena College[41] | October 28 – November 2, 2024 | 1,010 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 44% | 48% | 8% |
| 1,010 (LV) | 46% | 48% | 6% | |||
| ActiVote[42] | October 17 – November 2, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 51% | 49% | – |
| Morning Consult[43] | October 23 − November 1, 2024 | 1,056 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 47% | 4% |
| AtlasIntel[44] | October 30–31, 2024 | 1,373 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 47% | 2% |
| YouGov[45][A] | October 25–31, 2024 | 987 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 49% | 49% | 2% |
| 949 (LV) | 50% | 49% | 1% | |||
| Rasmussen Reports (R)[46][B] | October 25–30, 2024 | 751 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 47% | 3%[g] |
| AtlasIntel[47] | October 25–29, 2024 | 1,665 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 49% | 3% |
| Trafalgar Group (R)[48] | October 25–28, 2024 | 1,091 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 49% | 46% | 5%[g] |
| Fox News[49] | October 24–28, 2024 | 1,113 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 50% | 1% |
| 872 (LV) | 50% | 49% | 1% | |||
| SurveyUSA[50][C] | October 23–26, 2024 | 853 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 47% | 47% | 6%[e] |
| CES/YouGov[51] | October 1–25, 2024 | 2,330 (A) | – | 48% | 49% | 3% |
| 2,308 (LV) | 50% | 48% | 2% | |||
| Emerson College[52] | October 21–22, 2024 | 950 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 50% | 48% | 2%[h] |
| 50%[d] | 48% | 2%[h] | ||||
| Marist College[53] | October 17–22, 2024 | 1,410 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 49% | 48% | 3%[i] |
| 1,226 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 50% | 48% | 2%[j] | ||
| SoCal Strategies (R)[54][D] | October 20–21, 2024 | 702 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 49% | 46% | 5% |
| InsiderAdvantage (R)[55] | October 19–20, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 47% | 4%[e] |
| High Point University/SurveyUSA[56] | October 17–20, 2024 | 1,164 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 46% | 47% | 7%[g] |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[57] | October 16–20, 2024 | 755 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 50% | 47% | 3% |
| 702 (LV) | 50% | 48% | 2% | |||
| AtlasIntel[58] | October 12–17, 2024 | 1,674 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 49% | 51% | – |
| Elon University[59] | October 10–17, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 46% | 8%[k] |
| Morning Consult[43] | October 6−15, 2024 | 1,072 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 48% | 3% |
| The Washington Post/Schar School[60] | September 30 – October 15, 2024 | 965 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 49% | 45% | 6% |
| 965 (LV) | 50% | 47% | 3% | |||
| Quinnipiac University[61] | October 10–14, 2024 | 1,031 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 47% | 50% | 3% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R)[62][B] | October 9–14, 2024 | 1,042 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 46% | 3%[g] |
| Trafalgar Group (R)[63] | October 10–13, 2024 | 1,085 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 47% | 45% | 6%[l] |
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)/McLaughlin & Associates (R)[64][E] | October 6–9, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 47% | 5% |
| Emerson College[65] | October 5–8, 2024 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 48% | 3%[f] |
| 50%[d] | 49% | 1%[f] | ||||
| The Wall Street Journal[66] | September 28 – October 8, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 47% | 47% | 6% |
| ActiVote[67] | September 7 – October 6, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 49% | 51% | – |
| InsiderAdvantage (R)[68] | September 29–30, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 50% | 49% | 1% |
| Quinnipiac University[69] | September 25–29, 2024 | 953 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 49% | 48% | 3% |
| The Washington Post[70] | September 25–29, 2024 | 1,001 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 50% | 47% | 3%[f] |
| 1,001 (LV) | 50% | 48% | 2%[f] | |||
| Global Strategy Group (D)/North Star Opinion Research (R)[71][F] | September 23–29, 2024 | 401 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 48% | 47% | 5% |
| High Point University[72] | September 20–29, 2024 | 814 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 46% | 48% | 6%[h] |
| 589 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 48% | 48% | 4%[h] | ||
| Emerson College[73][G] | September 27–28, 2024 | 850 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 49% | 48% | 3%[f] |
| 50%[d] | 49% | 1%[f] | ||||
| RMG Research[74][H] | September 25–27, 2024 | 780 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 46% | 5%[m] |
| 51%[d] | 47% | 2%[n] | ||||
| AtlasIntel[75] | September 20–25, 2024 | 1,173 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 51% | 1% |
| Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[76] | September 19–25, 2024 | 411 (LV) | – | 49% | 49% | 2% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[77] | September 19–25, 2024 | 889 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 50% | 3% |
| 828 (LV) | 48% | 50% | 2% | |||
| Fox News[78] | September 20−24, 2024 | 991 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 50% | 2% |
| 787 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 50% | 49% | 1% | ||
| Marist College[79] | September 19−24, 2024 | 1,507 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 49% | 3%[j] |
| 1,348 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 49% | 49% | 2%[j] | ||
| The Bullfinch Group[80][I] | September 20–23, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 49% | 3% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R)[81][B] | September 19−22, 2024 | 1,078 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 46% | 5%[e] |
| The New York Times/Siena College[82] | September 17–21, 2024 | 682 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 48% | 47% | 5% |
| 682 (LV) | 49% | 47% | 4% | |||
| Meredith College[83] | September 18−20, 2024 | 802 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 48% | 4%[o] |
| Victory Insights[84] | September 16−18, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 45% | 6% |
| Emerson College[85] | September 15–18, 2024 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 49% | 3%[f] |
| 49%[d] | 50% | 1%[f] | ||||
| Morning Consult[43] | September 9−18, 2024 | 1,314 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 49% | 4% |
| Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[86][J] | September 11–17, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 50% | 47% | 3%[g] |
| TIPP Insights[87][K] | September 11–13, 2024 | 973 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 49% | 46% | 5% |
| Elon University[88] | September 4−13, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 45% | 46% | 9%[p] |
| Trafalgar Group (R)[89] | September 11–12, 2024 | 1,094 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 48% | 46% | 6%[e] |
| Quantus Insights (R)[90][L] | September 11–12, 2024 | 815 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 48% | 47% | 5%[q] |
| 50% | 48% | 2%[r] | ||||
| Quinnipiac University[91] | September 4–8, 2024 | 940 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 47% | 50% | 3%[h] |
| Morning Consult[43] | August 30 – September 8, 2024 | 1,369 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 48% | 4% |
| SurveyUSA[92][C] | September 4–7, 2024 | 900 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 46% | 49% | 5% |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[93] | September 5–6, 2024 | 692 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 47% | 46% | 7%[p] |
| 619 (LV) | 48% | 47% | 5%[s] | |||
| Patriot Polling[94] | September 1–3, 2024 | 804 (RV) | – | 50% | 48% | 2% |
| InsiderAdvantage (R)[95] | August 29–31, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 48% | 3%[s] |
| ActiVote[96] | August 6–31, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 50% | 50% | – |
| Emerson College[97] | August 25–28, 2024 | 775 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 48% | 3% |
| 50%[d] | 49% | 1%[f] | ||||
| SoCal Strategies (R)[98][D] | August 26–27, 2024 | 612 (LV) | – | 50% | 46% | 4% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[99] | August 23–26, 2024 | 645 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 49% | 2% |
| 700 (RV) | 47% | 49% | 4% | |||
| Fox News[100] | August 23–26, 2024 | 999 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 49% | 1%[g] |
| August 23, 2024 | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspendshis presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump. | |||||
| August 22, 2024 | Democratic National Convention concludes | |||||
| High Point University/SurveyUSA[101] | August 19–21, 2024 | 1,053 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 46% | 9% |
| 941 (LV) | 47% | 47% | 6% | |||
| Spry Strategies (R)[102][M] | August 14–20, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 47% | 6% |
| August 19, 2024 | Democratic National Convention begins | |||||
| Focaldata[103] | August 6–16, 2024 | 702 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 50% | 50% | – |
| The New York Times/Siena College[104] | August 9–14, 2024 | 655 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 46% | 49% | 5% |
| 655 (LV) | 47% | 49% | 4% | |||
| Trafalgar Group (R)[105] | August 6–8, 2024 | 1,082 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 49% | 45% | 6% |
| Navigator Research (D)[106] | July 31 – August 8, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 46% | 6% |
| Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[107] | July 26 – August 8, 2024 | 403 (LV) | – | 47% | 48% | 5% |
| August 6, 2024 | Kamala Harrisselects Gov.Tim Walz as her running mate. | |||||
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[108] | July 24–28, 2024 | 706 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 46% | 6% |
| July 21, 2024 | Joe Biden announceshis official withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declaresher candidacy for president. | |||||
| July 15–19, 2024 | Republican National Convention | |||||
| July 13, 2024 | Attempted assassination of Donald Trump | |||||
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[109] | May 7–13, 2024 | 704 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 50% | 40% | 10% |
| Emerson College[110] | February 14–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 41% | 9% |
Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Kamala Harris Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Jill Stein Green | Cornel West Independent | Chase Oliver Libertarian | Others/ Undecided [t] | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Race to the WH[111] | through October 2, 2024 | October 15, 2024 | 47.1% | 47.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | — | 3.3% | Trump +0.8% |
| 270toWin[112] | October 1 – 11, 2024 | October 11, 2024 | 46.6% | 47.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 4.1% | Trump +0.4% |
| Average | 47.0% | 47.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 3.3% | Trump +0.5% | ||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[c] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Kamala Harris Democratic | Cornel West Independent | Jill Stein Green | Chase Oliver Libertarian | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HarrisX[35] | November 3–5, 2024 | 1,815 (RV) | ± 2.3% | 48% | 46% | 1% | 1% | – | 4% |
| 49.0%[d] | 48.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | – | – | ||||
| 1,600 (LV) | 49% | 48% | 1% | 0% | – | 2% | |||
| 49.2%[d] | 49.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | – | – | ||||
| AtlasIntel[36] | November 3–4, 2024 | 1,219 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 48% | – | 1% | 0% | 1%[g] |
| AtlasIntel[39] | November 1–2, 2024 | 1,310 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 47% | – | 1% | 0% | 2%[g] |
| The New York Times/Siena College[41] | October 28 – November 2, 2024 | 1,010 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 43% | 47% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 9% |
| 1,010 (LV) | 45% | 48% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 7% | |||
| Focaldata[113] | October 3 – November 1, 2024 | 1,787 (LV) | – | 48% | 48% | – | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| 1,785 (RV) | ± 2.2% | 46% | 50% | – | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| 1,987 (A) | – | 46% | 48% | – | 2% | 1% | 4% | ||
| AtlasIntel[44] | October 30–31, 2024 | 1,373 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 47% | – | 1% | 0% | 1% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[114] | October 28–31, 2024 | 1,123 (LV) | – | 48% | 47% | – | 1% | 1% | 3% |
| YouGov[45][A] | October 25–31, 2024 | 987 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 48% | 47% | 0% | 1% | – | 4% |
| 949 (LV) | 49% | 48% | 0% | 1% | – | 2% | |||
| AtlasIntel[47] | October 25–29, 2024 | 1,665 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 48% | – | 1% | 0% | 3%[g] |
| East Carolina University[115] | October 24–29, 2024 | 1,250 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 48% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 2% |
| CNN/SSRS[116] | October 23–28, 2024 | 750 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 47% | 48% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[117] | October 25–27, 2024 | 770 (LV) | – | 48% | 46% | – | 1% | 1% | 4% |
| University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov[118] | October 16–23, 2024 | 650 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 47% | 45% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 6%[u] |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[119] | October 20–22, 2024 | 679 (LV) | – | 48% | 47% | – | 1% | 0% | 4% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[57] | October 16–20, 2024 | 755 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 46% | – | 1% | 3% | 1% |
| 702 (LV) | 49% | 48% | – | 1% | 1% | 1% | |||
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[120] | October 16–18, 2024 | 843 (LV) | – | 48% | 45% | – | 1% | 0% | 6% |
| AtlasIntel[58] | October 12–17, 2024 | 1,674 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 49% | 50% | 0% | 1% | 0% | – |
| Cygnal (R)[121][N] | October 6–15, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 47% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 4%[u] |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[122] | October 12–14, 2024 | 620 (LV) | – | 48% | 46% | – | 0% | 1% | 5% |
| Quinnipiac University[61] | October 10–14, 2024 | 1,031 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 47% | 49% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 3%[u] |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[123] | September 27 – October 2, 2024 | 753 (LV) | – | 47% | 45% | – | 1% | 0% | 7% |
| Quinnipiac University[69] | September 25–29, 2024 | 953 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 49% | 47% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 2%[u] |
| East Carolina University[124] | September 23–26, 2024 | 1,005 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 47% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 3% |
| AtlasIntel[75] | September 20–25, 2024 | 1,173 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 51% | 1% | 1% | 0% | – |
| CNN/SSRS[125] | September 20–25, 2024 | 931 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 48% | 48% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 2% |
| Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[76] | September 19–25, 2024 | 411 (LV) | – | 46% | 49% | 1% | 2% | – | 2% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[77] | September 19–25, 2024 | 889 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 48% | – | 1% | 3% | 2% |
| 828 (LV) | 47% | 49% | – | 0% | 2% | 2% | |||
| Fox News[78] | September 20−24, 2024 | 991 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 48% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| 787 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 47% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | ||
| The New York Times/Siena College[82] | September 17–21, 2024 | 682 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 46% | 46% | – | 0% | 1% | 7% |
| 682 (LV) | 47% | 45% | – | 0% | 1% | 7% | |||
| Meredith College[126] | September 18–20, 2024 | 802 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 48% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 2%[u] |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[127] | September 16–19, 2024 | 868 (LV) | – | 48% | 47% | – | 0% | 0% | 5% |
| Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[86][J] | September 11–17, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 46% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 3% |
| Cygnal (R)[128][N] | September 15–16, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 45% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 6%[u] |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[129] | September 6–9, 2024 | 495 (LV) | – | 44% | 45% | – | 0% | 0% | 11% |
| Quinnipiac University[91] | September 4–8, 2024 | 940 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 46% | 49% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 4%[f] |
| YouGov[130][A] | August 23 – September 3, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 47% | 46% | 0% | 1% | – | 6%[g] |
| East Carolina University[131] | August 26–28, 2024 | 920 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 47% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 4% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[132] | August 25–28, 2024 | 1,071 (LV) | – | 45% | 44% | – | 1% | 1% | 9% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[99] | August 23–26, 2024 | 700 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 48% | – | 1% | 2% | 2% |
| 645 (LV) | 48% | 48% | – | 1% | 2% | 1% | |||
| Fox News[100] | August 23–26, 2024 | 999 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 47% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1%[g] |
Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[c] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Kamala Harris Democratic | Robert F. Kennedy Jr Independent | Cornel West Independent | Jill Stein Green | Chase Oliver Libertarian | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fox News[49] | October 24–28, 2024 | 1,113 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 48% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| 872 (LV) | 49% | 47% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | – | |||
| The Wall Street Journal[66] | September 28 – October 8, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 46% | 45% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 5% |
| Global Strategy Group (D)/North Star Opinion Research (R)[71][F] | September 23–29, 2024 | 401 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 47% | 47% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 6% |
| Spry Strategies (R)[102][M] | August 14–20, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 47% | 3% | – | 1% | – | 4% |
| Focaldata[103] | August 6–16, 2024 | 702 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 46% | 47% | 5% | – | 1% | 0% | 1% |
| 702 (RV) | 44% | 47% | 6% | – | 1% | 0% | 2% | |||
| 702 (A) | 43% | 47% | 7% | – | 1% | 0% | 2% | |||
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[133] | August 12–15, 2024 | 601 (LV) | – | 47% | 44% | 2% | – | 0% | 1% | 6% |
| The New York Times/Siena College[104] | August 9–14, 2024 | 655 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 42% | 45% | 5% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 4% |
| 655 (LV) | 44% | 46% | 4% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 4% | |||
| YouGov Blue (D)[134][O] | August 5–9, 2024 | 802 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 46% | 46% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 5% |
| Navigator Research (D)[106] | July 31 – August 8, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 46% | 3% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 4% |
| Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[107] | July 26 – August 8, 2024 | 403 (LV) | – | 44% | 46% | 4% | 0% | 1% | – | 5% |
| Cygnal (R)[135][N] | August 4–5, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 44% | 4% | – | 0% | 1% | 4% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[136] | July 31 – August 3, 2024 | 714 (LV) | – | 44% | 41% | 4% | – | 0% | 1% | 10% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[108] | July 24–28, 2024 | 706 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 44% | 5% | – | 0% | 4% | 2% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[137] | July 22–24, 2024 | 586 (LV) | – | 46% | 43% | 4% | – | 0% | 0% | 7% |
Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[c] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Kamala Harris Democratic | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Jill Stein Green | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[138][P] | July 17–20, 2024 | 573 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 48% | 44% | 2% | 2% | 4% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[c] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quantus Insights (R)[90][L] | September 11–12, 2024 | 815 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 49% | 42% | 9%[q] |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[138][P] | July 17–20, 2024 | 573 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 50% | 46% | 4% |
| Emerson College[139][Q] | July 15–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 41% | 11% |
| Echelon Insights[140][R] | July 1–8, 2024 | 610 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 47% | 45% | 8% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[141] | July 1–5, 2024 | 696 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 43% | 11% |
| Spry Strategies (R)[142] | June 7–11, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 44% | 8% |
| East Carolina University[143] | May 31 – June 3, 2024 | 1,332 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 48% | 43% | 9% |
| North Star Opinion Research (R)[144][K] | May 29 – June 2, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 41% | 10% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R)[145][S] | May 26–27, 2024 | 1,053 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 43% | 6% |
| Change Research (D)[146][T] | May 13–18, 2024 | 835 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 45% | 43% | 12% |
| Prime Group[147][U] | May 9–16, 2024 | 472 (RV) | – | 51% | 49% | – |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[148] | May 7–13, 2024 | 704 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 42% | 9% |
| Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[149] | May 6–13, 2024 | 601 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 41% | 11% |
| High Point University[150] | May 5–9, 2024 | 804 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 44% | 42% | 14% |
| Emerson College[151] | April 25–29, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 42% | 11% |
| 52%[d] | 48% | – | ||||
| John Zogby Strategies[152][V] | April 13–21, 2024 | 641 (LV) | – | 49% | 45% | 6% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[153] | April 8–15, 2024 | 703 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 41% | 8% |
| Mason-Dixon[154] | April 9–13, 2024 | 635 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 43% | 8% |
| Quinnipiac University[155] | April 4–8, 2024 | 1,401 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 48% | 46% | 6% |
| High Point University[156] | March 22–30, 2024 | 829(RV) | ± 3.4% | 45% | 42% | 14% |
| The Wall Street Journal[157] | March 17–24, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 43% | 8% |
| Marist College[158] | March 11–14, 2024 | 1,197 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 51% | 48% | 1% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[159] | March 8–12, 2024 | 699 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 43% | 8% |
| SurveyUSA[160][C] | March 3–9, 2024 | 598 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 50% | 45% | 5% |
| Cygnal (R)[161][W] | March 6–7, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 40% | 15% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[162] | February 12–20, 2024 | 704 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 50% | 41% | 9% |
| Emerson College[110] | February 14–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 44% | 9% |
| Fox News[163] | February 8–12, 2024 | 1,099 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 45% | 5% |
| Meredith College[164] | January 26–31, 2024 | 760 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 44% | 39% | 17% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[165] | January 16–21, 2024 | 706 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 39% | 12% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[166] | November 27 – December 6, 2023 | 704 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 40% | 11% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[167] | October 30 – November 7, 2023 | 702 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 39% | 13% |
| Meredith College[168] | November 1–5, 2023 | 755 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 39% | 40% | 22%[v] |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[169] | October 5–10, 2023 | 702 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 43% | 10% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[170] | October 7–9, 2023 | 736 (LV) | – | 43% | 38% | 20% |
| Change Research (D)[171][T] | September 1–5, 2023 | 914 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 46% | 42% | 12% |
| Prime Group[172][U] | June 14–28, 2023 | 500 (RV) | – | 54% | 46% | – |
| 45% | 37% | 18%[w] | ||||
| Opinion Diagnostics[173] | June 5–7, 2023 | 902 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 43% | 40% | 18% |
| Cygnal (R)[174][W] | March 26–27, 2023 | 605 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 45% | 12% |
| Differentiators (R)[175][X] | January 9–12, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 45% | 48% | 7% |
| Emerson College[176] | October 27–29, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 40% | 9% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[177][T] | October 7–8, 2022 | 606 (RV) | – | 44% | 44% | 12% |
| SurveyUSA[178][C] | September 28 – October 2, 2022 | 918 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 43% | 45% | 12% |
| Emerson College[179] | September 15–16, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 42% | 11% |
| East Carolina University[180] | September 7–10, 2022 | 1,020 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 46% | 45% | 9% |
| Blueprint Polling (D)[181] | August 4–6, 2022 | 656 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 45% | 39% | 17% |
| PEM Management Corporation (R)[182][Y] | July 22–24, 2022 | 300 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 48% | 41% | 11% |
| East Carolina University[183] | May 19–20, 2022 | 635 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 46% | 37% | 16% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[c] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Cornel West Independent | Jill Stein Green | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[138][P] | July 17–20, 2024 | 573 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 48% | 42% | 2% | – | 2% | 6% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[184] | July 16–18, 2024 | 461 (LV) | – | 45% | 39% | 5% | – | 1% | 10%[x] |
| Emerson College[139][Q] | July 15–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 38% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 7%[x] |
| YouGov[185][A] | July 4–12, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 44% | 40% | 4% | 0% | 1% | 11% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[186] | July 8–10, 2024 | 420 (LV) | – | 44% | 42% | 4% | – | 1% | 9%[y] |
| Echelon Insights[140][R] | July 1–8, 2024 | 610 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 43% | 41% | 7% | 2% | 1% | 6%[x] |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[141] | July 1–5, 2024 | 696 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 40% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 9%[x] |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[187] | June 8–11, 2024 | 534 (LV) | – | 43% | 40% | 7% | – | 1% | 9%[y] |
| North Star Opinion Research (R)[144][K] | May 29 – June 2, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 32% | 9% | 3% | 2% | 10% |
| Prime Group[147][U] | May 9–16, 2024 | 472 (RV) | – | 45% | 42% | 11% | 2% | 1% | – |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[148] | May 7–13, 2024 | 704 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 38% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 7% |
| Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[149] | May 6–13, 2024 | 601 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 36% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 8% |
| Emerson College[151] | April 25–29, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 37% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 9% |
| Meeting Street Insights (R)[188][Z] | April 25–28, 2024 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 40% | 35% | 11% | – | 2% | 12%[z] |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[153] | April 8–15, 2024 | 703 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 38% | 5% | 1% | 0% | 8% |
| Quinnipiac University[155] | April 4–8, 2024 | 1,401 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 41% | 38% | 12% | 3% | 3% | 3% |
| The Wall Street Journal[157] | March 17–24, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 34% | 10% | 2% | 1% | 11% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[159] | March 8–12, 2024 | 699 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 39% | 7% | 1% | 0% | 8% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[162] | February 12–20, 2024 | 704 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 45% | 35% | 9% | 1% | 1% | 9% |
| Emerson College[110] | February 14–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 37% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 10% |
| East Carolina University[189] | February 9–12, 2024 | 1,207 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 47% | 44% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 5% |
| Fox News[163] | February 8–12, 2024 | 1,099 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 37% | 8% | 1% | 2% | 6% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[190] | January 16–21, 2024 | 706 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 32% | 9% | 1% | 1% | 12% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[191] | November 27 – December 6, 2023 | 704 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 34% | 8% | 1% | 1% | 11% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[c] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spry Strategies (R)[142] | June 7–11, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 37% | 8% | 10% |
| Change Research (D)[146][T] | May 13–18, 2024 | 835 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 41% | 38% | 11% | 10% |
| Cygnal (R)[192][N] | May 4–5, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 38% | 9% | 10% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[193] | May 2–4, 2024 | 700 (LV) | – | 44% | 37% | 7% | 12% |
| Meredith College[194] | April 11–17, 2024 | 711 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 41% | 39% | 9% | 11% |
| Cygnal (R)[195][W] | April 7–8, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 39% | 7% | 11% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[196] | March 14–17, 2024 | 642 (LV) | – | 43% | 39% | 8% | 10% |
| Marist College[158] | March 11–14, 2024 | 1,197 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 46% | 43% | 11% | – |
| North Star Opinion Research (R)[197][AA] | January 30 – February 4, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 39% | 32% | 16% | 13% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[198] | December 28–30, 2023 | 1,220 (LV) | – | 37% | 33% | 11% | 19% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[199] | November 27–29, 2023 | 620 (LV) | – | 44% | 35% | 8% | 13% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[170] | October 7–9, 2023 | 736 (LV) | – | 41% | 38% | 9% | 14% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[c] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Cornel West Independent | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[200] | October 30 – November 7, 2023 | 702 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 33% | 9% | 2% | 14% |
Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[c] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Zogby Strategies[152][V] | April 13–21, 2024 | 641 (LV) | – | 45% | 39% | 16% |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[c] | Margin of error | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Zogby Strategies[152][V] | April 13–21, 2024 | 641 (LV) | – | 50% | 40% | 10% |
Donald Trump vs. Roy Cooper vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[c] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Roy Cooper Democratic | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Jill Stein Green | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[138][P] | July 17–20, 2024 | 573 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 45% | 41% | 3% | 2% | 9% |
Donald Trump vs. Gavin Newsom
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[c] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Gavin Newsom Democratic | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[110] | February 14–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 34% | 17% |
Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[c] | Margin of error | Nikki Haley Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fox News[163] | February 8–12, 2024 | 1,099 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 41% | 13% |
Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[c] | Margin of error | Nikki Haley Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Robert F. Kennedy Jr Independent | Cornel West Independent | Jill Stein Green | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Carolina University[189] | February 9–12, 2024 | 1,207 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 32% | 40% | 10% | 2% | 0% | 16% |
| Fox News[163] | February 8–12, 2024 | 1,099 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 31% | 33% | 19% | 2% | 2% | 13% |
Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[c] | Margin of error | Nikki Haley Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Robert F. Kennedy Jr Independent | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[199] | November 27–29, 2023 | 620 (LV) | – | 36% | 33% | 12% | 18% |
Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[c] | Margin of error | Ron DeSantis Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opinion Diagnostics[173] | June 5–7, 2023 | 902 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 46% | 40% | 13% |
| Cygnal (R)[174][W] | March 26–27, 2023 | 605 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 41% | 15% |
| Differentiators (R)[175][X] | January 9–12, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 49% | 44% | 7% |
Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[c] | Margin of error | Ron DeSantis Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[199] | November 27–29, 2023 | 620 (LV) | – | 38% | 34% | 12% | 4% | 12% |
Mike Pence vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[c] | Margin of error | Mike Pence Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cygnal (R)[174][W] | March 26–27, 2023 | 605 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 39% | 41% | 20% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | 2,898,423 | 50.86% | +0.93% | ||
| Democratic | 2,715,375 | 47.65% | −0.94% | ||
| Green | 24,762 | 0.43% | +0.21% | ||
| Libertarian | 22,125 | 0.39% | −0.49% | ||
| Justice for All | 12,099 | 0.21% | +0.21% | ||
| Constitution | 6,863 | 0.12% | −0.02% | ||
| Write-in | 19,494 | 0.33% | +0.09% | ||
| Total votes | 5,699,141 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
| County | Donald Trump Republican | Kamala Harris Democratic | Various candidates Other parties | Margin | Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Alamance | 47,937 | 53.36% | 40,624 | 45.22% | 1,270 | 1.41% | 7,313 | 8.14% | 89,831 |
| Alexander | 16,404 | 79.33% | 4,060 | 19.64% | 213 | 1.03% | 12,344 | 59.69% | 20,677 |
| Alleghany | 4,900 | 75.43% | 1,533 | 23.60% | 63 | 0.97% | 3,367 | 51.83% | 6,496 |
| Anson | 5,525 | 50.80% | 5,253 | 48.30% | 97 | 0.89% | 272 | 2.50% | 10,875 |
| Ashe | 11,629 | 71.55% | 4,431 | 27.26% | 193 | 1.19% | 7,198 | 44.29% | 16,253 |
| Avery | 7,181 | 75.68% | 2,220 | 23.40% | 88 | 0.93% | 4,961 | 52.28% | 9,489 |
| Beaufort | 17,296 | 65.09% | 9,049 | 34.05% | 227 | 0.85% | 8,247 | 31.04% | 26,572 |
| Bertie | 3,840 | 41.80% | 5,279 | 57.47% | 67 | 0.73% | -1,439 | -15.67% | 9,186 |
| Bladen | 10,035 | 59.86% | 6,620 | 39.49% | 109 | 0.65% | 3,415 | 20.37% | 16,764 |
| Brunswick | 67,658 | 61.86% | 40,557 | 37.08% | 1,163 | 1.06% | 27,101 | 24.78% | 109,378 |
| Buncombe | 59,016 | 36.77% | 98,662 | 61.47% | 2,832 | 1.76% | -39,646 | -24.70% | 160,510 |
| Burke | 32,130 | 70.08% | 13,272 | 28.95% | 445 | 0.97% | 18,858 | 41.13% | 45,847 |
| Cabarrus | 63,746 | 53.03% | 54,494 | 45.34% | 1,962 | 1.63% | 9,252 | 7.69% | 120,202 |
| Caldwell | 33,009 | 75.81% | 10,146 | 23.30% | 385 | 0.88% | 22,863 | 52.51% | 43,540 |
| Camden | 4,716 | 74.81% | 1,522 | 24.14% | 66 | 1.05% | 3,194 | 50.67% | 6,304 |
| Carteret | 32,508 | 70.95% | 12,813 | 27.97% | 496 | 1.08% | 19,695 | 42.98% | 45,817 |
| Caswell | 7,445 | 61.84% | 4,493 | 37.32% | 102 | 0.85% | 2,952 | 24.52% | 12,040 |
| Catawba | 59,577 | 68.39% | 26,569 | 30.50% | 963 | 1.11% | 33,008 | 37.89% | 87,109 |
| Chatham | 22,507 | 43.03% | 29,014 | 55.48% | 780 | 1.49% | -6,507 | -12.45% | 52,301 |
| Cherokee | 13,883 | 77.89% | 3,686 | 20.68% | 255 | 1.43% | 10,197 | 57.21% | 17,824 |
| Chowan | 4,587 | 60.74% | 2,895 | 38.33% | 70 | 0.93% | 1,692 | 22.41% | 7,552 |
| Clay | 5,761 | 74.55% | 1,899 | 24.57% | 68 | 0.88% | 3,862 | 49.98% | 7,728 |
| Cleveland | 34,654 | 67.02% | 16,603 | 32.11% | 449 | 0.87% | 18,051 | 34.91% | 51,706 |
| Columbus | 17,592 | 66.63% | 8,648 | 32.76% | 162 | 0.61% | 8,944 | 33.87% | 26,402 |
| Craven | 33,477 | 59.60% | 22,011 | 39.18% | 685 | 1.22% | 11,466 | 20.42% | 56,173 |
| Cumberland | 59,840 | 42.59% | 78,631 | 55.96% | 2,042 | 1.45% | -18,791 | -13.37% | 140,513 |
| Currituck | 13,235 | 73.31% | 4,604 | 25.50% | 214 | 1.19% | 8,631 | 47.81% | 18,053 |
| Dare | 14,792 | 58.71% | 10,074 | 39.98% | 330 | 1.31% | 4,718 | 18.73% | 25,196 |
| Davidson | 67,959 | 72.72% | 24,150 | 25.84% | 1,343 | 1.44% | 43,809 | 46.88% | 93,452 |
| Davie | 19,398 | 72.25% | 6,988 | 26.03% | 464 | 1.73% | 12,410 | 46.22% | 26,850 |
| Duplin | 14,677 | 64.10% | 8,057 | 35.19% | 164 | 0.72% | 6,620 | 28.91% | 22,898 |
| Durham | 32,853 | 18.16% | 144,450 | 79.85% | 3,609 | 1.99% | -111,597 | -61.69% | 180,912 |
| Edgecombe | 9,355 | 38.26% | 14,900 | 60.95% | 193 | 0.79% | -5,545 | -22.69% | 24,448 |
| Forsyth | 87,292 | 42.64% | 114,145 | 55.76% | 3,289 | 1.61% | -26,853 | -13.12% | 204,726 |
| Franklin | 23,938 | 56.10% | 18,167 | 42.58% | 562 | 1.32% | 5,771 | 13.52% | 42,667 |
| Gaston | 73,828 | 61.91% | 44,062 | 36.95% | 1,366 | 1.15% | 29,766 | 24.96% | 119,256 |
| Gates | 3,538 | 60.29% | 2,268 | 38.65% | 62 | 1.06% | 1,270 | 21.64% | 5,868 |
| Graham | 3,883 | 81.25% | 839 | 17.56% | 57 | 1.19% | 3,044 | 63.69% | 4,779 |
| Granville | 17,383 | 54.15% | 14,365 | 44.75% | 356 | 1.11% | 3,018 | 9.40% | 32,104 |
| Greene | 4,965 | 58.76% | 3,437 | 40.67% | 48 | 0.57% | 1,528 | 18.09% | 8,450 |
| Guilford | 109,077 | 38.27% | 171,118 | 60.03% | 4,858 | 1.70% | -62,041 | -21.76% | 285,053 |
| Halifax | 9,778 | 40.80% | 14,014 | 58.48% | 173 | 0.72% | -4,236 | -17.68% | 23,965 |
| Harnett | 39,440 | 61.86% | 23,472 | 36.81% | 845 | 1.33% | 15,968 | 25.05% | 63,757 |
| Haywood | 23,393 | 61.80% | 13,913 | 36.76% | 545 | 1.44% | 9,480 | 25.04% | 37,851 |
| Henderson | 39,497 | 56.45% | 29,361 | 41.96% | 1,116 | 1.59% | 10,136 | 14.49% | 69,974 |
| Hertford | 3,561 | 36.18% | 6,191 | 62.90% | 91 | 0.92% | -2,630 | -26.72% | 9,843 |
| Hoke | 10,547 | 46.33% | 11,896 | 52.25% | 324 | 1.42% | -1,349 | -5.92% | 22,767 |
| Hyde | 1,465 | 60.51% | 931 | 38.46% | 25 | 1.03% | 534 | 22.05% | 2,421 |
| Iredell | 72,801 | 65.66% | 36,739 | 33.14% | 1,335 | 1.20% | 36,062 | 32.52% | 110,875 |
| Jackson | 11,796 | 53.76% | 9,746 | 44.42% | 400 | 1.82% | 2,050 | 9.34% | 21,942 |
| Johnston | 74,878 | 60.06% | 48,116 | 38.59% | 1,684 | 1.35% | 26,762 | 21.47% | 124,678 |
| Jones | 3,409 | 62.40% | 2,007 | 36.74% | 47 | 0.86% | 1,402 | 25.66% | 5,463 |
| Lee | 17,489 | 58.14% | 12,245 | 40.71% | 347 | 1.15% | 5,244 | 17.43% | 30,081 |
| Lenoir | 14,564 | 52.95% | 12,700 | 46.18% | 239 | 0.87% | 1,864 | 6.77% | 27,503 |
| Lincoln | 40,183 | 72.29% | 14,842 | 26.70% | 557 | 1.00% | 25,341 | 45.59% | 55,582 |
| Macon | 14,981 | 68.30% | 6,675 | 30.43% | 278 | 1.27% | 8,306 | 37.87% | 21,934 |
| Madison | 8,275 | 60.75% | 5,090 | 37.37% | 256 | 1.88% | 3,185 | 23.38% | 13,621 |
| Martin | 6,601 | 54.83% | 5,360 | 44.52% | 79 | 0.66% | 1,241 | 10.31% | 12,040 |
| McDowell | 17,520 | 74.06% | 5,911 | 24.99% | 224 | 0.95% | 11,609 | 49.07% | 23,655 |
| Mecklenburg | 187,770 | 32.51% | 376,454 | 65.19% | 13,281 | 2.30% | -188,684 | -32.68% | 577,505 |
| Mitchell | 6,843 | 77.39% | 1,915 | 21.66% | 84 | 0.95% | 4,928 | 55.73% | 8,842 |
| Montgomery | 9,044 | 68.48% | 4,055 | 30.71% | 107 | 0.81% | 4,989 | 37.77% | 13,206 |
| Moore | 39,617 | 64.12% | 21,436 | 34.69% | 737 | 1.19% | 18,181 | 29.43% | 61,790 |
| Nash | 26,431 | 50.37% | 25,508 | 48.61% | 532 | 1.01% | 923 | 1.76% | 52,471 |
| New Hanover | 67,949 | 48.98% | 68,814 | 49.60% | 1,971 | 1.42% | -865 | -0.62% | 138,734 |
| Northampton | 3,905 | 42.38% | 5,239 | 56.85% | 71 | 0.77% | -1,334 | -14.47% | 9,215 |
| Onslow | 54,960 | 67.29% | 25,684 | 31.44% | 1,037 | 1.27% | 29,276 | 35.85% | 81,681 |
| Orange | 20,806 | 23.70% | 65,444 | 74.53% | 1,557 | 1.77% | -44,638 | -50.83% | 87,807 |
| Pamlico | 5,229 | 65.56% | 2,676 | 33.55% | 71 | 0.89% | 2,553 | 32.01% | 7,976 |
| Pasquotank | 10,537 | 51.80% | 9,549 | 46.94% | 257 | 1.26% | 988 | 4.86% | 20,343 |
| Pender | 26,042 | 66.93% | 12,460 | 32.02% | 407 | 1.05% | 13,582 | 34.91% | 38,909 |
| Perquimans | 5,278 | 68.85% | 2,269 | 29.60% | 119 | 1.55% | 3,009 | 39.25% | 7,666 |
| Person | 13,509 | 61.30% | 8,295 | 37.64% | 232 | 1.05% | 5,214 | 23.66% | 22,036 |
| Pitt | 40,403 | 46.37% | 45,595 | 52.33% | 1,132 | 1.30% | -5,192 | -5.96% | 87,130 |
| Polk | 8,107 | 62.04% | 4,827 | 36.94% | 134 | 1.03% | 3,280 | 25.10% | 13,068 |
| Randolph | 59,357 | 78.09% | 15,951 | 20.99% | 700 | 0.92% | 43,406 | 57.10% | 76,008 |
| Richmond | 11,931 | 60.04% | 7,787 | 39.18% | 155 | 0.78% | 4,144 | 20.86% | 19,873 |
| Robeson | 29,647 | 63.39% | 16,728 | 35.77% | 395 | 0.84% | 12,919 | 27.62% | 46,770 |
| Rockingham | 33,447 | 67.44% | 15,676 | 31.61% | 472 | 0.95% | 17,771 | 35.83% | 49,595 |
| Rowan | 50,807 | 67.39% | 23,788 | 31.55% | 799 | 1.06% | 27,019 | 35.84% | 75,394 |
| Rutherford | 25,456 | 73.42% | 8,914 | 25.71% | 300 | 0.87% | 16,542 | 47.71% | 34,670 |
| Sampson | 18,178 | 64.46% | 9,797 | 34.74% | 226 | 0.80% | 8,381 | 29.72% | 28,201 |
| Scotland | 7,767 | 53.10% | 6,754 | 46.18% | 105 | 0.72% | 1,013 | 6.92% | 14,626 |
| Stanly | 27,518 | 74.95% | 8,881 | 24.19% | 315 | 0.86% | 18,637 | 50.76% | 36,714 |
| Stokes | 21,548 | 79.29% | 5,380 | 19.80% | 247 | 0.91% | 16,168 | 59.49% | 27,175 |
| Surry | 28,565 | 76.16% | 8,613 | 22.96% | 330 | 0.88% | 19,952 | 53.20% | 37,508 |
| Swain | 4,311 | 61.13% | 2,643 | 37.48% | 98 | 1.39% | 1,668 | 23.65% | 7,052 |
| Transylvania | 11,492 | 55.30% | 8,972 | 43.18% | 316 | 1.52% | 2,520 | 12.12% | 20,780 |
| Tyrrell | 1,057 | 60.16% | 680 | 38.70% | 20 | 1.14% | 377 | 21.46% | 1,757 |
| Union | 86,271 | 61.91% | 51,168 | 36.72% | 1,916 | 1.37% | 35,103 | 25.19% | 139,355 |
| Vance | 8,614 | 42.87% | 11,292 | 56.20% | 186 | 0.93% | -2,678 | -13.33% | 20,092 |
| Wake | 236,735 | 36.22% | 402,984 | 61.66% | 13,861 | 2.12% | -166,249 | -25.44% | 653,580 |
| Warren | 3,976 | 39.71% | 5,872 | 58.64% | 165 | 1.65% | -1,896 | -18.93% | 10,013 |
| Washington | 2,768 | 46.57% | 3,138 | 52.79% | 38 | 0.64% | -370 | -6.22% | 5,944 |
| Watauga | 15,254 | 46.09% | 17,225 | 52.05% | 616 | 1.86% | -1,971 | -5.96% | 33,095 |
| Wayne | 31,580 | 57.67% | 22,618 | 41.30% | 564 | 1.03% | 8,962 | 16.37% | 54,762 |
| Wilkes | 28,812 | 79.33% | 7,194 | 19.81% | 314 | 0.86% | 21,618 | 59.52% | 36,320 |
| Wilson | 19,750 | 49.32% | 19,909 | 49.72% | 386 | 0.96% | -159 | -0.40% | 40,045 |
| Yadkin | 16,439 | 80.60% | 3,739 | 18.33% | 219 | 1.07% | 12,700 | 62.27% | 20,397 |
| Yancey | 7,509 | 66.55% | 3,635 | 32.22% | 139 | 1.23% | 3,874 | 34.33% | 11,283 |
| Totals | 2,898,423 | 50.86% | 2,715,375 | 47.65% | 85,343 | 1.49% | 183,048 | 3.21% | 5,699,141 |
Swing by county
County flipsDemocratic Hold | Republican Hold Gain from Democratic
|
Trump won 11 of 14 congressional districts, including one that elected a Democrat.[202]
| District | Trump | Harris | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 51% | 48% | Don Davis |
| 2nd | 32% | 66% | Deborah Ross |
| 3rd | 60% | 39% | Greg Murphy |
| 4th | 26% | 72% | Valerie Foushee |
| 5th | 58% | 41% | Virginia Foxx |
| 6th | 58% | 41% | Addison McDowell |
| 7th | 56% | 42% | David Rouzer |
| 8th | 59% | 40% | Mark Harris |
| 9th | 57% | 41% | Richard Hudson |
| 10th | 58% | 41% | Pat Harrigan |
| 11th | 54% | 44% | Chuck Edwards |
| 12th | 26% | 72% | Alma Adams |
| 13th | 58% | 41% | Brad Knott |
| 14th | 57% | 42% | Tim Moore |
Although aSouthernBible Belt state, North Carolina has been competitive since the late 2000s – a trend primarily attributed to population growth – as the state has been narrowly decided in every presidential election by less than a 4% margin since2008, whenBarack Obama very narrowly carried the state and became the only Democratic presidential candidate to do so sinceJimmy Carter of neighboringGeorgia in1976. However, Republicans have won every single federal statewide race in North Carolina since2010. It flipped back into the GOP column in2012 and has been narrowly won by Republican nomineeDonald Trump in the past two cycles. This presidential election marks the first time since 2012 that the winning candidate won the election with an absolute majority of the vote.
Trump's margin of victory was more than double that of his 2020 margin, though it was slightly less than his 2016 margin. The state had one of the smallest swings in the nation from 2020 to 2024, shifting rightward by 1.9%, smaller than all other swing states except Wisconsin (which swung by 1.5%). North Carolina was among 23 states where Harris posted a better margin than Hillary Clinton in 2016.[aa] This marked the fifth consecutive election where North Carolina was decided by less than 5%, the longest ongoing such streak out of any state. Trump became the first Republican to win the White House without carryingNew Hanover County sinceDwight D. Eisenhower in1956. This is the first time since 2008 that the state voted for the winner of the national popular vote.Anson County voted Republican for the first time since1972 andPasquotank County since1988.
Potentially due to the effects ofHurricane Helene,Western North Carolina was one of the few areas of the country to swing towards the Democrats between 2020 and 2024. Despite over 90% of American counties shifting toward Trump during this time period,[203] ten counties in the region bucked this trend and supported Harris to a greater extent than Joe Biden.[ab]
Although Harris lost the state--no Democratic presidential nominee has won it since 2008--down-ballot statewide North Carolina Democrats won many of their races in the2024 North Carolina elections, likely helped by Harris' gains in many counties. These included the2024 North Carolina gubernatorial election, the2024 North Carolina lieutenant gubernatorial election, the2024 North Carolina Attorney General election, the2024 North Carolina Secretary of State election,Mo Green won the Superintendent of Public Instruction election, and the2024 North Carolina Supreme Court election (which was won by just 734 votes).[205]
| 2024 presidential election in North Carolina voter demographics[206] | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Demographic subgroup | Trump | Harris | % of total vote |
| Ideology | |||
| Liberals | 4 | 95 | 21 |
| Moderates | 38 | 60 | 40 |
| Conservatives | 90 | 9 | 39 |
| Party | |||
| Democrats | 3 | 96 | 32 |
| Republicans | 96 | 3 | 34 |
| Independents | 51 | 47 | 35 |
| Gender | |||
| Men | 57 | 41 | 47 |
| Women | 45 | 54 | 53 |
| Race/ethnicity | |||
| White | 62 | 37 | 69 |
| Black | 12 | 86 | 19 |
| Latino | 50 | 49 | 8 |
| Asian | n/a | n/a | 2 |
| All other races | n/a | n/a | 2 |
| Gender by race/ethnicity | |||
| White men | 66 | 32 | 34 |
| White women | 58 | 41 | 36 |
| Black men | 20 | 79 | 8 |
| Black women | 8 | 92 | 11 |
| Latino men | 62 | 37 | 4 |
| Latina women | 38 | 60 | 4 |
| All other races | 49 | 48 | 4 |
| White born-again or evangelical Christian? | |||
| Yes | 87 | 12 | 31 |
| No | 34 | 64 | 69 |
| Age | |||
| 18–29 years old | 48 | 51 | 14 |
| 30–44 years old | 45 | 53 | 22 |
| 45–64 years old | 53 | 45 | 38 |
| 65 and older | 54 | 45 | 25 |
| First time voter | |||
| Yes | 60 | 38 | 9 |
| No | 51 | 48 | 91 |
| 2020 presidential vote | |||
| Biden | 4 | 95 | 43 |
| Trump | 97 | 3 | 44 |
| Another candidate | n/a | n/a | 2 |
| Did not vote | 56 | 42 | 10 |
| Education | |||
| No college degree | 57 | 41 | 59 |
| College graduate | 41 | 57 | 41 |
| Educational attainment | |||
| Never attended college | 61 | 38 | 16 |
| Some college | 52 | 47 | 25 |
| Associate degree | 62 | 36 | 17 |
| Bachelor's degree | 45 | 53 | 25 |
| Advanced degree | 36 | 62 | 16 |
| Education by race | |||
| White college graduates | 47 | 51 | 31 |
| White no college degree | 75 | 24 | 38 |
| Non-white college graduates | 25 | 72 | 10 |
| Non-white no college degree | 26 | 72 | 20 |
| Education by gender among White voters | |||
| White college graduate women | 43 | 56 | 16 |
| White women no degree | 70 | 29 | 20 |
| White college graduate men | 52 | 46 | 15 |
| White men no degree | 78 | 21 | 19 |
| Voters of color | 26 | 72 | 31 |
| Area type | |||
| Urban | 32 | 67 | 28 |
| Suburban | 57 | 41 | 53 |
| Rural | 61 | 38 | 20 |
| Biden job approval | |||
| Strongly disapprove | 96 | 3 | 48 |
| Somewhat disapprove | 33 | 62 | 9 |
| Somewhat approve | 7 | 91 | 23 |
| Strongly approve | 2 | 98 | 18 |
| Feeling about the way things are going in U.S. | |||
| Angry | 78 | 21 | 28 |
| Dissatisfied | 60 | 39 | 44 |
| Satisfied | 9 | 90 | 20 |
| Enthusiastic | 7 | 91 | 6 |
| Quality of candidate that mattered most | |||
| Has ability to lead | 69 | 31 | 33 |
| Can bring needed change | 69 | 29 | 27 |
| Has good judgment | 14 | 81 | 17 |
| Cares about people like me | 29 | 70 | 21 |
| Vote for president mainly | |||
| For your candidate | 53 | 46 | 78 |
| Against their opponent | 41 | 56 | 19 |
| Issue regarded as most important | |||
| Democracy | 14 | 85 | 31 |
| Economy | 76 | 23 | 37 |
| Abortion | 23 | 75 | 12 |
| Immigration | 93 | 6 | 13 |
| Foreign policy | n/a | n/a | 4 |
| Democracy threatened in the United States | |||
| Democracy in the U.S. very threatened | 59 | 40 | 38 |
| Democracy in the U.S. somewhat threatened | 47 | 51 | 35 |
| Democracy in the U.S. somewhat secure | 43 | 56 | 17 |
| Democracy in the U.S. very secure | 34 | 66 | 7 |
| Confident election being conducted fairly and accurately | |||
| Very confident | 22 | 77 | 42 |
| Somewhat confident | 63 | 36 | 38 |
| Not very confident | 87 | 12 | 12 |
| Not at all confident | n/a | n/a | 5 |
| Condition of the nation's economy | |||
| Poor | 90 | 9 | 34 |
| Not so good | 55 | 42 | 35 |
| Good | 5 | 95 | 27 |
| Excellent | n/a | n/a | 4 |
| Family's financial situation today | |||
| Worse than four years ago | 84 | 15 | 48 |
| About the same | 27 | 71 | 28 |
| Better than four years ago | 12 | 86 | 23 |
| Abortion should be | |||
| Legal in all cases | 15 | 84 | 29 |
| Legal in most cases | 43 | 53 | 31 |
| Illegal in most cases | 92 | 8 | 27 |
| Illegal in all cases | 79 | 20 | 9 |
| Who do you trust more to handle racial issues? | |||
| Harris | 6 | 91 | 52 |
| Trump | 99 | 1 | 45 |
Partisan clients
Kamala Harris lost the state, but many down-ballot races went their way.
State and district results of the2024 United States presidential election | ||
|---|---|---|
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