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The2024 United States presidential election in Massachusetts was held on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the2024 United States elections.Massachusetts voters chose electors to represent them in theElectoral College via a popular vote. Eleven members of the Electoral College came from Massachusetts.
ANew England state, Massachusetts has been aDemocratic leaning state since1928, and a Democratic stronghold since1960, and is considered a deeply blue state today.[a] Democrats have consistently defeatedRepublicans by large margins in Massachusetts since1996. In2020,Joe Biden won the state by more than 33%, the largest margin sinceLyndon B. Johnson in1964.
Kamala Harris won Massachusetts along with every county in the state. She defeatedDonald Trump by 25 points. This was an eight-point shift toward the Republican Party from 2020, and Harris’s margin was smaller than that forHillary Clinton in2016. Despite Harris winning over 60% of the vote in the state and every county there, Massachusetts had one of the largest swings of any state, swinging by more than the national swing of about 6%.[b]
This was part of a trend ofblue states, such asNew York,New Jersey,California (Harris's home state), andIllinois, which all swung significantly towards Republicans.[2]
The Massachusetts Democratic primary was held onSuper Tuesday, March 5, 2024.
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pledged | Unpledged | Total | |||
| Joe Biden (incumbent) | 533,096 | 80.5% | 91 | 91 | |
| No Preference | 60,236 | 9.1% | 1 | 1 | |
| Dean Phillips | 29,728 | 4.5% | |||
| Marianne Williamson | 20,402 | 3.1% | |||
| Other candidates | 10,135 | 1.5% | |||
| Cenk Uygur (write-in) | 82 | <0.1% | |||
| Blank ballots | 8,930 | 1.3% | |||
| Total: | 662,609 | 100% | 92 | 92 | |
The Massachusetts Republican primary was held onSuper Tuesday, March 5, 2024.
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
| Donald Trump | 343,189 | 59.56% | 40 | 0 | 40 |
| Nikki Haley | 211,440 | 36.69% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| No Preference | 5,717 | 0.99% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chris Christie (withdrawn) | 5,217 | 0.91% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ron DeSantis (withdrawn) | 3,981 | 0.69% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn) | 1,738 | 0.30% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Other candidates | 1,674 | 0.29% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ryan Binkley (withdrawn) | 619 | 0.11% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Asa Hutchinson (withdrawn) | 527 | 0.09% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Blank ballots | 2,148 | 0.37% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total: | 576,250 | 100.00% | 40 | 0 | 40 |
The Massachusetts Libertarian primary was held on March 5, 2024.
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage |
|---|---|---|
| No Preference | 3,982 | 36.45% |
| Chase Oliver | 1,453 | 13.30% |
| Jacob Hornberger | 1,089 | 9.97% |
| Michael Rectenwald | 546 | 5.00% |
| Lars Mapstead | 399 | 3.65% |
| Mike ter Maat | 314 | 2.87% |
| All Others | 2,161 | 19.78% |
| Blank ballots | 980 | 8.97% |
| Total: | 10,924 | 100.00% |
| Source:[5] | ||
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[6] | Solid D | December 19, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[7] | Solid D | April 26, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[8] | Safe D | June 29, 2023 |
| Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[9] | Safe D | December 14, 2023 |
| CNalysis[10] | Solid D | December 30, 2023 |
| CNN[11] | Solid D | January 14, 2024 |
| The Economist[12] | Safe D | June 12, 2024 |
| 538[13] | Solid D | June 11, 2024 |
| RCP[14] | Solid D | June 26, 2024 |
| NBC News[15] | Safe D | October 6, 2024 |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[c] | Margin of error | Kamala Harris Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ActiVote[16] | October 2–30, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 66% | 34% | – |
| Emerson College[17][A] | October 24–26, 2024 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 59% | 36% | 5%[d] |
| 60%[e] | 37% | 3%[d] | ||||
| ActiVote[18] | September 6 – October 16, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 67% | 33% | – |
| MassINC Polling Group[19][B] | September 12–18, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 63% | 35% | 2%[f] |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[c] | Margin of error | Kamala Harris Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Cornel West Independent | Jill Stein Green | Chase Oliver Libertarian | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire[20] | October 29 – November 2, 2024 | 744 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 60% | 34% | – | 2% | 1% | 3%[g] |
| YouGov[21][C] | October 3–10, 2024 | 700 (A) | ± 4.8% | 56% | 30% | – | 2% | 1% | 11%[h] |
| Suffolk University[22][D] | October 1–4, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 61% | 32% | – | 1% | 0% | 6%[h] |
| University of New Hampshire[23] | September 12–16, 2024 | 546 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 62% | 31% | – | 2% | 0% | 5% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[c] | Margin of error | Kamala Harris Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Cornel West Independent | Jill Stein Green | Chase Oliver Libertarian | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MassINC Polling Group[24] | October 29 – November 1, 2024 | 582 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 61% | 31% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 5%[i] |
| MassINC Polling Group[19] | September 12–18, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 60% | 32% | 3% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 4%[j] |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[c] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suffolk University[25][D] | July 16–18, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 47% | 29% | 24% |
| University of New Hampshire[26] | May 16–20, 2024 | 526 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 68% | 32% | – |
| John Zogby Strategies[27][E] | April 13–21, 2024 | 534 (LV) | – | 55% | 36% | 9% |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[28] | February 29 – March 3, 2024 | 271 (RV) | – | 58% | 34% | 8%[k] |
| 263 (LV) | 59% | 34% | 7%[k] | |||
| University of Massachusetts Lowell[29] | October 18–25, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 58% | 32% | 10% |
| Emerson College[30] | September 7–8, 2022 | 708 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 54% | 34% | 12% |
| University of Massachusetts Lowell[31] | June 7–15, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 60% | 31% | 9% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[c] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Cornel West Independent | Jill Stein Green | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire[26] | May 16–20, 2024 | 526 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 55% | 26% | 10% | 1% | 2% | 6% |
| MassINC Polling Group[32][F] | March 21–29, 2024 | 1,002 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 44% | 26% | 7% | 2% | – | 21%[l] |
| 46%[e] | 28% | 9% | 2% | – | 15%[m] |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[c] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov[33][C] | May 17–30, 2024 | 700 (A) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 27% | 9% | 16% |
| Suffolk University[34][D] | April 16–20, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 52% | 22% | 8% | 18% |
| Suffolk University[35] | February 2–5, 2024 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 26% | 9% | 21% |
| YouGov[36][C] | October 13–20, 2023 | 700 (V) | ± 5.1% | 43% | 21% | 17% | 19% |
Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[c] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Zogby Strategies[27][E] | April 13–21, 2024 | 534 (LV) | – | 48% | 42% | 10% |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[c] | Margin of error | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Zogby Strategies[27][E] | April 13–21, 2024 | 534 (LV) | – | 46% | 33% | 21% |
Swing by county[37]
Trend relative to the state by county| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | 2,126,518 | 61.22% | 4.38 | ||
| Republican | 1,251,303 | 36.02% |  3.88 | ||
| Green-Rainbow |
| 26,545 | 0.76% | 0.25 | |
| Independent |
| 18,418 | 0.53% | N/A | |
| Libertarian | 17,735 | 0.51% | 0.78 | ||
| Socialism and Liberation | 12,889 | 0.37% | N/A | ||
| Write-in | 20,260 | 0.58% | 0.13 | ||
| Total votes | 3,473,668 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
| County | Kamala Harris Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Various candidates Other parties | Margin | Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Barnstable | 88,129 | 59.23% | 57,451 | 38.61% | 3,205 | 2.15% | 30,678 | 20.62% | 148,785 |
| Berkshire | 47,094 | 68.58% | 19,805 | 28.84% | 1,775 | 2.58% | 27,289 | 39.74% | 68,674 |
| Bristol | 137,786 | 49.56% | 134,196 | 48.27% | 6,035 | 2.17% | 3,590 | 1.29% | 278,017 |
| Dukes | 9,137 | 74.84% | 2,745 | 22.48% | 327 | 2.68% | 6,392 | 52.36% | 12,209 |
| Essex | 236,624 | 58.88% | 155,336 | 38.66% | 9,891 | 2.46% | 81,288 | 20.22% | 401,851 |
| Franklin | 28,305 | 67.00% | 12,428 | 29.42% | 1,515 | 3.59% | 15,877 | 37.58% | 42,248 |
| Hampden | 110,937 | 53.18% | 92,474 | 44.33% | 5,193 | 2.49% | 18,463 | 8.85% | 208,604 |
| Hampshire | 58,617 | 69.19% | 23,256 | 27.45% | 2,847 | 3.36% | 35,361 | 41.74% | 84,720 |
| Middlesex | 554,471 | 68.05% | 235,118 | 28.85% | 25,243 | 3.10% | 319,353 | 39.20% | 814,832 |
| Nantucket | 4,784 | 67.21% | 2,171 | 30.50% | 163 | 2.29% | 2,613 | 36.71% | 7,118 |
| Norfolk | 242,712 | 62.81% | 132,497 | 34.29% | 11,238 | 2.91% | 110,215 | 28.52% | 386,447 |
| Plymouth | 159,962 | 53.30% | 133,544 | 44.50% | 6,623 | 2.21% | 26,418 | 8.80% | 300,129 |
| Suffolk | 222,280 | 74.29% | 66,480 | 22.22% | 10,433 | 3.49% | 155,800 | 52.07% | 299,193 |
| Worcester | 225,680 | 53.63% | 183,802 | 43.67% | 11,359 | 2.70% | 41,878 | 9.96% | 420,841 |
| Totals | 2,126,518 | 61.22% | 1,251,303 | 36.02% | 95,847 | 2.76% | 875,215 | 25.20% | 3,473,668 |
Harris won all nine congressional districts.[39]
| District | Harris | Trump | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 55.53% | 41.97% | Richard Neal |
| 2nd | 60.26% | 36.71% | Jim McGovern |
| 3rd | 58.13% | 39.25% | Lori Trahan |
| 4th | 58.44% | 38.85% | Jake Auchincloss |
| 5th | 70.85% | 25.97% | Katherine Clark |
| 6th | 59.04% | 38.47% | Seth Moulton |
| 7th | 79.43% | 16.77% | Ayanna Pressley |
| 8th | 61.72% | 35.49% | Stephen Lynch |
| 9th | 54.29% | 43.58% | Bill Keating |
Harris's 25.20% margin was similar to those of other 21st century Democratic nominees, but belowHillary Clinton's 27.20% margin in2016 andJoe Biden's 33.46% margin in2020, and she did win every county in the state.
But despite remaining strongly Democratic, Massachusetts shifted significantly rightward in this election, with all of its counties shifting rightward. It had one of the largest swings of any state, swinging by 8%, which was more than the national swing of 6%. Per theFox News exit poll, Harris did better among voters making over $100,000 a year in Massachusetts (66–32%) than all other groups making less than $100,000 a year. Relatedly, Harris won voters withgraduate degrees in Massachusetts in a landslide (75–22%), better than all other educational groups.[40]
This was despite the state being one of the most liberal, and Harris winning every county in the state.[41] This also suggests that Harris's loss was not simply due to her policy positions or messaging being perceived as too left-wing.[42] This was part of all 50 states andD.C. shifting rightward, the first time they all swung in the same direction since1976, despite Harris losing the popular vote by just 1.5%.[43] No county flipped Democratic, the first time since1932 that the losing candidate did not flip a single county.[44]
Many of the bluest states shifted significantly rightward. Even D.C. shifted moderately rightward by 3%, despite giving Harris over 90% of the vote. (Harris also lived in D.C. at the time, as the incumbent Vice President.) Massachusetts shifted by about as much as thered states ofTexas (by 8%) andFlorida (by 10%), as well as the blue states of California (by 9%), New Jersey (by 10%), and New York (by 11%). By contrast, some blue states only narrowly shifted rightward, includingWashington (state) (by 1%),Oregon (by 2%),Maine (by 2%), andColorado (by 2.5%).[45]
This was the first time that a Democrat won less than 50% of the vote inBristol County since1992, the closest a Republican had come to winning a county in Massachusetts since1988, and the first time a Republican candidate wonFall River since1924. Trump was initially ahead in Bristol County on election before it narrowly flipped blue as more votes were counted.[46] In addition, it was the first time a Republican candidate wonSomerset since1956, and the first time a Republican candidate wonWestport andSeekonk (all in Bristol County) since1984. Of the 351 municipalities in Massachusetts, Trump flipped 26, while Harris flipped none.[47] Three hundred thirty-nine municipalities shifted towards Trump, while only 12 shifted towards Harris. Harris's largest gain was inGosnold, where she improved on Biden's margin of victory by 12.2%, while Trump's largest gain was inLawrence, where he cut his margin of defeat by 31%.[46] Despite losing the city to Harris by a wide margin, Trump managed to win two precincts inBoston, the first time in his three runs that he managed to win any.[48]
Trump's gains were powered significantly by Hispanic Americans, who make up a significant percentage of the population of Massachusetts and shifted heavily to the right in 2024. Lawrence, a heavilyDominican American city in northern Massachusetts, gave Trump 43% of the vote, a gain of over 30% from 2020. The six most Hispanic cities in Massachusetts (namely Lawrence,Lynn,Everett,Chelsea,Holyoke, andSpringfield) saw Harris' margin of victory drop a combined 18% from 2020.[49]
Partisan clients
It was a story that repeated itself across the electoral map, in swing states and non-competitive states alike. The Democratic coalition that delivered a convincing victory to Biden just a few years earlier simply disintegrated Tuesday, leaving the party stunned and disoriented over the scope of the destruction — and the GOP suddenly invigorated.
Vice President Kamala Harris performed worse than President Joe Biden did in 2020 nearly everywhere: in big cities and rural areas, in blue states and red ones. Most of the conventional explanations for why a campaign fails - things like messaging choices, or whether candidates campaigned enough in the right places - cannot account for such a sweeping shift.
From one presidential election to the next, more states usually swing toward the party that gains ground compared with how it performed four years earlier. However, it's rare for every state to move in the same direction, even in elections where one candidate wins decisively. ... But in 2024, all 50 states and D.C. swung to the right to varying degrees based on their margins versus the 2020 race. This marked the first presidential election since 1976 in which all 51 components of the Electoral College moved in the same direction relative to how they voted four years earlier.
State and district results of the2024 United States presidential election | ||
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