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2024 United States presidential election in Nebraska

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Main article:2024 United States presidential election
2024 United States presidential election in Nebraska

← 2020November 5, 20242028 →
Turnout68%
 
NomineeDonald TrumpKamala Harris
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Home stateFloridaCalifornia
Running mateJD VanceTim Walz
Electoral vote41
Popular vote564,816369,995
Percentage59.32%38.86%

County results
Congressional district results
Precinct results

Trump

  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%
  90–100%

Harris

  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%
  90–100%

Tie

  


President before election

Joe Biden
Democratic

Elected President

Donald Trump
Republican

Elections in Nebraska
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The2024 United States presidential election in Nebraska took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states and theDistrict of Columbia participated.Nebraska voters chose electors to represent them in theElectoral College via a popular vote. Nebraska has five electoral votes.

Nebraska is one of two states — the other beingMaine — that allocates their electoral votes separately by congressional district in addition to two electoral votes going to the statewide winner. The2nd congressional district, which containsOmaha and some of its suburbs, has been competitive since2008, when Obama narrowly won the district, making it the first time in 44 years that a Democrat won any of the state's electoral votes. In recent years, the district has leaned Democratic. In2020, the district flipped back to the Democratic column, backingJoe Biden by 5.9%, despite the state voting Republican by a landslide margin.

Trump improved his margin statewide but lost the 2nd district again. This is the first time the 2nd district voted for a Democratic nominee who lost the popular vote and the presidential election.Barack Obama in2012 andHillary Clinton in2016 both failed to carry the district, even as both won the popular vote.

This was the only electoral vote Trump won in 2016 that he did not win in 2024. Nebraska had one of the smallest swings of any state, swinging by just 1.3% from 2020 to 2024.[1] While redistricting between the 2020 and 2024 elections had made the district more Republican-leaning, Democratic Vice PresidentKamala Harris carried it by 4.6%.[2]Tim Walz, the running mate of Kamala Harris andgovernor of Minnesota, was born and raised in Nebraska.[3]

Primary elections

[edit]

Democratic primary

[edit]
Main article:2024 Nebraska Democratic presidential primary

The Nebraska Democratic primary was held on May 14, 2024. President Biden won twenty-eight delegates. CongressmanDean Phillips won one delegate by receiving the most votes of any candidate inLogan County, with 55.6% of the vote.[4]

Nebraska Democratic primary, May 14, 2024[5]
CandidateVotesPercentageActual delegate count
PledgedUnpledgedTotal
Joe Biden (incumbent)84,67790.2%2828
Dean Phillips (withdrawn)9,1999.8%1
Total:93,876100.0%29534

Republican primary

[edit]
Main article:2024 Nebraska Republican presidential primary

The Nebraska Republican primary was held on May 14, 2024.

Nebraska Republican primary, May 14, 2024[6]
CandidateVotesPercentageActual delegate count
BoundUnboundTotal
Donald Trump167,96879.94%3636
Nikki Haley (withdrawn)38,24618.20%
Perry Johnson (withdrawn)3,9021.86%
Total:211,787100.00%3636

Libertarian primary

[edit]
Main article:2024 Libertarian Party presidential primaries
Primary results by county:
  Oliver
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   >90%
  Ballay
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   60–70%
  •   >90%
  Hornberger
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  Mapstead
  •   30–40%
  •   50–60%
  •   >90%
  Rectenwald
  •   40–50%
  Tie
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  No Votes

The Nebraska Libertarian primary was held on May 14, 2024. Six candidates were on the ballot.[7]

Nebraska Libertarian primary, May 14, 2024
CandidateVotesPercentage
Chase Oliver30927.6%
Charles Ballay23721.2%
Jacob Hornberger20418.2%
Lars Mapstead18016.1%
Michael Rectenwald12010.7%
Mike ter Maat696.2%
Total:1,119100.0%
Source:[8]

General election

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

The following presidential candidates have received ballot access in Nebraska:[9]

In addition,Robert F. Kennedy Jr. successfully made it on the ballot, but took his name off of it when he withdrew.

Proposal to change to electoral vote system

[edit]

In April 2024, there was a failed push from some Republicans to replace the split Electoral College voting with awinner-takes-all system. The change was prompted by a possible scenario where if Joe Biden carried theblue wall states of Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania but no other swing states, the second district could give Biden the decisive 270th electoral vote.[10] While Republicans control the state legislature, the attempt failed due to internal opposition. Only eight legislators voted to advance the proposal when it was brought forward at the end of the legislative session. Republican SenatorMike McDonnell, who had given the caucus a filibuster-proof majority when he switched his affiliation from Democratic, stated, "I am not voting for cloture on winner-take-all, and I am not supporting winner-take-all."[11]

GovernorJim Pillen said he would call a special session to adopt a winner-take-all system if it were to get the necessary support for passage. As bills in Nebraska normally take effect three months after being signed, it would need to be passed with an emergency clause and the support of two-thirds of 49 senators – meaning all 33 Republicans – to be effective for the election.Maureen Terry, a Democratic leader in Maine, responded to the efforts by signaling that if they were successful, the Maine legislature would also adopt a winner-take-all system to negate any benefit given to Republicans.[12]

After Kamala Harris replaced Biden as the Democratic presidential candidate, a second push to change to a winner-take-all system began in September after Republican nomineeDonald Trump and several of his allies spoke to Republican legislators and Pillen about instituting the change. Pillen stated he would call a special session for the change if supporters could give him commitments from the 33 legislators needed to overcome a Democratic filibuster; at the time, three of the 33 Republicans in the legislature, including McDonnell, who was expected to be the last holdout, had not committed to supporting the change.[13][14] Due to restrictions in Maine law, Maine would not have been able to counter such a modification in time for the November election, meaning the change would almost certainly have secured an extra Republican electoral vote.[15] McDonnell stated on September 23 that he would not vote to change the system before the election, preferring that the issue be decided by the state's voters.[16] The following day, Pillen stated he would not call a special session.[17]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRanking (1st)Ranking (2nd)Ranking (3rd)Ranking (statewide)As of
Cook Political Report[18]Solid RLikely DSolid RSolid RNovember 1, 2024
Sabato's Crystal Ball[19]Likely RLikely DSolid RSafe RNovember 4, 2024
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[20]Solid RLikely DSolid RSafe RAugust 26, 2024
CNalysis[21]Solid RSolid DSolid RSolid RNovember 4, 2024
CNN[22]Solid RLean DSolid RSolid ROctober 1, 2024
The Economist[23]Safe RLikely DSolid RSafe ROctober 3, 2024
538[24]Solid RLikely DSolid RSolid RSeptember 13, 2024
Inside Elections[25]Solid RLean DSolid RSolid RAugust 29, 2024
NBC News[26]Safe RLean DSafe RSafe ROctober 6, 2024
YouGov[27]Safe RTossupSafe RSafe ROctober 16, 2024
Split Ticket[28]Solid RLikely DSolid RSolid RNovember 1, 2024

Polling

[edit]

Statewide

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
Change Research (D)[29][A]October 30–31, 2024600 (LV)± 4.3%57%39%4%
Torchlight Strategies (R)[30][B]October 25–28, 2024605 (LV)± 3.9%56%39%5%
New York Times/Siena College[31]October 23−26, 20241,194 (RV)± 3.2%55%40%5%
1,194 (LV)55%40%5%
Change Research (D)[32][A]October 18–21, 2024815 (LV)55%41%4%
Torchlight Strategies (R)[33][B]October 5–8, 2024600 (LV)± 4.9%57%37%6%
Change Research (D)[34][A]October 3–8, 2024895 (LV)± 3.5%58%38%4%
Impact Research (D)[35][A]October 1–3, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%58%38%4%
The Bullfinch Group[36][C]September 27 – October 1, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9%53%42%5%
48%38%14%[b]
SurveyUSA[37][A]September 20–23, 2024558 (LV)± 4.8%56%40%5%[c]
Global Strategy Group (D)[38][D]August 26–29, 2024600 (LV)54%37%9%
SurveyUSA[39][E]August 23–27, 20241,293 (RV)± 3.5%54%37%9%[d]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
The Economist/YouGov[40]October 21–28, 20241,206 (LV)± 3.5%55%40%0%0%1%4%[e]
New York Times/Siena College[31]October 23−26, 20241,194 (RV)± 3.2%53%38%0%0%1%8%
1,194 (LV)53%39%0%0%1%7%
Hypothetical polling with Donald Trump and Joe Biden

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
Torchlight Strategies (R)[41][B]July 8–11, 2024698 (LV)± 3.7%52%33%15%[f]
Public Policy Polling (D)[42][A]April 24–25, 2024737 (V)± 3.6%57%34%9%
John Zogby Strategies[43][F]April 13–21, 2024307 (LV)50%39%11%
Change Research (D)[44][G]November 13–16, 20231,048 (LV)53%35%12%
Emerson College[45]October 1–4, 2023423 (RV)± 4.7%47%31%23%
Hypothetical polling with other candidates

Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Other /
Undecided
John Zogby Strategies[43][F]April 13–21, 2024307 (LV)47%39%14%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Joe Biden

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Robert
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
John Zogby Strategies[43][F]April 13–21, 2024307 (LV)50%38%12%

Nebraska's 1st congressional district

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs.Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
The Economist/YouGov[40]October 21–28, 2024408 (LV)51%43%0%0%3%3%[e]

Nebraska's 2nd congressional district

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
New York Times/Siena College[31]October 23−26, 2024500 (LV)± 4.8%54%42%4%
New York Times/Siena College[46]September 24–26, 2024680 (RV)± 4.0%51%42%7%
680 (LV)52%43%5%
SurveyUSA[39][E]August 23–27, 2024507 (RV)± 5.6%47%42%11%[g]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
The Economist/YouGov[40]October 21–28, 2024393 (LV)52%44%0%1%1%2%
New York Times/Siena College[31]October 23−26, 2024500 (LV)± 4.8%53%41%0%0%1%5%
New York Times/Siena College[46]September 24–26, 2024680 (RV)± 4.0%49%41%2%2%6%
680 (LV)51%42%2%1%4%
CNN/SSRS[47]September 20–25, 2024794 (LV)± 4.0%53%42%1%1%1%2%
Hypothetical polling with Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Chase Oliver vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Other /
Undecided
Remington Research Group (R)[48][H]August 14–17, 2024656 (LV)± 3.8%50%42%2%1%1%0%4%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Other /
Undecided
Change Research (D)[49][I]August 10–17, 2024437 (LV)47%42%5%6%
Hypothetical polling with Joe Biden and Donald Trump

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Torchlight Strategies (R)[41][B]July 8–11, 2024300 (LV)42%42%16%[h]
Public Policy Polling (D)[42][A]April 24–25, 202443%46%11%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Other /
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[42][A]April 24–25, 202434%37%9%4%4%12%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Other /
Undecided
Iron Light Intelligence[50][J]May 17–22, 2024400 (LV)± 5.0%42%37%13%8%

Nebraska's 3rd congressional district

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs.Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
The Economist/YouGov[40]October 21–28, 2024404 (LV)70%25%0%0%0%5%

Results

[edit]
2024 United States presidential election in Nebraska[2]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican564,81659.32%+1.10%
Democratic369,99538.86%−0.31%
Libertarian6,3990.67%−1.45%
Legal Marijuana Now3,0620.32%N/A
Green2,8870.30%N/A
Write-in5,0230.53%+0.04%
Total votes952,182100.00%N/A

By county

[edit]
CountyDonald Trump
Republican
Kamala Harris
Democratic
Various candidates
Other parties
MarginTotal
#%#%#%#%
Adams10,07769.92%4,10028.45%2351.63%5,97741.47%14,412
Antelope3,03287.68%39611.45%300.87%2,63676.23%3,458
Arthur26493.29%176.01%20.71%24787.28%283
Banner34889.23%348.72%82.05%31480.51%390
Blaine25085.62%3712.67%51.71%21372.95%292
Boone2,49982.20%49616.32%451.48%2,00365.88%3,040
Box Butte3,82777.52%1,04321.13%671.36%2,78456.39%4,937
Boyd93887.17%13212.27%60.56%80674.90%1,076
Brown1,42886.65%20112.20%191.15%1,22774.45%1,648
Buffalo17,06471.47%6,38626.75%4271.79%10,67844.72%23,877
Burt2,63271.81%98326.82%501.36%1,64944.99%3,665
Butler3,64279.05%90619.67%591.28%2,73659.38%4,607
Cass10,68567.50%4,82430.47%3212.03%5,86137.03%15,830
Cedar4,14183.86%70214.22%951.92%3,43969.64%4,938
Chase1,64888.22%20410.92%160.86%1,44477.30%1,868
Cherry2,68787.30%34911.34%421.36%2,33875.96%3,078
Cheyenne3,69281.11%78717.29%731.60%2,90563.82%4,552
Clay2,67780.66%57717.38%651.96%2,10063.28%3,319
Colfax2,63674.91%84524.01%381.08%1,79150.90%3,519
Cuming3,53679.34%86719.45%541.21%2,66959.89%4,457
Custer5,04285.33%78613.30%811.37%4,25672.03%5,909
Dakota3,93464.09%2,10934.36%951.55%1,82529.73%6,138
Dawes2,81272.31%99225.51%852.19%1,82046.80%3,889
Dawson6,31274.07%2,10124.65%1091.28%4,21149.42%8,522
Deuel84383.14%15114.89%201.97%69268.25%1,014
Dixon2,27178.20%57319.73%602.07%1,69858.47%2,904
Dodge10,79565.39%5,43432.92%2791.69%5,36132.47%16,508
Douglas120,91943.95%148,73354.06%5,4932.00%-27,814-10.11%275,145
Dundy82989.04%9610.31%60.64%73378.73%931
Fillmore2,31576.55%66221.89%471.55%1,65354.66%3,024
Franklin1,35184.17%23614.70%181.12%1,11569.47%1,605
Frontier1,21385.85%18513.09%151.06%1,02872.76%1,413
Furnas2,04384.46%35814.80%180.74%1,68569.66%2,419
Gage7,52368.61%3,24229.57%2001.82%4,28139.04%10,965
Garden94984.73%16214.46%90.80%78770.27%1,120
Garfield89387.81%11611.41%80.79%77776.40%1,017
Gosper90780.77%20318.08%131.16%70462.69%1,123
Grant35195.90%154.10%00.00%33691.80%366
Greeley1,03083.40%19215.55%131.05%83867.85%1,235
Hall15,56667.97%6,95630.37%3791.65%8,61037.60%22,901
Hamilton4,41679.24%1,06719.15%901.61%3,34960.09%5,573
Harlan1,50683.43%28015.51%191.05%1,22667.92%1,805
Hayes47295.55%193.85%30.61%45391.70%494
Hitchcock1,26988.19%15210.56%181.25%1,11777.63%1,439
Holt4,70886.26%68112.48%691.26%4,02773.78%5,458
Hooker36986.42%5512.88%30.70%31473.54%427
Howard2,86880.43%64218.00%561.57%2,22662.43%3,566
Jefferson2,61471.83%96826.60%571.57%1,64645.23%3,639
Johnson1,49669.16%62528.90%421.94%87140.26%2,163
Kearney2,82878.23%73620.36%511.41%2,09257.87%3,615
Keith3,41681.16%73117.37%621.47%2,68563.79%4,209
Keya Paha50091.74%448.07%10.18%45683.67%545
Kimball1,42482.69%27215.80%261.51%1,15266.89%1,722
Knox3,59380.78%78617.67%691.55%2,80763.11%4,448
Lancaster74,21546.75%81,01251.04%3,5072.21%-6,797-4.29%158,734
Lincoln12,67476.67%3,58621.69%2701.63%9,08854.98%16,530
Logan40992.53%255.66%81.81%38486.87%442
Loup35482.71%7317.06%10.23%28165.65%428
Madison12,14577.13%3,36021.34%2421.54%8,78555.79%15,747
McPherson26794.01%124.23%51.76%25589.78%284
Merrick3,55181.30%73016.71%871.99%2,82164.59%4,368
Morrill2,02683.37%36615.06%381.56%1,66068.31%2,430
Nance1,46279.28%35219.09%301.63%1,11060.19%1,844
Nemaha2,44371.04%91526.61%812.36%1,52844.43%3,439
Nuckolls1,83681.17%39917.64%271.19%1,43763.53%2,262
Otoe5,65168.69%2,46329.94%1131.37%3,18838.75%8,227
Pawnee1,08578.34%28420.51%161.16%80157.83%1,385
Perkins1,22485.47%18713.06%211.47%1,03772.41%1,432
Phelps4,15883.39%75815.20%701.40%3,40068.19%4,986
Pierce3,42087.47%44611.41%441.13%2,97476.06%3,910
Platte12,32678.33%3,19120.28%2191.39%9,13558.05%15,736
Polk2,29681.16%50117.71%321.13%1,79563.45%2,829
Red Willow4,45783.48%81515.27%671.25%3,64268.21%5,339
Richardson2,96274.76%93423.57%661.67%2,02851.19%3,962
Rock74589.22%8510.18%50.60%66079.04%835
Saline3,73465.84%1,85532.71%821.45%1,87933.13%5,671
Sarpy55,56754.85%43,82543.26%1,9071.88%11,74211.59%101,299
Saunders9,85472.34%3,55826.12%2101.54%6,29646.22%13,622
Scotts Bluff11,03373.09%3,85625.54%2061.36%7,17747.55%15,095
Seward6,66772.15%2,38825.84%1852.00%4,27946.31%9,240
Sheridan2,10284.18%36214.50%331.32%1,74069.68%2,497
Sherman1,34479.43%32819.39%201.18%1,01660.04%1,692
Sioux59787.79%7711.32%60.88%52076.47%680
Stanton2,53682.44%49215.99%481.56%2,04466.45%3,076
Thayer2,27879.57%54419.00%411.43%1,73460.57%2,863
Thomas34888.55%4411.20%10.25%30477.35%393
Thurston1,12552.99%97846.07%200.94%1476.92%2,123
Valley1,87281.36%40317.51%261.13%1,46963.85%2,301
Washington8,85570.24%3,53828.06%2141.70%5,31742.18%12,607
Wayne3,01173.33%1,00624.50%892.17%2,00548.83%4,106
Webster1,44982.10%29616.77%201.13%1,15365.33%1,765
Wheeler42487.24%5711.73%51.03%36775.51%486
York5,23474.56%1,64823.48%1381.97%3,58651.08%7,020
Totals564,81659.32%369,99538.86%17,3711.82%194,82120.46%952,182

By congressional district

[edit]
Swing by county
Legend
  •   Democratic — +2.5-5%
  •   Democratic — +0-2.5%
  •   Republican — +0-2.5%
  •   Republican — +2.5-5%
  •   Republican — +5-7.5%
  •   Republican — +7.5-10%
  •   Republican — +10-12.5%

Trump won two of Nebraska's three congressional districts, while Harris won the second, which elected a Republican.[2]

DistrictTrumpHarrisOtherRepresentative
#%#%#%
1st177,66655.49%136,15342.52%6,3751.99%Mike Flood
2nd148,90546.73%163,54151.32%6,2001.95%Don Bacon
3rd238,24576.03%70,30122.44%4,7961.53%Adrian Smith

Analysis

[edit]

A sparsely populatedGreat Plains state, Nebraska has voted Republican in nearly every presidential election since its statehood, making exceptions only forfavorite sonWilliam Jennings Bryan;Woodrow Wilson;Franklin D. Roosevelt in his first two terms; and landslide winnerLyndon B. Johnson. Democratic presidential candidates have not been able to come within single digits of carrying the state since Johnson carried the state in his1964 landslide, and the only Democrat to win more than 40% of the statewide vote since then wasBarack Obama, who garnered 41.60% in2008.

Harris's win in Nebraska's 2nd congressional district marked the first time Democrats carried the district in consecutive elections since Nebraska adopted the district method in1992, and the first time since1936 that Democrats won consecutive electoral votes from the state. It was also the first presidential election since2012 where the district did not back the Electoral College winner, and the first time a Republican won the presidency without carrying the district or sweeping Nebraska’s electoral votes since1908. Harris also gained more raw votes than Biden within the 1st and 3rd districts.

Notably, the 2nd district was the only electoral vote Trump won in2016 but lost in2024.[51] Despite Harris's win at the top of the ticket, RepublicanDon Baconwon re-election to represent the 2nd district in the U.S. House.

Although Trump won the 1st district with 55.49% of its vote, the district shifted towards Harris by 1.96%. With all fifty states plusWashington, D.C. swinging towards Trump, a feat not seen since the1976 presidential election, this marked the only electoral vote to swing left in 2024.

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^abcdefghijklmnKey:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^"A third party / Independent candidate" with 7%
  3. ^"Other" with 3%; "Undecided" with 2%
  4. ^"Other" with 4%
  5. ^ab"Other" with 1%
  6. ^"Someone else" with 11%
  7. ^"Other" with 5%
  8. ^"Someone else" with 12%
  9. ^Listed on the ballot without party affiliation.
  10. ^Replacement forButch Ware, Stein's vice presidential nominee.

Partisan clients

  1. ^abcdefghPoll sponsored by the campaign ofDan Osborn, anindependent candidate for Nebraska's Class 1 Senate seat
  2. ^abcdPoll sponsored by the campaign of U.S. SenatorDeb Fischer, who has endorsed Trump
  3. ^Poll conducted for The Independent Center
  4. ^Poll sponsored by Retire Career Politicians PAC
  5. ^abPoll commissioned by Split Ticket
  6. ^abcPoll conducted forKennedy's campaign
  7. ^Poll sponsored by Nebraska Railroaders for Public Safety
  8. ^Poll sponsored byNebraska Examiner
  9. ^Poll sponsored by Future Majority
  10. ^Poll commissioned by League of American Workers

References

[edit]
  1. ^Kondik, Kyle (December 19, 2024)."How the States Vote Relative to the Nation".Sabato’s Crystal Ball.
  2. ^abc"The Nebraska Board of State Canvassers Official Report"(PDF).Nebraska Secretary of State. RetrievedDecember 3, 2024.
  3. ^Searcey, Dionne (August 6, 2024)."Walz Grew Up in Rural Nebraska, Where Finding a Date 'Was Kind of a Problem'".The New York Times.
  4. ^"Nebraska Statewide and Presidential Primary Democratic Results". USA Today.
  5. ^"Nebraska Presidential Primary". AP News. June 17, 2024. RetrievedJuly 30, 2024.
  6. ^Evnen, Robert (May 14, 2020)."The Nebraska Board of State Canvassers Official Report"(PDF).Nebraska Secretary of State. RetrievedJuly 28, 2024.
  7. ^"Statewide Candidate List List as of 3/18/2024 10:41:21 AM"(PDF).Nebraska Secretary of State. RetrievedMay 9, 2024.
  8. ^"Nebraska Secretary of State – Election Night Results – May 14th, 2024".Nebraska Secretary of State. RetrievedJune 22, 2024.
  9. ^"The Green Papers: 2024 Presidential Candidate Ballot Access by State".www.thegreenpapers.com. RetrievedSeptember 13, 2024.
  10. ^Zeleny, Jeff (September 21, 2024)."Trump presses to change Nebraska election law, in fight for a sole electoral vote | CNN Politics".CNN. RetrievedSeptember 22, 2024.
  11. ^"State Sen. Mike McDonnell now a Republican: Does he support 'winner-take-all'?".KMTV 3 News Now Omaha. April 4, 2024. RetrievedSeptember 21, 2024.
  12. ^Marley, Patrick; Dawsey, Josh; Scherer, Michael (September 20, 2024)."Trump ramps up push for Nebraska to change electoral vote allocation".Washington Post.ISSN 0190-8286. RetrievedSeptember 21, 2024.
  13. ^Sanderford, Aaron (September 20, 2024)."Sen. Mike McDonnell says he's a no on winner-take-all 'as of today' • Nebraska Examiner".Nebraska Examiner. RetrievedSeptember 21, 2024.
  14. ^"How One Man's Vote in Nebraska Could Change the Presidential Election".The New York Times. September 20, 2024.
  15. ^"Maine Democrats have likely run out of time to change Electoral College laws if Nebraska GOP acts".NBC News. September 20, 2024.
  16. ^Sanderford, Aaron (September 23, 2024)."State Sen. Mike McDonnell deflates GOP hopes for Nebraska winner-take-all in 2024 • Nebraska Examiner".Nebraska Examiner. RetrievedSeptember 23, 2024.
  17. ^"In a blow to Trump, Nebraska governor won't call a special session to change state's electoral votes".NBC News. September 24, 2024. RetrievedSeptember 30, 2024.
  18. ^"2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings".Cook Political Report.
  19. ^"2024 Electoral College ratings".centerforpolitics.org.University of Virginia Center for Politics.
  20. ^"2024 presidential predictions".The Hill.
  21. ^"2024 Presidential Forecast".CNalysis.
  22. ^"Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270".CNN.
  23. ^"Trump v Harris: The Economist's presidential election prediction model".The Economist.
  24. ^Morris, G. Elliott (June 11, 2024)."2024 Election Forecast".FiveThirtyEight.
  25. ^"Presidential Ratings".insideelections.com.Inside Elections. April 26, 2023. RetrievedJanuary 11, 2024.
  26. ^"Presidential Election Preview 2024".NBC News.
  27. ^"2024 Presidential Election Polls".YouGov.
  28. ^"2024 Presidential Forecast".Split Ticket. June 2, 2023.
  29. ^App, Betsy (October 31, 2024)."Nebraska U.S. Senate Poll Results"(PDF).Change Research.
  30. ^Wegley, Andrew (November 1, 2024)."Exclusive: Nebraska Sen. Deb Fischer leads Dan Osborn by 7.5 points in new poll".Lincoln Journal Star. Archived fromthe original on November 1, 2024.
  31. ^abcdWeisman, Jonathan; Baker, Camille (October 28, 2024)."Republicans Cling to Slim Leads in Nebraska and Texas Senate Races".The New York Times.
  32. ^Grim, Ryan (October 23, 2024)."New poll has an independent populist upending the Senate with a Nebraska upset".Drop Site.
  33. ^Desiderio, Andrew; Zanona, Melanie (October 11, 2024)."Fischer rebounds after sluggish start triggered GOP panic".Punchbowl News.
  34. ^Bade, Rachael; Daniels, Eugene (October 10, 2024)."Playbook: The battle for the bros".Politico.
  35. ^"Dan Osborn Leading Deb Fischer Roughly One Month from Election Day".Impact Research. October 7, 2024.
  36. ^"Toplines: Independent Center Oct 2024 Online Survey of Likely Voters in Nebraska"(PDF).Independent Center. October 2, 2024. RetrievedOctober 2, 2024.
  37. ^"Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #27302".SurveyUSA. September 24, 2024. RetrievedSeptember 25, 2024.
  38. ^Pollock, Jefrey (September 19, 2024)."NE US SEN — More positive polling for Osborn, Fischer goes hard negative"(PDF).FiveThirtyEight.
  39. ^abJain, Lakshya; McCall, Max; Lavelle, Harrison; Sit, Leon (August 31, 2024)."We Polled Nebraska (And Its Second District). Here's What We Found".Split Ticket.
  40. ^abcd"Economist Poll – October 21-28, 2024"(PDF).The Economist. October 30, 2024.
  41. ^abSanderford, Aaron (July 19, 2024)."Fischer, Trump lead statewide in Fischer's new Nebraska poll".Nebraska Examiner.
  42. ^abcPatterson, Katherine (May 6, 2024)."Osborn Trails Senator Fischer by Just 4 Points in Nebraska's Senate Race; Fischer Underwater in Favorability"(PDF).FiveThirtyEight.
  43. ^abc"Biden Is the Real Spoiler, Kennedy Only Candidate Who Can Beat Trump".Kennedy24. May 1, 2024.
  44. ^"Nebraska Survey Toplines - November 2023"(PDF).FiveThirtyEight. December 6, 2023.
  45. ^Mumford, Camille (October 13, 2023)."Nebraska Poll: Trump Maintains Lead but Biden Cuts into 2020 Vote".Emerson Polling.
  46. ^abEpstein, Reid J.; Igielnik, Ruth; Baker, Camille (September 28, 2024)."Harris and Trump Are Neck and Neck in Michigan and Wisconsin, Polls Find".The New York Times.
  47. ^Edwards-Levy, Ariel (September 27, 2024)."CNN Poll: Harris and Trump are tied in North Carolina, while vice president leads in Nebraska's 2nd District".CNN.
  48. ^Sanderford, Aaron (August 20, 2024)."Harris leads Trump in new Nebraska 2nd District poll".Nebraska Examiner.
  49. ^Riddle, Mark (August 21, 2024)."Governing Landscape and Messaging"(PDF).Future Majority.
  50. ^"League of American Workers NE-02 Poll of Likely Voters".League of American Workers. May 23, 2024. Archived fromthe original on May 29, 2024.
  51. ^https://www.270towin.com/states/Nebraska
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