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2024 United States Senate election in Wyoming

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Not to be confused with2024 Wyoming Senate election.

2024 United States Senate election in Wyoming

← 2018November 5, 20242030 →
 
NomineeJohn BarrassoScott Morrow
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote198,41863,727
Percentage75.11%24.12%

County results
Barrasso:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Morrow:     60–70%

U.S. senator before election

John Barrasso
Republican

Elected U.S. senator

John Barrasso
Republican

Elections in Wyoming
Presidential elections
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2004
2008
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2024
Republican
2008
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2024
U.S. Senate elections
U.S. House of Representatives elections

The2024 United States Senate election in Wyoming was held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of theUnited States Senate to represent the state ofWyoming. Incumbent SenatorJohn Barrasso was appointed to the Senate in 2007 afterCraig Thomas died. Barrasso won a2008 special election to complete Thomas' term, and won full terms in2012 and2018. He was seeking a third full term, and declared his intent to run for Assistant Republican Leader at the end of the year.[1] Primary elections took place on August 20, 2024. Wyoming has been represented in the U.S. Senate exclusively by Republicans since 1977, and Barasso was heavily favored to win another term.[2]

Having won renomination with more than 67% of the vote, Barrasso was easily re-elected with over 75% of the vote in the general election, defeating Democrat Scott Morrow and carrying every county exceptTeton, and flippingAlbany. Barrasso overperformed RepublicanDonald Trump inthe concurrent presidential election by 4.51%. This was the largest margin of victory in any U.S. Senate election since North Dakota in2016.

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]
  • John Holtz, retired circuit court judge and candidate for U.S. Senate in2018 and2020[3]
  • Reid Rasner, financial executive[4]

Endorsements

[edit]
John Barrasso

Executive branch officials

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

Organizations

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Reid Rasner (R)$262,251$180,915$81,336
John Barrasso (R)$7,171,125$3,736,139$7,392,759
Source:Federal Election Commission[9]

Results

[edit]
Primary results by county
  Barrasso
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
Republican primary results[10]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanJohn Barrasso (incumbent)70,49467.9%
RepublicanReid Rasner25,42724.5%
RepublicanJohn Holtz7,8687.6%
Total votes103,789100.0%

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]
  • Scott Morrow, educator[3]

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[10]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticScott Morrow10,088100.0%
Total votes10,088100.0%

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[11]Solid RMay 3, 2023
Inside Elections[12]Solid RJuly 28, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13]Safe RJanuary 24, 2023
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[14]Safe RJune 8, 2024
Elections Daily[15]Safe RMay 4, 2023
CNalysis[16]Solid RNovember 21, 2023
RealClearPolitics[17]Solid RAugust 5, 2024
Split Ticket[18]Safe ROctober 23, 2024
538[19]Solid ROctober 23, 2024

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
John
Barrasso
Scott
Morrow
Undecided
Cygnal (R)[20]October 26–28, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%73%26%1%

Results

[edit]
United States Senate election in Wyoming, 2024[21]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
RepublicanJohn Barrasso (incumbent)198,41875.11%+8.15%
DemocraticScott Morrow63,72724.12%−5.98%
Write-in2,0170.76%+0.60%
Total votes264,162100.00%N/A
Republicanhold

By county

[edit]
County[22]John Barrasso
Republican
Scott Morrow
Democratic
Various candidates
Other parties
MarginTotal votes cast
#%#%#%#%
Albany9,73755.34%7,74544.02%1140.65%1,99211.32%17,596
Big Horn4,92286.90%70312.41%390.69%4,21974.49%5,664
Campbell15,77488.68%1,87710.55%1370.77%13,89778.13%17,788
Carbon5,02880.01%1,21619.35%400.64%3,81260.66%6,284
Converse5,69986.97%80212.24%520.79%4,89774.73%6,553
Crook3,81789.94%3939.26%340.80%3,42480.68%4,244
Fremont11,93070.72%4,82328.59%1170.69%7,10742.13%16,870
Goshen5,06683.01%1,01116.57%260.43%4,05566.44%6,103
Hot Springs2,14082.66%43616.84%130.50%1,70465.82%2,589
Johnson4,06384.15%72715.06%380.79%3,33669.10%4,828
Laramie29,64868.77%13,09230.37%3710.86%16,55638.40%43,111
Lincoln9,07785.46%1,48013.93%640.60%7,59771.53%10,621
Natrona25,24075.90%7,67423.08%3421.03%17,56652.82%33,256
Niobrara1,07389.94%1189.89%20.17%95580.05%1,193
Park13,34381.92%2,79017.13%1540.95%10,55364.79%16,287
Platte3,92481.30%74716.37%332.33%3,17764.93%4,704
Sheridan12,58077.88%3,43821.28%1360.84%9,14256.59%16,154
Sublette4,00782.98%77916.13%430.89%3,22866.85%4,829
Sweetwater12,72477.82%3,55021.71%770.47%9,17456.11%16,351
Teton5,08338.92%7,88560.38%910.70%-2,802-21.46%13,059
Uinta7,31082.68%1,47816.72%530.60%5,83265.97%8,841
Washakie3,20783.93%58815.39%260.68%2,61968.54%3,821
Weston3,02688.58%37510.98%150.44%2,65177.61%3,416
Totals198,41875.11%63,72724.12%2,0170.76%134,69150.99%264,162

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

[edit]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear

References

[edit]
  1. ^ab"Wyoming Sen. Barrasso Will Run for No. 2 Spot in GOP Leadership, Narrowing Race to Replace McConnell".US News & World Report. March 5, 2024. RetrievedMarch 7, 2024.
  2. ^"2024 State Primary Election Dates".www.ncsl.org. RetrievedAugust 6, 2023.
  3. ^ab"Wyoming's Primary Election Is Set: 167 Candidates In 72 Contested Races".cowboystatedaily.com. May 31, 2024. RetrievedJune 1, 2024.
  4. ^Rasner, Ryan (August 4, 2023)."Reid Rasner of Wyoming Announces Candidacy for United States Senate".EIN News. RetrievedAugust 7, 2023.
  5. ^abHageman, Harriet (May 4, 2024)."I'm Endorsing Sen. John Barrasso For Re-Election And Here's Why".Cowboy State Daily. RetrievedMay 6, 2024.
  6. ^https://goconow.com/senator-lummis-endorses-barrasso-for-reelection/
  7. ^"Support Pro-Israel Candidates".AIPAC PAC. RetrievedApril 7, 2023.
  8. ^"Clear Path Action Fund".Clear Path Action Fund. RetrievedFebruary 11, 2024.
  9. ^"2024 Election United States Senate - Wyoming".fec.gov.Federal Election Commission. RetrievedAugust 11, 2023.
  10. ^ab"Legislative Candidates Summaries"(PDF).Wyoming Secretary of State. RetrievedNovember 20, 2024.
  11. ^"2024 Senate Race ratings".Cook Political Report. RetrievedJanuary 25, 2023.
  12. ^"Senate Ratings".Inside Elections. January 6, 2023. RetrievedJanuary 10, 2023.
  13. ^"2024 Senate".Sabato's Crystal Ball. January 24, 2023. RetrievedFebruary 13, 2023.
  14. ^"2024 Senate prediction map".elections2024.thehill.com/.The Hill. June 8, 2024. RetrievedJune 8, 2024.
  15. ^"Election Ratings".Elections Daily. August 1, 2023. RetrievedAugust 2, 2023.
  16. ^"'24 Senate Forecast".CNalysis. RetrievedNovember 21, 2023.
  17. ^"Battle for the Senate 2024".RealClearPolitics. RetrievedAugust 5, 2024.
  18. ^"2024 Senate Forecast".Split Ticket. RetrievedOctober 23, 2024.
  19. ^"2024 Election Forecast".FiveThirtyEight. Archived fromthe original on November 1, 2024. RetrievedOctober 23, 2024.
  20. ^Cygnal (R)
  21. ^Wyoming Secretary of State."2024 General Election Statewide Candidates Summary"(PDF). RetrievedNovember 16, 2024.
  22. ^"2024 Senate Election (Official Returns)".Commonwealth of Wyoming by county. November 5, 2024. RetrievedDecember 5, 2024.

External links

[edit]

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