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| Turnout | 55.80% 4.87pp | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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 Borough results State House district results State Senate district results Precinct results
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| Elections in Alaska |
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The2024 United States presidential election in Alaska took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus theDistrict of Columbia participated.Alaska voters chose electors to represent them in theElectoral College via a popular vote. The state of Alaska has 3 electoral votes in the Electoral College, followingreapportionment due to the2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.[1] This was the first presidential election following the state's adoption ofMeasure 2, which institutesranked-choice voting for all statewide general elections.[2]
While Republicans were still heavily favored to carry the state in 2024, Alaska has shifted closer to the center since the 2010s and is now considered a moderatelyred state. Trump won Alaska by 13.13%, an improvement from his 10.1% win in 2020, though lower than his 14.7% victory in 2016.
The Alaska Republican caucuses were held onSuper Tuesday, March 5, 2024.
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
| Donald Trump | 9,243 | 87.58% | 29 | 29 | |
| Nikki Haley | 1,266 | 12.00% | |||
| Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn) | 45 | 0.43% | |||
| Total: | 10,554 | 100.00% | 29 | 29 | |
The Alaska Democratic caucus was held on April 13, 2024. Joe Biden was the only person on the ballot and won the caucus viavoice vote with 15 pledged delegates.[4][5]
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
| Joe Biden (incumbent) | Voice vote | 15 | 15 | ||
| Total: | 15 | 15 | |||
The following candidates qualified for the general election:[7]
Voters did not have the option to write in candidates for president and vice president. This was the first presidential election in Alaska to useranked choice (instant runoff) voting.[8]
Independent candidateCornel West appeared on the ballot as the nominee of the Aurora Party, a party that only exists in Alaska and only has ballot access for presidential elections.[9]
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[10] | Solid R | December 19, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[11] | Solid R | April 26, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] | Safe R | June 13, 2024 |
| Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[13] | Safe R | August 26, 2024 |
| CNalysis[14] | Very Likely R | September 15, 2024 |
| CNN[15] | Solid R | January 14, 2024 |
| The Economist[16] | Safe R | November 3, 2024 |
| 538[17] | Likely R | June 11, 2024 |
| NBC News[18] | Safe R | October 6, 2024 |
| YouGov[19] | Solid R | November 1, 2024 |
| Split Ticket[20] | Likely R | November 1, 2024 |
Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[c] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Kamala Harris Democratic | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaska Survey Research[21] | October 20–22, 2024 | 1,703 (LV) | ± 2.4% | 55% | 45% | – |
| Alaska Survey Research[22] | October 8–9, 2024 | 1,254 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 54% | 46% | – |
| Cygnal (R)[23][A] | August 30 – September 1, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 53% | 43% | 4% |
Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[c] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Kamala Harris Democratic | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaska Survey Research[21] | October 20–22, 2024 | 1,703 (LV) | ± 2.4% | 51% | 43% | 7% | – |
| Alaska Survey Research[22] | October 8–9, 2024 | 1,254 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 50% | 43% | 7% | – |
| Alaska Survey Research[24] | September 27–29, 2024 | 1,182 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 52% | 43% | 6% | – |
| Alaska Survey Research[25] | September 11–12, 2024 | 1,254 (LV) | – | 47% | 42% | 5% | 6% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[c] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 21, 2024 | Joe Bidenwithdraws from the race. | |||||
| John Zogby Strategies[26][B] | April 13–21, 2024 | 248 (LV) | – | 50% | 43% | 7% |
| Data for Progress (D)[27] | February 23 – March 2, 2024 | 1,120 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 53% | 41% | 6% |
| Alaska Survey Research[28] | October 13–18, 2023 | 1,375 (LV) | – | 45% | 37% | 19% |
| Alaska Survey Research[29] | July 18–21, 2023 | 1,336 (LV) | – | 43% | 36% | 21% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[c] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 21, 2024 | Joe Bidenwithdraws from the race. | ||||||
| Alaska Survey Research[28] | October 13–18, 2023 | 1,375 (LV) | – | 37% | 29% | 17% | 17% |
Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[c] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Zogby Strategies[26][B] | April 13–21, 2024 | 248 (LV) | – | 48% | 41% | 11% |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[c] | Margin of error | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Zogby Strategies[26][B] | April 13–21, 2024 | 248 (LV) | – | 50% | 37% | 13% |
| Party | Candidate | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | ±% | |||
| Republican | Donald Trump JD Vance | 184,458 | 54.54% | +1.71% | |
| Democratic | Kamala Harris Tim Walz | 140,026 | 41.41% | -1.36% | |
| Independent | Robert F. Kennedy Jr.(withdrawn) Nicole Shanahan(withdrawn) | 5,670 | 1.68% | N/A | |
| Libertarian | Chase Oliver Mike ter Maat | 3,040 | 0.90% | -2.38% | |
| Independent | Jill Stein[b] Butch Ware | 2,342 | 0.69% | N/A | |
| Aurora | Cornel West Melina Abdullah | 1,127 | 0.33% | N/A | |
| Constitution | Randall Terry Stephen Broden | 812 | 0.24% | -0.07% | |
| American Solidarity | Peter Sonski Lauren Onak | 702 | 0.21% | N/A | |
| Total votes | 338,177 | 100.00% | |||
Unlike every other U.S. state, Alaska is not divided intocounties orparishes. Rather, it isadministratively divided into 20boroughs: 19 organized and 1 unorganized, which act as county equivalents. TheUnorganized Borough lacks a borough government structure and itself is divided into eleven census areas.[31] Contrary to election results in most states, official results by borough are not available – rather, they are estimates based onprecinct-level data.[32] However, the Alaska Division of Elections does release official results byState House district, which are listed in the table below. Trump won 24 districts to Harris's 16.
| State House District | Donald Trump Republican | Kamala Harris Democratic | All Others | Margin | Total votes | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
| 1 | 4,861 | 56.6% | 3,367 | 39.2% | 356 | 4.2% | 1,494 | 17.4% | 8,669 |
| 2 | 4,534 | 47.4% | 4,571 | 47.8% | 458 | 4.9% | 37 | 0.1% | 9,666 |
| 3 | 4,496 | 40.5% | 6,130 | 55.2% | 481 | 4.4% | 1,634 | 14.7% | 11,170 |
| 4 | 2,691 | 29.0% | 6,161 | 66.5% | 418 | 4.5% | 3,470 | 37.5% | 9,335 |
| 5 | 4,351 | 54.3% | 3,328 | 41.5% | 259 | 4.2% | 1,023 | 13.8% | 8,097 |
| 6 | 6,705 | 55.9% | 4,773 | 39.8% | 522 | 4.3% | 1,932 | 16.1% | 12,063 |
| 7 | 6,777 | 70.5% | 2,513 | 26.2% | 319 | 2.6% | 4,264 | 44.3% | 9,687 |
| 8 | 7,950 | 73.6% | 2,576 | 23.8% | 279 | 2.6% | 5,374 | 49.8% | 10,868 |
| 9 | 5,581 | 47.2% | 5,849 | 49.4% | 406 | 3.5% | 268 | 2.2% | 11,938 |
| 10 | 4,357 | 49.7% | 4,070 | 46.4% | 336 | 3.9% | 287 | 3.3% | 8,844 |
| 11 | 4,864 | 49.4% | 4,633 | 47.1% | 343 | 3.5% | 231 | 2.3% | 9,928 |
| 12 | 4,059 | 47.7% | 4,169 | 49.0% | 287 | 3.3% | 110 | 1.3% | 8,569 |
| 13 | 3,589 | 47.4% | 3,682 | 48.6% | 306 | 4.0% | 93 | 1.2% | 7,632 |
| 14 | 2,768 | 37.3% | 4,346 | 58.5% | 312 | 4.2% | 1,578 | 21.2% | 7,495 |
| 15 | 4,594 | 49.4% | 4,364 | 47.0% | 335 | 3.7% | 630 | 2.4% | 9,381 |
| 16 | 3,929 | 40.6% | 4,344 | 55.3% | 396 | 4.1% | 1,415 | 14.7% | 9,746 |
| 17 | 2,407 | 31.2% | 4,990 | 64.7% | 321 | 4.1% | 2,583 | 33.5% | 7,793 |
| 18 | 2,686 | 55.8% | 1,928 | 40.0% | 202 | 4.1% | 758 | 15.8% | 4,840 |
| 19 | 1,971 | 39.2% | 2,825 | 56.2% | 229 | 4.6% | 854 | 17.0% | 5,066 |
| 20 | 3,041 | 41.8% | 3,924 | 54.0% | 302 | 4.2% | 883 | 12.2% | 7,327 |
| 21 | 3,984 | 44.1% | 4,711 | 52.1% | 348 | 3.9% | 727 | 8.0% | 9,108 |
| 22 | 2,594 | 47.5% | 2,660 | 48.7% | 209 | 3.8% | 66 | 1.2% | 5,521 |
| 23 | 6,101 | 57.1% | 4,116 | 38.5% | 468 | 4.4% | 1,985 | 18.6% | 10,742 |
| 24 | 6,482 | 64.1% | 3,234 | 32.0% | 402 | 4.0% | 3,248 | 32.1% | 10,182 |
| 25 | 6,891 | 65.9% | 3,172 | 30.3% | 397 | 3.9% | 3,719 | 35.6% | 10,532 |
| 26 | 7,143 | 75.6% | 2,013 | 21.3% | 292 | 3.0% | 5,130 | 54.3% | 9,492 |
| 27 | 6,785 | 76.6% | 1,807 | 20.4% | 268 | 3.0% | 4,978 | 56.2% | 8,912 |
| 28 | 6,713 | 72.3% | 2,213 | 23.8% | 353 | 3.7% | 4,500 | 49.5% | 9,331 |
| 29 | 7,418 | 70.6% | 2,708 | 25.8% | 374 | 3.6% | 4,710 | 44.8% | 10,570 |
| 30 | 7,312 | 70.9% | 2,701 | 26.2% | 293 | 2.8% | 4,611 | 44.7% | 10,389 |
| 31 | 3,475 | 49.6% | 3,240 | 46.3% | 288 | 4.1% | 235 | 3.3% | 7,084 |
| 32 | 3,742 | 63.8% | 1,883 | 32.1% | 239 | 4.2% | 1,859 | 31.7% | 5,901 |
| 33 | 6,548 | 73.9% | 2,016 | 22.8% | 295 | 3.4% | 4,532 | 51.1% | 8,900 |
| 34 | 5,836 | 58.3% | 3,759 | 37.5% | 417 | 4.2% | 2,077 | 20.8% | 10,092 |
| 35 | 4,395 | 45.2% | 4,885 | 50.2% | 452 | 4.5% | 490 | 5.0% | 9,797 |
| 36 | 5,633 | 58.7% | 3,538 | 36.9% | 427 | 4.6% | 2,095 | 21.8% | 9,720 |
| 37 | 2,208 | 50.8% | 1,921 | 44.2% | 221 | 5.1% | 297 | 6.6% | 4,444 |
| 38 | 1,558 | 39.0% | 2,028 | 50.8% | 408 | 10.2% | 470 | 11.8% | 4,079 |
| 39 | 1,690 | 40.2% | 2,180 | 51.8% | 336 | 8.0% | 490 | 11.6% | 4,308 |
| 40 | 1,688 | 51.3% | 1,362 | 41.4% | 243 | 7.4% | 326 | 9.9% | 3,362 |
| Total | 184,458 | 54.5% | 140,026 | 41.4% | 13,693 | 4.0% | 44,432 | 13.1% | 55.8% |
Boroughs and census areas that flipped from Democratic to Republican
Swing by borough
Borough flipsDemocratic Hold Flip | Republican Hold Flip
|
Due to the state's low population, only one congressional district is allocated. This district, an at-large district because it covers the entire state, is thus equivalent to the statewide election results.
| District | Trump | Harris | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| At-large | 54.54% | 41.41% | Mary Peltola |
| Nick Begich III |
Since Alaska started voting in presidential elections in1960, the only time its electoral votes have not gone to the Republican nominee was when incumbent DemocratLyndon Johnson won in a landslide in1964. Alaska is the only Republican-leaning state on theWest Coast of the United States. In 2024Donald Trump carried Alaska by 13 percentage points, a significantly smaller margin thanGeorge W. Bush's 26% victory in the state in2004, but similar toMitt Romney's 14-point margin in2012.
Compared to his2020 electoral performance, in which he carried the state by 10 percentage points, Trump improved in virtually all of the state, particularlyareas in the north and west with largeAlaska Native populations. Harris managed to narrowly retainAnchorage for the Democrats; Trump became the first Republican to win the White House without winning the city since Alaskan statehood. Key to Trump's victory in the state was landslide margins to his favor in theKenai Peninsula andMatanuska-Susitna Valley. He even managed to obtain over 80% of the vote in the sparsely populatedSoutheast Fairbanks Census Area. Harris's best area wasJuneau, the state capital. This was the first election since 2008 in which Republicans carried a majority of boroughs and census areas. At the same time, it was the first election since 1968 that Alaska voted to the left ofIowa.
Partisan clients
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