 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Turnout | 72.9%[1] 6.7pp | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
 County results Congressional district results Precinct results
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
The2024 United States presidential election in Georgia took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus theDistrict of Columbia participated.Georgia voters chose electors to represent them in theElectoral College via a popular vote. The state of Georgia has 16 electoral votes in the Electoral College, followingreapportionment due to the2020 United States census in which it neither gained nor lost a seat.[2]
Prior to the election, Georgia was considered to be a crucialswing state;[3] rapid population growth in Georgia, particularly inMetro Atlanta, has led the state to become politically competitive in recent years.
RepublicanDonald Trump, representing neighboringFlorida, flipped Georgia back into the Republican column, winning with a majority and a margin of 2.20% over DemocratKamala Harris. Despite Trump's win, Harris made modest gains in the South Atlanta suburbs, further consolidating Democratic support in urban and suburban areas and signaling growing potential challenges for Republicans in future elections federally, though Republicans did see a rebound in the northern parts of the Atlanta Metro includingFulton County andGwinnett County. Republicans also saw significant gains in the rest of the state. This was the closest margin of victory for a Republican in Georgia since1996, with Georgia again voting to the left of the neighboring states ofNorth Carolina andFlorida, as well asArizona andNevada, signaling that Georgia's political future is uncertain despite its red tilt.
Georgia voted just 0.72% to the right of the nation, the closest Georgia has come to voting to the left of the nation sinceJimmy Carter won his home state in1980. Only the threeRust Belt states ofPennsylvania,Michigan,Wisconsin were closer in margin of victory than Georgia. Georgia andNorth Carolina were the only battleground states in 2024 in which Trump's performance did not shift to the right relative to his2016 performance.
Despite Harris losing the state, Georgia was one of the few states to have many counties shift significantly leftward, though mostly in the South Atlanta Metro, and Harris won a slightly higher share of the state vote than she won nationally (48.3%). Harris made her largest gain compared to 2020 inHenry County, with the county swinging leftward by 9%.
This was the first time a Republican candidate would win a federal statewide race in Georgia since Trump's 5.09% victory overHillary Clinton in 2016. Trump also received more than 2.66 million votes, setting a record for most votes cast for any candidate in the history of Georgia and became the second Republican ever to carry the state twice afterGeorge W. Bush in2000 and2004.
The Georgia Democratic primary was held on March 12, 2024.[4]
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
| Joe Biden (incumbent) | 272,363 | 93.1% | 108 | ||
| Marianne Williamson | 8,569 | 2.9% | |||
| Dean Phillips (withdrawn) | 5,205 | 1.8% | |||
| Blank ballots | 6,429 | 2.2% | |||
| Overvotes | 2 | <0.1% | |||
| Total: | 292,568 | 100.00% | 108 | 16 | 124 |
The Georgia Republican primary was held on March 12, 2024.[6]
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
| Donald Trump | 497,594 | 84.49% | 59 | 0 | 59 |
| Nikki Haley (withdrawn) | 77,902 | 13.23% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ron DeSantis (withdrawn) | 7,457 | 1.27% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chris Christie (withdrawn) | 2,054 | 0.35% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tim Scott (withdrawn) | 1,398 | 0.24% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn) | 1,244 | 0.21% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Asa Hutchinson (withdrawn) | 383 | 0.07% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ryan Binkley (withdrawn) | 377 | 0.06% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| David Stuckenberg | 243 | 0.04% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Doug Burgum (withdrawn) | 161 | 0.03% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Perry Johnson (withdrawn) | 134 | 0.02% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total: | 588,947 | 100.00% | 59 | 0 | 59 |
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[8] | Tossup | November 4, 2024 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[9] | Lean R(flip) | November 4, 2024 |
| Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[10] | Tossup | November 4, 2024 |
| CNN[11] | Tossup | November 4, 2024 |
| CNalysis[12] | Likely D | November 4, 2024 |
| The Economist[13] | Tossup | November 4, 2024 |
| 538[14] | Tossup | November 5, 2024 |
| Inside Elections[15] | Tossup | November 4, 2024 |
| NBC News[16] | Tossup | November 4, 2024 |
On July 29, 2024, the state added another way to cancel a voter's registration through an online portal, which has drawn criticism from groups likeFair Fight Action, who worried that it would be abused.[17] By August 5, cybersecurity researcher Jason Parker discovered a vulnerability in Georgia's voter cancellation portal that allowed users to bypass the requirement for a driver's license number, enabling the submission of voter registration cancellations with minimal, publicly available information. The discovery drew attention to weaknesses in the system and the importance of continued efforts to secure election infrastructure.[18][19]
In August 2024, the Georgia State Elections Board enacted two new rules that could deputize local election officials more discretion on whether they certify the election, contrary to state and national precedent. The Democratic party has filed a lawsuit to stop the new rules from taking effect,[20][21] which a judge agreed with on October 16, blocking the new rule.[22]
Votes forClaudia De la Cruz andCornel West were not counted even though they appeared on the ballot.[23] After an administrative law judge disqualified Claudia De la Cruz and Cornel West from the ballot due to their electors not registering in their own name, Secretary of StateBrad Raffensperger overruled the judge on August 29, 2024.Republicans have been working to get West and De la Cruz on the ballot, while Democrats have been working to keep them off.[24] If the ruling were upheld, it would be the first time since 1946 that more than four candidates would be on the ballot.[24] On September 12, 2024, a judge disqualified both West and De la Cruz from running for president in Georgia.[25] On September 25, theGeorgia Supreme Court unanimously confirmed the ruling, keeping votes for De la Cruz and West from counting even though Raffensperger kept both on the ballot, saying there was not enough time to reprint the ballots.[23]
In early 2023,Georgia's state legislature denied theGeorgia Secretary of State's $25 million request to implement the 2022 security update forDominion Voting Systems machines before the 2024 elections. However, QR codes will be eliminated by 2026 in favor of text the voter can read to ensure their ballot was marked correctly. Audits will be used to gauge how the machines are faring in 2024.[26]
As of October 2024[update], the Georgia State Election Board recommended that specific people serve as election monitors in Fulton County despite having no authority to make this recommendation. Each county decides who monitors each election precinct.[27]
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Kamala Harris Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided [a] | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 270ToWin[28] | October 22 – November 4, 2024 | November 5, 2024 | 47.5% | 48.7% | 3.8% | Trump +1.2% |
| 538[29] | through November 4, 2024 | November 5, 2024 | 47.5% | 48.2% | 4.3% | Trump +0.7% |
| Silver Bulletin[30] | through November 4, 2024 | November 5, 2024 | 47.9% | 48.9% | 3.2% | Trump +1.0% |
| The Hill/DDHQ[31] | through November 4, 2024 | November 5, 2024 | 47.9% | 49.6% | 2.5% | Trump +1.7% |
| Average | 47.7% | 48.9% | 3.4% | Trump +1.2% | ||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Kamala Harris Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HarrisX[32] | November 3–5, 2024 | 1,880 (RV) | ± 2.3% | 45% | 48% | 7% |
| 49%[c] | 51% | – | ||||
| 1,659 (LV) | 47% | 49% | 4% | |||
| 48%[c] | 52% | – | ||||
| AtlasIntel[33] | November 3–4, 2024 | 1,112 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 50% | 2% |
| InsiderAdvantage (R)[34] | November 2–3, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 48% | 49% | 3%[d] |
| Patriot Polling[35] | November 1–3, 2024 | 818 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 50% | 1% |
| AtlasIntel[36] | November 1–2, 2024 | 1,174 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 50% | 2% |
| Emerson College[37] | October 30 – November 2, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 49% | 50% | 1%[e] |
| 49%[c] | 50% | 1%[e] | ||||
| The New York Times/Siena College[38] | October 24 – November 2, 2024 | 1,004 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 46% | 46% | 8% |
| 1,004 (LV) | 48% | 47% | 5% | |||
| ActiVote[39] | October 15 – November 2, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 49% | 51% | – |
| AtlasIntel[40] | October 30–31, 2024 | 1,212 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 50% | 2% |
| YouGov[41][A] | October 25–31, 2024 | 984 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 48% | 50% | 2% |
| 939 (LV) | 48% | 50% | 2% | |||
| Morning Consult[42] | October 21–30, 2024 | 1,009 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 50% | 2% |
| AtlasIntel[43] | October 25–29, 2024 | 1,429 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 51% | 1% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R)[44][B] | October 25–28, 2024 | 910 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 51% | 3%[f] |
| SoCal Strategies (R)[45][C] | October 26–27, 2024 | 658 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 49% | 50% | 1% |
| Trafalgar Group (R)[46] | October 24–26, 2024 | 1,087 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 46% | 48% | 6%[d] |
| CES/YouGov[47] | October 1–25, 2024 | 2,682 (A) | – | 48% | 49% | 3% |
| 2,663 (LV) | 46% | 51% | 3% | |||
| National Public Affairs[48] | October 21–24, 2024 | 829 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 47% | 49% | 4% |
| Marist College[49] | October 17–22, 2024 | 1,356 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 48% | 3%[g] |
| 1,193 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 49% | 49% | 2%[g] | ||
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[50] | October 16–20, 2024 | 914 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 49% | 3% |
| 855 (LV) | 48% | 50% | 2% | |||
| AtlasIntel[51] | October 12–17, 2024 | 1,411 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 50% | 2% |
| ActiVote[52] | October 1–17, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 49% | 51% | – |
| TIPP Insights[53][D] | October 14–16, 2024 | 1,029 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 46% | 5% |
| 813 (LV) | 48% | 49% | 3% | |||
| InsiderAdvantage (R)[54] | October 14–15, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 47% | 49% | 4%[f] |
| Morning Consult[42] | October 6–15, 2024 | 1,002 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 49% | 3% |
| The Washington Post/Schar School[55] | September 30 – October 15, 2024 | 730 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 50% | 44% | 6% |
| 730 (LV) | 51% | 46% | 3% | |||
| Quinnipiac University[56] | October 10–14, 2024 | 1,328 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 46% | 52% | 2% |
| RMG Research[57][E] | October 7–10, 2024 | 731 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 47% | 49% | 4%[h] |
| 47% | 50% | 3% | ||||
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)/McLaughlin & Associates (R)[58][F] | October 6–9, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 45% | 50% | 5% |
| Trafalgar Group (R)[59] | October 7–8, 2024 | 1,089 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 45% | 46% | 9%[i] |
| Emerson College[60] | October 5–8, 2024 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 49% | 3%[e] |
| 50%[c] | 50% | – | ||||
| The Wall Street Journal[61] | September 28 – October 8, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 48% | 46% | 6% |
| OnMessage Inc. (R)[62][G] | September 24 – October 2, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
| InsiderAdvantage (R)[63] | September 29–30, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 48% | 48% | 4%[d] |
| Quinnipiac University[64] | September 25–29, 2024 | 942 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 45% | 50% | 5% |
| Global Strategy Group (D)/North Star Opinion Research (R)[65][H] | September 23–29, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 47% | 47% | 6% |
| AtlasIntel[66] | September 20–25, 2024 | 1,200 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 50% | 1% |
| Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[67] | September 19–25, 2024 | 411 (LV) | – | 47% | 49% | 4% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[68] | September 19–25, 2024 | 989 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 47% | 5% |
| 913 (LV) | 49% | 49% | 2% | |||
| Fox News[69] | September 20−24, 2024 | 1,006 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 48% | 1% |
| 707 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 51% | 48% | 1% | ||
| CBS News/YouGov[70] | September 20–24, 2024 | 1,441 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 51% | – |
| Marist College[71] | September 19−24, 2024 | 1,420 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 49% | 48% | 3%[g] |
| 1,220 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 49% | 50% | 1%[g] | ||
| The Bullfinch Group[72][I] | September 20–23, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 47% | 4% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R)[73][B] | September 19–22, 2024 | 1,152 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 50% | 3% |
| 47%[c] | 51% | 2% | ||||
| The New York Times/Siena College[74] | September 17–21, 2024 | 682 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 44% | 48% | 8% |
| 682 (LV) | 45% | 49% | 6% | |||
| TIPP Insights[75][D] | September 16–18, 2024 | 1,046 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 45% | 7% |
| 835 (LV) | 48% | 48% | 9% | |||
| Emerson College[76] | September 15–18, 2024 | 975 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 47% | 50% | 3%[j] |
| 48%[c] | 50% | 2%[j] | ||||
| Morning Consult[42] | September 9−18, 2024 | 1,347 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 49% | 3% |
| Trafalgar Group (R)[77] | September 11–13, 2024 | 1,098 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 45% | 46% | 9% |
| ActiVote[78] | August 8 – September 10, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 50% | 50% | – |
| Quinnipiac University[79] | September 4–8, 2024 | 969 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 46% | 49% | 5% |
| Morning Consult[42] | August 30 – September 8, 2024 | 1,405 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 48% | 4% |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[80] | September 5–6, 2024 | 647 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 44% | 47% | 9%[k] |
| 567 (LV) | 45% | 47% | 8%[l] | |||
| Patriot Polling[81] | September 1–3, 2024 | 814 (RV) | – | 48% | 49% | 3% |
| InsiderAdvantage (R)[82] | August 29–31, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 48% | 48% | 4%[l] |
| Emerson College[83] | August 25–28, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 49% | 48% | 3%[e] |
| 50%[c] | 49% | 1%[e] | ||||
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[84] | August 23–26, 2024 | 737 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 50% | 47% | 3% |
| 801 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 47% | 4% | ||
| Fox News[85] | August 23–26, 2024 | 1,014 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 48% | 2% |
| Institute for Global Affairs/YouGov[86] | August 15–22, 2024 | 350 (A) | ± 6.6% | 43% | 42% | 15%[m] |
| Spry Strategies (R)[87][J] | August 14–20, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 49% | 2% |
| Focaldata[88] | August 6–16, 2024 | 651 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 48% | 52% | – |
| The New York Times/Siena College[89] | August 9–14, 2024 | 661 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 51% | 5% |
| 661 (LV) | 46% | 50% | 4% | |||
| Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[90] | July 26 – August 8, 2024 | 405 (LV) | – | 48% | 48% | 4% |
| Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[91][K] | July 24–31, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 48% | 4% |
| Trafalgar Group (R)/InsiderAdvantage (R)[92] | July 29–30, 2024 | – (LV) | ± 3.5% | 47% | 49% | 4% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[93][L] | July 29–30, 2024 | 662 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 48% | 47% | 5% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[94] | July 24–28, 2024 | 799 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 47% | 5% |
| SoCal Strategies (R)[95][M] | July 25–26, 2024 | 505 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 50% | 4% |
| Emerson College[96] | July 22–23, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 46% | 48% | 6% |
| 49%[c] | 51% | – | ||||
| Landmark Communications[97] | July 22, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 47% | 48% | 5% |
| July 21, 2024 | Kamala Harris declaresher candidacy. | |||||
| University of Georgia School of Public and International Affairs[98][N] | July 9–18, 2024 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 46% | 51% | 3% |
| InsiderAdvantage (R)[99][O] | July 15–16, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 37% | 47% | 16% |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[100] | July 12–15, 2024 | 640 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 42% | 46% | 12% |
| 549 (LV) | 43% | 49% | 8% | |||
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[101] | May 7–13, 2024 | 795 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | 49% | 10% |
| Emerson College[102] | February 14–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | 51% | 8% |
| The New York Times/Siena College[103] | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 629 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 44% | 45% | 11% |
| 629 (LV) | 44% | 47% | 9% | |||
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Kamala Harris Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Jill Stein Green | Cornel West Independent | Chase Oliver Libertarian | Other/ Undecided [a] | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Race to the WH[104] | through October 22, 2024 | October 22, 2024 | 47.4% | 48.7% | 0.8% | — | 0.9% | 2.2% | Trump +1.3% |
| 270ToWin[105] | October 16–22, 2024 | October 22, 2024 | 45.8% | 49.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 3.8% | Trump +3.4% |
| Average | 46.6% | 49.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.8% | 2.9% | Trump +2.4% | ||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Kamala Harris Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Cornel West Independent | Jill Stein Green | Chase Oliver Libertarian | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HarrisX[32] | November 3–5, 2024 | 1,880 (RV) | ± 2.3% | 45% | 47% | 1% | 1% | – | 6% |
| 48%[c] | 49% | 2% | 1% | – | – | ||||
| 1,659 (LV) | 47% | 48% | 1% | 1% | – | 3% | |||
| 48%[c] | 50% | 1% | 1% | – | – | ||||
| AtlasIntel[33] | November 3–4, 2024 | 1,112 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 48% | – | 1% | 1% | 2%[d] |
| AtlasIntel[36] | November 1–2, 2024 | 1,174 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 49% | – | 2% | 1% | 1%[d] |
| The New York Times/Siena College[38] | October 24 – November 2, 2024 | 1,004 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 44% | 43% | 2% | 0% | 3% | 8% |
| 1,004 (LV) | 46% | 46% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 6% | |||
| Focaldata[106] | October 3 – November 1, 2024 | 1,850 (LV) | – | 48% | 49% | – | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| 1,627 (RV) | ± 2.3% | 50% | 47% | – | 1% | 1% | 1% | ||
| 1,850 (A) | – | 49% | 47% | – | 1% | 2% | 1% | ||
| AtlasIntel[40] | October 30–31, 2024 | 1,212 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 49% | – | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| East Carolina University[107] | October 28–31, 2024 | 902 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 50% | – | 0% | 1% | – |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[108] | October 28–31, 2024 | 1,779 (LV) | – | 47% | 48% | – | 0% | 1% | 4% |
| Data for Progress (D)[109] | October 25–31, 2024 | 792 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 48% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 2% |
| YouGov[41][A] | October 25–31, 2024 | 984 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 46% | 48% | 1% | 1% | – | 4% |
| 939 (LV) | 47% | 48% | 0% | 0% | – | 5% | |||
| AtlasIntel[43] | October 25–29, 2024 | 1,429 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 50% | – | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| CNN/SSRS[110] | October 23–28, 2024 | 732 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 47% | 48% | – | 1% | 1% | 3% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[111] | October 25–27, 2024 | 1,112 (LV) | – | 47% | 48% | – | 0% | 1% | 4% |
| The Citadel[112] | October 17–25, 2024 | 1,218 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 47% | 48% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 3% |
| 1,126 (LV) | 47% | 49% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 3% | |||
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[113] | October 20–22, 2024 | 1,168 (LV) | – | 47% | 48% | – | 0% | 1% | 4% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[50] | October 16–20, 2024 | 914 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 47% | – | 0% | 2% | 3% |
| 855 (LV) | 48% | 49% | – | 0% | 1% | 2% | |||
| University of Georgia School of Public and International Affairs[114][N] | October 7–16, 2024 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 43% | 47% | – | 0% | 0% | 10%[n] |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[115] | October 16–18, 2024 | 1,019 (LV) | – | 47% | 48% | – | 1% | 1% | 3% |
| AtlasIntel[51] | October 12–17, 2024 | 1,411 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[116] | October 12–14, 2024 | 637 (LV) | – | 47% | 47% | – | 2% | 1% | 3% |
| Quinnipiac University[56] | October 10–14, 2024 | 1,328 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 45% | 52% | – | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| East Carolina University[117] | October 9–14, 2024 | 701 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 49% | – | 1% | 0% | 4% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[118] | October 8–9, 2024 | 608 (LV) | – | 47% | 48% | – | 1% | 1% | 3% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[119] | September 27 – October 2, 2024 | 3,783 (LV) | – | 47% | 47% | – | 1% | 1% | 4% |
| Quinnipiac University[64] | September 25–29, 2024 | 942 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 44% | 50% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 4%[o] |
| AtlasIntel[66] | September 20–25, 2024 | 1,200 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 49% | 0% | – | 0% | 2% |
| Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[67] | September 19–25, 2024 | 411 (LV) | – | 47% | 48% | – | 0% | – | 5% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[68] | September 19–25, 2024 | 989 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 47% | – | 0% | 3% | 2% |
| 913 (LV) | 48% | 48% | – | 0% | 2% | 2% | |||
| Fox News[69] | September 20−24, 2024 | 1,006 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 47% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| 707 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 50% | 48% | 1% | 1% | 1% | − | ||
| The New York Times/Siena College[74] | September 17–21, 2024 | 682 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 43% | 46% | – | 2% | 2% | 7% |
| 682 (LV) | 44% | 47% | – | 1% | 2% | 6% | |||
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[120] | September 16–19, 2024 | 1,043 (LV) | – | 46% | 48% | – | 1% | 1% | 4% |
| TIPP Insights[75][D] | September 16–18, 2024 | 1,046 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 46% | 44% | 2% | 1% | – | 7% |
| 835 (LV) | 48% | 48% | 1% | 1% | – | 2% | |||
| University of Georgia School of Public and International Affairs[121][N] | September 9–15, 2024 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 44% | 47% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 7%[p] |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[122] | September 6–9, 2024 | 562 (LV) | – | 47% | 49% | – | 1% | 0% | 3% |
| Quinnipiac University[79] | September 4–8, 2024 | 969 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 45% | 49% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 6%[o] |
| YouGov[123][A] | August 23 – September 3, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 45% | 47% | 0% | 0% | – | 8%[d] |
| CNN/SSRS[124] | August 23–29, 2024 | 617 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 48% | 47% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[125] | August 25–28, 2024 | 699 (LV) | – | 42% | 44% | – | 1% | 0% | 13% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[84] | August 23–26, 2024 | 737 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 46% | – | 1% | 3% | 2% |
| 801 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 46% | – | 1% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Fox News[85] | August 23–26, 2024 | 1,014 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 46% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Kamala Harris Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Cornel West Independent | Jill Stein Green | Chase Oliver Libertarian | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Wall Street Journal[61] | September 28 – October 8, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 46% | 45% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 7% |
| Global Strategy Group (D)/North Star Opinion Research (R)[65][H] | September 23–29, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 46% | 47% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 4% |
| August 23, 2024 | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspendshis presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump. | |||||||||
| Spry Strategies (R)[87][J] | August 14–20, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 48% | 2% | – | 1% | – | 2% |
| Focaldata[88] | August 6–16, 2024 | 651 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 45% | 49% | 2% | – | 0% | 0% | 4% |
| 651 (RV) | 46% | 47% | 3% | – | 0% | 0% | 4% | |||
| 651 (A) | 46% | 47% | 3% | – | 0% | 0% | 4% | |||
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[126] | August 12–15, 2024 | 692 (LV) | – | 46% | 46% | 2% | – | 0% | 0% | 6% |
| The New York Times/Siena College[89] | August 9–14, 2024 | 661 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 41% | 47% | 5% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 5% |
| 661 (LV) | 44% | 47% | 4% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 3% | |||
| Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[90] | July 26 – August 8, 2024 | 405 (LV) | – | 46% | 46% | 4% | 1% | 1% | – | 2% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[127] | July 31 – August 3, 2024 | 1,128 (LV) | – | 44% | 46% | 3% | – | 1% | 0% | 6% |
| Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[91][K] | July 24–31, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 46% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 3% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[94] | July 24–28, 2024 | 799 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 45% | 4% | – | 0% | 4% | 2% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[128] | July 22–24, 2024 | 1,180 (LV) | – | 42% | 47% | 3% | – | 1% | 0% | 7% |
| Emerson College[96] | July 22–23, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 43% | 46% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 5% |
| Landmark Communications[97] | July 22, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 44% | 46% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 5% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Kamala Harris Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| August 23, 2024 | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspendshis presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump. | ||||||
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[100] | July 12–15, 2024 | 640 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 37% | 46% | 8% | 9% |
| 549 (LV) | 38% | 49% | 6% | 7% | |||
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 21, 2024 | Joe Bidenwithdraws from the race. | |||||
| University of Georgia School of Public and International Affairs[98][N] | July 9–18, 2024 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 48% | 7% |
| Emerson College[129][P] | July 15–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | 47% | 12% |
| InsiderAdvantage (R)[99][O] | July 15–16, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[100] | July 12–15, 2024 | 981 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 43% | 49% | 8% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R)[130][Q] | July 5–12, 2024 | 1,015 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 48% | 9% |
| Echelon Insights[131][R] | July 1–8, 2024 | 608 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 45% | 49% | 6% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[132] | July 1–5, 2024 | 790 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 47% | 7% |
| Emerson College[133][P] | June 30 – July 2, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 47% | 11% |
| Emerson College[134] | June 13–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | 45% | 14% |
| 48%[c] | 52% | – | ||||
| Quinnipiac University[135] | May 30 – June 3, 2024 | 1,203 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 44% | 49% | 7% |
| Prime Group[136][S] | May 9–16, 2024 | 470 (RV) | – | 49% | 51% | – |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[101] | May 7–13, 2024 | 795 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
| Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[137] | May 6–13, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
| The New York Times/Siena College[138] | April 28 – May 9, 2024 | 604 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 39% | 49% | 12% |
| 604 (LV) | 41% | 50% | 9% | |||
| North Star Opinion Research (R)[139][T] | May 1–5, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 39% | 49% | 12% |
| Emerson College[140] | April 25–29, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
| 49%[c] | 51% | – | ||||
| John Zogby Strategies[141][U] | April 13–21, 2024 | 635 (LV) | – | 44% | 47% | 9% |
| Fox News[142] | April 11–16, 2024 | 1,128 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 51% | 4% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[143] | April 8–15, 2024 | 802 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 49% | 8% |
| The Wall Street Journal[144] | March 17–24, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 44% | 13% |
| Echelon Insights[145][V] | March 12–19, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 42% | 52% | 6% |
| Marist College[146] | March 11–14, 2024 | 1,177 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 47% | 51% | 2% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[147] | March 8–12, 2024 | 788 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 49% | 9% |
| CBS News/YouGov[148] | March 4–11, 2024 | 1,133 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 48% | 51% | 1% |
| Emerson College[149] | March 5–7, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 46% | 12% |
| 48%[c] | 52% | – | ||||
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[150] | February 12–20, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 49% | 8% |
| Emerson College[102] | February 14–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 48% | 10% |
| Fox News[151] | January 26–30, 2024 | 1,119 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 51% | 6% |
| Focaldata[152] | January 17–23, 2024 | 887 (A) | – | 36% | 45% | 19%[q] |
| – (LV) | 39% | 47% | 14%[r] | |||
| – (LV) | 48%[c] | 52% | – | |||
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[153] | January 16–21, 2024 | 798 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | 49% | 10% |
| Atlanta Journal-Constitution[154] | January 3–11, 2024 | 1,007 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 37% | 45% | 18% |
| CNN/SSRS[155] | November 30 – December 7, 2023 | 1,068 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 44% | 49% | 7% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[156] | November 27 – December 6, 2023 | 801 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 49% | 8% |
| J.L. Partners[157][W] | November 27 – December 1, 2023 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 44% | 46% | 10% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[158] | October 30 – November 7, 2023 | 803 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | 48% | 11% |
| Emerson College[159] | October 30 – November 4, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 47% | 14% |
| University of Georgia School of Public and International Affairs[160][N] | October 30 – November 3, 2023 | 1,002 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 44% | 45% | 11% |
| The New York Times/Siena College[103] | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 629 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 43% | 49% | 8% |
| 629 (LV) | 44% | 49% | 7% | |||
| Zogby Analytics[161] | October 9–12, 2023 | 628 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 49% | 51% | – |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[162] | October 5–10, 2023 | 801 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 48% | 9% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[163] | October 7–9, 2023 | 761 (LV) | – | 40% | 43% | 17% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R)[164] | September 8–11, 2023 | 1,061 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 38% | 47% | 15% |
| Prime Group[165][S] | June 14–28, 2023 | 500 (RV) | – | 48% | 52% | – |
| 36% | 45% | 19%[s] | ||||
| Cygnal (R)[166][X] | June 5–7, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 41% | 42% | 17% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[167][Y] | May 15–17, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 43% | 13% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[168][Y] | April 25–27, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 43% | 13% |
| Emerson College[169] | November 28–30, 2022 | 888 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 44% | 43% | 13% |
| University of Massachusetts Lowell[170] | November 18–28, 2022 | 1,300 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 47% | 43% | 7% |
| Targoz Market Research[171] | November 2–6, 2022 | 579 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 52% | 5% |
| Emerson College[172] | October 28–31, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R)[173] | October 23–24, 2022 | 1,053 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 39% | 47% | 14% |
| Emerson College[174] | October 6–7, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 45% | 12% |
| Echelon Insights[175][R] | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 751 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 47% | 45% | 8% |
| Emerson College[176] | August 28–29, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 46% | 51% | 3% |
| PEM Management Corporation (R)[177][Z] | July 22–24, 2022 | 300 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 40% | 48% | 12% |
| East Carolina University[178] | June 6–9, 2022 | 868 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 40% | 47% | 13% |
| Blueprint Polling (D)[179] | March 2–8, 2022 | 662 (V) | ± 3.9% | 36% | 50% | 14% |
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[180][F] | November 11–16, 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 48% | 7% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Cornel West Independent | Jill Stein Green | Other / Undecided | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 21, 2024 | Joe Bidenwithdraws from the race. | |||||||||
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[181] | July 16–18, 2024 | 618 (LV) | – | 40% | 45% | 5% | – | 0% | 10%[t] | |
| Emerson College[129][P] | July 15–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 39% | 44% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 8% | |
| Rasmussen Reports (R)[130][Q] | July 5–12, 2024 | 1,015 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 39% | 44% | 10% | 1% | 0% | 6% | |
| YouGov[182][A] | July 4–12, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 40% | 44% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 14% | |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[183] | July 8–10, 2024 | 433 (LV) | – | 40% | 46% | 6% | – | 1% | 7%[t] | |
| Echelon Insights[131][R] | July 1–8, 2024 | 608 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 39% | 45% | 7% | 2% | 2% | 5%[u] | |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[132] | July 1–5, 2024 | 790 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 44% | 7% | 1% | 0% | 6% | |
| Emerson College[134] | June 13–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 37% | 45% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 10% | |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[184] | June 8–11, 2024 | 471 (LV) | – | 39% | 44% | 6% | – | 0% | 11%[t] | |
| Quinnipiac University[135] | May 30 – June 3, 2024 | 1,203 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 37% | 43% | 8% | 3% | 2% | 7%[v] | |
| Prime Group[136][S] | May 9–16, 2024 | 470 (RV) | – | 41% | 42% | 11% | 5% | 1% | – | |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[101] | May 7–13, 2024 | 795 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 39% | 44% | 8% | 1% | 1% | 7% | |
| Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[137] | May 6–13, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 38% | 42% | 10% | 2% | 1% | 7% | |
| The New York Times/Siena College[138] | April 28 – May 9, 2024 | 604 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 31% | 39% | 9% | 0% | 1% | 20%[w] | |
| 604 (LV) | 34% | 42% | 8% | 0% | 0% | 16%[x] | ||||
| Emerson College[140] | April 25–29, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 39% | 45% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 8% | |
| Fox News[142] | April 11–16, 2024 | 1,128 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 39% | 46% | 7% | 1% | 2% | 5% | |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[143] | April 8–15, 2024 | 802 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 45% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 6% | |
| The Wall Street Journal[144] | March 17–24, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 35% | 38% | 8% | 2% | 1% | 16% | |
| Emerson College[149] | March 5–7, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 37% | 44% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 11% | |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[147] | March 8–12, 2024 | 788 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 38% | 45% | 7% | 2% | 0% | 8% | |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[150] | February 12–20, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 38% | 45% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 9% | |
| Emerson College[102] | February 14–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 36% | 45% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 11% | |
| Fox News[151] | January 26–30, 2024 | 1,119 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 37% | 45% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 6% | |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[185] | January 16–21, 2024 | 798 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 37% | 44% | 8% | 1% | 1% | 11% | |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[186] | November 27 – December 6, 2023 | 801 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 37% | 44% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 10% | |
| J.L. Partners[157][W] | November 27 – December 1, 2023 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 41% | 45% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 10%[y] | |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 21, 2024 | Joe Bidenwithdraws from the race. | ||||||
| P2 Insights[187][AA] | June 11–20, 2024 | 650 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 35% | 45% | 6% | 14% |
| University of Georgia School of Public and International Affairs[188][N] | June 11–20, 2024 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 38% | 43% | 9% | 10%[u] |
| P2 Insights[189][AA] | May 13−21, 2024 | 650 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 39% | 43% | 7% | 11% |
| North Star Opinion Research (R)[139][T] | May 1–5, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 33% | 41% | 13% | 13% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[190] | May 2–4, 2024 | 610 (LV) | – | 38% | 43% | 5% | 14% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[191] | March 14–17, 2024 | 760 (LV) | – | 41% | 44% | 6% | 9% |
| Marist College[146] | March 11–14, 2024 | 1,177 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 40% | 45% | 14% | 1% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[192] | December 28–30, 2023 | 953 (LV) | – | 34% | 42% | 8% | 16% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[193] | November 27–29, 2023 | 746 (LV) | – | 35% | 45% | 7% | 14% |
| The New York Times/Siena College[194] | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 629 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 29% | 36% | 24% | 1% |
| 629 (LV) | 31% | 38% | 23% | 8% | |||
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[163] | October 7–9, 2023 | 761 (LV) | – | 38% | 41% | 8% | 13% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Cornel West Independent | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 21, 2024 | Joe Bidenwithdraws from the race. | |||||||
| CNN/SSRS[155] | November 30 – December 7, 2023 | 1068 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 34% | 42% | 15% | 6% | 4% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[195] | October 30 – November 7, 2023 | 803 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 34% | 43% | 10% | 1% | 12% |
| Zogby Analytics[161] | October 9–12, 2023 | 628 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 36% | 44% | 15% | 5% | – |
Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Zogby Strategies[141][U] | April 13–21, 2024 | 635 (LV) | – | 41% | 45% | 14% |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Zogby Strategies[141][U] | April 13–21, 2024 | 635 (LV) | – | 43% | 43% | 14% |
Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Nikki Haley Republican | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CNN/SSRS[155] | November 30 – December 7, 2023 | 1,068 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 43% | 49% | 8% |
| University of Georgia School of Public and International Affairs[196][N] | October 30 – November 3, 2023 | 1,002 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 41% | 43% | 16% |
| The New York Times/Siena College[197] | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 629 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 40% | 43% | 17% |
| 629 (LV) | 40% | 45% | 15% |
Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Nikki Haley Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[193] | November 27–29, 2023 | 746 (LV) | – | 35% | 27% | 17% | 5% | 15% |
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Ron DeSantis Republican | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CNN/SSRS[155] | November 30 – December 7, 2023 | 1,068 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 48% | 45% | 7% |
| University of Georgia School of Public and International Affairs[196][N] | October 30 – November 3, 2023 | 1,002 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 43% | 42% | 15% |
| The New York Times/Siena College[197] | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 629 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 43% | 43% | 14% |
| 629 (LV) | 44% | 45% | 11% | |||
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[167][Y] | May 15–17, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 42% | 45% | – |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[168][Y] | April 25–27, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 42% | 47% | 11% |
| Emerson College[169] | November 28–30, 2022 | 888 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 43% | 47% | 10% |
| University of Massachusetts Lowell[170] | November 18–28, 2022 | 1,300 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 46% | 47% | 7% |
| Echelon Insights[175] | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 751 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 47% | 42% | 11% |
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Ron DeSantis Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[193] | November 27–29, 2023 | 746 (LV) | – | 36% | 34% | 14% | 4% | 12% |
Joe Biden vs. Mike Pence
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Mike Pence Republican | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[167][Y] | May 15–17, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 43% | – |
Joe Biden vs. generic Republican
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Generic Republican | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cygnal (R)[166][X] | June 5–7, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 38% | 48% | 14% |
Gavin Newsom vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Gavin Newsom Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[102] | February 14–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 32% | 51% | 17% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | 2,663,117 | 50.73% | +1.48% | ||
| Democratic | 2,548,017 | 48.53% | −0.94% | ||
| Libertarian | 20,684 | 0.39% | −0.85% | ||
| Green | 18,229 | 0.35% | +0.33% | ||
| Write-in | 858 | 0.02% | -0.02% | ||
| Total votes | 5,250,905 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
Two additional candidates,Party for Socialism and Liberation nomineeClaudia De la Cruz andindependentCornel West, were disqualified by theGeorgia Supreme Court after ballots were printed. Their names remained on the ballot, but votes for them did not count.[200]
| County | Donald Trump Republican | Kamala Harris Democratic | Various candidates Other parties | Margin | Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Appling | 6,761 | 81.13% | 1,560 | 18.72% | 13 | 0.15% | 5,201 | 62.41% | 8,334 |
| Atkinson | 2,350 | 76.87% | 700 | 22.90% | 7 | 0.23% | 1,650 | 53.97% | 3,057 |
| Bacon | 4,186 | 86.51% | 645 | 13.33% | 8 | 0.16% | 3,541 | 73.18% | 4,839 |
| Baker | 883 | 59.82% | 590 | 39.97% | 3 | 0.21% | 293 | 19.85% | 1,476 |
| Baldwin | 9,574 | 50.68% | 9,159 | 48.48% | 158 | 0.84% | 415 | 2.20% | 18,891 |
| Banks | 9,358 | 88.66% | 1,136 | 10.76% | 61 | 0.58% | 8,222 | 77.90% | 10,555 |
| Barrow | 30,730 | 69.59% | 12,949 | 29.32% | 478 | 1.09% | 17,781 | 40.27% | 44,157 |
| Bartow | 43,271 | 75.02% | 13,942 | 24.17% | 467 | 0.81% | 29,329 | 50.85% | 57,680 |
| Ben Hill | 4,281 | 65.85% | 2,199 | 33.83% | 21 | 0.32% | 2,082 | 32.02% | 6,501 |
| Berrien | 6,841 | 84.79% | 1,209 | 14.99% | 18 | 0.22% | 5,632 | 69.80% | 8,068 |
| Bibb | 26,658 | 38.29% | 42,172 | 60.58% | 785 | 1.13% | -15,514 | -22.29% | 69,615 |
| Bleckley | 4,685 | 77.51% | 1,339 | 22.15% | 20 | 0.34% | 3,346 | 55.36% | 6,044 |
| Brantley | 7,744 | 91.11% | 736 | 8.66% | 20 | 0.23% | 7,008 | 82.45% | 8,500 |
| Brooks | 4,560 | 63.25% | 2,629 | 36.46% | 21 | 0.29% | 1,931 | 26.79% | 7,210 |
| Bryan | 16,738 | 67.87% | 7,779 | 31.54% | 146 | 0.59% | 8,959 | 36.33% | 24,663 |
| Bulloch | 20,985 | 64.26% | 11,514 | 35.26% | 158 | 0.48% | 9,471 | 29.00% | 32,657 |
| Burke | 6,027 | 54.44% | 4,994 | 45.11% | 49 | 0.45% | 1,033 | 9.33% | 11,070 |
| Butts | 9,424 | 72.39% | 3,544 | 27.22% | 51 | 0.39% | 5,880 | 45.17% | 13,019 |
| Calhoun | 900 | 43.77% | 1,153 | 56.08% | 3 | 0.15% | -253 | -12.31% | 2,056 |
| Camden | 17,819 | 67.29% | 8,405 | 31.74% | 258 | 0.97% | 9,414 | 35.55% | 26,482 |
| Candler | 3,366 | 73.69% | 1,196 | 26.18% | 6 | 0.13% | 2,170 | 47.51% | 4,568 |
| Carroll | 42,536 | 70.01% | 17,634 | 29.02% | 586 | 0.97% | 24,902 | 40.99% | 60,756 |
| Catoosa | 27,150 | 77.36% | 7,704 | 21.95% | 243 | 0.69% | 19,446 | 55.41% | 35,097 |
| Charlton | 3,607 | 77.94% | 1,007 | 21.76% | 14 | 0.30% | 2,600 | 56.18% | 4,628 |
| Chatham | 57,336 | 40.37% | 82,758 | 58.26% | 1,949 | 1.37% | -25,422 | -17.89% | 142,043 |
| Chattahoochee | 982 | 57.97% | 703 | 41.50% | 9 | 0.53% | 279 | 16.47% | 1,694 |
| Chattooga | 8,769 | 81.91% | 1,896 | 17.71% | 41 | 0.38% | 6,873 | 64.20% | 10,706 |
| Cherokee | 112,142 | 68.97% | 48,838 | 30.04% | 1,611 | 0.99% | 63,304 | 38.93% | 162,591 |
| Clarke | 16,049 | 30.22% | 36,297 | 68.35% | 761 | 1.43% | -20,248 | -38.13% | 53,107 |
| Clay | 663 | 45.98% | 771 | 53.47% | 8 | 0.55% | -108 | -7.49% | 1,442 |
| Clayton | 16,877 | 14.98% | 94,203 | 83.62% | 1,571 | 1.40% | -77,326 | -68.64% | 112,651 |
| Clinch | 2,201 | 75.69% | 702 | 24.14% | 5 | 0.17% | 1,499 | 51.55% | 2,908 |
| Cobb | 168,679 | 41.66% | 228,404 | 56.42% | 7,776 | 1.92% | -59,725 | -14.76% | 404,859 |
| Coffee | 11,388 | 72.47% | 4,295 | 27.33% | 32 | 0.20% | 7,093 | 45.14% | 15,715 |
| Colquitt | 12,451 | 74.96% | 4,114 | 24.77% | 46 | 0.27% | 8,337 | 50.19% | 16,611 |
| Columbia | 53,657 | 62.26% | 31,624 | 36.69% | 901 | 1.05% | 22,033 | 25.57% | 86,182 |
| Cook | 5,374 | 73.05% | 1,956 | 26.59% | 27 | 0.36% | 3,418 | 46.46% | 7,357 |
| Coweta | 57,204 | 66.20% | 28,111 | 32.53% | 1,101 | 1.27% | 29,093 | 33.67% | 86,416 |
| Crawford | 4,742 | 74.79% | 1,582 | 24.95% | 16 | 0.26% | 3,160 | 49.84% | 6,340 |
| Crisp | 5,099 | 62.83% | 2,993 | 36.88% | 24 | 0.29% | 2,106 | 25.95% | 8,116 |
| Dade | 6,804 | 82.86% | 1,343 | 16.36% | 64 | 0.78% | 5,461 | 66.50% | 8,211 |
| Dawson | 16,115 | 82.12% | 3,350 | 17.07% | 158 | 0.81% | 12,765 | 65.05% | 19,623 |
| Decatur | 7,140 | 61.82% | 4,372 | 37.86% | 37 | 0.32% | 2,768 | 23.96% | 11,549 |
| DeKalb | 62,622 | 17.01% | 299,630 | 81.38% | 5,930 | 1.61% | -237,008 | -64.37% | 368,182 |
| Dodge | 6,249 | 74.84% | 2,081 | 24.92% | 20 | 0.24% | 4,168 | 49.92% | 8,350 |
| Dooly | 2,243 | 53.70% | 1,921 | 45.99% | 13 | 0.31% | 322 | 7.71% | 4,177 |
| Dougherty | 9,904 | 29.26% | 23,831 | 70.40% | 115 | 0.34% | -13,927 | -41.14% | 33,850 |
| Douglas | 23,996 | 33.72% | 46,240 | 64.99% | 917 | 1.29% | -22,244 | -31.27% | 71,153 |
| Early | 2,718 | 55.71% | 2,158 | 44.23% | 3 | 0.06% | 560 | 11.48% | 4,879 |
| Echols | 1,307 | 90.89% | 127 | 8.83% | 4 | 0.28% | 1,180 | 82.06% | 1,438 |
| Effingham | 26,943 | 74.23% | 9,144 | 25.19% | 210 | 0.58% | 17,799 | 49.04% | 36,297 |
| Elbert | 6,860 | 71.54% | 2,700 | 28.16% | 29 | 0.30% | 4,160 | 43.38% | 9,589 |
| Emanuel | 6,919 | 71.93% | 2,673 | 27.79% | 27 | 0.28% | 4,246 | 44.14% | 9,619 |
| Evans | 3,011 | 70.95% | 1,214 | 28.61% | 19 | 0.44% | 1,797 | 42.34% | 4,244 |
| Fannin | 13,232 | 81.89% | 2,807 | 17.37% | 119 | 0.74% | 10,425 | 64.52% | 16,158 |
| Fayette | 38,177 | 50.93% | 35,822 | 47.79% | 957 | 1.28% | 2,355 | 3.14% | 74,956 |
| Floyd | 31,631 | 70.70% | 12,862 | 28.75% | 245 | 0.55% | 18,769 | 41.95% | 44,738 |
| Forsyth | 91,281 | 65.91% | 45,509 | 32.86% | 1,711 | 1.23% | 45,772 | 33.05% | 138,501 |
| Franklin | 10,459 | 85.79% | 1,647 | 13.51% | 85 | 0.70% | 8,812 | 72.28% | 12,191 |
| Fulton | 144,655 | 26.80% | 384,752 | 71.29% | 10,290 | 1.91% | -240,097 | -44.49% | 539,697 |
| Gilmer | 14,976 | 80.95% | 3,413 | 18.45% | 111 | 0.60% | 11,563 | 62.50% | 18,500 |
| Glascock | 1,534 | 91.86% | 133 | 7.96% | 3 | 0.18% | 1,401 | 83.90% | 1,670 |
| Glynn | 27,558 | 62.62% | 16,144 | 36.69% | 303 | 0.69% | 11,414 | 25.93% | 44,005 |
| Gordon | 22,495 | 81.34% | 4,982 | 18.01% | 180 | 0.65% | 17,513 | 63.33% | 27,657 |
| Grady | 7,385 | 68.90% | 3,290 | 30.70% | 43 | 0.40% | 4,095 | 38.20% | 10,718 |
| Greene | 8,215 | 64.25% | 4,514 | 35.30% | 57 | 0.45% | 3,701 | 28.95% | 12,786 |
| Gwinnett | 173,041 | 41.12% | 242,507 | 57.63% | 5,270 | 1.25% | -69,466 | -16.51% | 420,818 |
| Habersham | 19,142 | 81.91% | 4,036 | 17.27% | 192 | 0.82% | 15,106 | 64.64% | 23,370 |
| Hall | 72,991 | 71.20% | 28,347 | 27.65% | 1,172 | 1.15% | 44,644 | 43.55% | 102,510 |
| Hancock | 1,364 | 32.17% | 2,864 | 67.55% | 12 | 0.28% | -1,500 | -35.38% | 4,240 |
| Haralson | 14,239 | 86.91% | 2,065 | 12.60% | 80 | 0.49% | 12,174 | 74.31% | 16,384 |
| Harris | 16,283 | 72.84% | 5,976 | 26.73% | 94 | 0.43% | 10,307 | 46.11% | 22,353 |
| Hart | 11,064 | 76.81% | 3,210 | 22.28% | 131 | 0.91% | 7,854 | 54.53% | 14,405 |
| Heard | 5,335 | 85.70% | 859 | 13.80% | 31 | 0.50% | 4,476 | 71.90% | 6,225 |
| Henry | 44,982 | 34.66% | 83,253 | 64.15% | 1,539 | 1.19% | -38,271 | -29.49% | 129,774 |
| Houston | 45,090 | 55.14% | 35,907 | 43.91% | 784 | 0.95% | 9,183 | 11.23% | 81,781 |
| Irwin | 3,340 | 76.92% | 986 | 22.71% | 16 | 0.37% | 2,354 | 54.21% | 4,342 |
| Jackson | 36,497 | 77.04% | 10,472 | 22.10% | 406 | 0.86% | 26,025 | 54.94% | 47,375 |
| Jasper | 7,203 | 78.89% | 1,881 | 20.60% | 46 | 0.51% | 5,322 | 58.29% | 9,130 |
| Jeff Davis | 4,935 | 84.04% | 924 | 15.74% | 13 | 0.22% | 4,011 | 68.30% | 5,872 |
| Jefferson | 3,765 | 50.24% | 3,674 | 49.03% | 55 | 0.73% | 91 | 1.21% | 7,494 |
| Jenkins | 2,217 | 64.88% | 1,179 | 34.50% | 21 | 0.62% | 1,038 | 30.38% | 3,417 |
| Johnson | 2,913 | 73.12% | 1,066 | 26.76% | 5 | 0.12% | 1,847 | 46.36% | 3,984 |
| Jones | 11,079 | 68.85% | 4,959 | 30.82% | 54 | 0.33% | 6,120 | 38.03% | 16,092 |
| Lamar | 7,575 | 72.75% | 2,795 | 26.84% | 42 | 0.41% | 4,780 | 45.91% | 10,412 |
| Lanier | 2,726 | 72.97% | 995 | 26.63% | 15 | 0.40% | 1,731 | 46.34% | 3,736 |
| Laurens | 15,460 | 66.20% | 7,820 | 33.49% | 72 | 0.31% | 7,640 | 32.71% | 23,352 |
| Lee | 12,655 | 71.38% | 4,957 | 27.96% | 118 | 0.66% | 7,698 | 43.42% | 17,730 |
| Liberty | 9,441 | 41.00% | 13,459 | 58.45% | 128 | 0.55% | -4,018 | -17.45% | 23,028 |
| Lincoln | 3,559 | 72.18% | 1,351 | 27.40% | 21 | 0.42% | 2,208 | 44.78% | 4,931 |
| Long | 4,557 | 64.58% | 2,476 | 35.09% | 23 | 0.33% | 2,081 | 29.49% | 7,056 |
| Lowndes | 28,081 | 58.47% | 19,487 | 40.57% | 462 | 0.96% | 8,594 | 17.90% | 48,030 |
| Lumpkin | 14,339 | 80.22% | 3,356 | 18.78% | 179 | 1.00% | 10,983 | 61.44% | 17,874 |
| Macon | 1,916 | 40.89% | 2,755 | 58.79% | 15 | 0.32% | -839 | -17.90% | 4,686 |
| Madison | 12,951 | 76.86% | 3,753 | 22.27% | 147 | 0.87% | 9,198 | 54.59% | 16,851 |
| Marion | 2,348 | 64.84% | 1,253 | 34.60% | 20 | 0.56% | 1,095 | 30.24% | 3,621 |
| McDuffie | 6,562 | 62.01% | 3,937 | 37.20% | 83 | 0.79% | 2,625 | 24.81% | 10,582 |
| McIntosh | 4,747 | 64.08% | 2,628 | 35.48% | 33 | 0.44% | 2,119 | 28.60% | 7,408 |
| Meriwether | 7,375 | 62.26% | 4,373 | 36.92% | 98 | 0.82% | 3,002 | 25.34% | 11,846 |
| Miller | 2,045 | 75.07% | 670 | 24.60% | 9 | 0.33% | 1,375 | 50.47% | 2,724 |
| Mitchell | 5,150 | 58.02% | 3,701 | 41.69% | 26 | 0.29% | 1,449 | 16.33% | 8,877 |
| Monroe | 12,954 | 73.17% | 4,689 | 26.49% | 61 | 0.34% | 8,265 | 46.68% | 17,704 |
| Montgomery | 3,033 | 76.34% | 927 | 23.33% | 13 | 0.33% | 2,106 | 53.01% | 3,973 |
| Morgan | 9,589 | 72.75% | 3,533 | 26.80% | 59 | 0.45% | 6,056 | 45.95% | 13,181 |
| Murray | 14,965 | 85.67% | 2,459 | 14.08% | 44 | 0.25% | 12,506 | 71.59% | 17,468 |
| Muscogee | 30,616 | 38.04% | 49,413 | 61.39% | 462 | 0.57% | -18,797 | -23.35% | 80,491 |
| Newton | 24,893 | 41.85% | 33,839 | 56.89% | 745 | 1.26% | -8,946 | -15.04% | 59,477 |
| Oconee | 18,424 | 67.31% | 8,620 | 31.49% | 326 | 1.20% | 9,804 | 35.82% | 27,370 |
| Oglethorpe | 6,255 | 70.90% | 2,515 | 28.51% | 52 | 0.59% | 3,740 | 42.39% | 8,822 |
| Paulding | 58,769 | 61.52% | 35,802 | 37.48% | 953 | 1.00% | 22,967 | 24.04% | 95,524 |
| Peach | 7,104 | 52.80% | 6,293 | 46.77% | 57 | 0.43% | 811 | 6.03% | 13,454 |
| Pickens | 17,281 | 82.62% | 3,522 | 16.84% | 112 | 0.54% | 13,759 | 65.78% | 20,915 |
| Pierce | 8,655 | 88.41% | 1,089 | 11.12% | 46 | 0.47% | 7,566 | 77.29% | 9,790 |
| Pike | 10,864 | 86.57% | 1,648 | 13.13% | 37 | 0.30% | 9,216 | 73.44% | 12,549 |
| Polk | 15,352 | 79.96% | 3,749 | 19.53% | 98 | 0.51% | 11,603 | 60.43% | 19,199 |
| Pulaski | 3,036 | 69.94% | 1,281 | 29.51% | 24 | 0.55% | 1,755 | 40.43% | 4,341 |
| Putnam | 9,136 | 70.95% | 3,696 | 28.70% | 45 | 0.35% | 5,440 | 42.25% | 12,877 |
| Quitman | 656 | 57.54% | 480 | 42.11% | 4 | 0.35% | 176 | 15.43% | 1,140 |
| Rabun | 8,151 | 77.69% | 2,222 | 21.18% | 119 | 1.13% | 5,929 | 56.51% | 10,492 |
| Randolph | 1,373 | 45.74% | 1,601 | 53.33% | 28 | 0.93% | -228 | -7.59% | 3,002 |
| Richmond | 26,472 | 31.67% | 56,657 | 67.79% | 449 | 0.54% | -30,185 | -36.12% | 83,578 |
| Rockdale | 11,711 | 25.75% | 33,165 | 72.94% | 595 | 1.31% | -21,454 | -47.19% | 45,471 |
| Schley | 1,970 | 81.14% | 453 | 18.66% | 5 | 0.20% | 1,517 | 62.48% | 2,428 |
| Screven | 4,325 | 62.50% | 2,581 | 37.30% | 14 | 0.20% | 1,744 | 25.20% | 6,920 |
| Seminole | 2,811 | 70.15% | 1,191 | 29.72% | 5 | 0.13% | 1,620 | 40.43% | 4,007 |
| Spalding | 19,184 | 57.77% | 13,679 | 41.19% | 345 | 1.04% | 5,505 | 16.58% | 33,208 |
| Stephens | 10,632 | 80.77% | 2,404 | 18.26% | 127 | 0.97% | 8,228 | 62.51% | 13,163 |
| Stewart | 847 | 41.77% | 1,177 | 58.04% | 4 | 0.19% | -330 | -16.27% | 2,028 |
| Sumter | 5,869 | 48.44% | 6,136 | 50.64% | 112 | 0.92% | -267 | -2.20% | 12,117 |
| Talbot | 1,483 | 43.89% | 1,888 | 55.87% | 8 | 0.24% | -405 | -11.98% | 3,379 |
| Taliaferro | 375 | 42.42% | 507 | 57.35% | 2 | 0.23% | -132 | -14.93% | 884 |
| Tattnall | 6,515 | 76.54% | 1,967 | 23.11% | 30 | 0.35% | 4,548 | 53.43% | 8,512 |
| Taylor | 2,600 | 65.29% | 1,366 | 34.30% | 16 | 0.41% | 1,234 | 30.99% | 3,982 |
| Telfair | 2,930 | 69.53% | 1,274 | 30.23% | 10 | 0.24% | 1,656 | 39.30% | 4,214 |
| Terrell | 2,075 | 47.80% | 2,253 | 51.90% | 13 | 0.30% | -178 | -4.10% | 4,341 |
| Thomas | 13,670 | 61.91% | 8,347 | 37.80% | 63 | 0.29% | 5,323 | 24.11% | 22,080 |
| Tift | 11,496 | 67.51% | 5,438 | 31.94% | 94 | 0.55% | 6,058 | 35.57% | 17,028 |
| Toombs | 8,208 | 75.22% | 2,674 | 24.51% | 30 | 0.27% | 5,534 | 50.71% | 10,912 |
| Towns | 7,155 | 80.96% | 1,649 | 18.66% | 34 | 0.38% | 5,506 | 62.30% | 8,838 |
| Treutlen | 2,250 | 72.09% | 864 | 27.68% | 7 | 0.23% | 1,386 | 44.41% | 3,121 |
| Troup | 19,392 | 61.95% | 11,757 | 37.56% | 155 | 0.49% | 7,635 | 24.39% | 31,304 |
| Turner | 2,457 | 64.10% | 1,365 | 35.61% | 11 | 0.29% | 1,092 | 28.49% | 3,833 |
| Twiggs | 2,549 | 57.20% | 1,895 | 42.53% | 12 | 0.27% | 654 | 14.67% | 4,456 |
| Union | 14,477 | 80.62% | 3,309 | 18.43% | 171 | 0.95% | 11,168 | 62.19% | 17,957 |
| Upson | 9,528 | 69.74% | 4,098 | 30.00% | 36 | 0.26% | 5,430 | 39.74% | 13,662 |
| Walker | 25,462 | 79.17% | 6,436 | 20.01% | 262 | 0.82% | 19,026 | 59.16% | 32,160 |
| Walton | 42,407 | 72.50% | 15,605 | 26.68% | 482 | 0.82% | 26,802 | 45.82% | 58,494 |
| Ware | 10,279 | 71.03% | 4,068 | 28.11% | 125 | 0.86% | 6,211 | 42.92% | 14,472 |
| Warren | 1,232 | 47.53% | 1,354 | 52.24% | 6 | 0.23% | -122 | -4.71% | 2,592 |
| Washington | 4,824 | 50.82% | 4,643 | 48.91% | 26 | 0.27% | 181 | 1.91% | 9,493 |
| Wayne | 10,811 | 79.72% | 2,708 | 19.97% | 42 | 0.31% | 8,103 | 59.75% | 13,561 |
| Webster | 790 | 59.13% | 544 | 40.72% | 2 | 0.15% | 246 | 18.41% | 1,336 |
| Wheeler | 1,648 | 72.41% | 622 | 27.33% | 6 | 0.26% | 1,026 | 45.08% | 2,276 |
| White | 14,136 | 83.73% | 2,609 | 15.45% | 138 | 0.82% | 11,527 | 68.28% | 16,883 |
| Whitfield | 28,655 | 71.75% | 10,953 | 27.43% | 330 | 0.82% | 17,702 | 44.32% | 39,938 |
| Wilcox | 2,493 | 74.48% | 847 | 25.31% | 7 | 0.21% | 1,646 | 49.17% | 3,347 |
| Wilkes | 2,971 | 58.28% | 2,112 | 41.43% | 15 | 0.29% | 859 | 16.85% | 5,098 |
| Wilkinson | 2,888 | 58.84% | 2,012 | 40.99% | 8 | 0.17% | 876 | 17.85% | 4,908 |
| Worth | 6,991 | 74.98% | 2,300 | 24.67% | 33 | 0.35% | 4,691 | 50.31% | 9,324 |
| Totals | 2,663,117 | 50.73% | 2,548,017 | 48.53% | 59,649 | 0.74% | 115,100 | 2.20% | 5,270,783 |
Source: Savannah Morning News[201]
Swing by county
County flipsDemocratic Hold | Republican Hold Gain from Democratic
|
Trump won nine of 14 congressional districts.[202]
| District | Trump | Harris | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 57.6% | 41.8% | Buddy Carter |
| 2nd | 46.0% | 53.6% | Sanford Bishop |
| 3rd | 64.6% | 34.9% | Drew Ferguson (118th Congress) |
| Brian Jack (119th Congress) | |||
| 4th | 23.2% | 75.7% | Hank Johnson |
| 5th | 13.7% | 85.3% | Nikema Williams |
| 6th | 24.6% | 74.6% | Lucy McBath |
| 7th | 60.5% | 38.4% | Rich McCormick |
| 8th | 65.1% | 34.5% | Austin Scott |
| 9th | 66.7% | 32.6% | Andrew Clyde |
| 10th | 60.1% | 39.3% | Mike Collins |
| 11th | 61.2% | 37.9% | Barry Loudermilk |
| 12th | 56.8% | 42.7% | Rick Allen |
| 13th | 28.4% | 70.7% | David Scott |
| 14th | 68.1% | 31.3% | Marjorie Taylor Greene |
Despite being located in the socially conservativeBible Belt andDeep South regions, Georgia has become competitive since the start of the 2020s. Having been a moderatelyred state in the late 2000s through the 2010s, Georgia is currently apurple to slightly red state, being a crucial battleground at the presidential andU.S. Senate levels while maintaining a Republican lean at the state level. The last Republican presidential candidate to win Georgia by a double-digit margin, and the only one to carry the state in consecutive elections, wasGeorge W. Bush. This leftward shift is mainly attributed to the rapid population growth that the progressive and diverseAtlanta metro, which holds the majority of the state's population, has experienced in the 21st century, including an influx ofAfrican Americans,Asian Americans,Hispanic Americans, and progressiveWhites. In2020,Joe Biden very narrowly carried the state by 0.23%, making Georgia the closest state in that election and making Biden the first Democrat sinceSouthernerBill Clinton in1992 to win the state's electoral votes. Before Biden'swithdrawal from the presidential race, Trump led virtually every poll in Georgia, with the state being generally considered as leaning Republican;[204] however, afterKamala Harris became the Democratic nominee, polls pointed to a much tighter race, rendering Georgia a tossup once again.[205]
This was the first presidential election since1988 that Georgia voted to the left ofNevada. Georgia also voted over 10% to the left ofFlorida (which was Trump's home state), and 1% to the left ofNorth Carolina. This highlighted Harris' strong performance with African American voters, in contrast to Trump's strong performance with Hispanic voters.
According to an analysis byThe Economist, this may have been because of a realignment of college-educated and native-born voters to Democrats, while non-college and foreign-born voters shifted to Republicans. This played out nationally, with Harris gaining among White women with college degrees and Black voters, while Trump gained among Whites without college degrees and Hispanic voters. Hispanic men may have voted to the right of White women nationwide, subject to exit poll margins of error.[206]
In theSouthern United States, racial polarization is stronger than educational polarization. Georgia voted less than 0.5% to the right of Pennsylvania, because the mathematics of educational polarization can benefit Democrats when combined with an inelastic base of Black voters (88-11% for Democrats). Georgia whites without college degrees are already extremely Republican (82-18% for Republicans), so Democrats just need to win enough college-educated Whites (57-43% for Republicans). Harris fell slightly short in 2024, butRaphael Warnock was able to win an outright majority in2022 by winning voters with graduate degrees 60-38% and losing all other educational groups.[207]
The leftward swings in many Georgia and North Carolina counties may have been related, as part of a leftward swing in thePiedmont Atlantic megaregion due toHurricane Helene. However, every county in the neighboring states of Florida, Alabama, Tennessee, and South Carolina swung rightward from 2020.
Trump narrowly flipped three Georgia counties in the Black Belt: theswing counties ofBaldwin andWashington (the latter of which is majority-Black), becoming the first presidential Republican to do so since George W. Bush in2004, as well asJefferson County (also majority-Black), which he became the first presidential Republican to win sinceGeorge H. W. Bush in1988. Trump is now the second Republican presidential candidate to prevail in Georgia more than once, following George W. Bush. However, despite Harris losing Georgia and the election, she managed to improve on Biden's margins in a fewAtlanta suburban counties, including but not limited toFayette, where her 3.1% defeat was the closest a presidential Democrat has come to winning the county sincefavorite sonJimmy Carter comfortably did so in1976;Henry, where her 29.7% victory was the best performance for a Democrat at said electoral level since the same election; andCherokee, where she became the first presidential Democrat to break more than 30% of the county vote since Carter in1980. Georgia, Maine, Nevada, North Carolina, Utah, and Wisconsin were the only six states where Harris received more votes than Biden in 2020. Of those, she made her greatest raw vote gain compared to Biden in Georgia, winning 75,000 more votes.
| 2024 presidential election in Georgia voter demographics[208] | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Demographic subgroup | Trump | Harris | % of total vote |
| Ideology | |||
| Liberals | 7 | 93 | 22 |
| Moderates | 41 | 58 | 40 |
| Conservatives | 88 | 12 | 38 |
| Party | |||
| Democrats | 2 | 97 | 34 |
| Republicans | 95 | 5 | 35 |
| Independents | 55 | 44 | 30 |
| Gender | |||
| Men | 56 | 43 | 46 |
| Women | 46 | 53 | 54 |
| Race/ethnicity | |||
| White | 71 | 28 | 59 |
| Black | 11 | 88 | 29 |
| Latino | 41 | 59 | 8 |
| Asian | n/a | n/a | 2 |
| All other races | 57 | 43 | 3 |
| Gender by race/ethnicity | |||
| White men | 75 | 24 | 28 |
| White women | 68 | 31 | 30 |
| Black men | 16 | 83 | 12 |
| Black women | 8 | 91 | 17 |
| Latino men | 43 | 56 | 4 |
| Latina women | 38 | 61 | 4 |
| All other races | 55 | 43 | 5 |
| White born-again or evangelical Christian? | |||
| Yes | 91 | 9 | 31 |
| No | 33 | 66 | 69 |
| Age | |||
| 18–29 years old | 38 | 61 | 18 |
| 30–44 years old | 45 | 54 | 25 |
| 45–64 years old | 56 | 43 | 35 |
| 65 and older | 60 | 39 | 22 |
| First time voter | |||
| Yes | 47 | 53 | 8 |
| No | 53 | 47 | 92 |
| 2020 presidential vote | |||
| Biden | 6 | 93 | 42 |
| Trump | 97 | 3 | 43 |
| Another candidate | n/a | n/a | 2 |
| Did not vote | 41 | 57 | 11 |
| Education | |||
| No college degree | 56 | 43 | 60 |
| College graduate | 43 | 56 | 40 |
| Educational attainment | |||
| Never attended college | 65 | 34 | 18 |
| Some college | 55 | 44 | 27 |
| Associate degree | 47 | 52 | 16 |
| Bachelor's degree | 48 | 51 | 22 |
| Advanced degree | 37 | 63 | 17 |
| Education by race | |||
| White college graduates | 57 | 43 | 25 |
| White no college degree | 82 | 18 | 34 |
| Non-white college graduates | 20 | 78 | 15 |
| Non-white no college degree | 22 | 77 | 26 |
| Education by gender among White voters | |||
| White college graduate women | 49 | 51 | 12 |
| White women no degree | 82 | 18 | 18 |
| White college graduate men | 65 | 34 | 12 |
| White men no degree | 82 | 17 | 16 |
| Voters of color | 21 | 77 | 41 |
| Area type | |||
| Urban | 33 | 66 | 23 |
| Suburban | 53 | 47 | 58 |
| Rural | 66 | 33 | 19 |
| Biden job approval | |||
| Strongly disapprove | 97 | 3 | 47 |
| Somewhat disapprove | 39 | 60 | 11 |
| Somewhat approve | 7 | 93 | 25 |
| Strongly approve | 1 | 98 | 16 |
| Feeling about the way things are going in U.S. | |||
| Angry | 82 | 17 | 24 |
| Dissatisfied | 57 | 42 | 47 |
| Satisfied | 15 | 84 | 21 |
| Enthusiastic | 6 | 94 | 6 |
| Quality of candidate that mattered most | |||
| Has ability to lead | 70 | 29 | 32 |
| Can bring needed change | 74 | 25 | 26 |
| Has good judgment | 19 | 79 | 18 |
| Cares about people like me | 19 | 80 | 21 |
| Vote for president mainly | |||
| For your candidate | 53 | 47 | 80 |
| Against their opponent | 42 | 56 | 19 |
| Issue regarded as most important | |||
| Democracy | 18 | 82 | 28 |
| Economy | 73 | 26 | 40 |
| Abortion | 22 | 76 | 14 |
| Immigration | 81 | 18 | 13 |
| Foreign policy | n/a | n/a | 4 |
| Democracy threatened in the United States | |||
| Democracy in the U.S. very threatened | 62 | 37 | 32 |
| Democracy in the U.S. somewhat threatened | 50 | 49 | 36 |
| Democracy in the U.S. somewhat secure | 41 | 57 | 23 |
| Democracy in the U.S. very secure | 29 | 70 | 7 |
| Confident election being conducted fairly and accurately | |||
| Very confident | 28 | 71 | 39 |
| Somewhat confident | 61 | 38 | 41 |
| Not very confident | 82 | 18 | 13 |
| Not at all confident | n/a | n/a | 5 |
| Condition of the nation's economy | |||
| Poor | 90 | 10 | 33 |
| Not so good | 49 | 50 | 40 |
| Good | 8 | 91 | 24 |
| Excellent | n/a | n/a | 3 |
| Family's financial situation today | |||
| Worse than four years ago | 76 | 24 | 53 |
| About the same | 28 | 71 | 28 |
| Better than four years ago | 14 | 85 | 18 |
| Abortion should be | |||
| Legal in all cases | 11 | 89 | 33 |
| Legal in most cases | 49 | 50 | 29 |
| Illegal in most cases | 93 | 7 | 28 |
| Illegal in all cases | 92 | 8 | 7 |
| Who do you trust more to handle racial issues? | |||
| Harris | 6 | 94 | 49 |
| Trump | 99 | 1 | 48 |
Partisan clients
Just as in the United States, working-class and immigrant voters swung right
The brightest spots for the Democratic Party are likely to be found in North Carolina and Georgia, both of which have a very high concentration of suburban college-educated whites. While the demographic is still staunchly Republican in both states, it has also seen sharp shifts left over the last few cycles. Meanwhile, the heavily-white rural areas in these states already being deep-red means that there are not nearly as many Biden-voting, non-college white voters left for the GOP to flip. Democrats thus have a fairly high amount of upside among white voters in these two states, and if educational polarization continues to increase, they should continue to make sizable gains through flipping a substantial amount of college-educated whites who voted for Donald Trump. This would greatly boost their chances of turning the two rapidly-growing states reliably blue.
State and district results of the2024 United States presidential election | ||
|---|---|---|
|  | |
.jpg)
.jpg)
